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Case Study 1
The Challenger Space Shuttle disaster
and the Solid-Fuel Rocket Booster
(SRB) project
Overview
On 28 January,1986 the Challenger space shuttle blew up 73
seconds after
launch. Seven lives and three billion dollars worth of equipment
was lost.
The Challenger accident was the result of a faulty sealing
system which
allowed exhaust flames from the Solid-Fuel Rocket Boosters
(SRB) to vent
directly on the external tank, rupturing the tank and causing the
explosion.
NASA identified the failure due to the improper sealing of the
O- rings, the
giant black rubber loops that help seal the segments of the
SRBs. The O-ring
is made of a fluoroelastomer, which seals the joint between two
solid rocket
booster sections. An elastomer is a material that can be
deformed
dramatically and recover its shape completely. A rubber band is
an example
of an elastomer.
In almost half of the shuttle flights there was O- ring erosion in
the booster
field joints. The launch took place in untested temperature
conditions and in
spite of serious warnings on the part of the engineers of
Thiokol, the
company that manufactured the SRBs. The sequence of events
that led to
the unfortunate events is examined in order to draw the
necessary
conclusions.
NASA was very anxious to proceed with the launch for a variety
of reasons
including, economic considerations and political pressure. To
justify its
budget NASA had scheduled a large number of missions in
1986. It was
vital for the Challenger to be launched so that there would be
enough time to
refurbish the launch pad to prepare it for the next launch. The
European
Space Agency was providing added competition and there was
political
pressure for the Challenger to be in space when the president of
the US gave
the State of the Union address.
There were plenty of advanced warnings regarding the SRBs,
from previous
missions. Concerns had been voiced by Thiokol, the SRB
manufacturing
company, as to whether the fatal launch should have taken
place. The cold
weather, some of the coldest in Florida history, provided
uncharted waters
for the operation of the SRBs.
What went wrong? Why did NASA launch in spite of the
evidence and
warnings from Thiokol engineers? Should the launch have been
cancelled?
Challenger space shuttle: A project success or a program
failure?
At first sight, the Challenger incident can only be regarded as a
failure. Loss
of life and loss of equipment worth billions of dollars can only
be associated
with bad news. The television pictures of the Challenger’s
explosion made
their way round the world and were broadcast over and over as
the leading
news story and will indelibly remain in people’s minds for many
years to
come.
Before arriving at a verdict about the Challenger explosion, it is
necessary to
examine the various events that led to NASA’s twenty-fifth
shuttle mission,
which proved to be fatal for the Challenger. Is it possible that
the SRB
project was a success, while the overall program was a failure?
Background information
To better understand the conditions that existed at the time of
the launch
some background information is presented below that includes:
nvisible political pressure.
The reusable space shuttle
In the post-Apollo era of the lunar landing the idea of a reusable
space
shuttle was born. The goal was to make access to space a
routine matter,
similar to flying an airplane. The space shuttle had to be
reusable and
economical to develop and operate. The design of the space
shuttle was
shaped by engineering considerations but also by pressure from
the White
House and Congress to reduce the cost.
There are three main components of a space shuttle:
1. The orbiter.
2. The external fuel tank.
3. The solid-fuel rocket boosters.
The orbiter is the vehicle which transports the astronauts into
space. The
orbiter is propelled by thrusters at the back of the orbiter and
the purpose of
the external fuel tank is to pump a combination of hydrogen and
oxygen fuel
to the orbiter’s thrusters. The SRBs provide the majority of the
thrust in
order to place the orbiter in orbit. When the orbiter is close to
orbit, the
SRBs detach and the orbiter is propelled only by the thruster.
The SRBs fall
to earth, where they are collected to be reused in future
missions. When the
orbiter is in orbit the external fuel tank is also detached. The
external fuel
tank is not reused.
SRB history
The SRB is at the center of the Challenger disaster and its
history needs to
be examined. The SRB is a scaled up version of a Titan missile
which had
been used successfully for years. In general, solid- fuel rockets
produce
much more thrust than liquid -fuel rockets. One of their
drawbacks is that
once the solid-fuel rocket has been ignited they cannot be
turned off or even
controlled. It is therefore extremely important that the SRBs are
properly
designed, because if something goes wrong there is no second
chance.
Each of the two SRBs was 149ft (45.42m) long and 12ft (3.7m)
in diameter.
