SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 31
Download to read offline
Wi-Fi Mobile
Expansion of Wi-Fi Critical for Data Growth & Complementary to Cellular
Telecom Services, Cable, Satellite
Philip Cusick, CFA AC
(212) 622-1444
philip.cusick@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
See the end pages of this presentation for analyst certification and important disclosures, including non-US analyst disclosures.
J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may
have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their
investment decision.
Asia Telecom
James Sullivan AC
+65-6882-2374
James.r.sullivan@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited
Conference Call Details
Monday, April 27 @ 11:00am ET / 16:00 UK
Dial-in Info:
DIAL-IN: 888-566-1930 (US); 1-517-623-4814 (outside US); Passcode: TELECOM
Please dial in 10 minutes early to avoid excess holding.
Replay Info:
Replay Through 5/4: 888-554-3820 (US); +1-402-998-1398 (outside US); Passcode: 42715
Replay available approximately one hour after the call ends.
PODCAST available within 24 hrs:
Click here to find on J.P. Morgan Markets or find on BLOOMBERG @ JPMR <GO>, Features -- Multimedia -- 3) U.S. Conference Calls
This call is not open to any members of the press.
Conference calls are intended only for clients of J.P. Morgan and are available for replay for a limited amount of time.
For important disclosures on all companies covered by the firm’s research department, please refer to the following disclosure link:
https://jpmm.com/research/disclosures
Global Equity Research
April 27th, 2015
Agenda
2
Phil Cusick - U.S. Telecom, Cable & Satellite
 Wi-Fi Usage vs. Cellular Data Growth
 The Current State of Wi-Fi Deployment
 Cellular Carrier and MSO Wi-Fi Efforts
 Potential for Comcast Wi-Fi First Offer and Impact on Current Carriers
 Thoughts on Google Fi
 Unlicensed Spectrum Overview and Potential
1
James Sullivan – Asia Telecom
 Wi-Fi Emerging Business Models in Asia
 Wi-Fi Offload Trends by Country
 Municipal Builds Could Encourage Wi-Fi MVNOs
3
PHIL CUSICK
U.S. TELECOM, CABLE & SATELLITE
4
An Introduction to Wi-Fi
 What is Wi-Fi?
 Wi-Fi refers to any wireless local area network (WLAN) products that adopt the IEEE’s 802.11
standards using unlicensed spectrum, specifically 2.4 GHz and 5 GHz
 What is a Wi-Fi hotspot?
 A hotspot as a physical location where one can obtain Internet access via Wi-Fi. It could be
public (i.e., free and open to anyone) or private (i.e., credentials are required to access the
network) but the line is blurring with the advance of multiple SSID routers
 Wi-Fi relies on IEEE’s 802.11 standards for technical guidance
 802.11ac became the latest standard in December 2013 – it can provide speeds close to a gigabit
per second but the only downside is that it only works on the 5 GHz band
Wi-Fi Standard Launch Year Spectrum band Spectrum detail Allocation Est. throughput Range Power
802.11a 1999 5GHz 5150-5350MHz; 5725-5850MHz 300MHz Up to 54 Mbps 20m 800mW
802.11b 2000 2.4GHz 2400-2483.5MHz 83.5MHz Up to 11 Mbps 30m 100mW
802.11g 2003 2.4GHz 2400-2483.5MHz 83.5MHz Up to 54 Mbps 30m 200mW
802.11n 2009 2.4GHz / 5GHz 2400-2483.5MHz; 5150-5350MHz; 5725-5850MHz 383.5MHz Up to 450 Mbps 50m 100mW
802.11ac "5G Wi-Fi" 2014 5GHz 5150-5350MHz; 5725-5850MHz 300MHz Up to 800Mbps 10m
802.11ad "WiGig" TBD 60GHz 60GHz TBD 6000MHz+ Up to 7Gbps
802.11af "Super Wi-Fi"* 2014 54-790MHz (VHF/UHF) 54-790MHz Whitespaces using cognitive radio TDB TDB
802.11ah* TBD <1GHz / 900MHz (ISM) 902-928MHz low power and mesh networking 26MHz Up to 40Mbps
Source: SNL Kagan, FCC, Qualcomm
IEEE 802.11 Wi-Fi Standards by Spectrum Band and Data Rates
5
Wi-Fi Usage Continues to Ramp but Cellular Data Growth
Remains Healthy on Rich-Media Consumption
 Wi-Fi usage on smartphones already exceeds cellular
 Cisco estimates that 57% of mobile data usage in the US today is already on Wi-Fi, or ~2.5
GB/month vs. cellular usage of ~2 GB/month, and expects the share to move up to 66% in 2019
 We see Wi-Fi as a necessary complementary technology rather than a cannibalistic one, and
expect carrier profitability to remain healthy
 We expect cellular data to grow at 24% CAGR in the next five years to reach 5.7 GB/month in
2019 and Wi-Fi to grow by 29% CAGR to reach 9.2 GB in 2019
1,914
2,495
3,197
4,036
4,849
5,656
2,537
3,445
4,600
6,054
7,585
9,229
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E
Average Cellular Data Usage Average WiFi DataUsage
30.4%
28.1% 26.3%
20.2%
16.6%
24.3%
75.4%
35.8%
33.5% 31.6%
25.3%
21.7%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E
Cellular Usage Growth Wi-Fi Usage Growth
Cellular and WiFi Data Usage (MB) Cellular and Wi-Fi Data Usage Y/Y Growth
Source: J.P. Morgan estimates.
6
The Current State of Wi-Fi Deployment
 The US has ~50.6m public Wi-Fi hotspots with many more coming
 40 million amenity public hotspots, 9.7 million ISP hotspots deployed by ISPs and ~900k pay-
per-use hotspots by commercial Wi-Fi operators such as Boingo
 We expect homespots supplied by ISPs to quickly penetrate the 66% of US households that
already have a Wi-Fi router and public hotspots to grow with dual-SSID devices in businesses
 ISPs, especially cable, have invested heavily in Wi-Fi
 Cable focuses on residential areas and has deployed 9.7 million hotspots
 Carriers depend on Wi-Fi to help with cellular offload but build Wi-Fi relatively on their own
Hotspot Type Access Count % Total
Amenity Free, non-account based at public locations 40,000 79%
ISP Public ISP subscription-based at public locations 657 1%
ISP Homespots ISP subscription-based at private locations with dual SSID 9,000 18%
ISP Community ISP subscription-based in neighborhoods and public locations 9,657
Commercial Paid access at public locations 900 2%
Total sharable hotspots 50,557 100%
Total US Wi-Fi households 78,400
Wi-Fi Hotspots by Access Type in the US (000’s)
Source: SNL Kagan, FCC, Qualcomm
6.6 13.2 23.6 33.7
44.4 51.9 56.3
66.7 70.2 74.2 78.4 82.5 86.4 89.1 91.3 93.3 95.5 97.6 100.0 101.3 102.7
6%
12%
21%
30%
39%
45% 48%
57% 59% 63% 66% 69% 72% 73% 75% 76% 77% 78% 79% 79% 79%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Wi-Fi HHs (M) Wi-Fi HHs as% total HHs
Wi-Fi Household Penetration in the U.S.
Source: SNL Kagan,
7
Many Municipal Efforts Failed to Deliver on Grand Promises
 Many city-wide municipal Wi-Fi projects announced between 2006-2008 failed
 Early Wi-Fi OEM and network developers overestimated the capabilities of early Wi-Fi
technology and underestimated the density and backhaul required for a functional Wi-Fi network
 Additionally many lacked a sustainable funding/revenue stream to support the network
 Only “Anchor tenant” muni Wi-Fi with committed capital worked for a while
– Minneapolis decided to sign a 10-year contract for $12.5m with USI Wireless which operates
a Wi-Fi network across the city
 Recently some cities have restarted Wi-Fi deployments on a much smaller scale in selected areas
 For example, downtown city centers, parks with a high visitor volume, and low-income areas as
a way to provide public internet service
 NYC is launching a city-wide Wi-Fi system called LinkNYC in partnership with CityBridge
LinkNYC Kiosks
Source: CityBridge
8
Wi-Fi Business Models Are Evolving
 Out-of-home Wi-Fi access used to center around the pay-per-use model offered by Wi-Fi
operators and aggregators, such as Boingo and iPass
 The business model has mostly shifted to an ad-supported one by businesses that want to offer
customers a wireless broadband service
 Boingo can generate good revenue from advertising as the Wi-Fi network operator at locations
such as airports that want to offer Wi-Fi as an amenity for free
 Retail stores like Starbucks also run advertising when customers connect to its Wi-Fi and will
likely continue, if not increase, the ad load after the network management is transitioned to
Google/Level 3 from AT&T
 LinkNYC looks to advertising revenue to fund the conversion of NYC’s pay phones to Wi-Fi
hotspots
9
Cable Companies Remain Most Aggressive in Wi-Fi Deployment
 Cable MSOs have collectively deployed ~9.7 million hotspots including dual SSID APs with 9m
homes spots and 670k public hotspots
 We estimate Cable WiFi Alliance has 450k hotspots contributed by Comcast, Time Warner
Cable, Cablevision, Bright House and Cox
 Comcast has been aggressive with its primarily in-home Wi-Fi deployment with dual-SSID routers
 We estimate Comcast has 8m in customer locations, and 350k in public spaces in top markets
 Cablevision has nearly ubiquitous Wi-Fi coverage on Long Island but more limited in NYC, CT, NJ
 We estimate 150k are in public areas and ~1m are dual-SSID devices in customers’ homes
 Time Warner Cable has taken a more focused approach to Wi-Fi
 We estimate that it has 70k pubic hotspots, mainly in NYC, LA, Kansas City and Austin
 Bright House ahead of peers in public Wi-Fi deployment
 We highlight that BHN has 45k public Wi-Fi hotspots (~10 APs per thousand homes passed)
 Cox started late but has been aggressively deploying access points and Charter plays catch-up
with cable peers after fixing its plant
Private Routers Public Hotspots Total Hotspots
CMCSA* 8,000 350 8,350
TWC* 6,000 70 70
CHTR NA 3 NA
CVC* 1,000 150 1,150
COX* NA 5 NA
Bright House* NA 45 NA
Cable WiFi Alliance 450 450
Public Hotspots by Cable Operator
Source: J.P. Morgan estimates
10
Cellular Carriers Show Varying Interest in Wi-Fi Deployment
 The attitude of wireless carriers toward Wi-Fi has evolved dramatically in the past decade.
 Carriers used to see Wi-Fi as a competitive technology and resisted including it on their handsets.
 But as cellular technology moved to 3G and especially 4G LTE and smartphones became
widespread, carriers began to realize their networks and spectrum could not handle the explosive
growth in mobile data traffic.
 AT&T actively pushes customers off to Wi-Fi networks
 AT&T has >34k public hotspots including retail stores and Wi-Fi Hot Zones, and the carrier’s
handsets automatically connect to these hotspots unless handset owners proactively turn it off
 Sprint is expanding Wi-Fi calling to more handsets for better call quality and partners with Boingo for
better coverage
 Sprint has deployed Wi-Fi calling to 21 Android-based phones and could potentially add the
capability to every Android. Additionally We believe Sprint signed a multi-year contract with
Boingo in March 2015 to allow up to 40 million handsets to offload traffic to Boingo’s M&O
hotspots
 T-Mobile has Wi-Fi calling on all handsets including the iPhone 6 to address indoor coverage
 Once a customer turns on Wi-Fi on a T-Mobile handset all calls are made on Wi-Fi (where
available) by default. Additionally UnCarrier 7 introduced a Wi-Fi router offer but take rate is low
 Verizon eschews Wi-Fi, preferring the small cell route
 Verizon does little to proactively push customers to using Wi-Fi, instead preferring to leverage its
high-quality 4G network for data access with the help of small cell densification
11
Wi-Fi Operators/Aggregators Look for Different Niches
 Boingo facilitates Wi-Fi offload and Hotspot 2.0 roaming
 Boingo offers 1 million plus Wi-Fi hotspots in high-traffic locations, e.g. airports and has 70% of
data traffic going over its managed and operated (M&O) hotspots
 It currently has Wi-Fi offload trials with 3 of the 4 US Tier 1 carriers and announced a contract (we
think with Sprint) to allow 40m of the carrier’s handsets to offload traffic to Boingo’s M&O hotspots
 Boingo plans to launch Hotspot 2.0 at 21 airports across the US to provide an automatic log-in
experience for customers and easier roaming with operators, e.g. TWC’s Passpoint hotspots.
 iPass aggregates global Wi-Fi access and resells to enterprises
 It has aggregated over 18 million hotspots in 120 countries, and handles the backend settlement
and billing with numerous network operators
 iPass’s main customers are enterprises that sign volume discount contracts with iPass to provide
data access to their employees traveling overseas vs. paying expensive cellular data roaming
 Devicescape crowd-sources and curates Wi-Fi hotspots into a network
 Devicescape has already amassed 20 million public Wi-Fi locations, primarily amenity Wi-Fi
hotspots at many recognized retail chain stores in the US and now broadening to Europe
 It partners with Tier 2 or below wireless carriers in the US and abroad and turns carriers’ handsets
into “phantom” Wi-Fi AP detectors with Devisecape’s software and discovers new hotspots as the
handset owners travel around, and adds new hotspots to the virtual network.
12
In-Flight Wi-Fi Is Becoming Ubiquitous
 We estimate that 57% of commercial aircraft in North America have Wi-Fi onboard, with the vast
majority of them in the US, and another 19% has been awarded but not yet installed
 Gogo, Global Eagle (Row 44), Viasat/LiveTV and Panasonic install IFC in the US
 Gogo makes up the vast majority of the current backlog in North America at close to 1,000
aircraft
 Wi-Fi with broadband connectivity (vs. narrowband) is much less penetrated among business jets
 We estimate only 17% of 18k business jets excluding turboprops have Wi-Fi with broadband
speed onboard
Gogo
39%
Global
Eagle
10%
Thales/Live
TV
5%
Panasonic
3%
To be
installed
19%
Unawarded
24%
Gogo ATG
15%
ViaSat
2%
Unawarded
83%
Wi-Fi on N.A. Commercial Aircraft
Source: Gogo Inc., J.P. Morgan estimates
Wi-Fi on N.A. Business Aircraft
13
Cablevision: We Expect Little Uptake on Wi-Fi-Only Freewheel,
but More Offers Are Likely to Come
 Cablevision reports 1.1 million Wi-Fi hotspots in its footprint
 We estimate 150k are in public areas and ~1m are dual-SSID devices in customers’ homes
 Freewheel: A good start but we think the uptake on a Wi-Fi only product will be limited due to no
option for wider coverage
 For Cablevision customers, numerous available free text/talk apps reduce the appeal of a paid
package
 For non-customers $29.95 package runs into a very competitive market
 We expect that Cablevision profitability could be substantially affected in 1Q15 by the
Freewheel marketing
 We note Cablevision has a history of coming to market quickly with offers and refining over time.
We expect more products like Freewheel will come over time.
Talk Text Data Additional MB Rate Plan
Cablevision
WiFi only (existing HSD subs) Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited $0.00 $9.95
WiFi only (non-HSD subs) Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited $0.00 $29.95
Republic
WiFi only Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited $0.00 $5.00
WiFi + Cell Talk/Text Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi $0.00 $10.00
WiFi + 3G Data Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & 3G $0.00 $25.00
WiFi + 4G Data Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & 4G $0.00 $40.00
FreedomPop
Basic on Cell 200 500 500 $0.025 $0.00
Unlimited Annual on Cell Unlimited Unlimited 500 $0.025 $6.67
Unlimited Monthly on Cell Unlimited Unlimited 500 $0.025 $10.99
Unlimited Everything on Cell Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited $0.00 $19.99
Wi-Fi/MVNO Pricing Comparison
Source: Company websites
Freewheel Advertising
14
Comcast: Interested but Not Rushing into a Wireless Launch
 Comcast has expressed interest in a Wi-Fi-first product but we believe that a trial is possible in the
next year but that a full national launch is unlikely before mid-2016.
 The core assets for Comcast’s wireless product will be its perpetual MVNO deal with Verizon and 25-
year MVNO deal with Sprint in addition to its 8.35 million, and growing, Wi-Fi hotspots
 Why wireless? We think wireless seems a logical next driver for growth given its long-running interest
 We think potential target audiences could be rich-content consumers, “cord nevers” or users of
data-centric devices like tablets to convince customers the value-add of a bundled service
 But Comcast also needs to overcome customer wariness on poor quality of service, secure an
attractive handset line-up (the iPhone almost a must) with financing options, and expand its retail
presence over time
 Cable companies will have to overcome customer wariness. Additionally Comcast may need to
expand its retail presence over time
Comcast Wi-Fi Coverage with Cable WiFi Alliance
Source: Company website
15
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Carrier Smartphone WiFi Data Usage Comcast Smartphone WiFi DataUsage
Comcast Wireless Base Case Scenario
 Subscribers will likely be required to have a broadband subscription to maximize Wi-Fi offload
 Assuming 10% of residents in homes passed (with ~3 people per home), or ~20% of HSI
customers, take the wireless add-on, Comcast could reach 16.6m customers by Year 10
 ARPU will come at some discount, but unlikely to be massive to ensure revenue and profit growth
and offset substantial cellular roaming costs
 We model a $40 ARPU on an unsubsidized account and would expect Comcast to offer a range
of options between high-usage levels at $50 or higher and some lower-use plans at $20-30
 Total usage expected to be higher than carrier smartphones given a potential value proposition
with large buckets and a mobile video-seeking audience
 Incremental Wi-Fi offload potential is somewhat limited but still attractive. We model offload to
grow from 59% in 2016 to 70% at Comcast Wireless (vs. 65% for carrier) in 2025
 We expect a CMCSA wireless subscriber’s total data to grow from 8.6 GB to 16.1 GB, including
cellular usage growing from 3.5 GB/month in the base year of 2016 to 5.6 GB/month in 2019
Cellular Usage Growth – Carrier vs. Comcast
Source: J.P. Morgan estimates
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Carrier Smartphone Cellular Data Usage Comcast Smartphone Cellular Data Usage
Wi-Fi Usage Growth – Carrier vs. Comcast
16
Comcast Wireless Base Case Scenario
 Network costs are primarily
for cellular offload and we
estimate $10/GB
 Capex should be limited as
we don’t expect Comcast to
build a CVC-like dense Wi-
Fi network
 We assume a $50-100
handset subsidy which
could be low and CPGA
of $450 vs. $200 at
prepaid carrier and $600-
1,000 at Big 4
 Wireless EBITDA margins
expected to reach 35%
 10bps decrease in cable
churn from bundling could
save $400m/year or
150bps cable margin
 Our base case doesn’t
model in potential
wholesale Wi-Fi revenue
Comcast wireless rollout Start Year
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Annual growth
Homes pops ('000) 55,220 55,772 56,330 56,893 57,462 58,036 58,617 59,203 59,795 60,393 60,997 1.0%
