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Monetary  Policy Alan Greenspan:  Was The 2 nd  most powerful Person in the US.  the  โ€œ Fed โ€
GOALS OF MONETARY POLICY โ€ฆ to assist the economy in achieving a   full employment , noninflationary   level of output Ben Bernanke :  The New   Man in charge at the Fed: Took over January 2006.  Scored 1590 on SAT
The Federal Reserve - 1913
The   FOMC Meeting Room   in   Washington DC The  FOMC meets  around  a  27-foot oval mahogany table  in a room  with a  23-foot ceiling   with  a  1,000-pound  chandelier .
New reserves $800 Excess Reserves $ 4000 Money created  thru Bank Lending Mischa Barton  Deposits   $1,000  In Her  Bank [ RR is 20 % ] $ 200 RR $ 1000 Initial Deposit TMS  is  $ 5,000 Mischa from the  O.C.  [member of the public] Mischa Bartonโ€™s
New reserves $1,000 Excess Reserves $ 5,000 New money Created thru lending Fed  buys a $ 1,000  Bond from   Mischaโ€™s  Bank TMS  is  $5000 20% RR Fed Mischa Bartonโ€™s
The Fedโ€™s 25 Branches
Functions of the Fed Refund Check Destroy/Issue paper notes
4.  Several Thousand Member Banks
Recent GDP
โ€œ When the party gets too good, itโ€™s the job  of the Fed to take away the punch bowl.โ€   The  Fedโ€™s  policy  is  โ€œIf you see inflation,  its  too late. Whip it before it gets out of the box.โ€ During a recession, the Fed is happy to  โ€œspike the punch.โ€
If  The  Economy  Is  Exceeding  The FE GDP Speed Limit Of 4% -
Beating the Inflation Dragon
See if you can understand some    โ€œGREEN-SPEAKโ€
โ€œ For Richer  or   For Poorer โ€ For  Andrea,  it took  12 years  to get a  marriage proposal she could understand.  [She got 3, but didnโ€™t understand  what he was saying]
G reenspan  S worn in for a  5 th  4 -year  T erm
Last P aragraph of  Mr. Greenspanโ€™s Marriage Proposal ,[object Object],[object Object],This was Greenspeak for ,  โ€œWill You Marry Me?โ€
Y R   Real GDP D M Investment Demand Reall Interest Rate 10 8 6 0 Money Market   QID1   โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€ During Recessions MS 1 AS AD 1 P 1 10 8 6 0 MS 2 P 2 Price level Buy If there is  RECESSION MS will be increased. QID2 D I Y* โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€ โ€“ (Buy/Sell)  bonds, which   (increase/decrease)  MS,  which  (increase/decrease) interest rates,  which (appreciate/depreciate) the  dollar,  which   (increase/decrease) C, Ig,  &  Xn,  which  (increase/decrease ) AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp.   E 1 E 2 AD 2 โ€œ Students, should the Fed  increase or decrease the money supply?โ€ Jobs are tough to get. LRAS
D I AD 1 Y I D m Investment Demand Reall Interest Rate 10 8 6 0 Money Market QID 2   AS 10 8 6 0 P 2 MS 1 P 1 MS 2 If there is INFLATION , MS will be decreased. Sell QID 1 Y * โ€œ Tight Moneyโ€ during Inflation โ€œ Tight Moneyโ€  โ€“ (Buy/Sell) bonds,  which   (incr/decr) the MS, which  (incr/decr) in. rates,  which   (apprec/deprec) the dollar, which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn, which  (incr/decr) AD, PL, &  GDP. E 1 E 2 AD 2 โ€œ Now, should I  buy  or  sell ?โ€ โ€œ Iโ€™ll get rid of some money.โ€ LRAS
Y R   Y *   Investment Demand 9 % 6% 3 % 0 Money Market   $50   $60 AS AD 1 PL 1 9 % 6 % 3 % 0 MS 2 AD 2 PL 2 $70 Y I AD 3 D I D m PL 3 MS 1 MS 3 $100   120   140 Q I D I =$50] I =$60 I =$70 RDO The ideal economy is  AD 2 , with I.R.  at  6%   &  Ig  at   $60  billion .
