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Contribution of Genome-Wide Association Studies to
Scientific Research: A Pragmatic Approach to Evaluate
Their Impact
Vito A. G. Ricigliano1,2.
, Renato Umeton1
*.
, Lorenzo Germinario2
, Eleonora Alma2
, Martina Briani2
,
Noemi Di Segni2
, Dalma Montesanti2
, Giorgia Pierelli2
, Fabiana Cancrini2
, Cristiano Lomonaco2
,
Francesca Grassi3
, Gabriella Palmieri4
, Marco Salvetti1
*
1 Centre for Experimental Neurological Therapies, (CENTERS) S. Andrea Hospital-site, Department of Neuroscience, Mental Health and Sensory Organs, NESMOS,
‘‘Sapienza’’, University of Rome, Roma, Italy, 2 ‘‘Percorso di Eccellenza’’, Faculty of Medicine and Psychology, ‘‘Sapienza’’, University of Rome, Roma, Italy, 3 Department of
Physiology and Pharmacology, ‘‘Sapienza’’, University of Rome, Roma, Italy, 4 Department of Experimental Medicine, ‘‘Sapienza’’, University of Rome, Roma, Italy
Abstract
The factual value of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for the understanding of multifactorial diseases is a matter of
intense debate. Practical consequences for the development of more effective therapies do not seem to be around the
corner. Here we propose a pragmatic and objective evaluation of how much new biology is arising from these studies, with
particular attention to the information that can help prioritize therapeutic targets. We chose multiple sclerosis (MS) as a
paradigm disease and assumed that, in pre-GWAS candidate-gene studies, the knowledge behind the choice of each gene
reflected the understanding of the disease prior to the advent of GWAS. Importantly, this knowledge was based mainly on
non-genetic, phenotypic grounds. We performed single-gene and pathway-oriented comparisons of old and new
knowledge in MS by confronting an unbiased list of candidate genes in pre-GWAS association studies with those genes
exceeding the genome-wide significance threshold in GWAS published from 2007 on. At the single gene level, the majority
(94 out of 125) of GWAS-discovered variants had never been contemplated as plausible candidates in pre-GWAS association
studies. The 31 genes that were present in both pre- and post-GWAS lists may be of particular interest in that they represent
disease-associated variants whose pathogenetic relevance is supported at the phenotypic level (i.e. the phenotypic
information that steered their selection as candidate genes in pre-GWAS association studies). As such they represent
attractive therapeutic targets. Interestingly, our analysis shows that some of these variants are targets of pharmacologically
active compounds, including drugs that are already registered for human use. Compared with the above single-gene
analysis, at the pathway level GWAS results appear more coherent with previous knowledge, reinforcing some of the current
views on MS pathogenesis and related therapeutic research. This study presents a pragmatic approach that helps interpret
and exploit GWAS knowledge.
Citation: Ricigliano VAG, Umeton R, Germinario L, Alma E, Briani M, et al. (2013) Contribution of Genome-Wide Association Studies to Scientific Research: A
Pragmatic Approach to Evaluate Their Impact. PLoS ONE 8(8): e71198. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0071198
Editor: Struan Frederick Airth Grant, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, United States of America
Received February 14, 2013; Accepted June 26, 2013; Published August 14, 2013
Copyright: ß 2013 Ricigliano et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits
unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Funding: MS and RU are supported by the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Foundation. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to
publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
* E-mail: marco.salvetti@uniroma1.it (MS); renato.umeton@uniroma1.it (RU)
. These authors contributed equally to this work.
Introduction
Genome-wide association screenings (GWAS) and, in a
relatively near future, full-genome sequencing of large samples
will substantially deepen our understanding of the etiology of
multifactorial diseases, bringing new hope for the identification of
definitive therapeutic targets. However, in spite of the spectacular
technological progress that is making this happen, difficulties in the
analysis and interpretation of the data are delaying the process [1].
Since the entity of this delay is unpredictable, it would be useful to
look at the available data in a way that may help to set priorities in
certain fields of clinical research.
An obvious strategy to assess the added value of the new
knowledge that is being acquired is to confront it with the old one.
