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Abdullah Shahzad
Roll. No. 203
BBA 7th (M)
GC University Fsd.
DETERMINANTS OF
CAPITAL STRUCTURE:
EVIDENCE FROM CHINA

               Samuel G.H Huang And
               frank M. Song
     Introduction
   (These Slides concepts are According to the
    Article)
Capital Structure
   The question of capital structure has received a
    lot of attention from economists for quite
    sometime.

   The publication by Modigliani and Miller (1958)
    is believed to have triggered the beginning of
    corporate finance as a discipline.

   Jensen    and    Meckling   (1976),   Miller
    (1977), Myers (1984), Jensen (1986), Titman
    and Wessels (1988), Harris and Raviv
    (1991), among others.
Capital Structure
   Financing overall operations and growth using
    different sources of funds

   “Proportion of debt instruments and preferred
    and common stock on a company’s balance
    sheet”
Abstract
   This paper employs a new database
   It contains the market and accounting data from
    more than 1000 Chinese listed companies up to
    the year 2000
   To document the characteristics of these firms in
    terms of capital structure.
   As in other countries:
    leverage in Chinese firms increases with firm
    size, non-debt tax shields and fixed assets.
    Decreases with profitability and correlates with
    industries
Hypothesis:


Relationship Between Financial Leverage and
Determinants Of Capital Structure
Capital Structure Theories:


     Trade off
     Pecking order

     Agency cost



   Leverage: Ratio of total loans and net total
    assets
Trade off Theory
   Proportion of debt and equity finance to
    balance cost and benefits
     Corporateand personal taxes
     Bankruptcy cost

   debt  tax liability  after tax cash flow
   debt  Risk of default  cost of debt
   Tradeoff - Optimum capital structure
         Max value of firm
Trade off Theory
Pecking Theory

 Inverse relationship between profitability and debt
  ratios
Follows Law of Least Effort
 Firms prefer internal financing

       Adopt target dividend payout ratios
   External Financing
     Debt like convertible bonds
     Equity

   Issue costs
     Internal funds : Least
     Debt : Low
     Equity: Highest
Factors affecting leverage
   Profitability
   Size of the firm
   Non debt tax shield
   Growth Opportunities
   Tangibility
   Dividend
   Risk
   Intangibility
Profitability
   Trade off theory
     Positivecorrelation
     Increased capacity to bear interest costs

     Bankruptcy cost of large firm is less

     More the profit, greater the need for tax shield

   Pecking-order theory
     Negative   correlation
     Greater profits  greater retained earnings 
      internal funding  reduced leverage
Size of the firm
   Trade off theory
     Size of firm & bankruptcy cost – Inverse relation
     Positive correlation – size and leverage

   Pecking order theory
     Lessinformation asymmetry for large firm
     Negative correlation
Non-debt tax shield

   If there are other non debt options available
    for tax shields  low leverage
       Negative correlation
Growth Opportunities
   Trade off theory
     Strong incentive to avoid under investment
     Equity can be issued at higher market price

     Negative correlation

   Pecking order
     Growing  firm will not have internal reserves in
      abundance
     Positive correlation

   Growth in sales
Tangibility
   Trade off Theory
     Proportion   of debt increases with increased fixed
      assets
     Collateralization – Improved guarantee of
      repayment
     Positive correlation

   Pecking order
     Firms  with few tangible assets are more sensitive
      to informational asymmetries
     Negative correlation

   Tangibility : Ratio of Book value of fixed assets
Risk
   Standard deviation of Returns
   the larger the variations you can expect to see in
returns.
   Increased information asymmetry
   Shareholders reluctant to invest
   Resort to debt
   Positive Correlation
Dividend
   Dividend paid / BV of equity
   Less internal funds
   Better potential to repay debt
   External Funding – Debt
   Positive correlation
Intangibility
   Ratio: Intangible assets and total assets
   Increased information asymmetry
   Shareholders reluctant to invest
   Resort to debt
   Positive correlation
Literature Review
   In 1958, First Scientific Research by Modigliani
    and Miller (MM) proved irrelevance of capital
    structure on firms value assuming no taxes.
   In 1963, MM proved tax shield benefit of
    leverage leading to increase in value of firm.
   In 1977, Scot proposed Tradeoff theory.
   In 1984, Myers and Majluf proposed Pecking
    order theory
Literature Review
   In 1995, Rajan & Zingles found positive
    correlation of tangibility and sales with leverage
    and negative correlation of market to book ratio
    and profitability.
   In 2003, Drobetz & Fix took six determinants-
    tangibility, size, market to book
    ratio, profitability, volatility, uniqueness of
    products and non-debt tax shield. They found
    tangibility and size positively correlated and
    profitability and growth negatively correlated
    with leverage.
Literature Review
 In 2004, Shah & Hijazi studied non-financial
  firms listed on KSE and took
  tangibility, size, profitability and growth as
  determinants.
  They found positive impact of tangibility and size
and
   negative impact of profitability and growth
 In 2007, Shah & Khan studied the no-financial
  firms listed on KSE and took six variables-
  size, profitability, volatility, growth, tangibility and
  non debt tax shield. They found the only one
  significant result, negative relationship between
  profitability and leverage
Research Design


