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INDIA INVESTOR CONFERENCE 2010




                       March 2010
An Overview
Incorporated in 1938

              Listed on NSE & BSE
Basic Facts   Rated “P1+” by S&P: highest degree
              of safety

              Five decades of uninterrupted
              profitability and dividends
Private sector bank despite government’s
                majority holding

                Sole banker and lender of last resort to
                the Government of J&K

                Only private sector bank designated as
One of a Kind   RBI’s agent for banking business

                Carries out banking business of the
                Central Government:
                − Direct Tax collection
                − Indirect Tax collection
                − Utility payment collection
Commercial Bank

                   Development Financing Institution

Facets and Roles   Financial Services Provider

                   Central bank of J&K

                   Intermediary Institution
Dominates a Region
                   − 380 branches in the state
                   − 220 ATMs

                   Controls a Geography
                   − Branches in every block of
                     J&K

                   Possess a Community
Regional Goliath   − Adult population of 8.6
                     million
                   − 3.7 million account holders
                     of J&K Bank

                   Monopolises Business in J&K
                   − 87% share in advances
                   − 70% share in deposits
2.74
                  2.51

                 0.74                    11.70

                                                        53.17
Shareholding          29.14


Pattern

               Government of J&K
               Foreign Inst. Investors
               Non-Resident Indians
               Indian Mutual Funds
               Resident Individuals
               Bodies Corporate/ Clg. Mem./Insur.Cos
Private Bank in terms of its earnings, and

              PSU Bank in terms of its cost structure

              Public ownership
Best of       − Stability
both worlds   − Safety

              Private functioning
              − Efficiency
              − Growth
J&K Bank Financial Services Ltd
                   − Providing Depository Services
                   − Offering Stock Broking Services

Subsidiaries and   Insurance JV with MetLife International

Investments        Distributor of
                   − Life Insurance products; partner:
                     MetLife
                   − General Insurance; partner: Bajaj
                     Allianz

                   Shareholder in J&K Gramin Bank
The Quiet
Transformation
2005-2009
Snap shot comparison


 Performance
                        2004   2009
 Indicators
 Return on Assets (%)   0.45   1.33

 Return on Equity (%)   9.70   18.56

 NPA % Advances         1.02   0.38

 Coverage (%)           38     83

 Cost to Income (%)     46.6   35.7

 CASA (%)               28     40

 NIIMS (%)              2.2    3.4

 EPS (Rs.)              32.5   108

 Net Profit (Rs. bn)    1      5
Business strategy: 2005-2012


  Two legged business model:
  − Increase lending in J&K, which is
    ▫ high margin, low volume

  − Target niche lending in rest of the country, to
    ▫ Improve margins and build volumes

  − Universal Bank in J&K

  − Corporate bank in rest of the country
Phase I (2005-2009): Looking inward


  Change in composition of advances
  − In terms of geography: from ROI to J&K
  − In terms of asset types: from low margin to high margin

  A greater focus on liability management
  − Increase low cost retail deposits
  − Increase the maturity structure

  Restructure lending in ROI :
  − Re-pricing
  − Reduce consortium lending
  − Improve WC to TL ratio
Inward strategy: Analytics


  J&K accounts for:
  − 1% of India’s population
  − 0.6% of India’s GDP

  J&K accounts for:
  − 0.2% of India’s personal credit
  − 0.12% of India’s productive credit

  Low capital consumption

  Closed economy: No leakages
Sectoral worldview:


  Muddled middle of the Indian banking sector to
  get squeezed

  Bi-polar structure to emerge

  Smaller banks -niche players - with regional
  dominance to outperform
  − Banking verticals with defined slivers of
    business
  − Focus on SMEs and the informal segment
Contextual Strategic inference:


  In the current and emerging environment,
  what is required is:
  − Region-specific credit policies that suit
    the sub-national growth impulses and
    context
  − Productisation of finance to suit local
    enterprises
Strategic shift:
CONTOURS
2004


                              34%
               66%




                     J&K    ROI

Loan Book:
By Geography         2009


               50%                50%




                     J&K    ROI
Within J&K
                                 11%           12%

                                                          13%


                    30%

                                                           21%

                                  13%

                  Agriculture          Trade              Personal
                  SME                  Government         Corporate

Sector-wise
                                Rest of India
advances (2009)                              8%
                                                     8%
                                                           6%