Although successfully accomplished in other areas of bioinfor-
matics [2,3], this knowledge integration process has never been
systematically and objectively attempted for GWAS data since the
vast majority of genetic studies in the pre-GWAS era did not
provide definitive evidence of associations, hence being non
comparable. Nonetheless, being the bulk of the old studies based
on a candidate-gene approach, irrespective of the reliability of
their results the knowledge behind the choice of each gene is a
faithful and thorough representation of pre-GWAS understanding
of the disease.
We evaluated differences between pre- and post-GWAS
knowledge in multiple sclerosis (MS). As first term of comparison,
representing the pre-GWAS knowledge, we used an unbiased list
of those candidate genes (included in GENOTATOR) [4] that
had been considered appropriate choices for genetic studies based
on pre-GWAS candidate-gene approach; as second term, we
PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 1 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198
selected those genes exceeding the genome-wide significance
threshold in GWAS published from 2007 on.
Based on the results of this analysis, performed in a single-gene
and in a pathway-oriented approach, we evaluated the emergence
of ‘‘black swans’’ from the GWAS data and the instances in which
the old and the new knowledge reinforce each other. Importantly,
such cases highlighted a potential coincidence between significant
genetic variants and (endo)phenotypes of possible pathogenetic
relevance, a particularly informative situation in that it tells us that
the genetic association identified by GWAS may be coupled with
pathogenetically relevant phenotypic variation. Being these
variants attractive for pharmaceutical research, we also performed
a survey of drugs that target the products of these genes including
compounds that are already registered for human use and may be
evaluated in proof-of concept clinical trials without further delay.
Methods
To compare pre-GWAS knowledge with GWAS results we used
two independent lists of genes. The first one, that we assume to be
representative of pre-GWAS knowledge, contains all genes chosen
as ‘‘candidate genes’’ for association studies in MS in the pre-
GWAS era (all the studies included in GENOTATOR database
and published up to august 2007). We obtained this list from the
GENOTATOR meta-database [4] (http://GENOTATOR.hms.
harvard.edu ). The second list is made of the genes that are
reported as exceeding the threshold of genome-wide significance
in the 15 GWAS published since 2007 on MS [5–19] (http://
www.genome.gov/gwastudies/).
We compared the single gene composition of the two lists and
then verified whether variations resulted in functional differences
using Ingenuity Pathway Analysis (IPA). IPA settings included (1)
strict experimentally-validated filter in the setting related to source
data quality, (2) inclusion of information coming only from papers
where tissues and cells belong to the following IPA categories:
immune system, nervous system, and cell lines; (3) use only
human-data and discard mouse and rat model data. Statistical
significance was taken at p,0.05 (ie, -log(p). = 1.3); B–H p-values
denote p-values corrected for multiple testing using the Benjamini-
Hochberg procedure (this technique relies on the fact that p-values
are uniformly distributed under the null hypothesis) [20].
In IPA, the p-value associated with a function or a pathway in
Global Functional Analysis (GFA) and Global Canonical Pathways
(GCP) is a measure of the likelihood that the association between a
set of focus genes in the experiment and a given process or
pathway is due to random chance. The p-value is calculated using
the right-tailed Fisher Exact Test. B–H correction method of
accounting for multiple testing is used in this analysis, and enabled
to control the error rate in our results and focused on the most
significant biological functions associated with our genes of
interest. A full mathematical and statistical explanation of the
IPA procedure is available at http://www.ingenuity.com/wp-
content/themes/ingenuitytheme/pdf/ipa/functions-pathways-
pval-whitepaper.pdf.
Finally, we used the IPA software to find out all the molecules
(pharmacologically active substances included) that directly or
indirectly (connection mediated by a common interactor) interact
with the products of the genes that compose our GENOTATOR
and GWAS lists.
The diagram in Figure 1 summarizes the methodology we
designed and followed for our work of knowledge assessment and
comparison.