Passed pops ('000) 149,950 151,450 152,964 154,494 156,039 157,599 159,175 160,767 162,375 163,998 165,638 1.0%
Covered pops ('000) 104,965 121,160 152,964 154,494 156,039 157,599 159,175 160,767 162,375 163,998 165,638 Terminal % coverage
% coverage 70% 80% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Incremental covered pops ('000) 104,965 16,195 31,804 1,530 1,545 1,560 1,576 1,592 1,608 1,624 1,640
Terminal penetration
% of terminal penetration 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 7.00% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 10.0%
Incremental penetration 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.70% 0.45% 0.45% 0.45% 0.45%
Penetration 0.0% 1.0% 3.0% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 8.7% 9.1% 9.6% 10.0%
Subscribers ('000) - 1,212 4,589 7,725 10,143 11,820 13,052 13,906 14,776 15,662 16,564
Net additions ('000) - 1,212 3,377 3,136 2,418 1,677 1,232 854 870 886 902
Average subscribers ('000) 606 2,900 6,157 8,934 10,981 12,436 13,479 14,341 15,219 16,113
Churn 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Gross additions - 1,357 4,073 4,613 4,562 4,313 4,217 4,089 4,312 4,538 4,769
Annual ARPU Growth
ARPU $40.00 $40.20 $40.40 $40.60 $40.81 $41.01 $41.22 $41.42 $41.63 $41.84 $42.05 0.5%
Service revenue ($m) - 292 1,406 3,000 4,375 5,404 6,151 6,700 7,164 7,640 8,130
% growth y-y 381% 113% 46% 24% 14% 9% 7% 7% 6%
Post-2020 Annual growth
Cable unaffected revenue 48,836 51,293 53,634 55,805 57,747 59,191 60,671 62,187 63,742 65,336 2.5%
Wireless % of unaffected cable revenue 1% 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12%
Wireless accretion to cable revenue growth (b.p.) 227 302 243 171 118 84 69 69 69
Total company unaffected revenue 76,511 78,566 81,562 84,349 86,928 89,102 91,329 93,612 95,953 98,351 2.5%
Wireless % of unaffected total company revenue 0% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8%
Wireless accretion to total company revenue growth (b.p.) 145 199 163 116 81 58 47 47 47
Annual $/GB Growth
Per-GB cellular MVNO Costs $10.00 $8.00 $6.88 $5.92 $5.09 $4.38 $3.76 $3.24 $2.78 $2.39 $2.06 -14.0%
.
Monthly data use per customer (GB) 6.6 8.6 10.7 13.4 16.1 18.5 21.3 24.5 28.1 31.5 34.7
% growth y-y 30% 25% 25% 20% 15% 15% 15% 15% 12% 10%
Monthly WiFi per customer (GB) 3.8 5.1 6.5 8.4 10.5 12.2 14.3 16.6 19.4 22.1 24.3
% of total 57% 59% 61% 63% 65% 66% 67% 68% 69% 70% 70%
Monthly cellular use per customer (GB) 2.8 3.5 4.2 5.0 5.6 6.3 7.0 7.8 8.7 9.5 10.4
% of total 43.0% 41.0% 39.0% 37.0% 35.0% 34.0% 33.0% 32.0% 31.0% 30.0% 30.0%
CCPU* of cellular roaming expenses $28.38 $28.14 $28.78 $29.35 $28.65 $27.53 $26.42 $25.34 $24.28 $22.63 $21.41
% of ARPU 71% 70% 71% 72% 70% 67% 64% 61% 58% 54% 51% Annual Growth
Other CCPU (incr. billing, custom svc, etc) excl WiFi $3.00 $2.85 $2.71 $2.57 $2.44 $2.32 $2.21 $2.10 $1.99 $1.89 $1.80 -5.0%
CCPU including upgrades $31.38 $30.99 $31.48 $31.92 $31.09 $29.85 $28.63 $27.44 $26.27 $24.52 $23.20
Pre-marketing expenses - 225 1,096 2,358 3,333 3,933 4,272 4,438 4,521 4,478 4,487
Pre-marketing cash flow - 67 310 641 1,041 1,471 1,878 2,262 2,643 3,162 3,643
Pre-marketing margin 22% 23% 22% 21% 24% 27% 31% 34% 37% 41% 45%
CPGA** (assumes no subsidy or upgrade expense) $200 $198 $196 $194 $192 $190 $188 $186 $185 $183 $181 CPGA Decline Rate
Sales & Marketing expenses - 269 798 895 876 820 794 762 796 829 863 1%
Marketing start-up costs 105 16 32 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Rollout Opex/pop
EBITDA (105) (218) (520) (255) 163 649 1,083 1,498 1,846 2,331 2,779 $1
% growth y-y 139% -51% -164% 298% 67% 38% 23% 26% 19%
EBITDA margin -74.6% -37.0% -8.5% 3.7% 12.0% 17.6% 22.4% 25.8% 30.5% 34.2%
Post-2020 Annual growth
Cable unaffected EBITDA 20,023 21,030 21,990 22,880 23,676 24,268 24,875 25,497 26,134 26,788 2.5%
EBITDA % 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41%
Wireless % of unaffected company cable EBITDA -1% -2% -1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10%
Wireless accretion to cable EBITDA growth (b.p.) (152) 129 193 211 178 164 132 178 157
Total company unaffected EBITDA 25,966 26,960 28,148 29,231 30,200 30,955 31,729 32,522 33,335 34,169 2.5%
EBITDA % 34% 34% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35%
Wireless % of unaffected company total EBITDA -1% -2% -1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8%
Wireless accretion to consolidated EBITDA growth (b.p.) (117) 100 150 165 141 130 105 141 125
Cable EBITDA with wireless 19,805 20,510 21,734 23,043 24,325 25,351 26,373 27,343 28,466 29,566
EBITDA % 40% 39% 38% 38% 39% 39% 39% 39% 40% 40%
Total company EBITDA with wireless 25,748 26,440 27,892 29,395 30,849 32,038 33,227 34,368 35,667 36,947
EBITDA % 34% 33% 33% 33% 33% 34% 34% 34% 34% 35%
Source: J.P. Morgan estimate, company data
17
Cable Quad-Plays’ Impact on Existing Wireless Carriers Likely Limited
 We do expect some disruption as alternative carriers, e.g., Comcast and Google, enter the mobile
space emphasizing Wi-Fi offload, but the need for cellular backup is likely to keep input prices
relatively high and minimize price disruption.
 High-margin wholesale revenue could partially offset the impact of increased competition
 A single MVNO deal is the best scenario for the carrier partner but we expect the disruptor to
move to multiple MVNO relationships over time, which would be more negative for carriers
 Comcast Wireless could help justify a merger of Sprint and T-Mobile
 The DoJ stated clearly that it wants to have 4 facilities-based wireless competitors in April 2014.
Comcast could be considered as a facilities-based wireless provider if it reached scale
Carrier impact model (single wholesale partner - Verizon as example) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
% of subscribers contributed 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
% of MVNO subscribers on network 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Retail ARPU of customers lost $52.51 $51.39 $50.62 $50.37 $50.37 $50.87 $51.38 $51.90 $52.41 $52.94
Retail revenue lost ($m) 134 626 1,309 1,890 2,323 2,657 2,909 3,126 3,350 3,583
EBITDA margin of retail customers 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
EBITDA lost 67 313 655 945 1,162 1,329 1,454 1,563 1,675 1,791
Wholesale ARPU of MVNO customers $28.14 $28.78 $29.35 $28.65 $27.53 $26.42 $25.34 $24.28 $22.63 $21.41
MVNO revenue gained 205 1,002 2,168 3,071 3,627 3,943 4,099 4,178 4,133 4,139
EBITDA margin of MVNO revenue 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0%
EBITDA from MVNO customers 143 701 1,518 2,150 2,539 2,760 2,869 2,925 2,893 2,898
Net EBITDA impact 76 388 863 1,205 1,378 1,432 1,415 1,362 1,218 1,106
Carrier impact model (multiple wholesale partners - Verizon as example) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
% of subscribers contributed 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0%
% of MVNO subscribers on network 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0%
Retail ARPU of customers lost $52.51 $51.39 $50.62 $50.37 $50.37 $50.87 $51.38 $51.90 $52.41 $52.94
Retail revenue lost ($m) 134 626 1,309 1,890 2,323 2,657 2,909 3,126 3,350 3,583
EBITDA margin of retail customers 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0%
EBITDA lost 67 313 655 945 1,162 1,329 1,454 1,563 1,675 1,791
Wholesale ARPU of MVNO customers $28.14 $28.78 $29.35 $28.65 $27.53 $26.42 $25.34 $24.28 $22.63 $21.41
MVNO revenue gained 51 250 542 768 907 986 1,025 1,045 1,033 1,035
EBITDA margin of MVNO revenue 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0%
EBITDA from MVNO customers 36 175 379 538 635 690 717 731 723 724
Net EBITDA impact (31) (138) (275) (407) (527) (639) (737) (832) (952) (1,067)
Source: J.P. Morgan estimates
Carrier impact model - single wholesale partner vs. multiple partners
18
Overview of Existing Wi-Fi-First MVNOs
 We believe Wi-Fi-First offerings need to have cellular back-up to be attractive as even low-price
subscribers still want to have peace of mind about being able to make emergency calls anywhere
 Additionally, Wi-Fi-First MVNOs are challenged to increase incremental Wi-Fi offload than
subscribers normally would to keep network cost in check for profitability and to maintain healthy
MVNO relationships with their mobile operator partners.
 Republic Wireless differentiates itself with proprietary handoff technology on Motorola handsets
 It has close to 1m subscribers on Sprint’s network; sells four brand new handsets by Motorola
 Republic works with Motorola to add its proprietary handoff technology on the OS level
 Tight data management helps keep network cost in check and maintain harmonious relationship
with Sprint
 FreedomPop relies on online handset resale for profit and follows a “Fremium” service model
 FreedomPop is more like an online refurbished phone distributor with sizable profit margin from
handset sales, so Wi-Fi First becomes a secondary source of profitability
 It adds Wi-Fi first on the application layer and the functionality can be added to any Android
phones with a software update. It has tried to maximize Wi-Fi usage by entering into wholesale
agreements – we estimate it has access to ~10m hotspots
19
Potential Technical Issues for Wi-Fi-First Offer
 Hand-off remains tricky but cellular-Wi-Fi hand-off has come a long way
 Active Wi-Fi AP scanning could create battery drain
 Vo-WiFi needs consistent signal quality for real-time transmission and may require packet
prioritization vs. Wi-Fi’s best-effort delivery
 Interference could be an issue, especially in 2.4 GHz
 Hotspot 2.0 hopes to automate the process of connection and authentication to make the cellular-
Wi-Fi handoff seamless
 The secret sauce for automation lies in the pre-connection credential exchange between a
handset and an access point behind the scene
 Hotspot 2.0 also offers higher security level with WPA 2 encryption and facilitates better
roaming between Wi-Fi partners, e.g. TWC and Boingo
20
Google’s Project Fi Offers Network Flexibility at Lower Prices for
Lower-Usage Customers
 Google launched Fi wireless offer which combines Sprint and T-Mobile (including roaming 120
countries that T-Mobile offers) plus automated access to open Wi-Fi networks
 Price of $20/month + $10/GB is slightly cheaper for the average or lower usage user than
T-Mobile and Sprint (closer with prepaid), but generally more expensive above the ~5GB level
 Service only available on Nexus 6 which costs $649 for the 32GB version or $27.04/mo over
24 months; Google Fi SIM cards are free for existing Nexus 6 owners
 We believe it will appeal to a relatively small group of customers who 1) are not iPhone devotees,
2) lower than average users, 3) not benefiting from a family plan discount, and 4) willing to trade
down from T/VZ service quality.
 We view Google Fi as a neutral event for Sprint and T-Mobile, and a very small negative for T and
VZ
 The network coverage is the best of Sprint and TMUS, which could be impressive, but the
combination will still be an inferior experience vs. AT&T or Verizon, in our view.
21
Wi-Fi Spectrum Critical for Data Offload But Large Deployment
Only Feasible in Dense Urban Areas
 Wi-Fi relies on public unlicensed spectrum in 2.4 GHz and 5 GHz
 526MHz of non-overlapping channels vs. 721 MHz spectrum allocated for cellular usage
 The FCC is looking into adding another 195 MHz in the 5.35-5.47 and 5.85-5.925 range for
unlicensed use and is considering allowing unlicensed use on 3.55-3.70 GHz
 Additionally Globalstar’s spectrum could become a private Wi-Fi band and it could be attractive to
carriers that already have a local cellular or fiber network, e.g. a major wireless or cable player, but
others would be unlikely to have much interest
 We believe a large-scale Wi-Fi deployment is only feasible in densely populated areas, so the
potential for using Wi-Fi to provide mobile coverage in a suburban area is fairly low
 Wi-Fi uses very high frequency and is allowed at far lower permitted emission limits than private
cellular bands (e.g., max 1W for 5 GHz vs. 1kW for 700 MHz)
 A Wi-Fi access point covers a radius of ~150 feet indoors and 300 feet outdoors vs. 30-40km by
a 700 MHz cell site
 Many more APs need to be installed in order to cover the same area as a cell site, and this
would be costly Unlicensed Spectrum Available for Wi-FiNon-Overlapping Channels for 2.4 GHz WLAN
802.11b (DSSS) channel width 22 MHz
Channel 1 Channel 6 Channel 11 Channel 14
2412 MHz 2437 MHz 2462 MHz 2484 MHz
2.4GHz
2.4835GHz
2.5GHz
Source: FCC
22
LTE in Unlicensed Spectrum Is Gaining Traction
 Carriers and equipment vendors have recently started talking more about deploying LTE over
unlicensed spectrum (LTE-U)
 Historically mobile operators were not able to deploy mobile technologies in the unlicensed
bands out of concern for spectral efficiency and reliable user experience
 The potential advantages of LTE-U over Wi-Fi
 Superior coverage and spectral efficiency due to carrier aggregation
 Smoother data flow across licensed and unlicensed spectrum as both would be deployed on the
same small cells in a single core network
 Verizon and T-Mobile both intend to deploy LTE-U for supplemental downlink
 Potential LTE-U deployment would focus first on 5 GHz and later on 3.5 GHz, but likely avoid
2.4 GHz due to interference
 Verizon plans to start pre-standard work in 2015 and trials in 2016 driven by Qualcomm and
Ericsson
 T-Mobile US has talked substantially about LTE-U (on FD) for supplemental downlink as well
and pointed to 2016 for a launch
23
JAMES SULLIVAN
ASIA TELECOM EQUITY ANALYST
• Wi-Fi emerging business models: Traditional wireless
networks cannot scale to meet eventual data demand, forcing
carriers to run multi-standard networks. The resultant impact
of Wi-Fi across Asia will be varied.
• Wi-Fi will ultimately to be a complementary network
technology
• Integrated carriers should have a competitive edge in
densely populated DM such as Hong Kong, where it helps
to mitigate capex and opex risk
• Over-reliance on Wi-Fi could harm data monetization in
markets with poor network quality. This was historically an
issue for CM, and could now be the case in Thailand and
Indonesia.
• Municipal builds could encourage Wi-Fi MVNOs in
markets such as Singapore and Taiwan
Source: J.P. Morgan estimates.
Wi-Fi in Asia: Why, When, and Where
Exploring the emerging impact of Wi-Fi on the core telecom business model
US cellular and Wi-Fi data usage (MB)
Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan.
Wi-Fi vs cellular speed by market
Source: OpenSignal.
Confidence bounds of Wi-Fi download speeds
1,914
2,495
3,197
4,036
4,849
5,656
2,537
3,445
4,600
6,054
7,585
9,229
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E
Average Cellular Data Usage Average WiFi DataUsage
• Falling Offload - cause for potential concern:
• Korea:
- Korean Wi-Fi + Wibro offload was as high as 20%+ of
overall traffic in 2012 - advent of LTE in that year and the
faster speeds available led to a significant compression in
Wi-Fi and Wibro traffic volumes
• China:
- CM aggressively leveraged Wi-Fi offloading in their TDS-
CDMA era.
- Significant drop in Wi-Fi activity since the launch of TD-
LTE services in 2H14
• Taiwan: Wireless broadband coverage is very good and
there is low incentive for users to search Wi-Fi signal to
access the internet when users are on the move.
Source: MSIP, J.P. Morgan
Wi-Fi in Asia: Why, When, and Where
Korean wireless traffic by technology standard
Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan.
Korea Wi-Fi vs. 4G speeds
Source: Company data and J.P. Morgan.
China Wi-Fi vs. mobile data traffic
8.1 7.4 7.4
18.5
20.6
18.5
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
KT SKT LGU+
Wifi
4G
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
3G 4G WiBro WiFi* WiFi as % WiFi + Wibro as % 2G
267
482
669
816 822
405
122
168
223
304
427
706
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14
WLAN data traffic (billion MB) Mobile internet access data traffic (billion MB)
4.6 4.5
5.2
4.5
5.3
20.2
17.8
10.8
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
iTaiwan Chunghwa TWM FET
Wifi
3G
4G
Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan
Taiwan Wi-Fi vs. 3/4G speed comparison
• ‘‘No choice’’ offload - very weak networks  no choice
but to rely on Wi-Fi:
• Thailand:
- Wi-Fi download speeds are still 2-3x faster than available
download speeds on traditional wireless networks
• Indonesia:
- LTE offers significantly higher download speeds than Wi-
Fi, but coverage remains extremely limited
• Rising offload - smaller, developed, high population
density markets:
• Hong Kong:
- Integrated operators will mirror the US, as Wi-Fi serves
to mitigate capex and opex risks and provides an
advantage over wireless-only carriers
• Singapore:
- Operators in Singapore are leveraging the government-
funded Wi-Fi rollout project Wireless@SG
Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan.
Wi-Fi in Asia: Why, When, and Where
Thailand Wi-Fi vs. 3G speeds
Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan.
Indonesia Wi-Fi vs. 3G/4G speeds
Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan.
4G network coverage, Greater Jakarta
• Municipal builds could encourage Wi-Fi MVNOs
• Singapore:
- 2mn subs as of Mar-14 for Wireless@SG and usage
hours were 32 hours per user per month
- IDA plans to double number of hotspots to 10,000 by
2015
• Korea:
- MSIP spent W4.7bn on building 4,000 additional public
Wi-Fi networks in major public areas in 2014, and
- Plans to increase by 2,500 in 2015
• Taiwan:
- As part of iTaiwan, more than 5,000 Wi-Fi hotspots set
up in indoor government offices, tourist attractions, and
public transportation stations
Common access Wi-Fi reduces integrated carriers’ asset
advantage making wireless carriers more competitive
Source: Infocomm Development Authority, J.P. Morgan
Wi-Fi in Asia: Why, When, and Where
Wireless@SG hotspots - Nationwide
Source: iTaiwan, J.P. Morgan
iTaiwan hotspots - Nationwide
Disclosures
Companies Discussed in This Report (all prices in this report as of market close on 24 April 2015)
AT&T (T/$34.01/Neutral)
Cablevision (CVC/$20.15/Underweight)
Charter Communications (CHTR/$185.75/Neutral)
Comcast (CMCSA/$59.64/Overweight)
Gogo (GOGO/$21.65/Overweight)
Google (GOOG/$565.06/Overweight/JPM analyst Doug Anmuth)
Level 3 Communications (LVLT/$54.67/Overweight)
Sprint Corp (S/$5.27/Neutral)
T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS/$34.31/Overweight)
Time Warner Cable (TWC/$155.26/Overweight)
US Cellular (USM/$37.93/Overweight)