                    62%                                        15%

                                                          1%



                  Agriculture          Trade              Personal
                  SME                  Government         Corporate
The Bank as Whole
                                                         10%

                                                                     11%
                       35%




Sector-wise                                                                 14%

advances (2009)
                                16%                            14%

                  Agriculture   Trade   Personal   SME     Government      Corporate
Strategic shift:
RESULTS
41.12
                  42

                                                   39.16
                  40
                                                               38.11


Liability
                                       37.02
                  38




Structure:        36
                           34.17



Increasing CASA
                  34


                  32

(%)               30
                       2005-06     2006-07     2007-08     2008-09     9M 09-10
7

                                                            6.22
               6.5
                                                5.85
                6                                                       5.62

Cost of        5.5



Deposits(%):    5        4.55        4.5


Stable         4.5


                4
                     2005-06    2006-07    2007-08     2008-09      9M 09-10
                                                                   Annualised
46
                          44.57
               44


               42



Cost to
                                        40.13
               40
                                                          38.24

Income Ratio
               38
                                                                            37.81


               36                                                                           35.7
(%):           34


Sharp drop     32
                    2005-06       2006-07       2007-08           2008-09            9M 09-10
                                                                                    Annualised
11.53
                   12                                                      11.28
                  11.5

                   11
                                                   10.44

                  10.5



Advances Yield
                   10

                   9.5
                             8.48       8.58
                    9

(%): Increasing    8.5

                    8

                   7.5

                    7
                         2005-06    2006-07    2007-08     2008-09      9M 09-10
                                                                       Annualised
3.15
                   3.2
                                                                            3.04
                   3.1
                                        2.97        2.95
                    3

                   2.9



NIIMs(%): Rising
                   2.8       2.68
                   2.7

                   2.6

                   2.5

                   2.4
                         2005-06    2006-07    2007-08     2008-09      9M 09-10
                                                                       Annualised
1.33
                  1.4

                  1.3
                                                   1.1        1.09
                  1.2



Return on
                  1.1                  0.96
                   1



Assets (%):
                  0.9

                  0.8       0.67


Consistent rise
                  0.7

                  0.6

                  0.5

                  0.4
                        2005-06    2006-07    2007-08    2008-09      9M 09-10
                                                                     Annualised
20                                                       18.56
              19

              18                               16.68       16.62


Return on
              17

              16
                                   14.42


Equity (%):
              15

              14



On the rise
              13

              12
                       10.21
              11

              10
                   2005-06     2006-07     2007-08     2008-09      9M 09-10
                                                                   Annualised
CAGR 31.14%                                       107.91
                110

                100
                                                              84.54
                 90
                                                  74.26
                 80

Earnings per     70
                                      56.62

share (Rs.):
                 60

                 50
                          36.48

Steady growth    40

                 30
                      2005-06     2006-07     2007-08     2008-09      9M 09-10
                                                                      Annualised
Profits with same level of coverage up
from Rs. 1 billion to Rs. 8 billion
(%):

   levels
   International
   NPA Coverage


          0
              10
                   20
                        30
                             40
                                  50
                                       60
                                            70
                                                 80
                                                      90




Q4-0405
Q1-0506
Q2-0506
Q3-0506
Q4-0506
Q1-0607
Q2-0607
Q3-0607
Q4-0607
Q1-0708
Q2-0708
Q3-0708
Q4-0708
Q1-0809
Q2-0809
Q3-0809
Q4-0809
Q1-0910
Q2-0910
Q3-0910
Financial: Valuation Measures

                                        2005-06    2006-07    2007-08    2008-09    9M 09-10
Earnings per share (annualized) (Rs.)   36.48      56.62      74.26      84.54      107.91

Net Asset Value (Rs.)                   371.20     414.36     476.28     541.04     621.97

Adjusted Book Value (Rs.)               343.43     374.43     434.30     481.74     605.71

Price to book value ratio               1.23       1.73       1.35       0.91       0.91

Price to adjusted book value ratio      1.33       1.91       1.48       1.02       0.94

Price Earning Ratio (on Ann EPS)        12.50      12.64      8.65       5.80       5.26

Market Cap to Deposits (%)              9.41%      13.77%     10.89%     7.21%      8.18%

Market price as on date (Rs.)           456.05     715.85     642.10     490.65     568.00

