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DISENTANGLING THE SOURCES OF GROWTH. Land, Labor, Fertilizer, Tractor, Research, Extension…… what are their exact contributions to agricultural growth in Africa: Lesson from macro-data. Guy B. Nkamleu
African growth tragedy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
African growth tragedy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Potential sources of Ag. Growth Tractors Labor Quality Labor Quantity Chemical inputs Technology Agricultural Growth Land Random factors Livestock What drive me ? Forest clearing Population growth Cash investment Extension Climate, disasters, conflicts … Cash investment Heads Research
Data Used Panel Data (1970-2000) on the agricultural sector of each country…. (FAOSTAT).  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data: Sampled Countries ,[object Object],Nigeria Cameroon Ghana Ivory  coast Burkina Faso Mali Senegal Uganda Zimbabwe Mozambique Angola Madagascar DR Congo Algeria Morocco Egypt Sudan Tunisia Chad Niger Tanzania Malawi Kenya Rwanda Burundi Guinea
Visualisation Frontier 1 X 1 X 2 P 2 P 1 X  (Input) Y(Output) P 4 A A 1 Frontier 2 B
break down the growth rate in neo-classical production function ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TFP derivation: Malmquist Index Method Agricultural  Growth Productivity  Growth Efficiency Growth Technical  Growth Scale  Efficiency Pure Technical  Efficiency
Four distance functions to compute  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Yearly agricultural growth by decade in Africa  (%)
Yearly agricultural growth by region in Africa, 1971-00  (%)
Growth decomposition Agricultural growth Land, Labor, Fertilizer, Tractors, … . Technological  change (research) Conflict, Climate, Natural  disaster …… Technical  efficiency (extension) Physical factors Productivity Unaccounted  factors
Agricultural growth contributors, 1971-00  (%)
Agricultural growth contributors by decade  (%)
Agricultural growth contributors by region  (%)
Contribution of physical inputs in the agricultural growth, 1971-00 (%)
Contribution of physical inputs in the agricultural growth by region, 1971-00 (%)
Implications for R4D Technology or Efficiency ? Technological  change (research) Technical  efficiency (research/extension)
Technology Gap and Productivity difference in African Agriculture

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