NotesThese data are from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED2 Database. Updated 12/8/2017You have many macro variables to choose from the general category tabs below. The data source is the Link found in the data heading and the data series name is in bold type above the data column for each series.Note on the number of observationsFor the company regression model you may need to go only as far back in history for each X variable data series equivalent to the company revenue history.Keep in mind that you want to use as much information as possible but in regression the regression model you must have each data historythe same.Logic is the Most important factor in selecting an X variable data series.Make sure that you can explain the correlation between the selected X variable and the company revenue. Remember, the X variable should be expected to be highly correlated with the company revenue.Note on seasonalityIf your company data indicated seasonality then you may develop a better company forecast model with seasonal data.You may use seasonally adjusted data for either seasonal or non seasonal company data forecast models.
Home Price IndexFRED Graph ObservationsFederal Reserve Economic DataLink: https://fred.stlouisfed.orgHelp: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/help-faqEconomic Research DivisionFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisUSSTHPIAll-Transactions House Price Index for the United States, Index 1980:Q1=100, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedFrequency: Quarterlyobservation_dateUSSTHPI1975-01-0159.791975-04-0161.101975-07-0161.261975-10-0162.431976-01-0162.831976-04-0165.471976-07-0166.581976-10-0167.281977-01-0169.441977-04-0172.661977-07-0174.371977-10-0177.211978-01-0179.521978-04-0182.721978-07-0185.211978-10-0187.471979-01-0191.391979-04-0194.351979-07-0196.421979-10-0198.241980-01-01100.001980-04-01101.561980-07-01104.491980-10-01104.761981-01-01105.321981-04-01107.421981-07-01109.251981-10-01109.141982-01-01110.951982-04-01111.891982-07-01110.851982-10-01112.251983-01-01114.251983-04-01115.451983-07-01116.411983-10-01117.051984-01-01118.831984-04-01120.391984-07-01121.501984-10-01122.491985-01-01124.221985-04-01126.101985-07-01128.091985-10-01129.501986-01-01131.981986-04-01134.731986-07-01136.781986-10-01138.881987-01-01141.621987-04-01143.821987-07-01145.461987-10-01146.391988-01-01148.681988-04-01151.641988-07-01153.201988-10-01154.621989-01-01156.391989-04-01158.561989-07-01161.931989-10-01163.271990-01-01164.193/30/90164.866/29/90165.859/28/90165.2112/31/90166.583/29/91167.716/28/91167.999/30/91170.3612/31/91171.683/31/92171.646/30/92173.619/30/92174.4812/31/92174.553/31/93176.216/30/93177.639/30/93179.1012/31/93180.243/31/94181.346/30/94182.089/30/94181.9212/30/94182.893/31/95185.886/30/95188.739/29/95190.2212/29/95192.363/31/96192.706/30/96193.569/30/96195.0712/31/96196.693/31/97198.346/30/97201.079/30/97203.6812/31/97206.713/31/98208.586/30/98211.489/30/98213.9912/31/98216.243/31/99219.156/30/99222.259/30/99224.5412/31/992 ...
NotesThese data are from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRE.docx
1. NotesThese data are from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
FRED2 Database. Updated 12/8/2017You have many macro
variables to choose from the general category tabs below. The
data source is the Link found in the data heading and the data
series name is in bold type above the data column for each
series.Note on the number of observationsFor the company
regression model you may need to go only as far back in history
for each X variable data series equivalent to the company
revenue history.Keep in mind that you want to use as much
information as possible but in regression the regression model
you must have each data historythe same.Logic is the Most
important factor in selecting an X variable data series.Make
sure that you can explain the correlation between the selected X
variable and the company revenue. Remember, the X variable
should be expected to be highly correlated with the company
revenue.Note on seasonalityIf your company data indicated
seasonality then you may develop a better company forecast
model with seasonal data.You may use seasonally adjusted data
for either seasonal or non seasonal company data forecast
models.
