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South Korea
“The Miracle on the Han River”
Group:
Rashid Abdullah
Raja Shoaib Akber
Abdul Aleem
Choudhary
Azhar Ali
International Political
Economy
How South Korea escaped poverty and
became one of the richest countries in the
world?
As recently as the early 1960s South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong (the “Asian Tigers”) were
considered to be a part of the third world. Since the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, praise of the “Asian Miracle” has
dwindled in academia, yet the Tigers still stand as rare examples of states which have successfully “developed” in a
manner no one could have predicted 50 years ago – and at a considerably faster rate than any of our current
efforts at third-world development seem to be proceeding.
The Asian Tigers
Republic of Korea
Government: Unitary
Presidential
Constitutional Republic
Population: 51 Million
2014
HDI: 0.891 Very High
GDP 2014: $1.790
Trillion
Republic of Singapore
Government: Unitary
Presidential
Constitutional Republic
Population: 5.5 Million
2014
HDI: 0.901 Very High
GDP 2014: $297.941
Billion
Hong Kong
Government: Special
Administrative Region
Population: 7.2 Million
2014
HDI: 0.891 Very High
GDP 2014: $ 400.607
Billion
Taiwan (Republic of
China)
Government: Unitary
Semi-Presidential
Constitutional Republic
Population: 23 Million
2013
HDI: 0.890 Very High
GDP 2014: $ 517.019
Billion
History of South Korea
First Republic
(1948-1960)
Also called the Republic of Korea (ROK). South Korea has been an independent
Constitutional Republic since its liberation from Japan on August 15, 1945.
Republic of Korea marked by Alternating periods of democratic and Autocratic
rules as fellow:
Second
Republic
(1960-1961)
Military Rule
(1961-1963)
Third Republic
(1963-1972)
Fifth
Republic
(1981-1987)
Fourth
Republic
(1972-1981)
Sixth Republic
(1987-
Present)
USAMGIK
(1945-1948)
Under the First Republic
 First President of South Korea (1945-1960)
 Anti-Communist
 Events under the First Republic of South Korea. South
Koreas first independent government, ruling the country
from 1945 to1960-the Syngman Rhee administration.
 The government took in vast sums of American Aid in
amounts sometimes near the total size of the national
budget. (Corrupt and inefficient government of ROK)
Major Events occurred during first Republic
 Land reform
 The Korean War
1960 - student demonstrations ousted Syngman Rhee from
presidency
Syngman Rhee (1875-1965)
Power Production plummeted down to a miserable level of 11 thousand
KHz, about one-eighth of the earlier production level of 80 thousand MHz
Capitalist VS Communist
The
Korean
WarAt the start of the
Cold War,
Communist North
Korea Went to war
with its Capitalist
neighbor . The
bloody conflict
lasted from 1950 to
1953.
Damage Estimates
The war destroy majority of the industries and industrial infrastructure
By August of 1951, 44% of factory buildings and 42% of Production
facilities lay in ruins
Foreign Trade deteriorated from US$208 Million to US$2.9 Million
All these factors led to serious inflation.
POSTWAR SITUATION
The
Korean
War
Chemical
Industry
70%
Overall
Industry
Destroye
d
51%
Agricultural
Machinery
Industry
40%
Rubber
Industry
10%
Power
Plants
80%
At the start of the
Cold War,
Communist North
Korea Went to
war with its
Capitalist
neighbor . The
bloody conflict
lasted from 1950
to 1953.
• GDP per capita around $100, poorer
than Philippines.
• Ravaged by the Korean War
• Large Standing Army-Menace from
North
• Largely agrarian country
• Lack of natural resources Coal, iron,
copper, oil
• U.S. aid kept people barely alive: 1/2
of national budget
• 1/5 of adults unemployed; social
unrest fueled by unemployed youth
Menace from the North
Under the Military Rule
Major Events occurred under the Military Rule
The military coup détat led by Major General Park Chung-he
on May 16, 1961,put an effective end to the Second Republic.
