13. There were lots of people helping
other people
Source: CAAAV
13
14. FEMA June 2013 Flood Maps
100-YEAR FLOODPLAIN*
1983
FIRMs
2013
PWMs
Change
(%)
Residents
218,000
398,000
82%
Jobs
214,000
271,000
27%
Buildings
36,000
68,000
89%
Floor Area
(SF)
377M
534M
42%
100-Year Floodplain: V Zone (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
100-Year Floodplain: A Zone (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
500-Year Floodplain (FEMA 2013 PWMs)
* Numbers are rounded for clarity
CONFIDENTIAL
14
15. Flood Maps in 2020s and 2050s
100-YEAR FLOODPLAIN*
2013
PWMs
398,000
801,000
101%
Jobs
271,000
430,000
59%
Buildings
68,000
114,000
68%
Floor Area
(SF)
* Numbers are rounded for clarity
Change
(%)
Residents
CONFIDENTIAL
2050s
Projected
534M
855M
60%
15
16. Top Ten High-Water Events at the Battery, 1900-2012
Note:
Among top 10 high
water marks at the
Battery since 1900, all
are post-1950
Sandy eclipsed the previous record, set in 1960, by almost 40%
Source: UCAR/ NCAR, NOAA
CONFIDENTIAL
16
17. Cost and Likelihood of Future Storms
Likelihood of a $19B
storm (like Sandy) will
grow 17% by the 2020s
and 40% by the 2050s
~$90B
~$35B
1/50
~$19B
1/60
Likely loss of 1/70-year
storm (like Sandy) will
grow to $35B by the
2020s and $90B by the
2050s (in current
dollars)
1/70
Likelihood of Damage (%) (Return Period, 50 = 1/50 years)
Source: Swiss Re model
CONFIDENTIAL
17
38. BLENDING RESILIENCY INTO DESIGN
Retreat
Redundancy
Hardening
Accommodation
Habitat
Restoration
Biodiversity
Climate Adaptation
Water Quality
Outdoor Recreation
Waterfront Access
Open Space
39. BLENDING RESILIENCY INTO DESIGN
Accommodation
Hardening
Habitat Restoration
Water Quality
Waterfront Access
Open Space
Resiliency
Sustainability
Resiliency is not the sole driver…
64. Communities devastated by Sandy
continue to suffer from isolation from
discussions about recovery and
resilience.
Proposal: establish long-term local
hubs integrating recovery assistance
(like Build It Back), agency services (like
building permits) and facilitation of
long-term planning for resilience.
68. Priorities
for Creating
a Livable
and
Resilient
New York
City
Mobilize Existing Resources
and Diverse Expertise.
Strengthen Local Capacities.
Invest In Flexible And Adaptive
Infrastructure.
Lead With Policies That
Sustain Resilience.