2
Methodology
On behalf of The Israel Project, Public Opinion
Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner
Research conducted a...
4
24%
30%
23%
38%
34%
48%
61%
71%69%
59%
66%
58%
44%
63%
60%
57%56%58%
51%
58%56%
51%51%
55%
58%
56%
60%
57%
2% 4% 3%
11%
...
5
24%
19%
32%
27% 25%
69%
73%
63% 64%
69%
March
2008
January
2009
Sept
2010
June
2011
February
2012
Land Relig. Land Relig...
6
21% 21%
33%
73%
69%
65%
GOP
(29%)
IND
(39%)
DEM
(32%)
Land
Ideology/
Religion Land
Conflict about Land vs. Ideology/Reli...
7
19%
25% 26% 27% 25%
74%
69% 71% 68%
64%
18-34
(17%)
35-44
(28%)
45-54
(14%)
55-64
(21%)
65+
(19%)
Land
Ideo/
Rel
And amo...
8
When voters are presented
with two different world views...
Please tell me which of the following two descriptions bette...
9
44% 46% 48%
53% 51%49% 46% 45% 44% 44%
July
2003
November
2006
March
2008
August
2009
February
2012
Comm Protect Comm Pr...
10
29%
53%
71%
67%
42%
25%
GOP
(29%)
IND
(39%)
DEM
(32%)
Comm
with each
Other
Protect
Ourselves
Comm
with each
Other
Prote...
11
57%
53%
57%
48%
43%
34%
43% 40%
50% 53%
18-34
(17%)
35-44
(28%)
45-54
(14%)
55-64
(21%)
65+
(19%)
Comm Protect Comm Pro...
12
43%
74%
46%
56%
25%
54%
March
2008
January
2009
February
2012
How much have you seen, read or heard recently regarding ...
13
Israel is a partner with the U.S. in our fight against terrorism
Israel is our most important ally in the Middle East
T...
15
56%
20%
7%
27%
9%
21%
14%
42%
74%
30%
58%
21%
Total Total Total Total* Total* Total**
Warm
Fav:
50+
Warm
Fav:
50+
Cold
...
16
Attitudes toward Israel have remained pretty stable.
58%59%59%57%
50%
63%
38%
49%
57%
45%
55%53%
45%
40%42%
51%51%
60%
...
17
While views toward the Palestinians
continue to be pretty negative.
31%33%
41%
31%
23%
26%
14%15%
22%
14%
22%
14%16%15%...
18
Total
9% 11%
8% 8% 10%
7%
10% 8% 8% 7%
14%
7%
69% 71%
66%
72%
62%
75%
61% 63%
67%
70%
65%
74%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60...
19
42%
36%
7%
2%
20%
14%
42%
73%
Total** Total** Total** Total**
Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu
Warm/
Fav:
51+
...
20
5% 3% 4%
9%
62%
24%
60%
54%
Total* Total** Total* Total*
Hamas
Cold/
Unfav:
<50
Cold/
Unfav:
<50
Cold/
Unfav:
<50
Cold/...
21
20%
26%
Total
Warm/Favorable: 51+ Cold/Unfavorable: <50
And, voters really aren’t quite sure
what to make of the Arab S...
23
60%
55%
49%
41%
24%
9%
Iran’s nuclear program**
The Arab Spring**
A developing China*
The situation with Iran*
Muslim E...
24
% Very Big Threat
By Party
Total
GOP
(29%)
IND
(39%)
DEM
(32%)
Muslim Extremism* 60% 79% 61% 43%
Iran’s nuclear program...
26
Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or
no threat at all to each...
27
67%
21%
5% 4%
Total
Fully two-thirds of voters believe
it is a very big threat to Israel.
Does Iran’s nuclear program p...
28
There’s also a sense that Iran’s a very big threat to
the Iranian people, other Arab countries in the
Middle East, and ...
30
82%
89%
83%
75%
16%
11%
15%
23%
Total GOP
(29%)
IND
(39%)
DEM
(32%)
Fully 82% of Americans support the economic
and tra...
31
74%
81%
90%
86%
81%
22%
17%
10% 13%
17%
18-34
(20%)
35-44
(25%)
45-54
(13%)
55-64
(22%)
65+
(19%)
Support for sanctions...
32
32%
20%
30%
46%
67%
80%
68%
54%
Total GOP
(29%)
IND
(39%)
DEM
(32%)
But, there’s really not a strong sense that
sanctio...
33
34%
30% 28% 29%
37%
66% 68% 70% 71%
61%
18-34
(15%)
35-44
(30%)
45-54
(15%)
55-64
(20%)
65+
(19%)
And, this sentiment i...
34
31%
68%
Opinion Elites
(30%)
And, among opinion elites.
Among Elites
Likely Not Likely
**Asked of Sample B, N=400
24%
N...
35
79% 78%
21% 19%
Total Total
Now I am going to read you a series of actions that can be taken with regard to Iran if
the...
37
And, which TWO of the following information sources are the most significant in
shaping your views on the Middle East?
...
38
And, which type of internet site do you typically use for information about the Middle East?
75%
5%
3%
A
p
p
Social net...
214 North Fayette Street
Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-7655
Web: www.pos.org
2012 02-us-poll-charts-1
2012 02-us-poll-charts-1
2012 02-us-poll-charts-1
2012 02-us-poll-charts-1
2012 02-us-poll-charts-1
2012 02-us-poll-charts-1
2012 02-us-poll-charts-1
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