Miracle on the Han River Five Year Plan (FYP)
All these factors led to serious inflation.
Park Chung-he
Under the Military Rule
 Seized the capital + other important cities
 Brought businessmen into submission (June 14 law)
 The first South Korean five-year plan was inaugurated in 1962
 Economic growth as the historical goal, to be achieved at all cost
“In human life, economics precedes politics or culture.” – Park
 Qualification for the special treatment was quantifiable and
objective
 Per capita output doubled in the following decade
 South Korea became an industrialized country
 Influenced by state-planning in Manchukuo
 “Guided Capitalism”: The state as the engine of economic
development central planning + gov’t intervention in the market
industrial policy, corporate state
South Korean economy roars
 GDP growth averaged 9-10% a year
 Manufacturing sector took greater share of the economy (close to
30% - comparable to West Germany)
 “Boys who grew up working in rice paddies found themselves
building oil tankers and designing semiconductor chips.” - Mark L.
Clifford
State-owned
banks
industry/business
associations
FKTU (Federation of
Korean Trade
Unions)
(gov’t-controlled)
industrial unions
Businesses
Coopted labor
MOF (Ministry of
Finance)
Other Gov’t
Ministries
MTI (Ministry of
Trade + Industry)
Top-Down, General Headquarter (Park himself made major
decisions)
National Budget
EPB (Economic
Planning Board)
The State Intervenes in individual
firms’ decisions
planning,
national
budget
Economic
Planning
Board (EPB)
Korean Corporate State
Controlled the
Banking Sector
•Nationalization
of Banks.
•Extraordinary
power over
credit-starved
businesses
Ministry of
Finance
(MOF)
Policies,
regulations, order
to move quickly
from minister to
firms, domestic
cartels, steady
stream of profit
All Businesses
were required
to join
associations
Cutting of credit
line, Arbitrary tax
audit, Personal
Connections,
Uneven law
enforcement
Enforcement
devices
President, Gov’t Officials, Academics
Reps from trading companies
Rapid response team for exporters
Monthly Export
Promotion Meeting
Export Day (11/30)
“Export towers” to
companies w/ best
export performance
Early 1960s: Dollar
began to run out; US
threatened to cut aid
2nd
FYP: Build industries
targeted to export
markets.
1960s: South Korea
utilized cheap labor-
light manufacturing
 Import license conditional or export performance
 Tariff exemption for raw material and machinery
Exporters could automatically borrow against overseas orders
More credit to companies w/superior export performance
Huge Incentives for
Exports
Coercive element:
Corporate state had
business go along
Export-Oriented Industrialization
(EOI)
What’s good about Export Oriented Industrialization?
Selective use of
FDI (Foreign
Direct
Investment)
Reduced
possibility of
BOP crisis
Gov’t
Complements
market forces
Correction of
market failure
high set up costs
of exports
imperfection
information.
Meritocracy in
allocating credit
South Korea
Up-to-date
Selective, short-
term protection-
International
competition
makes infant
industries grow
up.
New Machinery
introduced.
Experience
w/overseas
market
Korea Trade Promotion Agency (KOTRA)
Helped Korean
businesses
how to market
their products
in foreign
countries
Scoured the
world for new
export
markets
Key to
overcoming
the obstacles
early
exporters
faced
Results (1961-73)
Exports
skyrocketed:
trade deficit
stayed under
$1 billion
Huge
Success
Export: $33
Million >
$3.3 Billion
(100 times)
Imports:
$343
million >
$3.8 Billion
(11 times)
Investment:
6% of GDP
> 23 % of
GDP
South Korea established a firm
international standing in light
industries e.g. shoes, clothes,
plywood etc.
Raw Materials + Machinery for
export industries
Five Year Plan
Emphasized
industrial
growth rather
than food self-
sufficiency
Five Year Plan (FYP)
GOAL: lay a foundation for future
economic growth by developing a
base industry in South Korea
Aims to increase
wealth within
South Korea and
Strengthen
Political
stability.
Change in Policy.
