- Africa has over 694 million rural inhabitants as of 2015, accounting for around 40% of the total population, presenting a major opportunity for growth in telecom penetration.
- Rural connectivity can provide significant social and economic benefits by bridging the digital divide, enabling communication, mobile money, e-health, e-education, and more.
- There is potential for rural subscriber numbers in Africa to reach over 400 million by 2025, representing annual revenue of $9.7 billion, assuming a penetration rate of 50%. Low-cost site models indicate connectivity can be profitable even at remote village levels.
9. What does this all mean?
2015 2025
Total African Population (Geohive.com) 1 166 239 306 1 467 972 527
Unique Subscriber Penetration
(Assumption of Growth from GSMA
Numbers to 2025)
46% 60%
Current Subscribers (Based on Above
Penetration)
536 470 081 880 783 516
We all agree these penetration rates are not realistic for Rural Africa but still shows massive scope for growth
Rural Population 694,636,991 809,158,830
Stretch Target for Rural Penetration with assistance from Universal Service Funds = 50%
Rural Subscriber Target 347 318 496 404 579 415
Potential Rural Annual Revenue
$8 335 643 892 $9 709 905 960
This at $2 in ARPU we expect $3-4 in most areas
10. Low Cost Site Economics
Currency USD Medium size village
Average population 5000
Anticipated penetration rate 50%
Nb of subscribers 2500
ARPU Level $3
Revenue/site/year $90,000
OPEX ($360 Maintenance + $300 VSAT) $660 (Annual $7,920)
Site overall CAPEX (Including : RAN, tower,
power, civil work, commissioning, Satellite
modem and dish, etc..)
$50,000
ROI 8 months
Projected annual revenue (50 sites) : $4,500,000