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Emerging Non-Volatile Memories




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                                                                                 EN
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         Everspin                         Micron EV                     Micron                  Adesto             Samsung   SK Hynix
                                             D
                                LE


                                                           Sample
                              YO




© 2013
             Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Table of Contents (1/2)
•       Glossary                                                                                   •   Industrial applications                                                   98
•       Companies Cited in this Report                                                                   –    Industrial Applications Description

•       Market Research Scope and Methodology & definitions                                        •   Smart Card market                                                         101
                                                                                                         –    Smart Card Application Description
•       Executive Summary                                             10
                                                                                                         –    Global Smart Card Forecast :10 B units for 2017
•       Acquisitions & Alliances : increasing flow of acquisitions and joint                             –    Telecom SIM Card Market forecast and accessible market for emerging NVM
        developments on emerging NVM                                                                     –    Telecom SIM NFC Market




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•       Noteworthy News 2009 – 2012                                   24                                 –    Government/ID card forecast




                                                                                                               EN
                                                                                                         –    Smart Card supply chain
•       Standard memories market introduction        28
                                                                                                         –    Smart Card MCU market and players
•       NAND market overview                                          36                                 –    Embedded Flash NOR current technology




                                                                                                        EM
•       DRAM market overview                                          46                                 –    Main MCU smart card players : memory technologies and involvement in
                                                                                                              emerging NVM
•       Other “Niche” Memories overview                               51
                                                                                                         –    Crocus Technology MLU (Magnetic Logic Unit)
•       Market Players Overview                      61




                                                                                                PP
                                                                                                         –    Smart Card Embedded memories technological roadmap of Key players
•       Emerging NVM overview                                         70                                 –    Smartcard manufacturers
           –       Emerging NVM segmentation                                                             –    Conclusions on Smart Card application




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           –       Density Evolution of Non Volatile Memories                                      •   Enterprise Storage applications                                           118
           –       Memories current position in 2012                                                     –




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                                                                                                              Enterprise Storage Application Description
           –       Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Technologies From 2012-2018 (in $, in units, in       –    Infrastructure Servers applications are booming thanks to growing internet needs
                   Nb of wafers 12” eq)
                                                                                                         –    Cloud Data Centers Market is booming


                                                                                EV
           –       Emerging NVM Strategy example : Hynix roadmap
                                                                                                         –    Enterprise SSD market is booming
           –       Emerging NVM roadmap : Cell size roadmap (stand alone devices)
                                                                                                         –    Potential enterprise storage applications for emerging NVM at different level of
           –       Emerging NVM chip maximum density roadmap (stand alone devices)                            the systems
                                                                           D
           –       NVM Market players position                                                           –    Impact of emerging NVM on enterprise storage systems
           –       TOP three memory makers involvement in emerging NVM                                   –    Cache Memory for enterprise storage SSD : Skyera case study
                                                           LE

           –       Acquisitions & Alliances of the dominant memory players in Emerging Non               –    Enterprise storage supply chain
                   Volatile Memories
                                                                                                         –    Conclusion on Enterprise Storage Applications
           –       Big challenge for emerging NVM : develop a 3D approach like for NAND and
                                                         YO



                   DRAM
•       Emerging NVM applications                                                     86
           –       General Solid State Memory Applications
           –       Emerging NVM applications : some definitions
           –       Memories Specifications
           –       Emerging NVM applications positioning
           –       Emerging NVM Applications
           –       Emerging NVM positioning by application and current memories used
           –       Memory Density Requirements by applications
           –       Emerging NVM Time to market by Application
           –       Emerging NVM application analysis
           –       Emerging Memories potential applications : density and price positioning
           –       Emerging NVM key industrial players by application


    © 2013 •   2                    Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Table of Contents (2/2)
•       Mobile phone applications                                  131                             –    PCM Price evolution in $
           –       Mobile Phone Application Description                                            –    PCM players positioning
           –       Mobile phone forecast in Units                                                  –    PCM roadmap and history of development
           –       Smart Phone Memory will surge                                                   –    PCM material
           –       Mobile phone applications                                                       –    PCM positioning compared to NAND and DRAM
           –       Mobile phone application : SoC embedded                                         –    Micron profile
           –       Smart Phone Power Consumption : memory has a huge impact for entry level        –    Micron roadmap Micron latest commercial product