No. of Shares                           48477702   48477702   48477802   48477802   48477802
NPA cover with standard asset
provision over 109.45%
Profitability Measures


                                          2005-06   2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   9M 09-10
Net Interest Margins (%)                  2.68      2.97      2.95      3.15      3.04

Yield on Advances (Av) (%) (annualised)   8.48      8.58      10.44     11.53     11.28

Cost of Deposits (Av) (%) (annualised)    4.55      4.50      5.85      6.22      5.62

Return on Assets (%) (annualised)         0.67      0.96      1.10      1.09      1.33

Return on Equity (%) (annualised)         10.21     14.42     16.68     16.62     18.56
Asset Quality


                             2005-06   2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   9M 09-10
Gross NPA (in Rs. mn)        3701.90   5018.30   4852.30   5592.70   4602.70

Net NPAs (in Rs. mn)         1338.70   1935.70   2035.50   2875.10   788.30

Gross NPA (%)                2.52      2.89      2.53      2.64      2.17

Net NPA (%)                  0.92      1.13      1.08      1.37      0.38

NPA Coverage (%)             63.64     61.43     58.05     48.59     82.87

Gross NPA to Net Worth (%)   20.57     24.98     21.02     21.32     15.27
Operating Measures
                                         2005-06   2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   9M 09-10
Operating Expenses to AWF (ann.)         1.36      1.35      1.31      1.34      1.39

Operating Income to Total Income (%)     19.00     18.08     15.06     14.56     15.46

Operating Expenses to Other Income (%)   311.00    232.47    164.73    192.15    127.71

Staff cost to Total Income (%)           10.59     10.69     8.43      8.62      9.69

Interest Earned to AWF (%)               0.44      0.58      0.80      0.70      1.09

Capital Adequacy Ratio (Basel I) (%)     12.14     13.24     12.80     13.46     16.04

Tier I (%)                               11.76     12.60     12.14     12.77     12.91

Tier II (%)                              0.38      0.64      0.66      0.69      3.13

Capital Adequacy Ratio (Basel II) (%)                                  14.48     18.08

Tier I (%)                                                             13.80     14.54

Tier II (%)                                                            0.68      3.54
Efficiency Measures


                                      2005-06   2006-07   2007-08   2008-09   9M 09-10
Cost to Income Ratio (%)              44.57     40.13     38.24     37.81     35.70

CD Ratio (%)                          61.67     67.79     66.04     63.42     61.74

CASA Ratio (%)                        34.17     37.02     39.16     38.11     41.12

Business per Employee (in Rs. mn)     55.60     61.70     62.80     70.70     70.50

Net profit per Employee (in Rs. mn)   0.26      0.40      0.48      0.54      0.68

Business per Branch (in Rs. mn)       845.60    937.30    934.60    1011.90   1021.50
Net Profit per Branch (in Rs. mn)
                                      3.94      6.09      7.09      7.69      9.81
(Annualised)
As on Dec, 2009


                                                                                    1.60

               1.55%
                                                                            1.47
                                                                    1.43
               1.45%
                        1.33
               1.35%
                                                       1.20 1.22
               1.25%

Return on
                                                1.13
               1.15%



Assets (%)     1.05%

               0.95%
                                         0.94



(Annualised)   0.85%
                                0.79

               0.75%
                       J&K     ING     SBI   ICICI   HDFC   Union   PNB    Canara   Axis
                       Bank   Vysya          Bank    Bank   Bank            Bank    Bank
As on Dec, 2009



             60.00%                                                                 57.87


             55.00%
                                                                            52.11

             50.00%

Cost to
                                                                    47.03

             45.00%

Income (%)
                                                41.18 41.29 42.31

             40.00%                     36.92
                       35.70 36.20

             35.00%



             30.00%
                      J&K    ICICI   Canara   Axis   Union   PNB    HDFC     SBI     ING
                      Bank   Bank     bank    Bank   Bank           Bank            Vysya
As on Dec, 2009


                                                                                        49
             50.25
                                                                               45.59
             45.25    41.12                                            42.94
                                                       39.54
                                                               39.6
             40.25
                                        32.24 32.34
             35.25
                               29.5
             30.25


CASA Ratio   25.25



(%)
             20.25

             15.25

             10.25

              5.25

              0.25
                     J&K    Canara     ING    Union   PNB      ICICI   SBI     Axis    HDFC
                     Bank    Bank     Vysya   Bank             Bank            Bank    Bank
Value Ratio)
                                     question!
          (Price/Book Value Ratio
          and Price/ Adjusted Book
                                     The “Kashmir”