 Sample:
        For 1000 Chinese Listed
Companies
 Population :

        China Stock Exchange
 Time:

        Up To The Year 2000.
Research Design
 Data Source:
     School Of Economics And Finance Center
For
         China Financial Research (CCFR).
           The University Of Hong Kong
   Huang’s Email: huangg@hkusua.hku.hk Tel: (852)
2857-8637
   Song’s Email: fmsong@econ.hku.hk Tel: (852) 2857-
8507

   Model:
             Regression Model
Technique:
         Qualitative
 Data:

         Secondary Data
(Tell What is Qualitative Data and Secondary
Data)
Findings

       Variable          Correlation with Leverage
     Profitability               Negative
  Volatility in Return           Positive
     Size of Firm                Positive
      Tangibility                Positive
       Growth                    Positive
 Non Debt Tax Shield             Negative
     Intangibility               Positive
       Dividend                  Positive
Conclusion
   Companies with greater profit use internal
    reserves or raise equity for funding
   Investors are less interested for investing in
    companies with high return volatility
   Large firms are favored by creditors due to
    their less bankruptcy cost
   Firms with huge fixed assets can attract more
    lending due to collaterals
Conclusion Cont…
   Companies with high growth perspective find it
    easy to raise fund through borrowings
   Companies with other modes of tax
    exemption/benefit are less interested in tax
    benefit on interest paid on debt
   Investors are highly sensitive to information
    asymmetry
   High dividend paying firms show more
    potential to repay debt
THANK YOU
Determinants of capitalstructure

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Determinants of capitalstructure

