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ChatGPT and ML in Trading
Varun Pothula
Quantitative Analyst at QuantInsti
Agenda
● Introduction
● Understanding Chat GPT
● Machine Learning in Trading
● Integration of Chat GPT and Machine Learning in Trading
● Challenges and Risks
● Q&A
Chat GPT and ML in Trading
● Significant increase of data
● Market trends and patterns
Algo Trading:
● Develop and optimize trading
strategies
● Predict future market movements
● Make more informed decisions
Chat GPT and ML in Trading
Natural language processing (NLP)
models
● ChatGPT
● Analyze and understand text
● News articles, social media posts,
and other textual sources
Chat GPT and ML in Trading
ChatGPT, developed by OpenAI
● Natural-sounding responses to text
prompts
● Detailed responses about trading
opportunities
Chat GPT and ML in Trading
Expectations of Finance Community
● Analyze news articles and social
media posts
● Identify trends and market
sentiment
● Generate trading signals
● Insights based on textual data
● Develop and optimize trading
strategies
Chat GPT and ML in Trading
Understanding Chat GPT
Understanding Chat GPT
● Generative Pre-trained Transformer
(GPT) architecture
● Neural network that is trained on
large amounts of text data
● Coherent and contextually
appropriate responses
● Sentiment analysis, text
classification, and text generation
Machine Learning in Trading
Machine Learning
Machine Learning
● Subset of AI
● Learns from data
● Make predictions and decisions
ML For Algo Trading
Data
ML For Algo Trading
Data
● Price
● Fundamental
● Economic
● News
● Social media data
ML For Algo Trading
Data Preprocessing
ML For Algo Trading
Data
● Removal of unwanted observations
● Fixing Structural errors
● Managing Unwanted outliers
● Handling missing data
Model
Strategy
Preprocessing
ML For Algo Trading
Data
Model
Strategy
Preprocessing
Feature
Engineering
ML For Algo Trading
Data
Model
Strategy
Preprocessing
Feature
Engineering
● Converting raw data into features/attributes
ML For Algo Trading
Feature Engineering
ML For Algo Trading
Data
Model
Strategy
Preprocessing
Feature
Engineering
Data Split
ML For Algo Trading
Data
Model
Strategy
Preprocessing
Feature
Engineering
Data Split
● Input dataset X
● Output dataset y
● Train Data
● Test Data
ML For Algo Trading
Data
Model
Strategy
Preprocessing
Feature
Engineering
Data Split
Train Data
ML Model
ML For Algo Trading
Data
Model
Strategy
Preprocessing
Feature
engineering
Data Split
Train Data
ML Model
Test Data
ML Model
ML For Algo Trading
Data
Model
Strategy
Preprocessing
Feature
Engineering
Data Split
Train Data
ML Model
Test Data
ML Model
Predictions
Integration of Chat GPT and
Machine Learning in Trading
Problem Statement
● Predict High and Low of next trading
day
● Linear regression
I’m creating a linear regression model to predict the high and low of gold prices
for the next trading day.
Can you give me complete pipeline to make the algorithm deployment ready?
Give me a list of steps that need to be done as a quant would do
Prompt
Quantra Notebooks
ML Trading Model
Give me python code to split the input data for a linear regression model into the
train and test data with a ratio of 70:30
Prompt
Quantra Notebooks
How to study the performance of the machine learning based algo trading
algorithm?
Prompt
Quantra Notebooks
Challenges and Risks
What are the challenges and risks of using chat gpt for ML based algo trading?
Prompt
Compare the yearly financial statements of
Apple and Microsoft for the year 2020
$ 3.28
$3.28
≠
$13.03
Key Takeaways
● Chat GPT is a neural network that is trained on large amounts of text data
● Can generate ideas to apply ML for trading
● Can produce wrong code due to lack of domain expertise
● Can generate erroneous information
Complete Recording

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ChatGPT and Machine Learning in Trading

  • 1. ChatGPT and ML in Trading Varun Pothula Quantitative Analyst at QuantInsti
  • 2. Agenda ● Introduction ● Understanding Chat GPT ● Machine Learning in Trading ● Integration of Chat GPT and Machine Learning in Trading ● Challenges and Risks ● Q&A
  • 3. Chat GPT and ML in Trading ● Significant increase of data ● Market trends and patterns Algo Trading: ● Develop and optimize trading strategies ● Predict future market movements ● Make more informed decisions
  • 4. Chat GPT and ML in Trading Natural language processing (NLP) models ● ChatGPT ● Analyze and understand text ● News articles, social media posts, and other textual sources
  • 5. Chat GPT and ML in Trading ChatGPT, developed by OpenAI ● Natural-sounding responses to text prompts ● Detailed responses about trading opportunities
  • 6. Chat GPT and ML in Trading Expectations of Finance Community ● Analyze news articles and social media posts ● Identify trends and market sentiment ● Generate trading signals ● Insights based on textual data ● Develop and optimize trading strategies
  • 7. Chat GPT and ML in Trading
  • 9. Understanding Chat GPT ● Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT) architecture ● Neural network that is trained on large amounts of text data ● Coherent and contextually appropriate responses ● Sentiment analysis, text classification, and text generation
  • 12. Machine Learning ● Subset of AI ● Learns from data ● Make predictions and decisions
  • 13. ML For Algo Trading Data
  • 14. ML For Algo Trading Data ● Price ● Fundamental ● Economic ● News ● Social media data
  • 15. ML For Algo Trading Data Preprocessing
  • 16. ML For Algo Trading Data ● Removal of unwanted observations ● Fixing Structural errors ● Managing Unwanted outliers ● Handling missing data Model Strategy Preprocessing
  • 17. ML For Algo Trading Data Model Strategy Preprocessing Feature Engineering
  • 18. ML For Algo Trading Data Model Strategy Preprocessing Feature Engineering ● Converting raw data into features/attributes
  • 19. ML For Algo Trading Feature Engineering
  • 20. ML For Algo Trading Data Model Strategy Preprocessing Feature Engineering Data Split
  • 21. ML For Algo Trading Data Model Strategy Preprocessing Feature Engineering Data Split ● Input dataset X ● Output dataset y ● Train Data ● Test Data
  • 22. ML For Algo Trading Data Model Strategy Preprocessing Feature Engineering Data Split Train Data ML Model
  • 23. ML For Algo Trading Data Model Strategy Preprocessing Feature engineering Data Split Train Data ML Model Test Data ML Model
  • 24. ML For Algo Trading Data Model Strategy Preprocessing Feature Engineering Data Split Train Data ML Model Test Data ML Model Predictions
  • 25. Integration of Chat GPT and Machine Learning in Trading
  • 26. Problem Statement ● Predict High and Low of next trading day ● Linear regression
  • 27. I’m creating a linear regression model to predict the high and low of gold prices for the next trading day. Can you give me complete pipeline to make the algorithm deployment ready? Give me a list of steps that need to be done as a quant would do Prompt
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  • 35. Give me python code to split the input data for a linear regression model into the train and test data with a ratio of 70:30 Prompt
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  • 39. How to study the performance of the machine learning based algo trading algorithm? Prompt
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  • 45. What are the challenges and risks of using chat gpt for ML based algo trading? Prompt
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  • 51. Compare the yearly financial statements of Apple and Microsoft for the year 2020
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  • 57. Key Takeaways ● Chat GPT is a neural network that is trained on large amounts of text data ● Can generate ideas to apply ML for trading ● Can produce wrong code due to lack of domain expertise ● Can generate erroneous information