Before ignition each booster rocket weighs 2 million pounds
(0.9 million
kilograms.) The shuttle’s two solid-fuel booster rockets provide
the main
power to lift the orbiter and its external liquid-fuel tank to a
height of around
28 miles (45 km.)
The life of each booster is around two minutes. When the SRBs
are nearly
empty of fuel they disengage from the space shuttle and will
eventually fall
into the Atlantic Ocean where they will be collected for use in a
future
mission.
A chronological history of the SRB used in the Challenger space
shuttle is
indicated below:
Thiokol.
overed.
-ring erosion detected after the second shuttle flight.
-rings was
exhibited after
the January 24, 1985 shuttle flight.
Challenger
disaster, the NASA management was briefed on the booster
problems.
teleconference took place between NASA and Thiokol to
discuss the
effects of cold temperature on the SRB performance.
Events leading to the launch
The decision by NASA to launch the Challenger space shuttle
on 28
January, 1986 was controversial at best. There were plenty of
warning signs
during the launches that preceded the launch. In November
1981, after the
shuttle’s second mission, the O-rings seemed to have been
eroded by hot
gasses. The January 24, 1985 launch took place in similar cold-
weather
conditions as the fatal launch of January 28, 1986. After the
mission the
booster joints were examined by engineers at Thiokol who
found traces of
soot and grease caused by passage of hot combustion gases past
the O- ring
before it has completely sealed the joint. As a result Thiokol
started
studying the resiliency of O-rings at low temperatures. In July
1985 Thiokol
ordered steel billets which would be used for a redesigned case
field joint.
The steel billets were not ready at the time of the Challenger
launch.
The events a few days prior to the fatal launch are worth
looking into. The
Challenger was first scheduled to be launched on 22 January at
15:43. This
was rescheduled for 23 January and then again rescheduled for
24 January.
The launch was reset for 25 January because of bad weather at
abort landing
site in Dakar, Senegal. Launch was rescheduled for 27 January
at 09:37 due
to the prediction of unacceptable weather at Kennedy Space
Center. Launch
was delayed for 24 hours when ground servicing equipment
hatch closing
fixture could not be removed from orbiter hatch.
In a conference call the night of the 27 January, 1986, engineers
at Thiokol
recommended against launching below 53oF, which was the
coldest
temperature at which a previous flight had launched. On the
night before the
launch, the temperature was expected to be as low as 18oF,
more than 30
degrees colder than any other launch. Thiokol engineering was
overruled by
its management and the go-ahead was given to proceed with the
launch.
Second by second account of the Challenger launch
At 11:38 EST on January 28, 1986, the Challenger took off from
the launch
pad at Kennedy Space Center in Florida. The key events until
its explosion
are indicated below:
field joint
of the right SRB, indicating that the rubber O-rings were being
burned.
45.00 sec: Three bright flashes shot across the Challenger’s
wings.
Each of the flashes lasted 1/13 of a second and were unrelated
to the
events leading to the explosion.
the
right SRB.
30 sec: Without enhanced film the flame could be seen
increasing
in size and beginning to push against the external tank.
external tank.
There is also a change in the color of the flame indicating that
the
flame was being produced by the mixing with another
substance. In
this case the other substance was liquid Hydrogen stored in the
external tank.
events
that destroyed the Challenger and killed its crew onboard. The
Challenger was traveling at a speed of Mach 1.92 and a height
of
46,000 feet.
Causes of the Challenger accident
A commission was appointed by the president of the US to
investigate the
accident. The Rogers Commission as it was called addressed the
problems
in the following two areas:
1. Mechanical problems.
2. Administrative problems.
The mechanical fault that led to the explosion of the Challenger
was
identified in the right solid rocket booster. A field joint between
the sections
of the SRB allowed exhaust flames to leak through the field
joint. A field
joint is a joint between the sections of the SRB that was
assembled in the
field at the Kennedy Space Center during the final construction
of the
booster. The leaked flames impinged upon the external fuel
tank. The
flames managed to penetrate and ignite the fuel in the external
fuel tank,
causing the explosion.
The failure of the sealing system on the field joint that led to
the explosion
of the Challenger was a result of the combination of four
problems:
1. The tendency for holes to form in the putty which protected
the seals
from the high temperature exhaust gases.
2. The decomposition of the seals due to contact with the hot
exhaust
gases.
3. An instantaneous increase in the size of the gap between
mating
sections of the booster caused by the high internal pressures of
the
SRB.
