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2nd National Conference on Management and Higher Education 
Trends & Strategies for Management & Administration 
The Harsh Reality of Pursuing Innovations: 
Emerging Market Perspectives 
Quan Hoang Vuong, Ph.D. 
Centre Emile Bernheim, Université Libre de Bruxelles (Belgium) 
DHVP Research (Vietnam) 
E-mail: qvuong@ulb.ac.be
Resource Curse 
The probability of “poor-performance event” conditional on overemphasis on capital 
resource AND physical assets in absence of “innovation innovation” factor is extremely high: ~98% 
following Vuong & Napier (2014)(*). Pursuit of “capital” has much stronger effect on 
increased riskiness. We call it “transition turmoil”. 
* 
(*)Vuong, Q.H., and Napier, N.K. (2014). Resource curse or destructive creation in transition: 
evidence from Vietnam’s corporate sector. Management Research Review, 37(7), 642-657.
The Growth Engine 
• Entrepreneurial Efforts 
– Disciplined process of 
creating knowledge 
• Innovation Capacity 
– Continuous innovation
Entrepreneurship & Innovation: 
the Best‐fit Predictor 
Orientation 
Resource Prospect Total 
Failure Rent-seeking 8 29 37 
Innovation 0 10 10 
Fraud Rent-seeking 181 19 200 
Innovation 5 4 9 
194 62 256 
Business Approach: Rent-seeking vs. Innovation-making 
Corporate Orientation: Tapping out resources vs. Seeking prospective markets 
M&A Acquiring Pursuit: Assets & brands vs. Innovation Capacity & willingness
Some evidence 
• The evidence tells about results of a model where 
– The dummy variable x1 represents “pursuit of physical resources” 
– The probability π represents a conditional probability of “fraud” when 
x1=TRUE 
• Remarks: 
– Pursuit of ““resource”” increases the risk of becoming a financial fraud 
– The probability is staggering: almost 96% 
– Both “rent-seeking” and “resource” together become significant, and their 
“interaction” has a influence on increasing risk level, collectively leading the 
probability to almost 97%.
“Innovation” factor 
• Innovation can enter the equation as a factor that hedges against the 
increasing risk of poor performance and/or frauds. 
• Innovation helps reduce the problem of resource misallocation, and 
mitigate the adverse effect on “resource curse” problem. 
• Unfortunately, it has not been widely accepted or adopted due largely to 
myopic management and short-termism in today’s business world. 
• Some major issues: 
– Clichés 
– Half-hearted pursuit and arbitrary implementation 
– Absence of an appropriate ecosystem 
– Outside of strategic determination 
– Measurement issues
3D Conceptual Design for Innovation Process
Aha!Moment, Serendipity and 3D Methods 
• Aha!Moment 
– Long‐standing problems that are well researched 
– Step by step iterations 
– Solutions arrive at a critical time 
• Serendipity as a strategic advantage 
– Noticing unexpected info including new data and strange patterns 
– Flash evaluation based on built knowledge base, experience and sense 
– Connecting the dots 
• 3‐Disciplines approach 
– Out‐of‐discipline search for ideas/concepts 
– Best expertise in the discipline 
– Best practices in applying disciplined process in making innovation 
– Both Aha!Moment and Serendipity approaches are used in 3‐D 
– Multiple filters processes & concept of “mindsponge”
“Je ne cherche pas, je trouve”
Einstein: Information is NOT Knowledge
Inclusive Innovation Metrics 
Academic Institutions Strategic Advisor Business Associations 
Market Testing: 
Feb. – May 2014 
Advisory Services: 
Since June 2014
Survey 
• 40 firms from 11 provinces 
– 24/40 larger (total assets greater than US$4.7 million); 16/40 smaller 
– Total annual revenue of approx. US$2 billion 
– Estimated growth rate (average) ~15% 
– Employing 35,000 workers 
• Sample expected to increase 
• Increasing awareness and supports from governmental agencies 
• Improved coordination and implementation 
• Part of CSR
i2Metrix: Expanding Survey Sample 
19 Firms 25 Firms 40 Firms 
O t t 
Output 
9.0 
C-Readiness Differentiation 
8.0 
Implementation 7.0 Trend-setting 
6.0 
Mindsponge Innovator 
Multi-Filtering F-Resources 
Supports
i2Metrix: Large vs. Small Firms 
i2M Large Size i2M Small Size 
Output 
9.0 
8.0 
p 
C-Readiness Differentiation 
Implementation 7.0 Trend-setting 
6.0 
Mindsponge Innovator 
Multi-Filtering F-Resources 
Supports
“Mindsponge”: Learn and Unlearn Values
Multi‐Filtering & Mindsponge: 
Dimensions of Innovation Capacity 
Histogram of Multi-Filtering Histogram of Mindsponge
Firm’s Pursuit of Innovation 
10 
9 
8 
7 
Measure 
6 
i2M 
5 
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 
Firm
i2Metrix: On‐going Experiment 
i2M Team interviewing corporate 
managers 
i2M Team at International 
Innovation Business Forum 
Participants include Vietnam’s 
Science and Technology Minister, 
Swiss Ambassador to Vietnam, 
international researchers, and 
corporate executives.