Verizon Communications (VZ/$50.03/Overweight)
Registration of non-US Analysts: Unless otherwise noted, the non-US analysts listed on the front of this report are employees of non-US affiliates of JPMS,
are not registered/qualified as research analysts under NASD/NYSE rules, may not be associated persons of JPMS, and may not be subject to FINRA Rule
2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with covered companies, public appearances, and trading securities held by a research analyst
account.
29
Disclosures
Analyst Certification: The research analyst(s) denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple research analysts are primarily responsible for this
report, the research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover or within the document individually certifies, with respect to each security or issuer that the research analyst covers in
this research) that: (1) all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (2) no part of
any of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this
report. For all Korea-based research analysts listed on the front cover, they also certify, as per KOFIA requirements, that their analysis was made in good faith and that the views
reflect their own opinion, without undue influence or intervention.
Important Disclosures
Company-Specific Disclosures: Important disclosures, including price charts and credit opinion history tables, are available for compendium reports and all J.P. Morgan–covered
companies by visiting https://jpmm.com/research/disclosures, calling 1-800-477-0406, or e-mailing research.disclosure.inquiries@jpmorgan.com with your request. J.P. Morgan’s
Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research teams may screen companies not covered by J.P. Morgan. For important disclosures for these companies, please call 1-800-477-
0406 or e-mail research.disclosure.inquiries@jpmorgan.com.
Explanation of Equity Research Ratings, Designations and Analyst(s) Coverage Universe:
J.P. Morgan uses the following rating system: Overweight [Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will outperform the average total return of the stocks in the
analyst’s (or the analyst’s team’s) coverage universe.] Neutral [Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will perform in line with the average total return of the
stocks in the analyst’s (or the analyst’s team’s) coverage universe.] Underweight [Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will underperform the average total
return of the stocks in the analyst’s (or the analyst’s team’s) coverage universe.] Not Rated (NR): J.P. Morgan has removed the rating and, if applicable, the price target, for this
stock because of either a lack of a sufficient fundamental basis or for legal, regulatory or policy reasons. The previous rating and, if applicable, the price target, no longer should be
relied upon. An NR designation is not a recommendation or a rating. In our Asia (ex-Australia) and U.K. small- and mid-cap equity research, each stock’s expected total return is
compared to the expected total return of a benchmark country market index, not to those analysts’ coverage universe. If it does not appear in the Important Disclosures section of
this report, the certifying analyst’s coverage universe can be found on J.P. Morgan’s research website, www.jpmorganmarkets.com.
J.P. Morgan Equity Research Ratings Distribution, as of March 31, 2015
*Percentage of investment banking clients in each rating category.
For purposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distribution rules, our Overweight rating falls into a buy rating category; our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category; and our Underweight rating falls
into a sell rating category. Please note that stocks with an NR designation are not included in the table above.
Equity Valuation and Risks: For valuation methodology and risks associated with covered companies or price targets for covered companies, please see the most recent
company-specific research report at http://www.jpmorganmarkets.com, contact the primary analyst or your J.P. Morgan representative, or email
research.disclosure.inquiries@jpmorgan.com.
Overweight
(buy)
Neutral
(hold)
Underweight
(sell)
J.P. Morgan Global Equity Research Coverage 43% 44% 13%
IB clients* 55% 49% 37%
JPMS Equity Research Coverage 44% 48% 9%
IB clients* 75% 68% 54%
30
Disclosures
Equity Analysts' Compensation: The equity research analysts responsible for the preparation of this report receive compensation based upon various factors, including the
quality and accuracy of research, client feedback, competitive factors, and overall firm revenues.
Other Disclosures
J.P. Morgan ("JPM") is the global brand name for J.P. Morgan Securities LLC ("JPMS") and its affiliates worldwide. J.P. Morgan Cazenove is a marketing name for the U.K. investment banking
businesses and EMEA cash equities and equity research businesses of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its subsidiaries.
All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client website, J.P. Morgan Markets. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party
aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your sales representative.
Options related research: If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure
documents. For a copy of the Option Clearing Corporation's Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options, please contact your J.P. Morgan Representative or visit the OCC's website at
http://www.optionsclearing.com/publications/risks/riskstoc.pdf
Legal Entities Disclosures
U.S.: JPMS is a member of NYSE, FINRA, SIPC and the NFA. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. is a member of FDIC. U.K.: JPMorgan Chase N.A., London Branch, is authorised by the Prudential
Regulation Authority and is subject to regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority and to limited regulation by the Prudential Regulation Authority. Details about the extent of our regulation by the
Prudential Regulation Authority are available from J.P. Morgan on request. J.P. Morgan Securities plc (JPMS plc) is a member of the London Stock Exchange and is authorised by the Prudential
Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority. Registered in England & Wales No. 2711006. Registered Office 25 Bank Street,
London, E14 5JP. South Africa: J.P. Morgan Equities South Africa Proprietary Limited is a member of the Johannesburg Securities Exchange and is regulated by the Financial Services Board. Hong
Kong: J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited (CE number AAJ321) is regulated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the Securities and Futures Commission in Hong Kong and/or J.P.
Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited (CE number AAB027) is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission in Hong Kong. Korea: J.P. Morgan Securities (Far East) Ltd, Seoul Branch, is
regulated by the Korea Financial Supervisory Service. Australia: J.P. Morgan Australia Limited (JPMAL) (ABN 52 002 888 011/AFS Licence No: 238188) is regulated by ASIC and J.P. Morgan
Securities Australia Limited (JPMSAL) (ABN 61 003 245 234/AFS Licence No: 238066) is regulated by ASIC and is a Market, Clearing and Settlement Participant of ASX Limited and CHI-X.
Taiwan: J.P.Morgan Securities (Taiwan) Limited is a participant of the Taiwan Stock Exchange (company-type) and regulated by the Taiwan Securities and Futures Bureau. India: J.P. Morgan India
Private Limited (Corporate Identity Number - U67120MH1992FTC068724), having its registered office at J.P. Morgan Tower, Off. C.S.T. Road, Kalina, Santacruz - East, Mumbai – 400098, is a
member of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (SEBI Registration Number - INB 230675231/INF 230675231/INE 230675231) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (SEBI Registration
Number - INB 010675237/INF 010675237) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 91-22-6157 3000, Facsimile: 91-22-6157 3990 and Website: www.jpmipl.com. For
non local research reports, this material is not distributed in India by J.P. Morgan India Private Limited. Thailand: This material is issued and distributed in Thailand by JPMorgan Securities (Thailand)
Ltd., which is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and is regulated by the Ministry of Finance and the Securities and Exchange Commission and its registered address is 3rd Floor, 20 North
Sathorn Road, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500. Indonesia: PT J.P. Morgan Securities Indonesia is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the OJK a.k.a. BAPEPAM LK.
Philippines: J.P. Morgan Securities Philippines Inc. is a Trading Participant of the Philippine Stock Exchange and a member of the Securities Clearing Corporation of the Philippines and the Securities
Investor Protection Fund. It is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central
Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V., J.P. Morgan Grupo Financiero is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a broker dealer by the National
Banking and Securities Exchange Commission. Singapore: This material is issued and distributed in Singapore by or through J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited (JPMSS) [MCI (P)
100/03/2015 and Co. Reg. No.: 199405335R] which is a member of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited and is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and/or
JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Singapore branch (JPMCB Singapore) which is regulated by the MAS. This material is provided in Singapore only to accredited investors, expert investors and institutional
investors, as defined in Section 4A of the Securities and Futures Act, Cap. 289. Recipients of this document are to contact JPMSS or JPMCB Singapore in respect of any matters arising from, or in
connection with, the document. Japan: JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd. is regulated by the Financial Services Agency in Japan. Malaysia: This material is issued and distributed in Malaysia by
JPMorgan Securities (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd (18146-X) which is a Participating Organization of Bursa Malaysia Berhad and a holder of Capital Markets Services License issued by the Securities
Commission in Malaysia. Pakistan: J. P. Morgan Pakistan Broking (Pvt.) Ltd is a member of the Karachi Stock Exchange and regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan. Saudi
Arabia: J.P. Morgan Saudi Arabia Ltd. is authorized by the Capital Market Authority of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (CMA) to carry out dealing as an agent, arranging, advising and custody, with
respect to securities business under licence number 35-07079 and its registered address is at 8th Floor, Al-Faisaliyah Tower, King Fahad Road, P.O. Box 51907, Riyadh 11553, Kingdom of Saudi
Arabia. Dubai: JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Dubai Branch is regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) and its registered address is Dubai International Financial Centre - Building 3,
Level 7, PO Box 506551, Dubai, UAE.
31
Disclosures
Country and Region Specific Disclosures
U.K. and European Economic Area (EEA): Unless specified to the contrary, issued and approved for distribution in the U.K. and the EEA by JPMS plc. Investment research issued by JPMS plc has
been prepared in accordance with JPMS plc's policies for managing conflicts of interest arising as a result of publication and distribution of investment research. Many European regulators require a firm
to establish, implement and maintain such a policy. This report has been issued in the U.K. only to persons of a kind described in Article 19 (5), 38, 47 and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act
2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (all such persons being referred to as "relevant persons"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not relevant persons. Any
investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to relevant persons and will be engaged in only with relevant persons. In other EEA countries, the report has been issued
to persons regarded as professional investors (or equivalent) in their home jurisdiction. Australia: This material is issued and distributed by JPMSAL in Australia to "wholesale clients" only. This
material does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of the recipient. The recipient of this material must not distribute it to any third party or
outside Australia without the prior written consent of JPMSAL. For the purposes of this paragraph the term "wholesale client" has the meaning given in section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001.
Germany: This material is distributed in Germany by J.P. Morgan Securities plc, Frankfurt Branch and J.P.Morgan Chase Bank, N.A., Frankfurt Branch which are regulated by the Bundesanstalt für
Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht. Hong Kong: The 1% ownership disclosure as of the previous month end satisfies the requirements under Paragraph 16.5(a) of the Hong Kong Code of Conduct for
Persons Licensed by or Registered with the Securities and Futures Commission. (For research published within the first ten days of the month, the disclosure may be based on the month end data from
two months prior.) J.P. Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited is the liquidity provider/market maker for derivative warrants, callable bull bear contracts and stock options listed on the Stock Exchange
of Hong Kong Limited. An updated list can be found on HKEx website: http://www.hkex.com.hk. Japan: There is a risk that a loss may occur due to a change in the price of the shares in the case of
share trading, and that a loss may occur due to the exchange rate in the case of foreign share trading. In the case of share trading, JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd., will be receiving a brokerage fee
and consumption tax (shouhizei) calculated by multiplying the executed price by the commission rate which was individually agreed between JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd., and the customer in
advance. Financial Instruments Firms: JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd., Kanto Local Finance Bureau (kinsho) No. 82 Participating Association / Japan Securities Dealers Association, The Financial
Futures Association of Japan, Type II Financial Instruments Firms Association and Japan Investment Advisers Association. Korea: This report may have been edited or contributed to from time to time
by affiliates of J.P. Morgan Securities (Far East) Ltd, Seoul Branch. Singapore: JPMSS and/or its affiliates may have a holding in any of the securities discussed in this report; for securities where the
holding is 1% or greater, the specific holding is disclosed in the Important Disclosures section above. Taiwan: This material is issued and distributed in Taiwan by J.P. Morgan Securities (Taiwan)
Limited. India: For private circulation only, not for sale. Pakistan: For private circulation only, not for sale. New Zealand: This material is issued and distributed by JPMSAL in New Zealand only to
persons whose principal business is the investment of money or who, in the course of and for the purposes of their business, habitually invest money. JPMSAL does not issue or distribute this material to
members of "the public" as determined in accordance with section 3 of the Securities Act 1978. The recipient of this material must not distribute it to any third party or outside New Zealand without the
prior written consent of JPMSAL. Canada: The information contained herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, a prospectus, an advertisement, a public offering, an offer to sell
securities described herein, or solicitation of an offer to buy securities described herein, in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Any offer or sale of the securities described herein in Canada will
be made only under an exemption from the requirements to file a prospectus with the relevant Canadian securities regulators and only by a dealer properly registered under applicable securities laws or,
alternatively, pursuant to an exemption from the dealer registration requirement in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. The information contained herein is
under no circumstances to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to the needs of the recipient. To the extent that the information contained herein
references securities of an issuer incorporated, formed or created under the laws of Canada or a province or territory of Canada, any trades in such securities must be conducted through a dealer registered
in Canada. No securities commission or similar regulatory authority in Canada has reviewed or in any way passed judgment upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of the
securities described herein, and any representation to the contrary is an offence. Dubai: This report has been issued to persons regarded as professional clients as defined under the DFSA rules. Brazil:
Ombudsman J.P. Morgan: 0800-7700847 / ouvidoria.jp.morgan@jpmorgan.com.
General: Additional information is available upon request. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively
J.P. Morgan) do not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to JPMS and/or its affiliates and the analyst's involvement with the issuer that is the subject of the
research. All pricing is as of the close of market for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to
change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The opinions and
recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies
to particular clients. The recipient of this report must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. JPMS distributes in the U.S. research
published by non-U.S. affiliates and accepts responsibility for its contents. Periodic updates may be provided on companies/industries based on company specific developments or announcements,
market conditions or any other publicly available information. Clients should contact analysts and execute transactions through a J.P. Morgan subsidiary or affiliate in their home jurisdiction unless
governing law permits otherwise.
"Other Disclosures" last revised March 28, 2015.
Copyright 2015 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of
J.P. Morgan.

