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     M a r k e t I N F O R M AT I O N F R O M PA N D O X – O N E O F E U R O P E ’ S L EA D I N G H O TE L P R O P ERT Y C O M PA N I E S




     Uneven picture
     in the world’s hotel markets

     trends |
     •POPULAR new york
     • NEW P O P - U P H O TE L S
     • Wo n d e r f ul c op e n ha g e n




                                                                                                   S po t ligh t




6                                                     8                                                  10
            Report from                                           Follow our social                                           London
            this year’s                                           projects in Kenya                                           in waiting
p.          Berlin Conference                       p.            and India                                p.                 mode
JUST A WORD




Active ownership – a very
engaging question!
                     The hotel industry’s major         tially implies that companies will leave their role as    more than SEK 2 billion over the next three years in
                     meeting place, the Inter-          operator and gradually become brand and distri-           upgrading existing hotels. The largest project is the
                     national Hotel Investment          bution companies. Roughly like a large EuroBonus          development of 38 Scandic hotels for a total of
                     Forum (IHIF), and equiva-          company. These are the principal reasons why              SEK 1.6 billion, of which Pandox will stand for two-
                     lent to MIPIM, is tradition-       asset management is becoming more important,              thirds. Another major investment is the develop-
                     ally held in the first week        and perhaps be totally decisive with a partner that       ment of The Hotel, Brussels, which is being reposi-
of March. The meeting drew close to 2,000 par-          can actuate value-development.                            tioned and totally refurbished. The first rooms
ticipants from most parts of the world and with              Who then has the responsibility for managing         started to be handed back in April, and the entire
representatives from all large companies.               and developing the hotel properly? From Pandox’           product development will be completed by the end
                                                        aspect, we have always hailed active ownership,           of the year. Another large project is the investment
Active asset management                                 which is part of the Company’s DNA. It is also in         in Scandic Copenhagen for SEK 150 million, which
One of the questions that attracted attention was       fact quite evident because we stand for most of the       we are sharing in equal parts with Scandic, and
the significance of active asset management. In the     investment. But this approach does not cut much           that was completed now in Q2. The hotel has the
hotel world, asset management implies that some-        ice with brand managers, who believe that a pas-          ambition to be one of the best meeting hotels in
one has the task of managing and developing the         sive owner is a good owner, according to represen-        Scandinavia for an international and Scandinavian
hotel operations – a complex and often underesti-       tatives in one of the debates where I took part. For-     public. Go and have a look. We believe that you will
mated task. One must understand a hotel’s local         tunately, the audience did not agree with this view-      like what you see!
position, how product development should be pur-        point. I have also seen, through comments on
sued, how investments should be carried out, and        blogs and other social media, that the question is        Handball success
how operations should be managed. All with the          frequently discussed and that most people are             For those who may have missed the announce-
objective of optimising cash flow and thereby           sceptical to allowing hotel companies hold the ini-       ment: Swedish handball will be going to the Olym-
securing the value of the hotel property.               tiative with regard to profitability and value-devel-     pic Games – both the women’s and men’s squads!!
    The principal part of asset management is clas-     opment. The debate will no doubt continue.                The women’s squad became directly qualified
sic hotelier work, along with a certain talent for                                                                through their second place in the European Cham-
strategic thinking! Historically, such has been taken   Relatively stable start to 2012                           pionships one year ago, while the men qualified
care of and been a prioritised task for the senior      2012 started relatively stable compared with last         during the Easter weekend. After a dramatic match
management of hotel companies, where operative          year, which was better than expected. RevPAR is           with a rock ’n’ roll atmosphere in the stands, Swe-
expertise has been a hallmark. This pattern has         being primarily driven by prices, while volumes are       den beat Macedonia by 27–23. So now it’s time to
changed in recent years. On the one hand, hotel         declining in many markets. One of the reasons for         pack the bags for our colleague Staffan & Co!
companies often with northern Europe as their           lower occupancy is fewer large meetings, which is         Fantastic!!
base, work with a business concept that uses            a normal reaction in view of the economic uncer-
rental lease agreements. This automatically puts        tainty that prevailed during the autumn. Many peo-
focus on the operative aspect and creates good          ple are waiting or postponing their conferences.
operational productivity. In general, one can say       But despite this situation, the sector has suc-           Very best regards,
that these companies are good at asset manage-          ceeded in raising prices, thanks to all those who         Anders Nissen
ment. On the other hand, there are companies that       work with revenue management.
have moved to management agreements, often                  Pandox continues to develop well in these
with North America as their base. These compa-          somewhat uncertain surroundings. Revenues,
nies are controlled by brand managers, where the        cash flow and profitability are in line with last year.
priority is to implement standards and measures to      Pandox’ major challenge lies in planning and carry-
establish and embody the brand name. This repre-        ing out the considerable investments that we have
sents a shift in strategy and expertise that essen-     adopted. All in all, we estimate that we will invest




     Pandox Upgrade.                      Address: Pandox AB                        Graphic design and production:           Cover photo: Scandic Copenhagen.
     Market information from Pandox –     P.O. Box 15                               Hallvarsson & Halvarsson                 Upgrade can be ordered from Pandox
     published approximately three        SE-101 20 Stockholm, Sweden               Photos: Ulf Blomberg, Peter Hoelstad,    or read at www.pandox.se
     times a year.                        Tel.: +46 (0) 8 506 205 50                Getty Images, Shutterstock,
     Editors: Anders Nissen,              Fax: +46 (0) 8 506 205 70                 iStockphoto et al.
     Marika Hilldoff,                     E-mail: info@pandox.se
                                                                                    Printing: TMG Sthlm, May 2012.
     Annelie Sundström Aguilar            Visiting address:                         May be reprinted only with the
                                          Vasagatan 11, 9th floor, Stockholm        p
                                                                                    ­ ermission of Pandox.




2	                                                                                                                            market information from Pando x
News
                                                                              Hotel world




JANUARY                                       FEBRUARY                                   MARCH                                         APRIL
Roomkey.com is formed – a new inno-                                                      JW Marriott Marquis constructs the            Omena Hotels open their first Swedish
vative search engine for hotels and hotel                                                world’s highest hotel building in             hotel in Stockholm. The Finnish com-
reservations. The founders are a group                                                   Dubai, composed of two towers of              pany Omena Hotels currently has ten
of leading hotel companies and the                                                       355 metres in height and thereby only         hotels in Finland and one in Denmark.
objective is to offer travellers direct                                                  26 metres short of the Empire State           The opening of the new hotel in Stock-
access to a broad network of hotels over                                                 Building in New York. The first part of       holm is the first in a planned expansion
the whole world with flexibility, precision                                              the building will open already at the end     in Sweden. The hotel chain has a busi-
and quality assurance when making                                                        of the year. The whole hotel is expected      ness concept based on offering very
hotel reservations. Roomkey hopes that                                                   to be completed in 2014, and will than        central locations and low prices. To
hotels’ own reservations will recover         The Carlyle Group makes acquisition        contain more than 1,600 rooms.                solve this equation, staff-intensive areas
market shares from players such as            for close to SEK 3 billion. The Ameri-                                                   such as the reception have been
hotels.com, expedia.com etc.                  can Carlyle Group is one of the world’s                                                  removed in the concept.
                                              largest fund managers, and now
                                              acquires the entire commercial area of
Balder purchases the five-star hotel          Nacka Strand outside Stockholm from                                                      Pandox sells Ibis Hägersten in
Marriott Renaissance in central Malmö         Vasakronan for SEK 2.95 billion. The                                                     southern Stockholm. The business
for SEK 400 million, representing a direct    area contains the Hotel J and Restau-                                                    and conference hotel is located by the
return of about 6 percent, according to       rant J, as well as a large number of                                                     E4/E20 and has 190 guest rooms, ten
the purchaser. Apart from the hotel, the      workplaces, homes, schools, restau-                                                      conference rooms, restaurant and bar.
property also contains the TGI Friday’s       rants, as well as exhibition and confer-                                                 The purchaser is Sveafastigheter via its
restaurant. The lease with Marriott is for    ence facilities. The acquisition                                                         cooperation with Midstar and Event
just over 17 years. The vendor is the         embraces a total of 17 properties.                                                       Holding. The purchase price amounts
Norwegian company Kristiania, who                                                                                                      to SEK 112 million.
have sold after having acquired the hotel
property only in February last year from      Pandox sells the hotel property Elite
the crisis-hit Faktor Eiendom, also from      Stora Hotellet in Linköping. The hotel
Norway. Balder now owns ten hotel             has 92 rooms, restaurant, as well as
properties further to the acquisition.        conference and banquet facilities.
                                              The purchaser is the Mikael Åhman
                                              family, and possession took place on
                                              15 February 2012.

                                                                                         New landmark in Narvik – Rica Hotel
                                                                                         Narvik. The hotel is one of northern
Carlson and Rezidor form the Carlson                                                     N
                                                                                         ­ orway’s tallest buildings with 16 floors.   New Thon Hotel in Brussels. Thon
Rezidor Hotel Group. Carlson, a global                                                   The hotel has 148 rooms, a restaurant         Hotel EU is a 4-star hotel with 405
travel and hotel company, and the                                                        on the ground floor and the Sky Bar with      rooms located in the EU part of the city
Rezidor Hotel Group, one of the world’s                                                  panoramic view from the terrace on the        with walking distance to all major Euro-
fastest growing hotel companies,                                                         top floor.                                    pean institutions. The Thon Hotel EU
announce that they have formed the                                                                                                     is the fifth Thon Hotel in Brussels, which
Carlson Rezidor Hotel Group for joint                                                                                                  makes the group one of the largest
investments and partially joint marketing.                                               New exclusive 12-room hotel opens             players in the city.
                                                                                         in Stockholm. The new hotel, Ett Hem,
                                              Start of building of the Park Inn by       opens at Balders Hage in Lärkstan.
Clarion Post opens in Gothenburg.             Radisson Lund. The hotel is part of        Ett Hem is a well-furnished home from
Petter Stordalen’s new hotel with 500         Midroc’s planned establishment of the      the beginning of the last century with
rooms in the old post house in                World Trade Center Lund, where Midroc      just twelve rooms. The target group is
Drottningtorget in Gothenburg was             is developing a new area with offices,     wealthy travellers who wish to have the
inaugurated with a large and spectacu-        an office hotel and a hotel. The new       best, but are tired of large impersonal
lar party. The new hotel has implied          ten-storey hotel will contain 9,300 m2,    luxury hotels.
investments of around SEK 1.4 billion         192 double rooms, conference facilities,
for the owner, Home Properties.               a restaurant for 150 persons, as well as
                                              a bar/lounge area and fitness centre.
                                              The hotel will be operated by the
                                              Winn Hotel Group and will open in the
                                              beginning of 2014.




market information from Pandox 	                                                                                                                                                3
Focus on the market




 Uncertainty leads to
 different patterns in
  the hotel market
          DIFFERENT TRENDS IN THE WAKE OF UNSTEADY GLOBAL ECONOMY