2012 02-us-poll-charts-1

481 views

Published on

Published in: News & Politics
0 Comments
0 Likes
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

No Downloads
Views
Total views
481
On SlideShare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
54
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
3
Comments
0
Likes
0
Embeds 0
No embeds

No notes for slide

2012 02-us-poll-charts-1

  1. 1. 2 Methodology On behalf of The Israel Project, Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research conducted a national survey of N=800 registered voters. The survey was administered by phone and was conducted February 26-28, 2012. The survey has a margin of error of +3.46%. Opinion elites are defined as those voters who have a college education and have a household income over $80,000.
  2. 2. 4 24% 30% 23% 38% 34% 48% 61% 71%69% 59% 66% 58% 44% 63% 60% 57%56%58% 51% 58%56% 51%51% 55% 58% 56% 60% 57% 2% 4% 3% 11% 6% 7% 10%8% 6% 7% 6% 9% 5% 8% 5% 5% 7% 9% 5% 7% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 10%8%6% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Israel Supporter Palestinian SupporterNeither/Don’t Know/Refused ** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies. Disengagement Lebanon Crisis in Egypt Flotilla Incident Talks Stall Peace talks renew Gaza War Israel-Hamas Truce Annapolis Now, thinking about the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Middle East, please tell me whether, in general, you think America should be... A strong supporter of Israel, a supporter of Israel, a supporter of the Palestinians ...or... a strong supporter of the Palestinians? Voters continue to believe the US should side with Israel in the conflict with the Palestinians.
  3. 3. 5 24% 19% 32% 27% 25% 69% 73% 63% 64% 69% March 2008 January 2009 Sept 2010 June 2011 February 2012 Land Relig. Land Relig. Land Relig. Land Relig. Land Relig. There continues to be a strong sentiment that the conflict is really about ideology and religion. I am going to read you two statements about this conflict, and after I read them, please tell me which statement you agree with more... The conflict between Israel and the Palestinians is really about land. Once agreements are reached on how to divide Jerusalem and establishing borders, the two sides can achieve a peace agreement ...or... The conflict between Israel and the Palestinians is about ideology and religion. The two sides can achieve a peace agreement only when they acknowledge each other’s right to exist.
  4. 4. 6 21% 21% 33% 73% 69% 65% GOP (29%) IND (39%) DEM (32%) Land Ideology/ Religion Land Conflict about Land vs. Ideology/Religion: By Party Ideology/ ReligionLand This viewpoint is shared across party lines. Ideology/ Religion June 2011 21 26 5971 64 33
  5. 5. 7 19% 25% 26% 27% 25% 74% 69% 71% 68% 64% 18-34 (17%) 35-44 (28%) 45-54 (14%) 55-64 (21%) 65+ (19%) Land Ideo/ Rel And among all age groups. Land Ideo/ Rel Land Ideo/ Rel Land Ideo/ Rel Land Ideo/ Rel Conflict about Land vs. Ideology/Religion: By Age June 2011 28 62 30 61 23 72 26 68 27 61
  6. 6. 8 When voters are presented with two different world views... Please tell me which of the following two descriptions better fits your view of the world... Is your view of the world that... ...or is your view of the world that... If different people and cultures spent more time getting to know one another and communicating about our problems, we could all get along. The world is a place where some people’s values just aren’t the same as ours and we need to protect ourselves from terrorists and extremists who would destroy our way of life
  7. 7. 9 44% 46% 48% 53% 51%49% 46% 45% 44% 44% July 2003 November 2006 March 2008 August 2009 February 2012 Comm Protect Comm Protect Comm Protect Comm Protect Comm Protect Voters remain pretty evenly divided as to which description better fits their own view. Please tell me which of the following two descriptions better fits your view of the world... Is your view of the world that...If different people and cultures spent more time getting to know one another and communicating about our problems, we could all get along? ...or is your view of the world that...The world is a place where some people’s values just aren’t the same as ours and we need to protect ourselves from terrorists and extremists who would destroy our way of life?
