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BUSINESS COUNCIL of MONGOLIA
NewsWire
www.bcmongolia.org
info@bcmongolia.org
Issue 280 – June 28, 2013
NEWS HIGHLIGHTS:
Business
 Stand-off delays Mongolia OT exports;
 Mongolia risk to hurt growth even with OT start-up, election;
 Mongolia opens wind farm to fight smog;
 EBRD to double investment into Mongolia's wind energy;
 MMC granted new mining license;
 Prophecy aims for re-launch in Q3;
 Mongolian Railway makes partnerships for rail development;
 First JBIC credit line to Mongolian government;
 TDB taps loan market for USD 100 million;
 Blue Wolf extends tender offer for shares to 15 July;
 RPM appoints operations manager;
 Teck appoints VP for coal as new COO;
 Rio to cut about 40 jobs in Australian iron-ore unit;
 Rosneft to send USD 60 billion worth of oil to China.
Economy
 MIBG rejoices at Elbegdorj's re-election;
 Mongol Bank reduces policy rate by one point to 10.5 percent;
 Mongolia deals out millions in new mortgages with new lending scheme;
 Mongol Bank auctions USD 8 million, CNY 71 million;
 MSE closed for election day;
 MSE presents on global depository notes;
 MIBG sees GDP growth to fall to 5.5 percent in 2013;
 Mongolia banks on mining sector;
 May monthly economic overview;
 Mongolia to build 339 one-stop service centers;
 Where dinosaurs roamed, Rio’s copper dream stirs water worry;
 U.S. scientists travel to Mongolia to offer habitat help;
 Peabody sees world coal demand growth;
 Copper hits three-year low;
 Mining companies: Slash and earn;
 World GDP.
Politics
 Elbegdorj wins re-election;
 Mongolia sees at least 63.89 percent voter turnout;
 Mining wealth distribution key issue in polls;
 Mongolia wrestles with its past in presidential election;
 Touted debate fizzles into Q&A exercise;
 Cabinet approves Green Civilization 10-year plan;
 IAAC announces criminal investigation into former Erdenes TT director;
 Has Mongolian politics become a grappling sport?
 Inner Mongolian asylum seekers shunned by ‘Outer’ politics;
 Australia opposition says top priority to dump mining, carbon taxes.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
 MSE Top 20 Index by market Capitalization;
 Foreign-listed Companies with Mongolian Assets;
 Supermarket Price Comparison – May-June 2013;
 Macroeconomic Overview – May 2013;
 Inflation;
 Central bank policy rate;
 Currency rates.
*Click on titles above to link to articles.
SPONSORS
Khan Bank Major Drilling
International SOS Wagner Asia Automotive
Wagner Asia Equipment Oxford Business Group
Mongolian National Broadcasting Breakthrough PR
BCM MONTHLY MEETING RECAP
The BCM meeting on 24 June, with Bayanjargal Byambasaikhan in the chair, was attended by 92
members and invited guests. BCM membership now stands at 257, an all-time high, compared with
223 in May 2012.
―For every additional new member, we set a new record,‖ said Executive Director Jim Dwyer.
The most recently joined member is:
Namaste Indian Restaurant is a family business owned by Ch. Oyunbileg and her husband S. Kumar.
Since Namaste Restaurant opened in August 2010, they have enjoyed the support of their loyal
guests who voted their restaurant as the ―Top Choice Indian Restaurant of Ulaanbaatar‖ in the 2011
edition of Lonely Planet Magazine. It also received the ―Certificate of Excellence – 2013‖ award
from Tripadvisor.com.
There are currently two Namaste restaurants, one inside the Flower Hotel in Sansar and the other
on Baga Toiruu. Together they employ more than 40 employees, of which five are professional
Indian chefs. Supervising the restaurants is Kumar, who has spent 13 years in various Indian kitchens
in Mongolia and India.
First to speak was Yana Stankova, Country Director of Oxford Business Group, to reintroduce
members to her organization's aims and renew its partnership with the Business Council of Mongolia
with the signing of the third memorandum of understanding in three years. She also noted that she
and her staff were hard at work on the 2014 Report to include all the latest developments in the
Mongolia investment market.
The second presentation was given by Luvsandendev Sumati, Director of Sant Maral Foundation, to
discuss their latest poll before the election. This was the second poll released before this year's
presidential election, but the only one following the announcement of the candidates challenging
incumbent President Tsakhia Elbegdorj.
―If you refer to the March poll, no candidates were nominated, but it's quite normal that Elbegdorj
was ahead of any possible rival,‖ said Sumati. He added, ―Since then, nothing has changed in the
rating of the party... I'd say in this election, Elbegdorj is quite safe.‖
Sumati noted that more than half of those polled felt elections in Mongolia had improved since the
introduction of the electronic voting machines. He also noted that his poll indicated that 70 percent
of those questioned were interested in voting, but the actual turnout might be lower because of the
usual migration of people during this time of the year.
Next to speak was Adrienne Youngman of Mongolia Talent Network to introduce Golomt Bank as the
winner of the ―Employer of the Year‖ title for 2012.
―I am very honored to receive this award on behalf of our employees. Golomt is proud to be the
first to win this award,‖ said Dagva Munkhtur, the Operations Director.
Ambassador of the Japanese Embassy Takenori Shimizu spoke next to give a presentation on the
history of relations between Mongolia and Japan as well as a detailed description of their moves
towards closer relations in trade and diplomacy.
Shimizu's experience in Mongolia spans a large portion of Mongolia's history following the 1991
democratic revolution, and he has witnessed firsthand Mongolia's transition towards a capitalist
economic system. Japan's largest contribution to Mongolia, he said, is probably in education and
human development. Japan provides 70 scholarships to Mongolian students annually and currently
has 1,300 Mongolian students studying at its universities.
―Unfortunately, economic relations are not as good regarding trade, and the current volumes are
low,‖ said the ambassador. He said, ―Both sides—Mongolian and Japan—are equally unhappy with
this current situation.‖
He noted the importance of the Erch initiative introduced during Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo
Abe's visit to Mongolia earlier this year. He explained that two of its major aims were to enhance
business relations and expand growth in Mongolia. He also brought attention to the efforts of the
JICA volunteers on the ground in Mongolia working to implement infrastructure projects such as the
metro project planned for Ulaanbaatar.
―Mongolia is developing rapidly, with the mining sector in the most important role,‖ he said.
―However, what's more important is how you use the income from mining. I hope Mongolia will use
it [the revenues from mining] wisely and Japan is happy to assist in this area.‖
For the last presentation was U. Ganzorig, President of Mandal General Insurance, to speak on risks
in Mongolia. He introduced to the audience Mandal's 2013 Risk Report, with a number of copies in
Mongolian language made available free to members. That report includes 10 risks facing Mongolia
today, but for the evening's presentation he would introduce a select few.
The first and most pressing risk was the deficit in the budget born out of too-optimistic projections
for commodity prices. He said Mongolia's economy was weighing heavily in the mining sector, an
unpredictable source of income, with 17 percent of total gross domestic product (GDP) sourced
from that sector.
―There is a very huge correlation with copper price and coal price in relation to the budget,‖ said
Ganzorig while pointing to a chart that showed budgets and surpluses that closely followed
commodity prices. ―The effect of coal prices in recent months, you've all noticed that.‖
Other risks included the air pollution that was causing respiratory problems in the short run but in
the long run would likely lead to cancers and strokes. Poor driving was responsible for 90 percent of
accidents, he said, and many of the city's buildings were ill-equipped for earthquakes. Another
pressing worry was a likely energy crisis to hit Mongolia this winter. He noted that Mongolia had
exceeded the nation's power generation capabilities first in 2010, and this year would likely see the
displacement of more than 700 people in the event of wide-scale energy and heat failures.
BUSINESS
STAND-OFF DELAYS MONGOLIA OT EXPORTS
Wednesday's presidential election and a revenue spat have reportedly caused the delay of the first
copper export at Mongolia's USD 6.6 billion Oyu Tolgoi mine.
Anglo-Australian mining giant Rio Tinto PLC said its plan to start exporting copper from the USD 6.2
billion copper and gold mine on Friday had been delayed, heightening investor concerns about the
risks of mining in the country. Uncertainty over what was behind the delay sparked an exodus out of
shares in other Mongolian miners on Friday, with Canadian and Australian-listed miners exposed to
the country sliding between 10 and 20 percent.
Rio Tinto spokesperson Bruce Tobin said on Friday that Oyu Tolgoi was ready to start its first
shipments of copper concentrate from its Mongolian mine and all necessary permits to do so have
been received from relevant authorities. ―However, plans to start shipping on Friday, 21 June have
been postponed at the request of the government of Mongolia,‖ Tobin said.
The mine operator declined to comment on what was behind the latest delay, but sources said that
it is no coincidence that it has occurred just before Mongolia's presidential election on Wednesday,
as Oyu Tolgoi is the biggest foreign investment in the country and resource nationalism has been a
major election issue.
Journalists had been invited the week prior to attend a ceremony at the copper and gold mine on
14 June to mark the first exports. That was postponed to 21 June, but the event was again canceled
at the last minute. The event on 14 June was postponed because the government said that Rio Tinto
should keep all export revenue in Mongolia, Prime Minister Norov Altankhuyag said earlier this
week. The agreement that governs the project gives Rio Tinto the freedom to put the export
revenue anywhere it wants, they said.
The government earlier briefly froze the accounts of Rio Tinto and Canada's SouthGobi Resources
this year, making investors nervous about their ability their ability to repatriate earnings, and
sources said that concerns of keeping revenue in Mongolia remain because of this. Rio Tinto has said
since February it would not begin exporting until it resolved disputes with the Mongolian
government over royalties, costs, management fees and project financing.
Source: Al Jazeera
MONGOLIA RISK TO HURT GROWTH EVEN WITH OT START-UP, ELECTION
Mongolia's efforts to protect its mineral wealth have scared investors so much that not even the
first exports from its biggest mine and the expected re-election this week of a president who wants
foreign capital will turn sentiment around.
With the country's economic growth heavily tied to its vast copper and coal resources, Mongolia
should have been celebrating the first copper sales to China from the USD 6.2 billion Oyu Tolgoi
mine. Instead the government twice this month told mine operator Rio Tinto PLC to delay the first
shipment, partly due to a dispute over the repatriation of profits. Some analysts said the holdup
was also aimed at keeping a lid on nationalism ahead of the presidential vote on Wednesday.
Industry experts believe exports will start soon, but the delays follow a year in which Mongolia
introduced draft legislation to tighten control over mining activity and limit foreign investment.
―Whilst the country has lots of resource potential and holds Oyu Tolgoi, a world-scale mine, there's
too much headline risk,‖ said Darko Kuzmanovic, a portfolio manager at Caledonia Investments,
which holds global mining stocks but has steered clear of Mongolia-focused miners.
Mining executives hoped that if Elbegdorj is re-elected as expected, he will be under less pressure
to push a resource nationalism agenda since he will no longer be in campaign mode. While making
promising noises about consulting the industry over the new mining law and amendments to the
strategic foreign investment law, the government put off debate on the legislation until after the
election.
While Mongolia has issued all permits needed for Rio Tinto to start exporting, the government is
pressing the company to keep all revenue in the country, Vice Minister of Economic Development
Ochirbat Chuluunbat told Reuters. However, that was not holding up exports, he said, declining to
give further details. The investment agreement for Oyu Tolgoi gives Rio Tinto the freedom to put
export revenue anywhere it wants, sources familiar with the situation have said.
Both Oyu Tolgoi and Mongolia's other big project, the Tavan Tolgoi coking coal mine, are perfectly
located near China, which needs huge amounts of copper, coal and iron ore even though its
economic growth has slowed. With coal prices having dropped about 30 percent over the past 18
months, some analysts think it will be a long time before Tavan Tolgoi is fully developed.
―The world doesn't need another coal mine,‖ said Kuzmanovic.
Source: Reuters
MONGOLIA OPENS WIND FARM TO FIGHT SMOG
Mongolia has opened its first wind farm, a landmark USD 122 million project that aims to shift the
country's reliance on coal and tackle the pollution choking its capital in Ulaanbaatar.
A total of 31 turbines have been erected at the facility which are expected to power 5 percent of
electricity needs in a country undergoing rapid transformation on the back of a spectacular boom in
mining, particularly coal. Backers hope the 50-megawatt facility erected 70 kilometers southeast of
Ulaanbaatar at a windy ridge called Salkhit will be the first step in a national drive to harness
cleaner energy in the mineral rich country.
―This positive experience will pave the way for future investments in the energy and other vital
infrastructure sectors and acts as a concrete demonstration of the government's green development
agenda,‖ said Boldbaatar Tserenpuntsag of Newcom LLC.
Fifteen of the wind turbines were switched on at Thursday's opening ceremony, with the remainder
to become operational next month. The Mongolian capital was ranked the planet's second-most
polluted city by the World Health Organization in a 2011 report, largely due to its coal-fired power
stations and residents burning coal to keep warm in winter, when temperatures can plummet to a
punishing minus 30 degrees Celsius.
The new wind farm which will supply 140 million to 170 million kilowatt hours of power each year
to the national grid will reduce demand for coal by 122,000 tons per year, helping the government
meet a target for renewable resources to make up 20 percent of the country's energy needs. Eighty
percent of energy requirements currently come from coal in Mongolia, where more than USD 1
trillion worth of untapped resources are underground.
Source: Coal Guru
EBRD TO DOUBLE INVESTMENT INTO MONGOLIA'S WIND ENERGY
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) is ready to invest another USD 50
million in new wind projects following its USD 47 million investment for Newcom LLC's Salkhit wind
farm.
The 50 megawatt Salkhit wind farm outside of Ulaanbaatar has been connected to the electricity
grid and is now generating electricity. EBRD, which provided debt and equity funding for the
project, has announced that it is ready to invest in further renewable projects in Mongolia. The site
at Salkhit—meaning ―windy‖ in Mongolian—will generate about 5 percent of the country's electricity
needs. The investment has been hailed as a major step forward in the country's new green energy
strategy.
―Salkhit wind farm has awakened interest in wind power in Mongolia from other investors, both
local and international,‖ said EBRD Director for Power and Energy Nandita Parshad. ―We are now
assessing several follow-on wind farm projects, and expect to invest about USD 50 million in
renewable energy generators in Mongolia in the coming years. The demonstration effect from
Salkhit, in terms of both project implementation and financing, has been significant.‖
President Tsakhia Elbegdorj has said that the country aims to become a regional renewables hub,
producing a quarter of the energy from renewable sources and potentially exporting both wind-and
solar-generated electricity. Salkhit was constructed with debt and equity financing of USD 47.5
million from the EBRD, an amount matched by FMO, the Dutch development bank. The funds were
provided to Clean Energy LLC, a company that is 51 percent owned by Newcom, 14 percent by
EBRD, 14 percent by FMO, and 21 percent by General Electric Co.
―The Salkhit wind farm is a flagship project for Mongolia's renewable energy sector and energy
sector as a whole. The project has introduced new and advanced technology and know-how to the
industry,‖ said Clean Energy Chief Executive and Newcom Chief Investment Officer Sengee Enkh-
Amgalan.
Source: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
MMC GRANTED NEW MINING LICENSE
The Minerals Resources Authority (MRA) granted Mongolian Mining Corp. (MMC) a special permit for
minerals extraction from Tsaikhar Khudag through Khangad Exploration LLC.
The new mining license covers a total area of around 8,340 hectares and contains around 73 million
tons of coal resources according to the Mongolian geological and mining reporting standards. The
mining license covers an initial period of 30 years, and is subject to two consecutive extensions of
20 years. MMC will pay an annual fee of USD 41,700.
Source: ETNet
PROPHECY AIMS FOR RE-LAUNCH IN Q3
Prophecy Coal Corp. reported that it was actively discussing several potential coal sales and
purchase agreements with the goal of resuming mining operations in the third quarter of this year
and ramped up production in 2014.
Coal prices in the Mongolia region have been largely shielded from global economic weakness.
Current benchmark premium coal pricing is exceeding USD 40 a ton in Mongolia and USD 50 a ton at
several delivery points in the Russian Republic of Buryatia. These prices represent a material
increase year-over-year. Prophecy projects that Russian sales through the Zeltura and Sukhbaatar
border crossings will account for over 50 percent of the sale volume.
Prophecy also noted that it had received written correspondence from Russian parties regarding the
purchase of Ulaan Ovoo coal and the Ulaan Ovoo mine itself.
Source: Prophecy Coal Corp.
MONGOLIAN RAILWAY MAKES PARTNERSHIPS FOR RAIL DEVELOPMENT
A signing ceremony was held on 20 June for a memorandum of investment for the New Railways
project.
Inking the memorandum was Mongolian Railway Executive Director P. Bat-Erdene along with
representatives of Russia's Eurasia Foundation and the United Kingdom's Ashmore Group. Also in
attendance was Road and Transportation Minister A. Gansukh and M. Kirsan Ilyumzhinov, president
of Eurasia Foundation.
Mongolian Railway has issued a special permit for construction of new rail. Currently the railway is
in the initial phase, which includes the selection of advisors for legal and technical assistance.
Source: Montsame
FIRST JBIC CREDIT LINE TO MONGOLIAN GOVERNMENT
The Ministry of Economic Development signed a JPY 8 billion (USD 82 million) export credit line with
the Japan Bank of International Cooperation (JBIC). The credit line is co-financed with private fiscal
institutions, with Nippon Export and Investment Insurance providing buyer's credit insurance for the
portion co-financed by private financial institutions.
Source: BNE
TDB TAPS LOAN MARKET FOR USD 100 MILLION
Trade and Development Bank (TDB) of Mongolia LLC has launched its first loan into general
syndication through bookrunners ING, FMO, and TDB Capital.
The USD 100 million loan is split between a USD 50 million A-loan from FMO, and a USD 50 million B-
loan which is split into three tranches. The tranches have tenor of two years, three years, and five
years, priced at 595 basis points over Libor, 620 basis points and 660 basis points, respectively.