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                   phones                                                                          –    Micron PCM Development Trends
                                                                                                   –




                                                                                                         EN
           –       Toshiba STT MRAM development                                                         Samsung PCM products and developments
           –       NOR mobile phones embedded SiP applications and players                         –    Embedded PCM ST Microelectronics development
           –       Micron PCM sales in mobile phone applications :                                 –    Hynix PCM development




                                                                                                  EM
                   for entry level mobiles and smart phones                                        –    Conclusions on PCM
           –       Mobile phone supply chain                                                  •   RRAM technology & forecast & players             217
           –       Conclusion on Mobile Applications
                                                                                                   –    RRAM technology description
•




                                                                                               PP
        Mass Storage NAND market                                                   144             –    RRAM market forecast in units, in $, in wafers
           –       Mass Storage NAND market                                                        –    RRAM Price evolution in $
           –       Mass Storage NAND market : mobiles devices drive growth                         –    RRAM players positioning and chip density roadmap




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           –       Mass Storage NAND market : Sandisk RRAM development                             –    RRAM material candidates
           –       NAND applications : Total Accessible Market                                     –    Cell and array configuration




                                                                                     EL
           –       Conclusions on Mass storage Nand Market                                         –    RRAM selector element : general constrains
           –       Conclusion on Enterprise Storage Applications                                   –    Rambus RRAM technology and roadmap
•       MRAM technology & forecast & players
           –
           –
                   MRAM and STT MRAM technologies
                   STT RAM : benefit from the manufacturing experience of HDD
                                                                                EV 151             –
                                                                                                   –
                                                                                                   –
                                                                                                        Adesto CBRAM development
                                                                                                        Samsung RRAM developments
                                                                                                        Micron – Elpida - Sony RRAM R&D
                                                                         D
           –       MRAM players positioning                                                        –    HP RRAM development
           –       STT MRAM chip density roadmap                                                   –    Hynix RRAM R&D
                                                             LE

           –       MRAM / STT MRAM market forecast in units, in $, in wafers                       –    SK Hynix profile
           –       MRAM / STT MRAM Price evolution in $                                            –    IMEC RRAM roadmap
                                                                                                   –    Sandisk RRAM development
                                                           YO



           –       MRAM market players : Everspin
           –       Samsung Electronics – Semiconductor activity                                    –    Macronix CBRAM and RRAM R&D
           –       STT RAM Samsung developments                                                    –    Panasonic RRAM R&D
           –       Qualcomm/ TSMC - STT MRAM developments                                          –    Conclusions on RRAM
           –       Micron STT MRAM developments                                               •   FeRAM market                                              263
           –       Hynix STT RAM development                                                       –    FeRAM technology
           –       Toshiba STT MRAM development                                                    –    FeRAM players
           –       Avalanche STT MRAM activity                                                     –    FeRAM roadmap
           –       IMEC STT MRAM roadmap                                                           –    FeRAM TAM
           –       Conclusions on MRAM / STT MRAM                                                  –    FRAM Research
•       PCM technology & forecast & players                                        182             –    Conclusions on FeRAM
           –       PCM technology description                                                 •   General Conclusions                                       275
           –       PCM market forecast in units, in $, in wafers



    © 2013 •   3                     Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Key features of the report
•       Present an overview of the semiconductor memory market
          –        NAND and DRAM main markets, market forecast, and main trends
          –        Current technological status and roadmap for the next years




                                                                                                         T
                                                                                                  EN
          –        Market players landscape

•       Provide an understanding of the emerging non volatile memory applications:




                                                                                          EM
          –        For five applications fields (Industrial & transportation, Smart Card, Enterprise Storage, Mobile phones,




                                                                                PP
                   Mass storage) : TAM, market drivers and challenges, technologies roadmap, players, main trends.
          –        Roadmap with time to market by application




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•



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        Present market forecasts on emerging non volatile memories business :
          –        2012-2018 Market Forecast in units, US$ and Number of wafers
          –        Price evolution by application and technology  EV
                                                              D
          –        Forecast for five applications and for four technologies (FRAM, MRAM/STTMRAM, PCM, RRAM)
                                                 LE


•       Describe the emerging NVM technologies
                                               YO



