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Global Change Institute - Craig Rispin Keynote 1 Nov '12
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Global Change Institute - Craig Rispin Keynote 1 Nov '12

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Global Change Institute - Craig Rispin Keynote 1 Nov '12

Global Change Institute - Craig Rispin Keynote 1 Nov '12


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  • 1. @gcitweet/gciuq
  • 2. Know First • Be First • Profit First Craig RispinBusiness Futurist & Innovation Expert www.FutureTrendsGroup.com craig@futuretrendsgroup.com Up
  • 3. PeopleBusiness Technology Up
  • 4. People W or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n e S ci AccelerationBusiness Globalised Technology Up
  • 5. Karl Fisch - TheFischBowl.blogspot.com Up
  • 6. Discuss with a Partner:What Did You Find MostSurprising in the Video “Did You Know”? Up
  • 7. Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n eMarketing S ci UnbreakableMegatrend Tech Acceleration Business Globalised Technology CloudOutrageousOutsourcing Computing Coworking CoIT Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
  • 8. Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n eMarketing S ci UnbreakableMegatrend Tech Acceleration Business Globalised Technology CloudOutrageousOutsourcing Computing Coworking CoIT Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
  • 9. Your mobile phone hasmore computing power than all of NASA in 1969. http://www.flickr.com/photos/43533334@N07/5153726732
  • 10. How Big is Mobile Today?7B People in the World6B Mobile Subscribers1B 3G/4G Subscribers Up
  • 11. Despite Tremendous Ramp So Far,Smartphone User Adoption Has Huge Upside Global Smartphone vs. Mobile Phone Subscriptions, Q4:11 7,000 6.1B Mobile Phone Subscriptions 6,000 5,000 Global Subscriptions (MM) 4,000 3,000 2,000 953MM Smartphone Subscriptions 1,000 0 Smartphone Mobile Phone Source: Mobile phone subscriptions per Informa (as of Q4:11), Smartphone subscriptions estimate based on Morgan Stanley Research’s estimated smartphone user as % of total mobile user at the end of 2011 (16%). Note: While there are 1B global 3G subscribers as of Q4:11, not all of them were smartphone users. One user may have multiple mobile 11 subscriptions, therefore actual user #s may be lower than subscriber #s. Up
  • 12. Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp – The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 120 ~120MM+ Mobile Internet 100 iPhone + iTouch + iPad Launched 6/07 Desktop Internet 80Subscribers (MM) Netscape* Launched 12/94 60 Mobile Internet ~32MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 Desktop Internet 20 ~27MM AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~9MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 8 Data as of CQ3:10.
  • 13. 380MMobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 100 ~85MM Mobile Internet Desktop Internet 80 iPhone + iTouch Netscape* Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94Subscribers (MM) 60 Mobile Internet ~31MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 ~18MM Desktop Internet 20 AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~8MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7 Up
  • 14. 468MMobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch 100 ~85MM Mobile Internet Desktop Internet 80 iPhone + iTouch Netscape* Launched 6/07 Launched 12/94Subscribers (MM) 60 Mobile Internet ~31MM NTT docomo i-mode 40 Launched 6/99 ~18MM Desktop Internet 20 AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 ~8MM Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates Up ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. 7
  • 15. iPods Changed Media Industry iPhones Ramped EvenFaster iPad Growth (3x iPhone) Leaves “Siblings” in Dust First 8 Quarters Cumulative Unit Shipments, iPod vs. iPhone vs. iPad 1,400 70,000 iPad iPad iPad iPhone iPhone iPhone iPod iPod iPod 20,000 1,200 60,000 Global Unit Shipments (000) Global Unit Shipments (000) 1,000 50,000 15,000 800 40,000 10,000 600 30,000 400 20,000 5,000 200 10,000 000 000 1 11 2 22 3 33 4 44 5 55 6 6 7 7 8 8 Quarters After Launch Quarters After Launch Quarters After Launch Source: Apple, as of CQ1:12 (8 quarters post iPad launch). 9 Up
  • 16. Security Metering AccessControl Money Body Engines
  • 17. Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n eMarketing S ci UnbreakableMegatrend Tech Acceleration Business Globalised Technology CloudOutrageousOutsourcing Computing Coworking CoIT Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
  • 18. Up
  • 19. “Cloud Computing isn’t really about technology - it’s really aboutthinking of IT in a whole new way.” Up
  • 20. Source: Cisco
  • 21. Education Re-Engineering Global Free Mobility Agency Age Gap People End of Retirement Un-Bell Curve W Speed & Size or Sh k/L s ift ife ife ce L n eMarketing S ci UnbreakableMegatrend Tech Acceleration Business Globalised Technology CloudOutrageousOutsourcing Computing Coworking CoIT Virtual Innovation Robots Mobile Business Imperative Rise Madness Up
  • 22. Cray-1 US$8 million 80 MegaFLOPS Speed & Size Up
  • 23. SonyPlayStation 3 US$400218 GigaFLOPS Up
  • 24. SonyPlayStation 3 US$400218 GigaFLOPS Up
  • 25. Up
  • 26. The $100 PC - nComputing.com Share this login blog languages enterprise powerful computing for powerful companies small & medium business whatever the size of your business we have a solution education invest in solutions that give more tools to your students government get things running smoothly with our computing power Looking for an all-inclusive, pre-tested and easy to deploy solution that will give you the ability to virtualize your budget? With NComputing’s new In aNComputing is the fastest growing desktop virtualization company in the Box solutions you are getting just that. Find out how you can reduceworld with over 20 million daily users in 140 countries. The companys maintenance and support costs by 75%, reduce power and coolingaward-winning, patented technology lowers desktop computing costs, requirements by 90% and be a leader in your community with Greenimproves manageability, and reduces both energy consumption and e-waste. computing.It is the perfect solution for leveraging the power and potential of PCs andcloud computing. Up
  • 27. The $100 PC - nComputing.com Share this login blog languages enterprise powerful computing for powerful companies small & medium business whatever the size of your business we have a solution education invest in solutions that give more tools to your students government get things running smoothly with our computing power Looking for an all-inclusive, pre-tested and easy to deploy solution that will give you the ability to virtualize your budget? With NComputing’s new In aNComputing is the fastest growing desktop virtualization company in the Box solutions you are getting just that. Find out how you can reduceworld with over 20 million daily users in 140 countries. The companys maintenance and support costs by 75%, reduce power and coolingaward-winning, patented technology lowers desktop computing costs, requirements by 90% and be a leader in your community with Greenimproves manageability, and reduces both energy consumption and e-waste. computing.It is the perfect solution for leveraging the power and potential of PCs andcloud computing. Up
  • 28. The $100 PC - nComputing.com Share this login blog languages enterprise powerful computing for powerful companies small & medium business whatever the size of your business we have a solution education invest in solutions that give more tools to your students government get things running smoothly with our computing power Looking for an all-inclusive, pre-tested and easy to deploy solution that will give you the ability to virtualize your budget? With NComputing’s new In aNComputing is the fastest growing desktop virtualization company in the Box solutions you are getting just that. Find out how you can reduceworld with over 20 million daily users in 140 countries. The companys maintenance and support costs by 75%, reduce power and coolingaward-winning, patented technology lowers desktop computing costs, requirements by 90% and be a leader in your community with Greenimproves manageability, and reduces both energy consumption and e-waste. computing.It is the perfect solution for leveraging the power and potential of PCs andcloud computing. Up
  • 29. Millimetre-Scale Computer Up
  • 30. Edible Chip - Proteus Biomedical Up
  • 31. Download Craig’s eBook:QR Scan or goto  is.gd/think Up