More Related Content

What's hot

VoIP: Consumer Market Trends
VoIP: Consumer Market TrendsVoIP: Consumer Market Trends
VoIP: Consumer Market TrendsAlex Gault
 
Small cell Evolution final
Small cell Evolution finalSmall cell Evolution final
Small cell Evolution finalXian Sun-Ilmonen
 
SmallCell Analyst Forecast Shootout
SmallCell Analyst Forecast ShootoutSmallCell Analyst Forecast Shootout
SmallCell Analyst Forecast ShootoutDavid Chambers
 
Broadband World Forum 2012 Highlights
Broadband World Forum 2012 HighlightsBroadband World Forum 2012 Highlights
Broadband World Forum 2012 HighlightsAlan Quayle
 
Newsletter VoIP, entrevista a Fidel Salgueiro
Newsletter VoIP, entrevista a Fidel SalgueiroNewsletter VoIP, entrevista a Fidel Salgueiro
Newsletter VoIP, entrevista a Fidel SalgueiroFidel Angel Salgueiro
 
Cowen and Company 42nd Annual Technology, Media, & Telecom Conference
Cowen and Company 42nd Annual Technology, Media, & Telecom ConferenceCowen and Company 42nd Annual Technology, Media, & Telecom Conference
Cowen and Company 42nd Annual Technology, Media, & Telecom Conferenceinvestormavenirsystems
 
To the 5th Generation? The Future of Mobile Communications
To the 5th Generation? The Future of Mobile CommunicationsTo the 5th Generation? The Future of Mobile Communications
To the 5th Generation? The Future of Mobile CommunicationsMarc NGIAMBA
 
Volte and LTE technology (Reliance Jio)
Volte and LTE technology (Reliance Jio)Volte and LTE technology (Reliance Jio)
Volte and LTE technology (Reliance Jio)Urvi Sharma
 
5G manufacturing infographic v9
5G manufacturing  infographic v95G manufacturing  infographic v9
5G manufacturing infographic v9David Swift
 
Supelec m2 m - iot - course 1 - update 2015 - part 3 - conclusion - v(0.1)
Supelec   m2 m - iot - course 1 - update 2015 - part 3 - conclusion - v(0.1)Supelec   m2 m - iot - course 1 - update 2015 - part 3 - conclusion - v(0.1)
Supelec m2 m - iot - course 1 - update 2015 - part 3 - conclusion - v(0.1)Thierry Lestable
 
Eurasia mobile markets - challenges to our mobile networks & business model
Eurasia mobile markets - challenges to our mobile networks & business model Eurasia mobile markets - challenges to our mobile networks & business model
Eurasia mobile markets - challenges to our mobile networks & business model Dr. Kim (Kyllesbech Larsen)
 
Lte workshop business plan-final
Lte workshop  business plan-finalLte workshop  business plan-final
Lte workshop business plan-finalKhazane Hassan
 
Navigating Complexity - The Quest for True IPX
Navigating Complexity - The Quest for True IPXNavigating Complexity - The Quest for True IPX
Navigating Complexity - The Quest for True IPXJann Yip
 
Presentation cisco mobile internet
Presentation   cisco mobile internetPresentation   cisco mobile internet
Presentation cisco mobile internetxKinAnx
 
ICT Insights Issue 17 (03/2016)
ICT Insights Issue 17 (03/2016) ICT Insights Issue 17 (03/2016)
ICT Insights Issue 17 (03/2016) Sitha Sok
 
Fiber to the Home business model
Fiber to the Home business modelFiber to the Home business model
Fiber to the Home business modelBill St. Arnaud
 

What's hot (20)

VoIP: Consumer Market Trends
VoIP: Consumer Market TrendsVoIP: Consumer Market Trends
VoIP: Consumer Market Trends
 
Small cell Evolution final
Small cell Evolution finalSmall cell Evolution final
Small cell Evolution final
 
SmallCell Analyst Forecast Shootout
SmallCell Analyst Forecast ShootoutSmallCell Analyst Forecast Shootout
SmallCell Analyst Forecast Shootout
 
Broadband World Forum 2012 Highlights
Broadband World Forum 2012 HighlightsBroadband World Forum 2012 Highlights
Broadband World Forum 2012 Highlights
 
Beyond LTE Launch
Beyond LTE LaunchBeyond LTE Launch
Beyond LTE Launch
 
Newsletter VoIP, entrevista a Fidel Salgueiro
Newsletter VoIP, entrevista a Fidel SalgueiroNewsletter VoIP, entrevista a Fidel Salgueiro
Newsletter VoIP, entrevista a Fidel Salgueiro
 
Cowen and Company 42nd Annual Technology, Media, & Telecom Conference
Cowen and Company 42nd Annual Technology, Media, & Telecom ConferenceCowen and Company 42nd Annual Technology, Media, & Telecom Conference
Cowen and Company 42nd Annual Technology, Media, & Telecom Conference
 
To the 5th Generation? The Future of Mobile Communications
To the 5th Generation? The Future of Mobile CommunicationsTo the 5th Generation? The Future of Mobile Communications
To the 5th Generation? The Future of Mobile Communications
 
Volte and LTE technology (Reliance Jio)
Volte and LTE technology (Reliance Jio)Volte and LTE technology (Reliance Jio)
Volte and LTE technology (Reliance Jio)
 
5G manufacturing infographic v9
5G manufacturing  infographic v95G manufacturing  infographic v9
5G manufacturing infographic v9
 
Telco 2020 ... A Mature Market Outlook
Telco 2020 ... A Mature Market OutlookTelco 2020 ... A Mature Market Outlook
Telco 2020 ... A Mature Market Outlook
 
Supelec m2 m - iot - course 1 - update 2015 - part 3 - conclusion - v(0.1)
Supelec   m2 m - iot - course 1 - update 2015 - part 3 - conclusion - v(0.1)Supelec   m2 m - iot - course 1 - update 2015 - part 3 - conclusion - v(0.1)
Supelec m2 m - iot - course 1 - update 2015 - part 3 - conclusion - v(0.1)
 
Eurasia mobile markets - challenges to our mobile networks & business model
Eurasia mobile markets - challenges to our mobile networks & business model Eurasia mobile markets - challenges to our mobile networks & business model
Eurasia mobile markets - challenges to our mobile networks & business model
 
Lte workshop business plan-final
Lte workshop  business plan-finalLte workshop  business plan-final
Lte workshop business plan-final
 
Navigating Complexity - The Quest for True IPX
Navigating Complexity - The Quest for True IPXNavigating Complexity - The Quest for True IPX
Navigating Complexity - The Quest for True IPX
 
Wimax
WimaxWimax
Wimax
 
Presentation cisco mobile internet
Presentation   cisco mobile internetPresentation   cisco mobile internet
Presentation cisco mobile internet
 
VoLTE Testing Explained
VoLTE Testing ExplainedVoLTE Testing Explained
VoLTE Testing Explained
 
ICT Insights Issue 17 (03/2016)
ICT Insights Issue 17 (03/2016) ICT Insights Issue 17 (03/2016)
ICT Insights Issue 17 (03/2016)
 
Fiber to the Home business model
Fiber to the Home business modelFiber to the Home business model
Fiber to the Home business model
 

Viewers also liked

HETNET Strategies with Oi Brazil and Maravedis-Rethink Sept 2014
HETNET Strategies with Oi Brazil and Maravedis-Rethink Sept 2014HETNET Strategies with Oi Brazil and Maravedis-Rethink Sept 2014
HETNET Strategies with Oi Brazil and Maravedis-Rethink Sept 2014Wi-Fi 360
 
Capsicum - Greenhouse production
Capsicum - Greenhouse productionCapsicum - Greenhouse production
Capsicum - Greenhouse productionYourAgri
 
Greenhouse technology
Greenhouse technologyGreenhouse technology
Greenhouse technologyagrihortico
 
15 Business Plan On Plastics Recycling
15 Business Plan On Plastics Recycling15 Business Plan On Plastics Recycling
15 Business Plan On Plastics RecyclingDr. Trilok Kumar Jain
 
50 Incredible Wi-Fi Tech Statistics That Businesses Must Know
50 Incredible Wi-Fi Tech Statistics That Businesses Must Know50 Incredible Wi-Fi Tech Statistics That Businesses Must Know
50 Incredible Wi-Fi Tech Statistics That Businesses Must KnowVala Afshar
 
Polyhouse technology
Polyhouse technologyPolyhouse technology
Polyhouse technologyvigyanashram
 
Presentation on Gerbera project
Presentation on Gerbera projectPresentation on Gerbera project
Presentation on Gerbera projectAmit Kale
 
Green house ppt
Green house pptGreen house ppt
Green house pptTaherbond
 

Viewers also liked (11)

North American MSO – EPON Deployments
North American MSO – EPON DeploymentsNorth American MSO – EPON Deployments
North American MSO – EPON Deployments
 
HETNET Strategies with Oi Brazil and Maravedis-Rethink Sept 2014
HETNET Strategies with Oi Brazil and Maravedis-Rethink Sept 2014HETNET Strategies with Oi Brazil and Maravedis-Rethink Sept 2014
HETNET Strategies with Oi Brazil and Maravedis-Rethink Sept 2014
 
Capsicum - Greenhouse production
Capsicum - Greenhouse productionCapsicum - Greenhouse production
Capsicum - Greenhouse production
 
Polyhouses
PolyhousesPolyhouses
Polyhouses
 
Greenhouse technology
Greenhouse technologyGreenhouse technology
Greenhouse technology
 
15 Business Plan On Plastics Recycling
15 Business Plan On Plastics Recycling15 Business Plan On Plastics Recycling
15 Business Plan On Plastics Recycling
 
50 Incredible Wi-Fi Tech Statistics That Businesses Must Know
50 Incredible Wi-Fi Tech Statistics That Businesses Must Know50 Incredible Wi-Fi Tech Statistics That Businesses Must Know
50 Incredible Wi-Fi Tech Statistics That Businesses Must Know
 
Polyhouse technology
Polyhouse technologyPolyhouse technology
Polyhouse technology
 
Presentation on Gerbera project
Presentation on Gerbera projectPresentation on Gerbera project
Presentation on Gerbera project
 
Green house ppt
Green house pptGreen house ppt
Green house ppt
 
Digital in 2017 Global Overview
Digital in 2017 Global OverviewDigital in 2017 Global Overview
Digital in 2017 Global Overview
 

Similar to Wifi mobile expansion 04 27_15

The Future Directions in Evolving Wi-Fi: Technologies, Applications and Services
The Future Directions in Evolving Wi-Fi: Technologies, Applications and ServicesThe Future Directions in Evolving Wi-Fi: Technologies, Applications and Services
The Future Directions in Evolving Wi-Fi: Technologies, Applications and Servicesjosephjonse
 