The first quarter 2012 started relatively stable        and the beginning of 2012. However, 2012 started           with good growth. On the other hand, Oslo and
compared with last year, driven primarily by            with a slight increase in the rate of growth for the       Stockholm had relatively weak Q1 reports while
prices while volumes are declining in many              city compared with the average for the country,            Copenhagen was in line with last year.
markets. The uncertain global economic situa-           which is more stable. Several other large American            In general, trends are moving towards increas-
tion in the autumn was reflected in fewer large         cities are also showing positive trends and an             ingly shorter lead-times. Many markets are seeing a
meetings in the first quarter, and subsequently         increase in the rate of growth. Boston, Chicago,           growing opportunistic customer pattern particularly
lower occupancy. Considerable uncertainty still         Los Angeles, San Francisco and Miami have all              within the meeting and event segment, which
prevails regarding the global economy – both            reported double-digit growth in the first quarter.         means difficulties in planning manpower and fore-
upwards and downwards. In general, the first                                                                       casting occupancy. The first quarter had fewer
half-year is expected to be weaker, with                Uneven picture in Europe                                   guests from the PIIGS countries and France, as well
improvements in the autumn.                             The financial markets in Europe are still fragile. A lot   as slightly lower demand from the finance sector.
                                                        of work remains before long-term and sustainable
Signs of strength in the US,                            solutions to the problems in the debt-ridden euro-         Stockholm and Gothenburg
but a long way to go                                    countries are in place. Very large amounts have            Stockholm experienced uneven trends last year.
The United States continues to show signs of            however been injected into the banking system,             2012 started cautiously with slightly lower prices
strength in the country’s economic trends. Stock        which has led to reduced risk aversion in the finan-       and volumes in January-February, although better
markets have risen during the year so far in tandem     cial markets, and less concern that the Greek crisis       in March. These relatively weak developments are
with the publication of a number of positive macro-     will spread to the rest of southern Europe.                primarily due to a high proportion of new capacity
economic indicators. Unemployment has fallen                European developments in the hotel market are          in 2011 (Scandic Grand Central, Scandic Victoria
slightly, the Purchasing Manager Index shows cau-       more uneven than in the United States. Consider-           Tower) that dampened the market. Additional
tious optimism, and industrial sales have increased.    able differences prevail between countries and             capacity continues both this and next year with the
However, there are several worrying indicators that     regions, and there are strong fluctuations from one        opening of Clarion Arlanda and the expansion of
make optimists waver, and that show that the way        month or even weeks to another. The first quarter          Quality Hotel Globe.
back will still be long – the housing market is still   shows, not completely unexpectedly, that growth                The Stockholm year is deemed to be an inter-
weak, the country’s public debt constantly exceeds      markets in eastern Europe and the Baltic States            mediary year regarding fairs and conferences, and
100 percent, gasoline prices are at record levels,      have the strongest trends while southern and west-         few really large events are booked compared with
and the proportion of properties where the mort-        ern Europe have declined slightly.                         2010 and to a certain degree 2011. The number of
gage exceeds the market value is increasing again.                                                                 business visitors continues however to be strong,
Labour market indicators have also been poorer          Stable in London                                           and 2011 was a record year with a total of 10.6 mil-
recently.                                               London saw continued stable trends in the begin-           lion commercial room nights. At the end of March,
     The American hotel market basically follows the    ning of the year, and the first quarter had growth of      RevPAR for Stockholm was +1 percent on a rolling
country’s economic situation, and has seen and is       3 percent. In view of that 2011 was a record year,         12-months basis and +/–0 for rolling 3 months. The
still seeing good trends. In the full-year 2011, the    this is a good sign and shows that underlying              short trend shows that there is less demand and
United States had strong and even RevPAR-               demand is good. There are however certain black            that there is reason to believe that rates, which
growth where each quarter reported an improve-          clouds regarding the British economy. In general, a        have been at stable high levels for some time,
ment of around 8 percent compared with the previ-       slow recovery is anticipated further to bringing the       could start to decline.
ous year. The positive trend continued in the first     budget back into balance, and that unemployment                The Gothenburg market also developed rela-
quarter 2012, which also closed with a RevPAR           is very high.                                              tively weakly in the first quarter compared with last
increase of 8 percent – divided equally between                                                                    year. It is however worth noting that last year
price and occupancy.                                    Difficult to forecast in the Nordic Region                 Gothenburg had a record strong first half-year, and
     New York has developed essentially in line with    Nordic countries saw different trends in RevPAR in         that new capacity came to the city through the
the country’s average, both for the full-year 2011      the first quarter. The Helsinki market was stable          opening of Clarion Post with 500 rooms in January.



     Explanations:
     RevPAR = Income per room available



4	                                                                                                                             market information from Pando x
The market is also feeling lower economic activity.     erable potential in consumption, unemployment           SCANDINAVIAN OVERVIEW
RevPAR in the municipality of Gothenburg at the         has peaked, and housing prices are back to pre-
end of March was +/–0 percent on a rolling              crisis levels.                                          Greater Stockholm (total approx. 280 hotels)
12-month basis and –2 percent for rolling 3                 The hotel market also shows good foundations
months. The short trend thereby shows a decline.        for continued development. The beginning of 2012        SEK                                                        Thousands/day
                                                        was stable and the market has recovered well after      800                                                                          30
Additional capacity in Oslo                             a weak fourth quarter in 2011. Developments are         700
The Norwegian economy is developing positively          driven primarily by stable prices and that occu-                                                                                     25
                                                                                                                600
with strong domestic demand and increased               pancy has started to rise after low levels at the end
                                                                                                                                                                                             20
employment. The Norwegian krona is however still        of last year. Only limited new hotel capacity is        500
weak further to fewer exports.                          expected in 2012, which could strengthen even           400                                                                          15




                                                                                                                          RevPAR
   The hotel year started relatively weakly, due pri-   more a continuation of good trends. In March,           300
marily to the market being compared with strong         RevPAR was +3 percent on a rolling 12-month                                                                                          10
                                                                                                                200
last-year figures. The skiing world championships       basis and +/–0 percent for rolling 3 months.
                                                                                                                                                                                             5
held in January–February 2011 meant that large                                                                  100
parts of Oslo were fully booked. A significant pro-     Helsinki – good outlook for 2012                          0                                                                          0
portion of new capacity was also added to the           The outlook for the Finnish economy has improved




                                                                                                                        05




                                                                                                                        09
                                                                                                                       02

                                                                                                                       03

                                                                                                                       04




                                                                                                                       06

                                                                                                                       07

                                                                                                                       08



                                                                                                                       10

                                                                                                                       11
                                                                                                                     20




                                                                                                                     20
                                                                                                                     20

                                                                                                                     20

                                                                                                                     20




                                                                                                                     20

                                                                                                                     20

                                                                                                                     20



                                                                                                                     20

                                                                                                                     20
market last year, including the opening of Scandic      with an anticipated increase in exports in the second
                                                                                                                                    RevPAR, SEK
Vulkan in central Oslo with 149 rooms. Additional       half-year. The Helsinki hotel market had a strong end                                                                    Source: MIS
                                                                                                                                    Available room nights, thousands/day         Pandox (SCB)
capacity will continue in 2012 with the new hotels      to 2011 and a good start for 2012. The market is
QH Hotel Arena, Comfort Grand Central and Scan-         coming however from low levels, with last year see-
dic Fornebu, which are expected to dampen the           ing an unusually weak conference year. At the end of
                                                                                                                Copenhagen (total approx. 80 hotels)
market. However, additional capacity will be limited    March, RevPAR was close to +4 percent on both a
as of 2013 and onwards.                                 rolling 12-month and 3-month basis. Growth is           DKK                                                        Thousands/day
   At the end of March, RevPAR was –5 percent           driven in equal parts by prices and occupancy.          700                                                                          16
on a rolling 12-month basis, and –10 for rolling 3           Several events imply continued good trends in                                                                                   14
                                                                                                                600
months. Analysts believe however that the underly-      2012 for Helsinki, including the ice-hockey world
                                                                                                                                                                                             12
ing demand and market are still stable.                 championships, global capital for design, as well as    500
                                                        an increasing number of tourists from Russia, the                                                                                    10
                                                                                                                400
Towards brighter times in Copenhagen                    United States and Japan.                                                                                                             8
                                                                                                                300




                                                                                                                          RevPAR
The Danish economy is showing several signs of                                                                                                                                               6
going towards brighter times. There exists consid-                                                              200
                                                                                                                                                                                             4
                                                                                                                100                                                                          2
                                                                                                                  0                                                                          0




                                                                                                                                               05




                                                                                                                                                                       09
                                                                                                                      02

                                                                                                                                   03

                                                                                                                                         04




                                                                                                                                                     06

                                                                                                                                                           07

                                                                                                                                                                 08



                                                                                                                                                                             10

                                                                                                                                                                                    11
                                                                                                                                              20




                                                                                                                                                                      20
                                                                                                                     20

                                                                                                                               20

                                                                                                                                        20




                                                                                                                                                    20

                                                                                                                                                          20

                                                                                                                                                                20



                                                                                                                                                                            20

                                                                                                                                                                                  20
                                                                                                                                    RevPAR, DKK
                                                                                                                                                                                  Source:
                                                                                                                                    Available room nights, thousands/day          STR Global




                                                                                                                Oslo (total approx. 60 hotels)
                                                                                                                NOK                                                        Thousands/day
                                                                                                                800                                                                          12
                                                                                                                700
                                                                                                                                                                                             10
                                                                                                                600
                                                                                                                                                                                             8
                                                                                                                500
                                                                                                                400                                                                          6
                                                                                                                300
                                                                                                                          RevPAR




                                                                                                                                                                                             4
                                                                                                                200
                                                                                                                                                                                             2
                                                                                                                100
                                                                                                                  0                                                                          0
                                                                                                                                               05




                                                                                                                                                                       09
                                                                                                                      02

                                                                                                                                   03

                                                                                                                                         04




                                                                                                                                                     06

                                                                                                                                                           07

                                                                                                                                                                 08



                                                                                                                                                                             10

                                                                                                                                                                                    11
                                                                                                                                              20




                                                                                                                                                                      20
                                                                                                                     20

                                                                                                                               20

                                                                                                                                        20




                                                                                                                                                    20

                                                                                                                                                          20

                                                                                                                                                                20



                                                                                                                                                                            20

                                                                                                                                                                                  20




                                                                                                                                    RevPAR, NOK                                  Source:
                                                                                                                                    Available room nights, thousands/day         MIS Pandox




                                                                                                                Helsinki (total approx. 50 hotels)
                                                                                                                EUR                                                        Thousands/day
                                                                                                                80                                                                       9
                                                                                                                70                                                                       8

                                                                                                                60                                                                       7
                                                                                                                                                                                         6
                                                                                                                50
                                                                                                                                                                                         5
                                                                                                                40
                                                                                                                      RevPAR




                                                                                                                                                                                         4
                                                                                                                30
                                                                                                                                                                                         3
                                                                                                                20                                                                       2
                                                                                                                10                                                                       1
   Scandic Malmen, Stockholm
                                                                                                                 0                                                                       0
                                                                                                                                              05




                                                                                                                                                                      09
                                                                                                                     02

                                                                                                                               03

                                                                                                                                        04




                                                                                                                                                    06

                                                                                                                                                          07

                                                                                                                                                                08



                                                                                                                                                                            10

                                                                                                                                                                                  11
                                                                                                                                             20




                                                                                                                                                                     20
                                                                                                                 20

                                                                                                                           20

                                                                                                                                     20




                                                                                                                                                   20

                                                                                                                                                         20

                                                                                                                                                               20



                                                                                                                                                                           20

                                                                                                                                                                                 20




                                                                                                                                   RevPAR, EUR                          Source: STR Global,
                                                                                                                                   Available room nights, thousands/day MIS Pandox

market information from Pandox 	                                                                                                                                                         5
Market overview Q1/2012




     Pandox market barometer
MARCH 2012  The market barometer shows the situation of selected cities             economic climate, how well-developed the hotel market is, as well as how
in the economic cycle. The appraisal is based on an analysis of each city. Con-     developed and liquid the hotel property market is. Note that the hotel econo-
sideration is given to macro-developments, trends within the hotel industry, the    mic cycle is the same in pattern, but different in time.