Lenders that committed in excess of USD 10 million can join as a mandated lead arranger for a fee
of 200 basis points. Those lending USD 5 billion to USD 10 million can join as lead arrangers for a fee
of 180 basis points, and arrangers lending less than USD 6 million will pay a fee of 150 basis points.
Source: Trade Finance
BLUE WOLF EXTENDS TENDER OFFER FOR SHARES TO 15 JULY
Merger and asset acquisition company Blue Wolf Mongolia Holdings Corp. MNGL announced on
Thursday that it has extended the tender offer for its shares until 5 p.m., New York City time on 15
July, unless further extended or terminated. The completion of the tender offer is a condition to
Blue Wolf's previously announced business combination with Li3 Energy Inc.
According to the company, this extension is being made to comply with the rules and procedure
requirements of the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC). Except for such extension, all of the
terms and conditions set forth in the tender offer materials filed with the SEC on 21 May 2013
remain unchanged.
Reportedly, the last reported trading price of Blue Wolf ordinary shares on the NASDAQ Capital
Market as on 19 June was USD 10.29 per share. Also, as of 19 June, some 1.87 million ordinary
shares have been tendered under the offer and not withdrawn. Morrow & Co. LLC is acting as the
information agent for the offer, while the depositary is Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Co.
Source: MENAFN
RPM APPOINTS OPERATIONS MANAGER
RungePincockMinarco (RPM) appointed Stewart Coates as its new operations manager for its
Mongolian business.
Coates is a qualified geologist with a career spanning over 25 years in Australia, Papua New Guinea,
New Zealand, the Philippines, and Mongolia. He is a chartered geologist with the Association of
Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of British Columbia.
―Stewart will lead our team of mining consultants in Mongolia who are part of our global network of
highly capable mining experts,‖ said Philippe Baudry, regional general manager. ―Through our team
in Ulaanbaatar, clients have access to the right combination of local technical knowledge and
world-class domain expertise.‖
Source: RungePincockMinarco
TECK APPOINTS VP FOR COAL AS NEW COO
Canada's largest diversified miner, Teck Resources Ltd., on Thursday appointed Ian Kilgour
executive vice president and new chief operations officer, as the company focuses on cost
management amid dwindling commodity prices.
Kilgour joined Teck in February 2011 as senior vice president for coal, and would now be
responsible for all of the company's mining operations and joint ventures in its steelmaking coal,
copper and zinc business units.
Teck also announced that Dale Andres would lead its copper division, following the retirement of
Roger Higgins. Andres previously held an executive role in copper strategy and North American
operations and was responsible for developing the growth plan for Teck's copper business unit.
During Higgins' five years at Teck, the company's copper production had grown from some 300,000
tons in 2008 to a yearly rate of 400,000 tons in the last half of 2012.
Source: Mining Weekly
RIO TO CUT ABOUT 40 JOBS IN AUSTRALIAN IRON-ORE UNIT.
Rio Tinto PLC, the main private investor behind the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold project, is cutting more
than 40 office jobs in its Australian iron-ore division as the world's second-biggest producer of the
steelmaking ingredient chases greater cost savings to combat a weaker market.
The iron ore division, Rio Tinto's main profit engine, is awaiting board approval later this year to
spend billions of dollars to expand production capability to 360 million tons annually in 2015. It
produced 253 million tons in 2012.
―It's mainly general manager and manager roles as we reshape the business to delay it and be better
suited to match the market environment and outlook,‖ a Rio Tinto spokesman said.
The Anglo-Australian miner employs around 68,000 staff company-wide and around 10,000 in the
Australian iron-ore division. Since the middle of the last decade, Rio Tinto has been the fastest-
growing iron-ore producer among the major suppliers, which include Vale SA and BHP Billiton Ltd.
Iron ore prices have gone from boom to bust and partly back again—hitting a high above USD 190 a
ton in 2011 and a low under USD 90 in 2012—in three years since the sector switched from once-a-
year fixed pricing to a spot market.
At current prices of around USD 117 a ton, Rio Tinto enjoys an operating margin of around USD 70
per ton, among the highest in the sector.
Source: Reuters
ROSNEFT TO SEND USD 60 BILLION WORTH OF OIL TO CHINA
The Russian state oil company that was until recently the sole supplier to Mongolia with fuel,
Rosneft, intends to sign a major contract to supply China with more than USD 60 billion of crude oil
a deal that could signal a small shift away from Western Europe toward Asia.
Russia has been gradually opening its oil spigot to China in recent years. While the overall volume of
Russia's oil output has remained level, the country has decreased sales to recession-plagued Europe.
―Without any exaggeration a large-scale contract has been prepared by Rosneft,‖ said President
Vladimir Putin after a meeting on Thursday with China's vice premier, Zhang Gaoli. Supplies to
China are expected to reach ―volumes of hundreds of millions of tons of oil, in total worth more
than USD 60 billion,‖ Putin said, though he provided no further details about the hefty contract.
Russia pipes oil directly to China after a trans-Siberian pipeline was completed in 2010 that
overcame decades of tension along the long and remote border between Siberia and Manchuria.
Putin told Zhang that he hopes two Russian gas companies, Gazprom and Novatek, will similarly
strike deals to export energy to China. Energy analysts said Rosneft has also been negotiating with
Chinese companies to form joint ventures to drill in the Russian sector of the Arctic Ocean above
eastern Siberia.
The Rosneft deal would become the latest in a series of financial transactions between Russian
energy companies and China. Rosneft first took a loan of USD 6 billion from China's state bank as
repayment for oil exports in 2005. The company, in turn, used the money to finance its takeover of
the largest production unit of Yukos Oil Company. In 2009, Chinese banks lent USD 25 billion to
Rosneft and the state oil pipeline monopoly, Transneft, to complete the trans-Siberian pipeline.
Under the terms of the deal, the banks would be repaid with 2.5 billion barrels of oil exported to
China over 20 years from 2010 until 2030.
Source: New York Times
ECONOMY
MIBG REJOICES AT ELBEGDORJ'S RE-ELECTION
Mongolian Investment Banking Group has noted the positive gains for investors with the re-election
of President Tsakhia Elbegdorj.
Elbegdorj's agenda for re-election stated that Mongolia will not discriminate investors,‖ said the
Source. ―While this was a far reaching statement lacking some clarity, we believe that it presents
an open and strong foundation for foreign investment into Mongolia.‖
The source noted that this would be Elbegdorj's last term, meaning that he was less likely to drive
forward legislation bearing populist sentiment for the remainder of his time in office. His win also
gives the Democratic renewed total control of government with DP figureheads sitting in the roles
of president, prime minister, speaker and UB City mayor.
―This provides Mongolia with a solid foundation for the next three years in terms of the introduction
and implementation of government policy and legislation.‖
On the horizon are the new Minerals Law, which the president withdrew after an initial public
unveiling in December last year due to broad criticisms. Elbegdorj is also expected to continue his
fight against corruption, one of the cornerstone activities of the Democratic Party, for the
remainder of his term. The Source suggested he might take an even stronger stance against
corruption now that he no longer needs to worry about re-election.
―We strongly believe that Elbegdorj's re-election is a major step forward for Mongolia. It is a strong
signal for the foreign investment community, for private sector growth, and for the overall economy
of the country.‖
Source: Mongolian Investment Banking Group
MONGOL BANK REDUCES POLICY RATE BY ONE POINT TO 10.5 PERCENT
The Bank of Mongolia reduced its policy rate by one percentage point to 10.5 percent, effective 25
June.
Source: Cover Mongolia
MONGOLIA DEALS OUT MILLIONS IN NEW MORTGAGES WITH NEW LENDING SCHEME
The Bank of Mongolia reported that it had approved MNT 8.8 billion in new mortgages in the first six
days since the introduction of a new program for mortgages with 8 percent interest. Last week
banks received refinancing requests for a total of MNT 587.1 billion. Banks moved MNT 195.2 billion
in mortgages to the new interest rate of 8 percent, while MNT 8.8 billion worth of new mortgages
were issued from MNT 90.9 billion worth of applications from 207 people. The new program, which
is a collaborative effort between Mongolian Mortgage Corp., the Bank of Mongolia and the
government, lends to households for the purchase of apartments of no more than 80 square meters
and to those who can make a down payment of 30 percent of the entire purchase. Those already
with mortgages of between 15 and 22 percent can now transition to the new mortgage scheme as
well.
Source: Business-Mongolia.com
MONGOL BANK AUCTIONS USD 8 MILLION, CNY 71 MILLION
The Bank of Mongolia sold USD 8 million and CNY 71 million (USD 11.5 million) to commercial banks
on 27 June.
The Central Bank sold USD 150 million for swap agreements and refused the offer for forward
agreements from local commercial banks. The foreign exchange auctions are used as a policy
instrument by the Central Bank to improve the transparency and efficiency of the foreign exchange
market and to stabilize the foreign exchange rate of the tugrug as determined by market forces.
The Bank of Mongolia normally holds foreign exchange auctions on Tuesdays and Thursdays, with
bids accepted from commercial banks only.
Source: Mongol Bank
MSE CLOSED FOR ELECTION DAY
The stock market closed on Wednesday, 26 June for the presidential election.
Source: Mongolian Stock Exchange JSC
MSE PRESENTS ON GLOBAL DEPOSITORY NOTES
The Mongolian Stock Exchange and Citi Corporate and Investment Banking Group gave a
presentation on global depository notes on 20 June.
The presentation was held to provide general information regarding global depository notes as well
as to present the advantages of introducing this new instrument to the domestic market. The
revised Securities Law presides over the issuance of depository receipts, which will diversify the
current products on the capital market while offering another opportunity to foreign investors to
access the Mongolian capital market. In addition, Mongolian Stock Exchange JSC presented an
overview of the revised Securities Law, analysis of the opportunities being created and a vision for
the future with a safe and efficient post-trading environment.
Source: Mongolian Stock Exchange JSC
MIBG SEES GDP GROWTH TO FALL TO 5.5 PERCENT IN 2013
Mongolian Investment Banking Group has made a projection for growth of between 5 and 6 percent
in 2013, falling well below 2012 growth of 12.3 percent.
As of 19 June the National Statistical Office reported that the price of main consumables fell by 1.8
percent from a month ago. With May annualized CPI at 9.7 compared with 9.8 percent in March, the
continued trend of decreasing inflation has been positioned by policy makers as the successful
result of the fight against appreciation in the domestic market. However, this is an alarming
indicator that suggests a continuation of decreasing economic activity, which will deliver a 2013
growth rate that is far below expectations.
Mongolia has seen significant slowdown in foreign trade activity. Since the mid-1990s Mongolia‘s
economic position has been driven by foreign trade, with a significant reliance on exports for
revenue generation but also on imports as the domestic production of consumables is too small to
economically support demand. As a result, Mongolia‘s foreign trade has always been larger than the
overall economy itself. The current ratio of international trade as a share of GDP is approximately
140 percent, compared with 25.2 percent in the United States and 49 percent in China.
On 15 July, Mongolian foreign trade activity fell by 8.9 percent year-on-year. While an improvement
from earlier reports as low as 15.2 percent in April, it may not mean an upward trend has emerged.
Instead, it could be a sign of a recovery in foreign trade from economic stimulation from last year‘s
USD 1.5 billion Chinggis bond.
Coal and copper will play a major role in determining Mongolia‘s real growth rates in the future.
This is especially true in terms of coal pricing and the ability of exporters to negotiate and in some
instances re-negotiate favorable returns with Chinese importers.
Source: Mongolian Investment Banking Group
MONGOLIA BANKS ON MINING SECTOR
For banks in Mongolia, the development of the capital markets is the most pressing priority.
―The deposit raising ability of any bank is fundamental unless you have an efficient, sophisticated
capital market. We have to keep learning and continue to become more sophisticated so that we
can work together with the global banks,‖ said Norhiko Kato, Chief Executive Officer of Khan Bank
LLC. He added that some areas of immediate interest in terms of expansion plans are
bancassurance business and insurance.
According to Randolph Koppa, President of Trade and Development Bank (TDB) of Mongolia LLC,
―Inflation is being tackled and has come down, although there is still concern about the fiscal
deficit, which has ultimately been driven by falling commodity prices, therefore reducing the
revenue generated. Under its fiscal stability law, the government must keep the structural deficit
within 2 percent of nominal gross domestic product (GDP). Koppa said government had spent less
overall, with a fiscal surplus in the first quarter of the year.
The banking sector has substantial exposure to the mining sector, which accounts for about 11.5
percent of total loans outstanding across the banking system so far this year; almost MNT 800
billion. At the end of 2012, mining accounted for 14.3 percent of total loans outstanding. Bank
assets grew by 28 percent to reach MNT 11.99 trillion by the end of 2012, but this was down from a
record 50 percent increase in 2011, largely because of lower coal prices and volumes of exports.
Moody's has assigned a negative outlook to Mongolia's banking system, stating that performance
would ―reflect the challenges the banks face in managing what will likely be a period of loan
growth in an economy that is increasingly exposed to commodity-driven boom-bust cycles.‖ Moody's
also mentions the banks' limited capital reserves that can provide only a weak buffer to any losses
that might occur.
Source: Cover Mongolia, Euromoney
MAY MONTHLY ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
The supply of foreign currency continued to fall in May due to the decrease in exports and foreign
direct investment, which was exacerbated by the depreciation of the exchange rate. Foreign
currency has fallen 15.2 percent since the beginning of the year to MNT 3.39 billion.
The Bank of Mongolia has conducted foreign exchange auctions with the aim of stabilizing the
national currency, but these measures have so far made little impact. The fall in the exchange rate
has had some positive influence through an increase in the profits made by resource exports when
converted in tugrugs. However inflationary effect on imported goods and commodities due to the
deprecation in the exchange rate should not be underestimated.
There has been criticism from economists that a significant amount of the government's current
budget expenditure is being financed through indirect off-budget mechanisms. The Price
Stabilization Program that began in December 2012 is intended to last for three years and continues
to provide cheap loans to targeted industries, including petroleum, meat, flour, construction
materials and transportation, to maintain price stability.
There is also the more recent arrangement between the government and Central Bank for MNT 900
billion in loans being made available for domestic commercial banks to use in helping address the
current liquidity problem in the domestic financial with the funds backed by the Chinggis bonds.
Meanwhile commercial banks have invested large sums in the bills issued by the Central Bank and
the government's treasury bills, suggesting that local banks are in fact supporting these programs.
Source: Economic Policy and Competitiveness Research Committee
MONGOLIA TO BUILD 339 ONE-STOP SERVICE CENTERS
The Cabinet of Ministers last month approved a model for community service centers to be built in
339 towns and cities across the country.
The Ministries of Construction and Urban Development and Economic Development are charged with
hiring companies to develop blue prints for 102 buildings to be constructed in 330 towns and nine
provincial capitals. Towns are being divided into five categories for the capacities of service centers
needed.
This latest plan will save the government funds, reducing the number of planned buildings from
2,905 with the one-stop service centers.
Source: Zuunii Medee
WHERE DINOSAURS ROAMED, RIO‟S COPPER DREAM STIRS WATER WORRY
The lump of copper ore beneath the brown scrub and sand of the Gobi Desert is about the size of
Manhattan and contains enough of the metal to meet world demand for two years. Known as Oyu
Tolgoi, or Turquoise Hill, the deposit is an estimated 70 million years old, which dates it to around
when dinosaurs roamed the Gobi. Rio Tinto PLC now rules that desert.
Rio Tinto found water 40 kilometers from the mine site in what is called an ―ancient aquifer‖ 400
meters below ground and measuring 45 kilometers by 15 kilometers. Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi LLC unit
will use 696 liters of water a second to process ore into copper concentrate for delivery by road to
China—a truck every nine minutes, 24 hours a day. The mine would consume 20 percent of the
water in the Gunii Hooloi aquifer, which is not fit for human or animal consumption because of its
excessive mineral and salt content, and 80 percent of the water used will be recycled, Oyu Tolgoi
said.
While the mine is just starting, part of the funding talks will be on how it will end in about 50
years. Once a mine is exhausted, an operator is obliged to return earth and rocks removed from the
site. Another form of waste is powdered rock known as tailings, which can contain chemicals and
acids used to separate metals from ore. Oyu Tolgoi plans to store its tailings from processing
110,000 tons of ore a day in a reservoir beyond the open pit mine. Tailings sites have been known to
fail. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. agreed to pay USD 6.8 million in 2012 to settle federal
and state claims that hazardous substances escaped from tailings at its Morenci mine in Arizona. In
Indonesia, Freeport has repeatedly sparred with the government over tailings disposal into a river
near its Grasberg project, the world's second-largest copper mine.
Water issues are at the forefront of concerns for Sanjaasuren Oyun, Minister of Nature and Green
Development. A geologist for Rio Tinto before entering politics in 1999, Oyun said her ministry will
monitor wells around the mine. ―We are urging mining companies to recycle water for industrial
use,‖ Cambridge-educated-educated Oyun said. ―We are discussing an increase in water tariffs.‖
That's to encourage more water recycling as then the companies will pay less, she said.
The government and World Bank are studying options to channel water from the Orkhon River to the
Gobi via an aqueduct. An environmental impact study for the project will be ready by the end of
2014, Oyun said.
Source: Businessweek
U.S. SCIENTISTS TRAVEL TO MONGOLIA TO OFFER HABITAT HELP
The Montana-based Tributary Fund for the first time sent U.S. experts to Mongolia to offer
information and assistance on how to rebuild their landscape after damage from mining operations.
The visit follows multiple visits by Mongolian monks to the Northern Plains Resource Council to learn
how the group worked with Stillwater Mining Co. to develop a ―good neighbor‖ plan. Since monks
are respected in Mongolia, the Tributary Fund sees them as a crucial link to spreading a sense of
environmentalism in the country, as well as using their monasteries as demonstration sites for
growing native plants.