  • 1. 1
  • 2. Abdullah Shahzad Roll. No. 203 BBA 7th (M) GC University Fsd.
  • 3. DETERMINANTS OF CAPITAL STRUCTURE: EVIDENCE FROM CHINA Samuel G.H Huang And frank M. Song
  • 4. Introduction  (These Slides concepts are According to the Article)
  • 5. Capital Structure  The question of capital structure has received a lot of attention from economists for quite sometime.  The publication by Modigliani and Miller (1958) is believed to have triggered the beginning of corporate finance as a discipline.  Jensen and Meckling (1976), Miller (1977), Myers (1984), Jensen (1986), Titman and Wessels (1988), Harris and Raviv (1991), among others.
  • 6. Capital Structure  Financing overall operations and growth using different sources of funds  “Proportion of debt instruments and preferred and common stock on a company’s balance sheet”
  • 7. Abstract  This paper employs a new database  It contains the market and accounting data from more than 1000 Chinese listed companies up to the year 2000  To document the characteristics of these firms in terms of capital structure.  As in other countries: leverage in Chinese firms increases with firm size, non-debt tax shields and fixed assets. Decreases with profitability and correlates with industries
  • 8. Hypothesis: Relationship Between Financial Leverage and Determinants Of Capital Structure
  • 9. Capital Structure Theories:  Trade off  Pecking order  Agency cost  Leverage: Ratio of total loans and net total assets
  • 10. Trade off Theory  Proportion of debt and equity finance to balance cost and benefits  Corporateand personal taxes  Bankruptcy cost  debt  tax liability  after tax cash flow  debt  Risk of default  cost of debt  Tradeoff - Optimum capital structure Max value of firm
  • 12. Pecking Theory  Inverse relationship between profitability and debt ratios Follows Law of Least Effort  Firms prefer internal financing  Adopt target dividend payout ratios  External Financing  Debt like convertible bonds  Equity  Issue costs  Internal funds : Least  Debt : Low  Equity: Highest
  • 13. Factors affecting leverage  Profitability  Size of the firm  Non debt tax shield  Growth Opportunities  Tangibility  Dividend  Risk  Intangibility
  • 14. Profitability  Trade off theory  Positivecorrelation  Increased capacity to bear interest costs  Bankruptcy cost of large firm is less  More the profit, greater the need for tax shield  Pecking-order theory  Negative correlation  Greater profits  greater retained earnings  internal funding  reduced leverage
  • 15. Size of the firm  Trade off theory  Size of firm & bankruptcy cost – Inverse relation  Positive correlation – size and leverage  Pecking order theory  Lessinformation asymmetry for large firm  Negative correlation
  • 16. Non-debt tax shield  If there are other non debt options available for tax shields  low leverage  Negative correlation
  • 17. Growth Opportunities  Trade off theory  Strong incentive to avoid under investment  Equity can be issued at higher market price  Negative correlation  Pecking order  Growing firm will not have internal reserves in abundance  Positive correlation  Growth in sales
  • 18. Tangibility  Trade off Theory  Proportion of debt increases with increased fixed assets  Collateralization – Improved guarantee of repayment  Positive correlation  Pecking order  Firms with few tangible assets are more sensitive to informational asymmetries  Negative correlation  Tangibility : Ratio of Book value of fixed assets
  • 19. Risk  Standard deviation of Returns the larger the variations you can expect to see in returns.  Increased information asymmetry  Shareholders reluctant to invest  Resort to debt  Positive Correlation
  • 20. Dividend  Dividend paid / BV of equity  Less internal funds  Better potential to repay debt  External Funding – Debt  Positive correlation
  • 21. Intangibility  Ratio: Intangible assets and total assets  Increased information asymmetry  Shareholders reluctant to invest  Resort to debt  Positive correlation
  • 22. Literature Review  In 1958, First Scientific Research by Modigliani and Miller (MM) proved irrelevance of capital structure on firms value assuming no taxes.  In 1963, MM proved tax shield benefit of leverage leading to increase in value of firm.  In 1977, Scot proposed Tradeoff theory.  In 1984, Myers and Majluf proposed Pecking order theory
  • 23. Literature Review  In 1995, Rajan & Zingles found positive correlation of tangibility and sales with leverage and negative correlation of market to book ratio and profitability.  In 2003, Drobetz & Fix took six determinants- tangibility, size, market to book ratio, profitability, volatility, uniqueness of products and non-debt tax shield. They found tangibility and size positively correlated and profitability and growth negatively correlated with leverage.
  • 24. Literature Review  In 2004, Shah & Hijazi studied non-financial firms listed on KSE and took tangibility, size, profitability and growth as determinants. They found positive impact of tangibility and size and negative impact of profitability and growth  In 2007, Shah & Khan studied the no-financial firms listed on KSE and took six variables- size, profitability, volatility, growth, tangibility and non debt tax shield. They found the only one significant result, negative relationship between profitability and leverage
  • 25. Research Design  Sample: For 1000 Chinese Listed Companies  Population : China Stock Exchange  Time: Up To The Year 2000.
  • 26. Research Design  Data Source: School Of Economics And Finance Center For China Financial Research (CCFR). The University Of Hong Kong Huang’s Email: huangg@hkusua.hku.hk Tel: (852) 2857-8637 Song’s Email: fmsong@econ.hku.hk Tel: (852) 2857- 8507  Model: Regression Model
  • 27. Technique: Qualitative  Data: Secondary Data (Tell What is Qualitative Data and Secondary Data)
  • 28. Findings Variable Correlation with Leverage Profitability Negative Volatility in Return Positive Size of Firm Positive Tangibility Positive Growth Positive Non Debt Tax Shield Negative Intangibility Positive Dividend Positive
  • 29. Conclusion  Companies with greater profit use internal reserves or raise equity for funding  Investors are less interested for investing in companies with high return volatility  Large firms are favored by creditors due to their less bankruptcy cost  Firms with huge fixed assets can attract more lending due to collaterals
  • 30. Conclusion Cont…  Companies with high growth perspective find it easy to raise fund through borrowings  Companies with other modes of tax exemption/benefit are less interested in tax benefit on interest paid on debt  Investors are highly sensitive to information asymmetry  High dividend paying firms show more potential to repay debt

Editor's Notes

  1. Net total assets are the total assets excluding all the fictitious assets and revaluation reserves and debit balance of profit and loss account.
  2. Profitability as the ratio of EBITDA and Net total assets.Net total assets - total assets net of fictitious assets, revaluation reserves and debit balance of profit and loss account.