          0
               10
                        20
                                 30
                                        40
                                             50
                                                  60
                                                       70
                                                            80
                                                                 90




Q4-0405
Q1-0506
Q2-0506
Q3-0506
Q4-0506
Q1-0607
Q2-0607
Q3-0607
Q4-0607
Q1-0708
Q2-0708
Q3-0708
Q4-0708
Q1-0809
Q2-0809
Q3-0809
Q4-0809
Q1-0910
Q2-0910
Q3-0910
P/E Ratio
                       12.5      12.64
              13
              12
              11
              10                               8.65


The Puzzle!
               9
               8
               7                                           5.8
                                                                      5.26
               6
               5
               4
                   2005-06    2006-07     2007-08     2008-09     9M 09-10
                                                                 Annualised
As on Dec, 2009


                                                                                      2.43
            2.50%




            2.00%                                                              1.88
                                                                      1.67
Net         1.50%                                             1.34

Impaired
Loans (%)
            1.00%
                                                       0.58
                              0.45     0.46     0.48
                     0.38
            0.50%




            0.00%
                    J&K     HDFC     Axis     PNB   Union   Canara    ING      SBI    ICICI
                    Bank    Bank     Bank           Bank     Bank    Vysya            Bank
As on Dec, 2009



             90      83
                                                                                                  25
             80
                                                                                            74

Coverage
                                                                                      72
                                                                              68
             70
                                                                62     63

Ratio (%):   60
                                                     51

Highest in   50
                                        40


India        40


             30
                             25


             20
                  J&K    Canara   SBI        ICICI        BoI        Axis   Union   HDFC   PNB   BoB
                  Bank                                                              Bank
As on Dec, 2009




                                                                                        14.95
              15.00%                                                            14.43

Staff         13.00%

Expenses to   11.00%     9.69
                                                                        11.26


Total          9.00%                         7.91
                                                       8.29      8.67


Income (%)     7.00%
                                   5.27

               5.00%
                       J&K      ICICI     Axis      Union     Canara    HDFC    SBI      ING
                       Bank     Bank      Bank      Bank       Bank     Bank            Vysya
As on Dec, 2009


                           14.54
                 15.00%
                                                                                      14.20
                                                                              13.80
                 14.00%




Highest Tier I
                 13.00%

                                                                      11.83
                 12.00%

Capital (%)      11.00%

(Basel II)       10.00%                       9.20     9.27
                                                               9.70

                                   8.70
                  9.00%


                  8.00%
                          J&K    Union    Canara     PNB      SBI     Axis    HDFC    ICICI
                          Bank   Bank      Bank                       Bank    Bank    Bank
As on Dec, 2009



               130
                                                                                      114.97

               110


                      80.93                                                   87.86
                90

Earnings per    70                                                    61.43
Share (Rs.)     50
                                                       46.65 49.10


                                        27.12 29.33
                30
                              15.92


                10
                     J&K     ING      ICICI   Union   Axis   HDFC    Canara   PNB      SBI
                     Bank   Vysya     Bank    Bank    Bank   Bank     Bank
As on Dec, 2009



             1100
                                                                                    1003.00
             1000

             900

             800

             700    621.97

Book value   600
                                                             469.00 492.84
                                                                           509.22


(Rs.)
             500                                        391.37
             400                               305.75

             300                      191.50
                             167.34
             200

             100
                    J&K    Union    ING    Canara   Axis     ICICI   PNB   HDFC      SBI
                    Bank   Bank    Vysya    Bank    Bank     Bank          Bank
As on Dec, 2009



             3.5                                                                  3.34


              3

                                                                           2.53
             2.5

Price to
                                                                    2.23

                                                       1.84 1.87
              2

Book value   1.5             1.27
                                       1.55    1.58



                    0.91
              1



             0.5
                   J&K    Canara     ING    Union     PNB   ICICI   SBI    Axis   HDFC
                   Bank    Bank     Vysya   Bank            Bank           Bank   Bank
Phase II (2009-2012): Growth


 Phase I completed

 Earning side of the balance sheet among the top
 three in the banking industry.