Results
Our analysis included 522 genes from GENOTATOR and 125
from GWAS, selected according to the parameters described in
the Methods section (see also the diagram in Figure 1 for a
snapshot of the study design). The GENOTATOR-derived panel
can be taken as an unbiased representation of pre-GWAS,
‘‘phenotypic’’ knowledge (the conceptual background behind the
choice of each ‘‘candidate’’ was mainly based on non-genetic
information). The GWAS-derived panel reflects new information
on the genetic variation that influences disease risk. The two
panels were then confronted at the single-gene and at the pathway
level.
As shown in Fig. 2-A (and Table S1), at the single-gene level 31
genes upon the whole (647) could simultaneously be found in both
GENOTATOR and GWAS lists, 491 were exclusive of the
GENOTATOR list and 94 were exclusive of the GWAS list. This
implies that 75.2% (94 out of 125) of the GWAS-discovered genes
had never been considered as plausible candidates for single-gene
association studies in MS. On the other hand the remaining 24.8%
(31 out of 125) of the GWAS-identified genes confirm previous,
phenotypic-derived knowledge.
Genes in the GENOTATOR and GWAS lists were then
subjected to a pathway-oriented analysis in order to have a glance
of the molecular and cellular functions associated to each test set.
The Ingenuity analysis addressed the broader perspective of
‘‘biological function’’ first and then focused on ‘‘signaling
pathways’’ and ‘‘metabolic pathways’’ (the only two categories
contained in IPA canonical pathways) to obtain separate insight
about specific cellular functions.
The ‘‘biological function’’ IPA showed a major overlap between
the pre- (GENOTATOR data set) and post-GWAS knowledge
(GWAS data set) (Fig. 2-B, Table S2 and Figure S1). In particular,
GENOTATOR and GWAS data sets shared 20 out of 25
biological pathways. Of the 5 pathways that were exclusive of
either data set, amino acid metabolism and protein trafficking
emerged from GWAS data, whereas free radical scavenging,
protein synthesis, nucleic acid metabolism emerged from GENO-
TATOR.
Comparison carried out at the signaling pathway level (Fig. 2-C,
Table S3) showed a smaller overlap between the two data sets, as
GENOTATOR and GWAS shared 80 pathways out of 215
(37.2%). Notably, in this case there was a considerable portion of
pathways (135 upon the whole) emerging uniquely from
GENOTATOR data.
The proportion of GENOTATOR pathways that were not
confirmed in GWAS became preponderant in the ‘‘metabolic
pathways’’ IPA, where no pathways were present in both GWAS
and pre-GWAS lists of metabolic pathways (Fig. 2-D and Table
S4).
To extract information that may steer the identification of
‘‘druggable’’ targets, we used the IPA software to find out all the
molecules directly or indirectly interacting with the products of the
genes in the GENOTATOR and GWAS lists. Among these, we
focused our attention on those molecules (being either the original
gene products or the associated proteins linked to them) that were
targeted by registered drugs or by pharmacologically active
(exogenous or endogenous) compounds and found that 9 (CD40,
CD80, CD86, ESR1, HLA-DRB1, IL6, IL7R, IL12B, IL13) were
genes present in both GWAS and GENOTATOR lists. Results of
this analysis and the most significant networks, together with the
related drugs, are described in Fig. 3 (and Table S5).
Contribution of GWAS to Scientific Research
PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 2 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198
Figure 1. Study flow diagram. It summarizes of the methodology we designed and followed to compare the pre- and post-GWAS understanding
of the disease by means of single gene analyses, pathway comparisons, and drug target evaluations.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0071198.g001
Figure 2. Comparison of GENOTATOR and GWAS gene lists. (A) results at the single-gene level; (B) results in terms of biological function
derived from IPA analysis. Boxes describe specific biological functions; (C) signaling pathway comparison, resulting from IPA analysis; (D) comparison
performed in terms of metabolic pathways, derived from IPA analysis. Box indicates ‘‘GENOTATOR-only’’ signaling pathways.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0071198.g002
Contribution of GWAS to Scientific Research
PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 3 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198
Discussion
In principle, GWAS results are one of the best resources we can
draw on for the development of new therapies in multifactorial
diseases. Unfortunately their interpretation is neither simple nor
granted [1]. Furthermore, the small effect size of the disease-
associated variants discovered so far does not lend them to be
considered as attractive therapeutic targets. However, the true
pathogenetic role of these variants may erroneously appear
limited, in the absence of comprehensive analyses of how this
disease-relevant genetic variation correlates with functional/
phenotypic knowledge. To provide conceptual support to the
new information we confronted GWAS results with pre-GWAS,
functional/phenotypic knowledge.