Import
substitution
industrialization
to export
oriented growth
Nathan Plan
UN plan for the
economic
recovery of
South Korea.
Not
Implemented
Second FYP (1967-1971)
South to shift the
South Korean
state into heavy
industry
Emphasized
textile exports as
a leading sector
Increasing the
Public sector for
social overhead
capital
investment
The Big Push (1973-79) Fourth FYP 1977-1981
HCI (Heavy and
Chemical Industries)
Five Year Plan (FYP)
Aims: Build up defense
Shipbuilding,
Machinery, Chemicals,
Steel, Electronic,
Automobile
Unprecedented
industrial expansion
Good: gain experience in
heavy industries, which
create far more added
value; acquire
managerial skills;
economies of scale
Bad: Policy loans caused
massive inflation in
1970s; some target
industries didn’t work
out in the end (i.e.
aluminum)
“Reverse brain drain”
KAIST (Korea
Institute of
Science of
Technology)
•Engineering
education
Lure Koreans
who’d been
educated overseas
with attractive pay
packages
State-
owned
enterprise
World Bank
refused to
finance the
Project
Park Tae Joon used
personal
connection in
Japan to channel
reparations (for
past Colonization)
Cutting-edge managerial
techniques and scientific
knowledge
Ran like
military
Rapid construction schedule +
high quality standard.
Long work hours (60-70 hour
work week)
Become one of
the Largest,
most efficient
steel maker in
the world
Opened up the
way for heavy
industries
Rise of Chaebols
 Today South Korea is a highly Industrialized country.
 National conglomerates (groups) run by founding families
 Profitable firms subsidize less profitable firms within the
conglomerate (cross-subsidization)
Factors
 Scarce credit + abounding investment opportunities
 Red tape – lots of paperwork
 Export promotion – bigger is better in export market
 State-owned banking sector – political clout was a must to secure loans
Quite a few became Successful Global Multinationals
Samsung Electronics world’s larges information technology
Company, Samsung Heavy industries, Samsung Life insurance
worlds 14th
largest life insurance company.
SAMSUNG
LG Corporation is the 4th
largest company in South Korea and
become second largest in USA market share.
LG Electronics, LG Telecom, LG Display and LG Solar Energy
LG
Corporation
DAEWOO Group of Industries, Daewoo Motors, Daewoo
Electronics, Daewoo Heavy industries, Daewoo Shipping
DAEWOO
GROUP
Hyundai Motor Groups second largest automakers in Asia and
fourth largest automakers in the world.
Hyundai
Motor
Group
Chaebols of South Korea
Earlier : The Centrally planned and government directed investment
Now: Completely market oriented economy
USA
$ 16.768
China
$ 16.149
India
$ 7.277
Japan
$ 4.788
Germany
$ 3.621
Russia
$ 3.559 Brazil
$ 3.073
France
$ 2.587
Indonesia
$ 2.554 UK
$ 2.435 Mexico
$ 2.143
Italy
$ 2.066
South Korea
$ 1.790
GDP in trillions of U.S. dollars. Data: IMF, WB, CIA WFBook.
South Korea is 13th
Largest Economy of the World (GDP “2013 by IMF
and WB” )
Third Largest in AsiaDonor to international Financial AidMember of OECDFour Asian Tigers (South Korea)G-20
Conclusion
“Tiger Daddy State”
 Economic development in exchange for political freedom
 Single party corporate state speeded up development
 Businesses were forced to compete overseas
 Leadership was pragmatic and flexible
 Took maximum advantage of international + domestic politics
 EOI as result of policy adaptation
 Acknowledged role of businessmen and Entrepreneurs
 Recognized need for advanced foreign technology
 It takes right kind of “parenting” to develop a country’s industrial
base to internationally competitive level
– South Korea: Too authoritarian
– Latin America: Too overprotective
Countries should integrate into world economy, on their own terms
 Infant industries need some time to grow and mature
 The individual cannot overcome market failures
 The individual succeed only so far as his country provides him
opportunities to do so
Conclusion
Degrees of Success
• Budget deficits were kept within the limits of their financial
limits, as to not destabilize the macro-economyBudget deficits
• Debt levels during 1980-1985 was quite high compared to their
GNP ratios, it was sustained by the country’s high levels of
export
External debt
• Exchange rates had been changed from long-term fixed rate
regimes to fixed-but-adjustable rate regimes with the occasional
steep devaluation of managed floating rate regimes
Exchange rates
THANK
YOU

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South korea the miracle on the han river

  • 1. South Korea “The Miracle on the Han River” Group: Rashid Abdullah Raja Shoaib Akber Abdul Aleem Choudhary Azhar Ali International Political Economy How South Korea escaped poverty and became one of the richest countries in the world?