4. The inability of the seal to quickly respond to the changing
gap size
during low temperature operating conditions.
The Administrative problems were more profound due to the
simple fact
that all mechanical problems associated with the field joint had
been
identified by the Thiokol engineers. All problems were
identified as a
potential risk, but there was difficulty in communicating these
problems to
the managers who were responsible for the launch. The decision
to launch
the Challenger despite the identified risks was a combination of
poor
communication and a difference in the evaluation of the risk.
Risk issues
Risk is largely subjective. If it wasn’t subjective, it would be
possible to
accurately identify the risk and account for its effect, or even
take the
appropriate measures for eliminating the risk.
In the case of the SRB project, risk was assessed mainly by two
categories
of people, the engineers and the managers. Engineers based
their risk
assessment largely on their technical experience and facts.
Managers were
more inclined to take a risk due mainly to the fact that they
were a bit
removed from the technical issues and due to the fact that their
job was to
ensure that business proceeded without delays.
It was clear that engineers and managers were not of the same
view
regarding the risk associated with the use of the O-rings at
untested low
temperatures. Managers were happy to accept low temperature
tests that
were performed in laboratory conditions, while on the other
hand engineers
dismissed these tests as unrealistic.
There was no way to get rid of the subjective nature in
evaluating risk since
at both NASA and Thiokol there was no method for quantifying
risk. On the
one hand you had the engineers saying “I believe there is a big
danger” and
on the other hand the managers were saying “I believe that there
is a smaller
danger.”
It may be amazing to note that NASA did not employ a
quantitative method
of risk assessment for such a high-profile project. The main
reason is the
expense associated with the data collection and statistical model
generation.
NASA employed no engineers trained in statistical sciences.
Thiokol managers held misconceptions regarding the safety
issues related to
the O-rings. They believed that the SRBs could be operated at
temperatures
ranging between 31oF and 99oF, although Thiokol engineering
noted that
there was no real-condition testing at these temperatures. The
debate
centered mainly on the lowest temperatures at which the SRBs
could
operate, since neither Thiokol nor NASA had official launch
data that
matched the conditions of the fatal launch.
There were other reasons who contributed to the optimistic
approach by
management compared to that by engineering. There was clear
evidence that
there was O-ring erosion on previous shuttle flights. Since this
did not give
rise to any catastrophic results, a false sense of security was
developed.
O-ring erosion was therefore something to be expected. The fact
that there
were relatively few accidents at NASA re-enforced the
subjective approach
to risk assessment. Since the risk assessors were right on so
many occasions,
what were the chances of being wrong on this occasion?
The difference in the manner that risk is assessed by managers
and
engineers lies primarily in their objectives. Managers are in the
business of
management or administration, while engineers have more
interaction with
the day-to-day activities. Managers needed to keep the shuttle
program
going in order to be able to justify their budget and were willing
to take
bigger risks.
Communication issues
The Roger Commission identified a breakdown in the
communication as a
contributing factor in the Challenger accident. Important
information was
not from Thiokol engineering regarding the SRBs did not find
its way to the
appropriate people at NASA in charge of the launch.
The management structure that was followed at both NASA and
Thiokol
was that followed by the traditional organization, with a single
chain of
command. Every employee could report to his manager and his
manager to
his manager and so on. This reporting structure is inefficient
and is not
suited for communicating important issues quickly to the
appropriate
management level for consideration.
As indicated in figure Case Study 1-1, the only way that a
Thiokol engineer
could voice his concerns to the NASA officials who were
directly
responsible for the launch, was first through the Thiokol
hierarchy and then
through the NASA hierarchy. The management procedures that
were in
place did not allow a Thiokol engineer who knew the ins and
outs of the
SRB to communicate with the launch manager at NASA.
Figure Case Study 1-1
In the months preceding the launch, the Thiokol engineers
warned about the
impending danger. An excerpt from one of the communications
summarizes
their position.
“The secondary O-ring cannot respond to the clevis opening rate
and may
not be capable of pressurization. The result would be a
catastrophe of the
highest order – loss of human life. … It is my honest and very
real fear that
if we do not take immediate action to dedicate a team to solve
the problem
with the field joint having the number one priority, then we
stand in
jeopardy of losing a flight along with all the launch pad
facilities.”