SWEDEN

                                                                                                                            PEAK
                                                                                          downturn                          Luleå, Umeå
                                                               Uppsala, Lund, Stockholm, Jönköping




                                                                                           growth
                                                                                           Karlstad, Sundsvall

                         abating downturn
                         Gothenburg, Malmö



                                            level-off
                                            Helsingborg


Lund, after a strong 2011 with good spring              pared with last year. The positive development           As in Stockholm, January-February were weaker
months, started to decline in the first quarter 2012.   continued during the whole of 2011 and RevPAR            months while March showed stronger trends. Rev-
The short trend is downward and RevPAR is –5            was close to 12 percent on a rolling 12-month            PAR was –2 percent on a rolling 3-months basis,
percent on a rolling 3-month basis. Helsingborg         basis. The short trend shows however a weakening         although this is compared with a strong last-year
has had stable developments in the last 12              growth rate.                                             and additional capacity in the first quarter 2012
months, but the short trend shows a weakening              Stockholm experienced uneven developments             that dampened the market, which is also feeling
and decreasing growth rate, with declining              last year. 2012 started cautiously with slightly lower   lower economic activity. The short trend is a decre-
revenues.                                               prices and volumes in January–February, but with         asing downturn.
    Malmö developed negatively in 2011. The trend       growth and better trends in March. These relatively          The hotel markets in northern Sweden have
continues although volumes have now started to          weak developments are primarily due to a high pro-       developed well in general. Luleå, Umeå, Kiruna,
rise and the growth rate for the first quarter 2012     portion of new capacity in 2011. RevPAR for              Östersund and Sundsvall all have positive trends
was in line with last year’s levels.                    Stockholm is 1 percent up on a rolling 12-month          both in the long and short-term. Umeå is currently
    Jönköping has seen volatile developments            basis, although back to last year’s levels for rolling   developing strongest with a RevPAR of more than
over the last 12 months, and is now in a negative       3 months. The short trend shows a slight decline.        +16 percent for both rolling 12 and 3 months, due
trend that is increasing downwards. The first quar-        Uppsala is currently developing weakly. Both          primarily to prices. Trends in Luleå and Sundsvall
ter of the year fell by more 11 percent, which was      long and short trends show a downturn driven pri-        are also being driven by prices, while Kiruna and
partly due to several one-off events last year. Karl-   marily by falling prices.                                Östersund are driven by occupancy.
stad developed at a higher pace, and the first             Gothenburg was uneven in 2011 with a record-
quarter saw primarily occupancy doing well com-         strong first quarter and a weaker second half-year.




the market on the market




The year’s hotel conference in Berlin
The International Hotel Investment Forum, IHIF, is the hotel indus-                The tourist industry increasingly significant for the global economy.
try’s equivalent to the MIPIM property fair and the major annual                   The first day of the conference saw an interesting talk by David Scowsill, Presi-
meeting place for our sector traditionally held in the first week of               dent & CEO of the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC). Fascinating statis-
March. This year was the 15th time the forum has been arranged.                    tics were presented, showing that the tourist industry is becoming increasingly
The meeting attracted 1,700 participants with representatives from                 significant for the global economy, including:
all large companies from 57 countries. There were more participants                •	 The tourist industry represents 9% of the world’s overall GDP growth (which
than last year, but still below the pre-finance-crisis record years.                   can be compared with the finance sector’s 11% and the car industry’s 8%)
As in previous years, there were very few Scandinavian hotel owners                •	 That the forecast for 2022 shows that 1 of 10 jobs will be within the hotel
present. But Pandox of course was well-represented and took part                       and hospitality sector.
in several debates. Here is our report…                                            Interesting!


6	                                                                                                                           market information from Pando x
KEY TO THE DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE HOTEL ECONOMIC CYCLE:

         ROWTH  Occupancy rises relatively quickly and prices start to increase.
        G                                                                                          BATING DOWNTURN  Volumes become more stable – continued pressure
                                                                                                  A
        High potential and low risk.                                                              on prices. Certain potential and high risk.

         EAK  Occupancy rises/levels off and prices increase quickly.
        P                                                                                          EVEL-OFF  Occupancy rises with unchanged prices.
                                                                                                  L
        Good potential and low risk that gradually rises to high risk.                            High potential with declining risk.

         OWNTURN  Occupancy and prices fall further to lower demand or over-capacity.
        D
        Low potential and high risk.




International

                                                                                                                            PEAK
                                                            	                 downturn                                      London, Paris,
                                                                           Zürich, Oslo                                     Warsaw




                                                                                                      growth
                                                                                                      Helsinki, Copenhagen,
                                                                                                      Barcelona, Moscow
                           abating downturn
                           –



                                                                             level-off
                                                                             Berlin


London saw continued stable hotel developments                   equally by prices and occupancy. In Copenhagen,            now overtaken London. Several other eastern
in the beginning of the year, and landed at +3 per-              developments are driven mainly by stable prices,           European cities are performing strongly, including
cent in the first quarter, driven primarily by rising            although occupancy has started to rise from low            Moscow, Tallinn and Budapest. The financial city
average rates. In view of that 2011 was a record                 levels. RevPAR for the quarter closed at +/–0 com-         of Zürich has declined most for the moment, with
year, this is a good sign and shows that the under-              pared with the same period last year. Oslo declined        a decrease of 10 percent for the quarter.
lying demand is good. Berlin also showed a good                  in the quarter further to strong last-year figures and         Barcelona shows continued good growth both
quarter and closed with +3 percent growth, driven                increased additional capacity.                             in price and volume while Amsterdam, which was
by occupancy while prices continued to decline.                      The strongest trends in Europe are currently in        strong for a long time, declined slightly due to decli-
    Helsinki’s hotel market had a strong end to                  Warsaw with +10 percent after the first quarter,           ning volumes.
2011 and a good start to 2012. At the end of                     followed closely by Paris with +9 percent. In both
March, RevPAR was up by close to +4 percent for                  cities, the growth is driven only by average rates,
both rolling 12 and 3 months. Growth is driven                   and prices within the luxury segment in Paris have




The significance of the increasing middle-class in               growth regions. It was easy for members of the             ownership is required to maintain profitability, the
China and India was emphasised: together, these                  audience to believe that they were competing with          positions have changed and the owners’ demands
countries are expected to represent 1/3 of GDP-                  each other, with the winner being the one with the         towards the brands have become greater – partic-
growth for the global tourist industry in 2022. To               most new rooms in the pipeline…                            ularly when the owners make considerable invest-
close, the WTCC sharply criticised the world’s gov-                                                                         ments in the hotel properties.
ernments for maintaining expensive visa require-                 The debate continues: brands vs. owners                        The debate also touched profitability aspects.
ments for tourists, which leads to considerably                  The second day of the conference saw a debate              The major brands indeed contribute to pushing up
reduced tourist revenues.                                        regarding the hotel property owner’s role versus the       average rates, but in view of the charges and other
   Other speakers also emphasised the impor-                     brands’ role/operator’s role. It was quite clear that      service costs associated with franchise or manage-
tance of the continued development of China and                  the relationship has been and, from time to time still     ment contracts, the question is how profitable
India. The general opinion seems to be that a lower              is, associated with certain tension and different          these contracts are for the owners? From the own-
rate of growth in these countries would have con-                viewpoints.                                                er’s side, there is a desire to see more joint invest-
siderably more serious consequences than a                           In general, it has previously been easier for the      ments, greater shared risk and less influence from
drawn-out debt crisis in Europe.                                 major brand names to fully obtain their demands            the brands. The brands maintain that owners
   All of the major brand names were naturally                   regarding the design of rooms, price-setting, hotel        should carefully read what each respective brand
present, and they were all given the opportunity to              concept, etc, vis-à-vis the property owner. Now            stands for in view of that flexibility within a brand
present their forthcoming hotel projects in different            that more and more owners understand that active           name is limited.


market information from Pandox 	                                                                                                                                                 7
ThEMe social projects




… Pandox Youth Handball

Movement                                        Follow our projects and development at www.pandox.se/foretagsansvar




Last autumn, Pandox established the Pandox                 mitment and good cooperation, we are nonethe-             young people (spread roughly equally between girls
Youth Handball Movement project together with              less pleased when we look back over the project’s         and boys), who train regularly 2–3 times each week
Partille Cup and the Kenyan handball association           first half-year. We can already observe several posi-     – compared with the 200–400 who trained more
– Mount Kenya Sports Group (MSG).                          tive effects and good results. We are particularly        irregularly previously.
   The overall goal is to contribute to children and       happy that we have succeeded with most that we                – MSG has successfully established a
young people having meaningful and comprehen-              have strived to obtain and set up as targets in the       league where children and young people can play
sive leisure time through sport and handball train-        project plan:                                             against each other in different age groups and
ing. Based on this foundation, the objective is to             – The number of members is growing and we             degrees of difficulty. A league did not exist before
also contribute later with education regarding dis-        have an organised administrative staff and strong         and we believe that it can be a success factor for
ease as well as social and attitude issues.                local project management with resources to handle         greater interest for the sport, broader spread, and
   The project is still basically in the start-up phase,   membership applications, as well as long-term             not least to strengthen MSG as an organisation.
with many activities being formulated and pro-             planning for further expansion. The number of                 – The Pandox Training Course has been
cessed. Thanks to many enthusiasts, strong com-            members is currently already over 600 children and        implemented with good results. Two training



                                                                                                                                                  Pandox Training Course.




 Warming-up before the match in true Pandox spirit.




Freeset – Supporting freedom on the go!
                                  As we have previously mentioned in UpGrade, Pandox supports            A lot has also happened within Freeset during the year. Focus
                                  the fair-trade company Freeset in Calcutta by purchasing own-          is now on getting more donors and to be able to open more
                                  designed products, handbags and cloth bags, etc. Among Pan-            centres in northern Calcutta. According to Freeset, the cost of
                                  dox’ own-operated hotels, the Hotel Berlin, Berlin has pur-            being able to offer prostituted women freedom through
                                  chased 5,000 cloth bags and the Hotel Bloom! is next in line.          employment is about USD 475. This amount includes requisite
                                      Pandox has also mediated contacts between Freeset and              education regarding sewing, reading and writing, as well as
                                  other companies that have shown interest in the products,              medical and child care. It may not seem to be a very large
                                  including Congrex, an international management company that            amount of money to help someone to long-term freedom, but
                                  offers services for meetings, events and conferences. Congrex          in order to find more donors Freeset has entered a cooperation
                                  has purchased bags and arranged lectures about Freeset and             agreement with an organisation called Forgo with the objective
                                  social commitment for their customers. We at Pandox think              of enabling small donations. Through Forgo, it will be easier for
                                  that it is fun to be able to help other companies to initiate social   normal people to give small amounts of money to charity in
                                  cooperation.                                                           conjunction with their daily shopping. Fargo’s SmartPhone app


8	                                                                                                                               market information from Pando x
Five questions
camps for trainers and coaches of young people were held for two weeks in
February. The participants learned about handball theory, how to handle inju-
ries, bandage feet and fingers, pump balls, as well as discussing good
sportsmanship. But perhaps the most appreciated was nonetheless to try
out new practical exercises, defence and attack, in the handball court. A Par-
tille Cup Kenya Trophy tournament was also held during this period with 80
                                                                                    to Peter Eriksson
teams and more than 1,100 players taking part, which was a record for all the
years the tournament has been held.
                                                                                    Hotel manager of the Hilton
     The participants had very different levels, but all made progress in a short   ­Stockholm Slussen
time, according to head coach Lisette Norén from IK Sävehof. Many of the
participants had to walk a long way to take part in the training, up to one hour
in each direction. The training camps drew a lot of attention in Nyeri, and
there are considerable expectations and hopes for recurrent camps. The
camps were concluded with the distribution of diplomas and Pandox-sweat-
ers, and all participants were very grateful to have been able to take part.
     – Part of the support is used to give food to the poorest players in
conjunction with the training sessions.
     – Social projects are growing in number. The hope is that the next train-
ing camps for handball leaders will also include discussions about attitudes
among young people, healthy diet, drugs, hiv/aids as well as issues concern-
ing social life. These items are in demand and interesting to study. Other proj-


                                                                                    1
ects are also being formulated, including starting to award grants in the                 Stockholm received considerable new capacity in 2011
autumn in order to give young people an opportunity for better education.                 and more hotels plan to open in 2012. Trends in the first
     It was fantastically inspiring for us at Pandox who visited Nyeri while the          quarter were relatively weak, and many people believe
training camps and tournament were in progress, and to see the Kenyan joy           that predictability is lower now than previously. How do you
and self-evident presence. Young people who laugh, dance and sing                   feel about the Stockholm market for the coming year?
together next to the handball court show that we in Sweden have a lot to
                                                                                    Difficult to say, and I agree that predictability is lower now than previ-
learn from our Kenyan friends. Sport is a considerable source for happiness
                                                                                    ously. There are no direct weeks that are fully active in the same way
and solidarity, and we have experienced the Kenyan young people as being
                                                                                    as before. Things move along however, and the year will be fine for
incredibly open and optimistic regarding their situation and future. This has
                                                                                    Stockholm, although I believe that the market will be slightly poorer
strengthened us in our belief that sport plays an important role for children’s
                                                                                    than last year as a whole.
development, and that we are on the right track within this project!


