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Edinburgh Book Festival, 18th August 2015
The rise in food poverty
I only tend to eat one meal a day and that does me,
cos I like to make sure I got for my children.
Jennie, single parent
In 2012, 28% of adults skimped on meals during the year because of
lack of money.
In 1983, 13% did so.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Can't afford adequate heating in home Live in a damp home
Percentage of households
1983 1990 1999 2012
The return of poor housing
Poor housing, poor health
Children experiencing housing deprivation are 25% more likely
to be seriously ill by the age of 33
No one sleeps in the back room because of the damp.
If we did sleep in there we’d get sick.
Tyrone, aged 8
Necessities: the public’s view
Rising absolute deprivation
Percentage who cannot afford items from the 1999 list of necessities in 2012 and 1999
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1+ 2+ 3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+ 10+ 11+ 12+ 13+ 14+ 15+
percentage of adults
1999 2012
2012
1999
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
1983 1990 1999 2012
Percentage of households who cannot afford 3 or more necessities
Rising deprivation poverty
The impact on well-being
• 73% of those in deprivation poverty have financial problems
• 28% of adults experiencing stress, strain and poor mental
health up from 18% in 1999
It’s just in your head ‘cos you have to constantly think about money.
Last year I had a mental breakdown ‘cos I couldn’t hack it.
Marc, young job seeker
The winners and losers
The changing face of poverty
Fall in pensioner poverty
Sharp rise in in-work poverty
Why the rise?
Britain’s growing divide
Share of net income top 1% up from 6% to 13%
Share of net income of top fifth up from 35% to 42%
Share of net income of bottom fifth down from 10% to 8%
From 1979 to 2011
The falling wage share
50
52
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
1948 1953 1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008
1948-2011, UK
‘A dangerous gap between profits and people’
Guy Ryder, Director-General, the ILO
Low paid Britain
4
8
8
8.5
11.1
12.5
13.5
13.6
14.2
14.4
14.7
15.7
16
17.6
20.2
20.2
20.5
20.6
24.8
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Belgium
Norway
Italy
Finland
France
New Zealand
Greece
Denmark
Portugal
Australia
Japan
Spain
Austria
Netherlands
Ireland
Germany
Canada
UK
USA
Percentage of employees
Share of employees in low-wage work, 2011
Effect of inequality on the economy
‘Lower net inequality is robustly correlated with
faster and more durable growth’
IMF
‘In Italy, the UK and the US, the cumulative growth
rate would have been six to nine percentage points
higher had income disparities not widened.’
OECD
‘Inequality is the defining challenge of our time.’
President Obama, 2012
‘Excessive inequality is corrosive to growth; it is corrosive to
society… the economics profession and the policy community
have downplayed inequality for too long.’
Christine Lagarde, IMF, 2013
‘Inequality is the biggest danger facing the globe.’
World Economic Forum, 2013
The verbal war on inequality
The rising profit share and falling
investment, 1948-2010
Top executive v employee pay,
2000-13
100
150
200
250
300
350
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Top Executives, FTSE 100
All-full time employees
Index: 2000 = 100
‘With unchanged policies, the average OECD country
will face an increase in (pre-tax) earnings inequality by
30% in 2060, facing almost the same level of inequality
as is seen in the US today.’
OECD, Shifting gear, policy challenges for the next fifty
years, 2014
Growing inequality
Demonising the poor
Tabloid headlines – 2010 to 2014
Weakened social protection
• £32 billion cut from working age benefits
by 2020
• Much tougher sanctions
• Abolition of Child Poverty Act
Written out of the script
What can be done:
Increase social spending
Higher social spending = lower rates of poverty
What can be done:
Reclaim universalism
• Increase child benefit
• Increase sickness and disability benefit
• Consider a citizen’s income
What can be done:
Shift the tax take
• Clamp down on tax avoidance
• Make income tax more progressive
• Introduce wealth and property taxes
What can be done:
Boost wages in the bottom half
• Substantial increase in the minimum wage
• Restore collective bargaining
• Raise public and private investment
That’s my dream
Seeing my children have a stable place, proper food, good clothes.
You know, a better life. I would want better for them.