Remarks 
• Innovation capacity is NOT about “slogans,” “PR campaigns” or clichés. 
– Investment in HRM, information process, strategic management, 
entrepreneurial orientation, even if the firms undertaking it are well established. 
• Overexcitement may create pitfalls for not just startups and young SMEs, 
but also established firms 
– due to uncontrollability of the process and high degree of uncertainty of a 
typical process of making, adopting and diffusing new innovations. 
• Methods for better management of the innovation process are a critical 
requirement for firms in their “innovating time” 
– Measurement and benchmarking components that help to identify areas of 
weakness and pitfalls, and to avoid “innovation curse” whenever possible. 
• Market as the determining factor 
– Innovators’’ assumption and illusion about market opportunities are a major 
source of risk 
– Innovation has its context and “innovativeness” has to fit a context, given 
realistic market demand.
Agenda 
• TIGERS@Mekong 
– http://tuoitrenews.vn/business/12647/tigersmekong-strategy-meeting-held-in-hcmc 
• Streamlining i2Metrix framework 
• Expanding survey / focusing on “entrepreneurship + innovation” 
• Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam
Thanks 
• Participants at the conference and the organizers 
• Participatory firms and their managers in the i2Metrix program 
• Advisers and colleagues: 
– Mr. Dang Le Nguyen Vu (Trung Nguyen Coffee Group), 
– Dr. Nancy K. Napier (Boise State University), 
– Dr. Dolly Samson (Stamford Intl University), 
– Mr. Mike Ducker (J.E. Austin Associates), 
– Mr. Tran Tri Dung and DHVP Research, 
– Mrs. Vu Kim Hanh and BSA staff.

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The Harsh Reality of Pursuing Innovations: Emerging Market Perspectives

  • 1. 2nd National Conference on Management and Higher Education Trends & Strategies for Management & Administration The Harsh Reality of Pursuing Innovations: Emerging Market Perspectives Quan Hoang Vuong, Ph.D. Centre Emile Bernheim, Université Libre de Bruxelles (Belgium) DHVP Research (Vietnam) E-mail: qvuong@ulb.ac.be
  • 2. Resource Curse The probability of “poor-performance event” conditional on overemphasis on capital resource AND physical assets in absence of “innovation innovation” factor is extremely high: ~98% following Vuong & Napier (2014)(*). Pursuit of “capital” has much stronger effect on increased riskiness. We call it “transition turmoil”. * (*)Vuong, Q.H., and Napier, N.K. (2014). Resource curse or destructive creation in transition: evidence from Vietnam’s corporate sector. Management Research Review, 37(7), 642-657.
  • 3. The Growth Engine • Entrepreneurial Efforts – Disciplined process of creating knowledge • Innovation Capacity – Continuous innovation
  • 4. Entrepreneurship & Innovation: the Best‐fit Predictor Orientation Resource Prospect Total Failure Rent-seeking 8 29 37 Innovation 0 10 10 Fraud Rent-seeking 181 19 200 Innovation 5 4 9 194 62 256 Business Approach: Rent-seeking vs. Innovation-making Corporate Orientation: Tapping out resources vs. Seeking prospective markets M&A Acquiring Pursuit: Assets & brands vs. Innovation Capacity & willingness
  • 5. Some evidence • The evidence tells about results of a model where – The dummy variable x1 represents “pursuit of physical resources” – The probability π represents a conditional probability of “fraud” when x1=TRUE • Remarks: – Pursuit of ““resource”” increases the risk of becoming a financial fraud – The probability is staggering: almost 96% – Both “rent-seeking” and “resource” together become significant, and their “interaction” has a influence on increasing risk level, collectively leading the probability to almost 97%.