Even on the eve of the launch, the Thiokol engineers warned
against
launching the Challenger below 53oF, which was the lowest
temperature
that a launch had taken place. Their recommendation was not
followed.
It is apparent that Thiokol engineering was aware of the
problem associated
with sealing the field joint. To make matters worse Thiokol
engineering felt
that Thiokol management had an inaccurate understanding of
the
importance of the O-ring problem.
Thiokol
Management
Thiokol
Engineering
NASA
Management
NASA
Engineering
Thiokol NASA
White
House
In a conference call the night of the 27 January, 1986, engineers
at Thiokol
recommended against launching below 53oF, which was the
temperature at
which a previous flight had launched. On the night before the
launch
temperatures were expected to be as low as 18oF, more than 30
degrees
colder than any other launch. Thiokol engineering was
overruled by its
management and the go-ahead was given to proceed with the
launch. Yet no
Thiokol engineer risked his job by picking up the telephone to
inform the
NASA manager responsible for the launch that the launch
should be
cancelled.
The communication inside NASA and Thiokol regarding the
SRB project
resembled in many cases the “telephone game” played by
children. In the
telephone game a child whispers to his neighbor child a
message, who in
turn whispers the message to the next child and so on until the
message
reaches the last child. By this time the original message has
undergone a
significant change, due mainly to inefficiency.
Information that was passed up the hierarchy at Thiokol to
NASA officials
regarding the SRB was distorted to fit the interests of
management. In many
cases the information was silenced and lost in the chain of
command. Basic
information regarding the SRBs and the fact that Thiokol
engineers opposed
the launch of the Challenger never reached the NASA officials
responsible
for the launch.
Discussion points
1. Identify the project.
2. Identify the players.
3. Chronological account of events.
4. Description of environment on the day of the launch.
5. Pressure to launch: There was a push to have 15 shuttle
launches in
1986 and 24 launches by 1990.
6. Communication issues: Communication within Thiokol and
between
Thiokol and NASA. Management issues where reporting could
only
be done one level up.
7. Pressure to launch so that the launch schedule would proceed
uninterrupted.
8. Political pressure to launch so that Challenger was to be in
orbit
while President Reagan gave the State of the Union address.
9. Risk: There was no process in place to quantify risk.
Managers and
Engineers had differing views based largely on their objectives.
10. Identify the interdependencies between the project and the
project
environment.
11. Was NASA taking an acceptable risk?
12. Why did NASA managers together with Thiokol managers
overrule
Thiokol engineers?
13. Was there miscommunication between NASA and Thiokol?
14. What were the causes of the accident?
15. Should NASA have proceeded with the launch?
16. Was there ample information to warrant the cancellation of
the
launch?
17. Was the SRB project a success or a failure?

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  • 1. Case Study 1 The Challenger Space Shuttle disaster and the Solid-Fuel Rocket Booster (SRB) project Overview On 28 January,1986 the Challenger space shuttle blew up 73 seconds after launch. Seven lives and three billion dollars worth of equipment was lost. The Challenger accident was the result of a faulty sealing system which allowed exhaust flames from the Solid-Fuel Rocket Boosters (SRB) to vent directly on the external tank, rupturing the tank and causing the explosion. NASA identified the failure due to the improper sealing of the O- rings, the giant black rubber loops that help seal the segments of the SRBs. The O-ring is made of a fluoroelastomer, which seals the joint between two solid rocket booster sections. An elastomer is a material that can be deformed dramatically and recover its shape completely. A rubber band is an example of an elastomer. In almost half of the shuttle flights there was O- ring erosion in the booster
  • 2. field joints. The launch took place in untested temperature conditions and in spite of serious warnings on the part of the engineers of Thiokol, the company that manufactured the SRBs. The sequence of events that led to the unfortunate events is examined in order to draw the necessary conclusions. NASA was very anxious to proceed with the launch for a variety of reasons including, economic considerations and political pressure. To justify its budget NASA had scheduled a large number of missions in 1986. It was vital for the Challenger to be launched so that there would be enough time to refurbish the launch pad to prepare it for the next launch. The European Space Agency was providing added competition and there was political pressure for the Challenger to be in space when the president of the US gave the State of the Union address. There were plenty of advanced warnings regarding the SRBs, from previous missions. Concerns had been voiced by Thiokol, the SRB manufacturing company, as to whether the fatal launch should have taken place. The cold weather, some of the coldest in Florida history, provided uncharted waters
