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Resilience from 2004 to 2014: 
A UK perspective 
Felicity Oswald-Nicholls 
Deputy Director, Civil Contingencies Secretariat, 
Cabinet Office, UK
What does resilience mean in the UK context? 
How has our understanding evolved? 
What is ‘good’ in terms of resilience? 
What does the future look like for resilience?
Civil Contingencies Act 2004 
Civil Contingencies Act 2004 
Part 1 – Local Arrangements 
Part 2 – Emergency Powers 
Statutory Guidance - Emergency 
Preparedness 
Non-Statutory Guidance - 
Emergency Response & 
Recovery
Our fiveRs of resilience (2011) 
British Standard for Organizational Resilience (BS65000) 
(2014): 
“the ability of an organization to anticipate, prepare for, and 
respond and adapt to incremental change and sudden 
disruptions in order to survive and prosper.” 
Key concepts: prevent, prepare, adapt, protect, resist, 
redundancy, response and recovery
UK Resilience – Delivered Together 
1. Identifying 
risks 
4. Evaluating 
Resilience 
Horizon 
scanning 
Systematic risk 
identification 
Performance Management 
Exercises 
Real-life events 
Communications 
2. Assessing 
risks 
3. Building 
Resilience 
Generic Capabilities 
Specific Plans 
Business Continuity 
Crisis Management 
Systematic Risk 
Assessment
Risk Identification and Assessment
National Risk Register 2013 -Threats
National Risk Register 2013 - Hazards
Building resilience
Who plays a role in building resilience? 
CCCCoooommmmmmmmuuuunnnniiiittttiiiieeeessss 
RReegguullaattoorrss 
Government 
Infrastructure 
NNNNGGGGOOOOssss 
Business
Example 1: Community Resilience 
“Communities and individuals harnessing local resources and 
expertise to help themselves in an emergency, in a way that 
complements the response of the emergency services.” 
UK Civil Protection Lexicon 
HHoolliissttiicc Bespoke 
Relevant 
Organic 
Flexible 
Connected 
Geographic 
Active 
Pragmatic Common-sense
Communities Prepared Hub 
• Website for LRFs, local authorities, 
emergency responders & local community 
groups to access at: 
www.epcollege.com/community-hub 
• Free resources to access & share 
• Sign up for the newsletter on the site 
• Let us know about the resilience work your 
organisation or local community group is 
undertaking, at: 
communities.prepared@cabinet-office. 
x.gsi.gov.uk
Example 2: Winter preparedness 
•Provides information and advice to individuals and 
communities on how to prepare and plan for the impacts of 
winter weather 
www.metoffice.gov.uk/getreadyforwinter
Evaluating and improving
How has our understanding evolved? 
Community resilience and Infrastructure 
resilience 
For example: Recommendation from the Pitt 
report (2008) on the 2007 floods, that 
Government, “...should establish a 
programme to support & encourage 
individuals & communities to be better 
prepared & more self-reliant during 
emergencies, allowing the authorities to focus 
on those areas & people in greatest need.”
The 2010 National Security Strategy 
Tier one: The National Security Council considered the following groups of risks to be those of 
highest priority for UK national security looking ahead, taking account of both likelihood and impact. 
• International terrorism affecting the UK or its interests, including a chemical, biological, 
radiological or nuclear attack by terrorists; and/or a significant increase in the levels of terrorism 
relating to Northern Ireland. 
• Hostile attacks upon UK cyber space by other states and large scale cyber crime. 
• A major accident or natural hazard which requires a national response, such as severe coastal 
flooding affecting three or more regions of the UK, or an influenza pandemic. 
• An international military crisis between states, drawing in the UK and its allies as well as other 
states and nnoonn--ssttaattee aaccttoorrss.. 
Tier Two: The National Security Council considered the following groups of risks to be the next 
highest priority looking ahead, taking account of both likelihood and impact. (For example, a CBRN 
attack on the UK by a state was judged to be low likelihood, but high impact.) 
• An attack on the UK or its overseas territories by another state or proxy using chemical, 
biological, radiological or nuclear (CBRN) weapons. 
• Risk of major instability, insurgency or civil war overseas which creates an environment that 
terrorists can exploit to threaten the UK. 
• A significant increase in the level of organised crime affecting the UK. 
• Severe disruption to information received, transmitted or collected by satellites, possibly as a 
result of a deliberate attack by a another state.
