1. Climate and Transportation: Pulling Out the Stops Deron Lovaas Federal Transportation Policy Director Natural Resources Defense Council ITS America Houston, Texas May 4, 2010

2. Moving America Beyond Oil “ We have a serious problem. America is addicted to oil.” President George W. Bush, 2006 State of the Union

3. 2008 EPA Emissions Inventory Transportation Passenger Vehicles = 58% Economy-wide Transportation = 27%* 3 * End use only. If production and refining of petroleum is included, then transportation share would increase to roughly 1/3rd. Source: 2010 EPA GHG Emission Inventory

4. Travel Activity and Oil Imports 4

5. Fuel Economy: Jump, then Stall 5

6. Vehicle and Fuel Improvements:Cornerstone, but Not the Building U.S. Transportation Sector Emissions 750 MMT 570 MMT Assumes fixed efficiency baseline. 325 MMT LDV CO2 and CAFE Stds plus RFS2 Reduction Targets (from 2005 baseline) 2020 = 17% 2030 = 38% 2050 = 80% Source: NRDC analysis 6

7. Vehicle Efficiency Options 7 Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010

8. Low-Carbon Fuel Strategies 8 Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010

9. System Efficiency + Reducing Carbon-Intensive Activities Combined 2.9-6.1% Reduction Potential from: Highway and Truck Operations and Management Freight Rail and Marine Operations Air Traffic Operations Infrastructure Construction and Maintenance Combined 4.9-17% (2030) and 6.4-21% (2050) Reduction Potential from: Pricing Transit, Nonmotorized and Intermodal Travel Land Use and Parking Commute Travel Reduction Public Information Campaigns 9 Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010

10. Sea Change for CAFE, What Next? And now, AAM says: “The national [fuel economy and GHG] program announced today makes sense for consumers, for government policymakers and for automakers.” 10

11. 11 Source: CBO, 2007

12. VMT Growth: Already Trending Downward 12 Source: Pisarski and Cambridge Systematics

13. “The Market Wants this Stuff” Source: Jonathan Levine, Zoned Out: Regulations, Markets and Choices in Transportation and Metropolitan Land-Use, 2006.

14. 14 Thank You! dlovaas@nrdc.org 202-289-2384 For more information regarding NRDC’s Energy Program http://www.nrdc.org/energy/