―We wanted to create a situation where the monastery would be a demonstration site, providing an
education presence for people who visited the monastery on how to reintroduce species,‖ said
Susan Higgins, the fund's managing and programming director. ―But the monks had an idea of a
beautiful garden with fountains,‖ she said—not necessarily well suited to the dry, windy climate.
She added, ―The team was really struck with the cultural perception of what should be.‖
Whether the suggestions from the Tributary Fund will foster any change is uncertain. For one thing,
some of the monks simply wanted to improve their monastery's grounds to have a garden-like
setting, no matter what type of species, and basic irrigation systems are nonexistent. Also the
monks have little or no science background and a young government that has little experience with
environmental restoration. Jennings said Mongolians don't see sediments running into streams as
pollution, despite the debilitating effects it can have on waterways and the resulting loss of topsoil.
They also don't realize that heavy grazing, its compaction of the soil and the resulting flashy runoff
of rainwater is hurting the topsoil's ability to maintain vegetation.
―They very much want to do the right thing on the land, but they're pretty well entrenched in the
way they've done things,‖ he said.
Source: Billing's Gazette
PEABODY SEES WORLD COAL DEMAND GROWTH
Global coal demand is expected to grow by around 1.4 billion metric tons over the next five years
driven by the needs of China and India, Peabody Energy Corp.'s chief executive said Wednesday.
The coal market's prospects look bright in spite of recent weak demand from Asia that sent the
price of steelmaking coal to four-year lows, Gregory Boyce said at a Minerals Council of Australia
conference in Canberra. A massive blackout in India last year affecting more than half the
population highlights the country's need for more imports. Global demand for coal currently stands
at about 8 billion tons a year.
The Indian government earlier this year said it was moving to boost coal imports and electricity-
generating capacity to tackle power shortages. Coal presently fuels 57 percent of the country's
power plants. But Boyce warned that Australia, one of the world's largest shippers of the fuel, was
in danger of production moving to lower-cost countries. He said high costs and weak commodity
prices were damaging the viability of new projects in the country.
BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest supplier of steelmaking coal, has ruled out further expansion
of its coal-mining business, while other producers including Glencore, Xstrata PLC and New Hope
Corp. have announced cutbacks.
Source: Wall Street Journal
COPPER HITS THREE-YEAR LOW
Industrial metals tumbled with copper hitting a three-year low as traders feared that China‘s
liquidity squeeze could dent demand in the world‘s top metals consumer.
The spike in short-term lending rates in China, together with softer data on the economy, has
rattled metals and mining investors. Copper for delivery in three months on the London Metal
Exchange tumbled as much as 3.4 percent to USD 6,613 a ton on Monday morning—the lowest since
July 2010. The shares of mining companies including Rio Tinto PLC, Vale SA, Anglo American PLC,
and Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. each fell by more than 3 percent.
―There are no buyers out there,‖ said Jake Greenberg, metals and mining specialist at Jefferies.
―These are aggressive moves after aggressive moves.‖
Copper traders had already been nervous about credit availability in China after the government
promised in May to crack down on the use of copper as collateral to obtain financing. Goldman
Sachs described the unwinding of these financing deals as a ―bearish risk‖ that ―complicated our
near-term bullish copper views.‖
The People‘s Bank of China‘s comments over the weekend that liquidity was at a ―reasonable level‖
despite a jump in benchmark interbank interest rates which was enough to trigger a broad sell-off.
Source: Financial Times
MINING COMPANIES: SLASH AND EARN
After growth comes a focus on costs. It does not take a management degree to work that one out.
Cost control and capital expenditure cuts are the new mantras for big mining companies. The word
―productivity‖ has come up many times in speeches by Andrew Mackenzie since he became the new
boss of BHP Billiton Ltd. in May. Sam Walsh of Rio Tinto PLC has pledged to cut USD 5 billion in costs
this year and next. How easy will it be to fix the sloppy cost control of the boom years? And can
cost-cutting go far enough to make up for the expected slowdown in commodity demand?
Productivity, if measured by the cost of extracting rocks out of the ground, has not been falling. Rio
Tinto's USD 24 cash cost to produce a ton of iron has been relatively stable over the past few years
in spite of rampant inflation in fuel prices and contractor costs. Labor productivity has been
trending down, however. Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton admit that projects rolled out too quickly to
meet fast-growing demand and led to poor cost control. Some cost cuts are achievable. The
penciled-in reductions in capex and the subsequent curtailment of project expansions have helped
pull inflation in contractor costs back in check.
Plans by BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto to boost productivity by changing processes remain anecdotal.
Rio Tinto admits it is tough to shave savings from existing projects. And if the price of iron ore falls
to USD 90 a ton over the next five years from USD 130 a ton today, as Australia's forecasting agency
predicts, any tweaks to costs will do little to offset shrinking margins.
Until any of the new round of management at the miners unveils a bolder strategy, cost savings and
capex cuts are as much excitement as mining investors can expect.
Source: Financial Times
WORLD GDP
Four years after the worst of the financial crisis and the world appears to be faltering again.
According to the Source's calculations, world GDP grew by just 2.1 percent during the first quarter
of 2013 compared with a year earlier. Just 12 months ago, output was growing at a reasonable clip
of 3.1 percent. The European Union, the world's second-largest economy, which welcomes its 28th
member on 1 July, is back in recession.
Meanwhile there are concerns about stumbling blocks as China seeks to re-balance toward a more
consumption-oriented economy and more moderate growth rates. Long the mainstay of the world's
fortunes, China alone has been responsible for nearly half of all world economic growth since the
end of 2009 when the world began growing again. Other big emerging markets, Turkey, Brazil and
India, are struggling to quell social unrest over frustration with governments' inability to deliver
growth and make appropriate reforms.
Source: Economist
POLITICS
ELBEGDORJ WINS RE-ELECTION
Mongolian President Tsakhia Elbegdorj defeated a wrestling champion and a pediatrician to win re-
election without the need for a run-off vote.
Democratic Party (DP) candidate Elbegdorj won 50.23 percent of the vote with all counting
completed, Choinzon Sodnomtseren, head of the General Election Commission, said at a briefing in
Ulaanbaatar. Former wrestling champion Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene took 41.97 percent and
Health Minister and former doctor Natsag Udval was third with 6.5 percent. The results will be
made final within five days.
―The Parliament of Mongolia, the government of Mongolia and the president of Mongolia will work
as one team in the remaining period,‖ Prime Minister Norov Altankhuyag said at a briefing late
yesterday. ―We work to improve the lives of all Mongolians and eradicate corruption.‖
Source: Bloomberg
MONGOLIA SEES AT LEAST 63.89 PERCENT VOTER TURNOUT
Voter attendance for this week's presidential election was 63.89 percent of voters nationwide by 9
p.m., while polls closed on 10 p.m. that day.
General Election Commission head Ts. Sodnomtseren reported that 65.13 percent of voters cast
their vote in Ulaanbaatar. The highest voter turnout was in Dungobi with 69.36 percent and the
lowest in Dornod with 57.21 percent.
Source: Montsame
MINING WEALTH DISTRIBUTION KEY ISSUE IN POLLS
Mongolia went to the polls Wednesday to elect a new president as the country‘s mining boom raises
questions over the role of foreign investors and the distribution of new found wealth.
Against the background of intense inward investment, the landscape of Mongolia‘s capital city
Ulaanbaatar is changing rapidly with plush new department stores opening amid a high-rise frenzy.
But concerns over rising inequality and environmental damage to the largely rural country are likely
to be used by Elbegdorj‘s opponents in a campaign dominated by the resource nationalism issue.
―This is the issue, and because of that people will prefer the current president who is more foreign
investment friendly,‖ Dambadarjaa Jargalsaikhan, a Mongolian political commentator and television
presenter said. ―Mongolians now more and more understand the importance of foreign investment.‖
Elbegdorj‘s main challenger is likely to be Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene, a champion wrestler and
candidate from the Mongolian People‘s Party (MPP). The third candidate, Natsag Udval, from the
Mongolian People‘s Revolutionary Party (MPRP), is a supporter of former president Nambar
Enkhbayar, who is now serving two-and-half years in prison on corruption charges. Bat-Erdene
helped draw up a new environmental protection law amid concerns that the country‘s breathtaking
landscape was being damaged by industry.
And both of Elbegdorj‘s challengers have policies aimed at amending the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold
mine investment agreement.
Fraud allegations against the president have surfaced, but are largely considered by the electorate
to be a late smear tactic. Bat-Erdene has placed great stress during the campaign on his ―clean
hands.‖ A run-off will be held between the two leading candidates on July 10 if no one attracts
more than 50 percent of the votes. However, polls suggest that Elbegdorj should beat his opponents
at the first hurdle. A survey carried out from 14 to 16 June by the Sant Maral Foundation in the
capital suggests 54 percent of people would vote for Elbegdorj.
Source: AFP
MONGOLIA WRESTLES WITH ITS PAST IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
The presidential election on Wednesday pitted an experienced bureaucrat against a famous
wrestling champion with the winner having a big say in what happens in one of the world's fastest
growing economies, just as it begins to struggle with falling commodity prices.
The incumbent, Tsakhia Elbegdorj, nominated by the ruling Democratic Party (DP), is an
experienced bureaucrat who twice served as prime minister before his current presidential term.
While in office he presided over a tough anti-corruption campaign and judicial reform, and one of
his top economic priorities is diversifying the Mongolian economy beyond mining. He has a wide lead
in polls in Ulaanbaatar, with 54 percent of respondents in a recent survey conducted by the Sant
Maral Foundation saying they planned to vote for him.
However, in the countryside support is running high for former wrestling champion Badmaanyambuu
Bat-Erdene, who has campaigned on a platform of traditional values and is seen by voters as
representative of Mongolia's nomadic way of life.
―He is considered a symbol of this old nomadic culture, a walking symbol of this dying tradition that
cannot survive the 21st century,‖ said Luvsandendev Sumati, a political observer and Director of the
Sant Maral Foundation.
Unlike the parliamentary elections in 2012, when many politicians promised Mongolian citizens a
bigger share in the country's mineral wealth, specific proposals for new mining policies have been
largely absent from the presidential contest. Voters' top concerns are unemployment and improving
the standard of living, and the candidates have focused on economic growth and environmental
protection. One reason for that, say observers, is the fall-off in foreign investment this year, the
extent of which is still unknown. But they believe it has made politicians reluctant to target
international mining companies.
A priority for the new president will be to guide a new set of amendments to the mining law
through congress. An initial draft of the law submitted to parliament last year included provisions
that would restrict foreign mining activity, such as mandating Mongolian partial ownership of any
active mine, although the draft is in the process of being reworked and could change significantly.
Source: Financial Times
TOUTED DEBATE FIZZLES INTO Q&A EXERCISE
Last Monday's presidential was one of few surprises and did little to deter observers calling the
election in favor of Elbegdorj.
During the debate on 24 June, incumbent President Tsakhia Elbegdorj looked presidential, if a bit
stiff, and did not make a mistake. Natsag Udval was surprisingly engaging and fairly moderate in her
statements. Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene was awkward.
After the opening statements, the first seven questions focused on the following: values,
representing Mongolia abroad, current socio-economic situations, judiciary, military, mining and its
impact on the economy, Mongolian traditions, and education. In the answers to these questions
there were no surprise announcements, nor did any of the candidates make any radical statements
of any kind. Answers were generally similar, as the platforms were, and differed in style and
emphasis but not in substance.
Udval received the best audience reaction when she noted that 30 percent of Mongolians are poor
and that she was the poor one among the candidates. Somewhat surprisingly, Elbegdorj
immediately jumped on electricity as the most important issues for the socio-economic situations.
Udval's answer on mining was somewhat surprisingly mild in that she did not really embrace any
kind of explicit elements of resource nationalism, either as an ideology or in terms of practical
policy implications. Elbegdorj emphasized the needs to be not just a policy on production, but also
on mining exploration, while Bat-Erdene mentioned the need for a build-up of processing capacity
in addition to mining itself.
Udval won the debate, but it will most likely not make that much of a difference to the outcome
other than she might be taking more votes from Bat-Erdene than anticipated. Elbegdorj played it
safe with an incumbent's campaign and did not fumble any of the questions. Bat-Erdene did not
shine and likely did not improve his chances significantly. The debate may have significant impact
on undecided voters, but it is hard to imagine that many were swayed by Bat-Erdene's performance.
Source: Mongolia Focus
CABINET APPROVES GREEN CIVILIZATION 10-YEAR PLAN
The Ministries of Environment and Green Development and Economic Development have presented
an outline for green development titled ―Green Civilization‖ to the Cabinet of Ministers last
Saturday.
The policy outlines objectives and goals for 10 years with activities to begin in 2020. The Cabinet
decided to forward the plan for submission to Parliament.
Source: Montsame
IAAC ANNOUNCES CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION INTO FORMER ERDENES TT DIRECTOR
The Independent Agency Against Corruption has opened a criminal investigation on an investigation
into the former director of Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi LLC.
The IAAC suspects that former Director Baasangombo Enebish is responsible for MNT 6.3 billion in
poor purchases of trucks and tires. The investigation ran for five months, but the criminal case has
only just recently been opened, said IAAC. The investigation into Enebish began after current
Director Yaichil Batsuuri reported to Parliament that Erdenes TT purchased 10 heavy trucks that
were ill-suited to operations at Tavan Tolgoi‘s East Tsankhi coal mine and poor-quality tires.
Enebish oversaw the operations of both the Tavan Tolgoi coking coal mine and the Oyu Tolgoi
copper and gold mine. He resigned October last year, citing private reasons for his exit. Several
news reports have since been published regarding his role in the purchase of tires and trucks from
Commit Service, Monnis and USS Trade LLC. The 10 trucks were purchased at MNT 160 million,
which is about MNT 70 million above market price.
Source: Undesnii Shuudan
HAS MONGOLIAN POLITICS BECOME A GRAPPLING SPORT?
Wrestlers have been part of the political mix in Mongolia for some time: from the old-time
champions Kh. Bayanmunkh and J. Munkhbat who helped frame the country's democratic
constitution in the early 1990s, to former grand champion sumo wrestler Asashoryu (Dolgorsuren
Dagvadorj) who publicly declared his support for the governing Democratic Party (DP) this May. The
export of wrestlers is also an important part of Mongolia's soft power arsenal in international
relations. The trailblazing D. Batbayar was among the first Mongolians to embark on a career in
sumo under the name of Kyokushuzan in the mid-1990s and became a member of Parliament only
two years after retiring from sumo.
Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene was somewhat of a surprise choice as the nominee for the Mongolian
People's Party (MPP). Although he has served in parliament since 2004, he has not made a name for
himself through legislative initiatives other than his involvement in the ―Law with the Long Name.‖
This law was intended to protect ecologically fragile areas from mining activities, but has been only
sporadically and haphazardly enforced. The lack of a political record has emerged as a handicap in
Bat-Erdene's campaign and fueled some voters' sentiments that he is not presidential enough.
A comparison of the records of the two main candidates, Bat-Erdene and incumbent DP candidate
Tsakhia Elbegdorj, is currently circulating in Mongolia. A third presidential hopeful, Natsag Udval, is
Mongolia's first female candidate, nominated by the Mongolian People's Revolutionary Party. Her
main impact is an apparent splitting of the vote opposing Elbegdorj, but she might also lay the
ground for a run-off election between Elbegdorj and Bat-Erdene where her supporters would go to
Bat-Erdene and give him an edge in such a run-off.
Bat-Erdene represents a challenge to the dominance of the highest offices in Mongolia that are
currently all held by the Democratic Party. This is one of the core messages of his campaign. The
lack of an ideological basis and murky governance of political parties are neither unique to
Mongolian democracy, nor to wrestling. But just like a good wrestling match, the outcome of the
election on 26 June remains to be seen.
Source: Financial Times
INNER MONGOLIAN ASYLUM SEEKERS SHUNNED BY „OUTER‟ POLITICS
Although Tsakhia Elbegdorj's tenure as president has been noteworthy for his efforts in spreading
awareness of the country's growing democracy abroad, his push to make Mongolia a global player
has fallen short in the eyes of some ethnic Mongolians living in neighboring Inner Mongolia, China.
Batzangaa, an ethnic Mongolian doctor of traditional medicine from Ordos in Inner Mongolia, was
deported from Ulaanbaatar by Mongolian and Chinese police while seeking asylum with the U.N.
High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). He founded the Ordos Mongol-Tibetan Medical School in
Inner Mongolia in 2001 with the full blessings of the Chinese government and received an allotment
of CNY 5.2 million (USD 846,000) after approving a request to expand the school. However, after
the Tibetan uprisings in March 2008 across Tibetan-populated areas in the Qinghai Gansu and
Sichuan provinces, the school fell under suspicion for its strong ties to the region.
―The Chinese government isn't threatened by pan-Mongolism [a political movement to join Inner
Mongolians with the country of Mongolia]—not like they are threatened with Tibetans,‖ said Julian
Dierkes, a policy expert from the Institute of Asian Research. ―The Chinese government encourages
traditional practices—unless they get a whiff of trouble.‖
That whiff of trouble led to China shutting down Batzangaa's school. Although he recouped a portion
of the investment losses, he was subsequently pressured to cut ties with the Tibetan community.
Batzangaa registered with UNHCR in Ulaanbaatar and was given four months of protection beginning
27 June while his case was under review. Before his protection status expired, however, Batzangaa
was asked to come to the UNHCR office by his protection officer, where he was arrested 3 October
2009.
―Why did this happen?‖ asked Batsukhe, his brother who is also seeking asylum in Mongolia. ―He had
a certificate of alien registration and this had not expired yet. I want to know from the head of
UNHCR Geneva why they let this happen.‖
Batsukhe has become a political activist for ethnic Mongolian rights in China who has learned from
his brother's experience. He now works to show the world the treatment of people who embrace
their cultural roots in China.
