In society and our companies we are facing a future of complexity and challenges that require the analytic capabilities of computers to help us make wise decisions. They already do a better job of medical diagnosis and treatment prognosis in areas like breast cancer screening, and without them we would be blind to the vast storehouse of information and knowledge we enjoy via the internet. But if they are to become truly intelligent they will need more than bigger storage capacity and faster processing speeds. The will need a network of sensors and a much greater facility to output their data. That network of sensors is most likely going to be provided by our mobile devices, and the output? Virtual and augmented reality, haptic 3D, robotic presence, and more - in addition to sound and vision of today.
Emergent Methods: Multi-lingual narrative tracking in the news - real-time ex...
When machines think
1. When
Machine
Think
Peter Cochrane
cochrane.org.uk
ca-global.org
COCHRANE
a s s o c i a t e s
Thursday, 10 November 2011
2. The majority of human knowledge has been
derived from collaborating with machines
✦ Details of the cosmos
✦ Details of the atom
✦ Decoding the genome
✦ Decoding proteins
✦ Evolutionary science
✦ Weather prediction
✦ The spread of disease
✦ Biological operations
✦ Network traffic flows
✦ The physics of flight
✦ Power generation
✦ +++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
3. That knowledge is now being shared by way
of new mechanisms on a vast scale...
Această cunoaştere este acum
împărtăşită prin intermediul unor
mecanisme noi pe scară largă ...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
5. Social networking
Other people:
* Read
* Watch
* Listen
* Search
* Think
* Work
* Solve problems
* Try products
* Find good services
* Organise group purchases
So I don’t have to !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
6. Machines now manufacture more products
and control more things than we do
✦ Integrated circuits
✦ Hard drives
✦ Displays
✦ Computers
✦ Mobile phones
✦ ++++
✦ Food
✦ Clothing
✦ ++++
✦ Production lines
✦ Traffic flows
✦ Aircraft
✦ +++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
7. We are creating a society of networked
people and things...
✦ Cars
✦ Trains
✦ Planes
✦ Homes
✦ Offices
✦ Devices
✦ Television
✦ Services
✦ Support
✦ Supply
✦ Sales
✦ +++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
8. And we have started to understand the
depth of something deep & fundamental
✦ The universe is unstable
✦ It is not well behaved
✦ It is not linear
✦ It is chaotic & non-linear
✦ It may be beyond our understanding
Thursday, 10 November 2011
9. What does this really mean?
Ce înseamnă aceasta cu adevărat?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
10. We may never fully understand....
✦ Tsunamis
✦ Ecologies
✦ Earthquakes
✦ Heart attacks
✦ Power outages
✦ Market collapses
✦ Weather systems
✦ Network instabilities
✦ Socio-political problems
✦ Genome - Protein interaction
✦ +++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
11. Responding in time saves lives, resources,
time, money....and perhaps the planet...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
12. We only have one prospective solution - a
partnership with our machines...
✦ They store all our data
✦ They control our infrastructure
✦ They communicate with our sensors
✦ We totally depend on them
✦ They are slowly getting smarter
✦ But will they ever be intelligent ?
✦ Will they ever be more than super
adding machines & data repositories ?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
13. What we know for sure !
Ceea ce ştim sigur!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
14. Continuing to increase computing power &
memory/storage will not lead to intelligence
Thursday, 10 November 2011
15. How do we know ?
Cum ştim?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
16. We have a model for intelligence that
says that sensors & actuators are vital...
Ic ~ k log2[1 + KAS ( 1 + PM )]
S = Sensor, A = Actuator, P = Processor, M = Memory
✦ No input = no intelligence
✦ No output = no intelligence
✦ Memory stores facts and experiences
✦ Processing power defines the time to solve
Thursday, 10 November 2011
17. The primary reason that my laptop is
dumb is that it has no sensory system....
Thursday, 10 November 2011
18. But we are building extensive networks of
sensors and that is the first step....
Thursday, 10 November 2011
19. But we are building extensive networks of
sensors and that is the first step....
00 0’s
e 1
in th
b er
um
lyn
on
he se
T
Thursday, 10 November 2011
20. However, our biggest network of sensors
numbers in the 1,000,000,000s....