  • 3. for the operation of the SRBs. What went wrong? Why did NASA launch in spite of the evidence and warnings from Thiokol engineers? Should the launch have been cancelled? Challenger space shuttle: A project success or a program failure? At first sight, the Challenger incident can only be regarded as a failure. Loss of life and loss of equipment worth billions of dollars can only be associated with bad news. The television pictures of the Challenger’s explosion made their way round the world and were broadcast over and over as the leading news story and will indelibly remain in people’s minds for many years to come. Before arriving at a verdict about the Challenger explosion, it is necessary to examine the various events that led to NASA’s twenty-fifth shuttle mission, which proved to be fatal for the Challenger. Is it possible that the SRB project was a success, while the overall program was a failure? Background information To better understand the conditions that existed at the time of the launch some background information is presented below that includes:
  • 4. nvisible political pressure. The reusable space shuttle In the post-Apollo era of the lunar landing the idea of a reusable space shuttle was born. The goal was to make access to space a routine matter, similar to flying an airplane. The space shuttle had to be reusable and economical to develop and operate. The design of the space shuttle was shaped by engineering considerations but also by pressure from the White House and Congress to reduce the cost. There are three main components of a space shuttle: 1. The orbiter. 2. The external fuel tank. 3. The solid-fuel rocket boosters. The orbiter is the vehicle which transports the astronauts into space. The orbiter is propelled by thrusters at the back of the orbiter and the purpose of the external fuel tank is to pump a combination of hydrogen and oxygen fuel to the orbiter’s thrusters. The SRBs provide the majority of the thrust in order to place the orbiter in orbit. When the orbiter is close to orbit, the SRBs detach and the orbiter is propelled only by the thruster. The SRBs fall
  • 5. to earth, where they are collected to be reused in future missions. When the orbiter is in orbit the external fuel tank is also detached. The external fuel tank is not reused. SRB history The SRB is at the center of the Challenger disaster and its history needs to be examined. The SRB is a scaled up version of a Titan missile which had been used successfully for years. In general, solid- fuel rockets produce much more thrust than liquid -fuel rockets. One of their drawbacks is that once the solid-fuel rocket has been ignited they cannot be turned off or even controlled. It is therefore extremely important that the SRBs are properly designed, because if something goes wrong there is no second chance. Each of the two SRBs was 149ft (45.42m) long and 12ft (3.7m) in diameter. Before ignition each booster rocket weighs 2 million pounds (0.9 million kilograms.) The shuttle’s two solid-fuel booster rockets provide the main power to lift the orbiter and its external liquid-fuel tank to a height of around 28 miles (45 km.) The life of each booster is around two minutes. When the SRBs are nearly empty of fuel they disengage from the space shuttle and will eventually fall
  • 6. into the Atlantic Ocean where they will be collected for use in a future mission. A chronological history of the SRB used in the Challenger space shuttle is indicated below: Thiokol. overed. -ring erosion detected after the second shuttle flight. -rings was exhibited after the January 24, 1985 shuttle flight. Challenger disaster, the NASA management was briefed on the booster problems. teleconference took place between NASA and Thiokol to discuss the effects of cold temperature on the SRB performance. Events leading to the launch The decision by NASA to launch the Challenger space shuttle on 28 January, 1986 was controversial at best. There were plenty of warning signs during the launches that preceded the launch. In November
  • 7. 1981, after the shuttle’s second mission, the O-rings seemed to have been eroded by hot gasses. The January 24, 1985 launch took place in similar cold- weather conditions as the fatal launch of January 28, 1986. After the mission the booster joints were examined by engineers at Thiokol who found traces of soot and grease caused by passage of hot combustion gases past the O- ring before it has completely sealed the joint. As a result Thiokol started studying the resiliency of O-rings at low temperatures. In July 1985 Thiokol ordered steel billets which would be used for a redesigned case field joint. The steel billets were not ready at the time of the Challenger launch. The events a few days prior to the fatal launch are worth looking into. The Challenger was first scheduled to be launched on 22 January at 15:43. This was rescheduled for 23 January and then again rescheduled for 24 January. The launch was reset for 25 January because of bad weather at abort landing site in Dakar, Senegal. Launch was rescheduled for 27 January at 09:37 due to the prediction of unacceptable weather at Kennedy Space Center. Launch was delayed for 24 hours when ground servicing equipment
  • 8. hatch closing fixture could not be removed from orbiter hatch. In a conference call the night of the 27 January, 1986, engineers at Thiokol recommended against launching below 53oF, which was the coldest temperature at which a previous flight had launched. On the night before the launch, the temperature was expected to be as low as 18oF, more than 30 degrees colder than any other launch. Thiokol engineering was overruled by its management and the go-ahead was given to proceed with the launch. Second by second account of the Challenger launch At 11:38 EST on January 28, 1986, the Challenger took off from the launch pad at Kennedy Space Center in Florida. The key events until its explosion are indicated below: field joint of the right SRB, indicating that the rubber O-rings were being burned. 45.00 sec: Three bright flashes shot across the Challenger’s wings. Each of the flashes lasted 1/13 of a second and were unrelated to the events leading to the explosion.