          –        Working principle, manufacturing methods, advantages/limitations, status of development, price, time to
                   market
          –        Roadmap with technological nodes, cell size and chip density evolution with main players
          –        Latest product developments status for each key market player

•       Describe and analyze the competitive landscape
          –        Recent acquisitions and funding
          –        Latest companies news
          –        Who are the key players by technologies and applications
    © 2013 •   4              Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Some definitions

•       Solid State Semiconductor Memory                                                                                 Solid State
                                                                                                                        Semiconductor
          –        An electronic data storage device, often                                                               Memory




                                                                                                       T
                   used as computer memory but also for




                                                                                                EN
                   many other applications :     consumer                                              Non Volatile
                                                                                                                                         Volatile
                   (camera..),     telecom,       industrial                                            Memories
                                                                                                                                        Memories




                                                                                        EM
                                                                                                         (NVM)
                   applications…




                                                                              PP
•       Volatile memories :                                                              Standard NVM             Emerging NVM               DRAM




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          –        Requires power to maintain the stored




                                                                       EL
                   information. Examples : DRAM, SRAM

•       Non volatile memories :                                 EV                             Flash NAND/
                                                                                                   NOR
                                                                                                                            FeRAM            SRAM
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          –        Can retain the stored information even
                                               LE


                   when not powered.
                                                                                                 NVSRAM                       PCM
                                             YO



          –        Most dominant NVM technology are based
                   on electron retention principle : Flash
                   NAND and NOR…
                                                                                                 EEPROM                     MRAM
•       Emerging Non Volatile Technology
          –        Emerging NVM are based on another
                   principle than electron retention and have                                                               RRAM
                   emerged since 10 years or are still under                                                                CBRAM
                   development
    © 2013 •   5            Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Application
                                  From 2012-2018 (in $ M)




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                                                                                       EN
                                                                               EM
                                                                     PP
                       Including Industrial & Car Transportation,
                        Embedded MCUs for Smart Card, Cache




                                                                    O
                         Memory for Enterprise Storage, Mobile
                                 phones, Mass storage




                                                              EL
                                                       EV
                                                   D
                                      LE
                                    YO




•       Emerging NVM market will grow at a CAGR of + 46 % with mobile phones, smart card
        and enterprise storage as main growth drivers.
    © 2013•   6    Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Emerging NVM Time to market by Application


  Mass
 Storage




                                                                                              T
                                                                                                                                        MRAM




                                                                                       EN
                                                                                                                                        PCM




                                                                               EM
  Mobile
  Phones




                                                                     PP
                                                                                                                                       RRAM




                                                                    O
  Cache                                                                                                                                FRAM




                                                              EL
 Memory
Enterprise
 storage
                                                       EV                                                                       •
                                                   D
                                                                                                                                    Commercial
                                                                                                                                    samples
                                      LE

Embedded                                                                                                                            availability
                                                                                                                                •   Real
  MCU
                                    YO



                                                                                                                                    production
Smart Card                                                                                                                          one year later



Industrial &
Automotive

                                                                                                                                    years

                2011         2012               2013              2014                2015               2016            2017
  © 2013•   7      Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Memories current position in 2012
                                                     Emerging memories                                                  Established memories

                         FRAM                MRAM / STT                      PCM                    RRAM                      DRAM          Flash




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                                               MRAM                                                                                         NAND




                                                                                          EN
   Non volatile            YES                       YES                      YES                      YES                      NO            YES




                                                                                  EM
    Endurance




                                                                        PP
                       High (1012)              High (1015)              Medium (108)            Medium (108)               High (1015)     Low (105)
    (Nb cycles)




                                                                       O
    2012 latest




                                                                 EL
  technological
                         130 nm                    130 nm                    45 nm                     R&D                     30 nm         20 nm
 node produced
       (nm)
     Cell size             Large
                                                          EV
                                              Large /Medium                                                                                Very small
                                                      D
                                                                        Medium (6-12)           Medium (6-12)               Small (6-10)
  (cell size in F2)       (15-20)                 (6-40)                                                                                       (4)
                                         LE


   Write speed           Medium                                                                     Medium                                    Low
                                                High (10 ns)           Medium (75 ns)                                       High (10 ns)
       (ns)              (100 ns)                                                                   (75 ns)                                (10 000 ns)
                                       YO




     Power
                           Low                    High/low                    Low                      Low                     Low          Very high
  consumption