Thursday, 10 November 2011
21. However, our biggest network of sensors
numbers in the 1,000,000,000s....
Smart phones could be the ultimate
sensor network
Thursday, 10 November 2011
22. Deci, ce zici de faptul că meta-date?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
23. So, how about that Meta-Data ?
Deci, ce zici de faptul că meta-date?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
24. What does it
know
about you?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
25. Where you are ?
Where you have been ?
What does it Where you are likely to be going to ?
Who you have met ?
know Who you are going to meet ?
Who you call ?
about you? Who calls you ?
Who you TXT - IM - Link ?
All your contacts
All your urls
All you passwords
What you are doing now ?
What have you done in the past ?
What games you play ?
What apps you use ?
What music you listen to...?
What you watch...?
What you read...?
++++++++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
26. Soon to be
enhanced
with more
sensors!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
27. Soon to be
enhanced
Enhance 2D/3D Camera
with more Enhanced microphone
Enhanced GPS
sensors! Air pressure
Humidity
Pollutant detection
WiFi triangulation
Medical/Care extensions
RFID
++++++++++
Thursday, 10 November 2011
28. Incramentalism ?
This really isn’t the next step - it really isn’t !!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
29. Incramentalism ?
The banks/card companies are gearing up to do this !!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
30. But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
ID
Pass
Debit
Credit
Guides
Loyalty
Medical
Licences
Insurances
Institutions
Quick Notes
Memberships
++++++++++
How many more can you cope with?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
31. But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
ID
Pass
Debit
Credit
Guides
Loyalty
Medical
Licences
Insurances
Institutions
Quick Notes
Memberships
++++++++++
Just manage my life for me!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
32. But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
Just manage my life for me!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
33. But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
iCards
Just manage my life for me!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
34. But the real consumer problem is far bigger!
iCards
Just manage my life for me!
Thursday, 10 November 2011
35. Much of this technology will be extended to
other vehicles...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
36. At a lower technology level we
will also see tagging for life
Thursday, 10 November 2011
37. At a lower technology level we
will also see tagging for life
Cradle
Chunky
Limited to Pretty
Grave
information
technology Data
Jewellery
Chips and tags on and in everything
including goods, animals & people
Thursday, 10 November 2011
38. So, what’s the big deal ?
Deci, ce-i mare scofală?
Thursday, 10 November 2011
39. Our logistic systems waste a significant % of
the global GDP...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
40. Data, admin, dosage, treatment errors kill
1000’s or sees serious disablement !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
41. Modern farming sees tagged crops and
animals + vehicles and supplies !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
42. Industrial and personal recycling and reuse
could be vastly improved to reduce waste !
Thursday, 10 November 2011
43. But it all requires even more attention to data...
Dar aceasta necesită o atenţie tot mai
mult la datele ...
• There is $$ in data
• Even more $$ in meta data
• Există $ $ în date
• Chiar mai mult $ $ în meta-date
Thursday, 10 November 2011
44. But it all requires even more attention to data...
Dar aceasta necesită o atenţie tot mai
mult la datele ...
• There is $$ in data
• Even more $$ in meta data
• Există $ $ în date
• Chiar mai mult $ $ în meta-date
Thursday, 10 November 2011
45. Ultimately this is all about sustainability and
survivability!
✦ Not more for the few
✦ But sufficient for all
✦ Using what is plentiful
✦ Not fighting over the scarce
✦ Creating less waste
✦ Helping nature not fighting her
✦ Living in a way the planet can
support
Thursday, 10 November 2011
58. Creativity is moving
to the edge.... out of
control, open, and
distributed...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
59. We will then see new:
✦ ways of thinking
✦ discoveries
✦ perceptions
✦ understanding
✦ capabilities
Society and companies will be
changed...
Thursday, 10 November 2011
60. Final Word
The £ $ € is in the ʻMeta Dataʼ
$ £ € este în zona "Date Meta"
Thursday, 10 November 2011
61. ca-global.org
cochrane.org.uk
Thank You
mulţumesc
COCHRANE
a s s o c i a t e s
1995
Thursday, 10 November 2011