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DO MERGERS STIFLE
INNOVATION?
The European Commission’s use of the Patent
Asset IndexTM in the Dow/DuPont merger case
Anna Maria Villa
IC-SDV Nice, April 2018
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 2
DECEMBER 2015: DOW AND DUPONT ANNOUNCE THE PLANNED MERGER
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 3
THE COMBINED ACTIVITIES WOULD GIVE RISE TO THREE BUSINESS AREAS
Agriculture
Revenue: approx 19B
Material Sciences
Revenue: approx 51B
Specialty Products
Revenue: approx 13B
Dow + DuPont
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 4
THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION OPENED AN INVESTIGATION ON AGRICULTURE &
MATERIAL SCIENCES IN 2016
Agriculture
Revenue: approx 19B
Material Sciences
Revenue: approx 51B
Specialty Products
Revenue: approx 13B
Dow + DuPont
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 5
THE COMMISSION’S M&A COMPETITION ASSESSMENT ARE LED ON PRODUCTS,
INNOVATION AND PRICES
Products
Prices Innovation
Innovation concerns normally emerge
in markets in which the merging
parties have strong innovation
capabilities and/or track records, are
facing few rivals and where barriers to
entry in research and development
are significant.
“
Directorate-General for Competition, European
Commission
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 6
INNOVATION COMPETITION TAKES CENTER-STAGE
Innovation has become “so
important” for future competition
“because the viability of the
product line depends on your
ability to keep on innovating.”
Margrethe Vestager,
European
Commissioner for
Competition
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 7
CROP PROTECTION: THE IMPORTANCE OF THE MERGING PARTIES AS
INNOVATORS WAS ASSESSED BY ANALYSIS OF PATENT DATA
ØCompetitiveImpact
Active patent families
Dow
DuPont
DowDuPont
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 8
THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION UNDERLINED THE QUALITY OF PATENTS AS AN
OBJECTIVE MEASURE OF INNOVATION
Dow/DuPont European Commission
• Quality: Patent family value• Quantity: Patent application
counts
• Patent applications
from 1990 - 2015
• Recent and active patent families
published in 2000-2015
• All patents related to crop
protection
• All patents relevant to crop
protection industry in the
European Economic Area
Innovation
analysis based
on patents
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 9
THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION USED PATENTSIGHT AS A TRUSTED SOURCE OF
PATENT ANALYSIS
“…It [PatentSight] is recognized in the industry as a
reference as regards patents.
Commission Decision, Merger
Procedure Regulation (EC) 139/2004
“We are grateful to PatentSight for their technical
support during the Dow/DuPont investigation.
Buehler, Coublucq, Hariton, Langus, and Valletti;
Review of Industrial Organization (2017)
TECHNOLOGY RELEVANCE™
Worldwide citations received
from later patents, adjusted
for age, patent office practices
and technology field
Average value: 1
MARKET COVERAGE™
Market size protected by
active patents and pending
patent applications on a
certain invention
Value of a granted US patent: 1
PATENT
ASSET
INDEX™
(Sum of all
Competitive
Impacts of an
entire portfolio)
THE PATENT ASSET INDEXTM BUILDS ON TWO KPIS WHICH HAVE SHOWN HIGHEST
CORRELATION IN SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH TO ESTIMATE REAL VALUE
COMPETITIVE
IMPACT™
(Individual patent
strength)
The relative
business value of
a patent
Later
Patent
Individual
Patent
The scientific publication was made in: Ernst, H., Omland, N. (2011): The Patent Asset Index – A New Approach to Benchmark Patent Portfolios.
World Patent Information 33, pp. 34–41. An overview can be found in the document “Introduction to the Patent Asset Index” available from
PatentSight.
24/04/2018 10
∑
Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018
24/04/2018 11
SCIENTIFIC & CUSTOMER VALUATION STUDIES SHOW ~80% ACCURACY OF THE
PATENT ASSET INDEX™ METHODOLOGY
7,8
0,7
0
2
4
6
8
Opposed patents Abandoned patents
The average
Competitive Impact of
opposed patents is
significantly higher
ØCompetitiveImpact
 Considered a key patent
 Attacked and defended
 Enforced in court
 Maintained longer
 Commercialized
 Standard-relevant
Validation studies
Patents with a high Competitive Impact are
more frequently
Sample: 74.732 patent families. Source: Ernst, H., Omland, N. (2011): The Patent Asset Index - A New Approach to Benchmark Patent Portfolios.
World Patent Information 33, pp. 34–41.
Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018
In the Dow/DuPont case the European Commission found that the top
10% of patents related to blockbuster products, the most successful
products in terms of sales.
