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UTS:
BUSINESS
Australia’s
manufacturing future
Roy Green
Manufacturing & Engineering Summit
Newcastle July 29 2014
UTS:
BUSINESS
Flat world...
or spiky
Investment in knowledge
% of GDP
6.8%
6.1%
5.5%
4.7%
4.1%
Manufacturing matters
R&D
SKILLS
TRADE
Population Manufacturing*
Scandinavia 23 million 5 companies
Australia 23 million 0 companies
Manufacturing
companies in
the Fortune
Global 500,
2011 annual
ranking
Future manufacturing
> Global production networks and value chains are
key drivers of future manufacturing
> ‘Micromultinationals’ capture value through ‘smart
specialisation’ and clustering
> Competitive advantage not just new technologies
but non-technological innovation
> business model innovation, design and systems
integration, high performance work and management
practices
> Such innovation must go beyond continuous
improvement and become transformative.
Productivity challenge
Contributions to average incomes growth: Treasury
Labour Productivity Growth
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s
OECD 24 Average
Australia
Source:
The Conference Board
Total Economy Database
and Treasury
Labour Productivity Growth
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s
OECD 24 Average
Australia
Source:
The Conference Board
Total Economy Database
and Treasury
Unit Labour Cost Comparisons
COUNTRY
CPI % CHANGE
Average Annual %
Change 2000-2009
MANUFACTURING
HOURLY LABOUR
PRODUCTIVITY
Average Annual %
Change 2000-2010
UNIT LABOUR COST
Average Annual %
Change 2000-2010
UNITED STATES 2.50% 5.18% -1.41%
SWEDEN 3.00% 4.42% -1.01%
FINLAND 1.82% 4.54% -0.99%
GERMANY 1.60% 1.82% 0.23%
CANADA 2.00% 0.89 1.63%
AUSTRALIA 3.00% 1.93% 2.48%
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics: Employers Total Costs of Labor Including Direct Pay and All On Costs
Multifactor Productivity (MFP) Growth
1990s
2000s
Source:
The Conference Board
Total Economy Database
and Treasury.
OECD MANUFACTURING COMPETIVENESS INDEX: AUSTRALIA VS USA
AND EURO AREA 1993-2010 (INDEX 2005=100 WHERE AN INCREASE IN
THE INDEX VALUE REPRESENTS A DECLINE IN COMPETITIVENESS )
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
110.0
120.0
1993
94
95
96
97
98
99
2000
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2010
AUSTRALIA
UNITED STATES
EURO AREA
Source: OECD Manufacturing Competitiveness Index: Australia vs USA and Euro Area,
1993-2010 (2005=100); increase in index represents decline
Competitiveness challenge
National innovation system
Government
and public agencies
Finance
and
venture
capital
Research and
education
institutions
Enterprises
and workplaces
Business-university interaction
contributing to innovation (% firms)
“Improving
management practice
is associated with large
increases in
productivity and
output.”
3.32
3.19
3.19
3.18
3.15
3.02
3.01
2.99
2.98
2.90
2.79
2.77
2.68
2.67
2.66
2.64
2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4
management scores
US
Sweden
Japan
Germany
Canada
Australia
France
Great Britain
Italy
Poland
Portugal
Ireland
Brazil
India
Greece
China
Not statistically
different *
*
Global management performance
Source: Data collected from interviews conducted by the
Australian Management Practices Project Team
3.32
3.19
3.19
3.18
3.15
3.02
3.01
2.99
2.98
2.90
2.79
2.77
2.68
2.67
2.66
2.64
2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4
management scores
US
Sweden
Japan
Germany
Canada
Australia
France
Great Britain
Italy
Poland
Portugal
Ireland
Brazil
India
Greece
China
Not statistically
different *
*
Global management performance
Source: Data collected from interviews conducted by the
Australian Management Practices Project Team
Large, global
companies
Significant plant
autonomy
High levels
of skill &
education
Better management
is associated with:
Australian management performance gaps
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4
Austra
Global
countr
Operations
Metrics
Performance
Metrics
People
Metrics
Australia
Global best
Australian management performance gaps
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4
Austra
Global
countr
Operations
Metrics
Performance
Metrics
People
Metrics
Australia
Global best
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4
Austra
Global
countr
2
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
3
3.2
3.4
3.6
3.8
4
Austra
Global
countr
‘Instilling a talent
mindset’
“Using creativity and design-based
thinking to solve complex problems is
a distinctive Australian strength that
can help to meet the emerging
challenges of this century.”
Australia in the
Asian Century, 2012
Key policy steps
Identify areas of existing and potential
competitive advantage (Knowledge Foresight)
Support SME participation in global markets and
value chains (Micromultinationals)
Invest in knowledge creation, exchange and
engagement (Innovation Ecosystem)
Promote design, technology and business model
innovation (Business Transformation)
Upgrade management capability and integration
of workforce talent (Creative Leadership)