This comparison confirms, objectively, that GWAS are indeed
broadening and refining our understanding of the genetic
architecture of MS. The majority of the genes identified in
GWAS are new with respect to those in the GENOTATOR list of
pre-GWAS studies. Looking at the pathway-oriented analysis, in
some instances (which were more frequent among ‘‘biological
function’’, less frequent among ‘‘signaling’’ and absent among
‘‘metabolic’’ pathways), the new knowledge strengthens hypothe-
ses that had guided the selection of candidates for single-gene
association analyses prior to the advent of GWAS; in others there
are elements of novelty. Specifically, there are 2 biological
pathways (amino acid metabolism and protein trafficking) that
emerge only from GWAS data (according to IPA’s classification
for bio- and canonical-pathways assessing the trajectory of a given
knowledge dataset). Finally, the lack of overlap between
GENOTATOR and GWAS knowledge at the ‘‘metabolic’’ IPA
level may suggest a substantial denial of previous conjectures about
the involvement of metabolic functions. Although this knowledge
trajectory assessment contains, obviously, a publication bias
(indeed, IPA’s knowledge repository is updated periodically with
data coming from PubMed, KEGG, Gene Expression Omnibus,
and all major scientific data repositories), our analysis can be
repeated, for instance, every year, to update the trajectory where
the GWAS research is overall headed.
The 31 genes that GWAS results have in common with pre-
GWAS knowledge are of particular interest. In fact, in the pre-
GWAS era, they had been selected based on non-genetic,
phenotypic grounds. Therefore, functional information on the
underlying biological processes is, to some extent, already available
and, at least in some of these cases, they may represent bona-fide
functional (endo)phenotypes [21,22] whose pathogenetic relevance
has been supported already. For these reasons genes such as
CD40, CD5, CD80, CD86, CIITA, CXCR5, FCRL3, GALC,
ICAM3, IL12A, IL12B, IL12RB1, IL6, IL7R, MAPK1, NFKB1,
TNFRSF1A, may be considered foreground therapeutic targets
(see Table S6 for functional information).
Among these, some are targeted by registered drugs and can
therefore be placed even higher in an ideal ranking of interest.
Nonetheless, pathogenetic relevance does not necessarily imply
therapeutic efficacy. Additional parameters need to be taken into
account in choosing the most appropriate therapeutic targets. In
MS, the disappointing results of phase II clinical trials with
Ustekinumab (CNTO 1275, StelaraH), a human monoclonal
antibody targeting the interleukin (IL)-12/23 p40 subunit [23],
may suggest that pleiotropic and redundant mediators of the
immune response such as cytokines, while being pathogenetically
relevant through processes that may last several years, are
impractical targets for single therapies that ought to be effective
in a relatively short time interval. Besides IL-12, and apart from
CTLA4 (one published open-label phase 1 clinical trial of infusions
of CTLA4Ig with positive immunologic effects [24] and one
ongoing phase 2 study), there are no other completed or ongoing
proof-of-concept trials on any of the 9 pathogenetically relevant
molecules that may be targeted by registered drugs. The discussion
of the issues that, if properly addressed, may help remove some
roadblocks and facilitate repurposing trials goes beyond the scope
of this study [25].
Figure 3. Results from the analysis of all the molecules directly or indirectly linked to GENOTATOR/GWAS lists of genes. Histogram
chart (center) shows the absolute number of molecules contemporarily targeted by registered drugs or pharmacologically active compounds and
also part of complex molecular networks involving GENOTATOR-only, GWAS-only, or common genes; (left and right): most significant molecular
networks and related drugs.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0071198.g003
Contribution of GWAS to Scientific Research
PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 4 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198
Conclusions
Recent, citation metrics comparisons of pre-GWAS and GWAS
publications have shown that GWAS are strong hypothesis
generators [26]. Here, our comparison of pre-GWAS and GWAS
results proposes a rational approach to the interpretation and
exploitation of invaluable information such as that coming from
GWAS, in MS and in other multifactorial diseases. It promises to
become increasingly helpful as new genetic data and new data
warehouses are available, particularly since it may contribute to
prioritize the selection of therapeutic targets.