UK Spectrum Policy Forum – Sami Susiaho, BSkyB - Current and future spectrum ...
UK Spectrum Policy Forum – Sami Susiaho, BSkyB - Current and future spectrum ...UK Spectrum Policy Forum – Sami Susiaho, BSkyB - Current and future spectrum ...
UK Spectrum Policy Forum – Sami Susiaho, BSkyB - Current and future spectrum ...techUK
 
THE FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN EVOLVING WI-FI: TECHNOLOGIES, APPLICATIONS AND SERVICES
THE FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN EVOLVING WI-FI: TECHNOLOGIES, APPLICATIONS AND SERVICESTHE FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN EVOLVING WI-FI: TECHNOLOGIES, APPLICATIONS AND SERVICES
THE FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN EVOLVING WI-FI: TECHNOLOGIES, APPLICATIONS AND SERVICESijngnjournal
 
FCC 2016 - DAS & Small Cells Workshop
FCC 2016 - DAS & Small Cells WorkshopFCC 2016 - DAS & Small Cells Workshop
FCC 2016 - DAS & Small Cells WorkshopArt King
 
Report on Future of Telecommunication Technologies
Report on Future of Telecommunication TechnologiesReport on Future of Telecommunication Technologies
Report on Future of Telecommunication TechnologiesYashraj Nigam
 
Cellular Services over WiFi
Cellular Services over WiFiCellular Services over WiFi
Cellular Services over WiFi3G4G
 
Tech 2 Tech - mobility, 15 October 2020
Tech 2 Tech - mobility, 15 October 2020Tech 2 Tech - mobility, 15 October 2020
Tech 2 Tech - mobility, 15 October 2020Jisc
 
47525890 wimax-english
47525890 wimax-english47525890 wimax-english
47525890 wimax-englishArthur Sanchez
 
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networksPraveen Kumar
 
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networkseXplanoTech
 
Riaz Rahman (072878056)
Riaz Rahman (072878056)Riaz Rahman (072878056)
Riaz Rahman (072878056)mashiur
 
Wi-Fi for UAE Mobile Service Providers: Offloading Mobile Data Traffic to Wi-...
Wi-Fi for UAE Mobile Service Providers: Offloading Mobile Data Traffic to Wi-...Wi-Fi for UAE Mobile Service Providers: Offloading Mobile Data Traffic to Wi-...
Wi-Fi for UAE Mobile Service Providers: Offloading Mobile Data Traffic to Wi-...Cisco Service Provider Mobility
 
Wi-Fi Range Increment using Mobile Hotspots
Wi-Fi Range Increment using Mobile HotspotsWi-Fi Range Increment using Mobile Hotspots
Wi-Fi Range Increment using Mobile HotspotsIRJET Journal
 
Steve Chung Ruckus Wireless Presentation CommsDay 2014
Steve Chung Ruckus Wireless Presentation CommsDay 2014Steve Chung Ruckus Wireless Presentation CommsDay 2014
Steve Chung Ruckus Wireless Presentation CommsDay 2014Veronica Kennedy-Good
 
Shahriar Khaled 062473056
Shahriar Khaled 062473056Shahriar Khaled 062473056
Shahriar Khaled 062473056mashiur
 
Interop: Presentation
Interop:  PresentationInterop:  Presentation
Interop: PresentationBytemobile
 
Towerstream 4 gwe presentation final (1)
Towerstream 4 gwe presentation final (1)Towerstream 4 gwe presentation final (1)
Towerstream 4 gwe presentation final (1)Carl Ford
 
WiFi 6 - Usher in the Era of Next-Generation Connectivity
WiFi 6 - Usher in the Era of Next-Generation ConnectivityWiFi 6 - Usher in the Era of Next-Generation Connectivity
WiFi 6 - Usher in the Era of Next-Generation ConnectivityHughes Systique Corporation
 

Similar to Wifi mobile expansion 04 27_15 (20)

The Future Directions in Evolving Wi-Fi: Technologies, Applications and Services
The Future Directions in Evolving Wi-Fi: Technologies, Applications and ServicesThe Future Directions in Evolving Wi-Fi: Technologies, Applications and Services
The Future Directions in Evolving Wi-Fi: Technologies, Applications and Services
 
UK Spectrum Policy Forum – Sami Susiaho, BSkyB - Current and future spectrum ...
UK Spectrum Policy Forum – Sami Susiaho, BSkyB - Current and future spectrum ...UK Spectrum Policy Forum – Sami Susiaho, BSkyB - Current and future spectrum ...
UK Spectrum Policy Forum – Sami Susiaho, BSkyB - Current and future spectrum ...
 
THE FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN EVOLVING WI-FI: TECHNOLOGIES, APPLICATIONS AND SERVICES
THE FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN EVOLVING WI-FI: TECHNOLOGIES, APPLICATIONS AND SERVICESTHE FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN EVOLVING WI-FI: TECHNOLOGIES, APPLICATIONS AND SERVICES
THE FUTURE DIRECTIONS IN EVOLVING WI-FI: TECHNOLOGIES, APPLICATIONS AND SERVICES
 
FCC 2016 - DAS & Small Cells Workshop
FCC 2016 - DAS & Small Cells WorkshopFCC 2016 - DAS & Small Cells Workshop
FCC 2016 - DAS & Small Cells Workshop
 
Report on Future of Telecommunication Technologies
Report on Future of Telecommunication TechnologiesReport on Future of Telecommunication Technologies
Report on Future of Telecommunication Technologies
 
Cellular Services over WiFi
Cellular Services over WiFiCellular Services over WiFi
Cellular Services over WiFi
 
Tech 2 Tech - mobility, 15 October 2020
Tech 2 Tech - mobility, 15 October 2020Tech 2 Tech - mobility, 15 October 2020
Tech 2 Tech - mobility, 15 October 2020
 
47525890 wimax-english
47525890 wimax-english47525890 wimax-english
47525890 wimax-english
 
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
 
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
4.5G: Integration of LTE and Wi-Fi networks
 
Riaz Rahman (072878056)
Riaz Rahman (072878056)Riaz Rahman (072878056)
Riaz Rahman (072878056)
 
3
33
3
 
Wi-Fi for UAE Mobile Service Providers: Offloading Mobile Data Traffic to Wi-...
Wi-Fi for UAE Mobile Service Providers: Offloading Mobile Data Traffic to Wi-...Wi-Fi for UAE Mobile Service Providers: Offloading Mobile Data Traffic to Wi-...
Wi-Fi for UAE Mobile Service Providers: Offloading Mobile Data Traffic to Wi-...
 
Wi-Fi Range Increment using Mobile Hotspots
Wi-Fi Range Increment using Mobile HotspotsWi-Fi Range Increment using Mobile Hotspots
Wi-Fi Range Increment using Mobile Hotspots
 
Steve Chung Ruckus Wireless Presentation CommsDay 2014
Steve Chung Ruckus Wireless Presentation CommsDay 2014Steve Chung Ruckus Wireless Presentation CommsDay 2014
Steve Chung Ruckus Wireless Presentation CommsDay 2014
 
Shahriar Khaled 062473056
Shahriar Khaled 062473056Shahriar Khaled 062473056
Shahriar Khaled 062473056
 
Interop: Presentation
Interop:  PresentationInterop:  Presentation
Interop: Presentation
 
Towerstream 4 gwe presentation final (1)
Towerstream 4 gwe presentation final (1)Towerstream 4 gwe presentation final (1)
Towerstream 4 gwe presentation final (1)
 
WiFi 6 - Usher in the Era of Next-Generation Connectivity
WiFi 6 - Usher in the Era of Next-Generation ConnectivityWiFi 6 - Usher in the Era of Next-Generation Connectivity
WiFi 6 - Usher in the Era of Next-Generation Connectivity
 
When to use 5g and when to use wifi 6?
When to use 5g and when to use wifi 6?When to use 5g and when to use wifi 6?
When to use 5g and when to use wifi 6?
 

Recently uploaded

Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...gurkirankumar98700
 
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationScaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationRadu Cotescu
 
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101Paola De la Torre
 
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...Drew Madelung
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking MenDelhi Call girls
 
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...apidays
 
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024The Digital Insurer
 
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path MountBreaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path MountPuma Security, LLC
 
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...Martijn de Jong
 
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024The Digital Insurer
 
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationGenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationMichael W. Hawkins
 
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time AutomationFrom Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time AutomationSafe Software
 
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreterPresentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreternaman860154
 
A Call to Action for Generative AI in 2024
A Call to Action for Generative AI in 2024A Call to Action for Generative AI in 2024
A Call to Action for Generative AI in 2024Results
 
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxThe Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxMalak Abu Hammad
 
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone ProcessorsExploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processorsdebabhi2
 
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...Neo4j
 
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdf
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdfThe Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdf
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdfEnterprise Knowledge
 
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivityBoost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivityPrincipled Technologies
 
How to convert PDF to text with Nanonets
How to convert PDF to text with NanonetsHow to convert PDF to text with Nanonets
How to convert PDF to text with Nanonetsnaman860154
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
Kalyanpur ) Call Girls in Lucknow Finest Escorts Service 🍸 8923113531 🎰 Avail...
 
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organizationScaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
Scaling API-first – The story of a global engineering organization
 
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
Salesforce Community Group Quito, Salesforce 101
 
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
Strategies for Unlocking Knowledge Management in Microsoft 365 in the Copilot...
 
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
08448380779 Call Girls In Civil Lines Women Seeking Men
 
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
Apidays Singapore 2024 - Building Digital Trust in a Digital Economy by Veron...
 
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Partners Life - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path MountBreaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
Breaking the Kubernetes Kill Chain: Host Path Mount
 
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
2024: Domino Containers - The Next Step. News from the Domino Container commu...
 
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
Axa Assurance Maroc - Insurer Innovation Award 2024
 
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day PresentationGenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
GenCyber Cyber Security Day Presentation
 
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time AutomationFrom Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
From Event to Action: Accelerate Your Decision Making with Real-Time Automation
 
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreterPresentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
Presentation on how to chat with PDF using ChatGPT code interpreter
 
A Call to Action for Generative AI in 2024
A Call to Action for Generative AI in 2024A Call to Action for Generative AI in 2024
A Call to Action for Generative AI in 2024
 
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptxThe Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
The Codex of Business Writing Software for Real-World Solutions 2.pptx
 
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone ProcessorsExploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
Exploring the Future Potential of AI-Enabled Smartphone Processors
 
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
Neo4j - How KGs are shaping the future of Generative AI at AWS Summit London ...
 
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdf
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdfThe Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdf
The Role of Taxonomy and Ontology in Semantic Layers - Heather Hedden.pdf
 
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivityBoost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
Boost PC performance: How more available memory can improve productivity
 
How to convert PDF to text with Nanonets
How to convert PDF to text with NanonetsHow to convert PDF to text with Nanonets
How to convert PDF to text with Nanonets
 