                                                                                    2    We indeed know that Hilton Slussen is a first-class
                                                                                         international hotel with one of Stockholm’s absolutely
                                                                                         most beautiful panoramic views. But what more is
   Partille Cup Kenya Trophy – the largest tournament                               unique about Hilton Slussen?
   in East and Central Africa
                                                                                    We have a product that is extremely good from all aspects. For hard-
   Mt Kenya Handball Club, MSG, has taken part since 2003 in the
                                                                                    ware, the architecture of the hotel is unique with three completely
   world’s largest tournament for young people – the Partille Cup in
                                                                                    separate sections and many round forms originating from Slussen
   Gothenburg. More than 1,000 teams from 50 countries take part in
                                                                                    and its design. We provide excellent service, which is clearly reflected
   the tournament. In 2008, MSG took the initiative to start an own local
                                                                                    in the very positive feedback from our guests. We have also focused
   tournament in their hometown of Nyeri. The tournament has been
                                                                                    on having Sweden’s best breakfast, which we are very proud of.
   arranged since 2009 with support from Partille Cup, and the number


                                                                                    3
   of participants has steadily grown – in 2012 there were 80 teams with                   You have been hotel manager of the Hilton Slussen
   1,120 participants. The dream is now to bring in more teams also from                   since 2008 and have 130 employees. How would you
   other parts of Africa and the world. During this year’s tournament,                     summarise your leadership with three words?
   MSG was responsible for a tent under the banderol “MSG – Friend of
                                                                                    I allow a very large scope of action to all of my
   the Youth”. The tent was a much-appreciated feature and young peo-
                                                                                    department heads and employees. My job is
   ple, trainers and parents could go there for guidance and advice from
                                                                                    to try to make their job easier. And then we
                                                                                                                                        Delegation
   knowledgeable coaches concerning both healthcare and problems
   experienced by young people.
                                                                                    must have a lot of humour and creativity –          Creative
                                                                                    which is very important for the hotel. I also
                                                                                    want department heads in particular to be           Trust
                                                                                    organised. I like organised creativity.


                                                                                    4      Hilton Stockholm Slussen is the only hotel in Stockholm
                                                                                           operated under the Hilton brand. What significance
                                                                                           does this have for your operations?
                                                                                    On the one hand it is easier to focus on just one hotel. However, I
                                                                                    would like to see more Hilton brands in Stockholm because it would
                                                                                    make it easier for our staff to pursue a career and for us to retain many
enables people to choose a cheaper alternative of a product or completely
                                                                                    skilful employees. Simultaneously, there would be economies of scale
decline a purchase in favour of Forgo’s project. For example, one can
                                                                                    that we do not currently have.
choose a small cup of coffee instead of a big cup, or just skip having a


                                                                                    5
coffee and instead send a small amount to charity                                          And finally, how come you have your own bees
with a couple of simple clicks on the phone. Pandox                                        at the hotel?
is following the cooperation agreement with great
                                                                                            When Pandox was planning to refurbish our roof, we wanted
interest, and hopes for good results for Freeset.
                                                                                    to have a large meadow with flowers and grass on the roof, like a
                                                                                    garden in the centre of Stockholm. I started to Google around on
                                                                                    this subject, and found buildings that had bees on the roof. The idea
                                                                                    was born and we have had our bees for one year now. But we are
                                                                                    still waiting for our roof garden…
   Read more on www.forgo.it, www.freeset.org or scan the QR code.


market information from Pandox 	                                                                                                                            9
Trendspotting ... Olympics – countdown to the
… New York – increasingly popular
                                                         sporting event of the year!
New statistics from New York’s tourist office
                                                         Hotel room occupancy in London is normally stable         Miles Auger, Associate Director of the valuation team
show that the number of foreign tourists in
                                                         around a high level of 80-85 percent during the           of CBRE Hotels, also predicts a positive effect from
New York has more than doubled since 2005,
                                                         summer months – despite the European vacation             the Olympics and believes that the Olympic weeks
within an increase from 6 million in 2005 to
                                                         period, less business travel, and that tourists to a      combined with the Diamond Jubilee and Farnborough
almost 13 million in 2011. Among Nordic tourists,
                                                         certain degree prefer sea and sand instead of cit-        will lead to a buoyant summer with a particularly
Swedes were the largest group.
                                                         ies. The current question is how the most outstand-       strong leisure segment while potentially having a
   Tourism is extremely significant for the city’s
                                                         ing sporting event of the year – the Summer Olym-         reduced corporate segment due to the number of
economy. Last year, tourists spent USD 32 billion
                                                         pic Games from 27 July to 12 August and the Para-         large leisure events deterring business from London
and around 321,000 people in the city have a job
                                                         lympics from 29 August to 9 September – will affect       over what is otherwise a quieter corporate period.
that is dependent on tourism.
                                                         the hotel market.                                         There is also some expectation that the timing of
                                                                                                                   Ramadan may bring demand in late August to early
                                                         An exciting time for London                               September. For the full-year, the rise in RevPAR is
                                                         This will be the third time that London has hosted a      forecasted to be 4–5 percent, due entirely to pricing,
                                                         modern Olympic Games. Interest is at a record high,       while 2013 is expected to see weaker trends.
                                                         and most of the 6.6 million tickets have already been         The hotel consultant Savills Hotels is also positive
                                                         sold. London will also see the Queen’s Diamond Jubi-      with regard to effects on the hotel industry in London.
                                                         lee this summer with the particularly important cele-     In one report, growth for the full-year 2012 is fore-
                                                         bration of the Queen’s 85th birthday and 60 years on      casted to be close to 4 percent.
                                                         the throne, which prepares the way for a very exciting
                                                         time for London and for visitors.                         …although some have doubts
                                                            2011 was a record year for British tourism with more    Other analysts anticipate less tourism during the sum-
                                                         than 30 million foreign visitors, who together spent       mer. Higher prices, larger crowds and infrastructure
                                                         GBP 18 billion. Tourist organisations are now fully        problems are factors that could imply that less sport-
… Pop-up hotel new trend
                                                         engaged in marketing the Olympics and the ­ iamond
                                                                                                        D           interested tourists could flee the city. Sceptics also
The pop-up trend – for those who want to be first
                                                         Jubilee with the hope of beating last year’s figures.      believe that the number of hotel reservations is still
with the latest. The concept is based on new,
                                                                                                                    below the forecasted level and that expectations are
often rather odd and different hotels that “pop
                                                         High expectations and a lot happening                      unrealistic. One underlines in particular the prevailing
up” in the market for a short time, only to disap-
                                                         London’s hotels have considerable expectations             economic climate, that room occupancy figures come
pear again just as fast. One example of the new
                                                         regarding this summer, which can be seen in the high already from high levels, and that many hotels have
trend is the spectacular one-room hotel called “A
                                                         prices. Room rates in central London and in east Lon- allocated rooms to the Olympic Committee at dis-
Room for London” by the Thames close to
                                                         don, close to the arenas, are more than GBP 400 on         counted rates. Moreover, the fact that certain other
Waterloo. The hotel has been successfully
                                                         average, which is more than double normal price lev- hotel operators that tried to apply restrictions for multi-
launched as a retreat from the throng of the city,
                                                         els. Even higher prices – up to five times normal rates night reservations have now already started to soften
and will remain for the rest of the year. Another
                                                         – have been noted, especially during the inauguration their demands, can also be interpreted as meaning that
example is Design Hotels’ Papaya Playa project
                                                         and closing ceremonies.                                    expectations are too high.
in Mexico, where the hotel operator has rented a
                                                                                                                          Another dark cloud is what will happen in the
hundred beach huts – with a lifetime of five
                                                         Positive voices from the market…                           hotel market directly after the Olympics. One percep-
months.
                                                         According to Giorgio Manenti, Executive Vice President tion that is probably shared by many visitors is that
                                                         of JLL Hotels in London, the Olympics are expected to London is an expensive destination this summer due
… Delayed take-off for Berlin’s new huge
                                                         have a very positive effect on the hotel market. High      to the Olympics… and that the Olympic Games will
airport
                                                         reservation levels are being reported already now in       continue for most of the summer.
Only in spring 2013, after several delays, the new
                                                         May for the central hotels, despite the high prices. Gior-     However, the Games have not yet started and we
airport in Berlin – Berlin Brandenburg Willy Brandt
                                                         gio Manenti also believes that the Olympics will have      know that the hotel industry is becoming increasingly
– is expected to open about 20 km south-east of
                                                         considerable significance for London in the long-term. unpredictable, and that late reservations are becom-
the city centre. The airport is built on a surface
                                                         The investments made in infrastructure have made           ing more common. UpGrade will, quite simply, report
equivalent to 2,000 football fields and will initially
                                                         London a more healthy and attractive city for tourists,    the subsequent outcome!
take 27 million passengers a year, but with
                                                         residents and investors.
expansion potential for a further 45 million pas-
sengers. This can be compared with Arlanda’s 19
million passengers. The new airport will open up
a new opportunity for marketing Berlin both as a
tourist and a conference city. Forecasts up to
2020 show a 40-percent increase in the number
of overnight stays – and apart from all of the well-
known tourist attractions, visitors are also
attracted by good value for money in Berlin.




(Sources: Vagabond, dn.se, svd.se)



10	                                                                                                                           market information from Pando x
CITY in CENTRE




Wonderful
Copenhagen                      Scandic Copenhagen




                                      Photo montage



Copenhagen is very much an international hotel           cycle to the sanctuary of Christiana with its Pusher        Copenhagen
city, and close to 60 percent of all hotel guests        Street and the renowned, liberal and permissive
come from another country. Demand for the                lifestyle. Then finish off with a cold beer at a pave-      HOTEL AND TOURISM DATA
hotel industry is driven by the city’s strong posi-      ment café in Nyhavn. There are many alternatives,
tion as a conference city and leading cruise             and the city is easily accessible with several parks        Hotel guests
destination in Scandinavia, proximity to the             and cycle paths.
Kastrup International Airport, and considerable              There is also a very broad choice of restaurants
business travel.                                         in Copenhagen with good quality, including Noma
   There was significant capacity addition in 2011       that has been voted several times as the world’s
with several large new hotels, including the Bella Sky   best restaurant. Nightlife offers all imaginable kinds
Comwell Hotel with a unique award-winning design         of clubs, and for those who want to rest their feet
and more than 800 rooms, and the central and             after a hard evening on the dance floor, an optimal
                                                                                                                       Domestic, 43%                Leisure travel, 54%
trendy budget Generator Hostel hotel with 662            choice is to take a rickshaw cycle taxi to the hotel,
                                                                                                                       International, 57%           Business travel, 46%
rooms. However, only limited new hotel capacity is       or even further into the Copenhagen night that
expected in 2012.                                        most often goes over to the morning.
                                                                                                                     Hotel                       Market size:
Perfect for a weekend!                                   Pandox projects                                                                         Approx. 80 hotels,
Apart from the best-known attractions such as            A lot is also happening in Copenhagen for Pandox,                                       About 15,000 rooms
Tivoli, the Louisiana Museum of Modern Art, the          including the ongoing development of Scandic                                            Largest brands: 	
Christianborg Palace, Ströget, and the little Mer-       Copenhagen. All rooms will be upgraded, and the                                         Arp Hansen,
maid, there is much more to discover – such as dif-      lobby, reception, conference facilities and restau-                                     Rezidor, Scandic
ferent architecture and the role as an acknowl-          rant will have a totally new and modern design con-
                                                                                                                                                 No. of guest nights:
edged fashion city. Why not take a sightseeing tour      cept. The goal is ambitious – to be one of the best
                                                                                                                       Brands, 33%               More than 3.7 million
with the favourite Danish means of transport – a         meeting hotels in Scandinavia for an international                                      (+12% compared with
                                                                                                                       Independent, 67%
bicycle! Visit the Glyptoteket Museum at Radhus-         and Scandinavian public!                                                                2010)
platsen, look at new trendy parts of Nørrebro or