Supporting Information
Figure S1 IPA line charts for each molecular and cellular
function separately. X-axis indicates the group (GENOTATOR
or GWAS), y-axis indicates the -log10(P value).
(TIFF)
Table S1 GENOTATOR-only and GWAS-only gene datasets.
(XLS)
Table S2 Biological-function comparative analysis for GENO-
TATOR and GWAS gene datasets.
(XLS)
Table S3 Signaling pathway comparative analysis for GENO-
TATOR and GWAS gene datasets.
(XLS)
Table S4 Metabolic pathway comparative analysis for GENO-
TATOR and GWAS gene datasets.
(XLS)
Table S5 Druggability extensive analysis for GENOTATOR-,
GWAS-gene datasets and all the molecules that interact with the
former two.
(XLS)
Table S6 Functional information on foreground therapeutic
targets.
(DOCX)
Author Contributions
Conceived and designed the experiments: MS RU VAGR FG G. Palmieri.
Analyzed the data: RU VAGR. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis
tools: RU. Wrote the paper: MS VAGR RU. Gathered and filtered the
initial raw data: VAGR LG EA MB DM G. Pierelli NDS FC CL.
Conceived the work: MS RU VAGR FG G. Palmieri.
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Contribution of GWAS to Scientific Research
PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 5 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198

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Contribution of genome-wide association studies to scientific research: a pragmatic approach to evaluate their impact

  • 1. Contribution of Genome-Wide Association Studies to Scientific Research: A Pragmatic Approach to Evaluate Their Impact Vito A. G. Ricigliano1,2. , Renato Umeton1 *. , Lorenzo Germinario2 , Eleonora Alma2 , Martina Briani2 , Noemi Di Segni2 , Dalma Montesanti2 , Giorgia Pierelli2 , Fabiana Cancrini2 , Cristiano Lomonaco2 , Francesca Grassi3 , Gabriella Palmieri4 , Marco Salvetti1 * 1 Centre for Experimental Neurological Therapies, (CENTERS) S. Andrea Hospital-site, Department of Neuroscience, Mental Health and Sensory Organs, NESMOS, ‘‘Sapienza’’, University of Rome, Roma, Italy, 2 ‘‘Percorso di Eccellenza’’, Faculty of Medicine and Psychology, ‘‘Sapienza’’, University of Rome, Roma, Italy, 3 Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, ‘‘Sapienza’’, University of Rome, Roma, Italy, 4 Department of Experimental Medicine, ‘‘Sapienza’’, University of Rome, Roma, Italy Abstract The factual value of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for the understanding of multifactorial diseases is a matter of intense debate. Practical consequences for the development of more effective therapies do not seem to be around the corner. Here we propose a pragmatic and objective evaluation of how much new biology is arising from these studies, with particular attention to the information that can help prioritize therapeutic targets. We chose multiple sclerosis (MS) as a paradigm disease and assumed that, in pre-GWAS candidate-gene studies, the knowledge behind the choice of each gene reflected the understanding of the disease prior to the advent of GWAS. Importantly, this knowledge was based mainly on non-genetic, phenotypic grounds. We performed single-gene and pathway-oriented comparisons of old and new knowledge in MS by confronting an unbiased list of candidate genes in pre-GWAS association studies with those genes exceeding the genome-wide significance threshold in GWAS published from 2007 on. At the single gene level, the majority (94 out of 125) of GWAS-discovered variants had never been contemplated as plausible candidates in pre-GWAS association studies. The 31 genes that were present in both pre- and post-GWAS lists may be of particular interest in that they represent disease-associated variants whose pathogenetic relevance is supported at the phenotypic level (i.e. the phenotypic information that steered their selection as candidate genes in pre-GWAS association studies). As such they represent attractive therapeutic targets. Interestingly, our analysis shows that some of these variants are targets of pharmacologically active compounds, including drugs that are already registered for human use. Compared with the above single-gene analysis, at the pathway level GWAS results appear more coherent with previous knowledge, reinforcing some of the current views on MS pathogenesis and related therapeutic research. This study presents a pragmatic approach that helps interpret and exploit GWAS knowledge. Citation: Ricigliano VAG, Umeton R, Germinario L, Alma E, Briani M, et al. (2013) Contribution of Genome-Wide Association Studies to Scientific Research: A Pragmatic Approach to Evaluate Their Impact. PLoS ONE 8(8): e71198. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0071198 Editor: Struan Frederick Airth Grant, The Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, United States of America Received February 14, 2013; Accepted June 26, 2013; Published August 14, 2013 Copyright: ß 2013 Ricigliano et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Funding: MS and RU are supported by the Italian Multiple Sclerosis Foundation. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. * E-mail: marco.salvetti@uniroma1.it (MS); renato.umeton@uniroma1.it (RU) . These authors contributed equally to this work. Introduction Genome-wide association screenings (GWAS) and, in a relatively near future, full-genome sequencing of large samples will substantially deepen our understanding of the etiology of multifactorial diseases, bringing new hope for the identification of definitive therapeutic targets. However, in spite of the spectacular technological progress that is making this happen, difficulties in the analysis and interpretation of the data are delaying the process [1]. Since the entity of this delay is unpredictable, it would be useful to look at the available data in a way that may help to set priorities in certain fields of clinical research. An obvious strategy to assess the added value of the new knowledge that is being acquired is to confront it with the old one. Although successfully accomplished in other areas of bioinfor- matics [2,3], this knowledge integration process has never been systematically and objectively attempted for GWAS data since the vast majority of genetic studies in the pre-GWAS era did not provide definitive evidence of associations, hence being non comparable. Nonetheless, being the bulk of the old studies based on a candidate-gene approach, irrespective of the reliability of their results the knowledge behind the choice of each gene is a faithful and thorough representation of pre-GWAS understanding of the disease. We evaluated differences between pre- and post-GWAS knowledge in multiple sclerosis (MS). As first term of comparison, representing the pre-GWAS knowledge, we used an unbiased list of those candidate genes (included in GENOTATOR) [4] that had been considered appropriate choices for genetic studies based on pre-GWAS candidate-gene approach; as second term, we PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 1 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198
  • 2. selected those genes exceeding the genome-wide significance threshold in GWAS published from 2007 on. Based on the results of this analysis, performed in a single-gene and in a pathway-oriented approach, we evaluated the emergence of ‘‘black swans’’ from the GWAS data and the instances in which the old and the new knowledge reinforce each other. Importantly, such cases highlighted a potential coincidence between significant genetic variants and (endo)phenotypes of possible pathogenetic relevance, a particularly informative situation in that it tells us that the genetic association identified by GWAS may be coupled with pathogenetically relevant phenotypic variation. Being these variants attractive for pharmaceutical research, we also performed a survey of drugs that target the products of these genes including compounds that are already registered for human use and may be evaluated in proof-of concept clinical trials without further delay. Methods To compare pre-GWAS knowledge with GWAS results we used two independent lists of genes. The first one, that we assume to be representative of pre-GWAS knowledge, contains all genes chosen as ‘‘candidate genes’’ for association studies in MS in the pre- GWAS era (all the studies included in GENOTATOR database and published up to august 2007). We obtained this list from the GENOTATOR meta-database [4] (http://GENOTATOR.hms. harvard.edu ). The second list is made of the genes that are reported as exceeding the threshold of genome-wide significance in the 15 GWAS published since 2007 on MS [5–19] (http:// www.genome.gov/gwastudies/). We compared the single gene composition of the two lists and then verified whether variations resulted in functional differences using Ingenuity Pathway Analysis (IPA). IPA settings included (1) strict experimentally-validated filter in the setting related to source data quality, (2) inclusion of information coming only from papers where tissues and cells belong to the following IPA categories: immune system, nervous system, and cell lines; (3) use only human-data and discard mouse and rat model data. Statistical