  • 9. the right SRB. 30 sec: Without enhanced film the flame could be seen increasing in size and beginning to push against the external tank. external tank. There is also a change in the color of the flame indicating that the flame was being produced by the mixing with another substance. In this case the other substance was liquid Hydrogen stored in the external tank. events that destroyed the Challenger and killed its crew onboard. The Challenger was traveling at a speed of Mach 1.92 and a height of 46,000 feet. Causes of the Challenger accident A commission was appointed by the president of the US to investigate the accident. The Rogers Commission as it was called addressed the problems in the following two areas: 1. Mechanical problems.
  • 10. 2. Administrative problems. The mechanical fault that led to the explosion of the Challenger was identified in the right solid rocket booster. A field joint between the sections of the SRB allowed exhaust flames to leak through the field joint. A field joint is a joint between the sections of the SRB that was assembled in the field at the Kennedy Space Center during the final construction of the booster. The leaked flames impinged upon the external fuel tank. The flames managed to penetrate and ignite the fuel in the external fuel tank, causing the explosion. The failure of the sealing system on the field joint that led to the explosion of the Challenger was a result of the combination of four problems: 1. The tendency for holes to form in the putty which protected the seals from the high temperature exhaust gases. 2. The decomposition of the seals due to contact with the hot exhaust gases. 3. An instantaneous increase in the size of the gap between mating sections of the booster caused by the high internal pressures of the SRB.
  • 11. 4. The inability of the seal to quickly respond to the changing gap size during low temperature operating conditions. The Administrative problems were more profound due to the simple fact that all mechanical problems associated with the field joint had been identified by the Thiokol engineers. All problems were identified as a potential risk, but there was difficulty in communicating these problems to the managers who were responsible for the launch. The decision to launch the Challenger despite the identified risks was a combination of poor communication and a difference in the evaluation of the risk. Risk issues Risk is largely subjective. If it wasn’t subjective, it would be possible to accurately identify the risk and account for its effect, or even take the appropriate measures for eliminating the risk. In the case of the SRB project, risk was assessed mainly by two categories of people, the engineers and the managers. Engineers based their risk assessment largely on their technical experience and facts. Managers were more inclined to take a risk due mainly to the fact that they were a bit
  • 12. removed from the technical issues and due to the fact that their job was to ensure that business proceeded without delays. It was clear that engineers and managers were not of the same view regarding the risk associated with the use of the O-rings at untested low temperatures. Managers were happy to accept low temperature tests that were performed in laboratory conditions, while on the other hand engineers dismissed these tests as unrealistic. There was no way to get rid of the subjective nature in evaluating risk since at both NASA and Thiokol there was no method for quantifying risk. On the one hand you had the engineers saying “I believe there is a big danger” and on the other hand the managers were saying “I believe that there is a smaller danger.” It may be amazing to note that NASA did not employ a quantitative method of risk assessment for such a high-profile project. The main reason is the expense associated with the data collection and statistical model generation. NASA employed no engineers trained in statistical sciences. Thiokol managers held misconceptions regarding the safety issues related to the O-rings. They believed that the SRBs could be operated at temperatures
  • 13. ranging between 31oF and 99oF, although Thiokol engineering noted that there was no real-condition testing at these temperatures. The debate centered mainly on the lowest temperatures at which the SRBs could operate, since neither Thiokol nor NASA had official launch data that matched the conditions of the fatal launch. There were other reasons who contributed to the optimistic approach by management compared to that by engineering. There was clear evidence that there was O-ring erosion on previous shuttle flights. Since this did not give rise to any catastrophic results, a false sense of security was developed. O-ring erosion was therefore something to be expected. The fact that there were relatively few accidents at NASA re-enforced the subjective approach to risk assessment. Since the risk assessors were right on so many occasions, what were the chances of being wrong on this occasion? The difference in the manner that risk is assessed by managers and engineers lies primarily in their objectives. Managers are in the business of management or administration, while engineers have more interaction with the day-to-day activities. Managers needed to keep the shuttle