Home Price IndexFRED Graph ObservationsFederal Reserve
Economic DataLink: https://fred.stlouisfed.orgHelp:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/help-faqEconomic Research
DivisionFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisUSSTHPIAll-
Transactions House Price Index for the United States, Index
1980:Q1=100, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedFrequency:
Quarterlyobservation_dateUSSTHPI1975-01-0159.791975-04-
0161.101975-07-0161.261975-10-0162.431976-01-
0162.831976-04-0165.471976-07-0166.581976-10-
0167.281977-01-0169.441977-04-0172.661977-07-
0174.371977-10-0177.211978-01-0179.521978-04-
0182.721978-07-0185.211978-10-0187.471979-01-
0191.391979-04-0194.351979-07-0196.421979-10-
0198.241980-01-01100.001980-04-01101.561980-07-
3. 8.633/31/15354.936/30/15360.569/30/15363.9012/31/15367.473
/31/16374.826/30/16381.469/30/16385.0612/31/16388.903/31/1
7399.516/30/17405.46
Federal Current ExpendituresFRED Graph ObservationsFRED
Graph ObservationsFederal Reserve Economic DataFederal
Reserve Economic DataLink:
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2Link:
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2Help:
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqHelp:
http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqEconomic Research
DivisionEconomic Research DivisionFederal Reserve Bank of
St. LouisFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisFederal government
current expenditures, Billions of Dollars, Quarterly, Federal
Debt Held by the Public, Millions of Dollars, Quarterly,
W013RU1Q027NBEAFYGFDPUNNot Seasonally
AdjustedFrequency: QuarterlyNot Seasonally
Adjusted**DiscontinuedFrequency: Quarterly, End of
Periodobservation_dateW013RU1Q027NBEAobservation_dateF
YGFDPUN1947-01-019.9891970-01-012808141947-04-
0110.3641970-04-012749241947-07-0110.3621970-07-
012823671947-10-019.7161970-10-012912421948-01-
019.4701971-01-012920431948-04-0110.0551971-04-
012944171948-07-0110.4801971-07-013049521948-10-
0111.4521971-10-013171181949-01-0111.6541972-01-
013209871949-04-0111.6491972-04-013149761949-07-
0111.4991972-07-013195741949-10-0111.5851972-10-
013315761950-01-0113.4551973-01-013398591950-04-
0111.2631973-04-013339321950-07-0110.2101973-07-
013328381950-10-0112.0331973-10-013394321951-01-
0112.7901974-01-013424591951-04-0114.1781974-04-
013360291951-07-0115.3801974-07-013408811951-10-
0116.1071974-10-013514571952-01-0115.6051975-01-
013712011952-04-0116.6471975-04-013879051952-07-
0117.2771975-07-014113811952-10-0118.4091975-10-
014373051953-01-0117.6341976-01-014614231953-04-
0118.5311976-04-014708211953-07-0117.2801976-07-
15. QuarterlyHouseholds and nonprofit organizations; consumer
credit; liability, Level, Millions of Dollars, QuarterlyConsumer
Loans: Credit Cards and Other Revolving
Plans,TCMILBSHNOHNOCCIQ027SCCLACBQ158SBOG All
Commercial Banks, Percent Change at Annual Rate,
Quarterly,TDSPHousehold Debt Service Payments as a Percent
of Disposable Personal Income, HNOCCIQ027SHouseholds and
nonprofit organizations; consumer credit; liability, Level,
Millions of Dollars, Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, Not
Seasonally AdjustedPercent, Quarterly, Seasonally
AdjustedFrequency: Quarterly Level, Millions of Dollars,
Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedFrequency: Quarterly, End
of PeriodFrequency: QuarterlyNot Seasonally
AdjustedFrequency: QuarterlySeasonally AdjustedFrequency:
Quarterlyobservation_dateHNOCCIQ027Sobservation_dateTCM
ILBSHNOobservation_dateHNOCCIQ027Sobservation_dateCCL
ACBQ158SBOGobservation_dateTDSP1980-04-013456371951-
10-0183.451951-10-01253509/30/002.11980-01-
0110.621971980-07-013503361952-01-0184.141952-01-
012459712/31/009.71980-04-0110.705451980-10-
013580441952-04-0188.291952-04-01268783/31/0111.01980-
07-0110.464091981-01-013539021952-07-0191.271952-07-
01279656/30/018.71980-10-0110.251131981-04-013616101952-
10-0195.671952-10-01305229/30/019.81981-01-
0110.311091981-07-013719281953-01-0197.941953-01-
013090112/31/015.11981-04-0110.456381981-10-
013778821953-04-01102.391953-04-01326723/31/020.11981-