Future challenges : 
?
We’re getting better, but there is still more to 
do....
Early warnings from the Met Office of the St Jude’s Day storm
St Jude’s Day Storm – 28 October 2013

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Felicity Oswald-Nicholls

  • 1. Resilience from 2004 to 2014: A UK perspective Felicity Oswald-Nicholls Deputy Director, Civil Contingencies Secretariat, Cabinet Office, UK
  • 2. What does resilience mean in the UK context? How has our understanding evolved? What is ‘good’ in terms of resilience? What does the future look like for resilience?
  • 3. Civil Contingencies Act 2004 Civil Contingencies Act 2004 Part 1 – Local Arrangements Part 2 – Emergency Powers Statutory Guidance - Emergency Preparedness Non-Statutory Guidance - Emergency Response & Recovery
  • 4. Our fiveRs of resilience (2011) British Standard for Organizational Resilience (BS65000) (2014): “the ability of an organization to anticipate, prepare for, and respond and adapt to incremental change and sudden disruptions in order to survive and prosper.” Key concepts: prevent, prepare, adapt, protect, resist, redundancy, response and recovery
  • 5. UK Resilience – Delivered Together 1. Identifying risks 4. Evaluating Resilience Horizon scanning Systematic risk identification Performance Management Exercises Real-life events Communications 2. Assessing risks 3. Building Resilience Generic Capabilities Specific Plans Business Continuity Crisis Management Systematic Risk Assessment
  • 7. National Risk Register 2013 -Threats
  • 8. National Risk Register 2013 - Hazards
  • 10. Who plays a role in building resilience? CCCCoooommmmmmmmuuuunnnniiiittttiiiieeeessss RReegguullaattoorrss Government Infrastructure NNNNGGGGOOOOssss Business
  • 11. Example 1: Community Resilience “Communities and individuals harnessing local resources and expertise to help themselves in an emergency, in a way that complements the response of the emergency services.” UK Civil Protection Lexicon HHoolliissttiicc Bespoke Relevant Organic Flexible Connected Geographic Active Pragmatic Common-sense
  • 12. Communities Prepared Hub • Website for LRFs, local authorities, emergency responders & local community groups to access at: www.epcollege.com/community-hub • Free resources to access & share • Sign up for the newsletter on the site • Let us know about the resilience work your organisation or local community group is undertaking, at: communities.prepared@cabinet-office. x.gsi.gov.uk
  • 13. Example 2: Winter preparedness •Provides information and advice to individuals and communities on how to prepare and plan for the impacts of winter weather www.metoffice.gov.uk/getreadyforwinter
  • 15. How has our understanding evolved? Community resilience and Infrastructure resilience For example: Recommendation from the Pitt report (2008) on the 2007 floods, that Government, “...should establish a programme to support & encourage individuals & communities to be better prepared & more self-reliant during emergencies, allowing the authorities to focus on those areas & people in greatest need.”
  • 16. The 2010 National Security Strategy Tier one: The National Security Council considered the following groups of risks to be those of highest priority for UK national security looking ahead, taking account of both likelihood and impact. • International terrorism affecting the UK or its interests, including a chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear attack by terrorists; and/or a significant increase in the levels of terrorism relating to Northern Ireland. • Hostile attacks upon UK cyber space by other states and large scale cyber crime. • A major accident or natural hazard which requires a national response, such as severe coastal flooding affecting three or more regions of the UK, or an influenza pandemic. • An international military crisis between states, drawing in the UK and its allies as well as other states and nnoonn--ssttaattee aaccttoorrss.. Tier Two: The National Security Council considered the following groups of risks to be the next highest priority looking ahead, taking account of both likelihood and impact. (For example, a CBRN attack on the UK by a state was judged to be low likelihood, but high impact.) • An attack on the UK or its overseas territories by another state or proxy using chemical, biological, radiological or nuclear (CBRN) weapons. • Risk of major instability, insurgency or civil war overseas which creates an environment that terrorists can exploit to threaten the UK. • A significant increase in the level of organised crime affecting the UK. • Severe disruption to information received, transmitted or collected by satellites, possibly as a result of a deliberate attack by a another state.
  • 18. We’re getting better, but there is still more to do....
  • 19. Early warnings from the Met Office of the St Jude’s Day storm
  • 20. St Jude’s Day Storm – 28 October 2013