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Its america climate panel

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  • 1. Climate and Transportation: Pulling Out the Stops
    Deron Lovaas
    Federal Transportation Policy Director
    Natural Resources Defense Council
    ITS America
    Houston, Texas
    May 4, 2010
  • 2. Moving America Beyond Oil
    “ We have a serious problem. America is addicted to oil.”
    President George W. Bush, 2006 State of the Union
  • 3. 2008 EPA Emissions Inventory
    Transportation
    Passenger Vehicles = 58%
    Economy-wide
    Transportation = 27%*
    3
    * End use only. If production and refining of petroleum is included, then transportation share would increase to roughly 1/3rd.
    Source: 2010 EPA GHG Emission Inventory
  • 4. Travel Activity and Oil Imports
    4
  • 5. Fuel Economy: Jump, then Stall
    5
  • 6. Vehicle and Fuel Improvements:Cornerstone, but Not the Building
    U.S. Transportation Sector Emissions
    750 MMT
    570 MMT
    Assumes fixed efficiency baseline.
    325 MMT
    LDV CO2 and CAFE Stds plus RFS2
    Reduction Targets
    (from 2005 baseline)
    2020 = 17%
    2030 = 38%
    2050 = 80%
    Source: NRDC analysis
    6
  • 7. Vehicle Efficiency Options
    7
    Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010
  • 8. Low-Carbon Fuel Strategies
    8
    Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010
  • 9. System Efficiency + Reducing Carbon-Intensive Activities
    Combined 2.9-6.1% Reduction Potential from:
    Highway and Truck Operations and Management
    Freight Rail and Marine Operations
    Air Traffic Operations
    Infrastructure Construction and Maintenance
    Combined 4.9-17% (2030) and 6.4-21% (2050) Reduction Potential from:
    Pricing
    Transit, Nonmotorized and Intermodal Travel
    Land Use and Parking
    Commute Travel Reduction
    Public Information Campaigns
    9
    Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010
  • 10. Sea Change for CAFE, What Next?
    And now, AAM says: “The national [fuel economy and GHG] program announced today makes sense for consumers, for government policymakers and for automakers.”
    10
  • 11. 11
    Source: CBO, 2007
  • 12. VMT Growth: Already Trending Downward
    12
    Source: Pisarski and Cambridge Systematics
  • 13. “The Market Wants this Stuff”
    Source: Jonathan Levine, Zoned Out: Regulations, Markets and Choices in Transportation and Metropolitan Land-Use, 2006.
  • 14. 14
    Thank You!
    dlovaas@nrdc.org
    202-289-2384
    For more information regarding NRDC’s Energy Program
    http://www.nrdc.org/energy/