Wifi mobile expansion 04 27_15

  • 1. Wi-Fi Mobile Expansion of Wi-Fi Critical for Data Growth & Complementary to Cellular Telecom Services, Cable, Satellite Philip Cusick, CFA AC (212) 622-1444 philip.cusick@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities LLC See the end pages of this presentation for analyst certification and important disclosures, including non-US analyst disclosures. J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. Asia Telecom James Sullivan AC +65-6882-2374 James.r.sullivan@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited Conference Call Details Monday, April 27 @ 11:00am ET / 16:00 UK Dial-in Info: DIAL-IN: 888-566-1930 (US); 1-517-623-4814 (outside US); Passcode: TELECOM Please dial in 10 minutes early to avoid excess holding. Replay Info: Replay Through 5/4: 888-554-3820 (US); +1-402-998-1398 (outside US); Passcode: 42715 Replay available approximately one hour after the call ends. PODCAST available within 24 hrs: Click here to find on J.P. Morgan Markets or find on BLOOMBERG @ JPMR <GO>, Features -- Multimedia -- 3) U.S. Conference Calls This call is not open to any members of the press. Conference calls are intended only for clients of J.P. Morgan and are available for replay for a limited amount of time. For important disclosures on all companies covered by the firm’s research department, please refer to the following disclosure link: https://jpmm.com/research/disclosures Global Equity Research April 27th, 2015
  • 2. Agenda 2 Phil Cusick - U.S. Telecom, Cable & Satellite  Wi-Fi Usage vs. Cellular Data Growth  The Current State of Wi-Fi Deployment  Cellular Carrier and MSO Wi-Fi Efforts  Potential for Comcast Wi-Fi First Offer and Impact on Current Carriers  Thoughts on Google Fi  Unlicensed Spectrum Overview and Potential 1 James Sullivan – Asia Telecom  Wi-Fi Emerging Business Models in Asia  Wi-Fi Offload Trends by Country  Municipal Builds Could Encourage Wi-Fi MVNOs
  • 3. 3 PHIL CUSICK U.S. TELECOM, CABLE & SATELLITE
  • 4. 4 An Introduction to Wi-Fi  What is Wi-Fi?  Wi-Fi refers to any wireless local area network (WLAN) products that adopt the IEEE’s 802.11 standards using unlicensed spectrum, specifically 2.4 GHz and 5 GHz  What is a Wi-Fi hotspot?  A hotspot as a physical location where one can obtain Internet access via Wi-Fi. It could be public (i.e., free and open to anyone) or private (i.e., credentials are required to access the network) but the line is blurring with the advance of multiple SSID routers  Wi-Fi relies on IEEE’s 802.11 standards for technical guidance  802.11ac became the latest standard in December 2013 – it can provide speeds close to a gigabit per second but the only downside is that it only works on the 5 GHz band Wi-Fi Standard Launch Year Spectrum band Spectrum detail Allocation Est. throughput Range Power 802.11a 1999 5GHz 5150-5350MHz; 5725-5850MHz 300MHz Up to 54 Mbps 20m 800mW 802.11b 2000 2.4GHz 2400-2483.5MHz 83.5MHz Up to 11 Mbps 30m 100mW 802.11g 2003 2.4GHz 2400-2483.5MHz 83.5MHz Up to 54 Mbps 30m 200mW 802.11n 2009 2.4GHz / 5GHz 2400-2483.5MHz; 5150-5350MHz; 5725-5850MHz 383.5MHz Up to 450 Mbps 50m 100mW 802.11ac "5G Wi-Fi" 2014 5GHz 5150-5350MHz; 5725-5850MHz 300MHz Up to 800Mbps 10m 802.11ad "WiGig" TBD 60GHz 60GHz TBD 6000MHz+ Up to 7Gbps 802.11af "Super Wi-Fi"* 2014 54-790MHz (VHF/UHF) 54-790MHz Whitespaces using cognitive radio TDB TDB 802.11ah* TBD <1GHz / 900MHz (ISM) 902-928MHz low power and mesh networking 26MHz Up to 40Mbps Source: SNL Kagan, FCC, Qualcomm IEEE 802.11 Wi-Fi Standards by Spectrum Band and Data Rates
  • 5. 5 Wi-Fi Usage Continues to Ramp but Cellular Data Growth Remains Healthy on Rich-Media Consumption  Wi-Fi usage on smartphones already exceeds cellular  Cisco estimates that 57% of mobile data usage in the US today is already on Wi-Fi, or ~2.5 GB/month vs. cellular usage of ~2 GB/month, and expects the share to move up to 66% in 2019  We see Wi-Fi as a necessary complementary technology rather than a cannibalistic one, and expect carrier profitability to remain healthy  We expect cellular data to grow at 24% CAGR in the next five years to reach 5.7 GB/month in 2019 and Wi-Fi to grow by 29% CAGR to reach 9.2 GB in 2019 1,914 2,495 3,197 4,036 4,849 5,656 2,537 3,445 4,600 6,054 7,585 9,229 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E Average Cellular Data Usage Average WiFi DataUsage 30.4% 28.1% 26.3% 20.2% 16.6% 24.3% 75.4% 35.8% 33.5% 31.6% 25.3% 21.7% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E Cellular Usage Growth Wi-Fi Usage Growth Cellular and WiFi Data Usage (MB) Cellular and Wi-Fi Data Usage Y/Y Growth Source: J.P. Morgan estimates.
  • 6. 6 The Current State of Wi-Fi Deployment  The US has ~50.6m public Wi-Fi hotspots with many more coming  40 million amenity public hotspots, 9.7 million ISP hotspots deployed by ISPs and ~900k pay- per-use hotspots by commercial Wi-Fi operators such as Boingo  We expect homespots supplied by ISPs to quickly penetrate the 66% of US households that already have a Wi-Fi router and public hotspots to grow with dual-SSID devices in businesses  ISPs, especially cable, have invested heavily in Wi-Fi  Cable focuses on residential areas and has deployed 9.7 million hotspots  Carriers depend on Wi-Fi to help with cellular offload but build Wi-Fi relatively on their own Hotspot Type Access Count % Total Amenity Free, non-account based at public locations 40,000 79% ISP Public ISP subscription-based at public locations 657 1% ISP Homespots ISP subscription-based at private locations with dual SSID 9,000 18% ISP Community ISP subscription-based in neighborhoods and public locations 9,657 Commercial Paid access at public locations 900 2% Total sharable hotspots 50,557 100% Total US Wi-Fi households 78,400 Wi-Fi Hotspots by Access Type in the US (000’s) Source: SNL Kagan, FCC, Qualcomm 6.6 13.2 23.6 33.7 44.4 51.9 56.3 66.7 70.2 74.2 78.4 82.5 86.4 89.1 91.3 93.3 95.5 97.6 100.0 101.3 102.7 6% 12% 21% 30% 39% 45% 48% 57% 59% 63% 66% 69% 72% 73% 75% 76% 77% 78% 79% 79% 79% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% - 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Wi-Fi HHs (M) Wi-Fi HHs as% total HHs Wi-Fi Household Penetration in the U.S. Source: SNL Kagan,
  • 7. 7 Many Municipal Efforts Failed to Deliver on Grand Promises  Many city-wide municipal Wi-Fi projects announced between 2006-2008 failed  Early Wi-Fi OEM and network developers overestimated the capabilities of early Wi-Fi technology and underestimated the density and backhaul required for a functional Wi-Fi network  Additionally many lacked a sustainable funding/revenue stream to support the network  Only “Anchor tenant” muni Wi-Fi with committed capital worked for a while – Minneapolis decided to sign a 10-year contract for $12.5m with USI Wireless which operates a Wi-Fi network across the city  Recently some cities have restarted Wi-Fi deployments on a much smaller scale in selected areas  For example, downtown city centers, parks with a high visitor volume, and low-income areas as a way to provide public internet service  NYC is launching a city-wide Wi-Fi system called LinkNYC in partnership with CityBridge LinkNYC Kiosks Source: CityBridge
  • 8. 8 Wi-Fi Business Models Are Evolving  Out-of-home Wi-Fi access used to center around the pay-per-use model offered by Wi-Fi operators and aggregators, such as Boingo and iPass  The business model has mostly shifted to an ad-supported one by businesses that want to offer customers a wireless broadband service  Boingo can generate good revenue from advertising as the Wi-Fi network operator at locations such as airports that want to offer Wi-Fi as an amenity for free  Retail stores like Starbucks also run advertising when customers connect to its Wi-Fi and will likely continue, if not increase, the ad load after the network management is transitioned to Google/Level 3 from AT&T  LinkNYC looks to advertising revenue to fund the conversion of NYC’s pay phones to Wi-Fi hotspots
  • 9. 9 Cable Companies Remain Most Aggressive in Wi-Fi Deployment  Cable MSOs have collectively deployed ~9.7 million hotspots including dual SSID APs with 9m homes spots and 670k public hotspots  We estimate Cable WiFi Alliance has 450k hotspots contributed by Comcast, Time Warner Cable, Cablevision, Bright House and Cox  Comcast has been aggressive with its primarily in-home Wi-Fi deployment with dual-SSID routers  We estimate Comcast has 8m in customer locations, and 350k in public spaces in top markets  Cablevision has nearly ubiquitous Wi-Fi coverage on Long Island but more limited in NYC, CT, NJ  We estimate 150k are in public areas and ~1m are dual-SSID devices in customers’ homes  Time Warner Cable has taken a more focused approach to Wi-Fi  We estimate that it has 70k pubic hotspots, mainly in NYC, LA, Kansas City and Austin  Bright House ahead of peers in public Wi-Fi deployment  We highlight that BHN has 45k public Wi-Fi hotspots (~10 APs per thousand homes passed)  Cox started late but has been aggressively deploying access points and Charter plays catch-up with cable peers after fixing its plant Private Routers Public Hotspots Total Hotspots CMCSA* 8,000 350 8,350 TWC* 6,000 70 70 CHTR NA 3 NA CVC* 1,000 150 1,150 COX* NA 5 NA Bright House* NA 45 NA Cable WiFi Alliance 450 450 Public Hotspots by Cable Operator Source: J.P. Morgan estimates
  • 10. 10 Cellular Carriers Show Varying Interest in Wi-Fi Deployment  The attitude of wireless carriers toward Wi-Fi has evolved dramatically in the past decade.  Carriers used to see Wi-Fi as a competitive technology and resisted including it on their handsets.  But as cellular technology moved to 3G and especially 4G LTE and smartphones became widespread, carriers began to realize their networks and spectrum could not handle the explosive growth in mobile data traffic.  AT&T actively pushes customers off to Wi-Fi networks  AT&T has >34k public hotspots including retail stores and Wi-Fi Hot Zones, and the carrier’s handsets automatically connect to these hotspots unless handset owners proactively turn it off  Sprint is expanding Wi-Fi calling to more handsets for better call quality and partners with Boingo for better coverage  Sprint has deployed Wi-Fi calling to 21 Android-based phones and could potentially add the capability to every Android. Additionally We believe Sprint signed a multi-year contract with Boingo in March 2015 to allow up to 40 million handsets to offload traffic to Boingo’s M&O hotspots  T-Mobile has Wi-Fi calling on all handsets including the iPhone 6 to address indoor coverage  Once a customer turns on Wi-Fi on a T-Mobile handset all calls are made on Wi-Fi (where available) by default. Additionally UnCarrier 7 introduced a Wi-Fi router offer but take rate is low  Verizon eschews Wi-Fi, preferring the small cell route  Verizon does little to proactively push customers to using Wi-Fi, instead preferring to leverage its high-quality 4G network for data access with the help of small cell densification
  • 11. 11 Wi-Fi Operators/Aggregators Look for Different Niches  Boingo facilitates Wi-Fi offload and Hotspot 2.0 roaming  Boingo offers 1 million plus Wi-Fi hotspots in high-traffic locations, e.g. airports and has 70% of data traffic going over its managed and operated (M&O) hotspots  It currently has Wi-Fi offload trials with 3 of the 4 US Tier 1 carriers and announced a contract (we think with Sprint) to allow 40m of the carrier’s handsets to offload traffic to Boingo’s M&O hotspots  Boingo plans to launch Hotspot 2.0 at 21 airports across the US to provide an automatic log-in experience for customers and easier roaming with operators, e.g. TWC’s Passpoint hotspots.  iPass aggregates global Wi-Fi access and resells to enterprises  It has aggregated over 18 million hotspots in 120 countries, and handles the backend settlement and billing with numerous network operators  iPass’s main customers are enterprises that sign volume discount contracts with iPass to provide data access to their employees traveling overseas vs. paying expensive cellular data roaming  Devicescape crowd-sources and curates Wi-Fi hotspots into a network  Devicescape has already amassed 20 million public Wi-Fi locations, primarily amenity Wi-Fi hotspots at many recognized retail chain stores in the US and now broadening to Europe  It partners with Tier 2 or below wireless carriers in the US and abroad and turns carriers’ handsets into “phantom” Wi-Fi AP detectors with Devisecape’s software and discovers new hotspots as the handset owners travel around, and adds new hotspots to the virtual network.
  • 12. 12 In-Flight Wi-Fi Is Becoming Ubiquitous  We estimate that 57% of commercial aircraft in North America have Wi-Fi onboard, with the vast majority of them in the US, and another 19% has been awarded but not yet installed  Gogo, Global Eagle (Row 44), Viasat/LiveTV and Panasonic install IFC in the US  Gogo makes up the vast majority of the current backlog in North America at close to 1,000 aircraft  Wi-Fi with broadband connectivity (vs. narrowband) is much less penetrated among business jets  We estimate only 17% of 18k business jets excluding turboprops have Wi-Fi with broadband speed onboard Gogo 39% Global Eagle 10% Thales/Live TV 5% Panasonic 3% To be installed 19% Unawarded 24% Gogo ATG 15% ViaSat 2% Unawarded 83% Wi-Fi on N.A. Commercial Aircraft Source: Gogo Inc., J.P. Morgan estimates Wi-Fi on N.A. Business Aircraft
  • 13. 13 Cablevision: We Expect Little Uptake on Wi-Fi-Only Freewheel, but More Offers Are Likely to Come  Cablevision reports 1.1 million Wi-Fi hotspots in its footprint  We estimate 150k are in public areas and ~1m are dual-SSID devices in customers’ homes  Freewheel: A good start but we think the uptake on a Wi-Fi only product will be limited due to no option for wider coverage  For Cablevision customers, numerous available free text/talk apps reduce the appeal of a paid package  For non-customers $29.95 package runs into a very competitive market  We expect that Cablevision profitability could be substantially affected in 1Q15 by the Freewheel marketing  We note Cablevision has a history of coming to market quickly with offers and refining over time. We expect more products like Freewheel will come over time. Talk Text Data Additional MB Rate Plan Cablevision WiFi only (existing HSD subs) Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited $0.00 $9.95 WiFi only (non-HSD subs) Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited $0.00 $29.95 Republic WiFi only Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited $0.00 $5.00 WiFi + Cell Talk/Text Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi $0.00 $10.00 WiFi + 3G Data Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & 3G $0.00 $25.00 WiFi + 4G Data Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & Cell Unlimited on WiFi & 4G $0.00 $40.00 FreedomPop Basic on Cell 200 500 500 $0.025 $0.00 Unlimited Annual on Cell Unlimited Unlimited 500 $0.025 $6.67 Unlimited Monthly on Cell Unlimited Unlimited 500 $0.025 $10.99 Unlimited Everything on Cell Unlimited Unlimited Unlimited $0.00 $19.99 Wi-Fi/MVNO Pricing Comparison Source: Company websites Freewheel Advertising
  • 14. 14 Comcast: Interested but Not Rushing into a Wireless Launch  Comcast has expressed interest in a Wi-Fi-first product but we believe that a trial is possible in the next year but that a full national launch is unlikely before mid-2016.  The core assets for Comcast’s wireless product will be its perpetual MVNO deal with Verizon and 25- year MVNO deal with Sprint in addition to its 8.35 million, and growing, Wi-Fi hotspots  Why wireless? We think wireless seems a logical next driver for growth given its long-running interest  We think potential target audiences could be rich-content consumers, “cord nevers” or users of data-centric devices like tablets to convince customers the value-add of a bundled service  But Comcast also needs to overcome customer wariness on poor quality of service, secure an attractive handset line-up (the iPhone almost a must) with financing options, and expand its retail presence over time  Cable companies will have to overcome customer wariness. Additionally Comcast may need to expand its retail presence over time Comcast Wi-Fi Coverage with Cable WiFi Alliance Source: Company website
  • 15. 15 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Carrier Smartphone WiFi Data Usage Comcast Smartphone WiFi DataUsage Comcast Wireless Base Case Scenario  Subscribers will likely be required to have a broadband subscription to maximize Wi-Fi offload  Assuming 10% of residents in homes passed (with ~3 people per home), or ~20% of HSI customers, take the wireless add-on, Comcast could reach 16.6m customers by Year 10  ARPU will come at some discount, but unlikely to be massive to ensure revenue and profit growth and offset substantial cellular roaming costs  We model a $40 ARPU on an unsubsidized account and would expect Comcast to offer a range of options between high-usage levels at $50 or higher and some lower-use plans at $20-30  Total usage expected to be higher than carrier smartphones given a potential value proposition with large buckets and a mobile video-seeking audience  Incremental Wi-Fi offload potential is somewhat limited but still attractive. We model offload to grow from 59% in 2016 to 70% at Comcast Wireless (vs. 65% for carrier) in 2025  We expect a CMCSA wireless subscriber’s total data to grow from 8.6 GB to 16.1 GB, including cellular usage growing from 3.5 GB/month in the base year of 2016 to 5.6 GB/month in 2019 Cellular Usage Growth – Carrier vs. Comcast Source: J.P. Morgan estimates - 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Carrier Smartphone Cellular Data Usage Comcast Smartphone Cellular Data Usage Wi-Fi Usage Growth – Carrier vs. Comcast