  8. 8. 10 29% 53% 71% 67% 42% 25% GOP (29%) IND (39%) DEM (32%) Comm with each Other Protect Ourselves Comm with each Other Protect Ourselves Comm with each Other Independents and Democrats hold a different views than GOP’ers. Protect Ourselves Please tell me which of the following two descriptions better fits your view of the world... Is your view of the world that...If different people and cultures spent more time getting to know one another and communicating about our problems, we could all get along? ...or is your view of the world that...The world is a place where some people’s values just aren’t the same as ours and we need to protect ourselves from terrorists and extremists who would destroy our way of life? By Party
  9. 9. 11 57% 53% 57% 48% 43% 34% 43% 40% 50% 53% 18-34 (17%) 35-44 (28%) 45-54 (14%) 55-64 (21%) 65+ (19%) Comm Protect Comm Protect Comm Protect Comm Protect Comm Protect There are some interesting differences by age. Please tell me which of the following two descriptions better fits your view of the world... Is your view of the world that...If different people and cultures spent more time getting to know one another and communicating about our problems, we could all get along? ...or is your view of the world that...The world is a place where some people’s values just aren’t the same as ours and we need to protect ourselves from terrorists and extremists who would destroy our way of life? By Age
  10. 10. 12 43% 74% 46% 56% 25% 54% March 2008 January 2009 February 2012 How much have you seen, read or heard recently regarding the military conflict between Israel and the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip? A Lot/ Some Not Much/ Nothing A Lot/ Some Not Much/ Nothing A Lot/ Some Not Much/ Nothing Voters don’t recall that much about recent military conflict in the Gaza Strip.
  11. 11. 13 Israel is a partner with the U.S. in our fight against terrorism Israel is our most important ally in the Middle East The top reason Americans believe the US should support Israel is because they are our most important ally in the Middle East. Which TWO of the following are the best reasons why the United States SHOULD support Israel? 39% 28% 22% 20% 16% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 6% % Combined Choice Israel shares our values including the freedom of speech, religion, press and the right to vote God gave the land to the Jews who had lived there for thousands of years Israel is under threat from Iran, a country that wants to wipe Israel off the map Israel is working for peace for both sides Israeli citizens are vulnerable to terrorist attacks Israel leads on alternative energy that can reduce U.S. dependence on foreign oil Israel is an economic partner of the U.S., helping to create American jobs During the Arab Spring it is a country in the Middle East that we can rely on Israel uses innovation and technology invent things that help us in the United States
  12. 12. 15 56% 20% 7% 27% 9% 21% 14% 42% 74% 30% 58% 21% Total Total Total Total* Total* Total** Warm Fav: 50+ Warm Fav: 50+ Cold Unf: <50 Warm Fav: 50+ Cold Unf: <50 Warm Fav: 50+ Cold Unf: <50 Cold Unf: <50 Cold Unf: <50 A majority of Americans view Israel favorably. First, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations from around the world, with one hundred meaning VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so. Israel The Palestinians Iran Egypt Syria Turkey *Asked of Sample A, N=400 *Asked of Sample A, N=400 **Asked of Sample B, N=400
  13. 13. 16 Attitudes toward Israel have remained pretty stable. 58%59%59%57% 50% 63% 38% 49% 57% 45% 55%53% 45% 40%42% 51%51% 60% 56% 16%16%15%14%14%14% 24%22% 12% 23% 10% 18% 13% 20% 23% 14% 20% 15%14% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Total Warm Cold 56% 14% Warm Cold Israel ** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies. First, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations from around the world, with one hundred meaning VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so.
