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The	
  Ninefold	
  Path	
  to	
  
Marke2ng	
  Transforma2on	
  
Bill	
  Harvey	
  
March	
  3,	
  2015	
  
2
Confiden'al	
  
•  Sophis2cated	
  
The	
  Good	
  News	
  
The	
  Bad	
  News	
  
•  Fear	
  for	
  job	
  
•  TV	
  Share	
  might	
  shrink	
  
The	
  Solu2on	
  
•  Prove	
  to	
  client	
  that	
  you	
  caused	
  his/her	
  
sales	
  to	
  go	
  up	
  
	
   More	
  Good	
  News	
  
•  That	
  proof	
  is	
  now	
  easily	
  available	
  
•  Can	
  be	
  bundled	
  into	
  buys	
  
•  Silos	
  
•  Herd	
  mentality	
  
	
  
•  Nimble	
  
The	
  State	
  of	
  the	
  Industry	
  
3
Confiden'al	
  
2007-­‐2015	
  Learnings	
  from	
  Real-­‐Data	
  Singlesource	
  
§  ROI	
  on	
  adver,sing	
  can	
  be	
  doubled	
  and	
  tripled	
  
§  Within	
  months	
  one	
  can	
  change	
  crea,ve	
  that	
  is	
  not	
  
selling	
  
§  At	
  same	
  price	
  one	
  can	
  buy	
  media	
  that	
  over-­‐delivers	
  
the	
  people	
  who	
  are	
  buying	
  in	
  response	
  to	
  current	
  
crea,ve	
  
28%	
  
233%	
  
25%	
  
81%	
  
25%	
  
35%	
  
10%	
  
33%	
   27%	
  
0%	
  
50%	
  
100%	
  
150%	
  
200%	
  
250%	
  
Woodbridge	
   Blackbox	
   KraW	
  1	
   KraW	
  2	
   Mars	
  1	
   Mars	
  2	
   Mediavest	
  
Low	
  
Mediavest	
  
High	
  
Rx	
  X	
  
Sales	
  Li?	
  
4
Confiden'al	
  
Note: Penetration calculated based on buyers / total group (including non-buyers) and is reported at the brand-level
TV	
  Sales	
  LiW	
  Stronger	
  Than	
  Digital	
  	
  
§  Households	
  exposed	
  to	
  both	
  TV	
  and	
  Digital	
  have	
  the	
  highest	
  
sales	
  li?,	
  per	
  TRA	
  with	
  the	
  largest	
  crossmedia	
  sample	
  
1.6%	
  
2.6%	
  
10.6%	
  
7.7%	
  
3.5%	
  
12.4%	
  
9.1%	
  
3.8%	
  
0%	
  
2%	
  
4%	
  
6%	
  
8%	
  
10%	
  
12%	
  
14%	
  
Sales	
  UpliW	
  (All	
  Exposed	
  
HHs)	
  
Penetra2on	
   Sales	
  UpliW	
  (Buying	
  HHs)	
  
Digital	
  Only	
  (54k	
  
HHs)	
  
TV	
  Only	
  (274k	
  HHs)	
  
Both	
  TV	
  &	
  Digital	
  
(84k	
  HHs)	
  
•  Note	
  the	
  rela,vely	
  low	
  effects	
  of	
  Digital-­‐Only	
  
5
Confiden'al	
  
The	
  Failed	
  Way	
  to	
  Buy	
  Media	
  
§  Sex-­‐Age	
  CPM	
  
§  Sprinkle	
  of	
  fusion	
  
§  Sex-­‐Age	
  Reach	
  Op,miza,on	
  
§  Rota,ons	
  
§  Gut	
  highrated	
  component	
  
§  Sprinkle	
  of	
  integra,on/sponsorship	
  
§  MMM	
  “low	
  ROI”	
  à	
  Change	
  CMOs	
  and	
  move	
  $	
  out	
  of	
  
TV	
  into	
  digital	
  
6
Confiden'al	
  
The	
  Way	
  that	
  Leaders	
  Now	
  Use	
  
§  Real-­‐Data	
  Singlesource	
  Decision	
  making	
  
§  Know	
  by	
  sales	
  proof:	
  