 Phase II of strategy: Growth was to start in 2009;
 deferred due global and national macroeconomic
 environment

 Tier II issue of Rs. 6 billion; preparing for CD
 growth
Plans ahead
Ground work for Growth


 Raised Rs. 6 billion as long term resource in the form of
 Tier II capital

 Making liabilities the driver

 Maintaining low CD ratio

 Insulate earnings from environment
 − Linking asset to local needs
 − Linking liabilities to local sources
Phase II: Size and Structure


 Business growth
 − Specialist bank in ROI
 − Universal Bank in J&K

 Focus on size
 − Inorganic growth
 − Organic

 Structural reorganization
 − Towards a financial conglomerate
Carving a niche, nationally


Nationally, focus on:

  Under-serviced areas with high turnover

  Specialised sectoral lending

  Specialist branch chain ― leather, grains, spices

  A specialist bank outside
Specialist strategy


 Leveraging intellectual capital by replicating J&K commercial
 agriculture lending in rest of India

 Mismatch between growth sources and credit supply

 High growth and yield areas under-serviced in terms of credit

 Major sectors like plantations and commercial agriculture still
 financed informally
The J&K edge


 Normal banks have corporate, SME and
 retail banking divisions

 Comparatively, we have corporate, SME
 and special banking divisions
Third party products


 Make branch network a distribution channel for
 financial products

 Reduce incentive for major banks to enter J&K

 Beef up non-interest incomes

 Reduce income volatility

 Make assets sweat harder

 Improve business per branch per person
Investment banking


 Leveraging our core competence of domain and
 geographical expertise, and having

 J&K Government a captive client
 − State Government investing USD 240 billion in
   power over the next four years
 − Mandated to take Power Development
   Corporation public
Interesting inorganic opportunities


 Converting J&K Gramin Bank into an MFI

 Making 1,400 Common Service Centres as
 banking correspondents over the next one year

 Exploring inorganic opportunities for JKBFSL to
 beef up earnings and increase momentum
THANK YOU




    March 2010

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J&K Bank Investor Presentation 2010