Source: Asian Correspondent
AUSTRALIA OPPOSITION SAYS TOP PRIORITY TO DUMP MINING, CARBON TAXES
The conservative opposition of Australia, a country that competes with Mongolia for mineral sales to
China, said its top priority if it wins election in September will be to repeal taxes on mining profits
and carbon, blaming both policies for stopping fresh investment in the vital resources sector.
Australia's Labor government introduced a fixed carbon price about a year ago in a country with one
of the world's highest per-capita levels of carbon emissions, with plans to transition to emissions
trading from 2015. The carbon scheme, along with a 30 percent tax on iron ore and coal mining
profits, have been criticized by miners who say it damages competitiveness and employment as
Australia's AAA-rated economy slows and China's demand for minerals cools.
―Both the carbon tax and the mining tax are a drag on Australia's energy and resources sector and
make investments less attractive than investments in other countries,‖ opposition resources
spokesman Ian Macfarlane told a mining conference.
Australian government data published last month said that AUD 150 billion (USD 139 billion) in
planned resource projects had been delayed or canceled since April 2012, as China's economic
slowdown weighs on a decade-long mining boom. But a new government forecast on Wednesday
predicted the world's biggest producer of iron ore would see a 14 percent rise in exports in the
2013-14 fiscal year as the country's big miners press ahead with multi-billion dollar expansions.
A combination of falling commodity prices and lower mining profits has forced the government to
slash its projected mining tax revenue to AUD 3.3 billion over the next four years, down from
forecasts of AUD 13.4 billion made last year. The opposition looks certain to win the next election,
polls show, in part due to perceptions of policy bungling by the Labor government over the mining
tax, which has raised only AUD 126 million in its first six months.
Source: Reuters
The following laws, amendments, addendum and annulment were published in the latest weekly
Government bulletin. Unless otherwise decided by Parliament, it will take effect ten (10) days after
publication.
Date Laws
24.06.2013 Law on Securities /revised version/
Amendments to Law on Agricultural Products, Raw Material Exchange
Amendments to Law on Insurance
Amendments to Law on Financial Regulatory Commission's Legal Status
Amendments to Law on Special Permit for Economic Activity
Amendments to Law on Corporate Income Tax
Amendments to Law on Personal Income Tax
Amendments to Law on Commercials
Annulment of Law on Securities
Law on Exemption from Customs Tax
Law on Exemption from Value Added Tax
Law on Exemption from Customs Tax
Law on Exemption from Value Added Tax
Law on Fight against Money Laundering and Terrorism Funding /revised version/
Addendum to Law on Legal Body's State Registration
Amendments to Law on Fight against Terrorism
Amendments to Law on Regulation of Public and Private Interest in Public Service,
Prevention from Interest Conflict
Annulment of Law on Fight against Money Laundering and Terrorism Funding
Please visit BCM's website, Legislative Working Group, for a summary of new Mongolian laws. BCM
members who wish to access complete versions of the laws and regulations in Mongolian language
are welcome to email the BCM office: info@bcmongolia.org.
ANNOUNCEMENTS
MSE-BCM SECURITIES LAW OVERVIEW SESSION, 4 JULY, ULAANBAATAR
BCM and Mongolian Stock Exchange are organizing a free "MSE-BCM Securities Law overview session"
on July 4, 2013 from 9:30 am-12:30 pm at the "Altai" conference room, Kempinski Hotel.
Speakers will elaborate on key items in this new Securities Law. MSE‘s CEO, Altai.Kh, will also
detail the planning to be undertaken by January 1, 2014 when the law becomes effective.
Speakers include:
- Altai.Kh, Mongolian Stock Exchange (confirmed)
- Saruul.B, Financial Regulatory Commission (confirmed)
- Robert Rooks, PwC-Hong Kong (confirmed)
- Orkhon, TDB Capital (invited)
- Darin Hoffman, MahoneyLiotta, (invited)
- Bilguun.A, Mongolian Investment Banking Group (confirmed)
FREE admission. First 125 registrants will be admitted. Deadline Tuesday, July 2 at 5 PM. Email or
phone Saruul at BCM to register – saruul@bcmongolia.org, 317027.
___________________________________________
“MM TODAY” on MNB-TV, Friday, 19:00-19:10
BCM is pleased to announce that Mongolian National Broadcasting continues its cooperation with
BCM on ―MM Today‖. This English news program is aired every Friday for 10 minutes and is
scheduled from 19:00 to 19:10 tonight. Tune in to watch this program that reports stories from
today‘s BCM NewsWire.
___________________________________________
BCM‟S MINING SUPPLY CHAIN DATABASE
The new version of BCM‘s Mining Supply Chain Database is in use. Following the initiative of Oyu
Tolgoi LLC, the BCM has maintained the Mining Supply Chain Database since March 2009. It is an
honor to introduce you to the new version of the database which is totally upgraded as to its
content and use of information technology opportunities.
As of December 31, 2012 suppliers registered on the database totaled 1,405. During 2012, 251 new
supplier entities joined the Database and 236 prior supplier registrants updated their company
profiles. In addition, 22 buyers were also registered and 82 tender announcements were posted.
We are inviting all Mongolian mining suppliers and buyer companies to join the Mining Supply Chain
Database. Please visit here for registration—FREE!
If you have any questions regarding the database, please contact 317027.
BCM WEBSITES
MONGOLIAN WEBSITE „PRESENTATIONS‟ AND „NEWS‟ SECTIONS
The ‗Presentations‘ section on BCM‘s Mongolian website can be reached via bcm.mn/itgeluud.
As a key component of BCM‘s Mongolian website, articles from the ‗News‘ section and the
government website Open-Government.mn are regularly updated.
S. Oyun, Minister of Environment and Green Development, presentation at BCM monthly meeting on
May 27 added to Mongolian website, bcmongolia.org/mn/илтгэлүүд.
- Байгаль орчин, ногоон хөгжлийн сайд С.Оюун, Байгаль орчин, ногоон хөгжлийн шинэчлэлийн
бодлого, үйл ажиллагаа, МБЗ-ийн сарын уулзалт 5 сарын 27, 2013
The following presentations were added from "Coaltrans 2013" conference that was held on June 19-
20, 2013 (in Mongolian):
• Нүүрсний үнийн хандалт – Монгол дахь гол чиг хандлагууд, Виллиам Ванг, Хятад Шинжээч,
Аргус Медиа, Коал Транс 2013 конференци
• Маттью Поттл Удирдах Партнер, PwC, Монгол Улсын нүүрсний зах зээлд Бүс нутгийн хөгжлийн
үзүүлэх нөлөө, Коал Транс 2013 конференци
• ―Төмөр замын төслийн эхлэл, ашиглалтын бэлтгэл‖, ТЭРГҮҮН Л.ПҮРЭВБААТАР, Коал Транс
2013 конференци
• Оросын Коксжих нүүрсний салбарын хөгжил–Шинэ мэдээлэл, Жон П.Л Бакарах, Ай-Эм-Си
Монтан компаний захирал, Коал Транс 2013 конференци
• Баянжаргалын Бямбасайхан, МБЗ-ийн дарга, Эрчим хүчний диваажин, Коал Транс 2013
конференци
• ТАВАН ТОЛГОЙ ТӨСӨЛ, Батсуурь Яайчил, Эрдэнэс Таван Толгой компаний гүйцэтгэх захирал,
Коал Транс 2013 конференци
• Шарын гол, Анарболд Одонхүү, Пи Ар, Маркетингийн менежер, Коал Транс 2013 конференци
• Лондонгийн хөрөнгийн биржтэй хэрэгжүүлж буй хамтын ажиллагаа -Шинэчлэл, Х.Алтай,
Монголын хөрөнгийн биржийн гүйцэтгэх захирал,Коал Транс 2013 конференци
___________________________________________
ENGLISH WEBSITE: 'PRESENTATIONS', 'MONGOLIA REPORTS', „MONGOLIAN BUSINESS NEWS‟,
„PHOTO GALLERY‟
On BCM‘s English website, the ―Resources‖ and ―Presentations‖ sections are available.
- Takenori Shimizu, Ambassador of Japan to Mongolia, Economic Relationship between Japan and
Mongolia, at the BCM Monthly meeting, June 24, 2013
The following presentations added from Coal Trans 2013:
- Batsuuri Yaichil, CEO, Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi JSC, ―Tavan Tolgoi Project‖, at the Coal Trans 2013,
Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia
- Graeme Hancock, President and Chief Representative, Mongolia, Anglo American Development,
―Opportunities and Challenges for Mongolian Coking Coal in the Chinese Market‖, at the Coal Trans
2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia
- William Wang, China Analyst, Argus Media, Coal Pricing Outlook-Key Trends for Mongolia at the
Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia
- Randolph S. Koppa, President, Trade and Development Bank of Mongolia, ―Chinggis bond impact
and significance‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia
- Matthew Pottle, Managing Partner, PwC, ―Impact of regional developments on Mongolia‘s coal
market‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia
- Purevbaatar Luvsandagva, President Railway Engineering Association of Mongolia,
―Commencement of railway projects and exploitation preparedness‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue
Sky Tower, Mongolia
- John P L Bacharach, Director, IMC Montan, ―Russian Coking Coal Developments –An Update‖, at
the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia
- Battur Bold, Mongolian Mining Corporation, ―Vital Role of Preparation Facilities in Enabling
Mongolian Coal to Compete as an Export Product‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower,
Mongolia
- Anarbold Odonkhuu, P.R and Marketing Manager, Sharyn Gol, ―Sharyn Gol, a New Dawn‖, at the
Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia
• Nick Cousyn, Chief Operating Officer, BDSec JSC, ―Gobi‘s Resort‖ at the BCM Monthly meeting
April 22, 2013
• Brian White, Editor, The Mongolist – ―Analyzing Mongolian Politics from the "Middle Layer", at the
BCM Monthly meeting April 22, 2013
• Ch. Otgochuluu, Head of Strategic Policy and Planning Department, Ministry of Mining, ―Brief
introduction on mining policy‖ at the BCM monthly meeting April 22, 2013
• ―The current flow of investment into Mongolia‖, S. Bold, Chief Economist, Central Bank, at the
"Foreign Investment in Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at
the Kempinski Hotel.
• ―About regulation on FDI‖, S. Javkhlanbaatar, Foreign Investment Regulations and Registration
Department Head, Ministry of Economic Development of Mongolia, at the "Foreign Investment in
Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at the Kempinski Hotel.
• ―Legal issues of regulation of foreign investment‖, B. Amarsanaa, Academic Secretary of National
Legal Institute, at the "Foreign Investment in Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference
on April 19, 2013 at the Kempinski Hotel.
• ―Investment in stocks and equities in Mongolia: risks, challenges and trends‖, D. Gan-Ochir, Head
of Financial Stability Council, Advisor to President of Central Bank, at the "Foreign Investment in
Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at the Kempinski Hotel.
• ―On current state of equities foreign investment‖, D. Achit-Erdene, CEO, MICC, at the "Foreign
Investment in Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at the
Kempinski Hotel.
• ―Market Update‖ by Mandal General Insurance LLC
• ―Annual Report 2012‖ by International Monetary Fund
• Ruth Pulaski, Director Marketing & Development, American University of Mongolia – ―American
University of Mongolia: Integrating a Liberal Education Approach to Learning‖ at the BCM monthly
meeting, March 25, 2013
• B. Bayar, Managing Director, ELC LLC – ―Update on Legal Developments Regarding Foreign
Investment‖ at the BCM monthly meeting, March 25, 2013
• Tony Burchill, Australian Consul-General & Trade Commissioner, Austrade – ―The Business of Being
a Third Neighbor‖ at the BCM monthly meeting, March 25, 2013
Other recently added presentations:
• Dr. Brian Fisher, Managing Director, BAEconomics, "Economic Impact of draft Minerals Law" at the
Kempinski Hotel, March 18, 2013, Ulaanbaatar
• Dr. Ch. Khashchuluun, CEO of UBRM Consulting, ―Mongolia and Mining, The policy evolution:
What's the next?‖ at the Kempinski Hotel, March 18, 2013, Ulaanbaatar
• Martin Pow, Partner, Enterprise Risk Services and Learning Leader, Deloitte Onch LLC, ―Black
Swans: Fact or Fiction,‖ A different risk management philosophy at the BCM Risk Management
Working Group meeting, March 14, 2013
Please note the presentations from each of the BCM monthly meetings.
The ―Mongolia Reports‖ section includes the following:
- ―Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, as of June 2013‖ by International Monetary
Fund;
- ―Update on the Issue of Strategic Deposits by Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited;
- ―Polit Barometer April, 2013‖ by Sant Maral Foundation;
- ―Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific‖, April 2013 by International Monetary Fund;
- ―Highlights of 2012, Mongolia‖ by European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD);
- ―Official statement of Oyu Tolgoi LLC in relation to information, data and facts related to Oyu
Tolgoi discussed during open session of the State Great Khural‖, dated 1 February, 2013‖;
- ―2013 Mongolia Investment Climate Statement‖, by the Economic and Commercial Section of the
U.S. Embassy;
- ―Mongolia Foreign Labor Force Ratio for 2013‖ by Hogan Lovells International LLP;
- ―How Mongolia will perform in 2013?‖ by Mandal Asset Management;
- ―Mongolia Business Owner and CFO Survey result‖ by BDSec JSC;
- ―The fiscal regime for mining-a way forward‖ by IMF Fiscal Affairs Department;
- ―Taxes for Expatriates in Mongolia‖ by PricewaterhouseCoopers.
BCM's English website includes the ―Mongolia Business News‖ section where the Open Letter to
Parliament and Government is available for download.
BCM continuously posts news stories and analysis of relevance to Mongolia at ‗Mongolian Business
News‖ before they are all put together each week for Friday's weekly NewsWire.
The ―Photo Gallery‖ contains photos from the 5th Anniversary BCM Gala dinner on November 5.
The BCM NewsWire will continue to be issued each Friday, incorporating items already on the home
page for a consolidated account of the week‘s events.
___________________________________________
SOCIAL NETWORK WITH BCM
The Business Council of Mongolia (BCM) has expanded its reach to your favorite social networks.
Keep up to date on the latest business deals in Mongolia and how the climate for investment is
improving each day with BCM.
Connect with BCM on Linked-in to join the diverse group of professional contacts creating a better
business environment in Mongolia today.
Add BCM on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/pages/THE-BUSINESS-COUNCIL-OF-
MONGOLIA/129826330435540 to read the latest announcements and comment on events carried in
the NewsWire with the community.
Hear breaking news and announcements as they happen when you follow BCM on Twitter at
http://twitter.com/#!/bcMongolia.
We have now 1,224 fans on our Facebook fans page, 1,297 connections on LinkedIn network, and
703 followers on Twitter.
Of course for news information, interviews, event photos, and announcements regarding our
organization, visit the official BCM website at www.bcmongolia.org and www.bcm.mn.
BCM WORKING GROUP MEETINGS
The BCM Education Working Group met in a joint meeting with VETC NGO on Tuesday, June 25, with
22 members attending.
Saha Meyanathan/DAS/, moderated the session.
New member: Sunjidmaa J /Peabody/ was welcomed.
Speakers and topics:
- Introduction of VETC NGO-Tuya Director of VETC
- Status Update on VETC Board Activities- Saha Meyanathan, DAS
- Paving the Way for a Common Roadmap - Discussion on the Establishment of a ‗Common Agenda
for the Development of the Mongolian TVET Sector‘
___________________________________________
The BCM Environmental Working Group met on Thursday, 27 June 2013 with 19 members attending.
Bayarmaa A, of Clean Energy, Newcom Group, moderated the session.
New members: Khulan Zumbee TCKMO; Keith Swenson New Zealand Nature Institute.
Participants: Kinoshita Satoshi, Sakita Hiromichi, Mungunzul Zandmaa –Mayor`s Office of Capital
City UB, Kaneda Keiko-JICA, Kenta Usi-IGES, Khulan Davaadorj-Clean Energy Asia, Sanaa Enkhtaivan-
Ministry of Environment and Green Development, Sariil D-Newcom Group.
Guest: Diane Birder- Suez Environment, Enkhbat B- Ikh Tiin Group, Bulganmurun Ts-Independent
Consultant Researcher.
Speakers and topics:
Waste Management and Recycling:
- JICA reviewed their projects on solid waste management and waste separation in UB- Kaneda
Keiko Project Formulation Adviser of JICA.
- Work from the Municipality Office on the current status of waste management and recycling in
Ulaanbaatar-Zandmaa Mungunzul officer of Mayor`s Office of Capital City UB
- Newcom‘s initiative in separating waste at office for further recycling: suggestion for increased
involvement of other offices -Saruul D,ESMS Manager
Introducing Joint Crediting Mechanism (JCM):
- IGES Researcher on "JCM and Its Business Opportunities for Mongolia" - Kenta Usui, Researcher
Climate and Energy Area of IGES
Introduction of member organization:
- Introduction of RPS Aquaterra, Tserendavaa, Business Relations Manager
Presentations available at BCM Environmental WG web page.
Please contact: erka@bcmongolia.org
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
INFLATION
Year 2006 6.0% [source: National Statistical Office of Mongolia (NSOM)]
Year 2007 *15.1% [source: NSOM]
Year 2008 *22.1% [source: NSOM]
Year 2009 *4.2% [source: NSOM]
Year 2010 *13.0% [source: NSOM]
Year 2011 *10.2% [source: NSOM]
May 31, 2013 *9.7% [source: NSOM]
*Year-over-year (y-o-y), nationwide
Note: 8.4% y-o-y, Ulaanbaatar city, May 31, 2013
CENTRAL BANK POLICY LOAN RATE
December 31, 2008 9.75% [source: IMF]
March 11, 2009 14.00% [source: IMF]
May 12, 2009 12.75% [source: IMF]
June 12, 2009 11.50% [source: IMF]
September 30, 2009 10.00% [source: IMF]
May 12, 2010 11.00% [source: IMF]
April 28, 2011 11.50% [source: IMF]
August 25, 2011 11.75% [source: IMF]
October 25, 2011 12.25% [source: IMF]
March 19, 2012 12.75% [source: Mongol Bank]
April 18, 2012 13.25% [source: Mongol Bank]
January 25, 2013 12.50% [source: Mongol Bank]
April 8, 2013 11.50% [source: Mongol Bank]
June 25, 2013 10.50%[source: Mongol Bank]
CURRENCY RATES – JUNE 27, 2013
Currency Name Currency Rate
US dollar USD 2,213.48
Euro EUR 1,882.29
Japanese yen JPY 14.78
British pound GBP 2,213.48
Hong Kong dollar HKD 185.67
Chinese Yuan CNY 234.84
Russian Ruble RUB 43.88
South Korean won KRW 1.24
Disclaimer: Except for reporting on BCM‘s activities, all information in the BCM NewsWire is
selected from various news sources. Opinions are those of the respective news sources.