The major Shark project continues                                                                                      Scandic Upplands Väsby – first of the highway hotels
The joint hotel project between Pandox and Scandic,      The project’s vision is to renew and develop the new                               with the new design concept.
where SEK 1.6 billion is being invested in the upgrad-   generation of highway hotels with a joint concept
ing and development of 38 existing Scandic hotels in     and to invest in new concepts for the city-centre
the Nordic Region, is known as “Shark”. The project      hotels. The new concepts are characterised by flexi-
embraces most of Scandic’s highway hotels, as well       bility and untraditional solutions that take into consid-
as city-centre hotels such as Malmen in Stockholm,       eration new family constellations, travel patterns and
Continental and Hilton Strand in Helsinki, and the       trends. This also implies that the history of Scandic
KNA hotel in Oslo. The framework of the project was      and each respective highway hotel be integrated in
adopted in 2011, and full focus is now on planning       the design element and layout, that the hotels’ infor-
the large number of sub-projects included in the         mal home-feeling be strengthened, that more social
investment, identifying purchasing synergies, and        meeting places be created, and that the rooms be
getting really started.                                  given new complete furnishings and design.

market information from Pandox 	                                                                                                                                           11
Pandox news
                                                                  News from the world of Pandox




                  New
            technology
                          at The Hotel Brussels                                                                   Hotel manager Bernard Chênevert had the pleasure and
                                                                                                                  honour of welcoming Michail Gorbatjov.
   The Hotel Brussels has signed an agreement with Open Ways
   that offers a SmartPhone app that guests can use as their room
                                                                                                                 Prestigious visit to the InterContinental
   key. Part of the ongoing total refurbishment will be the installation
                                                                                                                 Montreal
   of “Mobile Key”, via Open Ways, for all of the hotel’s 424 rooms.
                                                                                                                 Mikhail Gorbachev, former president of the Soviet
                                                                                                                 Union, took part in a conference with the board of
                                                                                                                 the Montreal Chamber of Commerce. The VIP
                                                                                                                 guest appropriately stayed in the presidential suite
                                                                                                                 at the InterContinental Montreal, and welcomed
                                                                                                                 other dignitaries including Brian Mulroney, former
                                                                                                                 prime minister of Canada. Other celebrities who
                                                                                                                 visited the hotel in the past half-year include Lady
                                                                                                                 Gaga and Twitter-founder Bizz Stone – exciting!



                                                                                                                  Jan Henningsen and Aldert Schaaphok
                                                                                                                  at the Hotel BLOOM!




Prestigious award for Hyatt
Hyatt Regency Montreal has received an award for
its excellent hospitality. It is the 26th year that
industry and commerce in the region receives
awards for their efforts to make Montreal a world-
class destination. In the “larger than 200 rooms”
category, Hyatt received the coveted Ulysses 2012
                                                         New rooms ready at the Hotel Berlin, Berlin             New hotel manager at the Hotel BLOOM!
award further to extensive refurbishment of the
                                                         The extensive refurbishment of the Classic Wing is      Jan Henningsen grew up in Germany but has
public areas, restaurant, bar and wine-bar in 2011.
                                                         now complete and a total of 200 new premium             pursued his career in the United States. His latest
                                                         rooms and 26 new conference suites are now              position was as hotel manager of The Standard
                                                         ready to welcome their guests. All of the rooms         West Hollywood in Los Angeles and The Standard
Good Christmas deed of kindness
                                                         have an aspect linked with Berlin’s history. Five       Los Angeles Downtown.
at the Choice in Södertälje!
                                                         floors are divided into different decades with design   – “Jan has broad experience of managing and
Just before Christmas 2011, the Quality Park in
                                                         and furnishing characteristics of the period, where     developing concept hotels in the United States,
Södertälje started a charity project that offered
                                                         each floor tells its own part of the city’s history.    and we believe that the Hotel BLOOM! will be able
poor families the chance to have a more pleasant
                                                                                                                 to fully benefit from his knowledge,” says Aldert
Christmas with food and presents. Many people
                                                                                                                 Schaaphok, Vice President Operations Pandox.
find Christmas to be quite obvious, but there are        I am Harry, Mr Harry. I am third in the series of
many families with children that need help, and          Corporate Dogs at Pandox. I sometimes go to the
the objective of the project was to highlight the        office to guard my position. I start the day by
                                                                                                                      BOOK TUESDAY, 27 NOVEMBER for
problem. “We could not help everyone, but we             greeting everyone together with my master, and
helped several families who will no doubt remem-         then I go out with Thérèse who is the Corporate             PANDOX’ HOTEL MARKET DAY
ber Christmas 2011 for a long time,” reports those       Dog walker. The latest walk was at lunchtime to
                                                                                                                    AT 1PM, AT THE HILTON STOCKHOLM SLUSSEN.
who took part in the project.                            Kungsträdgården when the cherry trees were in
                                                                                    full bloom. I am liked at              As usual, we will present domestic and
                                                                                                                          international hotel market trends, as well
                                                                                    the office because I
                                                                                                                            as a current topic within our industry.
                                                                                    contribute with both
                                                                                    energy and calm. I also
                                                                                    sometimes bark a little
                                                                                    at my colleagues!



                                                                                                                    Read more news about Pandox
                                                                                                                    at www.pandox.se

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Pandox UpGrade - Nr 1 2012 (Eng)