§  Right	
  Purchaser	
  Target	
  
§  Right	
  Crea,ve	
  
§  Right	
  Frequency	
  
§  Right	
  Media	
  
§  A/B	
  Tes,ng	
  within	
  Digital	
  
§  Op,miza,on	
  within	
  TV,	
  and	
  within	
  Digital	
  
§  Increasingly	
  automate	
  
7
Confiden'al	
  
Where	
  It	
  Goes	
  Next	
  
§  ROI	
  Op,miza,on	
  within	
  Crossmedia	
  
§  A/B	
  Tes,ng	
  within	
  Crossmedia	
  
§  Fully	
  Automated	
  except	
  for	
  premium/package	
  
nego,a,on	
  
§  More	
  Integra,on/Custom	
  Content/Cause	
  
8
Confiden'al	
  
The	
  Ninefold	
  Path	
  Has	
  Definite	
  Sequence	
  
1.  Set	
  Size	
  &	
  Mix	
  of	
  Budget	
  based	
  on	
  Op,mal	
  ROI	
  
Frequency	
  and	
  Con,nuity	
  –	
  Roll	
  Out	
  Gradually	
  if	
  
necessary	
  
2.  Iden,fy	
  and	
  Use	
  ROI	
  Li?-­‐Maximizing	
  Purchaser	
  Target	
  
3.  Iden,fy	
  and	
  Use	
  ROI	
  Li?-­‐Maximizing	
  Crea,ve	
  
4.  Op,mize	
  Purchaser	
  Target	
  R/F	
  Media	
  
5.  Leverage	
  Growth	
  Geos	
  	
  
6.  Use	
  Feedback	
  Loop	
  Crea,ve	
  Freshening	
  –	
  Understand	
  
crea,ve	
  in	
  depth	
  for	
  first	
  ,me,	
  by	
  metatagging	
  
7.  Use	
  Integra,on/Becoming	
  The	
  Program	
  
8.  Use	
  Fast	
  Con,nuous	
  Media/Crea,ve	
  Reop,miza,on	
  
9.  Use	
  Full	
  Automa,on	
  except	
  for	
  the	
  Crea,vity	
  
9
Confiden'al	
  
Areas	
  of	
  Opportunity	
  for	
  ALL	
  Detergent	
  
Hy-­‐Ops	
  
Markets	
  
Hy-­‐Ops	
  
Zones	
  
Hy-­‐Ops	
  
Zips	
  
10
Confiden'al	
  
Metatagging	
  Penetrates	
  the	
  Mystery	
  of	
  Crea2ve	
  
The	
  R	
  Square	
  (frac,on	
  of	
  variance	
  in	
  ra,ngs	
  accounted	
  for,	
  where	
  1=perfect)	
  
was	
  highest	
  for	
  Values	
  DTags	
  in	
  concert	
  with	
  average	
  network	
  ra,ngs	
  –	
  in	
  
prac,ce	
  all	
  DTags	
  are	
  used	
  together	
  causing	
  an	
  even	
  higher	
  R	
  Squared	
  
.61191	
  
.53458	
  
Plus	
  network	
  average	
  prime2me	
  ra2ng	
  
0	
  
0.1	
  
0.2	
  
0.3	
  
0.4	
  
0.5	
  
0.6	
  
0.7	
  
0.8	
  
0.9	
  
Pgm.	
  Descriptor	
  DTags	
   Feelings	
  &	
  Emos	
  DTags	
   Values	
  DTags	
  
R	
  Square	
  
R	
  Square	
  
.81484	
  

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The Ninefold Path to Marketing Transformation, Bill Harvey