           Cost            High                    High                     Medium                                                         Very Low ($
                                                                                                       R&D                  Low ($ 1/Gb)
          ($/Gb)      ($ 10 000 /Gb)        ($ 1000 - 100 /Gb)            (few $ /Gb)                                                        0,1/Gb)


• Emerging memories have distinctive technical features (endurance, speed, non volatility) but price
  and scalability is still an issue to compete with dominant memories.
© 2013•   8           Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Emerging NVM Applications

                                                   Emerging Non Volatile Memories




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                                                            applications




                                                                                           EN
                                                                                   EM
                                                                   Cache Memory
     Industry &                Embedded MCU                                                               Mobiles            Mass storage
                                                                   For Enterprise




                                                                         PP
   transportation               for Smart Card                                                            Phones               Memory
                                                                      storage




                                                                        O
                                                                  EL
                                                           EV
                                                       D
Industrial Automation
                                          LE


                                      SIM Card                         Journal Memory                Entry mobile phone          NAND
                                        YO



                                                                                                                                Memories

      Smart Meter




                                         ID Card                           Other
                                                                                                         Smart phones
                                                                        Cache Memory
          Automotive                                                     applications
© 2013•   9            Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Smart Card Application Description
•    Description :
          –    Smart card are any pocket-sized card with embedded integrated circuits. Smart cards can provide
               identification, authentication, data storage and application processing and thus may provide strong




                                                                                                   T
               security authentication for single sign-on (SSO) within large organizations.




                                                                                            EN
          –    Smart card ICs are Microcontrollers (MCU) that included a memory. Main smart card markets are Telecom
               SIM card, Payment, Identification/government. Other smaller market are public transportation, Healthcare,




                                                                                    EM
               schools…
          –    Emerging NVM will target at first the telecom SIM market who is more open to innovative technologies




                                                                          PP
               and with larger volumes. Then, after telecom proven qualification, Identication/government applications
               will be targeted.




                                                                         O
          –




                                                                   EL
               Smart card is one of the largest MCU market segment and the most attractive for emerging NVM because
               it is very sensitive to innovation and less stringent in terms of technical requirements.


•    Main market trends:
                                                            EV
                                                        D
          –    Telecom SIM : increased security needs with NFC payment introduction
                                           LE
                                         YO




•    Memory density need :
          –    High end telecom SIM : Between 400 k to 1,2 Mb


•    2012 accessible market for emerging NVM :
          –    High end telecom SIM : 690 M units, $ 207 M, CAGR 2012-2016 in units: + 25 %
          –    Identification/government : 300 M units, $ 150 M, CAGR 2012-2016 in units: + 25 %
•    Competing memory : Eflash NOR (130 to 80 nm node in 2012, 30 F2 cell size)

© 2013•   10            Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
MRAM players positioning
         2011 memory revenues
             of the company




                                                                                                 T
                                                                                          EN
     $ 10 B
                                                                                                                                     Joint




                                                                                  EM
                                                                                                                                     development




                                                                        PP
      $1B




                                                                       O
                                                                 EL
    $ 100 M
                                                          EV
                                                      D
                                         LE


      $ 10 M
                                       YO




                                                                                                                                   Entrance on the
                                                                                                                                   MRAM market
                     Past                          2012                               2015                                  2018
•       Up to now and for 2 years, start up MRAM companies are the first on the market but this will
        change after 2015 with the arrival of the TOP 4 memory makers. Qualcomm, Renesas and
        Infineon will target iembedded SoC applications.
    © 2013•   11      Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
RRAM market forecast in Number of wafers
                      (12” eq)




                                                                                            T
                                                                                     EN
                                                                             EM
                                                                   PP
                                                                  O
                                                            EL
                                                     EV                                                                CAGR 2012-2018
                                                                                                                                        160%
                                                 D
                                                                                                                                          0%
                                    LE

                                                                                                                              #DIV/0!
                                                                                                                              #DIV/0!
                                  YO



                                                                                                                                        89%
                                                                                                                                        79%


•     Mass storage is the killer application for RRAM that will just start to emerge in 2018
      before ramping up in the next decade.


© 2013•   12     Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Hynix PCM development

•       Hynix partner with IBM in June 2012 to accelerate PCM commercialization.
        Indeed, IBM has a long experience on PCM and specially 3D PCM.