  • 1. Up Grade # 1 2012 M a r k e t I N F O R M AT I O N F R O M PA N D O X – O N E O F E U R O P E ’ S L EA D I N G H O TE L P R O P ERT Y C O M PA N I E S Uneven picture in the world’s hotel markets trends | •POPULAR new york • NEW P O P - U P H O TE L S • Wo n d e r f ul c op e n ha g e n S po t ligh t 6 8 10 Report from Follow our social London this year’s projects in Kenya in waiting p. Berlin Conference p. and India p. mode
  • 2. JUST A WORD Active ownership – a very engaging question! The hotel industry’s major tially implies that companies will leave their role as more than SEK 2 billion over the next three years in meeting place, the Inter- operator and gradually become brand and distri- upgrading existing hotels. The largest project is the national Hotel Investment bution companies. Roughly like a large EuroBonus development of 38 Scandic hotels for a total of Forum (IHIF), and equiva- company. These are the principal reasons why SEK 1.6 billion, of which Pandox will stand for two- lent to MIPIM, is tradition- asset management is becoming more important, thirds. Another major investment is the develop- ally held in the first week and perhaps be totally decisive with a partner that ment of The Hotel, Brussels, which is being reposi- of March. The meeting drew close to 2,000 par- can actuate value-development. tioned and totally refurbished. The first rooms ticipants from most parts of the world and with Who then has the responsibility for managing started to be handed back in April, and the entire representatives from all large companies. and developing the hotel properly? From Pandox’ product development will be completed by the end aspect, we have always hailed active ownership, of the year. Another large project is the investment Active asset management which is part of the Company’s DNA. It is also in in Scandic Copenhagen for SEK 150 million, which One of the questions that attracted attention was fact quite evident because we stand for most of the we are sharing in equal parts with Scandic, and the significance of active asset management. In the investment. But this approach does not cut much that was completed now in Q2. The hotel has the hotel world, asset management implies that some- ice with brand managers, who believe that a pas- ambition to be one of the best meeting hotels in one has the task of managing and developing the sive owner is a good owner, according to represen- Scandinavia for an international and Scandinavian hotel operations – a complex and often underesti- tatives in one of the debates where I took part. For- public. Go and have a look. We believe that you will mated task. One must understand a hotel’s local tunately, the audience did not agree with this view- like what you see! position, how product development should be pur- point. I have also seen, through comments on sued, how investments should be carried out, and blogs and other social media, that the question is Handball success how operations should be managed. All with the frequently discussed and that most people are For those who may have missed the announce- objective of optimising cash flow and thereby sceptical to allowing hotel companies hold the ini- ment: Swedish handball will be going to the Olym- securing the value of the hotel property. tiative with regard to profitability and value-devel- pic Games – both the women’s and men’s squads!! The principal part of asset management is clas- opment. The debate will no doubt continue. The women’s squad became directly qualified sic hotelier work, along with a certain talent for through their second place in the European Cham- strategic thinking! Historically, such has been taken Relatively stable start to 2012 pionships one year ago, while the men qualified care of and been a prioritised task for the senior 2012 started relatively stable compared with last during the Easter weekend. After a dramatic match management of hotel companies, where operative year, which was better than expected. RevPAR is with a rock ’n’ roll atmosphere in the stands, Swe- expertise has been a hallmark. This pattern has being primarily driven by prices, while volumes are den beat Macedonia by 27–23. So now it’s time to changed in recent years. On the one hand, hotel declining in many markets. One of the reasons for pack the bags for our colleague Staffan & Co! companies often with northern Europe as their lower occupancy is fewer large meetings, which is Fantastic!! base, work with a business concept that uses a normal reaction in view of the economic uncer- rental lease agreements. This automatically puts tainty that prevailed during the autumn. Many peo- focus on the operative aspect and creates good ple are waiting or postponing their conferences. operational productivity. In general, one can say But despite this situation, the sector has suc- Very best regards, that these companies are good at asset manage- ceeded in raising prices, thanks to all those who Anders Nissen ment. On the other hand, there are companies that work with revenue management. have moved to management agreements, often Pandox continues to develop well in these with North America as their base. These compa- somewhat uncertain surroundings. Revenues, nies are controlled by brand managers, where the cash flow and profitability are in line with last year. priority is to implement standards and measures to Pandox’ major challenge lies in planning and carry- establish and embody the brand name. This repre- ing out the considerable investments that we have sents a shift in strategy and expertise that essen- adopted. All in all, we estimate that we will invest Pandox Upgrade. Address: Pandox AB Graphic design and production: Cover photo: Scandic Copenhagen. Market information from Pandox – P.O. Box 15 Hallvarsson & Halvarsson Upgrade can be ordered from Pandox published approximately three SE-101 20 Stockholm, Sweden Photos: Ulf Blomberg, Peter Hoelstad, or read at www.pandox.se times a year. Tel.: +46 (0) 8 506 205 50 Getty Images, Shutterstock, Editors: Anders Nissen, Fax: +46 (0) 8 506 205 70 iStockphoto et al. Marika Hilldoff, E-mail: info@pandox.se Printing: TMG Sthlm, May 2012. Annelie Sundström Aguilar Visiting address: May be reprinted only with the Vasagatan 11, 9th floor, Stockholm p ­ ermission of Pandox. 2 market information from Pando x
  • 3. News Hotel world JANUARY FEBRUARY MARCH APRIL Roomkey.com is formed – a new inno- JW Marriott Marquis constructs the Omena Hotels open their first Swedish vative search engine for hotels and hotel world’s highest hotel building in hotel in Stockholm. The Finnish com- reservations. The founders are a group Dubai, composed of two towers of pany Omena Hotels currently has ten of leading hotel companies and the 355 metres in height and thereby only hotels in Finland and one in Denmark. objective is to offer travellers direct 26 metres short of the Empire State The opening of the new hotel in Stock- access to a broad network of hotels over Building in New York. The first part of holm is the first in a planned expansion the whole world with flexibility, precision the building will open already at the end in Sweden. The hotel chain has a busi- and quality assurance when making of the year. The whole hotel is expected ness concept based on offering very hotel reservations. Roomkey hopes that to be completed in 2014, and will than central locations and low prices. To hotels’ own reservations will recover The Carlyle Group makes acquisition contain more than 1,600 rooms. solve this equation, staff-intensive areas market shares from players such as for close to SEK 3 billion. The Ameri- such as the reception have been hotels.com, expedia.com etc. can Carlyle Group is one of the world’s removed in the concept. largest fund managers, and now acquires the entire commercial area of Balder purchases the five-star hotel Nacka Strand outside Stockholm from Pandox sells Ibis Hägersten in Marriott Renaissance in central Malmö Vasakronan for SEK 2.95 billion. The southern Stockholm. The business for SEK 400 million, representing a direct area contains the Hotel J and Restau- and conference hotel is located by the return of about 6 percent, according to rant J, as well as a large number of E4/E20 and has 190 guest rooms, ten the purchaser. Apart from the hotel, the workplaces, homes, schools, restau- conference rooms, restaurant and bar. property also contains the TGI Friday’s rants, as well as exhibition and confer- The purchaser is Sveafastigheter via its restaurant. The lease with Marriott is for ence facilities. The acquisition cooperation with Midstar and Event just over 17 years. The vendor is the embraces a total of 17 properties. Holding. The purchase price amounts Norwegian company Kristiania, who to SEK 112 million. have sold after having acquired the hotel property only in February last year from Pandox sells the hotel property Elite the crisis-hit Faktor Eiendom, also from Stora Hotellet in Linköping. The hotel Norway. Balder now owns ten hotel has 92 rooms, restaurant, as well as properties further to the acquisition. conference and banquet facilities. The purchaser is the Mikael Åhman family, and possession took place on 15 February 2012. New landmark in Narvik – Rica Hotel Narvik. The hotel is one of northern Carlson and Rezidor form the Carlson N ­ orway’s tallest buildings with 16 floors. New Thon Hotel in Brussels. Thon Rezidor Hotel Group. Carlson, a global The hotel has 148 rooms, a restaurant Hotel EU is a 4-star hotel with 405 travel and hotel company, and the on the ground floor and the Sky Bar with rooms located in the EU part of the city Rezidor Hotel Group, one of the world’s panoramic view from the terrace on the with walking distance to all major Euro- fastest growing hotel companies, top floor. pean institutions. The Thon Hotel EU announce that they have formed the is the fifth Thon Hotel in Brussels, which Carlson Rezidor Hotel Group for joint makes the group one of the largest investments and partially joint marketing. New exclusive 12-room hotel opens players in the city. in Stockholm. The new hotel, Ett Hem, Start of building of the Park Inn by opens at Balders Hage in Lärkstan. Clarion Post opens in Gothenburg. Radisson Lund. The hotel is part of Ett Hem is a well-furnished home from Petter Stordalen’s new hotel with 500 Midroc’s planned establishment of the the beginning of the last century with rooms in the old post house in World Trade Center Lund, where Midroc just twelve rooms. The target group is Drottningtorget in Gothenburg was is developing a new area with offices, wealthy travellers who wish to have the inaugurated with a large and spectacu- an office hotel and a hotel. The new best, but are tired of large impersonal lar party. The new hotel has implied ten-storey hotel will contain 9,300 m2, luxury hotels. investments of around SEK 1.4 billion 192 double rooms, conference facilities, for the owner, Home Properties. a restaurant for 150 persons, as well as a bar/lounge area and fitness centre. The hotel will be operated by the Winn Hotel Group and will open in the beginning of 2014. market information from Pandox 3
  • 4. Focus on the market Uncertainty leads to different patterns in the hotel market DIFFERENT TRENDS IN THE WAKE OF UNSTEADY GLOBAL ECONOMY The first quarter 2012 started relatively stable and the beginning of 2012. However, 2012 started with good growth. On the other hand, Oslo and compared with last year, driven primarily by with a slight increase in the rate of growth for the Stockholm had relatively weak Q1 reports while prices while volumes are declining in many city compared with the average for the country, Copenhagen was in line with last year. markets. The uncertain global economic situa- which is more stable. Several other large American In general, trends are moving towards increas- tion in the autumn was reflected in fewer large cities are also showing positive trends and an ingly shorter lead-times. Many markets are seeing a meetings in the first quarter, and subsequently increase in the rate of growth. Boston, Chicago, growing opportunistic customer pattern particularly lower occupancy. Considerable uncertainty still Los Angeles, San Francisco and Miami have all within the meeting and event segment, which prevails regarding the global economy – both reported double-digit growth in the first quarter. means difficulties in planning manpower and fore- upwards and downwards. In general, the first casting occupancy. The first quarter had fewer half-year is expected to be weaker, with Uneven picture in Europe guests from the PIIGS countries and France, as well improvements in the autumn. The financial markets in Europe are still fragile. A lot as slightly lower demand from the finance sector. of work remains before long-term and sustainable Signs of strength in the US, solutions to the problems in the debt-ridden euro- Stockholm and Gothenburg but a long way to go countries are in place. Very large amounts have Stockholm experienced uneven trends last year. The United States continues to show signs of however been injected into the banking system, 2012 started cautiously with slightly lower prices strength in the country’s economic trends. Stock which has led to reduced risk aversion in the finan- and volumes in January-February, although better markets have risen during the year so far in tandem cial markets, and less concern that the Greek crisis in March. These relatively weak developments are with the publication of a number of positive macro- will spread to the rest of southern Europe. primarily due to a high proportion of new capacity economic indicators. Unemployment has fallen European developments in the hotel market are in 2011 (Scandic Grand Central, Scandic Victoria slightly, the Purchasing Manager Index shows cau- more uneven than in the United States. Consider- Tower) that dampened the market. Additional tious optimism, and industrial sales have increased. able differences prevail between countries and capacity continues both this and next year with the However, there are several worrying indicators that regions, and there are strong fluctuations from one opening of Clarion Arlanda and the expansion of make optimists waver, and that show that the way month or even weeks to another. The first quarter Quality Hotel Globe. back will still be long – the housing market is still shows, not completely unexpectedly, that growth The Stockholm year is deemed to be an inter- weak, the country’s public debt constantly exceeds markets in eastern Europe and the Baltic States mediary year regarding fairs and conferences, and 100 percent, gasoline prices are at record levels, have the strongest trends while southern and west- few really large events are booked compared with and the proportion of properties where the mort- ern Europe have declined slightly. 2010 and to a certain degree 2011. The number of gage exceeds the market value is increasing again. business visitors continues however to be strong, Labour market indicators have also been poorer Stable in London and 2011 was a record year with a total of 10.6 mil- recently. London saw continued stable trends in the begin- lion commercial room nights. At the end of March, The American hotel market basically follows the ning of the year, and the first quarter had growth of RevPAR for Stockholm was +1 percent on a rolling country’s economic situation, and has seen and is 3 percent. In view of that 2011 was a record year, 12-months basis and +/–0 for rolling 3 months. The still seeing good trends. In the full-year 2011, the this is a good sign and shows that underlying short trend shows that there is less demand and United States had strong and even RevPAR- demand is good. There are however certain black that there is reason to believe that rates, which growth where each quarter reported an improve- clouds regarding the British economy. In general, a have been at stable high levels for some time, ment of around 8 percent compared with the previ- slow recovery is anticipated further to bringing the could start to decline. ous year. The positive trend continued in the first budget back into balance, and that unemployment The Gothenburg market also developed rela- quarter 2012, which also closed with a RevPAR is very high. tively weakly in the first quarter compared with last increase of 8 percent – divided equally between year. It is however worth noting that last year price and occupancy. Difficult to forecast in the Nordic Region Gothenburg had a record strong first half-year, and New York has developed essentially in line with Nordic countries saw different trends in RevPAR in that new capacity came to the city through the the country’s average, both for the full-year 2011 the first quarter. The Helsinki market was stable opening of Clarion Post with 500 rooms in January. Explanations: RevPAR = Income per room available 4 market information from Pando x