07-0110.357841982-01-013735371953-07-01104.871953-07-
01333546/30/026.81981-10-0110.422701982-04-013808871953-
10-01108.221953-10-01346149/30/0214.51982-01-
0110.503551982-07-013868151954-01-01108.051954-01-
013274412/31/023.71982-04-0110.564081982-10-
013967181954-04-01112.381954-04-01340063/31/036.11982-
07-0110.463941983-01-013919101954-07-01115.171954-07-
01342426/30/03-1.61982-10-0110.419181983-04-
014038381954-10-01120.451954-10-01359639/30/031.81983-
33. https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqEconomic Research
DivisionEconomic Research DivisionEconomic Research
DivisionEconomic Research DivisionFederal Reserve Bank of
St. LouisFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisFederal Reserve
Bank of St. LouisFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisE-
Commerce Retail Sales as a Percent of Total Sales, Percent,
Quarterly,E-Commerce Retail Sales as a Percent of Total Sales,
Percent, QuarterlyE-Commerce Retail Sales, Millions of
Dollars, QuarterlyE-Commerce Retail Sales, Millions of
Dollars, Quarterly, ECOMPCTSAECOMPCTNSAECOMSA
Seasonally AdjustedECOMNSAFrequency: QuarterlySeasonally
AdjustedFrequency: Quarterly Not Seasonally
AdjustedFrequency: QuarterlyFrequency: QuarterlyNot
Seasonally
Adjustedobservation_dateECOMPCTSAobservation_dateECOM
PCTNSAobservation_dateECOMSAobservation_dateECOMNSA
9/30/990.69/30/990.79/30/9944489/30/99526612/31/990.812/31/
990.812/31/99581612/31/9955633/31/000.93/31/000.83/31/0065
013/31/0060716/30/001.06/30/000.96/30/0073336/30/0069029/3
0/001.09/30/001.19/30/0077669/30/00908012/31/001.112/31/00
1.112/31/00822012/31/0078893/31/011.13/31/011.03/31/018357
3/31/0178226/30/011.16/30/011.06/30/0182766/30/0177599/30/
011.29/30/011.39/30/0193079/30/011080812/31/011.312/31/011
.312/31/011000012/31/0196303/31/021.43/31/021.33/31/021075
63/31/02100806/30/021.56/30/021.46/30/02114786/30/0210766
9/30/021.59/30/021.79/30/02122279/30/021417712/31/021.612/
31/021.712/31/021279612/31/02123693/31/031.73/31/031.63/31
/03137793/31/03129906/30/031.86/30/031.76/30/03147876/30/0
3139269/30/031.99/30/032.09/30/03155859/30/031792712/31/0
32.012/31/032.012/31/031671912/31/03162103/31/042.03/31/04
1.93/31/04175103/31/04165136/30/042.16/30/042.06/30/041849
46/30/04174039/30/042.29/30/042.49/30/04196449/30/0422563
12/31/042.312/31/042.412/31/042081612/31/04201793/31/052.4
3/31/052.33/31/05222313/31/05209856/30/052.56/30/052.46/30/
05236426/30/05222189/30/052.69/30/052.99/30/05243609/30/0
52816712/31/052.712/31/052.812/31/052642012/31/05255393/3
35. Economic DataLink: https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2Link:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2Help:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqHelp:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqEconomic Research
DivisionEconomic Research DivisionFederal Reserve Bank of
St. LouisFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisWorking Age
Population 15 to 64Employed full time: Median usual weekly
nominal earnings (second quartile): Wage and salary workers:
16 years and over, Dollars, Quarterly,
LFWA64TTUSQ647NLES1252881500QAverage Weekly
DollarsFrequency: QuarterlyNot Seasoonally
AdjustedFrequency: QuarterlySeasonally
Adjustedobservation_dateLFWA64TTUSQ647Nobservation_dat
eLES1252881500Q1955-01-01955523331979-01-012321955-04-
01958630001979-04-012391955-07-01961050001979-07-
012431955-10-01962970001979-10-012481956-01-
01965046671980-01-012541956-04-01967193331980-04-
012571956-07-01970386671980-07-012661956-10-
01972473331980-10-012691957-01-01974553331981-01-
012761957-04-01976966671981-04-012791957-07-
01980333331981-07-012851957-10-01983730001981-10-
012921958-01-01986880001982-01-012951958-04-
01989260001982-04-013011958-07-01991600001982-07-
013031958-10-01994923331982-10-013061959-01-
01998483331983-01-013091959-04-011002023331983-04-
013111959-07-011005273331983-07-013161959-10-
011008006671983-10-013161960-01-011014806671984-01-
013211960-04-011017583331984-04-013231960-07-
011020436671984-07-013271960-10-011023503331984-10-
013331961-01-011027060001985-01-013341961-04-