  14. 14. 17 While views toward the Palestinians continue to be pretty negative. 31%33% 41% 31% 23% 26% 14%15% 22% 14% 22% 14%16%15%14%16%16% 26% 20% 38%36% 28%27% 43%42%42% 49% 38% 44% 33% 53% 38% 37% 41% 45% 48% 39%42% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Total Warm Cold 20% 42% The Palestinians ** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies. Warm Cold First, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations from around the world, with one hundred meaning VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so.
  15. 15. 18 Total 9% 11% 8% 8% 10% 7% 10% 8% 8% 7% 14% 7% 69% 71% 66% 72% 62% 75% 61% 63% 67% 70% 65% 74% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Warm Cold Iran is viewed very negatively by American voters. 7% 74% Warm Cold ** Trend from joint research by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies. Iran First, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations from around the world, with one hundred meaning VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so.
  16. 16. 19 42% 36% 7% 2% 20% 14% 42% 73% Total** Total** Total** Total** Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Warm/ Fav: 51+ Cold/ Unfav: <50 Cold/ Unfav: <50 Cold/ Unfav: <50 Among world leaders tested, Netanyahu and Peres perceived positively. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Israeli President Shimon Peres Palestinian PM Mahmoud Abbas First, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations from around the world, with one hundred meaning VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so. **Asked of Sample B, N=400 Warm/ Fav: 51+
  17. 17. 20 5% 3% 4% 9% 62% 24% 60% 54% Total* Total** Total* Total* Hamas Cold/ Unfav: <50 Cold/ Unfav: <50 Cold/ Unfav: <50 Cold/ Unfav: <50 Hamas, Fatah, Hezbollah, and the Muslim Brotherhood are all viewed negatively. The Muslim Brotherhood Fatah Hezbollah First, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations from around the world, with one hundred meaning VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so. *Asked of Sample A, N=400 **Asked of Sample B, N=400
  18. 18. 21 20% 26% Total Warm/Favorable: 51+ Cold/Unfavorable: <50 And, voters really aren’t quite sure what to make of the Arab Spring. Arab Spring First, I'd like you to rate your feelings toward some people and organizations from around the world, with one hundred meaning VERY WARM, FAVORABLE feeling; zero meaning a VERY COLD, UNFAVORABLE feeling; and fifty meaning not particularly warm or cold. You can use any number from zero to one hundred, the higher the number the more favorable your feelings are toward that person or organization. If you have no opinion or never heard of that person or organization, please say so.
  19. 19. 23 60% 55% 49% 41% 24% 9% Iran’s nuclear program** The Arab Spring** A developing China* The situation with Iran* Muslim Extremism* Voters view Iran as a greater threat to the U.S. than the European crisis, China and Arab Spring. Please tell me whether you think each of the following is a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to the United States. The economic crisis in Europe** % Very Big Threat *Asked of Sample A, N=400 **Asked of Sample B, N=400
  20. 20. 24 % Very Big Threat By Party Total GOP (29%) IND (39%) DEM (32%) Muslim Extremism* 60% 79% 61% 43% Iran’s nuclear program** 55% 68% 51% 50% The situation with Iran* 49% 68% 47% 37% The economic crisis in Europe** 41% 44% 48% 30% A developing China* 24% 40% 21% 14% The Arab Spring** 9% 18% 10% 1% Democrats are a bit more focused on Iran’s nuclear program. Please tell me whether you think each of the following is a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to the United States. *Asked of Sample A, N=400 **Asked of Sample B, N=400
  21. 21. 26 Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places... The United States 44% 35% 13% 7% Total Very Big Threat Not Much Threat No Threat Moderate Threat While nearly half of voters say that Iran’s nuclear program is a very big threat to the United States...
  22. 22. 27 67% 21% 5% 4% Total Fully two-thirds of voters believe it is a very big threat to Israel. Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places... Israel Very Big Threat Not Much Threat No Threat Moderate Threat