1. Dow and DuPont were particularly strong innovators (on the basis of external as
well as total citations)
2. Dow and DuPont had a significant combined patent share for the period 2000-
2015 for new active ingredients (AI) in crop protection, in particular herbicides
and insecticides
3. Patent shares indicate a high level of concentration already pre-merger with a
significant increase after the merger
4. Dow and DuPont were very close competitors for past innovations (based on
their best quality patents and high level of cross-citations)
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 12
THE FINDINGS INDICATE DOW AND DUPONT AS STRONG INNOVATORS AND
CLOSE COMPETITORS
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 13
IN THE FIELD OF CROP PROTECTION THERE WERE ONLY SIX MAJOR PRE-
MERGER PLAYERS
Active patent families
ØCompetitiveImpact
Bubble area:
Patent Asset Index™
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 14
THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION CONCLUDED THE DOW/DUPONT MERGER TO BE
CONDITIONAL ON THE DIVESTURE OF THEIR CROP PROTECTION BUSINESS
DuPont
Dow
Bayer
Syngenta
BASF Monsanto
Dow/DuPont
[50-60]%
[20-30]%
[10-20]%
[5-10]% [0-5]%
Percentage shares in top 10% most valuable crop protection patents, value as measured by the Patent Asset Index™
(Source: European Commission investigations referring to PatentSight)
© 2017
The merged entity
Dow/DuPont would
hold a share of 50-
60% in the top 10%
most valuable crop
protection patents.
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 15
THE MERGER WAS FINALIZED 2017
Agriculture: FMC acquired DuPont‘s crop
protection business
Material Science: SK acquires Dow
Chemical‘s acid co-polymers and
ionomers business
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 16
THE FUTURE? INNOVATION COMPETITION HAS BEEN ANALYZED FOR THE NEXT
MERGER
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 17
REFERENCES AND SOURCES
Ernst, H., Omland, N. 2011. The Patent Asset Index - A New Approach to Benchmark Patent Portfolios, World Patent Information,
33, pp. 34-41.
Omland, N. 2011. Valuing patents through indicators, in: Munari, F. and Oriani, R. (eds.): The Economic Valuation of Patents -
Methods and Applications, pp. 169-201, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham.
Bertuzzi A., Blanco Thomas S., Coublucq D., Jonckheere J., Tew J., Deisenhofer T., 2017. Dow/DuPont: protecting product and
innovation competition, Competition merger brief 2, pp.1-8,
http://ec.europa.eu/competition/publications/cmb/2017/kdal17002enn.pdf
Buehler, B., Coublucq, D., Hariton, C., Langus, G., Valletti T.. 2017 Recent Developments at DG Competition: 2016/2017,
Rev.Ind.Organ. 51, pp. 397-422. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-017-9592-x
Dow/DuPont Case Overview http://ec.europa.eu/competition/elojade/isef/case_details.cfm?proc_code=2_M_7932
European Commission Case M.7932 – Dow/DuPont Merger Procedure Regulation (EC) 139/2004 - Preliminary public version of the
decision http://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/decisions/m7932_13668_3.pdf
European Commission Press Release , Brussels, March 27th, 2017 Mergers: Commission clears merger between Dow and DuPont,
subject to conditions http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-17-772_en.htm
Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/dfcde2d2-a006-11e5-8613-08e211ea5317
The Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/dec/11/dow-chemical-dupont-merger-dowdupont
Dow Investor Information: http://s2.q4cdn.com/752917794/files/doc_downloads/2016/dowfilings/investor-presentation_final-12-
11-15.pdf
Press Release, merger finalization: https://www.dow.com/en-us/news/press-releases/dowdupont-merger-successfully-completed
FMC acquisition of DuPont’s Crop Protection Business : http://www.fmc.com/fmc-acquisition
SK acquisition of Dow’s Material Science Business https://www.acq5.com/post/sk-global-chemical-to-acquire-the-dow-chemical-s-
global-ethylene-acrylic-acid-copolymers-and-ionomers-business/
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 19
THE COMMISSION’S CONCERNS ARE RELATED TO THE POSSIBILITY THAT,
FOLLOWING THE TRANSACTION:
(i) the merging parties will limit future price competition between their forthcoming
and their existing products, or between their forthcoming products; and
(ii) the merged entity will discontinue, delay, or redirect its efforts in each of the
merging parties’ pre-merger lines of research.
The innovation concerns are also related to the possibility that:
(iii) the transaction will remove one of the few competitors with innovation capabilities
in these markets.
24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 20
THE HARM TO INNOVATION, IN THE ABSENCE OF EFFICIENCIES, IS MORE LIKELY
WHEN:
“ the merging parties have overlapping research targets; the
parties are significant competitors in a concentrated
industry; and the barriers to entry are high.
.