  • 2. As recently as the early 1960s South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Hong Kong (the “Asian Tigers”) were considered to be a part of the third world. Since the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis, praise of the “Asian Miracle” has dwindled in academia, yet the Tigers still stand as rare examples of states which have successfully “developed” in a manner no one could have predicted 50 years ago – and at a considerably faster rate than any of our current efforts at third-world development seem to be proceeding. The Asian Tigers Republic of Korea Government: Unitary Presidential Constitutional Republic Population: 51 Million 2014 HDI: 0.891 Very High GDP 2014: $1.790 Trillion Republic of Singapore Government: Unitary Presidential Constitutional Republic Population: 5.5 Million 2014 HDI: 0.901 Very High GDP 2014: $297.941 Billion Hong Kong Government: Special Administrative Region Population: 7.2 Million 2014 HDI: 0.891 Very High GDP 2014: $ 400.607 Billion Taiwan (Republic of China) Government: Unitary Semi-Presidential Constitutional Republic Population: 23 Million 2013 HDI: 0.890 Very High GDP 2014: $ 517.019 Billion
  • 3. History of South Korea First Republic (1948-1960) Also called the Republic of Korea (ROK). South Korea has been an independent Constitutional Republic since its liberation from Japan on August 15, 1945. Republic of Korea marked by Alternating periods of democratic and Autocratic rules as fellow: Second Republic (1960-1961) Military Rule (1961-1963) Third Republic (1963-1972) Fifth Republic (1981-1987) Fourth Republic (1972-1981) Sixth Republic (1987- Present) USAMGIK (1945-1948)
  • 4. Under the First Republic  First President of South Korea (1945-1960)  Anti-Communist  Events under the First Republic of South Korea. South Koreas first independent government, ruling the country from 1945 to1960-the Syngman Rhee administration.  The government took in vast sums of American Aid in amounts sometimes near the total size of the national budget. (Corrupt and inefficient government of ROK) Major Events occurred during first Republic  Land reform  The Korean War 1960 - student demonstrations ousted Syngman Rhee from presidency Syngman Rhee (1875-1965)
  • 5. Power Production plummeted down to a miserable level of 11 thousand KHz, about one-eighth of the earlier production level of 80 thousand MHz Capitalist VS Communist The Korean WarAt the start of the Cold War, Communist North Korea Went to war with its Capitalist neighbor . The bloody conflict lasted from 1950 to 1953. Damage Estimates The war destroy majority of the industries and industrial infrastructure By August of 1951, 44% of factory buildings and 42% of Production facilities lay in ruins Foreign Trade deteriorated from US$208 Million to US$2.9 Million All these factors led to serious inflation.