  • 16. 16 Comcast Wireless Base Case Scenario  Network costs are primarily for cellular offload and we estimate $10/GB  Capex should be limited as we don’t expect Comcast to build a CVC-like dense Wi- Fi network  We assume a $50-100 handset subsidy which could be low and CPGA of $450 vs. $200 at prepaid carrier and $600- 1,000 at Big 4  Wireless EBITDA margins expected to reach 35%  10bps decrease in cable churn from bundling could save $400m/year or 150bps cable margin  Our base case doesn’t model in potential wholesale Wi-Fi revenue Comcast wireless rollout Start Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Annual growth Homes pops ('000) 55,220 55,772 56,330 56,893 57,462 58,036 58,617 59,203 59,795 60,393 60,997 1.0% Passed pops ('000) 149,950 151,450 152,964 154,494 156,039 157,599 159,175 160,767 162,375 163,998 165,638 1.0% Covered pops ('000) 104,965 121,160 152,964 154,494 156,039 157,599 159,175 160,767 162,375 163,998 165,638 Terminal % coverage % coverage 70% 80% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Incremental covered pops ('000) 104,965 16,195 31,804 1,530 1,545 1,560 1,576 1,592 1,608 1,624 1,640 Terminal penetration % of terminal penetration 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 7.00% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 4.50% 10.0% Incremental penetration 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 2.00% 1.50% 1.00% 0.70% 0.45% 0.45% 0.45% 0.45% Penetration 0.0% 1.0% 3.0% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 8.2% 8.7% 9.1% 9.6% 10.0% Subscribers ('000) - 1,212 4,589 7,725 10,143 11,820 13,052 13,906 14,776 15,662 16,564 Net additions ('000) - 1,212 3,377 3,136 2,418 1,677 1,232 854 870 886 902 Average subscribers ('000) 606 2,900 6,157 8,934 10,981 12,436 13,479 14,341 15,219 16,113 Churn 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% Gross additions - 1,357 4,073 4,613 4,562 4,313 4,217 4,089 4,312 4,538 4,769 Annual ARPU Growth ARPU $40.00 $40.20 $40.40 $40.60 $40.81 $41.01 $41.22 $41.42 $41.63 $41.84 $42.05 0.5% Service revenue ($m) - 292 1,406 3,000 4,375 5,404 6,151 6,700 7,164 7,640 8,130 % growth y-y 381% 113% 46% 24% 14% 9% 7% 7% 6% Post-2020 Annual growth Cable unaffected revenue 48,836 51,293 53,634 55,805 57,747 59,191 60,671 62,187 63,742 65,336 2.5% Wireless % of unaffected cable revenue 1% 3% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12% Wireless accretion to cable revenue growth (b.p.) 227 302 243 171 118 84 69 69 69 Total company unaffected revenue 76,511 78,566 81,562 84,349 86,928 89,102 91,329 93,612 95,953 98,351 2.5% Wireless % of unaffected total company revenue 0% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% Wireless accretion to total company revenue growth (b.p.) 145 199 163 116 81 58 47 47 47 Annual $/GB Growth Per-GB cellular MVNO Costs $10.00 $8.00 $6.88 $5.92 $5.09 $4.38 $3.76 $3.24 $2.78 $2.39 $2.06 -14.0% . Monthly data use per customer (GB) 6.6 8.6 10.7 13.4 16.1 18.5 21.3 24.5 28.1 31.5 34.7 % growth y-y 30% 25% 25% 20% 15% 15% 15% 15% 12% 10% Monthly WiFi per customer (GB) 3.8 5.1 6.5 8.4 10.5 12.2 14.3 16.6 19.4 22.1 24.3 % of total 57% 59% 61% 63% 65% 66% 67% 68% 69% 70% 70% Monthly cellular use per customer (GB) 2.8 3.5 4.2 5.0 5.6 6.3 7.0 7.8 8.7 9.5 10.4 % of total 43.0% 41.0% 39.0% 37.0% 35.0% 34.0% 33.0% 32.0% 31.0% 30.0% 30.0% CCPU* of cellular roaming expenses $28.38 $28.14 $28.78 $29.35 $28.65 $27.53 $26.42 $25.34 $24.28 $22.63 $21.41 % of ARPU 71% 70% 71% 72% 70% 67% 64% 61% 58% 54% 51% Annual Growth Other CCPU (incr. billing, custom svc, etc) excl WiFi $3.00 $2.85 $2.71 $2.57 $2.44 $2.32 $2.21 $2.10 $1.99 $1.89 $1.80 -5.0% CCPU including upgrades $31.38 $30.99 $31.48 $31.92 $31.09 $29.85 $28.63 $27.44 $26.27 $24.52 $23.20 Pre-marketing expenses - 225 1,096 2,358 3,333 3,933 4,272 4,438 4,521 4,478 4,487 Pre-marketing cash flow - 67 310 641 1,041 1,471 1,878 2,262 2,643 3,162 3,643 Pre-marketing margin 22% 23% 22% 21% 24% 27% 31% 34% 37% 41% 45% CPGA** (assumes no subsidy or upgrade expense) $200 $198 $196 $194 $192 $190 $188 $186 $185 $183 $181 CPGA Decline Rate Sales & Marketing expenses - 269 798 895 876 820 794 762 796 829 863 1% Marketing start-up costs 105 16 32 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Rollout Opex/pop EBITDA (105) (218) (520) (255) 163 649 1,083 1,498 1,846 2,331 2,779 $1 % growth y-y 139% -51% -164% 298% 67% 38% 23% 26% 19% EBITDA margin -74.6% -37.0% -8.5% 3.7% 12.0% 17.6% 22.4% 25.8% 30.5% 34.2% Post-2020 Annual growth Cable unaffected EBITDA 20,023 21,030 21,990 22,880 23,676 24,268 24,875 25,497 26,134 26,788 2.5% EBITDA % 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% 41% Wireless % of unaffected company cable EBITDA -1% -2% -1% 1% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 10% Wireless accretion to cable EBITDA growth (b.p.) (152) 129 193 211 178 164 132 178 157 Total company unaffected EBITDA 25,966 26,960 28,148 29,231 30,200 30,955 31,729 32,522 33,335 34,169 2.5% EBITDA % 34% 34% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% 35% Wireless % of unaffected company total EBITDA -1% -2% -1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% Wireless accretion to consolidated EBITDA growth (b.p.) (117) 100 150 165 141 130 105 141 125 Cable EBITDA with wireless 19,805 20,510 21,734 23,043 24,325 25,351 26,373 27,343 28,466 29,566 EBITDA % 40% 39% 38% 38% 39% 39% 39% 39% 40% 40% Total company EBITDA with wireless 25,748 26,440 27,892 29,395 30,849 32,038 33,227 34,368 35,667 36,947 EBITDA % 34% 33% 33% 33% 33% 34% 34% 34% 34% 35% Source: J.P. Morgan estimate, company data
  • 17. 17 Cable Quad-Plays’ Impact on Existing Wireless Carriers Likely Limited  We do expect some disruption as alternative carriers, e.g., Comcast and Google, enter the mobile space emphasizing Wi-Fi offload, but the need for cellular backup is likely to keep input prices relatively high and minimize price disruption.  High-margin wholesale revenue could partially offset the impact of increased competition  A single MVNO deal is the best scenario for the carrier partner but we expect the disruptor to move to multiple MVNO relationships over time, which would be more negative for carriers  Comcast Wireless could help justify a merger of Sprint and T-Mobile  The DoJ stated clearly that it wants to have 4 facilities-based wireless competitors in April 2014. Comcast could be considered as a facilities-based wireless provider if it reached scale Carrier impact model (single wholesale partner - Verizon as example) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 % of subscribers contributed 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% % of MVNO subscribers on network 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Retail ARPU of customers lost $52.51 $51.39 $50.62 $50.37 $50.37 $50.87 $51.38 $51.90 $52.41 $52.94 Retail revenue lost ($m) 134 626 1,309 1,890 2,323 2,657 2,909 3,126 3,350 3,583 EBITDA margin of retail customers 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% EBITDA lost 67 313 655 945 1,162 1,329 1,454 1,563 1,675 1,791 Wholesale ARPU of MVNO customers $28.14 $28.78 $29.35 $28.65 $27.53 $26.42 $25.34 $24.28 $22.63 $21.41 MVNO revenue gained 205 1,002 2,168 3,071 3,627 3,943 4,099 4,178 4,133 4,139 EBITDA margin of MVNO revenue 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% EBITDA from MVNO customers 143 701 1,518 2,150 2,539 2,760 2,869 2,925 2,893 2,898 Net EBITDA impact 76 388 863 1,205 1,378 1,432 1,415 1,362 1,218 1,106 Carrier impact model (multiple wholesale partners - Verizon as example) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 % of subscribers contributed 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% 35.0% % of MVNO subscribers on network 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% 25.0% Retail ARPU of customers lost $52.51 $51.39 $50.62 $50.37 $50.37 $50.87 $51.38 $51.90 $52.41 $52.94 Retail revenue lost ($m) 134 626 1,309 1,890 2,323 2,657 2,909 3,126 3,350 3,583 EBITDA margin of retail customers 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% EBITDA lost 67 313 655 945 1,162 1,329 1,454 1,563 1,675 1,791 Wholesale ARPU of MVNO customers $28.14 $28.78 $29.35 $28.65 $27.53 $26.42 $25.34 $24.28 $22.63 $21.41 MVNO revenue gained 51 250 542 768 907 986 1,025 1,045 1,033 1,035 EBITDA margin of MVNO revenue 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% 70.0% EBITDA from MVNO customers 36 175 379 538 635 690 717 731 723 724 Net EBITDA impact (31) (138) (275) (407) (527) (639) (737) (832) (952) (1,067) Source: J.P. Morgan estimates Carrier impact model - single wholesale partner vs. multiple partners
  • 18. 18 Overview of Existing Wi-Fi-First MVNOs  We believe Wi-Fi-First offerings need to have cellular back-up to be attractive as even low-price subscribers still want to have peace of mind about being able to make emergency calls anywhere  Additionally, Wi-Fi-First MVNOs are challenged to increase incremental Wi-Fi offload than subscribers normally would to keep network cost in check for profitability and to maintain healthy MVNO relationships with their mobile operator partners.  Republic Wireless differentiates itself with proprietary handoff technology on Motorola handsets  It has close to 1m subscribers on Sprint’s network; sells four brand new handsets by Motorola  Republic works with Motorola to add its proprietary handoff technology on the OS level  Tight data management helps keep network cost in check and maintain harmonious relationship with Sprint  FreedomPop relies on online handset resale for profit and follows a “Fremium” service model  FreedomPop is more like an online refurbished phone distributor with sizable profit margin from handset sales, so Wi-Fi First becomes a secondary source of profitability  It adds Wi-Fi first on the application layer and the functionality can be added to any Android phones with a software update. It has tried to maximize Wi-Fi usage by entering into wholesale agreements – we estimate it has access to ~10m hotspots
  • 19. 19 Potential Technical Issues for Wi-Fi-First Offer  Hand-off remains tricky but cellular-Wi-Fi hand-off has come a long way  Active Wi-Fi AP scanning could create battery drain  Vo-WiFi needs consistent signal quality for real-time transmission and may require packet prioritization vs. Wi-Fi’s best-effort delivery  Interference could be an issue, especially in 2.4 GHz  Hotspot 2.0 hopes to automate the process of connection and authentication to make the cellular- Wi-Fi handoff seamless  The secret sauce for automation lies in the pre-connection credential exchange between a handset and an access point behind the scene  Hotspot 2.0 also offers higher security level with WPA 2 encryption and facilitates better roaming between Wi-Fi partners, e.g. TWC and Boingo
  • 20. 20 Google’s Project Fi Offers Network Flexibility at Lower Prices for Lower-Usage Customers  Google launched Fi wireless offer which combines Sprint and T-Mobile (including roaming 120 countries that T-Mobile offers) plus automated access to open Wi-Fi networks  Price of $20/month + $10/GB is slightly cheaper for the average or lower usage user than T-Mobile and Sprint (closer with prepaid), but generally more expensive above the ~5GB level  Service only available on Nexus 6 which costs $649 for the 32GB version or $27.04/mo over 24 months; Google Fi SIM cards are free for existing Nexus 6 owners  We believe it will appeal to a relatively small group of customers who 1) are not iPhone devotees, 2) lower than average users, 3) not benefiting from a family plan discount, and 4) willing to trade down from T/VZ service quality.  We view Google Fi as a neutral event for Sprint and T-Mobile, and a very small negative for T and VZ  The network coverage is the best of Sprint and TMUS, which could be impressive, but the combination will still be an inferior experience vs. AT&T or Verizon, in our view.
  • 21. 21 Wi-Fi Spectrum Critical for Data Offload But Large Deployment Only Feasible in Dense Urban Areas  Wi-Fi relies on public unlicensed spectrum in 2.4 GHz and 5 GHz  526MHz of non-overlapping channels vs. 721 MHz spectrum allocated for cellular usage  The FCC is looking into adding another 195 MHz in the 5.35-5.47 and 5.85-5.925 range for unlicensed use and is considering allowing unlicensed use on 3.55-3.70 GHz  Additionally Globalstar’s spectrum could become a private Wi-Fi band and it could be attractive to carriers that already have a local cellular or fiber network, e.g. a major wireless or cable player, but others would be unlikely to have much interest  We believe a large-scale Wi-Fi deployment is only feasible in densely populated areas, so the potential for using Wi-Fi to provide mobile coverage in a suburban area is fairly low  Wi-Fi uses very high frequency and is allowed at far lower permitted emission limits than private cellular bands (e.g., max 1W for 5 GHz vs. 1kW for 700 MHz)  A Wi-Fi access point covers a radius of ~150 feet indoors and 300 feet outdoors vs. 30-40km by a 700 MHz cell site  Many more APs need to be installed in order to cover the same area as a cell site, and this would be costly Unlicensed Spectrum Available for Wi-FiNon-Overlapping Channels for 2.4 GHz WLAN 802.11b (DSSS) channel width 22 MHz Channel 1 Channel 6 Channel 11 Channel 14 2412 MHz 2437 MHz 2462 MHz 2484 MHz 2.4GHz 2.4835GHz 2.5GHz Source: FCC
  • 22. 22 LTE in Unlicensed Spectrum Is Gaining Traction  Carriers and equipment vendors have recently started talking more about deploying LTE over unlicensed spectrum (LTE-U)  Historically mobile operators were not able to deploy mobile technologies in the unlicensed bands out of concern for spectral efficiency and reliable user experience  The potential advantages of LTE-U over Wi-Fi  Superior coverage and spectral efficiency due to carrier aggregation  Smoother data flow across licensed and unlicensed spectrum as both would be deployed on the same small cells in a single core network  Verizon and T-Mobile both intend to deploy LTE-U for supplemental downlink  Potential LTE-U deployment would focus first on 5 GHz and later on 3.5 GHz, but likely avoid 2.4 GHz due to interference  Verizon plans to start pre-standard work in 2015 and trials in 2016 driven by Qualcomm and Ericsson  T-Mobile US has talked substantially about LTE-U (on FD) for supplemental downlink as well and pointed to 2016 for a launch
  • 24. • Wi-Fi emerging business models: Traditional wireless networks cannot scale to meet eventual data demand, forcing carriers to run multi-standard networks. The resultant impact of Wi-Fi across Asia will be varied. • Wi-Fi will ultimately to be a complementary network technology • Integrated carriers should have a competitive edge in densely populated DM such as Hong Kong, where it helps to mitigate capex and opex risk • Over-reliance on Wi-Fi could harm data monetization in markets with poor network quality. This was historically an issue for CM, and could now be the case in Thailand and Indonesia. • Municipal builds could encourage Wi-Fi MVNOs in markets such as Singapore and Taiwan Source: J.P. Morgan estimates. Wi-Fi in Asia: Why, When, and Where Exploring the emerging impact of Wi-Fi on the core telecom business model US cellular and Wi-Fi data usage (MB) Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan. Wi-Fi vs cellular speed by market Source: OpenSignal. Confidence bounds of Wi-Fi download speeds 1,914 2,495 3,197 4,036 4,849 5,656 2,537 3,445 4,600 6,054 7,585 9,229 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E 2019E Average Cellular Data Usage Average WiFi DataUsage
  • 25. • Falling Offload - cause for potential concern: • Korea: - Korean Wi-Fi + Wibro offload was as high as 20%+ of overall traffic in 2012 - advent of LTE in that year and the faster speeds available led to a significant compression in Wi-Fi and Wibro traffic volumes • China: - CM aggressively leveraged Wi-Fi offloading in their TDS- CDMA era. - Significant drop in Wi-Fi activity since the launch of TD- LTE services in 2H14 • Taiwan: Wireless broadband coverage is very good and there is low incentive for users to search Wi-Fi signal to access the internet when users are on the move. Source: MSIP, J.P. Morgan Wi-Fi in Asia: Why, When, and Where Korean wireless traffic by technology standard Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan. Korea Wi-Fi vs. 4G speeds Source: Company data and J.P. Morgan. China Wi-Fi vs. mobile data traffic 8.1 7.4 7.4 18.5 20.6 18.5 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 KT SKT LGU+ Wifi 4G 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 3G 4G WiBro WiFi* WiFi as % WiFi + Wibro as % 2G 267 482 669 816 822 405 122 168 223 304 427 706 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 WLAN data traffic (billion MB) Mobile internet access data traffic (billion MB) 4.6 4.5 5.2 4.5 5.3 20.2 17.8 10.8 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 iTaiwan Chunghwa TWM FET Wifi 3G 4G Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan Taiwan Wi-Fi vs. 3/4G speed comparison
  • 26. • ‘‘No choice’’ offload - very weak networks  no choice but to rely on Wi-Fi: • Thailand: - Wi-Fi download speeds are still 2-3x faster than available download speeds on traditional wireless networks • Indonesia: - LTE offers significantly higher download speeds than Wi- Fi, but coverage remains extremely limited • Rising offload - smaller, developed, high population density markets: • Hong Kong: - Integrated operators will mirror the US, as Wi-Fi serves to mitigate capex and opex risks and provides an advantage over wireless-only carriers • Singapore: - Operators in Singapore are leveraging the government- funded Wi-Fi rollout project Wireless@SG Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan. Wi-Fi in Asia: Why, When, and Where Thailand Wi-Fi vs. 3G speeds Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan. Indonesia Wi-Fi vs. 3G/4G speeds Source: OpenSignal, J.P. Morgan. 4G network coverage, Greater Jakarta
  • 27. • Municipal builds could encourage Wi-Fi MVNOs • Singapore: - 2mn subs as of Mar-14 for Wireless@SG and usage hours were 32 hours per user per month - IDA plans to double number of hotspots to 10,000 by 2015 • Korea: - MSIP spent W4.7bn on building 4,000 additional public Wi-Fi networks in major public areas in 2014, and - Plans to increase by 2,500 in 2015 • Taiwan: - As part of iTaiwan, more than 5,000 Wi-Fi hotspots set up in indoor government offices, tourist attractions, and public transportation stations Common access Wi-Fi reduces integrated carriers’ asset advantage making wireless carriers more competitive Source: Infocomm Development Authority, J.P. Morgan Wi-Fi in Asia: Why, When, and Where Wireless@SG hotspots - Nationwide Source: iTaiwan, J.P. Morgan iTaiwan hotspots - Nationwide
  • 28. Disclosures Companies Discussed in This Report (all prices in this report as of market close on 24 April 2015) AT&T (T/$34.01/Neutral) Cablevision (CVC/$20.15/Underweight) Charter Communications (CHTR/$185.75/Neutral) Comcast (CMCSA/$59.64/Overweight) Gogo (GOGO/$21.65/Overweight) Google (GOOG/$565.06/Overweight/JPM analyst Doug Anmuth) Level 3 Communications (LVLT/$54.67/Overweight) Sprint Corp (S/$5.27/Neutral) T-Mobile US Inc. (TMUS/$34.31/Overweight) Time Warner Cable (TWC/$155.26/Overweight) US Cellular (USM/$37.93/Overweight) Verizon Communications (VZ/$50.03/Overweight) Registration of non-US Analysts: Unless otherwise noted, the non-US analysts listed on the front of this report are employees of non-US affiliates of JPMS, are not registered/qualified as research analysts under NASD/NYSE rules, may not be associated persons of JPMS, and may not be subject to FINRA Rule 2711 and NYSE Rule 472 restrictions on communications with covered companies, public appearances, and trading securities held by a research analyst account.