                                                                                               T
•       2012 prototype : 1 Gb, 42 nm chip




                                                                                        EN
•       Hynix target power-efficient servers applications, so called storage class




                                                                                EM
        memories (SCMs)




                                                                      PP
                                                                     O
                                                               EL
                                                        EV
                                                    D
                                       LE
                                     YO




Source : Hynix Aug 2012
    © 2013•   13    Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
FeRAM roadmap

Chip maximum
density (Mbit)




                                                                                                    T
                                                                                             EN
                                                                                                                                  R&D
        10 000
                                                                                                                                 sample




                                                                                     EM
                                                                                                                               Commercial




                                                                           PP
                                                                                                                                samples
            1000




                                                                          O
                                                                                                                               Production




                                                                    EL
             100
                                                             EV
                                                         D
                                                                                                       8 Mb
                                            LE


                                                                                                  180 and 130 nm
                 10         4 Mb
                                          YO



                       180 and 130 nm


                 1



                 0.1                                                                                                            years
                         2010                2011             2012               2013              2014                2015
  © 2013•   14           Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Yole activities in MEMS
          Media business                                     Reports                                     Consulting services
  News feed / Magazines /                                       Market                                         Market research,
         Webcasts                                              Research                                      Technology & Strategy




                                                                                           T
                                                                                    EN
                                                                            EM
                                                                  PP
                                                                 O
                                                           EL
                                                                                                                            www.yole.fr



                                                    EV
                                                D
                                   LE
                                 YO




© 2013•   15    Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
Available MEMS Reports
                               Emerging Energy                    Status of the                      MEMS for Cell               RF Filters, PAs,
  3-Axis Consumer                                                                                                              Antenna Switches &
                                 Harvesting                       CMOS Image                          Phones and              Tunability for Cellular
    Gyroscopes
                                  Devices                           Sensors                             Tablets                     Handsets




                                                                                                   T
        New!                          New!                            New!                                New!                      New!




                                                                                            EN
                                                                                    EM
                                 Uncooled Infrared                                                                              Sensor fusion of
Technology Trends              Imaging: Commercial                IMU & Gyro for                    Infrared Detector
                                                                Defense, Aerospace                Market, Applications         acceleros, gyros &




                                                                          PP
for Inertials MEMS                  & Military
                                                                    & Industrial                 and Technology Trends          magnetometers
                                   Applications




                                                                         O
        New!                          New!


                                                                   EL
                                                                       New!
                                                            EV                                      Trends in MEMS            Motion Sensors for
                                                                                                                               Trends in MEMS
                                                        D
       MEMJET                          MEMS                         Ferro-Electric
                                                                                                    Manufacturing &           Consumer & Mobile
                                                                                                                               Manufacturing &
                                     Microphone                      Thin Films
                                           LE

                                                                                                       Packaging                 applications
                                                                                                                                  Packaging
                                         YO




                                                      MEMS Cosim+
               Thin Wafer                                MEMS                                            Permanent Wafer
                Handling                            Manufacturing Cost                                       Bonding
                                                     Simulation Tool




© 2012 16
© 2013• • 16            Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved

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Emerging Non-Volatile Memory Market and Technology Trends 2013 Report by Yole Developpement