  • 5. The market is also feeling lower economic activity. erable potential in consumption, unemployment SCANDINAVIAN OVERVIEW RevPAR in the municipality of Gothenburg at the has peaked, and housing prices are back to pre- end of March was +/–0 percent on a rolling crisis levels. Greater Stockholm (total approx. 280 hotels) 12-month basis and –2 percent for rolling 3 The hotel market also shows good foundations months. The short trend thereby shows a decline. for continued development. The beginning of 2012 SEK Thousands/day was stable and the market has recovered well after 800 30 Additional capacity in Oslo a weak fourth quarter in 2011. Developments are 700 The Norwegian economy is developing positively driven primarily by stable prices and that occu- 25 600 with strong domestic demand and increased pancy has started to rise after low levels at the end 20 employment. The Norwegian krona is however still of last year. Only limited new hotel capacity is 500 weak further to fewer exports. expected in 2012, which could strengthen even 400 15 RevPAR The hotel year started relatively weakly, due pri- more a continuation of good trends. In March, 300 marily to the market being compared with strong RevPAR was +3 percent on a rolling 12-month 10 200 last-year figures. The skiing world championships basis and +/–0 percent for rolling 3 months. 5 held in January–February 2011 meant that large 100 parts of Oslo were fully booked. A significant pro- Helsinki – good outlook for 2012 0 0 portion of new capacity was also added to the The outlook for the Finnish economy has improved 05 09 02 03 04 06 07 08 10 11 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 market last year, including the opening of Scandic with an anticipated increase in exports in the second RevPAR, SEK Vulkan in central Oslo with 149 rooms. Additional half-year. The Helsinki hotel market had a strong end Source: MIS Available room nights, thousands/day Pandox (SCB) capacity will continue in 2012 with the new hotels to 2011 and a good start for 2012. The market is QH Hotel Arena, Comfort Grand Central and Scan- coming however from low levels, with last year see- dic Fornebu, which are expected to dampen the ing an unusually weak conference year. At the end of Copenhagen (total approx. 80 hotels) market. However, additional capacity will be limited March, RevPAR was close to +4 percent on both a as of 2013 and onwards. rolling 12-month and 3-month basis. Growth is DKK Thousands/day At the end of March, RevPAR was –5 percent driven in equal parts by prices and occupancy. 700 16 on a rolling 12-month basis, and –10 for rolling 3 Several events imply continued good trends in 14 600 months. Analysts believe however that the underly- 2012 for Helsinki, including the ice-hockey world 12 ing demand and market are still stable. championships, global capital for design, as well as 500 an increasing number of tourists from Russia, the 10 400 Towards brighter times in Copenhagen United States and Japan. 8 300 RevPAR The Danish economy is showing several signs of 6 going towards brighter times. There exists consid- 200 4 100 2 0 0 05 09 02 03 04 06 07 08 10 11 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 RevPAR, DKK Source: Available room nights, thousands/day STR Global Oslo (total approx. 60 hotels) NOK Thousands/day 800 12 700 10 600 8 500 400 6 300 RevPAR 4 200 2 100 0 0 05 09 02 03 04 06 07 08 10 11 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 RevPAR, NOK Source: Available room nights, thousands/day MIS Pandox Helsinki (total approx. 50 hotels) EUR Thousands/day 80 9 70 8 60 7 6 50 5 40 RevPAR 4 30 3 20 2 10 1 Scandic Malmen, Stockholm 0 0 05 09 02 03 04 06 07 08 10 11 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 RevPAR, EUR Source: STR Global, Available room nights, thousands/day MIS Pandox market information from Pandox 5
  • 6. Market overview Q1/2012 Pandox market barometer MARCH 2012  The market barometer shows the situation of selected cities economic climate, how well-developed the hotel market is, as well as how in the economic cycle. The appraisal is based on an analysis of each city. Con- developed and liquid the hotel property market is. Note that the hotel econo- sideration is given to macro-developments, trends within the hotel industry, the mic cycle is the same in pattern, but different in time. SWEDEN PEAK downturn Luleå, Umeå Uppsala, Lund, Stockholm, Jönköping growth Karlstad, Sundsvall abating downturn Gothenburg, Malmö level-off Helsingborg Lund, after a strong 2011 with good spring pared with last year. The positive development As in Stockholm, January-February were weaker months, started to decline in the first quarter 2012. continued during the whole of 2011 and RevPAR months while March showed stronger trends. Rev- The short trend is downward and RevPAR is –5 was close to 12 percent on a rolling 12-month PAR was –2 percent on a rolling 3-months basis, percent on a rolling 3-month basis. Helsingborg basis. The short trend shows however a weakening although this is compared with a strong last-year has had stable developments in the last 12 growth rate. and additional capacity in the first quarter 2012 months, but the short trend shows a weakening Stockholm experienced uneven developments that dampened the market, which is also feeling and decreasing growth rate, with declining last year. 2012 started cautiously with slightly lower lower economic activity. The short trend is a decre- revenues. prices and volumes in January–February, but with asing downturn. Malmö developed negatively in 2011. The trend growth and better trends in March. These relatively The hotel markets in northern Sweden have continues although volumes have now started to weak developments are primarily due to a high pro- developed well in general. Luleå, Umeå, Kiruna, rise and the growth rate for the first quarter 2012 portion of new capacity in 2011. RevPAR for Östersund and Sundsvall all have positive trends was in line with last year’s levels. Stockholm is 1 percent up on a rolling 12-month both in the long and short-term. Umeå is currently Jönköping has seen volatile developments basis, although back to last year’s levels for rolling developing strongest with a RevPAR of more than over the last 12 months, and is now in a negative 3 months. The short trend shows a slight decline. +16 percent for both rolling 12 and 3 months, due trend that is increasing downwards. The first quar- Uppsala is currently developing weakly. Both primarily to prices. Trends in Luleå and Sundsvall ter of the year fell by more 11 percent, which was long and short trends show a downturn driven pri- are also being driven by prices, while Kiruna and partly due to several one-off events last year. Karl- marily by falling prices. Östersund are driven by occupancy. stad developed at a higher pace, and the first Gothenburg was uneven in 2011 with a record- quarter saw primarily occupancy doing well com- strong first quarter and a weaker second half-year. the market on the market The year’s hotel conference in Berlin The International Hotel Investment Forum, IHIF, is the hotel indus- The tourist industry increasingly significant for the global economy. try’s equivalent to the MIPIM property fair and the major annual The first day of the conference saw an interesting talk by David Scowsill, Presi- meeting place for our sector traditionally held in the first week of dent & CEO of the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC). Fascinating statis- March. This year was the 15th time the forum has been arranged. tics were presented, showing that the tourist industry is becoming increasingly The meeting attracted 1,700 participants with representatives from significant for the global economy, including: all large companies from 57 countries. There were more participants • The tourist industry represents 9% of the world’s overall GDP growth (which than last year, but still below the pre-finance-crisis record years. can be compared with the finance sector’s 11% and the car industry’s 8%) As in previous years, there were very few Scandinavian hotel owners • That the forecast for 2022 shows that 1 of 10 jobs will be within the hotel present. But Pandox of course was well-represented and took part and hospitality sector. in several debates. Here is our report… Interesting! 6 market information from Pando x
  • 7. KEY TO THE DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE HOTEL ECONOMIC CYCLE: ROWTH  Occupancy rises relatively quickly and prices start to increase. G BATING DOWNTURN  Volumes become more stable – continued pressure A High potential and low risk. on prices. Certain potential and high risk. EAK  Occupancy rises/levels off and prices increase quickly. P EVEL-OFF  Occupancy rises with unchanged prices. L Good potential and low risk that gradually rises to high risk. High potential with declining risk. OWNTURN  Occupancy and prices fall further to lower demand or over-capacity. D Low potential and high risk. International PEAK downturn London, Paris, Zürich, Oslo Warsaw growth Helsinki, Copenhagen, Barcelona, Moscow abating downturn – level-off Berlin London saw continued stable hotel developments equally by prices and occupancy. In Copenhagen, now overtaken London. Several other eastern in the beginning of the year, and landed at +3 per- developments are driven mainly by stable prices, European cities are performing strongly, including cent in the first quarter, driven primarily by rising although occupancy has started to rise from low Moscow, Tallinn and Budapest. The financial city average rates. In view of that 2011 was a record levels. RevPAR for the quarter closed at +/–0 com- of Zürich has declined most for the moment, with year, this is a good sign and shows that the under- pared with the same period last year. Oslo declined a decrease of 10 percent for the quarter. lying demand is good. Berlin also showed a good in the quarter further to strong last-year figures and Barcelona shows continued good growth both quarter and closed with +3 percent growth, driven increased additional capacity. in price and volume while Amsterdam, which was by occupancy while prices continued to decline. The strongest trends in Europe are currently in strong for a long time, declined slightly due to decli- Helsinki’s hotel market had a strong end to Warsaw with +10 percent after the first quarter, ning volumes. 2011 and a good start to 2012. At the end of followed closely by Paris with +9 percent. In both March, RevPAR was up by close to +4 percent for cities, the growth is driven only by average rates, both rolling 12 and 3 months. Growth is driven and prices within the luxury segment in Paris have The significance of the increasing middle-class in growth regions. It was easy for members of the ownership is required to maintain profitability, the China and India was emphasised: together, these audience to believe that they were competing with positions have changed and the owners’ demands countries are expected to represent 1/3 of GDP- each other, with the winner being the one with the towards the brands have become greater – partic- growth for the global tourist industry in 2022. To most new rooms in the pipeline… ularly when the owners make considerable invest- close, the WTCC sharply criticised the world’s gov- ments in the hotel properties. ernments for maintaining expensive visa require- The debate continues: brands vs. owners The debate also touched profitability aspects. ments for tourists, which leads to considerably The second day of the conference saw a debate The major brands indeed contribute to pushing up reduced tourist revenues. regarding the hotel property owner’s role versus the average rates, but in view of the charges and other Other speakers also emphasised the impor- brands’ role/operator’s role. It was quite clear that service costs associated with franchise or manage- tance of the continued development of China and the relationship has been and, from time to time still ment contracts, the question is how profitable India. The general opinion seems to be that a lower is, associated with certain tension and different these contracts are for the owners? From the own- rate of growth in these countries would have con- viewpoints. er’s side, there is a desire to see more joint invest- siderably more serious consequences than a In general, it has previously been easier for the ments, greater shared risk and less influence from drawn-out debt crisis in Europe. major brand names to fully obtain their demands the brands. The brands maintain that owners All of the major brand names were naturally regarding the design of rooms, price-setting, hotel should carefully read what each respective brand present, and they were all given the opportunity to concept, etc, vis-à-vis the property owner. Now stands for in view of that flexibility within a brand present their forthcoming hotel projects in different that more and more owners understand that active name is limited. market information from Pandox 7
  • 8. ThEMe social projects … Pandox Youth Handball Movement Follow our projects and development at www.pandox.se/foretagsansvar Last autumn, Pandox established the Pandox mitment and good cooperation, we are nonethe- young people (spread roughly equally between girls Youth Handball Movement project together with less pleased when we look back over the project’s and boys), who train regularly 2–3 times each week Partille Cup and the Kenyan handball association first half-year. We can already observe several posi- – compared with the 200–400 who trained more – Mount Kenya Sports Group (MSG). tive effects and good results. We are particularly irregularly previously. The overall goal is to contribute to children and happy that we have succeeded with most that we – MSG has successfully established a young people having meaningful and comprehen- have strived to obtain and set up as targets in the league where children and young people can play sive leisure time through sport and handball train- project plan: against each other in different age groups and ing. Based on this foundation, the objective is to – The number of members is growing and we degrees of difficulty. A league did not exist before also contribute later with education regarding dis- have an organised administrative staff and strong and we believe that it can be a success factor for ease as well as social and attitude issues. local project management with resources to handle greater interest for the sport, broader spread, and The project is still basically in the start-up phase, membership applications, as well as long-term not least to strengthen MSG as an organisation. with many activities being formulated and pro- planning for further expansion. The number of – The Pandox Training Course has been cessed. Thanks to many enthusiasts, strong com- members is currently already over 600 children and implemented with good results. Two training Pandox Training Course. Warming-up before the match in true Pandox spirit. Freeset – Supporting freedom on the go! As we have previously mentioned in UpGrade, Pandox supports A lot has also happened within Freeset during the year. Focus the fair-trade company Freeset in Calcutta by purchasing own- is now on getting more donors and to be able to open more designed products, handbags and cloth bags, etc. Among Pan- centres in northern Calcutta. According to Freeset, the cost of dox’ own-operated hotels, the Hotel Berlin, Berlin has pur- being able to offer prostituted women freedom through chased 5,000 cloth bags and the Hotel Bloom! is next in line. employment is about USD 475. This amount includes requisite Pandox has also mediated contacts between Freeset and education regarding sewing, reading and writing, as well as other companies that have shown interest in the products, medical and child care. It may not seem to be a very large including Congrex, an international management company that amount of money to help someone to long-term freedom, but offers services for meetings, events and conferences. Congrex in order to find more donors Freeset has entered a cooperation has purchased bags and arranged lectures about Freeset and agreement with an organisation called Forgo with the objective social commitment for their customers. We at Pandox think of enabling small donations. Through Forgo, it will be easier for that it is fun to be able to help other companies to initiate social normal people to give small amounts of money to charity in cooperation. conjunction with their daily shopping. Fargo’s SmartPhone app 8 market information from Pando x