  • 6. POSTWAR SITUATION The Korean War Chemical Industry 70% Overall Industry Destroye d 51% Agricultural Machinery Industry 40% Rubber Industry 10% Power Plants 80% At the start of the Cold War, Communist North Korea Went to war with its Capitalist neighbor . The bloody conflict lasted from 1950 to 1953. • GDP per capita around $100, poorer than Philippines. • Ravaged by the Korean War • Large Standing Army-Menace from North • Largely agrarian country • Lack of natural resources Coal, iron, copper, oil • U.S. aid kept people barely alive: 1/2 of national budget • 1/5 of adults unemployed; social unrest fueled by unemployed youth Menace from the North
  • 7. Under the Military Rule Major Events occurred under the Military Rule The military coup détat led by Major General Park Chung-he on May 16, 1961,put an effective end to the Second Republic. Miracle on the Han River Five Year Plan (FYP) All these factors led to serious inflation. Park Chung-he
  • 8. Under the Military Rule  Seized the capital + other important cities  Brought businessmen into submission (June 14 law)  The first South Korean five-year plan was inaugurated in 1962  Economic growth as the historical goal, to be achieved at all cost “In human life, economics precedes politics or culture.” – Park  Qualification for the special treatment was quantifiable and objective  Per capita output doubled in the following decade  South Korea became an industrialized country  Influenced by state-planning in Manchukuo  “Guided Capitalism”: The state as the engine of economic development central planning + gov’t intervention in the market industrial policy, corporate state
  • 9. South Korean economy roars  GDP growth averaged 9-10% a year  Manufacturing sector took greater share of the economy (close to 30% - comparable to West Germany)  “Boys who grew up working in rice paddies found themselves building oil tankers and designing semiconductor chips.” - Mark L. Clifford
  • 10. State-owned banks industry/business associations FKTU (Federation of Korean Trade Unions) (gov’t-controlled) industrial unions Businesses Coopted labor MOF (Ministry of Finance) Other Gov’t Ministries MTI (Ministry of Trade + Industry) Top-Down, General Headquarter (Park himself made major decisions) National Budget EPB (Economic Planning Board)
  • 11. The State Intervenes in individual firms’ decisions planning, national budget Economic Planning Board (EPB) Korean Corporate State Controlled the Banking Sector •Nationalization of Banks. •Extraordinary power over credit-starved businesses Ministry of Finance (MOF) Policies, regulations, order to move quickly from minister to firms, domestic cartels, steady stream of profit All Businesses were required to join associations Cutting of credit line, Arbitrary tax audit, Personal Connections, Uneven law enforcement Enforcement devices
  • 12. President, Gov’t Officials, Academics Reps from trading companies Rapid response team for exporters Monthly Export Promotion Meeting Export Day (11/30) “Export towers” to companies w/ best export performance Early 1960s: Dollar began to run out; US threatened to cut aid 2nd FYP: Build industries targeted to export markets. 1960s: South Korea utilized cheap labor- light manufacturing  Import license conditional or export performance  Tariff exemption for raw material and machinery Exporters could automatically borrow against overseas orders More credit to companies w/superior export performance Huge Incentives for Exports Coercive element: Corporate state had business go along Export-Oriented Industrialization (EOI)
  • 13. What’s good about Export Oriented Industrialization? Selective use of FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) Reduced possibility of BOP crisis Gov’t Complements market forces Correction of market failure high set up costs of exports imperfection information. Meritocracy in allocating credit South Korea Up-to-date Selective, short- term protection- International competition makes infant industries grow up. New Machinery introduced. Experience w/overseas market
  • 14. Korea Trade Promotion Agency (KOTRA) Helped Korean businesses how to market their products in foreign countries Scoured the world for new export markets Key to overcoming the obstacles early exporters faced
  • 15. Results (1961-73) Exports skyrocketed: trade deficit stayed under $1 billion Huge Success Export: $33 Million > $3.3 Billion (100 times) Imports: $343 million > $3.8 Billion (11 times) Investment: 6% of GDP > 23 % of GDP South Korea established a firm international standing in light industries e.g. shoes, clothes, plywood etc. Raw Materials + Machinery for export industries