Buehler, Coublucq, Hariton, Langus, and Valletti; Review
of Industrial Organization (2017)

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DO MERGERS STIFLE INNOVATION? ANALYZING THE DOW/DUPONT CASE WITH PATENT DATA

  • 1. DO MERGERS STIFLE INNOVATION? The European Commission’s use of the Patent Asset IndexTM in the Dow/DuPont merger case Anna Maria Villa IC-SDV Nice, April 2018
  • 2. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 2 DECEMBER 2015: DOW AND DUPONT ANNOUNCE THE PLANNED MERGER
  • 3. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 3 THE COMBINED ACTIVITIES WOULD GIVE RISE TO THREE BUSINESS AREAS Agriculture Revenue: approx 19B Material Sciences Revenue: approx 51B Specialty Products Revenue: approx 13B Dow + DuPont
  • 4. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 4 THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION OPENED AN INVESTIGATION ON AGRICULTURE & MATERIAL SCIENCES IN 2016 Agriculture Revenue: approx 19B Material Sciences Revenue: approx 51B Specialty Products Revenue: approx 13B Dow + DuPont
  • 5. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 5 THE COMMISSION’S M&A COMPETITION ASSESSMENT ARE LED ON PRODUCTS, INNOVATION AND PRICES Products Prices Innovation Innovation concerns normally emerge in markets in which the merging parties have strong innovation capabilities and/or track records, are facing few rivals and where barriers to entry in research and development are significant. “ Directorate-General for Competition, European Commission
  • 6. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 6 INNOVATION COMPETITION TAKES CENTER-STAGE Innovation has become “so important” for future competition “because the viability of the product line depends on your ability to keep on innovating.” Margrethe Vestager, European Commissioner for Competition
  • 7. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 7 CROP PROTECTION: THE IMPORTANCE OF THE MERGING PARTIES AS INNOVATORS WAS ASSESSED BY ANALYSIS OF PATENT DATA ØCompetitiveImpact Active patent families Dow DuPont DowDuPont
  • 8. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 8 THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION UNDERLINED THE QUALITY OF PATENTS AS AN OBJECTIVE MEASURE OF INNOVATION Dow/DuPont European Commission • Quality: Patent family value• Quantity: Patent application counts • Patent applications from 1990 - 2015 • Recent and active patent families published in 2000-2015 • All patents related to crop protection • All patents relevant to crop protection industry in the European Economic Area Innovation analysis based on patents
  • 9. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 9 THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION USED PATENTSIGHT AS A TRUSTED SOURCE OF PATENT ANALYSIS “…It [PatentSight] is recognized in the industry as a reference as regards patents. Commission Decision, Merger Procedure Regulation (EC) 139/2004 “We are grateful to PatentSight for their technical support during the Dow/DuPont investigation. Buehler, Coublucq, Hariton, Langus, and Valletti; Review of Industrial Organization (2017)
  • 10. TECHNOLOGY RELEVANCE™ Worldwide citations received from later patents, adjusted for age, patent office practices and technology field Average value: 1 MARKET COVERAGE™ Market size protected by active patents and pending patent applications on a certain invention Value of a granted US patent: 1 PATENT ASSET INDEX™ (Sum of all Competitive Impacts of an entire portfolio) THE PATENT ASSET INDEXTM BUILDS ON TWO KPIS WHICH HAVE SHOWN HIGHEST CORRELATION IN SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH TO ESTIMATE REAL VALUE COMPETITIVE IMPACT™ (Individual patent strength) The relative business value of a patent Later Patent Individual Patent The scientific publication was made in: Ernst, H., Omland, N. (2011): The Patent Asset Index – A New Approach to Benchmark Patent Portfolios. World Patent Information 33, pp. 34–41. An overview can be found in the document “Introduction to the Patent Asset Index” available from PatentSight. 24/04/2018 10 ∑ Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018
  • 11. 24/04/2018 11 SCIENTIFIC & CUSTOMER VALUATION STUDIES SHOW ~80% ACCURACY OF THE PATENT ASSET INDEX™ METHODOLOGY 7,8 0,7 0 2 4 6 8 Opposed patents Abandoned patents The average Competitive Impact of opposed patents is significantly higher ØCompetitiveImpact  Considered a key patent  Attacked and defended  Enforced in court  Maintained longer  Commercialized  Standard-relevant Validation studies Patents with a high Competitive Impact are more frequently Sample: 74.732 patent families. Source: Ernst, H., Omland, N. (2011): The Patent Asset Index - A New Approach to Benchmark Patent Portfolios. World Patent Information 33, pp. 34–41. Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 In the Dow/DuPont case the European Commission found that the top 10% of patents related to blockbuster products, the most successful products in terms of sales.