  • 6. “Innovation” factor • Innovation can enter the equation as a factor that hedges against the increasing risk of poor performance and/or frauds. • Innovation helps reduce the problem of resource misallocation, and mitigate the adverse effect on “resource curse” problem. • Unfortunately, it has not been widely accepted or adopted due largely to myopic management and short-termism in today’s business world. • Some major issues: – Clichés – Half-hearted pursuit and arbitrary implementation – Absence of an appropriate ecosystem – Outside of strategic determination – Measurement issues
  • 7. 3D Conceptual Design for Innovation Process
  • 8. Aha!Moment, Serendipity and 3D Methods • Aha!Moment – Long‐standing problems that are well researched – Step by step iterations – Solutions arrive at a critical time • Serendipity as a strategic advantage – Noticing unexpected info including new data and strange patterns – Flash evaluation based on built knowledge base, experience and sense – Connecting the dots • 3‐Disciplines approach – Out‐of‐discipline search for ideas/concepts – Best expertise in the discipline – Best practices in applying disciplined process in making innovation – Both Aha!Moment and Serendipity approaches are used in 3‐D – Multiple filters processes & concept of “mindsponge”
  • 9. “Je ne cherche pas, je trouve”
  • 10. Einstein: Information is NOT Knowledge
  • 11. Inclusive Innovation Metrics Academic Institutions Strategic Advisor Business Associations Market Testing: Feb. – May 2014 Advisory Services: Since June 2014
  • 12. Survey • 40 firms from 11 provinces – 24/40 larger (total assets greater than US$4.7 million); 16/40 smaller – Total annual revenue of approx. US$2 billion – Estimated growth rate (average) ~15% – Employing 35,000 workers • Sample expected to increase • Increasing awareness and supports from governmental agencies • Improved coordination and implementation • Part of CSR
  • 13. i2Metrix: Expanding Survey Sample 19 Firms 25 Firms 40 Firms O t t Output 9.0 C-Readiness Differentiation 8.0 Implementation 7.0 Trend-setting 6.0 Mindsponge Innovator Multi-Filtering F-Resources Supports
  • 14. i2Metrix: Large vs. Small Firms i2M Large Size i2M Small Size Output 9.0 8.0 p C-Readiness Differentiation Implementation 7.0 Trend-setting 6.0 Mindsponge Innovator Multi-Filtering F-Resources Supports
  • 15. “Mindsponge”: Learn and Unlearn Values
  • 16. Multi‐Filtering & Mindsponge: Dimensions of Innovation Capacity Histogram of Multi-Filtering Histogram of Mindsponge
  • 17. Firm’s Pursuit of Innovation 10 9 8 7 Measure 6 i2M 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Firm
  • 18. i2Metrix: On‐going Experiment i2M Team interviewing corporate managers i2M Team at International Innovation Business Forum Participants include Vietnam’s Science and Technology Minister, Swiss Ambassador to Vietnam, international researchers, and corporate executives.
  • 19. Remarks • Innovation capacity is NOT about “slogans,” “PR campaigns” or clichés. – Investment in HRM, information process, strategic management, entrepreneurial orientation, even if the firms undertaking it are well established. • Overexcitement may create pitfalls for not just startups and young SMEs, but also established firms – due to uncontrollability of the process and high degree of uncertainty of a typical process of making, adopting and diffusing new innovations. • Methods for better management of the innovation process are a critical requirement for firms in their “innovating time” – Measurement and benchmarking components that help to identify areas of weakness and pitfalls, and to avoid “innovation curse” whenever possible. • Market as the determining factor – Innovators’’ assumption and illusion about market opportunities are a major source of risk – Innovation has its context and “innovativeness” has to fit a context, given realistic market demand.
  • 20. Agenda • TIGERS@Mekong – http://tuoitrenews.vn/business/12647/tigersmekong-strategy-meeting-held-in-hcmc • Streamlining i2Metrix framework • Expanding survey / focusing on “entrepreneurship + innovation” • Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam
  • 21. Thanks • Participants at the conference and the organizers • Participatory firms and their managers in the i2Metrix program • Advisers and colleagues: – Mr. Dang Le Nguyen Vu (Trung Nguyen Coffee Group), – Dr. Nancy K. Napier (Boise State University), – Dr. Dolly Samson (Stamford Intl University), – Mr. Mike Ducker (J.E. Austin Associates), – Mr. Tran Tri Dung and DHVP Research, – Mrs. Vu Kim Hanh and BSA staff.