Fed Review ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
First Board of Governors, 1914
Scored 1590 on SAT VP
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Three Tools Of Monetary Policy
2.  Reserve Requirement -  most powerful (seldom used) - affects money creation by  changing ER  and   the  multiplier -  an  increase of   ยฝ of 1 %   would  increase   bank reserves  by  over $5  billion - RR was  20%  from  1937-1958   Sledgehammer  of  M onetary  P olicy RR -  Atomic Bomb of Monetary Policy
$10,000 [$9,000+$1,000] [In 1980,  the  RR  was set at  12%; stayed  there until  1992;  went to  10%] โ€œ E asy  M oney โ€ AS AD 1 AD 2 Y R  Y * PL $1,000 Initial deposit $900 [$900x10] $1,000 $810 $729 Monetary Expansion [10% RR] [1/.10=10] โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€ The Reserve Requirement โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€  โ€“ increase the money supply
$5,000 [$4,000+$1,000] โ€œ Tight Moneyโ€   -   decrease the money suply RR at 20% - Tight Money Monetary Expansion (20% RR) [1/.20=M D  of 5] โ€œ Tight Moneyโ€ $1,000 Initial  deposit $800 $640 $512
3.  Discount Rate    Fed loans  to  banks Hurricane EarthQuake FL borrowed $99 million In 1991
Part of Uncle Samโ€™s Menu
ย 
Strengths of Monetary Policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Shortcomings and problems better at  fighting inflation  than  fighting depressions ] Fiscal Policy better Monetary Policy better
Only โ€œfiscal or monetary policyโ€ can get me back on my feet and allow โ€œSamโ€ to get back up. โ€œ Helpโ€
Presidents try to put a positive spin  on a  struggling  economy
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Discount Rate The Reserve Ratio Open Market Operations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€ Fed
TOOLS OF MONETARY POLICY Discount Rate The Reserve Ratio Open Market Operations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],โ€œ Got to  decrease  the MS.โ€ Fed
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The Federal Reserve

  • 1. Monetary Policy Alan Greenspan: Was The 2 nd most powerful Person in the US. the โ€œ Fed โ€
  • 2. GOALS OF MONETARY POLICY โ€ฆ to assist the economy in achieving a full employment , noninflationary level of output Ben Bernanke : The New Man in charge at the Fed: Took over January 2006. Scored 1590 on SAT
  • 4. The FOMC Meeting Room in Washington DC The FOMC meets around a 27-foot oval mahogany table in a room with a 23-foot ceiling with a 1,000-pound chandelier .
  • 5. New reserves $800 Excess Reserves $ 4000 Money created thru Bank Lending Mischa Barton Deposits $1,000 In Her Bank [ RR is 20 % ] $ 200 RR $ 1000 Initial Deposit TMS is $ 5,000 Mischa from the O.C. [member of the public] Mischa Bartonโ€™s
  • 6. New reserves $1,000 Excess Reserves $ 5,000 New money Created thru lending Fed buys a $ 1,000 Bond from Mischaโ€™s Bank TMS is $5000 20% RR Fed Mischa Bartonโ€™s
  • 8. Functions of the Fed Refund Check Destroy/Issue paper notes
  • 9. 4. Several Thousand Member Banks
  • 11. โ€œ When the party gets too good, itโ€™s the job of the Fed to take away the punch bowl.โ€ The Fedโ€™s policy is โ€œIf you see inflation, its too late. Whip it before it gets out of the box.โ€ During a recession, the Fed is happy to โ€œspike the punch.โ€
  • 12. If The Economy Is Exceeding The FE GDP Speed Limit Of 4% -
  • 14. See if you can understand some โ€œGREEN-SPEAKโ€
  • 15. โ€œ For Richer or For Poorer โ€ For Andrea, it took 12 years to get a marriage proposal she could understand. [She got 3, but didnโ€™t understand what he was saying]
  • 16. G reenspan S worn in for a 5 th 4 -year T erm
  • 17.