  • 16. Five Year Plan Emphasized industrial growth rather than food self- sufficiency Five Year Plan (FYP) GOAL: lay a foundation for future economic growth by developing a base industry in South Korea Aims to increase wealth within South Korea and Strengthen Political stability. Change in Policy. Import substitution industrialization to export oriented growth Nathan Plan UN plan for the economic recovery of South Korea. Not Implemented Second FYP (1967-1971) South to shift the South Korean state into heavy industry Emphasized textile exports as a leading sector Increasing the Public sector for social overhead capital investment
  • 17. The Big Push (1973-79) Fourth FYP 1977-1981 HCI (Heavy and Chemical Industries) Five Year Plan (FYP) Aims: Build up defense Shipbuilding, Machinery, Chemicals, Steel, Electronic, Automobile Unprecedented industrial expansion Good: gain experience in heavy industries, which create far more added value; acquire managerial skills; economies of scale Bad: Policy loans caused massive inflation in 1970s; some target industries didn’t work out in the end (i.e. aluminum)
  • 18. “Reverse brain drain” KAIST (Korea Institute of Science of Technology) •Engineering education Lure Koreans who’d been educated overseas with attractive pay packages State- owned enterprise World Bank refused to finance the Project Park Tae Joon used personal connection in Japan to channel reparations (for past Colonization) Cutting-edge managerial techniques and scientific knowledge Ran like military Rapid construction schedule + high quality standard. Long work hours (60-70 hour work week) Become one of the Largest, most efficient steel maker in the world Opened up the way for heavy industries
  • 19. Rise of Chaebols  Today South Korea is a highly Industrialized country.  National conglomerates (groups) run by founding families  Profitable firms subsidize less profitable firms within the conglomerate (cross-subsidization) Factors  Scarce credit + abounding investment opportunities  Red tape – lots of paperwork  Export promotion – bigger is better in export market  State-owned banking sector – political clout was a must to secure loans
  • 20. Quite a few became Successful Global Multinationals Samsung Electronics world’s larges information technology Company, Samsung Heavy industries, Samsung Life insurance worlds 14th largest life insurance company. SAMSUNG LG Corporation is the 4th largest company in South Korea and become second largest in USA market share. LG Electronics, LG Telecom, LG Display and LG Solar Energy LG Corporation DAEWOO Group of Industries, Daewoo Motors, Daewoo Electronics, Daewoo Heavy industries, Daewoo Shipping DAEWOO GROUP Hyundai Motor Groups second largest automakers in Asia and fourth largest automakers in the world. Hyundai Motor Group Chaebols of South Korea Earlier : The Centrally planned and government directed investment Now: Completely market oriented economy
  • 21. USA $ 16.768 China $ 16.149 India $ 7.277 Japan $ 4.788 Germany $ 3.621 Russia $ 3.559 Brazil $ 3.073 France $ 2.587 Indonesia $ 2.554 UK $ 2.435 Mexico $ 2.143 Italy $ 2.066 South Korea $ 1.790 GDP in trillions of U.S. dollars. Data: IMF, WB, CIA WFBook. South Korea is 13th Largest Economy of the World (GDP “2013 by IMF and WB” ) Third Largest in AsiaDonor to international Financial AidMember of OECDFour Asian Tigers (South Korea)G-20
  • 22. Conclusion “Tiger Daddy State”  Economic development in exchange for political freedom  Single party corporate state speeded up development  Businesses were forced to compete overseas  Leadership was pragmatic and flexible  Took maximum advantage of international + domestic politics  EOI as result of policy adaptation  Acknowledged role of businessmen and Entrepreneurs  Recognized need for advanced foreign technology
  • 23.  It takes right kind of “parenting” to develop a country’s industrial base to internationally competitive level – South Korea: Too authoritarian – Latin America: Too overprotective Countries should integrate into world economy, on their own terms  Infant industries need some time to grow and mature  The individual cannot overcome market failures  The individual succeed only so far as his country provides him opportunities to do so Conclusion
  • 24. Degrees of Success • Budget deficits were kept within the limits of their financial limits, as to not destabilize the macro-economyBudget deficits • Debt levels during 1980-1985 was quite high compared to their GNP ratios, it was sustained by the country’s high levels of export External debt • Exchange rates had been changed from long-term fixed rate regimes to fixed-but-adjustable rate regimes with the occasional steep devaluation of managed floating rate regimes Exchange rates