  • 1. INDIA INVESTOR CONFERENCE 2010 March 2010
  • 3. Incorporated in 1938 Listed on NSE & BSE Basic Facts Rated “P1+” by S&P: highest degree of safety Five decades of uninterrupted profitability and dividends
  • 4. Private sector bank despite government’s majority holding Sole banker and lender of last resort to the Government of J&K Only private sector bank designated as One of a Kind RBI’s agent for banking business Carries out banking business of the Central Government: − Direct Tax collection − Indirect Tax collection − Utility payment collection
  • 5. Commercial Bank Development Financing Institution Facets and Roles Financial Services Provider Central bank of J&K Intermediary Institution
  • 6. Dominates a Region − 380 branches in the state − 220 ATMs Controls a Geography − Branches in every block of J&K Possess a Community Regional Goliath − Adult population of 8.6 million − 3.7 million account holders of J&K Bank Monopolises Business in J&K − 87% share in advances − 70% share in deposits
  • 7. 2.74 2.51 0.74 11.70 53.17 Shareholding 29.14 Pattern Government of J&K Foreign Inst. Investors Non-Resident Indians Indian Mutual Funds Resident Individuals Bodies Corporate/ Clg. Mem./Insur.Cos
  • 8. Private Bank in terms of its earnings, and PSU Bank in terms of its cost structure Public ownership Best of − Stability both worlds − Safety Private functioning − Efficiency − Growth
  • 9. J&K Bank Financial Services Ltd − Providing Depository Services − Offering Stock Broking Services Subsidiaries and Insurance JV with MetLife International Investments Distributor of − Life Insurance products; partner: MetLife − General Insurance; partner: Bajaj Allianz Shareholder in J&K Gramin Bank
  • 11. Snap shot comparison Performance 2004 2009 Indicators Return on Assets (%) 0.45 1.33 Return on Equity (%) 9.70 18.56 NPA % Advances 1.02 0.38 Coverage (%) 38 83 Cost to Income (%) 46.6 35.7 CASA (%) 28 40 NIIMS (%) 2.2 3.4 EPS (Rs.) 32.5 108 Net Profit (Rs. bn) 1 5
  • 12. Business strategy: 2005-2012 Two legged business model: − Increase lending in J&K, which is ▫ high margin, low volume − Target niche lending in rest of the country, to ▫ Improve margins and build volumes − Universal Bank in J&K − Corporate bank in rest of the country
  • 13. Phase I (2005-2009): Looking inward Change in composition of advances − In terms of geography: from ROI to J&K − In terms of asset types: from low margin to high margin A greater focus on liability management − Increase low cost retail deposits − Increase the maturity structure Restructure lending in ROI : − Re-pricing − Reduce consortium lending − Improve WC to TL ratio
  • 14. Inward strategy: Analytics J&K accounts for: − 1% of India’s population − 0.6% of India’s GDP J&K accounts for: − 0.2% of India’s personal credit − 0.12% of India’s productive credit Low capital consumption Closed economy: No leakages
  • 15. Sectoral worldview: Muddled middle of the Indian banking sector to get squeezed Bi-polar structure to emerge Smaller banks -niche players - with regional dominance to outperform − Banking verticals with defined slivers of business − Focus on SMEs and the informal segment
  • 16. Contextual Strategic inference: In the current and emerging environment, what is required is: − Region-specific credit policies that suit the sub-national growth impulses and context − Productisation of finance to suit local enterprises
  • 18. 2004 34% 66% J&K ROI Loan Book: By Geography 2009 50% 50% J&K ROI
  • 19. Within J&K 11% 12% 13% 30% 21% 13% Agriculture Trade Personal SME Government Corporate Sector-wise Rest of India advances (2009) 8% 8% 6% 62% 15% 1% Agriculture Trade Personal SME Government Corporate
  • 20. The Bank as Whole 10% 11% 35% Sector-wise 14% advances (2009) 16% 14% Agriculture Trade Personal SME Government Corporate
  • 22. 41.12 42 39.16 40 38.11 Liability 37.02 38 Structure: 36 34.17 Increasing CASA 34 32 (%) 30 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10
  • 23. 7 6.22 6.5 5.85 6 5.62 Cost of 5.5 Deposits(%): 5 4.55 4.5 Stable 4.5 4 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Annualised
  • 24. 46 44.57 44 42 Cost to 40.13 40 38.24 Income Ratio 38 37.81 36 35.7 (%): 34 Sharp drop 32 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Annualised
