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Ericsson Mobility Report February 2013: Interim Update
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Ericsson Mobility Report February 2013: Interim Update

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This document is a scheduled update to some sections of …

This document is a scheduled update to some sections of
the Ericsson Mobility Report, released in November 2012.
To view or download a copy of the original report, please visit
http://www.ericsson.com/ericsson-mobility-report.
We will continue to share traffic and market data, along with
our analysis, on a regular basis.

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  • 1. INTERIM UPDATEERICSSONMOBILITYREPORTON THE PULSE OF THE NETWORKED SOCIETYThis document is a scheduled update to some sections ofthe Ericsson Mobility Report, released in November 2012. subscriptionsTo view or download a copy of the original report, please visit 140 million netwww.ericsson.com/ericsson-mobility-report additions inWe will continue to share traffic and market data, along with Q4 2012.our analysis, on a regular basis. TRAFFIC Data traffic grew by 28% between Q3 and Q4 2012.February 2013
  • 2. Mobilesubscriptions updateFigure 1: Mobile subscriptions by region, Q4 2012 NET ADDITIONS (MILLION) 140 million net additions Q4 2012 31 31 30 15 11 8 9 2 2 276 361 531 642 713 680 754 1,120 1,260 MOBILE SUBSCRIPTIONS (MILLlON) Source: Ericsson (February 2013) Figure 1Mobile subscription figures are estimates as of Q4 2012. Mobile Indian subscriptions have been adjusted to reflect activenet additions are estimates during Q4 2012. APAC = Asia Pacific. subscriptions as defined by the telecom regulatory authority in India.The estimate of mobile net additions has been made based on This better reflects real subscriber growth at a time when India’shistoric information from external sources and regulatory and operators have been deleting inactive subscriptions.operator reports, combined with Ericsson analysis. Historical All measurements are rounded up or down to the nearest million.data may be revised when operators report updated figures. The sum of all rounded regional data may therefore differ slightly from the rounded total.2 ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT  INTERIM UPDATE FEBRUARY 2013
  • 3. lobal mobile penetration reached 89 percent G In Q4, mobile broadband subscriptions1 grew in Q4 2012 and mobile subscriptions now total ~125 million to 1.5 billion, reflecting a around 6.3 billion. However, the actual number 50 percent year-on-year increase. of subscribers is around 4.4 billion, since many There is continued strong momentum for people have several subscriptions. smartphone uptake in all regions. Approximately China alone accounted for ~22 percent of net 40 percent of all mobile phones sold during additions, adding around 30 million subscriptions. 2012 were smartphones, compared to around 30 percent for the full year 2011. Only around India (+11 million), Bangladesh (+9 million), 15-20 percent of the worldwide installed base of Indonesia (+8 million), and Nigeria (+5 million) mobile phone subscriptions uses smartphones, follow in terms of net additions. which means that there is considerable room for Mobile subscriptions have grown around further uptake. nine percent year-on-year and two percent GSM/GPRS/EDGE subscriptions grew ~44 million quarter-on-quarter. and WCDMA/HSPA grew ~70 million. Together these technologies represent ~80 percent of total net additions. LTE subscriptions grew from 14 million to 57 million.Figure 2: Penetration percentage Q4 2012 Central Eastern Europe 133% Western Europe 128% Latin America 112% Middle East 106% North America 103%APAC (excluding China India) 99% China 82% Africa 70% India 56% Global penetration 89% Source: Ericsson (February 2013)1 Mobile broadband includes handsets, tablets, mobile PCs and mobile routers for the following technologies: HSPA, LTE, CDMA2000 EV-DO, Mobile WiMAX and TD-SCDMA SUBSCRIPTIONS VS SUBSCRIBERSThere is a large difference between the number of subscriptions before inactive subscriptions are removed from operator databases.and subscribers. This is due to the fact that many subscribers have Consequently, subscription penetration can easily reach aboveseveral subscriptions. Reasons for this could include users lowering 100 percent, which is the case in many countries today. It shouldtheir traffic cost by using optimized subscriptions for different types however be noted that in some developing regions, it is common forof calls, maximizing coverage, having different subscriptions for several people to share one subscription, having for example a familymobile PCs/tablets and for mobile phones. In addition, it takes time or village phone. INTERIM UPDATE FEBRUARY 2013  ERICSSON MOBILITY REPORT  3
  • 4. Mobile trafficupdateGlobal traffic in mobile networks Figure 3: Global total data traffic in mobile networks, 2007-2012Figure 3 shows total monthly datatraffic. It depicts stable growth Source: Ericsson (February 2013)with some seasonal variations. 1400Mobile data subscriptions willgrow strongly and drive the 1200increase in data traffic, along with acontinuous increase in the average Total (uplink + downlink) monthly traffic (PetaBytes) 1000data volumes per subscription.Highlights include: 800 ata traffic doubling between D 600 Q4 2011 and Q4 2012 uarterly growth of 28 percent Q 400 between Q3 2012 and Q4 2012 200It should be noted that thereare big differences in traffic 0levels between markets, regions Q1 07 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 07 07 07 08 08 08 08 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12and operators.These measurements have beenperformed by Ericsson overseveral years using a large baseof commercial networks thattogether cover all regions of the x2 28%world. They form a representativebase for calculating world total Mobile Data traffic Mobile Data traffic doubled between growth betweentraffic in mobile networks2. Q4 2011 and Q4 2012 Q3 2012 and Q4 20122 Traffic does not include DVB-H, Wi-Fi, or Mobile WiMax.The contents of this document are based on a number of theoretical dependencies and assumptions and Ericsson shall not be bound by orliable for any statement, representation, undertaking or omission made in this document. Furthermore Ericsson may at any time change thecontents of this document at its sole discretion and shall not be liable for the consequences of such changes.Ericsson ABSE-126 25 Stockholm, SwedenTelephone +46 8 719 0000Fax +46 8 18 40 85 EAB-13:009816 Uen Awww.ericsson.com © Ericsson AB 2013