  • 18. Y R Real GDP D M Investment Demand Reall Interest Rate 10 8 6 0 Money Market QID1 โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€ During Recessions MS 1 AS AD 1 P 1 10 8 6 0 MS 2 P 2 Price level Buy If there is RECESSION MS will be increased. QID2 D I Y* โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€ โ€“ (Buy/Sell) bonds, which (increase/decrease) MS, which (increase/decrease) interest rates, which (appreciate/depreciate) the dollar, which (increase/decrease) C, Ig, & Xn, which (increase/decrease ) AD & therefore, PL, GDP, & emp. E 1 E 2 AD 2 โ€œ Students, should the Fed increase or decrease the money supply?โ€ Jobs are tough to get. LRAS
  • 19. D I AD 1 Y I D m Investment Demand Reall Interest Rate 10 8 6 0 Money Market QID 2 AS 10 8 6 0 P 2 MS 1 P 1 MS 2 If there is INFLATION , MS will be decreased. Sell QID 1 Y * โ€œ Tight Moneyโ€ during Inflation โ€œ Tight Moneyโ€ โ€“ (Buy/Sell) bonds, which (incr/decr) the MS, which (incr/decr) in. rates, which (apprec/deprec) the dollar, which (incr/decr) C, Ig, & Xn, which (incr/decr) AD, PL, & GDP. E 1 E 2 AD 2 โ€œ Now, should I buy or sell ?โ€ โ€œ Iโ€™ll get rid of some money.โ€ LRAS
  • 20. Y R Y * Investment Demand 9 % 6% 3 % 0 Money Market $50 $60 AS AD 1 PL 1 9 % 6 % 3 % 0 MS 2 AD 2 PL 2 $70 Y I AD 3 D I D m PL 3 MS 1 MS 3 $100 120 140 Q I D I =$50] I =$60 I =$70 RDO The ideal economy is AD 2 , with I.R. at 6% & Ig at $60 billion .
  • 21.
  • 22. First Board of Governors, 1914
  • 23. Scored 1590 on SAT VP
  • 24.
  • 25. 2. Reserve Requirement - most powerful (seldom used) - affects money creation by changing ER and the multiplier - an increase of ยฝ of 1 % would increase bank reserves by over $5 billion - RR was 20% from 1937-1958 Sledgehammer of M onetary P olicy RR - Atomic Bomb of Monetary Policy
  • 26. $10,000 [$9,000+$1,000] [In 1980, the RR was set at 12%; stayed there until 1992; went to 10%] โ€œ E asy M oney โ€ AS AD 1 AD 2 Y R Y * PL $1,000 Initial deposit $900 [$900x10] $1,000 $810 $729 Monetary Expansion [10% RR] [1/.10=10] โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€ The Reserve Requirement โ€œ Easy Moneyโ€ โ€“ increase the money supply
  • 27. $5,000 [$4,000+$1,000] โ€œ Tight Moneyโ€ - decrease the money suply RR at 20% - Tight Money Monetary Expansion (20% RR) [1/.20=M D of 5] โ€œ Tight Moneyโ€ $1,000 Initial deposit $800 $640 $512
  • 28. 3. Discount Rate Fed loans to banks Hurricane EarthQuake FL borrowed $99 million In 1991
  • 29. Part of Uncle Samโ€™s Menu
  • 30. ย 
  • 31.
  • 32. Only โ€œfiscal or monetary policyโ€ can get me back on my feet and allow โ€œSamโ€ to get back up. โ€œ Helpโ€
  • 33. Presidents try to put a positive spin on a struggling economy
  • 34.
  • 35.