  • 25. 11.53 12 11.28 11.5 11 10.44 10.5 Advances Yield 10 9.5 8.48 8.58 9 (%): Increasing 8.5 8 7.5 7 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Annualised
  • 26. 3.15 3.2 3.04 3.1 2.97 2.95 3 2.9 NIIMs(%): Rising 2.8 2.68 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Annualised
  • 27. 1.33 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.09 1.2 Return on 1.1 0.96 1 Assets (%): 0.9 0.8 0.67 Consistent rise 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Annualised
  • 28. 20 18.56 19 18 16.68 16.62 Return on 17 16 14.42 Equity (%): 15 14 On the rise 13 12 10.21 11 10 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Annualised
  • 29. CAGR 31.14% 107.91 110 100 84.54 90 74.26 80 Earnings per 70 56.62 share (Rs.): 60 50 36.48 Steady growth 40 30 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Annualised
  • 30. Profits with same level of coverage up from Rs. 1 billion to Rs. 8 billion
  • 31. (%): levels International NPA Coverage 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Q4-0405 Q1-0506 Q2-0506 Q3-0506 Q4-0506 Q1-0607 Q2-0607 Q3-0607 Q4-0607 Q1-0708 Q2-0708 Q3-0708 Q4-0708 Q1-0809 Q2-0809 Q3-0809 Q4-0809 Q1-0910 Q2-0910 Q3-0910
  • 32. Financial: Valuation Measures 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Earnings per share (annualized) (Rs.) 36.48 56.62 74.26 84.54 107.91 Net Asset Value (Rs.) 371.20 414.36 476.28 541.04 621.97 Adjusted Book Value (Rs.) 343.43 374.43 434.30 481.74 605.71 Price to book value ratio 1.23 1.73 1.35 0.91 0.91 Price to adjusted book value ratio 1.33 1.91 1.48 1.02 0.94 Price Earning Ratio (on Ann EPS) 12.50 12.64 8.65 5.80 5.26 Market Cap to Deposits (%) 9.41% 13.77% 10.89% 7.21% 8.18% Market price as on date (Rs.) 456.05 715.85 642.10 490.65 568.00 No. of Shares 48477702 48477702 48477802 48477802 48477802
  • 33. NPA cover with standard asset provision over 109.45%
  • 34. Profitability Measures 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Net Interest Margins (%) 2.68 2.97 2.95 3.15 3.04 Yield on Advances (Av) (%) (annualised) 8.48 8.58 10.44 11.53 11.28 Cost of Deposits (Av) (%) (annualised) 4.55 4.50 5.85 6.22 5.62 Return on Assets (%) (annualised) 0.67 0.96 1.10 1.09 1.33 Return on Equity (%) (annualised) 10.21 14.42 16.68 16.62 18.56
  • 35. Asset Quality 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Gross NPA (in Rs. mn) 3701.90 5018.30 4852.30 5592.70 4602.70 Net NPAs (in Rs. mn) 1338.70 1935.70 2035.50 2875.10 788.30 Gross NPA (%) 2.52 2.89 2.53 2.64 2.17 Net NPA (%) 0.92 1.13 1.08 1.37 0.38 NPA Coverage (%) 63.64 61.43 58.05 48.59 82.87 Gross NPA to Net Worth (%) 20.57 24.98 21.02 21.32 15.27
  • 36. Operating Measures 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Operating Expenses to AWF (ann.) 1.36 1.35 1.31 1.34 1.39 Operating Income to Total Income (%) 19.00 18.08 15.06 14.56 15.46 Operating Expenses to Other Income (%) 311.00 232.47 164.73 192.15 127.71 Staff cost to Total Income (%) 10.59 10.69 8.43 8.62 9.69 Interest Earned to AWF (%) 0.44 0.58 0.80 0.70 1.09 Capital Adequacy Ratio (Basel I) (%) 12.14 13.24 12.80 13.46 16.04 Tier I (%) 11.76 12.60 12.14 12.77 12.91 Tier II (%) 0.38 0.64 0.66 0.69 3.13 Capital Adequacy Ratio (Basel II) (%) 14.48 18.08 Tier I (%) 13.80 14.54 Tier II (%) 0.68 3.54
  • 37. Efficiency Measures 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Cost to Income Ratio (%) 44.57 40.13 38.24 37.81 35.70 CD Ratio (%) 61.67 67.79 66.04 63.42 61.74 CASA Ratio (%) 34.17 37.02 39.16 38.11 41.12 Business per Employee (in Rs. mn) 55.60 61.70 62.80 70.70 70.50 Net profit per Employee (in Rs. mn) 0.26 0.40 0.48 0.54 0.68 Business per Branch (in Rs. mn) 845.60 937.30 934.60 1011.90 1021.50 Net Profit per Branch (in Rs. mn) 3.94 6.09 7.09 7.69 9.81 (Annualised)
  • 38. As on Dec, 2009 1.60 1.55% 1.47 1.43 1.45% 1.33 1.35% 1.20 1.22 1.25% Return on 1.13 1.15% Assets (%) 1.05% 0.95% 0.94 (Annualised) 0.85% 0.79 0.75% J&K ING SBI ICICI HDFC Union PNB Canara Axis Bank Vysya Bank Bank Bank Bank Bank
  • 39. As on Dec, 2009 60.00% 57.87 55.00% 52.11 50.00% Cost to 47.03 45.00% Income (%) 41.18 41.29 42.31 40.00% 36.92 35.70 36.20 35.00% 30.00% J&K ICICI Canara Axis Union PNB HDFC SBI ING Bank Bank bank Bank Bank Bank Vysya
