1) The document summarizes a research paper that examines the determinants of capital structure for Chinese listed companies using market and accounting data up to 2000.
2) The findings show that leverage is negatively correlated with profitability but positively correlated with firm size, volatility, tangibility, growth, and dividends. Leverage is also negatively correlated with non-debt tax shields and intangibility.
3) These results are consistent with predictions from both the tradeoff theory and pecking order theory of capital structure. Larger, more tangible firms with growth opportunities tend to have higher leverage, while more profitable firms with non-debt tax shields tend to have lower leverage.
4. Introduction
(These Slides concepts are According to the
Article)
5. Capital Structure
The question of capital structure has received a
lot of attention from economists for quite
sometime.
The publication by Modigliani and Miller (1958)
is believed to have triggered the beginning of
corporate finance as a discipline.
Jensen and Meckling (1976), Miller
(1977), Myers (1984), Jensen (1986), Titman
and Wessels (1988), Harris and Raviv
(1991), among others.
6. Capital Structure
Financing overall operations and growth using
different sources of funds
“Proportion of debt instruments and preferred
and common stock on a company’s balance
sheet”
7. Abstract
This paper employs a new database
It contains the market and accounting data from
more than 1000 Chinese listed companies up to
the year 2000
To document the characteristics of these firms in
terms of capital structure.
As in other countries:
leverage in Chinese firms increases with firm
size, non-debt tax shields and fixed assets.
Decreases with profitability and correlates with
industries
9. Capital Structure Theories:
Trade off
Pecking order
Agency cost
Leverage: Ratio of total loans and net total
assets
10. Trade off Theory
Proportion of debt and equity finance to
balance cost and benefits
Corporateand personal taxes
Bankruptcy cost
debt tax liability after tax cash flow
debt Risk of default cost of debt
Tradeoff - Optimum capital structure
Max value of firm
12. Pecking Theory
Inverse relationship between profitability and debt
ratios
Follows Law of Least Effort
Firms prefer internal financing
Adopt target dividend payout ratios
External Financing
Debt like convertible bonds
Equity
Issue costs
Internal funds : Least
Debt : Low
Equity: Highest
13. Factors affecting leverage
Profitability
Size of the firm
Non debt tax shield
Growth Opportunities
Tangibility
Dividend
Risk
Intangibility
14. Profitability
Trade off theory
Positivecorrelation
Increased capacity to bear interest costs
Bankruptcy cost of large firm is less
More the profit, greater the need for tax shield
Pecking-order theory
Negative correlation
Greater profits greater retained earnings
internal funding reduced leverage
15. Size of the firm
Trade off theory
Size of firm & bankruptcy cost – Inverse relation
Positive correlation – size and leverage
Pecking order theory
Lessinformation asymmetry for large firm
Negative correlation
16. Non-debt tax shield
If there are other non debt options available
for tax shields low leverage
Negative correlation
17. Growth Opportunities
Trade off theory
Strong incentive to avoid under investment
Equity can be issued at higher market price
Negative correlation
Pecking order
Growing firm will not have internal reserves in
abundance
Positive correlation
Growth in sales
18. Tangibility
Trade off Theory
Proportion of debt increases with increased fixed
assets
Collateralization – Improved guarantee of
repayment
Positive correlation
Pecking order
Firms with few tangible assets are more sensitive
to informational asymmetries
Negative correlation
Tangibility : Ratio of Book value of fixed assets
19. Risk
Standard deviation of Returns
the larger the variations you can expect to see in
returns.
Increased information asymmetry
Shareholders reluctant to invest
Resort to debt
Positive Correlation
20. Dividend
Dividend paid / BV of equity
Less internal funds
Better potential to repay debt
External Funding – Debt
Positive correlation
21. Intangibility
Ratio: Intangible assets and total assets
Increased information asymmetry
Shareholders reluctant to invest
Resort to debt
Positive correlation
22. Literature Review
In 1958, First Scientific Research by Modigliani
and Miller (MM) proved irrelevance of capital
structure on firms value assuming no taxes.
In 1963, MM proved tax shield benefit of
leverage leading to increase in value of firm.
In 1977, Scot proposed Tradeoff theory.
In 1984, Myers and Majluf proposed Pecking
order theory
23. Literature Review
In 1995, Rajan & Zingles found positive
correlation of tangibility and sales with leverage
and negative correlation of market to book ratio
and profitability.
In 2003, Drobetz & Fix took six determinants-
tangibility, size, market to book
ratio, profitability, volatility, uniqueness of
products and non-debt tax shield. They found
tangibility and size positively correlated and
profitability and growth negatively correlated
with leverage.
24. Literature Review
In 2004, Shah & Hijazi studied non-financial
firms listed on KSE and took
tangibility, size, profitability and growth as
determinants.
They found positive impact of tangibility and size
and
negative impact of profitability and growth
In 2007, Shah & Khan studied the no-financial
firms listed on KSE and took six variables-
size, profitability, volatility, growth, tangibility and
non debt tax shield. They found the only one
significant result, negative relationship between
profitability and leverage
25. Research Design
Sample:
For 1000 Chinese Listed
Companies
Population :
China Stock Exchange
Time:
Up To The Year 2000.
26. Research Design
Data Source:
School Of Economics And Finance Center
For
China Financial Research (CCFR).
The University Of Hong Kong
Huang’s Email: huangg@hkusua.hku.hk Tel: (852)
2857-8637
Song’s Email: fmsong@econ.hku.hk Tel: (852) 2857-
8507
Model:
Regression Model
27. Technique:
Qualitative
Data:
Secondary Data
(Tell What is Qualitative Data and Secondary
Data)
28. Findings
Variable Correlation with Leverage
Profitability Negative
Volatility in Return Positive
Size of Firm Positive
Tangibility Positive
Growth Positive
Non Debt Tax Shield Negative
Intangibility Positive
Dividend Positive
29. Conclusion
Companies with greater profit use internal
reserves or raise equity for funding
Investors are less interested for investing in
companies with high return volatility
Large firms are favored by creditors due to
their less bankruptcy cost
Firms with huge fixed assets can attract more
lending due to collaterals
30. Conclusion Cont…
Companies with high growth perspective find it
easy to raise fund through borrowings
Companies with other modes of tax
exemption/benefit are less interested in tax
benefit on interest paid on debt
Investors are highly sensitive to information
asymmetry
High dividend paying firms show more
potential to repay debt
Net total assets are the total assets excluding all the fictitious assets and revaluation reserves and debit balance of profit and loss account.
Profitability as the ratio of EBITDA and Net total assets.Net total assets - total assets net of fictitious assets, revaluation reserves and debit balance of profit and loss account.