  • 12. 1. Dow and DuPont were particularly strong innovators (on the basis of external as well as total citations) 2. Dow and DuPont had a significant combined patent share for the period 2000- 2015 for new active ingredients (AI) in crop protection, in particular herbicides and insecticides 3. Patent shares indicate a high level of concentration already pre-merger with a significant increase after the merger 4. Dow and DuPont were very close competitors for past innovations (based on their best quality patents and high level of cross-citations) 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 12 THE FINDINGS INDICATE DOW AND DUPONT AS STRONG INNOVATORS AND CLOSE COMPETITORS
  • 13. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 13 IN THE FIELD OF CROP PROTECTION THERE WERE ONLY SIX MAJOR PRE- MERGER PLAYERS Active patent families ØCompetitiveImpact Bubble area: Patent Asset Index™
  • 14. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 14 THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION CONCLUDED THE DOW/DUPONT MERGER TO BE CONDITIONAL ON THE DIVESTURE OF THEIR CROP PROTECTION BUSINESS DuPont Dow Bayer Syngenta BASF Monsanto Dow/DuPont [50-60]% [20-30]% [10-20]% [5-10]% [0-5]% Percentage shares in top 10% most valuable crop protection patents, value as measured by the Patent Asset Index™ (Source: European Commission investigations referring to PatentSight) © 2017 The merged entity Dow/DuPont would hold a share of 50- 60% in the top 10% most valuable crop protection patents.
  • 15. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 15 THE MERGER WAS FINALIZED 2017 Agriculture: FMC acquired DuPont‘s crop protection business Material Science: SK acquires Dow Chemical‘s acid co-polymers and ionomers business
  • 16. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 16 THE FUTURE? INNOVATION COMPETITION HAS BEEN ANALYZED FOR THE NEXT MERGER
  • 17. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 17 REFERENCES AND SOURCES Ernst, H., Omland, N. 2011. The Patent Asset Index - A New Approach to Benchmark Patent Portfolios, World Patent Information, 33, pp. 34-41. Omland, N. 2011. Valuing patents through indicators, in: Munari, F. and Oriani, R. (eds.): The Economic Valuation of Patents - Methods and Applications, pp. 169-201, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham. Bertuzzi A., Blanco Thomas S., Coublucq D., Jonckheere J., Tew J., Deisenhofer T., 2017. Dow/DuPont: protecting product and innovation competition, Competition merger brief 2, pp.1-8, http://ec.europa.eu/competition/publications/cmb/2017/kdal17002enn.pdf Buehler, B., Coublucq, D., Hariton, C., Langus, G., Valletti T.. 2017 Recent Developments at DG Competition: 2016/2017, Rev.Ind.Organ. 51, pp. 397-422. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-017-9592-x Dow/DuPont Case Overview http://ec.europa.eu/competition/elojade/isef/case_details.cfm?proc_code=2_M_7932 European Commission Case M.7932 – Dow/DuPont Merger Procedure Regulation (EC) 139/2004 - Preliminary public version of the decision http://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/decisions/m7932_13668_3.pdf European Commission Press Release , Brussels, March 27th, 2017 Mergers: Commission clears merger between Dow and DuPont, subject to conditions http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-17-772_en.htm Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/dfcde2d2-a006-11e5-8613-08e211ea5317 The Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/dec/11/dow-chemical-dupont-merger-dowdupont Dow Investor Information: http://s2.q4cdn.com/752917794/files/doc_downloads/2016/dowfilings/investor-presentation_final-12- 11-15.pdf Press Release, merger finalization: https://www.dow.com/en-us/news/press-releases/dowdupont-merger-successfully-completed FMC acquisition of DuPont’s Crop Protection Business : http://www.fmc.com/fmc-acquisition SK acquisition of Dow’s Material Science Business https://www.acq5.com/post/sk-global-chemical-to-acquire-the-dow-chemical-s- global-ethylene-acrylic-acid-copolymers-and-ionomers-business/
  • 18.
  • 19. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 19 THE COMMISSION’S CONCERNS ARE RELATED TO THE POSSIBILITY THAT, FOLLOWING THE TRANSACTION: (i) the merging parties will limit future price competition between their forthcoming and their existing products, or between their forthcoming products; and (ii) the merged entity will discontinue, delay, or redirect its efforts in each of the merging parties’ pre-merger lines of research. The innovation concerns are also related to the possibility that: (iii) the transaction will remove one of the few competitors with innovation capabilities in these markets.
  • 20. 24/04/2018Presentation for IC-SDV Nice 2018 20 THE HARM TO INNOVATION, IN THE ABSENCE OF EFFICIENCIES, IS MORE LIKELY WHEN: “ the merging parties have overlapping research targets; the parties are significant competitors in a concentrated industry; and the barriers to entry are high. . Buehler, Coublucq, Hariton, Langus, and Valletti; Review of Industrial Organization (2017)