  • 40. As on Dec, 2009 49 50.25 45.59 45.25 41.12 42.94 39.54 39.6 40.25 32.24 32.34 35.25 29.5 30.25 CASA Ratio 25.25 (%) 20.25 15.25 10.25 5.25 0.25 J&K Canara ING Union PNB ICICI SBI Axis HDFC Bank Bank Vysya Bank Bank Bank Bank
  • 41. Value Ratio) question! (Price/Book Value Ratio and Price/ Adjusted Book The “Kashmir” 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Q4-0405 Q1-0506 Q2-0506 Q3-0506 Q4-0506 Q1-0607 Q2-0607 Q3-0607 Q4-0607 Q1-0708 Q2-0708 Q3-0708 Q4-0708 Q1-0809 Q2-0809 Q3-0809 Q4-0809 Q1-0910 Q2-0910 Q3-0910
  • 42. P/E Ratio 12.5 12.64 13 12 11 10 8.65 The Puzzle! 9 8 7 5.8 5.26 6 5 4 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 9M 09-10 Annualised
  • 43. As on Dec, 2009 2.43 2.50% 2.00% 1.88 1.67 Net 1.50% 1.34 Impaired Loans (%) 1.00% 0.58 0.45 0.46 0.48 0.38 0.50% 0.00% J&K HDFC Axis PNB Union Canara ING SBI ICICI Bank Bank Bank Bank Bank Vysya Bank
  • 44. As on Dec, 2009 90 83 25 80 74 Coverage 72 68 70 62 63 Ratio (%): 60 51 Highest in 50 40 India 40 30 25 20 J&K Canara SBI ICICI BoI Axis Union HDFC PNB BoB Bank Bank
  • 45. As on Dec, 2009 14.95 15.00% 14.43 Staff 13.00% Expenses to 11.00% 9.69 11.26 Total 9.00% 7.91 8.29 8.67 Income (%) 7.00% 5.27 5.00% J&K ICICI Axis Union Canara HDFC SBI ING Bank Bank Bank Bank Bank Bank Vysya
  • 46. As on Dec, 2009 14.54 15.00% 14.20 13.80 14.00% Highest Tier I 13.00% 11.83 12.00% Capital (%) 11.00% (Basel II) 10.00% 9.20 9.27 9.70 8.70 9.00% 8.00% J&K Union Canara PNB SBI Axis HDFC ICICI Bank Bank Bank Bank Bank Bank
  • 47. As on Dec, 2009 130 114.97 110 80.93 87.86 90 Earnings per 70 61.43 Share (Rs.) 50 46.65 49.10 27.12 29.33 30 15.92 10 J&K ING ICICI Union Axis HDFC Canara PNB SBI Bank Vysya Bank Bank Bank Bank Bank
  • 48. As on Dec, 2009 1100 1003.00 1000 900 800 700 621.97 Book value 600 469.00 492.84 509.22 (Rs.) 500 391.37 400 305.75 300 191.50 167.34 200 100 J&K Union ING Canara Axis ICICI PNB HDFC SBI Bank Bank Vysya Bank Bank Bank Bank
  • 49. As on Dec, 2009 3.5 3.34 3 2.53 2.5 Price to 2.23 1.84 1.87 2 Book value 1.5 1.27 1.55 1.58 0.91 1 0.5 J&K Canara ING Union PNB ICICI SBI Axis HDFC Bank Bank Vysya Bank Bank Bank Bank
  • 50. Phase II (2009-2012): Growth Phase I completed Earning side of the balance sheet among the top three in the banking industry. Phase II of strategy: Growth was to start in 2009; deferred due global and national macroeconomic environment Tier II issue of Rs. 6 billion; preparing for CD growth
  • 52. Ground work for Growth Raised Rs. 6 billion as long term resource in the form of Tier II capital Making liabilities the driver Maintaining low CD ratio Insulate earnings from environment − Linking asset to local needs − Linking liabilities to local sources
  • 53. Phase II: Size and Structure Business growth − Specialist bank in ROI − Universal Bank in J&K Focus on size − Inorganic growth − Organic Structural reorganization − Towards a financial conglomerate
  • 54. Carving a niche, nationally Nationally, focus on: Under-serviced areas with high turnover Specialised sectoral lending Specialist branch chain ― leather, grains, spices A specialist bank outside
  • 55. Specialist strategy Leveraging intellectual capital by replicating J&K commercial agriculture lending in rest of India Mismatch between growth sources and credit supply High growth and yield areas under-serviced in terms of credit Major sectors like plantations and commercial agriculture still financed informally
  • 56. The J&K edge Normal banks have corporate, SME and retail banking divisions Comparatively, we have corporate, SME and special banking divisions
  • 57. Third party products Make branch network a distribution channel for financial products Reduce incentive for major banks to enter J&K Beef up non-interest incomes Reduce income volatility Make assets sweat harder Improve business per branch per person
  • 58. Investment banking Leveraging our core competence of domain and geographical expertise, and having J&K Government a captive client − State Government investing USD 240 billion in power over the next four years − Mandated to take Power Development Corporation public
  • 59. Interesting inorganic opportunities Converting J&K Gramin Bank into an MFI Making 1,400 Common Service Centres as banking correspondents over the next one year Exploring inorganic opportunities for JKBFSL to beef up earnings and increase momentum
  • 60. THANK YOU March 2010