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28.06.2013, NEWSWIRE, Issue 280

  • 1. BUSINESS COUNCIL of MONGOLIA NewsWire www.bcmongolia.org info@bcmongolia.org Issue 280 – June 28, 2013 NEWS HIGHLIGHTS: Business  Stand-off delays Mongolia OT exports;  Mongolia risk to hurt growth even with OT start-up, election;  Mongolia opens wind farm to fight smog;  EBRD to double investment into Mongolia's wind energy;  MMC granted new mining license;  Prophecy aims for re-launch in Q3;  Mongolian Railway makes partnerships for rail development;  First JBIC credit line to Mongolian government;  TDB taps loan market for USD 100 million;  Blue Wolf extends tender offer for shares to 15 July;  RPM appoints operations manager;  Teck appoints VP for coal as new COO;  Rio to cut about 40 jobs in Australian iron-ore unit;  Rosneft to send USD 60 billion worth of oil to China. Economy  MIBG rejoices at Elbegdorj's re-election;  Mongol Bank reduces policy rate by one point to 10.5 percent;  Mongolia deals out millions in new mortgages with new lending scheme;  Mongol Bank auctions USD 8 million, CNY 71 million;  MSE closed for election day;  MSE presents on global depository notes;  MIBG sees GDP growth to fall to 5.5 percent in 2013;  Mongolia banks on mining sector;  May monthly economic overview;  Mongolia to build 339 one-stop service centers;  Where dinosaurs roamed, Rio’s copper dream stirs water worry;  U.S. scientists travel to Mongolia to offer habitat help;  Peabody sees world coal demand growth;  Copper hits three-year low;  Mining companies: Slash and earn;  World GDP. Politics  Elbegdorj wins re-election;  Mongolia sees at least 63.89 percent voter turnout;  Mining wealth distribution key issue in polls;  Mongolia wrestles with its past in presidential election;  Touted debate fizzles into Q&A exercise;  Cabinet approves Green Civilization 10-year plan;  IAAC announces criminal investigation into former Erdenes TT director;  Has Mongolian politics become a grappling sport?  Inner Mongolian asylum seekers shunned by ‘Outer’ politics;
  • 2.  Australia opposition says top priority to dump mining, carbon taxes. ECONOMIC INDICATORS  MSE Top 20 Index by market Capitalization;  Foreign-listed Companies with Mongolian Assets;  Supermarket Price Comparison – May-June 2013;  Macroeconomic Overview – May 2013;  Inflation;  Central bank policy rate;  Currency rates. *Click on titles above to link to articles. SPONSORS Khan Bank Major Drilling International SOS Wagner Asia Automotive Wagner Asia Equipment Oxford Business Group Mongolian National Broadcasting Breakthrough PR BCM MONTHLY MEETING RECAP The BCM meeting on 24 June, with Bayanjargal Byambasaikhan in the chair, was attended by 92 members and invited guests. BCM membership now stands at 257, an all-time high, compared with 223 in May 2012. ―For every additional new member, we set a new record,‖ said Executive Director Jim Dwyer. The most recently joined member is:
  • 3. Namaste Indian Restaurant is a family business owned by Ch. Oyunbileg and her husband S. Kumar. Since Namaste Restaurant opened in August 2010, they have enjoyed the support of their loyal guests who voted their restaurant as the ―Top Choice Indian Restaurant of Ulaanbaatar‖ in the 2011 edition of Lonely Planet Magazine. It also received the ―Certificate of Excellence – 2013‖ award from Tripadvisor.com. There are currently two Namaste restaurants, one inside the Flower Hotel in Sansar and the other on Baga Toiruu. Together they employ more than 40 employees, of which five are professional Indian chefs. Supervising the restaurants is Kumar, who has spent 13 years in various Indian kitchens in Mongolia and India. First to speak was Yana Stankova, Country Director of Oxford Business Group, to reintroduce members to her organization's aims and renew its partnership with the Business Council of Mongolia with the signing of the third memorandum of understanding in three years. She also noted that she and her staff were hard at work on the 2014 Report to include all the latest developments in the Mongolia investment market. The second presentation was given by Luvsandendev Sumati, Director of Sant Maral Foundation, to discuss their latest poll before the election. This was the second poll released before this year's presidential election, but the only one following the announcement of the candidates challenging incumbent President Tsakhia Elbegdorj. ―If you refer to the March poll, no candidates were nominated, but it's quite normal that Elbegdorj was ahead of any possible rival,‖ said Sumati. He added, ―Since then, nothing has changed in the rating of the party... I'd say in this election, Elbegdorj is quite safe.‖ Sumati noted that more than half of those polled felt elections in Mongolia had improved since the introduction of the electronic voting machines. He also noted that his poll indicated that 70 percent of those questioned were interested in voting, but the actual turnout might be lower because of the usual migration of people during this time of the year. Next to speak was Adrienne Youngman of Mongolia Talent Network to introduce Golomt Bank as the winner of the ―Employer of the Year‖ title for 2012. ―I am very honored to receive this award on behalf of our employees. Golomt is proud to be the first to win this award,‖ said Dagva Munkhtur, the Operations Director. Ambassador of the Japanese Embassy Takenori Shimizu spoke next to give a presentation on the history of relations between Mongolia and Japan as well as a detailed description of their moves towards closer relations in trade and diplomacy. Shimizu's experience in Mongolia spans a large portion of Mongolia's history following the 1991 democratic revolution, and he has witnessed firsthand Mongolia's transition towards a capitalist economic system. Japan's largest contribution to Mongolia, he said, is probably in education and human development. Japan provides 70 scholarships to Mongolian students annually and currently has 1,300 Mongolian students studying at its universities. ―Unfortunately, economic relations are not as good regarding trade, and the current volumes are low,‖ said the ambassador. He said, ―Both sides—Mongolian and Japan—are equally unhappy with this current situation.‖ He noted the importance of the Erch initiative introduced during Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's visit to Mongolia earlier this year. He explained that two of its major aims were to enhance business relations and expand growth in Mongolia. He also brought attention to the efforts of the JICA volunteers on the ground in Mongolia working to implement infrastructure projects such as the metro project planned for Ulaanbaatar. ―Mongolia is developing rapidly, with the mining sector in the most important role,‖ he said. ―However, what's more important is how you use the income from mining. I hope Mongolia will use it [the revenues from mining] wisely and Japan is happy to assist in this area.‖
  • 4. For the last presentation was U. Ganzorig, President of Mandal General Insurance, to speak on risks in Mongolia. He introduced to the audience Mandal's 2013 Risk Report, with a number of copies in Mongolian language made available free to members. That report includes 10 risks facing Mongolia today, but for the evening's presentation he would introduce a select few. The first and most pressing risk was the deficit in the budget born out of too-optimistic projections for commodity prices. He said Mongolia's economy was weighing heavily in the mining sector, an unpredictable source of income, with 17 percent of total gross domestic product (GDP) sourced from that sector. ―There is a very huge correlation with copper price and coal price in relation to the budget,‖ said Ganzorig while pointing to a chart that showed budgets and surpluses that closely followed commodity prices. ―The effect of coal prices in recent months, you've all noticed that.‖ Other risks included the air pollution that was causing respiratory problems in the short run but in the long run would likely lead to cancers and strokes. Poor driving was responsible for 90 percent of accidents, he said, and many of the city's buildings were ill-equipped for earthquakes. Another pressing worry was a likely energy crisis to hit Mongolia this winter. He noted that Mongolia had exceeded the nation's power generation capabilities first in 2010, and this year would likely see the displacement of more than 700 people in the event of wide-scale energy and heat failures. BUSINESS STAND-OFF DELAYS MONGOLIA OT EXPORTS Wednesday's presidential election and a revenue spat have reportedly caused the delay of the first copper export at Mongolia's USD 6.6 billion Oyu Tolgoi mine. Anglo-Australian mining giant Rio Tinto PLC said its plan to start exporting copper from the USD 6.2 billion copper and gold mine on Friday had been delayed, heightening investor concerns about the risks of mining in the country. Uncertainty over what was behind the delay sparked an exodus out of shares in other Mongolian miners on Friday, with Canadian and Australian-listed miners exposed to the country sliding between 10 and 20 percent. Rio Tinto spokesperson Bruce Tobin said on Friday that Oyu Tolgoi was ready to start its first shipments of copper concentrate from its Mongolian mine and all necessary permits to do so have been received from relevant authorities. ―However, plans to start shipping on Friday, 21 June have been postponed at the request of the government of Mongolia,‖ Tobin said. The mine operator declined to comment on what was behind the latest delay, but sources said that it is no coincidence that it has occurred just before Mongolia's presidential election on Wednesday, as Oyu Tolgoi is the biggest foreign investment in the country and resource nationalism has been a major election issue. Journalists had been invited the week prior to attend a ceremony at the copper and gold mine on 14 June to mark the first exports. That was postponed to 21 June, but the event was again canceled at the last minute. The event on 14 June was postponed because the government said that Rio Tinto should keep all export revenue in Mongolia, Prime Minister Norov Altankhuyag said earlier this week. The agreement that governs the project gives Rio Tinto the freedom to put the export revenue anywhere it wants, they said. The government earlier briefly froze the accounts of Rio Tinto and Canada's SouthGobi Resources this year, making investors nervous about their ability their ability to repatriate earnings, and sources said that concerns of keeping revenue in Mongolia remain because of this. Rio Tinto has said since February it would not begin exporting until it resolved disputes with the Mongolian government over royalties, costs, management fees and project financing. Source: Al Jazeera MONGOLIA RISK TO HURT GROWTH EVEN WITH OT START-UP, ELECTION Mongolia's efforts to protect its mineral wealth have scared investors so much that not even the first exports from its biggest mine and the expected re-election this week of a president who wants
  • 5. foreign capital will turn sentiment around. With the country's economic growth heavily tied to its vast copper and coal resources, Mongolia should have been celebrating the first copper sales to China from the USD 6.2 billion Oyu Tolgoi mine. Instead the government twice this month told mine operator Rio Tinto PLC to delay the first shipment, partly due to a dispute over the repatriation of profits. Some analysts said the holdup was also aimed at keeping a lid on nationalism ahead of the presidential vote on Wednesday. Industry experts believe exports will start soon, but the delays follow a year in which Mongolia introduced draft legislation to tighten control over mining activity and limit foreign investment. ―Whilst the country has lots of resource potential and holds Oyu Tolgoi, a world-scale mine, there's too much headline risk,‖ said Darko Kuzmanovic, a portfolio manager at Caledonia Investments, which holds global mining stocks but has steered clear of Mongolia-focused miners. Mining executives hoped that if Elbegdorj is re-elected as expected, he will be under less pressure to push a resource nationalism agenda since he will no longer be in campaign mode. While making promising noises about consulting the industry over the new mining law and amendments to the strategic foreign investment law, the government put off debate on the legislation until after the election. While Mongolia has issued all permits needed for Rio Tinto to start exporting, the government is pressing the company to keep all revenue in the country, Vice Minister of Economic Development Ochirbat Chuluunbat told Reuters. However, that was not holding up exports, he said, declining to give further details. The investment agreement for Oyu Tolgoi gives Rio Tinto the freedom to put export revenue anywhere it wants, sources familiar with the situation have said. Both Oyu Tolgoi and Mongolia's other big project, the Tavan Tolgoi coking coal mine, are perfectly located near China, which needs huge amounts of copper, coal and iron ore even though its economic growth has slowed. With coal prices having dropped about 30 percent over the past 18 months, some analysts think it will be a long time before Tavan Tolgoi is fully developed. ―The world doesn't need another coal mine,‖ said Kuzmanovic. Source: Reuters MONGOLIA OPENS WIND FARM TO FIGHT SMOG Mongolia has opened its first wind farm, a landmark USD 122 million project that aims to shift the country's reliance on coal and tackle the pollution choking its capital in Ulaanbaatar. A total of 31 turbines have been erected at the facility which are expected to power 5 percent of electricity needs in a country undergoing rapid transformation on the back of a spectacular boom in mining, particularly coal. Backers hope the 50-megawatt facility erected 70 kilometers southeast of Ulaanbaatar at a windy ridge called Salkhit will be the first step in a national drive to harness cleaner energy in the mineral rich country. ―This positive experience will pave the way for future investments in the energy and other vital infrastructure sectors and acts as a concrete demonstration of the government's green development agenda,‖ said Boldbaatar Tserenpuntsag of Newcom LLC. Fifteen of the wind turbines were switched on at Thursday's opening ceremony, with the remainder to become operational next month. The Mongolian capital was ranked the planet's second-most polluted city by the World Health Organization in a 2011 report, largely due to its coal-fired power stations and residents burning coal to keep warm in winter, when temperatures can plummet to a punishing minus 30 degrees Celsius. The new wind farm which will supply 140 million to 170 million kilowatt hours of power each year to the national grid will reduce demand for coal by 122,000 tons per year, helping the government meet a target for renewable resources to make up 20 percent of the country's energy needs. Eighty percent of energy requirements currently come from coal in Mongolia, where more than USD 1 trillion worth of untapped resources are underground. Source: Coal Guru EBRD TO DOUBLE INVESTMENT INTO MONGOLIA'S WIND ENERGY The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) is ready to invest another USD 50
  • 6. million in new wind projects following its USD 47 million investment for Newcom LLC's Salkhit wind farm. The 50 megawatt Salkhit wind farm outside of Ulaanbaatar has been connected to the electricity grid and is now generating electricity. EBRD, which provided debt and equity funding for the project, has announced that it is ready to invest in further renewable projects in Mongolia. The site at Salkhit—meaning ―windy‖ in Mongolian—will generate about 5 percent of the country's electricity needs. The investment has been hailed as a major step forward in the country's new green energy strategy. ―Salkhit wind farm has awakened interest in wind power in Mongolia from other investors, both local and international,‖ said EBRD Director for Power and Energy Nandita Parshad. ―We are now assessing several follow-on wind farm projects, and expect to invest about USD 50 million in renewable energy generators in Mongolia in the coming years. The demonstration effect from Salkhit, in terms of both project implementation and financing, has been significant.‖ President Tsakhia Elbegdorj has said that the country aims to become a regional renewables hub, producing a quarter of the energy from renewable sources and potentially exporting both wind-and solar-generated electricity. Salkhit was constructed with debt and equity financing of USD 47.5 million from the EBRD, an amount matched by FMO, the Dutch development bank. The funds were provided to Clean Energy LLC, a company that is 51 percent owned by Newcom, 14 percent by EBRD, 14 percent by FMO, and 21 percent by General Electric Co. ―The Salkhit wind farm is a flagship project for Mongolia's renewable energy sector and energy sector as a whole. The project has introduced new and advanced technology and know-how to the industry,‖ said Clean Energy Chief Executive and Newcom Chief Investment Officer Sengee Enkh- Amgalan. Source: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development MMC GRANTED NEW MINING LICENSE The Minerals Resources Authority (MRA) granted Mongolian Mining Corp. (MMC) a special permit for minerals extraction from Tsaikhar Khudag through Khangad Exploration LLC. The new mining license covers a total area of around 8,340 hectares and contains around 73 million tons of coal resources according to the Mongolian geological and mining reporting standards. The mining license covers an initial period of 30 years, and is subject to two consecutive extensions of 20 years. MMC will pay an annual fee of USD 41,700. Source: ETNet PROPHECY AIMS FOR RE-LAUNCH IN Q3 Prophecy Coal Corp. reported that it was actively discussing several potential coal sales and purchase agreements with the goal of resuming mining operations in the third quarter of this year and ramped up production in 2014. Coal prices in the Mongolia region have been largely shielded from global economic weakness. Current benchmark premium coal pricing is exceeding USD 40 a ton in Mongolia and USD 50 a ton at several delivery points in the Russian Republic of Buryatia. These prices represent a material increase year-over-year. Prophecy projects that Russian sales through the Zeltura and Sukhbaatar border crossings will account for over 50 percent of the sale volume. Prophecy also noted that it had received written correspondence from Russian parties regarding the purchase of Ulaan Ovoo coal and the Ulaan Ovoo mine itself. Source: Prophecy Coal Corp. MONGOLIAN RAILWAY MAKES PARTNERSHIPS FOR RAIL DEVELOPMENT A signing ceremony was held on 20 June for a memorandum of investment for the New Railways project. Inking the memorandum was Mongolian Railway Executive Director P. Bat-Erdene along with representatives of Russia's Eurasia Foundation and the United Kingdom's Ashmore Group. Also in attendance was Road and Transportation Minister A. Gansukh and M. Kirsan Ilyumzhinov, president
  • 7. of Eurasia Foundation. Mongolian Railway has issued a special permit for construction of new rail. Currently the railway is in the initial phase, which includes the selection of advisors for legal and technical assistance. Source: Montsame FIRST JBIC CREDIT LINE TO MONGOLIAN GOVERNMENT The Ministry of Economic Development signed a JPY 8 billion (USD 82 million) export credit line with the Japan Bank of International Cooperation (JBIC). The credit line is co-financed with private fiscal institutions, with Nippon Export and Investment Insurance providing buyer's credit insurance for the portion co-financed by private financial institutions. Source: BNE TDB TAPS LOAN MARKET FOR USD 100 MILLION Trade and Development Bank (TDB) of Mongolia LLC has launched its first loan into general syndication through bookrunners ING, FMO, and TDB Capital. The USD 100 million loan is split between a USD 50 million A-loan from FMO, and a USD 50 million B- loan which is split into three tranches. The tranches have tenor of two years, three years, and five years, priced at 595 basis points over Libor, 620 basis points and 660 basis points, respectively. Lenders that committed in excess of USD 10 million can join as a mandated lead arranger for a fee of 200 basis points. Those lending USD 5 billion to USD 10 million can join as lead arrangers for a fee of 180 basis points, and arrangers lending less than USD 6 million will pay a fee of 150 basis points. Source: Trade Finance BLUE WOLF EXTENDS TENDER OFFER FOR SHARES TO 15 JULY Merger and asset acquisition company Blue Wolf Mongolia Holdings Corp. MNGL announced on Thursday that it has extended the tender offer for its shares until 5 p.m., New York City time on 15 July, unless further extended or terminated. The completion of the tender offer is a condition to Blue Wolf's previously announced business combination with Li3 Energy Inc. According to the company, this extension is being made to comply with the rules and procedure requirements of the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC). Except for such extension, all of the terms and conditions set forth in the tender offer materials filed with the SEC on 21 May 2013 remain unchanged. Reportedly, the last reported trading price of Blue Wolf ordinary shares on the NASDAQ Capital Market as on 19 June was USD 10.29 per share. Also, as of 19 June, some 1.87 million ordinary shares have been tendered under the offer and not withdrawn. Morrow & Co. LLC is acting as the information agent for the offer, while the depositary is Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Co. Source: MENAFN RPM APPOINTS OPERATIONS MANAGER RungePincockMinarco (RPM) appointed Stewart Coates as its new operations manager for its Mongolian business. Coates is a qualified geologist with a career spanning over 25 years in Australia, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, the Philippines, and Mongolia. He is a chartered geologist with the Association of Professional Engineers and Geoscientists of British Columbia. ―Stewart will lead our team of mining consultants in Mongolia who are part of our global network of highly capable mining experts,‖ said Philippe Baudry, regional general manager. ―Through our team in Ulaanbaatar, clients have access to the right combination of local technical knowledge and world-class domain expertise.‖ Source: RungePincockMinarco TECK APPOINTS VP FOR COAL AS NEW COO Canada's largest diversified miner, Teck Resources Ltd., on Thursday appointed Ian Kilgour executive vice president and new chief operations officer, as the company focuses on cost