Jennie, single parent
www.poverty.ac.uk

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Breadline britain mack_lansley_ebf_18_aug_2015

  • 1. Edinburgh Book Festival, 18th August 2015
  • 2. The rise in food poverty I only tend to eat one meal a day and that does me, cos I like to make sure I got for my children. Jennie, single parent In 2012, 28% of adults skimped on meals during the year because of lack of money. In 1983, 13% did so.
  • 3. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Can't afford adequate heating in home Live in a damp home Percentage of households 1983 1990 1999 2012 The return of poor housing
  • 4. Poor housing, poor health Children experiencing housing deprivation are 25% more likely to be seriously ill by the age of 33 No one sleeps in the back room because of the damp. If we did sleep in there we’d get sick. Tyrone, aged 8
  • 6. Rising absolute deprivation Percentage who cannot afford items from the 1999 list of necessities in 2012 and 1999 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 1+ 2+ 3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ 7+ 8+ 9+ 10+ 11+ 12+ 13+ 14+ 15+ percentage of adults 1999 2012 2012 1999
  • 7. 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 1983 1990 1999 2012 Percentage of households who cannot afford 3 or more necessities Rising deprivation poverty
  • 8. The impact on well-being • 73% of those in deprivation poverty have financial problems • 28% of adults experiencing stress, strain and poor mental health up from 18% in 1999 It’s just in your head ‘cos you have to constantly think about money. Last year I had a mental breakdown ‘cos I couldn’t hack it. Marc, young job seeker
  • 9. The winners and losers The changing face of poverty Fall in pensioner poverty Sharp rise in in-work poverty
  • 11. Britain’s growing divide Share of net income top 1% up from 6% to 13% Share of net income of top fifth up from 35% to 42% Share of net income of bottom fifth down from 10% to 8% From 1979 to 2011
  • 12. The falling wage share 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 1948 1953 1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 1948-2011, UK
  • 13. ‘A dangerous gap between profits and people’ Guy Ryder, Director-General, the ILO
  • 14. Low paid Britain 4 8 8 8.5 11.1 12.5 13.5 13.6 14.2 14.4 14.7 15.7 16 17.6 20.2 20.2 20.5 20.6 24.8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Belgium Norway Italy Finland France New Zealand Greece Denmark Portugal Australia Japan Spain Austria Netherlands Ireland Germany Canada UK USA Percentage of employees Share of employees in low-wage work, 2011
  • 15.
  • 16. Effect of inequality on the economy ‘Lower net inequality is robustly correlated with faster and more durable growth’ IMF ‘In Italy, the UK and the US, the cumulative growth rate would have been six to nine percentage points higher had income disparities not widened.’ OECD
  • 17. ‘Inequality is the defining challenge of our time.’ President Obama, 2012 ‘Excessive inequality is corrosive to growth; it is corrosive to society… the economics profession and the policy community have downplayed inequality for too long.’ Christine Lagarde, IMF, 2013 ‘Inequality is the biggest danger facing the globe.’ World Economic Forum, 2013 The verbal war on inequality
  • 18. The rising profit share and falling investment, 1948-2010
  • 19. Top executive v employee pay, 2000-13 100 150 200 250 300 350 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Top Executives, FTSE 100 All-full time employees Index: 2000 = 100
  • 20. ‘With unchanged policies, the average OECD country will face an increase in (pre-tax) earnings inequality by 30% in 2060, facing almost the same level of inequality as is seen in the US today.’ OECD, Shifting gear, policy challenges for the next fifty years, 2014 Growing inequality
  • 21. Demonising the poor Tabloid headlines – 2010 to 2014
  • 22. Weakened social protection • £32 billion cut from working age benefits by 2020 • Much tougher sanctions • Abolition of Child Poverty Act
  • 23. Written out of the script
  • 24. What can be done: Increase social spending Higher social spending = lower rates of poverty
  • 25. What can be done: Reclaim universalism • Increase child benefit • Increase sickness and disability benefit • Consider a citizen’s income
  • 26. What can be done: Shift the tax take • Clamp down on tax avoidance • Make income tax more progressive • Introduce wealth and property taxes
  • 27. What can be done: Boost wages in the bottom half • Substantial increase in the minimum wage • Restore collective bargaining • Raise public and private investment
  • 28. That’s my dream Seeing my children have a stable place, proper food, good clothes. You know, a better life. I would want better for them. Jennie, single parent www.poverty.ac.uk