Big data and climate change: Big words or big opportunity? Innovative approaches to introducing climate-smart agriculture practices and advice

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Bioversity International scientist Jacob van Etten presents on Innovative approaches to disseminating Climate-smart agricultural practices and advisories. Find out more about what we do on climate change adaptation: http://www.bioversityinternational.org/research-portfolio/adaptation-to-climate-change/

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1
Big data and climate change:
Big words or big opportunity?
Innovative approaches to disseminating CSA practices and advisories
Jacob van Etten
Theme leader Climate Change Adaptation
9th
April 2014

2
1. Big data, what is it?
2. Big words only?
3. What about CCAFS?

9
A movie passes the Bechdel Test if women that are named
have at least one conversation that is not about a man.

13
In summary
• ICT generate more and more data
• Data are going social
• Big Data is about “repurposing” in many different ways
• Dumb force of big n obviates precision, long waits and big
$

24
In summary
• Many caveats apply
• Big Data is on the Peak of Inflated Expectations
• There is a Plateau of Productivity ahead!

33
Site-specific agriculture (CIAT)
+ + =
Climate Soil Crop management Productivity
% ? + % ? + % ? = To Explain (100 %)

37
Nifty statistics:
Bradley-Terry model with recursive partitioning

39
4. Farmers
test and
report back
by mobile
phone
2. Each farmer gets a
different combination of
varieties
3. Environmental
data (GPS, sensors)
to assess
adaptation
1. A broad set of
varieties is
evaluated
6. Detect
demand for
new
varieties
and traits
5. Farmers receive tailored
variety recommendations and
can order seeds

40
Crowdsourcing Monitoring and Evaluation?

44
Big data session
Two micro-presentations
•Participatory modelling with historical crop data (Dieudonne
Harahagazwe, CIP)
•Big data to optimize agricultural systems through location-
specific advise (Daniel Jiménez, CIAT)
Group discussion

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Big data and climate change: Big words or big opportunity? Innovative approaches to introducing climate-smart agriculture practices and advice

1. 1 Big data and climate change: Big words or big opportunity? Innovative approaches to disseminating CSA practices and advisories Jacob van Etten Theme leader Climate Change Adaptation 9th April 2014

2. 2 1. Big data, what is it? 2. Big words only? 3. What about CCAFS?

3. 3

4. 4 Social data / crowdsourcing

5. 5

6. 6 Bioinformatics

7. 7

8. 8 Data journalism

9. 9 A movie passes the Bechdel Test if women that are named have at least one conversation that is not about a man.

10. 10 Crowdsourcing

11. 11

12. 12

13. 13 In summary • ICT generate more and more data • Data are going social • Big Data is about “repurposing” in many different ways • Dumb force of big n obviates precision, long waits and big $

14. 14 Big words only?

15. 15

16. 16

17. 17

18. 18

19. 19

20. 20

21. 21 Gartner’s hype cycle

22. 22 Where is Big Data on the curve?

23. 23

24. 24 In summary • Many caveats apply • Big Data is on the Peak of Inflated Expectations • There is a Plateau of Productivity ahead!

25. 25 What about CCAFS?

26. 26 Historical data

27. 27

28. 28 Big data illusions

29. 29

30. 30 Sensors

31. 31

32. 32

33. 33 Site-specific agriculture (CIAT) + + = Climate Soil Crop management Productivity % ? + % ? + % ? = To Explain (100 %)

34. 34 Citizen science

35. 35

36. 36

37. 37 Nifty statistics: Bradley-Terry model with recursive partitioning

38. 38

39. 39 4. Farmers test and report back by mobile phone 2. Each farmer gets a different combination of varieties 3. Environmental data (GPS, sensors) to assess adaptation 1. A broad set of varieties is evaluated 6. Detect demand for new varieties and traits 5. Farmers receive tailored variety recommendations and can order seeds

40. 40 Crowdsourcing Monitoring and Evaluation?

41. 41

42. 42 In conclusion…

43. 43 but some work is required to get it

44. 44 Big data session Two micro-presentations •Participatory modelling with historical crop data (Dieudonne Harahagazwe, CIP) •Big data to optimize agricultural systems through location- specific advise (Daniel Jiménez, CIAT) Group discussion

45. 45 Thank you!

Big data and climate change: Big words or big opportunity? Innovative approaches to introducing climate-smart agriculture practices and advice

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