  • 8. management amid dwindling commodity prices. Kilgour joined Teck in February 2011 as senior vice president for coal, and would now be responsible for all of the company's mining operations and joint ventures in its steelmaking coal, copper and zinc business units. Teck also announced that Dale Andres would lead its copper division, following the retirement of Roger Higgins. Andres previously held an executive role in copper strategy and North American operations and was responsible for developing the growth plan for Teck's copper business unit. During Higgins' five years at Teck, the company's copper production had grown from some 300,000 tons in 2008 to a yearly rate of 400,000 tons in the last half of 2012. Source: Mining Weekly RIO TO CUT ABOUT 40 JOBS IN AUSTRALIAN IRON-ORE UNIT. Rio Tinto PLC, the main private investor behind the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold project, is cutting more than 40 office jobs in its Australian iron-ore division as the world's second-biggest producer of the steelmaking ingredient chases greater cost savings to combat a weaker market. The iron ore division, Rio Tinto's main profit engine, is awaiting board approval later this year to spend billions of dollars to expand production capability to 360 million tons annually in 2015. It produced 253 million tons in 2012. ―It's mainly general manager and manager roles as we reshape the business to delay it and be better suited to match the market environment and outlook,‖ a Rio Tinto spokesman said. The Anglo-Australian miner employs around 68,000 staff company-wide and around 10,000 in the Australian iron-ore division. Since the middle of the last decade, Rio Tinto has been the fastest- growing iron-ore producer among the major suppliers, which include Vale SA and BHP Billiton Ltd. Iron ore prices have gone from boom to bust and partly back again—hitting a high above USD 190 a ton in 2011 and a low under USD 90 in 2012—in three years since the sector switched from once-a- year fixed pricing to a spot market. At current prices of around USD 117 a ton, Rio Tinto enjoys an operating margin of around USD 70 per ton, among the highest in the sector. Source: Reuters ROSNEFT TO SEND USD 60 BILLION WORTH OF OIL TO CHINA The Russian state oil company that was until recently the sole supplier to Mongolia with fuel, Rosneft, intends to sign a major contract to supply China with more than USD 60 billion of crude oil a deal that could signal a small shift away from Western Europe toward Asia. Russia has been gradually opening its oil spigot to China in recent years. While the overall volume of Russia's oil output has remained level, the country has decreased sales to recession-plagued Europe. ―Without any exaggeration a large-scale contract has been prepared by Rosneft,‖ said President Vladimir Putin after a meeting on Thursday with China's vice premier, Zhang Gaoli. Supplies to China are expected to reach ―volumes of hundreds of millions of tons of oil, in total worth more than USD 60 billion,‖ Putin said, though he provided no further details about the hefty contract. Russia pipes oil directly to China after a trans-Siberian pipeline was completed in 2010 that overcame decades of tension along the long and remote border between Siberia and Manchuria. Putin told Zhang that he hopes two Russian gas companies, Gazprom and Novatek, will similarly strike deals to export energy to China. Energy analysts said Rosneft has also been negotiating with Chinese companies to form joint ventures to drill in the Russian sector of the Arctic Ocean above eastern Siberia. The Rosneft deal would become the latest in a series of financial transactions between Russian energy companies and China. Rosneft first took a loan of USD 6 billion from China's state bank as repayment for oil exports in 2005. The company, in turn, used the money to finance its takeover of the largest production unit of Yukos Oil Company. In 2009, Chinese banks lent USD 25 billion to Rosneft and the state oil pipeline monopoly, Transneft, to complete the trans-Siberian pipeline. Under the terms of the deal, the banks would be repaid with 2.5 billion barrels of oil exported to China over 20 years from 2010 until 2030.
  • 9. Source: New York Times ECONOMY MIBG REJOICES AT ELBEGDORJ'S RE-ELECTION Mongolian Investment Banking Group has noted the positive gains for investors with the re-election of President Tsakhia Elbegdorj. Elbegdorj's agenda for re-election stated that Mongolia will not discriminate investors,‖ said the Source. ―While this was a far reaching statement lacking some clarity, we believe that it presents an open and strong foundation for foreign investment into Mongolia.‖ The source noted that this would be Elbegdorj's last term, meaning that he was less likely to drive forward legislation bearing populist sentiment for the remainder of his time in office. His win also gives the Democratic renewed total control of government with DP figureheads sitting in the roles of president, prime minister, speaker and UB City mayor. ―This provides Mongolia with a solid foundation for the next three years in terms of the introduction and implementation of government policy and legislation.‖ On the horizon are the new Minerals Law, which the president withdrew after an initial public unveiling in December last year due to broad criticisms. Elbegdorj is also expected to continue his fight against corruption, one of the cornerstone activities of the Democratic Party, for the remainder of his term. The Source suggested he might take an even stronger stance against corruption now that he no longer needs to worry about re-election. ―We strongly believe that Elbegdorj's re-election is a major step forward for Mongolia. It is a strong signal for the foreign investment community, for private sector growth, and for the overall economy of the country.‖ Source: Mongolian Investment Banking Group MONGOL BANK REDUCES POLICY RATE BY ONE POINT TO 10.5 PERCENT The Bank of Mongolia reduced its policy rate by one percentage point to 10.5 percent, effective 25 June. Source: Cover Mongolia MONGOLIA DEALS OUT MILLIONS IN NEW MORTGAGES WITH NEW LENDING SCHEME The Bank of Mongolia reported that it had approved MNT 8.8 billion in new mortgages in the first six days since the introduction of a new program for mortgages with 8 percent interest. Last week banks received refinancing requests for a total of MNT 587.1 billion. Banks moved MNT 195.2 billion in mortgages to the new interest rate of 8 percent, while MNT 8.8 billion worth of new mortgages were issued from MNT 90.9 billion worth of applications from 207 people. The new program, which is a collaborative effort between Mongolian Mortgage Corp., the Bank of Mongolia and the government, lends to households for the purchase of apartments of no more than 80 square meters and to those who can make a down payment of 30 percent of the entire purchase. Those already with mortgages of between 15 and 22 percent can now transition to the new mortgage scheme as well. Source: Business-Mongolia.com MONGOL BANK AUCTIONS USD 8 MILLION, CNY 71 MILLION The Bank of Mongolia sold USD 8 million and CNY 71 million (USD 11.5 million) to commercial banks on 27 June. The Central Bank sold USD 150 million for swap agreements and refused the offer for forward agreements from local commercial banks. The foreign exchange auctions are used as a policy instrument by the Central Bank to improve the transparency and efficiency of the foreign exchange market and to stabilize the foreign exchange rate of the tugrug as determined by market forces. The Bank of Mongolia normally holds foreign exchange auctions on Tuesdays and Thursdays, with
  • 10. bids accepted from commercial banks only. Source: Mongol Bank MSE CLOSED FOR ELECTION DAY The stock market closed on Wednesday, 26 June for the presidential election. Source: Mongolian Stock Exchange JSC MSE PRESENTS ON GLOBAL DEPOSITORY NOTES The Mongolian Stock Exchange and Citi Corporate and Investment Banking Group gave a presentation on global depository notes on 20 June. The presentation was held to provide general information regarding global depository notes as well as to present the advantages of introducing this new instrument to the domestic market. The revised Securities Law presides over the issuance of depository receipts, which will diversify the current products on the capital market while offering another opportunity to foreign investors to access the Mongolian capital market. In addition, Mongolian Stock Exchange JSC presented an overview of the revised Securities Law, analysis of the opportunities being created and a vision for the future with a safe and efficient post-trading environment. Source: Mongolian Stock Exchange JSC MIBG SEES GDP GROWTH TO FALL TO 5.5 PERCENT IN 2013 Mongolian Investment Banking Group has made a projection for growth of between 5 and 6 percent in 2013, falling well below 2012 growth of 12.3 percent. As of 19 June the National Statistical Office reported that the price of main consumables fell by 1.8 percent from a month ago. With May annualized CPI at 9.7 compared with 9.8 percent in March, the continued trend of decreasing inflation has been positioned by policy makers as the successful result of the fight against appreciation in the domestic market. However, this is an alarming indicator that suggests a continuation of decreasing economic activity, which will deliver a 2013 growth rate that is far below expectations. Mongolia has seen significant slowdown in foreign trade activity. Since the mid-1990s Mongolia‘s economic position has been driven by foreign trade, with a significant reliance on exports for revenue generation but also on imports as the domestic production of consumables is too small to economically support demand. As a result, Mongolia‘s foreign trade has always been larger than the overall economy itself. The current ratio of international trade as a share of GDP is approximately 140 percent, compared with 25.2 percent in the United States and 49 percent in China. On 15 July, Mongolian foreign trade activity fell by 8.9 percent year-on-year. While an improvement from earlier reports as low as 15.2 percent in April, it may not mean an upward trend has emerged. Instead, it could be a sign of a recovery in foreign trade from economic stimulation from last year‘s USD 1.5 billion Chinggis bond. Coal and copper will play a major role in determining Mongolia‘s real growth rates in the future. This is especially true in terms of coal pricing and the ability of exporters to negotiate and in some instances re-negotiate favorable returns with Chinese importers. Source: Mongolian Investment Banking Group MONGOLIA BANKS ON MINING SECTOR For banks in Mongolia, the development of the capital markets is the most pressing priority. ―The deposit raising ability of any bank is fundamental unless you have an efficient, sophisticated capital market. We have to keep learning and continue to become more sophisticated so that we can work together with the global banks,‖ said Norhiko Kato, Chief Executive Officer of Khan Bank LLC. He added that some areas of immediate interest in terms of expansion plans are bancassurance business and insurance. According to Randolph Koppa, President of Trade and Development Bank (TDB) of Mongolia LLC, ―Inflation is being tackled and has come down, although there is still concern about the fiscal deficit, which has ultimately been driven by falling commodity prices, therefore reducing the
  • 11. revenue generated. Under its fiscal stability law, the government must keep the structural deficit within 2 percent of nominal gross domestic product (GDP). Koppa said government had spent less overall, with a fiscal surplus in the first quarter of the year. The banking sector has substantial exposure to the mining sector, which accounts for about 11.5 percent of total loans outstanding across the banking system so far this year; almost MNT 800 billion. At the end of 2012, mining accounted for 14.3 percent of total loans outstanding. Bank assets grew by 28 percent to reach MNT 11.99 trillion by the end of 2012, but this was down from a record 50 percent increase in 2011, largely because of lower coal prices and volumes of exports. Moody's has assigned a negative outlook to Mongolia's banking system, stating that performance would ―reflect the challenges the banks face in managing what will likely be a period of loan growth in an economy that is increasingly exposed to commodity-driven boom-bust cycles.‖ Moody's also mentions the banks' limited capital reserves that can provide only a weak buffer to any losses that might occur. Source: Cover Mongolia, Euromoney MAY MONTHLY ECONOMIC OVERVIEW The supply of foreign currency continued to fall in May due to the decrease in exports and foreign direct investment, which was exacerbated by the depreciation of the exchange rate. Foreign currency has fallen 15.2 percent since the beginning of the year to MNT 3.39 billion. The Bank of Mongolia has conducted foreign exchange auctions with the aim of stabilizing the national currency, but these measures have so far made little impact. The fall in the exchange rate has had some positive influence through an increase in the profits made by resource exports when converted in tugrugs. However inflationary effect on imported goods and commodities due to the deprecation in the exchange rate should not be underestimated. There has been criticism from economists that a significant amount of the government's current budget expenditure is being financed through indirect off-budget mechanisms. The Price Stabilization Program that began in December 2012 is intended to last for three years and continues to provide cheap loans to targeted industries, including petroleum, meat, flour, construction materials and transportation, to maintain price stability. There is also the more recent arrangement between the government and Central Bank for MNT 900 billion in loans being made available for domestic commercial banks to use in helping address the current liquidity problem in the domestic financial with the funds backed by the Chinggis bonds. Meanwhile commercial banks have invested large sums in the bills issued by the Central Bank and the government's treasury bills, suggesting that local banks are in fact supporting these programs. Source: Economic Policy and Competitiveness Research Committee MONGOLIA TO BUILD 339 ONE-STOP SERVICE CENTERS The Cabinet of Ministers last month approved a model for community service centers to be built in 339 towns and cities across the country. The Ministries of Construction and Urban Development and Economic Development are charged with hiring companies to develop blue prints for 102 buildings to be constructed in 330 towns and nine provincial capitals. Towns are being divided into five categories for the capacities of service centers needed. This latest plan will save the government funds, reducing the number of planned buildings from 2,905 with the one-stop service centers. Source: Zuunii Medee WHERE DINOSAURS ROAMED, RIO‟S COPPER DREAM STIRS WATER WORRY The lump of copper ore beneath the brown scrub and sand of the Gobi Desert is about the size of Manhattan and contains enough of the metal to meet world demand for two years. Known as Oyu Tolgoi, or Turquoise Hill, the deposit is an estimated 70 million years old, which dates it to around when dinosaurs roamed the Gobi. Rio Tinto PLC now rules that desert. Rio Tinto found water 40 kilometers from the mine site in what is called an ―ancient aquifer‖ 400
  • 12. meters below ground and measuring 45 kilometers by 15 kilometers. Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi LLC unit will use 696 liters of water a second to process ore into copper concentrate for delivery by road to China—a truck every nine minutes, 24 hours a day. The mine would consume 20 percent of the water in the Gunii Hooloi aquifer, which is not fit for human or animal consumption because of its excessive mineral and salt content, and 80 percent of the water used will be recycled, Oyu Tolgoi said. While the mine is just starting, part of the funding talks will be on how it will end in about 50 years. Once a mine is exhausted, an operator is obliged to return earth and rocks removed from the site. Another form of waste is powdered rock known as tailings, which can contain chemicals and acids used to separate metals from ore. Oyu Tolgoi plans to store its tailings from processing 110,000 tons of ore a day in a reservoir beyond the open pit mine. Tailings sites have been known to fail. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. agreed to pay USD 6.8 million in 2012 to settle federal and state claims that hazardous substances escaped from tailings at its Morenci mine in Arizona. In Indonesia, Freeport has repeatedly sparred with the government over tailings disposal into a river near its Grasberg project, the world's second-largest copper mine. Water issues are at the forefront of concerns for Sanjaasuren Oyun, Minister of Nature and Green Development. A geologist for Rio Tinto before entering politics in 1999, Oyun said her ministry will monitor wells around the mine. ―We are urging mining companies to recycle water for industrial use,‖ Cambridge-educated-educated Oyun said. ―We are discussing an increase in water tariffs.‖ That's to encourage more water recycling as then the companies will pay less, she said. The government and World Bank are studying options to channel water from the Orkhon River to the Gobi via an aqueduct. An environmental impact study for the project will be ready by the end of 2014, Oyun said. Source: Businessweek U.S. SCIENTISTS TRAVEL TO MONGOLIA TO OFFER HABITAT HELP The Montana-based Tributary Fund for the first time sent U.S. experts to Mongolia to offer information and assistance on how to rebuild their landscape after damage from mining operations. The visit follows multiple visits by Mongolian monks to the Northern Plains Resource Council to learn how the group worked with Stillwater Mining Co. to develop a ―good neighbor‖ plan. Since monks are respected in Mongolia, the Tributary Fund sees them as a crucial link to spreading a sense of environmentalism in the country, as well as using their monasteries as demonstration sites for growing native plants. ―We wanted to create a situation where the monastery would be a demonstration site, providing an education presence for people who visited the monastery on how to reintroduce species,‖ said Susan Higgins, the fund's managing and programming director. ―But the monks had an idea of a beautiful garden with fountains,‖ she said—not necessarily well suited to the dry, windy climate. She added, ―The team was really struck with the cultural perception of what should be.‖ Whether the suggestions from the Tributary Fund will foster any change is uncertain. For one thing, some of the monks simply wanted to improve their monastery's grounds to have a garden-like setting, no matter what type of species, and basic irrigation systems are nonexistent. Also the monks have little or no science background and a young government that has little experience with environmental restoration. Jennings said Mongolians don't see sediments running into streams as pollution, despite the debilitating effects it can have on waterways and the resulting loss of topsoil. They also don't realize that heavy grazing, its compaction of the soil and the resulting flashy runoff of rainwater is hurting the topsoil's ability to maintain vegetation. ―They very much want to do the right thing on the land, but they're pretty well entrenched in the way they've done things,‖ he said. Source: Billing's Gazette PEABODY SEES WORLD COAL DEMAND GROWTH Global coal demand is expected to grow by around 1.4 billion metric tons over the next five years driven by the needs of China and India, Peabody Energy Corp.'s chief executive said Wednesday.
  • 13. The coal market's prospects look bright in spite of recent weak demand from Asia that sent the price of steelmaking coal to four-year lows, Gregory Boyce said at a Minerals Council of Australia conference in Canberra. A massive blackout in India last year affecting more than half the population highlights the country's need for more imports. Global demand for coal currently stands at about 8 billion tons a year. The Indian government earlier this year said it was moving to boost coal imports and electricity- generating capacity to tackle power shortages. Coal presently fuels 57 percent of the country's power plants. But Boyce warned that Australia, one of the world's largest shippers of the fuel, was in danger of production moving to lower-cost countries. He said high costs and weak commodity prices were damaging the viability of new projects in the country. BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest supplier of steelmaking coal, has ruled out further expansion of its coal-mining business, while other producers including Glencore, Xstrata PLC and New Hope Corp. have announced cutbacks. Source: Wall Street Journal COPPER HITS THREE-YEAR LOW Industrial metals tumbled with copper hitting a three-year low as traders feared that China‘s liquidity squeeze could dent demand in the world‘s top metals consumer. The spike in short-term lending rates in China, together with softer data on the economy, has rattled metals and mining investors. Copper for delivery in three months on the London Metal Exchange tumbled as much as 3.4 percent to USD 6,613 a ton on Monday morning—the lowest since July 2010. The shares of mining companies including Rio Tinto PLC, Vale SA, Anglo American PLC, and Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. each fell by more than 3 percent. ―There are no buyers out there,‖ said Jake Greenberg, metals and mining specialist at Jefferies. ―These are aggressive moves after aggressive moves.‖ Copper traders had already been nervous about credit availability in China after the government promised in May to crack down on the use of copper as collateral to obtain financing. Goldman Sachs described the unwinding of these financing deals as a ―bearish risk‖ that ―complicated our near-term bullish copper views.‖ The People‘s Bank of China‘s comments over the weekend that liquidity was at a ―reasonable level‖ despite a jump in benchmark interbank interest rates which was enough to trigger a broad sell-off. Source: Financial Times MINING COMPANIES: SLASH AND EARN After growth comes a focus on costs. It does not take a management degree to work that one out. Cost control and capital expenditure cuts are the new mantras for big mining companies. The word ―productivity‖ has come up many times in speeches by Andrew Mackenzie since he became the new boss of BHP Billiton Ltd. in May. Sam Walsh of Rio Tinto PLC has pledged to cut USD 5 billion in costs this year and next. How easy will it be to fix the sloppy cost control of the boom years? And can cost-cutting go far enough to make up for the expected slowdown in commodity demand? Productivity, if measured by the cost of extracting rocks out of the ground, has not been falling. Rio Tinto's USD 24 cash cost to produce a ton of iron has been relatively stable over the past few years in spite of rampant inflation in fuel prices and contractor costs. Labor productivity has been trending down, however. Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton admit that projects rolled out too quickly to meet fast-growing demand and led to poor cost control. Some cost cuts are achievable. The penciled-in reductions in capex and the subsequent curtailment of project expansions have helped pull inflation in contractor costs back in check. Plans by BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto to boost productivity by changing processes remain anecdotal. Rio Tinto admits it is tough to shave savings from existing projects. And if the price of iron ore falls to USD 90 a ton over the next five years from USD 130 a ton today, as Australia's forecasting agency predicts, any tweaks to costs will do little to offset shrinking margins. Until any of the new round of management at the miners unveils a bolder strategy, cost savings and capex cuts are as much excitement as mining investors can expect.
  • 14. Source: Financial Times WORLD GDP Four years after the worst of the financial crisis and the world appears to be faltering again. According to the Source's calculations, world GDP grew by just 2.1 percent during the first quarter of 2013 compared with a year earlier. Just 12 months ago, output was growing at a reasonable clip of 3.1 percent. The European Union, the world's second-largest economy, which welcomes its 28th member on 1 July, is back in recession. Meanwhile there are concerns about stumbling blocks as China seeks to re-balance toward a more consumption-oriented economy and more moderate growth rates. Long the mainstay of the world's fortunes, China alone has been responsible for nearly half of all world economic growth since the end of 2009 when the world began growing again. Other big emerging markets, Turkey, Brazil and India, are struggling to quell social unrest over frustration with governments' inability to deliver growth and make appropriate reforms. Source: Economist POLITICS ELBEGDORJ WINS RE-ELECTION Mongolian President Tsakhia Elbegdorj defeated a wrestling champion and a pediatrician to win re- election without the need for a run-off vote. Democratic Party (DP) candidate Elbegdorj won 50.23 percent of the vote with all counting completed, Choinzon Sodnomtseren, head of the General Election Commission, said at a briefing in Ulaanbaatar. Former wrestling champion Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene took 41.97 percent and Health Minister and former doctor Natsag Udval was third with 6.5 percent. The results will be made final within five days. ―The Parliament of Mongolia, the government of Mongolia and the president of Mongolia will work as one team in the remaining period,‖ Prime Minister Norov Altankhuyag said at a briefing late yesterday. ―We work to improve the lives of all Mongolians and eradicate corruption.‖ Source: Bloomberg
  • 15. MONGOLIA SEES AT LEAST 63.89 PERCENT VOTER TURNOUT Voter attendance for this week's presidential election was 63.89 percent of voters nationwide by 9 p.m., while polls closed on 10 p.m. that day. General Election Commission head Ts. Sodnomtseren reported that 65.13 percent of voters cast their vote in Ulaanbaatar. The highest voter turnout was in Dungobi with 69.36 percent and the lowest in Dornod with 57.21 percent. Source: Montsame MINING WEALTH DISTRIBUTION KEY ISSUE IN POLLS Mongolia went to the polls Wednesday to elect a new president as the country‘s mining boom raises questions over the role of foreign investors and the distribution of new found wealth. Against the background of intense inward investment, the landscape of Mongolia‘s capital city Ulaanbaatar is changing rapidly with plush new department stores opening amid a high-rise frenzy. But concerns over rising inequality and environmental damage to the largely rural country are likely to be used by Elbegdorj‘s opponents in a campaign dominated by the resource nationalism issue. ―This is the issue, and because of that people will prefer the current president who is more foreign investment friendly,‖ Dambadarjaa Jargalsaikhan, a Mongolian political commentator and television presenter said. ―Mongolians now more and more understand the importance of foreign investment.‖ Elbegdorj‘s main challenger is likely to be Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene, a champion wrestler and candidate from the Mongolian People‘s Party (MPP). The third candidate, Natsag Udval, from the Mongolian People‘s Revolutionary Party (MPRP), is a supporter of former president Nambar Enkhbayar, who is now serving two-and-half years in prison on corruption charges. Bat-Erdene helped draw up a new environmental protection law amid concerns that the country‘s breathtaking landscape was being damaged by industry. And both of Elbegdorj‘s challengers have policies aimed at amending the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mine investment agreement. Fraud allegations against the president have surfaced, but are largely considered by the electorate to be a late smear tactic. Bat-Erdene has placed great stress during the campaign on his ―clean hands.‖ A run-off will be held between the two leading candidates on July 10 if no one attracts more than 50 percent of the votes. However, polls suggest that Elbegdorj should beat his opponents at the first hurdle. A survey carried out from 14 to 16 June by the Sant Maral Foundation in the capital suggests 54 percent of people would vote for Elbegdorj. Source: AFP MONGOLIA WRESTLES WITH ITS PAST IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION The presidential election on Wednesday pitted an experienced bureaucrat against a famous wrestling champion with the winner having a big say in what happens in one of the world's fastest growing economies, just as it begins to struggle with falling commodity prices. The incumbent, Tsakhia Elbegdorj, nominated by the ruling Democratic Party (DP), is an experienced bureaucrat who twice served as prime minister before his current presidential term. While in office he presided over a tough anti-corruption campaign and judicial reform, and one of his top economic priorities is diversifying the Mongolian economy beyond mining. He has a wide lead in polls in Ulaanbaatar, with 54 percent of respondents in a recent survey conducted by the Sant Maral Foundation saying they planned to vote for him. However, in the countryside support is running high for former wrestling champion Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene, who has campaigned on a platform of traditional values and is seen by voters as representative of Mongolia's nomadic way of life. ―He is considered a symbol of this old nomadic culture, a walking symbol of this dying tradition that cannot survive the 21st century,‖ said Luvsandendev Sumati, a political observer and Director of the Sant Maral Foundation. Unlike the parliamentary elections in 2012, when many politicians promised Mongolian citizens a bigger share in the country's mineral wealth, specific proposals for new mining policies have been largely absent from the presidential contest. Voters' top concerns are unemployment and improving
  • 16. the standard of living, and the candidates have focused on economic growth and environmental protection. One reason for that, say observers, is the fall-off in foreign investment this year, the extent of which is still unknown. But they believe it has made politicians reluctant to target international mining companies. A priority for the new president will be to guide a new set of amendments to the mining law through congress. An initial draft of the law submitted to parliament last year included provisions that would restrict foreign mining activity, such as mandating Mongolian partial ownership of any active mine, although the draft is in the process of being reworked and could change significantly. Source: Financial Times TOUTED DEBATE FIZZLES INTO Q&A EXERCISE Last Monday's presidential was one of few surprises and did little to deter observers calling the election in favor of Elbegdorj. During the debate on 24 June, incumbent President Tsakhia Elbegdorj looked presidential, if a bit stiff, and did not make a mistake. Natsag Udval was surprisingly engaging and fairly moderate in her statements. Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene was awkward. After the opening statements, the first seven questions focused on the following: values, representing Mongolia abroad, current socio-economic situations, judiciary, military, mining and its impact on the economy, Mongolian traditions, and education. In the answers to these questions there were no surprise announcements, nor did any of the candidates make any radical statements of any kind. Answers were generally similar, as the platforms were, and differed in style and emphasis but not in substance. Udval received the best audience reaction when she noted that 30 percent of Mongolians are poor and that she was the poor one among the candidates. Somewhat surprisingly, Elbegdorj immediately jumped on electricity as the most important issues for the socio-economic situations. Udval's answer on mining was somewhat surprisingly mild in that she did not really embrace any kind of explicit elements of resource nationalism, either as an ideology or in terms of practical policy implications. Elbegdorj emphasized the needs to be not just a policy on production, but also on mining exploration, while Bat-Erdene mentioned the need for a build-up of processing capacity in addition to mining itself. Udval won the debate, but it will most likely not make that much of a difference to the outcome other than she might be taking more votes from Bat-Erdene than anticipated. Elbegdorj played it safe with an incumbent's campaign and did not fumble any of the questions. Bat-Erdene did not shine and likely did not improve his chances significantly. The debate may have significant impact on undecided voters, but it is hard to imagine that many were swayed by Bat-Erdene's performance. Source: Mongolia Focus CABINET APPROVES GREEN CIVILIZATION 10-YEAR PLAN The Ministries of Environment and Green Development and Economic Development have presented an outline for green development titled ―Green Civilization‖ to the Cabinet of Ministers last Saturday. The policy outlines objectives and goals for 10 years with activities to begin in 2020. The Cabinet decided to forward the plan for submission to Parliament. Source: Montsame IAAC ANNOUNCES CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION INTO FORMER ERDENES TT DIRECTOR The Independent Agency Against Corruption has opened a criminal investigation on an investigation into the former director of Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi LLC. The IAAC suspects that former Director Baasangombo Enebish is responsible for MNT 6.3 billion in poor purchases of trucks and tires. The investigation ran for five months, but the criminal case has only just recently been opened, said IAAC. The investigation into Enebish began after current Director Yaichil Batsuuri reported to Parliament that Erdenes TT purchased 10 heavy trucks that were ill-suited to operations at Tavan Tolgoi‘s East Tsankhi coal mine and poor-quality tires.
  • 17. Enebish oversaw the operations of both the Tavan Tolgoi coking coal mine and the Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine. He resigned October last year, citing private reasons for his exit. Several news reports have since been published regarding his role in the purchase of tires and trucks from Commit Service, Monnis and USS Trade LLC. The 10 trucks were purchased at MNT 160 million, which is about MNT 70 million above market price. Source: Undesnii Shuudan HAS MONGOLIAN POLITICS BECOME A GRAPPLING SPORT? Wrestlers have been part of the political mix in Mongolia for some time: from the old-time champions Kh. Bayanmunkh and J. Munkhbat who helped frame the country's democratic constitution in the early 1990s, to former grand champion sumo wrestler Asashoryu (Dolgorsuren Dagvadorj) who publicly declared his support for the governing Democratic Party (DP) this May. The export of wrestlers is also an important part of Mongolia's soft power arsenal in international relations. The trailblazing D. Batbayar was among the first Mongolians to embark on a career in sumo under the name of Kyokushuzan in the mid-1990s and became a member of Parliament only two years after retiring from sumo. Badmaanyambuu Bat-Erdene was somewhat of a surprise choice as the nominee for the Mongolian People's Party (MPP). Although he has served in parliament since 2004, he has not made a name for himself through legislative initiatives other than his involvement in the ―Law with the Long Name.‖ This law was intended to protect ecologically fragile areas from mining activities, but has been only sporadically and haphazardly enforced. The lack of a political record has emerged as a handicap in Bat-Erdene's campaign and fueled some voters' sentiments that he is not presidential enough. A comparison of the records of the two main candidates, Bat-Erdene and incumbent DP candidate Tsakhia Elbegdorj, is currently circulating in Mongolia. A third presidential hopeful, Natsag Udval, is Mongolia's first female candidate, nominated by the Mongolian People's Revolutionary Party. Her main impact is an apparent splitting of the vote opposing Elbegdorj, but she might also lay the ground for a run-off election between Elbegdorj and Bat-Erdene where her supporters would go to Bat-Erdene and give him an edge in such a run-off. Bat-Erdene represents a challenge to the dominance of the highest offices in Mongolia that are currently all held by the Democratic Party. This is one of the core messages of his campaign. The lack of an ideological basis and murky governance of political parties are neither unique to Mongolian democracy, nor to wrestling. But just like a good wrestling match, the outcome of the election on 26 June remains to be seen. Source: Financial Times INNER MONGOLIAN ASYLUM SEEKERS SHUNNED BY „OUTER‟ POLITICS Although Tsakhia Elbegdorj's tenure as president has been noteworthy for his efforts in spreading awareness of the country's growing democracy abroad, his push to make Mongolia a global player has fallen short in the eyes of some ethnic Mongolians living in neighboring Inner Mongolia, China. Batzangaa, an ethnic Mongolian doctor of traditional medicine from Ordos in Inner Mongolia, was deported from Ulaanbaatar by Mongolian and Chinese police while seeking asylum with the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR). He founded the Ordos Mongol-Tibetan Medical School in Inner Mongolia in 2001 with the full blessings of the Chinese government and received an allotment of CNY 5.2 million (USD 846,000) after approving a request to expand the school. However, after the Tibetan uprisings in March 2008 across Tibetan-populated areas in the Qinghai Gansu and Sichuan provinces, the school fell under suspicion for its strong ties to the region. ―The Chinese government isn't threatened by pan-Mongolism [a political movement to join Inner Mongolians with the country of Mongolia]—not like they are threatened with Tibetans,‖ said Julian Dierkes, a policy expert from the Institute of Asian Research. ―The Chinese government encourages traditional practices—unless they get a whiff of trouble.‖ That whiff of trouble led to China shutting down Batzangaa's school. Although he recouped a portion of the investment losses, he was subsequently pressured to cut ties with the Tibetan community. Batzangaa registered with UNHCR in Ulaanbaatar and was given four months of protection beginning
  • 18. 27 June while his case was under review. Before his protection status expired, however, Batzangaa was asked to come to the UNHCR office by his protection officer, where he was arrested 3 October 2009. ―Why did this happen?‖ asked Batsukhe, his brother who is also seeking asylum in Mongolia. ―He had a certificate of alien registration and this had not expired yet. I want to know from the head of UNHCR Geneva why they let this happen.‖ Batsukhe has become a political activist for ethnic Mongolian rights in China who has learned from his brother's experience. He now works to show the world the treatment of people who embrace their cultural roots in China. Source: Asian Correspondent AUSTRALIA OPPOSITION SAYS TOP PRIORITY TO DUMP MINING, CARBON TAXES The conservative opposition of Australia, a country that competes with Mongolia for mineral sales to China, said its top priority if it wins election in September will be to repeal taxes on mining profits and carbon, blaming both policies for stopping fresh investment in the vital resources sector. Australia's Labor government introduced a fixed carbon price about a year ago in a country with one of the world's highest per-capita levels of carbon emissions, with plans to transition to emissions trading from 2015. The carbon scheme, along with a 30 percent tax on iron ore and coal mining profits, have been criticized by miners who say it damages competitiveness and employment as Australia's AAA-rated economy slows and China's demand for minerals cools. ―Both the carbon tax and the mining tax are a drag on Australia's energy and resources sector and make investments less attractive than investments in other countries,‖ opposition resources spokesman Ian Macfarlane told a mining conference. Australian government data published last month said that AUD 150 billion (USD 139 billion) in planned resource projects had been delayed or canceled since April 2012, as China's economic slowdown weighs on a decade-long mining boom. But a new government forecast on Wednesday predicted the world's biggest producer of iron ore would see a 14 percent rise in exports in the 2013-14 fiscal year as the country's big miners press ahead with multi-billion dollar expansions. A combination of falling commodity prices and lower mining profits has forced the government to slash its projected mining tax revenue to AUD 3.3 billion over the next four years, down from forecasts of AUD 13.4 billion made last year. The opposition looks certain to win the next election, polls show, in part due to perceptions of policy bungling by the Labor government over the mining tax, which has raised only AUD 126 million in its first six months. Source: Reuters The following laws, amendments, addendum and annulment were published in the latest weekly Government bulletin. Unless otherwise decided by Parliament, it will take effect ten (10) days after publication. Date Laws 24.06.2013 Law on Securities /revised version/ Amendments to Law on Agricultural Products, Raw Material Exchange Amendments to Law on Insurance Amendments to Law on Financial Regulatory Commission's Legal Status Amendments to Law on Special Permit for Economic Activity Amendments to Law on Corporate Income Tax Amendments to Law on Personal Income Tax Amendments to Law on Commercials Annulment of Law on Securities Law on Exemption from Customs Tax Law on Exemption from Value Added Tax Law on Exemption from Customs Tax Law on Exemption from Value Added Tax Law on Fight against Money Laundering and Terrorism Funding /revised version/
  • 19. Addendum to Law on Legal Body's State Registration Amendments to Law on Fight against Terrorism Amendments to Law on Regulation of Public and Private Interest in Public Service, Prevention from Interest Conflict Annulment of Law on Fight against Money Laundering and Terrorism Funding Please visit BCM's website, Legislative Working Group, for a summary of new Mongolian laws. BCM members who wish to access complete versions of the laws and regulations in Mongolian language are welcome to email the BCM office: info@bcmongolia.org. ANNOUNCEMENTS MSE-BCM SECURITIES LAW OVERVIEW SESSION, 4 JULY, ULAANBAATAR BCM and Mongolian Stock Exchange are organizing a free "MSE-BCM Securities Law overview session" on July 4, 2013 from 9:30 am-12:30 pm at the "Altai" conference room, Kempinski Hotel. Speakers will elaborate on key items in this new Securities Law. MSE‘s CEO, Altai.Kh, will also detail the planning to be undertaken by January 1, 2014 when the law becomes effective. Speakers include: - Altai.Kh, Mongolian Stock Exchange (confirmed) - Saruul.B, Financial Regulatory Commission (confirmed) - Robert Rooks, PwC-Hong Kong (confirmed) - Orkhon, TDB Capital (invited) - Darin Hoffman, MahoneyLiotta, (invited) - Bilguun.A, Mongolian Investment Banking Group (confirmed) FREE admission. First 125 registrants will be admitted. Deadline Tuesday, July 2 at 5 PM. Email or phone Saruul at BCM to register – saruul@bcmongolia.org, 317027. ___________________________________________ “MM TODAY” on MNB-TV, Friday, 19:00-19:10 BCM is pleased to announce that Mongolian National Broadcasting continues its cooperation with BCM on ―MM Today‖. This English news program is aired every Friday for 10 minutes and is scheduled from 19:00 to 19:10 tonight. Tune in to watch this program that reports stories from today‘s BCM NewsWire. ___________________________________________ BCM‟S MINING SUPPLY CHAIN DATABASE The new version of BCM‘s Mining Supply Chain Database is in use. Following the initiative of Oyu Tolgoi LLC, the BCM has maintained the Mining Supply Chain Database since March 2009. It is an honor to introduce you to the new version of the database which is totally upgraded as to its content and use of information technology opportunities. As of December 31, 2012 suppliers registered on the database totaled 1,405. During 2012, 251 new supplier entities joined the Database and 236 prior supplier registrants updated their company profiles. In addition, 22 buyers were also registered and 82 tender announcements were posted. We are inviting all Mongolian mining suppliers and buyer companies to join the Mining Supply Chain Database. Please visit here for registration—FREE! If you have any questions regarding the database, please contact 317027. BCM WEBSITES MONGOLIAN WEBSITE „PRESENTATIONS‟ AND „NEWS‟ SECTIONS The ‗Presentations‘ section on BCM‘s Mongolian website can be reached via bcm.mn/itgeluud.
  • 20. As a key component of BCM‘s Mongolian website, articles from the ‗News‘ section and the government website Open-Government.mn are regularly updated. S. Oyun, Minister of Environment and Green Development, presentation at BCM monthly meeting on May 27 added to Mongolian website, bcmongolia.org/mn/илтгэлүүд. - Байгаль орчин, ногоон хөгжлийн сайд С.Оюун, Байгаль орчин, ногоон хөгжлийн шинэчлэлийн бодлого, үйл ажиллагаа, МБЗ-ийн сарын уулзалт 5 сарын 27, 2013 The following presentations were added from "Coaltrans 2013" conference that was held on June 19- 20, 2013 (in Mongolian): • Нүүрсний үнийн хандалт – Монгол дахь гол чиг хандлагууд, Виллиам Ванг, Хятад Шинжээч, Аргус Медиа, Коал Транс 2013 конференци • Маттью Поттл Удирдах Партнер, PwC, Монгол Улсын нүүрсний зах зээлд Бүс нутгийн хөгжлийн үзүүлэх нөлөө, Коал Транс 2013 конференци • ―Төмөр замын төслийн эхлэл, ашиглалтын бэлтгэл‖, ТЭРГҮҮН Л.ПҮРЭВБААТАР, Коал Транс 2013 конференци • Оросын Коксжих нүүрсний салбарын хөгжил–Шинэ мэдээлэл, Жон П.Л Бакарах, Ай-Эм-Си Монтан компаний захирал, Коал Транс 2013 конференци • Баянжаргалын Бямбасайхан, МБЗ-ийн дарга, Эрчим хүчний диваажин, Коал Транс 2013 конференци • ТАВАН ТОЛГОЙ ТӨСӨЛ, Батсуурь Яайчил, Эрдэнэс Таван Толгой компаний гүйцэтгэх захирал, Коал Транс 2013 конференци • Шарын гол, Анарболд Одонхүү, Пи Ар, Маркетингийн менежер, Коал Транс 2013 конференци • Лондонгийн хөрөнгийн биржтэй хэрэгжүүлж буй хамтын ажиллагаа -Шинэчлэл, Х.Алтай, Монголын хөрөнгийн биржийн гүйцэтгэх захирал,Коал Транс 2013 конференци ___________________________________________ ENGLISH WEBSITE: 'PRESENTATIONS', 'MONGOLIA REPORTS', „MONGOLIAN BUSINESS NEWS‟, „PHOTO GALLERY‟ On BCM‘s English website, the ―Resources‖ and ―Presentations‖ sections are available. - Takenori Shimizu, Ambassador of Japan to Mongolia, Economic Relationship between Japan and Mongolia, at the BCM Monthly meeting, June 24, 2013 The following presentations added from Coal Trans 2013: - Batsuuri Yaichil, CEO, Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi JSC, ―Tavan Tolgoi Project‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia - Graeme Hancock, President and Chief Representative, Mongolia, Anglo American Development, ―Opportunities and Challenges for Mongolian Coking Coal in the Chinese Market‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia - William Wang, China Analyst, Argus Media, Coal Pricing Outlook-Key Trends for Mongolia at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia - Randolph S. Koppa, President, Trade and Development Bank of Mongolia, ―Chinggis bond impact and significance‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia - Matthew Pottle, Managing Partner, PwC, ―Impact of regional developments on Mongolia‘s coal market‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia - Purevbaatar Luvsandagva, President Railway Engineering Association of Mongolia, ―Commencement of railway projects and exploitation preparedness‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia - John P L Bacharach, Director, IMC Montan, ―Russian Coking Coal Developments –An Update‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia - Battur Bold, Mongolian Mining Corporation, ―Vital Role of Preparation Facilities in Enabling Mongolian Coal to Compete as an Export Product‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia
  • 21. - Anarbold Odonkhuu, P.R and Marketing Manager, Sharyn Gol, ―Sharyn Gol, a New Dawn‖, at the Coal Trans 2013, Blue Sky Tower, Mongolia • Nick Cousyn, Chief Operating Officer, BDSec JSC, ―Gobi‘s Resort‖ at the BCM Monthly meeting April 22, 2013 • Brian White, Editor, The Mongolist – ―Analyzing Mongolian Politics from the "Middle Layer", at the BCM Monthly meeting April 22, 2013 • Ch. Otgochuluu, Head of Strategic Policy and Planning Department, Ministry of Mining, ―Brief introduction on mining policy‖ at the BCM monthly meeting April 22, 2013 • ―The current flow of investment into Mongolia‖, S. Bold, Chief Economist, Central Bank, at the "Foreign Investment in Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at the Kempinski Hotel. • ―About regulation on FDI‖, S. Javkhlanbaatar, Foreign Investment Regulations and Registration Department Head, Ministry of Economic Development of Mongolia, at the "Foreign Investment in Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at the Kempinski Hotel. • ―Legal issues of regulation of foreign investment‖, B. Amarsanaa, Academic Secretary of National Legal Institute, at the "Foreign Investment in Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at the Kempinski Hotel. • ―Investment in stocks and equities in Mongolia: risks, challenges and trends‖, D. Gan-Ochir, Head of Financial Stability Council, Advisor to President of Central Bank, at the "Foreign Investment in Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at the Kempinski Hotel. • ―On current state of equities foreign investment‖, D. Achit-Erdene, CEO, MICC, at the "Foreign Investment in Mongolia: Challenges, Risks and Solutions" conference on April 19, 2013 at the Kempinski Hotel. • ―Market Update‖ by Mandal General Insurance LLC • ―Annual Report 2012‖ by International Monetary Fund • Ruth Pulaski, Director Marketing & Development, American University of Mongolia – ―American University of Mongolia: Integrating a Liberal Education Approach to Learning‖ at the BCM monthly meeting, March 25, 2013 • B. Bayar, Managing Director, ELC LLC – ―Update on Legal Developments Regarding Foreign Investment‖ at the BCM monthly meeting, March 25, 2013 • Tony Burchill, Australian Consul-General & Trade Commissioner, Austrade – ―The Business of Being a Third Neighbor‖ at the BCM monthly meeting, March 25, 2013 Other recently added presentations: • Dr. Brian Fisher, Managing Director, BAEconomics, "Economic Impact of draft Minerals Law" at the Kempinski Hotel, March 18, 2013, Ulaanbaatar • Dr. Ch. Khashchuluun, CEO of UBRM Consulting, ―Mongolia and Mining, The policy evolution: What's the next?‖ at the Kempinski Hotel, March 18, 2013, Ulaanbaatar • Martin Pow, Partner, Enterprise Risk Services and Learning Leader, Deloitte Onch LLC, ―Black Swans: Fact or Fiction,‖ A different risk management philosophy at the BCM Risk Management Working Group meeting, March 14, 2013 Please note the presentations from each of the BCM monthly meetings. The ―Mongolia Reports‖ section includes the following: - ―Selected Macroeconomic Indicators for Mongolia, as of June 2013‖ by International Monetary Fund; - ―Update on the Issue of Strategic Deposits by Mongolia Energy Corporation Limited; - ―Polit Barometer April, 2013‖ by Sant Maral Foundation; - ―Regional Economic Outlook: Asia and Pacific‖, April 2013 by International Monetary Fund; - ―Highlights of 2012, Mongolia‖ by European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD); - ―Official statement of Oyu Tolgoi LLC in relation to information, data and facts related to Oyu Tolgoi discussed during open session of the State Great Khural‖, dated 1 February, 2013‖;
  • 22. - ―2013 Mongolia Investment Climate Statement‖, by the Economic and Commercial Section of the U.S. Embassy; - ―Mongolia Foreign Labor Force Ratio for 2013‖ by Hogan Lovells International LLP; - ―How Mongolia will perform in 2013?‖ by Mandal Asset Management; - ―Mongolia Business Owner and CFO Survey result‖ by BDSec JSC; - ―The fiscal regime for mining-a way forward‖ by IMF Fiscal Affairs Department; - ―Taxes for Expatriates in Mongolia‖ by PricewaterhouseCoopers. BCM's English website includes the ―Mongolia Business News‖ section where the Open Letter to Parliament and Government is available for download. BCM continuously posts news stories and analysis of relevance to Mongolia at ‗Mongolian Business News‖ before they are all put together each week for Friday's weekly NewsWire. The ―Photo Gallery‖ contains photos from the 5th Anniversary BCM Gala dinner on November 5. The BCM NewsWire will continue to be issued each Friday, incorporating items already on the home page for a consolidated account of the week‘s events. ___________________________________________ SOCIAL NETWORK WITH BCM The Business Council of Mongolia (BCM) has expanded its reach to your favorite social networks. Keep up to date on the latest business deals in Mongolia and how the climate for investment is improving each day with BCM. Connect with BCM on Linked-in to join the diverse group of professional contacts creating a better business environment in Mongolia today. Add BCM on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/pages/THE-BUSINESS-COUNCIL-OF- MONGOLIA/129826330435540 to read the latest announcements and comment on events carried in the NewsWire with the community. Hear breaking news and announcements as they happen when you follow BCM on Twitter at http://twitter.com/#!/bcMongolia. We have now 1,224 fans on our Facebook fans page, 1,297 connections on LinkedIn network, and 703 followers on Twitter. Of course for news information, interviews, event photos, and announcements regarding our organization, visit the official BCM website at www.bcmongolia.org and www.bcm.mn. BCM WORKING GROUP MEETINGS The BCM Education Working Group met in a joint meeting with VETC NGO on Tuesday, June 25, with 22 members attending. Saha Meyanathan/DAS/, moderated the session. New member: Sunjidmaa J /Peabody/ was welcomed. Speakers and topics: - Introduction of VETC NGO-Tuya Director of VETC - Status Update on VETC Board Activities- Saha Meyanathan, DAS - Paving the Way for a Common Roadmap - Discussion on the Establishment of a ‗Common Agenda for the Development of the Mongolian TVET Sector‘ ___________________________________________ The BCM Environmental Working Group met on Thursday, 27 June 2013 with 19 members attending. Bayarmaa A, of Clean Energy, Newcom Group, moderated the session. New members: Khulan Zumbee TCKMO; Keith Swenson New Zealand Nature Institute. Participants: Kinoshita Satoshi, Sakita Hiromichi, Mungunzul Zandmaa –Mayor`s Office of Capital
  • 23. City UB, Kaneda Keiko-JICA, Kenta Usi-IGES, Khulan Davaadorj-Clean Energy Asia, Sanaa Enkhtaivan- Ministry of Environment and Green Development, Sariil D-Newcom Group. Guest: Diane Birder- Suez Environment, Enkhbat B- Ikh Tiin Group, Bulganmurun Ts-Independent Consultant Researcher. Speakers and topics: Waste Management and Recycling: - JICA reviewed their projects on solid waste management and waste separation in UB- Kaneda Keiko Project Formulation Adviser of JICA. - Work from the Municipality Office on the current status of waste management and recycling in Ulaanbaatar-Zandmaa Mungunzul officer of Mayor`s Office of Capital City UB - Newcom‘s initiative in separating waste at office for further recycling: suggestion for increased involvement of other offices -Saruul D,ESMS Manager Introducing Joint Crediting Mechanism (JCM): - IGES Researcher on "JCM and Its Business Opportunities for Mongolia" - Kenta Usui, Researcher Climate and Energy Area of IGES Introduction of member organization: - Introduction of RPS Aquaterra, Tserendavaa, Business Relations Manager Presentations available at BCM Environmental WG web page. Please contact: erka@bcmongolia.org ECONOMIC INDICATORS
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  • 27. INFLATION Year 2006 6.0% [source: National Statistical Office of Mongolia (NSOM)] Year 2007 *15.1% [source: NSOM] Year 2008 *22.1% [source: NSOM] Year 2009 *4.2% [source: NSOM] Year 2010 *13.0% [source: NSOM] Year 2011 *10.2% [source: NSOM] May 31, 2013 *9.7% [source: NSOM] *Year-over-year (y-o-y), nationwide Note: 8.4% y-o-y, Ulaanbaatar city, May 31, 2013 CENTRAL BANK POLICY LOAN RATE December 31, 2008 9.75% [source: IMF] March 11, 2009 14.00% [source: IMF] May 12, 2009 12.75% [source: IMF] June 12, 2009 11.50% [source: IMF] September 30, 2009 10.00% [source: IMF] May 12, 2010 11.00% [source: IMF] April 28, 2011 11.50% [source: IMF] August 25, 2011 11.75% [source: IMF] October 25, 2011 12.25% [source: IMF] March 19, 2012 12.75% [source: Mongol Bank] April 18, 2012 13.25% [source: Mongol Bank] January 25, 2013 12.50% [source: Mongol Bank] April 8, 2013 11.50% [source: Mongol Bank] June 25, 2013 10.50%[source: Mongol Bank] CURRENCY RATES – JUNE 27, 2013 Currency Name Currency Rate US dollar USD 2,213.48 Euro EUR 1,882.29 Japanese yen JPY 14.78 British pound GBP 2,213.48 Hong Kong dollar HKD 185.67 Chinese Yuan CNY 234.84 Russian Ruble RUB 43.88 South Korean won KRW 1.24 Disclaimer: Except for reporting on BCM‘s activities, all information in the BCM NewsWire is selected from various news sources. Opinions are those of the respective news sources.