  • 9. Five questions camps for trainers and coaches of young people were held for two weeks in February. The participants learned about handball theory, how to handle inju- ries, bandage feet and fingers, pump balls, as well as discussing good sportsmanship. But perhaps the most appreciated was nonetheless to try out new practical exercises, defence and attack, in the handball court. A Par- tille Cup Kenya Trophy tournament was also held during this period with 80 to Peter Eriksson teams and more than 1,100 players taking part, which was a record for all the years the tournament has been held. Hotel manager of the Hilton The participants had very different levels, but all made progress in a short ­Stockholm Slussen time, according to head coach Lisette Norén from IK Sävehof. Many of the participants had to walk a long way to take part in the training, up to one hour in each direction. The training camps drew a lot of attention in Nyeri, and there are considerable expectations and hopes for recurrent camps. The camps were concluded with the distribution of diplomas and Pandox-sweat- ers, and all participants were very grateful to have been able to take part. – Part of the support is used to give food to the poorest players in conjunction with the training sessions. – Social projects are growing in number. The hope is that the next train- ing camps for handball leaders will also include discussions about attitudes among young people, healthy diet, drugs, hiv/aids as well as issues concern- ing social life. These items are in demand and interesting to study. Other proj- 1 ects are also being formulated, including starting to award grants in the Stockholm received considerable new capacity in 2011 autumn in order to give young people an opportunity for better education. and more hotels plan to open in 2012. Trends in the first It was fantastically inspiring for us at Pandox who visited Nyeri while the quarter were relatively weak, and many people believe training camps and tournament were in progress, and to see the Kenyan joy that predictability is lower now than previously. How do you and self-evident presence. Young people who laugh, dance and sing feel about the Stockholm market for the coming year? together next to the handball court show that we in Sweden have a lot to Difficult to say, and I agree that predictability is lower now than previ- learn from our Kenyan friends. Sport is a considerable source for happiness ously. There are no direct weeks that are fully active in the same way and solidarity, and we have experienced the Kenyan young people as being as before. Things move along however, and the year will be fine for incredibly open and optimistic regarding their situation and future. This has Stockholm, although I believe that the market will be slightly poorer strengthened us in our belief that sport plays an important role for children’s than last year as a whole. development, and that we are on the right track within this project! 2 We indeed know that Hilton Slussen is a first-class international hotel with one of Stockholm’s absolutely most beautiful panoramic views. But what more is Partille Cup Kenya Trophy – the largest tournament unique about Hilton Slussen? in East and Central Africa We have a product that is extremely good from all aspects. For hard- Mt Kenya Handball Club, MSG, has taken part since 2003 in the ware, the architecture of the hotel is unique with three completely world’s largest tournament for young people – the Partille Cup in separate sections and many round forms originating from Slussen Gothenburg. More than 1,000 teams from 50 countries take part in and its design. We provide excellent service, which is clearly reflected the tournament. In 2008, MSG took the initiative to start an own local in the very positive feedback from our guests. We have also focused tournament in their hometown of Nyeri. The tournament has been on having Sweden’s best breakfast, which we are very proud of. arranged since 2009 with support from Partille Cup, and the number 3 of participants has steadily grown – in 2012 there were 80 teams with You have been hotel manager of the Hilton Slussen 1,120 participants. The dream is now to bring in more teams also from since 2008 and have 130 employees. How would you other parts of Africa and the world. During this year’s tournament, summarise your leadership with three words? MSG was responsible for a tent under the banderol “MSG – Friend of I allow a very large scope of action to all of my the Youth”. The tent was a much-appreciated feature and young peo- department heads and employees. My job is ple, trainers and parents could go there for guidance and advice from to try to make their job easier. And then we Delegation knowledgeable coaches concerning both healthcare and problems experienced by young people. must have a lot of humour and creativity – Creative which is very important for the hotel. I also want department heads in particular to be Trust organised. I like organised creativity. 4 Hilton Stockholm Slussen is the only hotel in Stockholm operated under the Hilton brand. What significance does this have for your operations? On the one hand it is easier to focus on just one hotel. However, I would like to see more Hilton brands in Stockholm because it would make it easier for our staff to pursue a career and for us to retain many enables people to choose a cheaper alternative of a product or completely skilful employees. Simultaneously, there would be economies of scale decline a purchase in favour of Forgo’s project. For example, one can that we do not currently have. choose a small cup of coffee instead of a big cup, or just skip having a 5 coffee and instead send a small amount to charity And finally, how come you have your own bees with a couple of simple clicks on the phone. Pandox at the hotel? is following the cooperation agreement with great When Pandox was planning to refurbish our roof, we wanted interest, and hopes for good results for Freeset. to have a large meadow with flowers and grass on the roof, like a garden in the centre of Stockholm. I started to Google around on this subject, and found buildings that had bees on the roof. The idea was born and we have had our bees for one year now. But we are still waiting for our roof garden… Read more on www.forgo.it, www.freeset.org or scan the QR code. market information from Pandox 9
  • 10. Trendspotting ... Olympics – countdown to the … New York – increasingly popular sporting event of the year! New statistics from New York’s tourist office Hotel room occupancy in London is normally stable Miles Auger, Associate Director of the valuation team show that the number of foreign tourists in around a high level of 80-85 percent during the of CBRE Hotels, also predicts a positive effect from New York has more than doubled since 2005, summer months – despite the European vacation the Olympics and believes that the Olympic weeks within an increase from 6 million in 2005 to period, less business travel, and that tourists to a combined with the Diamond Jubilee and Farnborough almost 13 million in 2011. Among Nordic tourists, certain degree prefer sea and sand instead of cit- will lead to a buoyant summer with a particularly Swedes were the largest group. ies. The current question is how the most outstand- strong leisure segment while potentially having a Tourism is extremely significant for the city’s ing sporting event of the year – the Summer Olym- reduced corporate segment due to the number of economy. Last year, tourists spent USD 32 billion pic Games from 27 July to 12 August and the Para- large leisure events deterring business from London and around 321,000 people in the city have a job lympics from 29 August to 9 September – will affect over what is otherwise a quieter corporate period. that is dependent on tourism. the hotel market. There is also some expectation that the timing of Ramadan may bring demand in late August to early An exciting time for London September. For the full-year, the rise in RevPAR is This will be the third time that London has hosted a forecasted to be 4–5 percent, due entirely to pricing, modern Olympic Games. Interest is at a record high, while 2013 is expected to see weaker trends. and most of the 6.6 million tickets have already been The hotel consultant Savills Hotels is also positive sold. London will also see the Queen’s Diamond Jubi- with regard to effects on the hotel industry in London. lee this summer with the particularly important cele- In one report, growth for the full-year 2012 is fore- bration of the Queen’s 85th birthday and 60 years on casted to be close to 4 percent. the throne, which prepares the way for a very exciting time for London and for visitors. …although some have doubts 2011 was a record year for British tourism with more Other analysts anticipate less tourism during the sum- than 30 million foreign visitors, who together spent mer. Higher prices, larger crowds and infrastructure GBP 18 billion. Tourist organisations are now fully problems are factors that could imply that less sport- … Pop-up hotel new trend engaged in marketing the Olympics and the ­ iamond D interested tourists could flee the city. Sceptics also The pop-up trend – for those who want to be first Jubilee with the hope of beating last year’s figures. believe that the number of hotel reservations is still with the latest. The concept is based on new, below the forecasted level and that expectations are often rather odd and different hotels that “pop High expectations and a lot happening unrealistic. One underlines in particular the prevailing up” in the market for a short time, only to disap- London’s hotels have considerable expectations economic climate, that room occupancy figures come pear again just as fast. One example of the new regarding this summer, which can be seen in the high already from high levels, and that many hotels have trend is the spectacular one-room hotel called “A prices. Room rates in central London and in east Lon- allocated rooms to the Olympic Committee at dis- Room for London” by the Thames close to don, close to the arenas, are more than GBP 400 on counted rates. Moreover, the fact that certain other Waterloo. The hotel has been successfully average, which is more than double normal price lev- hotel operators that tried to apply restrictions for multi- launched as a retreat from the throng of the city, els. Even higher prices – up to five times normal rates night reservations have now already started to soften and will remain for the rest of the year. Another – have been noted, especially during the inauguration their demands, can also be interpreted as meaning that example is Design Hotels’ Papaya Playa project and closing ceremonies. expectations are too high. in Mexico, where the hotel operator has rented a Another dark cloud is what will happen in the hundred beach huts – with a lifetime of five Positive voices from the market… hotel market directly after the Olympics. One percep- months. According to Giorgio Manenti, Executive Vice President tion that is probably shared by many visitors is that of JLL Hotels in London, the Olympics are expected to London is an expensive destination this summer due … Delayed take-off for Berlin’s new huge have a very positive effect on the hotel market. High to the Olympics… and that the Olympic Games will airport reservation levels are being reported already now in continue for most of the summer. Only in spring 2013, after several delays, the new May for the central hotels, despite the high prices. Gior- However, the Games have not yet started and we airport in Berlin – Berlin Brandenburg Willy Brandt gio Manenti also believes that the Olympics will have know that the hotel industry is becoming increasingly – is expected to open about 20 km south-east of considerable significance for London in the long-term. unpredictable, and that late reservations are becom- the city centre. The airport is built on a surface The investments made in infrastructure have made ing more common. UpGrade will, quite simply, report equivalent to 2,000 football fields and will initially London a more healthy and attractive city for tourists, the subsequent outcome! take 27 million passengers a year, but with residents and investors. expansion potential for a further 45 million pas- sengers. This can be compared with Arlanda’s 19 million passengers. The new airport will open up a new opportunity for marketing Berlin both as a tourist and a conference city. Forecasts up to 2020 show a 40-percent increase in the number of overnight stays – and apart from all of the well- known tourist attractions, visitors are also attracted by good value for money in Berlin. (Sources: Vagabond, dn.se, svd.se) 10 market information from Pando x
  • 11. CITY in CENTRE Wonderful Copenhagen Scandic Copenhagen Photo montage Copenhagen is very much an international hotel cycle to the sanctuary of Christiana with its Pusher Copenhagen city, and close to 60 percent of all hotel guests Street and the renowned, liberal and permissive come from another country. Demand for the lifestyle. Then finish off with a cold beer at a pave- HOTEL AND TOURISM DATA hotel industry is driven by the city’s strong posi- ment café in Nyhavn. There are many alternatives, tion as a conference city and leading cruise and the city is easily accessible with several parks Hotel guests destination in Scandinavia, proximity to the and cycle paths. Kastrup International Airport, and considerable There is also a very broad choice of restaurants business travel. in Copenhagen with good quality, including Noma There was significant capacity addition in 2011 that has been voted several times as the world’s with several large new hotels, including the Bella Sky best restaurant. Nightlife offers all imaginable kinds Comwell Hotel with a unique award-winning design of clubs, and for those who want to rest their feet and more than 800 rooms, and the central and after a hard evening on the dance floor, an optimal Domestic, 43% Leisure travel, 54% trendy budget Generator Hostel hotel with 662 choice is to take a rickshaw cycle taxi to the hotel, International, 57% Business travel, 46% rooms. However, only limited new hotel capacity is or even further into the Copenhagen night that expected in 2012. most often goes over to the morning. Hotel Market size: Perfect for a weekend! Pandox projects Approx. 80 hotels, Apart from the best-known attractions such as A lot is also happening in Copenhagen for Pandox, About 15,000 rooms Tivoli, the Louisiana Museum of Modern Art, the including the ongoing development of Scandic Largest brands: Christianborg Palace, Ströget, and the little Mer- Copenhagen. All rooms will be upgraded, and the Arp Hansen, maid, there is much more to discover – such as dif- lobby, reception, conference facilities and restau- Rezidor, Scandic ferent architecture and the role as an acknowl- rant will have a totally new and modern design con- No. of guest nights: edged fashion city. Why not take a sightseeing tour cept. The goal is ambitious – to be one of the best Brands, 33% More than 3.7 million with the favourite Danish means of transport – a meeting hotels in Scandinavia for an international (+12% compared with Independent, 67% bicycle! Visit the Glyptoteket Museum at Radhus- and Scandinavian public! 2010) platsen, look at new trendy parts of Nørrebro or The major Shark project continues Scandic Upplands Väsby – first of the highway hotels The joint hotel project between Pandox and Scandic, The project’s vision is to renew and develop the new with the new design concept. where SEK 1.6 billion is being invested in the upgrad- generation of highway hotels with a joint concept ing and development of 38 existing Scandic hotels in and to invest in new concepts for the city-centre the Nordic Region, is known as “Shark”. The project hotels. The new concepts are characterised by flexi- embraces most of Scandic’s highway hotels, as well bility and untraditional solutions that take into consid- as city-centre hotels such as Malmen in Stockholm, eration new family constellations, travel patterns and Continental and Hilton Strand in Helsinki, and the trends. This also implies that the history of Scandic KNA hotel in Oslo. The framework of the project was and each respective highway hotel be integrated in adopted in 2011, and full focus is now on planning the design element and layout, that the hotels’ infor- the large number of sub-projects included in the mal home-feeling be strengthened, that more social investment, identifying purchasing synergies, and meeting places be created, and that the rooms be getting really started. given new complete furnishings and design. market information from Pandox 11
  • 12. Pandox news News from the world of Pandox New technology at The Hotel Brussels Hotel manager Bernard Chênevert had the pleasure and honour of welcoming Michail Gorbatjov. The Hotel Brussels has signed an agreement with Open Ways that offers a SmartPhone app that guests can use as their room Prestigious visit to the InterContinental key. Part of the ongoing total refurbishment will be the installation Montreal of “Mobile Key”, via Open Ways, for all of the hotel’s 424 rooms. Mikhail Gorbachev, former president of the Soviet Union, took part in a conference with the board of the Montreal Chamber of Commerce. The VIP guest appropriately stayed in the presidential suite at the InterContinental Montreal, and welcomed other dignitaries including Brian Mulroney, former prime minister of Canada. Other celebrities who visited the hotel in the past half-year include Lady Gaga and Twitter-founder Bizz Stone – exciting! Jan Henningsen and Aldert Schaaphok at the Hotel BLOOM! Prestigious award for Hyatt Hyatt Regency Montreal has received an award for its excellent hospitality. It is the 26th year that industry and commerce in the region receives awards for their efforts to make Montreal a world- class destination. In the “larger than 200 rooms” category, Hyatt received the coveted Ulysses 2012 New rooms ready at the Hotel Berlin, Berlin New hotel manager at the Hotel BLOOM! award further to extensive refurbishment of the The extensive refurbishment of the Classic Wing is Jan Henningsen grew up in Germany but has public areas, restaurant, bar and wine-bar in 2011. now complete and a total of 200 new premium pursued his career in the United States. His latest rooms and 26 new conference suites are now position was as hotel manager of The Standard ready to welcome their guests. All of the rooms West Hollywood in Los Angeles and The Standard Good Christmas deed of kindness have an aspect linked with Berlin’s history. Five Los Angeles Downtown. at the Choice in Södertälje! floors are divided into different decades with design – “Jan has broad experience of managing and Just before Christmas 2011, the Quality Park in and furnishing characteristics of the period, where developing concept hotels in the United States, Södertälje started a charity project that offered each floor tells its own part of the city’s history. and we believe that the Hotel BLOOM! will be able poor families the chance to have a more pleasant to fully benefit from his knowledge,” says Aldert Christmas with food and presents. Many people Schaaphok, Vice President Operations Pandox. find Christmas to be quite obvious, but there are I am Harry, Mr Harry. I am third in the series of many families with children that need help, and Corporate Dogs at Pandox. I sometimes go to the the objective of the project was to highlight the office to guard my position. I start the day by BOOK TUESDAY, 27 NOVEMBER for problem. “We could not help everyone, but we greeting everyone together with my master, and helped several families who will no doubt remem- then I go out with Thérèse who is the Corporate PANDOX’ HOTEL MARKET DAY ber Christmas 2011 for a long time,” reports those Dog walker. The latest walk was at lunchtime to AT 1PM, AT THE HILTON STOCKHOLM SLUSSEN. who took part in the project. Kungsträdgården when the cherry trees were in full bloom. I am liked at As usual, we will present domestic and international hotel market trends, as well the office because I as a current topic within our industry. contribute with both energy and calm. I also sometimes bark a little at my colleagues! Read more news about Pandox at www.pandox.se