  • 1. The  Ninefold  Path  to   Marke2ng  Transforma2on   Bill  Harvey   March  3,  2015  
  • 2. 2 Confiden'al   •  Sophis2cated   The  Good  News   The  Bad  News   •  Fear  for  job   •  TV  Share  might  shrink   The  Solu2on   •  Prove  to  client  that  you  caused  his/her   sales  to  go  up     More  Good  News   •  That  proof  is  now  easily  available   •  Can  be  bundled  into  buys   •  Silos   •  Herd  mentality     •  Nimble   The  State  of  the  Industry  
  • 3. 3 Confiden'al   2007-­‐2015  Learnings  from  Real-­‐Data  Singlesource   §  ROI  on  adver,sing  can  be  doubled  and  tripled   §  Within  months  one  can  change  crea,ve  that  is  not   selling   §  At  same  price  one  can  buy  media  that  over-­‐delivers   the  people  who  are  buying  in  response  to  current   crea,ve   28%   233%   25%   81%   25%   35%   10%   33%   27%   0%   50%   100%   150%   200%   250%   Woodbridge   Blackbox   KraW  1   KraW  2   Mars  1   Mars  2   Mediavest   Low   Mediavest   High   Rx  X   Sales  Li?  
  • 4. 4 Confiden'al   Note: Penetration calculated based on buyers / total group (including non-buyers) and is reported at the brand-level TV  Sales  LiW  Stronger  Than  Digital     §  Households  exposed  to  both  TV  and  Digital  have  the  highest   sales  li?,  per  TRA  with  the  largest  crossmedia  sample   1.6%   2.6%   10.6%   7.7%   3.5%   12.4%   9.1%   3.8%   0%   2%   4%   6%   8%   10%   12%   14%   Sales  UpliW  (All  Exposed   HHs)   Penetra2on   Sales  UpliW  (Buying  HHs)   Digital  Only  (54k   HHs)   TV  Only  (274k  HHs)   Both  TV  &  Digital   (84k  HHs)   •  Note  the  rela,vely  low  effects  of  Digital-­‐Only  
  • 5. 5 Confiden'al   The  Failed  Way  to  Buy  Media   §  Sex-­‐Age  CPM   §  Sprinkle  of  fusion   §  Sex-­‐Age  Reach  Op,miza,on   §  Rota,ons   §  Gut  highrated  component   §  Sprinkle  of  integra,on/sponsorship   §  MMM  “low  ROI”  à  Change  CMOs  and  move  $  out  of   TV  into  digital  
  • 6. 6 Confiden'al   The  Way  that  Leaders  Now  Use   §  Real-­‐Data  Singlesource  Decision  making   §  Know  by  sales  proof:   §  Right  Purchaser  Target   §  Right  Crea,ve   §  Right  Frequency   §  Right  Media   §  A/B  Tes,ng  within  Digital   §  Op,miza,on  within  TV,  and  within  Digital   §  Increasingly  automate  
  • 7. 7 Confiden'al   Where  It  Goes  Next   §  ROI  Op,miza,on  within  Crossmedia   §  A/B  Tes,ng  within  Crossmedia   §  Fully  Automated  except  for  premium/package   nego,a,on   §  More  Integra,on/Custom  Content/Cause  
  • 8. 8 Confiden'al   The  Ninefold  Path  Has  Definite  Sequence   1.  Set  Size  &  Mix  of  Budget  based  on  Op,mal  ROI   Frequency  and  Con,nuity  –  Roll  Out  Gradually  if   necessary   2.  Iden,fy  and  Use  ROI  Li?-­‐Maximizing  Purchaser  Target   3.  Iden,fy  and  Use  ROI  Li?-­‐Maximizing  Crea,ve   4.  Op,mize  Purchaser  Target  R/F  Media   5.  Leverage  Growth  Geos     6.  Use  Feedback  Loop  Crea,ve  Freshening  –  Understand   crea,ve  in  depth  for  first  ,me,  by  metatagging   7.  Use  Integra,on/Becoming  The  Program   8.  Use  Fast  Con,nuous  Media/Crea,ve  Reop,miza,on   9.  Use  Full  Automa,on  except  for  the  Crea,vity  
  • 9. 9 Confiden'al   Areas  of  Opportunity  for  ALL  Detergent   Hy-­‐Ops   Markets   Hy-­‐Ops   Zones   Hy-­‐Ops   Zips  
  • 10. 10 Confiden'al   Metatagging  Penetrates  the  Mystery  of  Crea2ve   The  R  Square  (frac,on  of  variance  in  ra,ngs  accounted  for,  where  1=perfect)   was  highest  for  Values  DTags  in  concert  with  average  network  ra,ngs  –  in   prac,ce  all  DTags  are  used  together  causing  an  even  higher  R  Squared   .61191   .53458   Plus  network  average  prime2me  ra2ng   0   0.1   0.2   0.3   0.4   0.5   0.6   0.7   0.8   0.9   Pgm.  Descriptor  DTags   Feelings  &  Emos  DTags   Values  DTags   R  Square   R  Square   .81484