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EXTREMES
Team X
DESCRIPTION

Your objective is to roll two six-sided dice whose sum lies as the extreme end
of the sample space, i.e. a sum of 2 or of 12. Doing so earns the player $12. A
prize of $6 is awarded for rolling the same value on each die, not including 6s
or 1s. Each round costs $4.
DATA

Theoretical

Experimental

Outcome

Prob (p)

Value (x)

Outcome

Prob (p)

Value (x)

1&1, 6&6

.0555

12 -4 = 8

1&1, 6&6

4/50= .08

12 -4 = 8

2&2, 3&3, 4&4, 5&5

.111

5-4=1

2&2, 3&3, 4&4, 5&5

3/50=.06

5-4=1

None of the above

.833

0 – 4 = -4

None of the above

43/50=.86

0 – 4 = -4
RESULTS

The results experimental and theoretical data were surprisingly on point.
Around the Round 40 mark, there were still only two wins so for a while it was
the data would be completely off. The Law of Large Numbers kicked in
though, and everything was reasonable by the fiftieth round.

One improvement could be making the game more interesting. After 50 rolls
it gets awfully repetitive. Perhaps it would be more interesting if I had actually
used money but I still think it should have been a bit more addictive. Games
of chance aren’t fun without that element of obsession. I considered adding
some sort of skill-based element, like in blackjack or poker, but that would
make the probability of outcomes variable and I couldn’t figure out how to
deal with that mathematically.

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Game x

  • 2. DESCRIPTION Your objective is to roll two six-sided dice whose sum lies as the extreme end of the sample space, i.e. a sum of 2 or of 12. Doing so earns the player $12. A prize of $6 is awarded for rolling the same value on each die, not including 6s or 1s. Each round costs $4.
  • 3. DATA Theoretical Experimental Outcome Prob (p) Value (x) Outcome Prob (p) Value (x) 1&1, 6&6 .0555 12 -4 = 8 1&1, 6&6 4/50= .08 12 -4 = 8 2&2, 3&3, 4&4, 5&5 .111 5-4=1 2&2, 3&3, 4&4, 5&5 3/50=.06 5-4=1 None of the above .833 0 – 4 = -4 None of the above 43/50=.86 0 – 4 = -4
  • 4.
  • 5. RESULTS The results experimental and theoretical data were surprisingly on point. Around the Round 40 mark, there were still only two wins so for a while it was the data would be completely off. The Law of Large Numbers kicked in though, and everything was reasonable by the fiftieth round. One improvement could be making the game more interesting. After 50 rolls it gets awfully repetitive. Perhaps it would be more interesting if I had actually used money but I still think it should have been a bit more addictive. Games of chance aren’t fun without that element of obsession. I considered adding some sort of skill-based element, like in blackjack or poker, but that would make the probability of outcomes variable and I couldn’t figure out how to deal with that mathematically.