The latest Ipsos MORI Scottish Public Opinion Monitor shows an increase in support for independence

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Scottish Public Opinion Monitor
February 2013

2. 222222
Scottish Parliament voting

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use
your first vote?
38%
35%
13%
8%
7% SNP
Labour
Others
41%
33%
13%
8%
7% SNP
Labour
Others
All giving a voting
intention (88%)
All who are certain to
vote & giving a voting
intention (60%)
Base: All giving a voting intention (888); all certain to vote and giving a voting intention (602). Data collected among 1,003 Scottish adults 18+, 4-9 February 2013
Cons.
Lib Dem
Cons.
Lib Dem
SNP lead over Labour = +3% SNP lead over Labour = +8%
The SNP has a eight point lead over Labour among those certain
to vote in a Scottish Parliament election…

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Q. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use
your first vote?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Labour SNP Conservative Liberal Democrats Other
41%
33%
12%
7%
7%
Scottish Parliament Election
Result
Scottish Parliament Election
Result
Base: All certain to vote. Data collected among c1,000 Scottish adults.
… increasing the gap that had been closing throughout 2012

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hereTechnical details
• This presents the topline results from Scotland
• Results are based on a survey of 1,003 respondents
conducted by telephone
• Fieldwork dates: 4th February – 9th February 2013
• Data are weight by: age, sex and working status using
census data; tenure using SHS data; and public-private
sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly
Public Sector Employment series data
• Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to
computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of
“don’t know” categories
• Results are based on all respondents (1,003) unless
otherwise stated

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Thank you
mark.diffley@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3269
christopher.mclean@ipsos.com | 0131 240 3264
This work was carried out in accordance with the requirements of the international quality standard for market research, ISO 20252:2006.© Ipsos MORI
@IpsosMORIScot