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No. 2 roy green

  • 3. Investment in knowledge % of GDP 6.8% 6.1% 5.5% 4.7% 4.1%
  • 5. Population Manufacturing* Scandinavia 23 million 5 companies Australia 23 million 0 companies Manufacturing companies in the Fortune Global 500, 2011 annual ranking
  • 6. Future manufacturing > Global production networks and value chains are key drivers of future manufacturing > ‘Micromultinationals’ capture value through ‘smart specialisation’ and clustering > Competitive advantage not just new technologies but non-technological innovation > business model innovation, design and systems integration, high performance work and management practices > Such innovation must go beyond continuous improvement and become transformative.
  • 7. Productivity challenge Contributions to average incomes growth: Treasury
  • 8. Labour Productivity Growth 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s OECD 24 Average Australia Source: The Conference Board Total Economy Database and Treasury
  • 9. Labour Productivity Growth 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s OECD 24 Average Australia Source: The Conference Board Total Economy Database and Treasury
  • 10. Unit Labour Cost Comparisons COUNTRY CPI % CHANGE Average Annual % Change 2000-2009 MANUFACTURING HOURLY LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY Average Annual % Change 2000-2010 UNIT LABOUR COST Average Annual % Change 2000-2010 UNITED STATES 2.50% 5.18% -1.41% SWEDEN 3.00% 4.42% -1.01% FINLAND 1.82% 4.54% -0.99% GERMANY 1.60% 1.82% 0.23% CANADA 2.00% 0.89 1.63% AUSTRALIA 3.00% 1.93% 2.48% Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics: Employers Total Costs of Labor Including Direct Pay and All On Costs
  • 11. Multifactor Productivity (MFP) Growth 1990s 2000s Source: The Conference Board Total Economy Database and Treasury.
  • 12.
  • 13. OECD MANUFACTURING COMPETIVENESS INDEX: AUSTRALIA VS USA AND EURO AREA 1993-2010 (INDEX 2005=100 WHERE AN INCREASE IN THE INDEX VALUE REPRESENTS A DECLINE IN COMPETITIVENESS ) 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0 100.0 110.0 120.0 1993 94 95 96 97 98 99 2000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2010 AUSTRALIA UNITED STATES EURO AREA Source: OECD Manufacturing Competitiveness Index: Australia vs USA and Euro Area, 1993-2010 (2005=100); increase in index represents decline Competitiveness challenge
  • 14.
  • 15. National innovation system Government and public agencies Finance and venture capital Research and education institutions Enterprises and workplaces
  • 17. “Improving management practice is associated with large increases in productivity and output.”
  • 18. 3.32 3.19 3.19 3.18 3.15 3.02 3.01 2.99 2.98 2.90 2.79 2.77 2.68 2.67 2.66 2.64 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 management scores US Sweden Japan Germany Canada Australia France Great Britain Italy Poland Portugal Ireland Brazil India Greece China Not statistically different * * Global management performance Source: Data collected from interviews conducted by the Australian Management Practices Project Team
  • 19. 3.32 3.19 3.19 3.18 3.15 3.02 3.01 2.99 2.98 2.90 2.79 2.77 2.68 2.67 2.66 2.64 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 management scores US Sweden Japan Germany Canada Australia France Great Britain Italy Poland Portugal Ireland Brazil India Greece China Not statistically different * * Global management performance Source: Data collected from interviews conducted by the Australian Management Practices Project Team
  • 20. Large, global companies Significant plant autonomy High levels of skill & education Better management is associated with:
  • 21. Australian management performance gaps 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 Austra Global countr Operations Metrics Performance Metrics People Metrics Australia Global best
  • 22. Australian management performance gaps 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 Austra Global countr Operations Metrics Performance Metrics People Metrics Australia Global best 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 Austra Global countr 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 4 Austra Global countr ‘Instilling a talent mindset’
  • 23. “Using creativity and design-based thinking to solve complex problems is a distinctive Australian strength that can help to meet the emerging challenges of this century.” Australia in the Asian Century, 2012
  • 24.
  • 25. Key policy steps Identify areas of existing and potential competitive advantage (Knowledge Foresight) Support SME participation in global markets and value chains (Micromultinationals) Invest in knowledge creation, exchange and engagement (Innovation Ecosystem) Promote design, technology and business model innovation (Business Transformation) Upgrade management capability and integration of workforce talent (Creative Leadership)

Editor's Notes

  1. Investment in Knowledge (R&D, Higher Education, Software), % of GDP, 2004
  2. LSE-McKinsey study of Management Practice and Productivity, 2007; UTS-MGSM study, 2009
  3. Australian management practice ranks # 6 * At the 10% significance level Note: Scores are based on interviews where plant size is equal to or larger than 40 AND firm size is between 100 and 5000, LSE criteria for international comparison Source : Global benchmarking data provided by LSE, Canadian data obtained from http://www.competeprosper.ca/
  4. Australian management practice ranks # 6 * At the 10% significance level Note: Scores are based on interviews where plant size is equal to or larger than 40 AND firm size is between 100 and 5000, LSE criteria for international comparison Source : Global benchmarking data provided by LSE, Canadian data obtained from http://www.competeprosper.ca/
  5. Key determinants of management performance Better management performance is associated with: Large, global companies Significant plant autonomy High levels of skill and education
  6. Australian managers lag global best practice the most in “Instilling a talent mindset”