011030023331985-04-013471961-07-011032706671985-07-
013451961-10-011033580001985-10-013481962-01-
011034730001986-01-013521962-04-011031246671986-04-
013581962-07-011036033331986-07-013591962-10-
011041940001986-10-013651963-01-011047323331987-01-
013661963-04-011052236671987-04-013711963-07-
44. DivisionFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisGDPPOTReal
Potential Gross Domestic Product, Billions of Chained 2009
Dollars, Quarterly, Not Seasonally AdjustedNote that this is not
real GDP but GDP adjusted to full employmentFrequency:
Quarterlyobservation_dateGDPPOT1949-01-012011.11949-04-
012038.01949-07-012065.21949-10-012092.61950-01-
012120.11950-04-012147.31950-07-012174.71950-10-
012202.61951-01-012231.01951-04-012260.91951-07-
012291.61951-10-012323.01952-01-012355.51952-04-
012389.31952-07-012422.61952-10-012454.81953-01-
012484.41953-04-012510.51953-07-012534.31953-10-
012556.01954-01-012574.61954-04-012591.41954-07-
012607.11954-10-012622.41955-01-012638.81955-04-
012655.11955-07-012671.61955-10-012688.41956-01-
012705.71956-04-012723.21956-07-012741.41956-10-
012760.51957-01-012780.91957-04-012803.11957-07-
012826.51957-10-012850.91958-01-012876.51958-04-
012902.31958-07-012928.61958-10-012955.41959-01-
012981.81959-04-013009.01959-07-013036.91959-10-
013065.41960-01-013095.11960-04-013125.71960-07-
013156.81960-10-013188.31961-01-013219.81961-04-
013250.71961-07-013281.91961-10-013313.81962-01-
013346.41962-04-013380.81962-07-013416.41962-10-
013453.01963-01-013491.41963-04-013530.21963-07-
013569.61963-10-013609.31964-01-013648.41964-04-
013687.91964-07-013727.81964-10-013768.21965-01-
013809.31965-04-013850.31965-07-013891.91965-10-
013934.31966-01-013977.31966-04-014022.01966-07-
014067.71966-10-014114.51967-01-014162.81967-04-
014211.81967-07-014261.31967-10-014311.11968-01-
014360.51968-04-014411.01968-07-014461.31968-10-
014510.91969-01-014559.51969-04-014606.21969-07-
014651.21969-10-014694.31970-01-014734.21970-04-
014771.51970-07-014807.51970-10-014842.61971-01-
014878.11971-04-014914.21971-07-014950.61971-10-
014987.31972-01-015025.31972-04-015062.41972-07-
51. https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2Link:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2Help:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqHelp:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqHelp:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqHelp:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqHelp:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqHelp:
https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/help-faqEconomic Research
DivisionEconomic Research DivisionEconomic Research
DivisionEconomic Research DivisionEconomic Research
DivisionEconomic Research DivisionFederal Reserve Bank of
St. LouisFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisFederal Reserve
Bank of St. LouisFederal Reserve Bank of St. LouisFederal
Reserve Bank of St. LouisFederal Reserve Bank of St.
LouisPCECPersonal Consumption Expenditures, Billions of
Dollars, Quarterly, Seasonally Adjusted Annual
RatePCNDGC96Real Personal Consumption Expenditures:
PCNDPersonal Consumption Expenditures: PCESVPersonal
Consumption Expenditures:DHSGRC0Personal Consumption
Expenditures by Type of Product: Services: Household
Consumption Expenditures: USAGFCEQDSNAQNondurable
Goods, Billions of Chained 2009 Dollars, Quarterly, Seasonally
Adjusted Annual RateNondurable Goods, Billions of Dollars,
Quarterly, Seasonally Adjusted Annual RateServices, Billions
of Dollars, Quarterly, Seasonally Adjusted Annual
RateHousing, Millions of Dollars, Quarterly, Seasonally
Adjusted Annual RateFrequency: QuarterlyFrequency:
QuarterlyFrequency: QuarterlyFrequency: QuarterlyFrequency:
QuarterlyFrequency:
Quarterlyobservation_datePCECobservation_datePCNDGC96ob
servation_datePCNDobservation_datePCESVobservation_dateD
HSGRC0observation_dateUSAGFCEQDSNAQ1947-01-
01156.28812/31/981780.2181947-01-0174.8721947-01-
0160.6951959-01-01426641995-01-011610.41947-04-
01160.1583/31/991796.7661947-04-0176.8981947-04-
0161.9081959-04-01434951995-04-011613.61947-07-