  • 14. program going in order to be able to justify their budget and were willing to take bigger risks. Communication issues The Roger Commission identified a breakdown in the communication as a contributing factor in the Challenger accident. Important information was not from Thiokol engineering regarding the SRBs did not find its way to the appropriate people at NASA in charge of the launch. The management structure that was followed at both NASA and Thiokol was that followed by the traditional organization, with a single chain of command. Every employee could report to his manager and his manager to his manager and so on. This reporting structure is inefficient and is not suited for communicating important issues quickly to the appropriate management level for consideration. As indicated in figure Case Study 1-1, the only way that a Thiokol engineer could voice his concerns to the NASA officials who were directly responsible for the launch, was first through the Thiokol hierarchy and then through the NASA hierarchy. The management procedures that were in place did not allow a Thiokol engineer who knew the ins and outs of the
  • 15. SRB to communicate with the launch manager at NASA. Figure Case Study 1-1 In the months preceding the launch, the Thiokol engineers warned about the impending danger. An excerpt from one of the communications summarizes their position. “The secondary O-ring cannot respond to the clevis opening rate and may not be capable of pressurization. The result would be a catastrophe of the highest order – loss of human life. … It is my honest and very real fear that if we do not take immediate action to dedicate a team to solve the problem with the field joint having the number one priority, then we stand in jeopardy of losing a flight along with all the launch pad facilities.” Even on the eve of the launch, the Thiokol engineers warned against launching the Challenger below 53oF, which was the lowest temperature that a launch had taken place. Their recommendation was not followed. It is apparent that Thiokol engineering was aware of the problem associated with sealing the field joint. To make matters worse Thiokol engineering felt
  • 16. that Thiokol management had an inaccurate understanding of the importance of the O-ring problem. Thiokol Management Thiokol Engineering NASA Management NASA Engineering Thiokol NASA White House In a conference call the night of the 27 January, 1986, engineers at Thiokol recommended against launching below 53oF, which was the temperature at which a previous flight had launched. On the night before the launch temperatures were expected to be as low as 18oF, more than 30 degrees colder than any other launch. Thiokol engineering was overruled by its management and the go-ahead was given to proceed with the launch. Yet no Thiokol engineer risked his job by picking up the telephone to
  • 17. inform the NASA manager responsible for the launch that the launch should be cancelled. The communication inside NASA and Thiokol regarding the SRB project resembled in many cases the “telephone game” played by children. In the telephone game a child whispers to his neighbor child a message, who in turn whispers the message to the next child and so on until the message reaches the last child. By this time the original message has undergone a significant change, due mainly to inefficiency. Information that was passed up the hierarchy at Thiokol to NASA officials regarding the SRB was distorted to fit the interests of management. In many cases the information was silenced and lost in the chain of command. Basic information regarding the SRBs and the fact that Thiokol engineers opposed the launch of the Challenger never reached the NASA officials responsible for the launch. Discussion points 1. Identify the project. 2. Identify the players. 3. Chronological account of events. 4. Description of environment on the day of the launch. 5. Pressure to launch: There was a push to have 15 shuttle launches in
  • 18. 1986 and 24 launches by 1990. 6. Communication issues: Communication within Thiokol and between Thiokol and NASA. Management issues where reporting could only be done one level up. 7. Pressure to launch so that the launch schedule would proceed uninterrupted. 8. Political pressure to launch so that Challenger was to be in orbit while President Reagan gave the State of the Union address. 9. Risk: There was no process in place to quantify risk. Managers and Engineers had differing views based largely on their objectives. 10. Identify the interdependencies between the project and the project environment. 11. Was NASA taking an acceptable risk? 12. Why did NASA managers together with Thiokol managers overrule Thiokol engineers? 13. Was there miscommunication between NASA and Thiokol? 14. What were the causes of the accident? 15. Should NASA have proceeded with the launch? 16. Was there ample information to warrant the cancellation of the
  • 19. launch? 17. Was the SRB project a success or a failure?