  • 1. Emerging Non-Volatile Memories T EN EM PP O EL Everspin Micron EV Micron Adesto Samsung SK Hynix D LE Sample YO © 2013 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 2. Table of Contents (1/2) • Glossary • Industrial applications 98 • Companies Cited in this Report – Industrial Applications Description • Market Research Scope and Methodology & definitions • Smart Card market 101 – Smart Card Application Description • Executive Summary 10 – Global Smart Card Forecast :10 B units for 2017 • Acquisitions & Alliances : increasing flow of acquisitions and joint – Telecom SIM Card Market forecast and accessible market for emerging NVM developments on emerging NVM – Telecom SIM NFC Market T • Noteworthy News 2009 – 2012 24 – Government/ID card forecast EN – Smart Card supply chain • Standard memories market introduction 28 – Smart Card MCU market and players • NAND market overview 36 – Embedded Flash NOR current technology EM • DRAM market overview 46 – Main MCU smart card players : memory technologies and involvement in emerging NVM • Other “Niche” Memories overview 51 – Crocus Technology MLU (Magnetic Logic Unit) • Market Players Overview 61 PP – Smart Card Embedded memories technological roadmap of Key players • Emerging NVM overview 70 – Smartcard manufacturers – Emerging NVM segmentation – Conclusions on Smart Card application O – Density Evolution of Non Volatile Memories • Enterprise Storage applications 118 – Memories current position in 2012 – EL Enterprise Storage Application Description – Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Technologies From 2012-2018 (in $, in units, in – Infrastructure Servers applications are booming thanks to growing internet needs Nb of wafers 12” eq) – Cloud Data Centers Market is booming EV – Emerging NVM Strategy example : Hynix roadmap – Enterprise SSD market is booming – Emerging NVM roadmap : Cell size roadmap (stand alone devices) – Potential enterprise storage applications for emerging NVM at different level of – Emerging NVM chip maximum density roadmap (stand alone devices) the systems D – NVM Market players position – Impact of emerging NVM on enterprise storage systems – TOP three memory makers involvement in emerging NVM – Cache Memory for enterprise storage SSD : Skyera case study LE – Acquisitions & Alliances of the dominant memory players in Emerging Non – Enterprise storage supply chain Volatile Memories – Conclusion on Enterprise Storage Applications – Big challenge for emerging NVM : develop a 3D approach like for NAND and YO DRAM • Emerging NVM applications 86 – General Solid State Memory Applications – Emerging NVM applications : some definitions – Memories Specifications – Emerging NVM applications positioning – Emerging NVM Applications – Emerging NVM positioning by application and current memories used – Memory Density Requirements by applications – Emerging NVM Time to market by Application – Emerging NVM application analysis – Emerging Memories potential applications : density and price positioning – Emerging NVM key industrial players by application © 2013 • 2 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 3. Table of Contents (2/2) • Mobile phone applications 131 – PCM Price evolution in $ – Mobile Phone Application Description – PCM players positioning – Mobile phone forecast in Units – PCM roadmap and history of development – Smart Phone Memory will surge – PCM material – Mobile phone applications – PCM positioning compared to NAND and DRAM – Mobile phone application : SoC embedded – Micron profile – Smart Phone Power Consumption : memory has a huge impact for entry level – Micron roadmap Micron latest commercial product T phones – Micron PCM Development Trends – EN – Toshiba STT MRAM development Samsung PCM products and developments – NOR mobile phones embedded SiP applications and players – Embedded PCM ST Microelectronics development – Micron PCM sales in mobile phone applications : – Hynix PCM development EM for entry level mobiles and smart phones – Conclusions on PCM – Mobile phone supply chain • RRAM technology & forecast & players 217 – Conclusion on Mobile Applications – RRAM technology description • PP Mass Storage NAND market 144 – RRAM market forecast in units, in $, in wafers – Mass Storage NAND market – RRAM Price evolution in $ – Mass Storage NAND market : mobiles devices drive growth – RRAM players positioning and chip density roadmap O – Mass Storage NAND market : Sandisk RRAM development – RRAM material candidates – NAND applications : Total Accessible Market – Cell and array configuration EL – Conclusions on Mass storage Nand Market – RRAM selector element : general constrains – Conclusion on Enterprise Storage Applications – Rambus RRAM technology and roadmap • MRAM technology & forecast & players – – MRAM and STT MRAM technologies STT RAM : benefit from the manufacturing experience of HDD EV 151 – – – Adesto CBRAM development Samsung