  • 29. 29 Disclosures Analyst Certification: The research analyst(s) denoted by an “AC” on the cover of this report certifies (or, where multiple research analysts are primarily responsible for this report, the research analyst denoted by an “AC” on the cover or within the document individually certifies, with respect to each security or issuer that the research analyst covers in this research) that: (1) all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (2) no part of any of the research analyst's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by the research analyst(s) in this report. For all Korea-based research analysts listed on the front cover, they also certify, as per KOFIA requirements, that their analysis was made in good faith and that the views reflect their own opinion, without undue influence or intervention. Important Disclosures Company-Specific Disclosures: Important disclosures, including price charts and credit opinion history tables, are available for compendium reports and all J.P. Morgan–covered companies by visiting https://jpmm.com/research/disclosures, calling 1-800-477-0406, or e-mailing research.disclosure.inquiries@jpmorgan.com with your request. J.P. Morgan’s Strategy, Technical, and Quantitative Research teams may screen companies not covered by J.P. Morgan. For important disclosures for these companies, please call 1-800-477- 0406 or e-mail research.disclosure.inquiries@jpmorgan.com. Explanation of Equity Research Ratings, Designations and Analyst(s) Coverage Universe: J.P. Morgan uses the following rating system: Overweight [Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will outperform the average total return of the stocks in the analyst’s (or the analyst’s team’s) coverage universe.] Neutral [Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will perform in line with the average total return of the stocks in the analyst’s (or the analyst’s team’s) coverage universe.] Underweight [Over the next six to twelve months, we expect this stock will underperform the average total return of the stocks in the analyst’s (or the analyst’s team’s) coverage universe.] Not Rated (NR): J.P. Morgan has removed the rating and, if applicable, the price target, for this stock because of either a lack of a sufficient fundamental basis or for legal, regulatory or policy reasons. The previous rating and, if applicable, the price target, no longer should be relied upon. An NR designation is not a recommendation or a rating. In our Asia (ex-Australia) and U.K. small- and mid-cap equity research, each stock’s expected total return is compared to the expected total return of a benchmark country market index, not to those analysts’ coverage universe. If it does not appear in the Important Disclosures section of this report, the certifying analyst’s coverage universe can be found on J.P. Morgan’s research website, www.jpmorganmarkets.com. J.P. Morgan Equity Research Ratings Distribution, as of March 31, 2015 *Percentage of investment banking clients in each rating category. For purposes only of FINRA/NYSE ratings distribution rules, our Overweight rating falls into a buy rating category; our Neutral rating falls into a hold rating category; and our Underweight rating falls into a sell rating category. Please note that stocks with an NR designation are not included in the table above. Equity Valuation and Risks: For valuation methodology and risks associated with covered companies or price targets for covered companies, please see the most recent company-specific research report at http://www.jpmorganmarkets.com, contact the primary analyst or your J.P. Morgan representative, or email research.disclosure.inquiries@jpmorgan.com. Overweight (buy) Neutral (hold) Underweight (sell) J.P. Morgan Global Equity Research Coverage 43% 44% 13% IB clients* 55% 49% 37% JPMS Equity Research Coverage 44% 48% 9% IB clients* 75% 68% 54%
  • 30. 30 Disclosures Equity Analysts' Compensation: The equity research analysts responsible for the preparation of this report receive compensation based upon various factors, including the quality and accuracy of research, client feedback, competitive factors, and overall firm revenues. Other Disclosures J.P. Morgan ("JPM") is the global brand name for J.P. Morgan Securities LLC ("JPMS") and its affiliates worldwide. J.P. Morgan Cazenove is a marketing name for the U.K. investment banking businesses and EMEA cash equities and equity research businesses of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its subsidiaries. All research reports made available to clients are simultaneously available on our client website, J.P. Morgan Markets. Not all research content is redistributed, e-mailed or made available to third-party aggregators. For all research reports available on a particular stock, please contact your sales representative. Options related research: If the information contained herein regards options related research, such information is available only to persons who have received the proper option risk disclosure documents. For a copy of the Option Clearing Corporation's Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options, please contact your J.P. Morgan Representative or visit the OCC's website at http://www.optionsclearing.com/publications/risks/riskstoc.pdf Legal Entities Disclosures U.S.: JPMS is a member of NYSE, FINRA, SIPC and the NFA. JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. is a member of FDIC. U.K.: JPMorgan Chase N.A., London Branch, is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and is subject to regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority and to limited regulation by the Prudential Regulation Authority. Details about the extent of our regulation by the Prudential Regulation Authority are available from J.P. Morgan on request. J.P. Morgan Securities plc (JPMS plc) is a member of the London Stock Exchange and is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority. Registered in England & Wales No. 2711006. Registered Office 25 Bank Street, London, E14 5JP. South Africa: J.P. Morgan Equities South Africa Proprietary Limited is a member of the Johannesburg Securities Exchange and is regulated by the Financial Services Board. Hong Kong: J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited (CE number AAJ321) is regulated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and the Securities and Futures Commission in Hong Kong and/or J.P. Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited (CE number AAB027) is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission in Hong Kong. Korea: J.P. Morgan Securities (Far East) Ltd, Seoul Branch, is regulated by the Korea Financial Supervisory Service. Australia: J.P. Morgan Australia Limited (JPMAL) (ABN 52 002 888 011/AFS Licence No: 238188) is regulated by ASIC and J.P. Morgan Securities Australia Limited (JPMSAL) (ABN 61 003 245 234/AFS Licence No: 238066) is regulated by ASIC and is a Market, Clearing and Settlement Participant of ASX Limited and CHI-X. Taiwan: J.P.Morgan Securities (Taiwan) Limited is a participant of the Taiwan Stock Exchange (company-type) and regulated by the Taiwan Securities and Futures Bureau. India: J.P. Morgan India Private Limited (Corporate Identity Number - U67120MH1992FTC068724), having its registered office at J.P. Morgan Tower, Off. C.S.T. Road, Kalina, Santacruz - East, Mumbai – 400098, is a member of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (SEBI Registration Number - INB 230675231/INF 230675231/INE 230675231) and Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (SEBI Registration Number - INB 010675237/INF 010675237) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. Telephone: 91-22-6157 3000, Facsimile: 91-22-6157 3990 and Website: www.jpmipl.com. For non local research reports, this material is not distributed in India by J.P. Morgan India Private Limited. Thailand: This material is issued and distributed in Thailand by JPMorgan Securities (Thailand) Ltd., which is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and is regulated by the Ministry of Finance and the Securities and Exchange Commission and its registered address is 3rd Floor, 20 North Sathorn Road, Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500. Indonesia: PT J.P. Morgan Securities Indonesia is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the OJK a.k.a. BAPEPAM LK. Philippines: J.P. Morgan Securities Philippines Inc. is a Trading Participant of the Philippine Stock Exchange and a member of the Securities Clearing Corporation of the Philippines and the Securities Investor Protection Fund. It is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Brazil: Banco J.P. Morgan S.A. is regulated by the Comissao de Valores Mobiliarios (CVM) and by the Central Bank of Brazil. Mexico: J.P. Morgan Casa de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V., J.P. Morgan Grupo Financiero is a member of the Mexican Stock Exchange and authorized to act as a broker dealer by the National Banking and Securities Exchange Commission. Singapore: This material is issued and distributed in Singapore by or through J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited (JPMSS) [MCI (P) 100/03/2015 and Co. Reg. No.: 199405335R] which is a member of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited and is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and/or JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Singapore branch (JPMCB Singapore) which is regulated by the MAS. This material is provided in Singapore only to accredited investors, expert investors and institutional investors, as defined in Section 4A of the Securities and Futures Act, Cap. 289. Recipients of this document are to contact JPMSS or JPMCB Singapore in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, the document. Japan: JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd. is regulated by the Financial Services Agency in Japan. Malaysia: This material is issued and distributed in Malaysia by JPMorgan Securities (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd (18146-X) which is a Participating Organization of Bursa Malaysia Berhad and a holder of Capital Markets Services License issued by the Securities Commission in Malaysia. Pakistan: J. P. Morgan Pakistan Broking (Pvt.) Ltd is a member of the Karachi Stock Exchange and regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan. Saudi Arabia: J.P. Morgan Saudi Arabia Ltd. is authorized by the Capital Market Authority of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (CMA) to carry out dealing as an agent, arranging, advising and custody, with respect to securities business under licence number 35-07079 and its registered address is at 8th Floor, Al-Faisaliyah Tower, King Fahad Road, P.O. Box 51907, Riyadh 11553, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Dubai: JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Dubai Branch is regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) and its registered address is Dubai International Financial Centre - Building 3, Level 7, PO Box 506551, Dubai, UAE.
  • 31. 31 Disclosures Country and Region Specific Disclosures U.K. and European Economic Area (EEA): Unless specified to the contrary, issued and approved for distribution in the U.K. and the EEA by JPMS plc. Investment research issued by JPMS plc has been prepared in accordance with JPMS plc's policies for managing conflicts of interest arising as a result of publication and distribution of investment research. Many European regulators require a firm to establish, implement and maintain such a policy. This report has been issued in the U.K. only to persons of a kind described in Article 19 (5), 38, 47 and 49 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (all such persons being referred to as "relevant persons"). This document must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not relevant persons. Any investment or investment activity to which this document relates is only available to relevant persons and will be engaged in only with relevant persons. In other EEA countries, the report has been issued to persons regarded as professional investors (or equivalent) in their home jurisdiction. Australia: This material is issued and distributed by JPMSAL in Australia to "wholesale clients" only. This material does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of the recipient. The recipient of this material must not distribute it to any third party or outside Australia without the prior written consent of JPMSAL. For the purposes of this paragraph the term "wholesale client" has the meaning given in section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001. Germany: This material is distributed in Germany by J.P. Morgan Securities plc, Frankfurt Branch and J.P.Morgan Chase Bank, N.A., Frankfurt Branch which are regulated by the Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht. Hong Kong: The 1% ownership disclosure as of the previous month end satisfies the requirements under Paragraph 16.5(a) of the Hong Kong Code of Conduct for Persons Licensed by or Registered with the Securities and Futures Commission. (For research published within the first ten days of the month, the disclosure may be based on the month end data from two months prior.) J.P. Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited is the liquidity provider/market maker for derivative warrants, callable bull bear contracts and stock options listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited. An updated list can be found on HKEx website: http://www.hkex.com.hk. Japan: There is a risk that a loss may occur due to a change in the price of the shares in the case of share trading, and that a loss may occur due to the exchange rate in the case of foreign share trading. In the case of share trading, JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd., will be receiving a brokerage fee and consumption tax (shouhizei) calculated by multiplying the executed price by the commission rate which was individually agreed between JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd., and the customer in advance. Financial Instruments Firms: JPMorgan Securities Japan Co., Ltd., Kanto Local Finance Bureau (kinsho) No. 82 Participating Association / Japan Securities Dealers Association, The Financial Futures Association of Japan, Type II Financial Instruments Firms Association and Japan Investment Advisers Association. Korea: This report may have been edited or contributed to from time to time by affiliates of J.P. Morgan Securities (Far East) Ltd, Seoul Branch. Singapore: JPMSS and/or its affiliates may have a holding in any of the securities discussed in this report; for securities where the holding is 1% or greater, the specific holding is disclosed in the Important Disclosures section above. Taiwan: This material is issued and distributed in Taiwan by J.P. Morgan Securities (Taiwan) Limited. India: For private circulation only, not for sale. Pakistan: For private circulation only, not for sale. New Zealand: This material is issued and distributed by JPMSAL in New Zealand only to persons whose principal business is the investment of money or who, in the course of and for the purposes of their business, habitually invest money. JPMSAL does not issue or distribute this material to members of "the public" as determined in accordance with section 3 of the Securities Act 1978. The recipient of this material must not distribute it to any third party or outside New Zealand without the prior written consent of JPMSAL. Canada: The information contained herein is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, a prospectus, an advertisement, a public offering, an offer to sell securities described herein, or solicitation of an offer to buy securities described herein, in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Any offer or sale of the securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an exemption from the requirements to file a prospectus with the relevant Canadian securities regulators and only by a dealer properly registered under applicable securities laws or, alternatively, pursuant to an exemption from the dealer registration requirement in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. The information contained herein is under no circumstances to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada and is not tailored to the needs of the recipient. To the extent that the information contained herein references securities of an issuer incorporated, formed or created under the laws of Canada or a province or territory of Canada, any trades in such securities must be conducted through a dealer registered in Canada. No securities commission or similar regulatory authority in Canada has reviewed or in any way passed judgment upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of the securities described herein, and any representation to the contrary is an offence. Dubai: This report has been issued to persons regarded as professional clients as defined under the DFSA rules. Brazil: Ombudsman J.P. Morgan: 0800-7700847 / ouvidoria.jp.morgan@jpmorgan.com. General: Additional information is available upon request. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but JPMorgan Chase & Co. or its affiliates and/or subsidiaries (collectively J.P. Morgan) do not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to JPMS and/or its affiliates and the analyst's involvement with the issuer that is the subject of the research. All pricing is as of the close of market for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies to particular clients. The recipient of this report must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. JPMS distributes in the U.S. research published by non-U.S. affiliates and accepts responsibility for its contents. Periodic updates may be provided on companies/industries based on company specific developments or announcements, market conditions or any other publicly available information. Clients should contact analysts and execute transactions through a J.P. Morgan subsidiary or affiliate in their home jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise. "Other Disclosures" last revised March 28, 2015. Copyright 2015 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan.