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FORECASTERONLINE
               – FORECASTING SIMPLIFIED

Page  1
                        © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Forecasting

          Forecasting is estimation of the expected value for some variable in future.


          Its a technique which helps management in its attempts to cope with
           the uncertainty of the future.


          Forecasting forms a base of a advanced Decision support system for any
           organization.


          For organizations forecasting provides the ability to address difficult business
           issues and then use those findings to differentiate them from the competition.


Page  2
                               © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
DATA                                         INTELLEGENCE




                                                                                               optimization


                                                                         Forecasting
                                                       Report and        and
                                                       OLAP              Analysis

                                      Data
                                      management


                          Data
                          Access




           Organizational move from data to information to knowledge, and finally to intelligence.

Page  3
                                   © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Forecasting techniques
          Time series/ Trend analysis
           Methods for analyzing time series data in order to extract meaningful statistics and other
           characteristics of the data.


          What if Analysis
           Also called as sensitivity analysis, this is a attempt to represent a real-life system with
           a model to determine how a change in one or more variables affects the rest of the system


          Neural Networks
           A type of artificial intelligence that attempts to imitate the way a human brain works by
           creating connections between processing elements.




Page  4
                                      © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
BENEFITS
          OF
     FORECASTING




Page  5
              © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Application of Forecasting in Functions

     Forecast demand for products and services.
                Which product will be in demand in how much quantity in which region

     Perform promotional analysis.
                Will the 10% increase in discount assure sales increase by 20%


     Predict staffing and resource needs.
               How many resources will be required to complete the work in said deadlines

     Make effective pricing decisions.
              What will be the correct price for a new launch to get an edge over competition

     Predict customer and market behavior.
              What type of product mix is preferred by customers of age group 20 – 30 years


Page  6
                                  © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Application in Business


           Retail -                                         Pharmaceuticals -
           Mostly used for performing customer              Plays a major role in Clinical research
           clustering and demand analysis for FMC           and R&D. Statistics say that application
           goods. Also helps to plan for promotions         forecasting reduces as high as 50% of
           and new product launch                           the research failure cost




                                                   All Domains




                                                            Manufacturing –
           Banking And Financial services –
                                                            Used mainly for production and material
           Credit Analysis, Fraud detection are
                                                            planning. Further gives insights in
           some areas in BFSI where forecasting
                                                            inventory management and supply
           has proved to be a game changer.
                                                            change optimization.


Page  7
                                 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Number Crunching through Cloud Computing

     1) Forecasting requires heavy number crunching
     using terabytes of data.


     2) Complex algorithms can only be handled by faster
     processing machines to deliver on demand results.


      3) Thus TPS uses cloud computing models for
      supporting Forecasteronline..


     4) Cloud computing has some attractive qualities for scientific researchers. It delivers data
     storage and processing as a service, rather than software that's loaded onto a hard drive,
      or something that sits on a desk somewhere.

     5) In the cloud, the "supercomputer" exists virtually, meaning no clunky hardware; the software
     interface is easy to use; and scientists have access to their data and
      simulations from just about anywhere by simply logging in.
     .
Page  8
                                   © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Cloud Architecture supporting Forecaster Online




                                                                                      Amazon EC2
                                                                                      Cloud server
                                       Forecaster Online




  Users Log on to Forecaster Online                               Complex algorithms are run on the cloud server
  and sent in their data`                                         “Amazon EC2”
Page  9
                               © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Existing Tools

      Forecasting uses highly complex analysis and exhaustive algorithms to tackle tricky scenarios. Large
      amount of number crunching is done using different statistical techniques.


      Big giants in forecasting are SAS and SPSS.


      Drawbacks
             Desktop based – Need installation on every system thus increasing infrastructure cost
             Need statistical knowledge to work with.
             Provide plethora of features which are not necessarily required for your
              business perspective
             High licensing cost.


      Web based are a few like Lokad and Vanguard but again involve heavy licensing cost.

Page  10
                                     © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Introduction to Forecaster Online

 Forecaster online is a web based on demand
   forecasting solution developed by Trans Pacific
   Software. http://www.forecasteronline.com/

 The tool is based on SAAS (software as a service)
  model and gives a easy to use console to the end
  user.

 The tool runs on backend customized algorithms that
  suit your organization data and can plot and forecast
  trends in the data over a period of time.

 Forecaster online uses highly advanced backend
  algorithms to parse the data, determine patterns and
  forecast using different parameters in the input.

 Forecaster online acts as a one stop tool for
  executives as well as Managers



Page  11
                                  © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
TPS Advantage and Customization.

    Forecaster online is a fully customizable SAAS based offering from Trans Pacific
    We understand that every business is unique in its own way and thus has to be
        supported by unique solutions
    TPS has a team of analyst who work closely with the client on every project and devise a
       strategy to develop a customized algorithm to best suit your business and provide error
       free forecasting.
    A team of developers than cast this strategy into coded algorithms which work on the
       data.
    Customized solution thus makes the forecasting more reliable.
    Being a web based solution on SAAS model assures the client low cost on maintenance
        and upgrades and easy accessibility.


Page  12
                              © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Page  13
            © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
Thank you




Page  14
            © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved

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Forecasteronline.Com

  • 1. FORECASTERONLINE – FORECASTING SIMPLIFIED Page  1 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 2. Forecasting  Forecasting is estimation of the expected value for some variable in future.  Its a technique which helps management in its attempts to cope with the uncertainty of the future.  Forecasting forms a base of a advanced Decision support system for any organization.  For organizations forecasting provides the ability to address difficult business issues and then use those findings to differentiate them from the competition. Page  2 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 3. DATA INTELLEGENCE optimization Forecasting Report and and OLAP Analysis Data management Data Access Organizational move from data to information to knowledge, and finally to intelligence. Page  3 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 4. Forecasting techniques  Time series/ Trend analysis Methods for analyzing time series data in order to extract meaningful statistics and other characteristics of the data.  What if Analysis Also called as sensitivity analysis, this is a attempt to represent a real-life system with a model to determine how a change in one or more variables affects the rest of the system  Neural Networks A type of artificial intelligence that attempts to imitate the way a human brain works by creating connections between processing elements. Page  4 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 5. BENEFITS OF FORECASTING Page  5 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 6. Application of Forecasting in Functions Forecast demand for products and services. Which product will be in demand in how much quantity in which region Perform promotional analysis. Will the 10% increase in discount assure sales increase by 20% Predict staffing and resource needs. How many resources will be required to complete the work in said deadlines Make effective pricing decisions. What will be the correct price for a new launch to get an edge over competition Predict customer and market behavior. What type of product mix is preferred by customers of age group 20 – 30 years Page  6 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 7. Application in Business Retail - Pharmaceuticals - Mostly used for performing customer Plays a major role in Clinical research clustering and demand analysis for FMC and R&D. Statistics say that application goods. Also helps to plan for promotions forecasting reduces as high as 50% of and new product launch the research failure cost All Domains Manufacturing – Banking And Financial services – Used mainly for production and material Credit Analysis, Fraud detection are planning. Further gives insights in some areas in BFSI where forecasting inventory management and supply has proved to be a game changer. change optimization. Page  7 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 8. Number Crunching through Cloud Computing 1) Forecasting requires heavy number crunching using terabytes of data. 2) Complex algorithms can only be handled by faster processing machines to deliver on demand results. 3) Thus TPS uses cloud computing models for supporting Forecasteronline.. 4) Cloud computing has some attractive qualities for scientific researchers. It delivers data storage and processing as a service, rather than software that's loaded onto a hard drive, or something that sits on a desk somewhere. 5) In the cloud, the "supercomputer" exists virtually, meaning no clunky hardware; the software interface is easy to use; and scientists have access to their data and simulations from just about anywhere by simply logging in. . Page  8 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 9. Cloud Architecture supporting Forecaster Online Amazon EC2 Cloud server Forecaster Online Users Log on to Forecaster Online Complex algorithms are run on the cloud server and sent in their data` “Amazon EC2” Page  9 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 10. Existing Tools  Forecasting uses highly complex analysis and exhaustive algorithms to tackle tricky scenarios. Large amount of number crunching is done using different statistical techniques.  Big giants in forecasting are SAS and SPSS.  Drawbacks  Desktop based – Need installation on every system thus increasing infrastructure cost  Need statistical knowledge to work with.  Provide plethora of features which are not necessarily required for your business perspective  High licensing cost.  Web based are a few like Lokad and Vanguard but again involve heavy licensing cost. Page  10 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 11. Introduction to Forecaster Online  Forecaster online is a web based on demand forecasting solution developed by Trans Pacific Software. http://www.forecasteronline.com/  The tool is based on SAAS (software as a service) model and gives a easy to use console to the end user.  The tool runs on backend customized algorithms that suit your organization data and can plot and forecast trends in the data over a period of time.  Forecaster online uses highly advanced backend algorithms to parse the data, determine patterns and forecast using different parameters in the input.  Forecaster online acts as a one stop tool for executives as well as Managers Page  11 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 12. TPS Advantage and Customization.  Forecaster online is a fully customizable SAAS based offering from Trans Pacific  We understand that every business is unique in its own way and thus has to be supported by unique solutions  TPS has a team of analyst who work closely with the client on every project and devise a strategy to develop a customized algorithm to best suit your business and provide error free forecasting.  A team of developers than cast this strategy into coded algorithms which work on the data.  Customized solution thus makes the forecasting more reliable.  Being a web based solution on SAAS model assures the client low cost on maintenance and upgrades and easy accessibility. Page  12 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 13. Page  13 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved
  • 14. Thank you Page  14 © 2010 Transpacific Software Pvt Ltd,Inc. All rights reserved