  23. 23. 28 There’s also a sense that Iran’s a very big threat to the Iranian people, other Arab countries in the Middle East, and to a lesser extent, Europe. 45% 39% 34%34% 39% 42% 12% 14% 15% 6% 6% 7% Total Total Total Very Big Not Much NoneMod The Iranian People* Other Arab countries in the Middle East** **Asked of Sample A, N=400*Asked of Sample B, N=400 Does Iran’s nuclear program pose a very big threat, a moderate threat, not much of a threat or no threat at all to each of the following places... Europe Very Big Not Much NoneMod Very Big Not Much NoneMod
  24. 24. 30 82% 89% 83% 75% 16% 11% 15% 23% Total GOP (29%) IND (39%) DEM (32%) Fully 82% of Americans support the economic and trade sanctions on Iran to discourage their nuclear program. Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program... Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?* By PartyTotal Support Oppose Support Oppose *Asked of Sample A, N=400 55% Strongly 67% Strongly 50% Strongly 51% Strongly Support Oppose Support Oppose
  25. 25. 31 74% 81% 90% 86% 81% 22% 17% 10% 13% 17% 18-34 (20%) 35-44 (25%) 45-54 (13%) 55-64 (22%) 65+ (19%) Support for sanctions also cuts across all age groups. Now, as you may know, the United States has imposed strong economic and trade sanctions on Iran to try to discourage Iran's nuclear program... Generally speaking, do you support or oppose these sanctions?* By Age Sup Opp *Asked of Sample A, N=400 32% Strong Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp Sup Opp 55% Strong 71% Strong 63% Strong 60% Strong
  26. 26. 32 32% 20% 30% 46% 67% 80% 68% 54% Total GOP (29%) IND (39%) DEM (32%) But, there’s really not a strong sense that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran from developing nuclear capabilities. How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s development of nuclear capabilities?** By PartyTotal Likely Not Likely **Asked of Sample B, N=400 9% Very 30% Not At All 6% Very 37% Not At All 8% Very 34% Not At All 12% Very 18% Not At All Likely Not Likely Likely Not Likely Likely Not Likely
  27. 27. 33 34% 30% 28% 29% 37% 66% 68% 70% 71% 61% 18-34 (15%) 35-44 (30%) 45-54 (15%) 55-64 (20%) 65+ (19%) And, this sentiment is true across age … By Age Likely Not Likely **Asked of Sample B, N=400 6% Very 36% Not At All Likely Not Likely 10% Very 21% Not At All Likely Not Likely 5% Very 40% Not At All Likely Not Likely 6% Very 30% Not At All Likely Not Likely 14% Very 29% Not At All How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s development of nuclear capabilities?**
  28. 28. 34 31% 68% Opinion Elites (30%) And, among opinion elites. Among Elites Likely Not Likely **Asked of Sample B, N=400 24% Not At All 5% Very Likely How likely do you think it is that sanctions and diplomacy will prevent Iran’s development of nuclear capabilities?**
  29. 29. 35 79% 78% 21% 19% Total Total Now I am going to read you a series of actions that can be taken with regard to Iran if they do not stop their nuclear program. After I read each one, please tell me whether you support or oppose that action... Support Voters overwhelmingly support talks and expanded sanctions on Iran. Direct talks with Iran to negotiate over its nuclear program SupportOppose Oppose Expanded economic and diplomatic sanctions 12% Strongly 55% Strongly 49% Strongly
  30. 30. 37 And, which TWO of the following information sources are the most significant in shaping your views on the Middle East? 60% 35% 31% 21% 19% 15% 4% 4% 3% A p p TV news An overwhelming majority of American voters get their information about the Middle East from TV news. Newspapers The Internet Your own religious beliefs Radio News Family and friends % Combined Community or political leaders Schools or universities Lectures or events
  31. 31. 38 And, which type of internet site do you typically use for information about the Middle East? 75% 5% 3% A p p Social networking sites like You-Tube, Facebook or Twitter And, it’s clearly mainstream media over social networking. Mainstream media websites like CNN, MSNBC, Yahoo or Fox News Other Total* *Among N=695, those who TV news, Newspapers, or Internet.
  32. 32. 214 North Fayette Street Alexandria, Virginia 22314 Phone: (703) 836-7655 Web: www.pos.org

×