RRAM developments Micron – Elpida - Sony RRAM R&D D – MRAM players positioning – HP RRAM development – STT MRAM chip density roadmap – Hynix RRAM R&D LE – MRAM / STT MRAM market forecast in units, in $, in wafers – SK Hynix profile – MRAM / STT MRAM Price evolution in $ – IMEC RRAM roadmap – Sandisk RRAM development YO – MRAM market players : Everspin – Samsung Electronics – Semiconductor activity – Macronix CBRAM and RRAM R&D – STT RAM Samsung developments – Panasonic RRAM R&D – Qualcomm/ TSMC - STT MRAM developments – Conclusions on RRAM – Micron STT MRAM developments • FeRAM market 263 – Hynix STT RAM development – FeRAM technology – Toshiba STT MRAM development – FeRAM players – Avalanche STT MRAM activity – FeRAM roadmap – IMEC STT MRAM roadmap – FeRAM TAM – Conclusions on MRAM / STT MRAM – FRAM Research • PCM technology & forecast & players 182 – Conclusions on FeRAM – PCM technology description • General Conclusions 275 – PCM market forecast in units, in $, in wafers © 2013 • 3 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 4. Key features of the report • Present an overview of the semiconductor memory market – NAND and DRAM main markets, market forecast, and main trends – Current technological status and roadmap for the next years T EN – Market players landscape • Provide an understanding of the emerging non volatile memory applications: EM – For five applications fields (Industrial & transportation, Smart Card, Enterprise Storage, Mobile phones, PP Mass storage) : TAM, market drivers and challenges, technologies roadmap, players, main trends. – Roadmap with time to market by application O • EL Present market forecasts on emerging non volatile memories business : – 2012-2018 Market Forecast in units, US$ and Number of wafers – Price evolution by application and technology EV D – Forecast for five applications and for four technologies (FRAM, MRAM/STTMRAM, PCM, RRAM) LE • Describe the emerging NVM technologies YO – Working principle, manufacturing methods, advantages/limitations, status of development, price, time to market – Roadmap with technological nodes, cell size and chip density evolution with main players – Latest product developments status for each key market player • Describe and analyze the competitive landscape – Recent acquisitions and funding – Latest companies news – Who are the key players by technologies and applications © 2013 • 4 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 5. Some definitions • Solid State Semiconductor Memory Solid State Semiconductor – An electronic data storage device, often Memory T used as computer memory but also for EN many other applications : consumer Non Volatile Volatile (camera..), telecom, industrial Memories Memories EM (NVM) applications… PP • Volatile memories : Standard NVM Emerging NVM DRAM O – Requires power to maintain the stored EL information. Examples : DRAM, SRAM • Non volatile memories : EV Flash NAND/ NOR FeRAM SRAM D – Can retain the stored information even LE when not powered. NVSRAM PCM YO – Most dominant NVM technology are based on electron retention principle : Flash NAND and NOR… EEPROM MRAM • Emerging Non Volatile Technology – Emerging NVM are based on another principle than electron retention and have RRAM emerged since 10 years or are still under CBRAM development © 2013 • 5 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 6. Emerging NVM Market Forecast by Application From 2012-2018 (in $ M) T EN EM PP Including Industrial & Car Transportation, Embedded MCUs for Smart Card, Cache O Memory for Enterprise Storage, Mobile phones, Mass storage EL EV D LE YO • Emerging NVM market will grow at a CAGR of + 46 % with mobile phones, smart card and enterprise storage as main growth drivers. © 2013• 6 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 7. Emerging NVM Time to market by Application Mass Storage T MRAM EN PCM EM Mobile Phones PP RRAM O Cache FRAM EL Memory Enterprise storage EV • D Commercial samples LE Embedded availability • Real MCU YO production Smart Card one year later Industrial & Automotive years 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 © 2013• 7 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 8. Memories current position in 2012 Emerging memories Established memories FRAM MRAM / STT PCM RRAM DRAM Flash T MRAM NAND EN Non volatile YES YES YES YES NO YES EM Endurance PP High (1012) High (1015) Medium (108) Medium (108) High (1015) Low (105) (Nb cycles) O 2012 latest EL technological 130 nm 130 nm 45 nm R&D 30 nm 20 nm node produced (nm) Cell size Large EV Large /Medium Very small D Medium (6-12) Medium (6-12) Small (6-10) (cell size in F2) (15-20) (6-40) (4) LE Write speed Medium Medium Low High (10 ns) Medium (75 ns) High (10 ns) (ns) (100 ns) (75 ns) (10 000 ns) YO Power Low High/low Low Low Low Very high consumption Cost High High Medium Very Low ($ R&D Low ($ 1/Gb) ($/Gb) ($ 10 000 /Gb) ($ 1000 - 100 /Gb) (few $ /Gb) 0,1/Gb) • Emerging memories have distinctive technical features (endurance, speed, non volatility) but price and scalability is still an issue to compete with dominant memories. © 2013• 8 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 9. Emerging NVM Applications Emerging Non Volatile Memories T applications EN EM Cache Memory Industry & Embedded MCU Mobiles Mass storage For Enterprise PP transportation for Smart Card Phones Memory storage O EL EV D Industrial Automation LE SIM Card Journal Memory Entry mobile phone NAND YO Memories Smart Meter ID Card Other Smart phones Cache Memory Automotive applications © 2013• 9 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 10. Smart Card Application Description • Description : – Smart card are any pocket-sized card with embedded integrated circuits. Smart cards can provide identification, authentication, data storage and application processing and thus may provide strong T security authentication for single sign-on (SSO) within large organizations. EN – Smart card ICs are Microcontrollers (MCU) that included a memory. Main smart card markets are Telecom SIM card, Payment, Identification/government. Other smaller market are public transportation, Healthcare, EM schools… – Emerging NVM will target at first the telecom SIM market who is more open to innovative technologies PP and with larger volumes. Then, after telecom proven qualification, Identication/government applications will be targeted. O – EL Smart card is one of the largest MCU market segment and the most attractive for emerging NVM because it is very sensitive to innovation and less stringent in terms of technical requirements. • Main market trends: EV D – Telecom SIM : increased security needs with NFC payment introduction LE YO • Memory density need : – High end telecom SIM : Between 400 k to 1,2 Mb • 2012 accessible market for emerging NVM : – High end telecom SIM : 690 M units, $ 207 M, CAGR 2012-2016 in units: + 25 % – Identification/government : 300 M units, $ 150 M, CAGR 2012-2016 in units: + 25 % • Competing memory : Eflash NOR (130 to 80 nm node in 2012, 30 F2 cell size) © 2013• 10 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 11. MRAM players positioning 2011 memory revenues of the company T EN $ 10 B Joint EM development PP $1B O EL $ 100 M EV D LE $ 10 M YO Entrance on the MRAM market Past 2012 2015 2018 • Up to now and for 2 years, start up MRAM companies are the first on the market but this will change after 2015 with the arrival of the TOP 4 memory makers. Qualcomm, Renesas and Infineon will target iembedded SoC applications. © 2013• 11 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 12. RRAM market forecast in Number of wafers (12” eq) T EN EM PP O EL EV CAGR 2012-2018 160% D 0% LE #DIV/0! #DIV/0! YO 89% 79% • Mass storage is the killer application for RRAM that will just start to emerge in 2018 before ramping up in the next decade. © 2013• 12 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 13. Hynix PCM development • Hynix partner with IBM in June 2012 to accelerate PCM commercialization. Indeed, IBM has a long experience on PCM and specially 3D PCM. T • 2012 prototype : 1 Gb, 42 nm chip EN • Hynix target power-efficient servers applications, so called storage class EM memories (SCMs) PP O EL EV D LE YO Source : Hynix Aug 2012 © 2013• 13 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 14. FeRAM roadmap Chip maximum density (Mbit) T EN R&D 10 000 sample EM Commercial PP samples 1000 O Production EL 100 EV D 8 Mb LE 180 and 130 nm 10 4 Mb YO 180 and 130 nm 1 0.1 years 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 © 2013• 14 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 15. Yole activities in MEMS Media business Reports Consulting services News feed / Magazines / Market Market research, Webcasts Research Technology & Strategy T EN EM PP O EL www.yole.fr EV D LE YO © 2013• 15 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved
  • 16. Available MEMS Reports Emerging Energy Status of the MEMS for Cell RF Filters, PAs, 3-Axis Consumer Antenna Switches & Harvesting CMOS Image Phones and Tunability for Cellular Gyroscopes Devices Sensors Tablets Handsets T New! New! New! New! New! EN EM Uncooled Infrared Sensor fusion of Technology Trends Imaging: Commercial IMU & Gyro for Infrared Detector Defense, Aerospace Market, Applications acceleros, gyros & PP for Inertials MEMS & Military & Industrial and Technology Trends magnetometers Applications O New! New! EL New! EV Trends in MEMS Motion Sensors for Trends in MEMS D MEMJET MEMS Ferro-Electric Manufacturing & Consumer & Mobile Manufacturing & Microphone Thin Films LE Packaging applications Packaging YO MEMS Cosim+ Thin Wafer MEMS Permanent Wafer Handling Manufacturing Cost Bonding Simulation Tool © 2012 16 © 2013• • 16 Emerging Non Volatile Memories 2013 report Copyright © Yole Developpement SARL – All right reserved