significance was taken at p,0.05 (ie, -log(p). = 1.3); B–H p-values denote p-values corrected for multiple testing using the Benjamini- Hochberg procedure (this technique relies on the fact that p-values are uniformly distributed under the null hypothesis) [20]. In IPA, the p-value associated with a function or a pathway in Global Functional Analysis (GFA) and Global Canonical Pathways (GCP) is a measure of the likelihood that the association between a set of focus genes in the experiment and a given process or pathway is due to random chance. The p-value is calculated using the right-tailed Fisher Exact Test. B–H correction method of accounting for multiple testing is used in this analysis, and enabled to control the error rate in our results and focused on the most significant biological functions associated with our genes of interest. A full mathematical and statistical explanation of the IPA procedure is available at http://www.ingenuity.com/wp- content/themes/ingenuitytheme/pdf/ipa/functions-pathways- pval-whitepaper.pdf. Finally, we used the IPA software to find out all the molecules (pharmacologically active substances included) that directly or indirectly (connection mediated by a common interactor) interact with the products of the genes that compose our GENOTATOR and GWAS lists. The diagram in Figure 1 summarizes the methodology we designed and followed for our work of knowledge assessment and comparison. Results Our analysis included 522 genes from GENOTATOR and 125 from GWAS, selected according to the parameters described in the Methods section (see also the diagram in Figure 1 for a snapshot of the study design). The GENOTATOR-derived panel can be taken as an unbiased representation of pre-GWAS, ‘‘phenotypic’’ knowledge (the conceptual background behind the choice of each ‘‘candidate’’ was mainly based on non-genetic information). The GWAS-derived panel reflects new information on the genetic variation that influences disease risk. The two panels were then confronted at the single-gene and at the pathway level. As shown in Fig. 2-A (and Table S1), at the single-gene level 31 genes upon the whole (647) could simultaneously be found in both GENOTATOR and GWAS lists, 491 were exclusive of the GENOTATOR list and 94 were exclusive of the GWAS list. This implies that 75.2% (94 out of 125) of the GWAS-discovered genes had never been considered as plausible candidates for single-gene association studies in MS. On the other hand the remaining 24.8% (31 out of 125) of the GWAS-identified genes confirm previous, phenotypic-derived knowledge. Genes in the GENOTATOR and GWAS lists were then subjected to a pathway-oriented analysis in order to have a glance of the molecular and cellular functions associated to each test set. The Ingenuity analysis addressed the broader perspective of ‘‘biological function’’ first and then focused on ‘‘signaling pathways’’ and ‘‘metabolic pathways’’ (the only two categories contained in IPA canonical pathways) to obtain separate insight about specific cellular functions. The ‘‘biological function’’ IPA showed a major overlap between the pre- (GENOTATOR data set) and post-GWAS knowledge (GWAS data set) (Fig. 2-B, Table S2 and Figure S1). In particular, GENOTATOR and GWAS data sets shared 20 out of 25 biological pathways. Of the 5 pathways that were exclusive of either data set, amino acid metabolism and protein trafficking emerged from GWAS data, whereas free radical scavenging, protein synthesis, nucleic acid metabolism emerged from GENO- TATOR. Comparison carried out at the signaling pathway level (Fig. 2-C, Table S3) showed a smaller overlap between the two data sets, as GENOTATOR and GWAS shared 80 pathways out of 215 (37.2%). Notably, in this case there was a considerable portion of pathways (135 upon the whole) emerging uniquely from GENOTATOR data. The proportion of GENOTATOR pathways that were not confirmed in GWAS became preponderant in the ‘‘metabolic pathways’’ IPA, where no pathways were present in both GWAS and pre-GWAS lists of metabolic pathways (Fig. 2-D and Table S4). To extract information that may steer the identification of ‘‘druggable’’ targets, we used the IPA software to find out all the molecules directly or indirectly interacting with the products of the genes in the GENOTATOR and GWAS lists. Among these, we focused our attention on those molecules (being either the original gene products or the associated proteins linked to them) that were targeted by registered drugs or by pharmacologically active (exogenous or endogenous) compounds and found that 9 (CD40, CD80, CD86, ESR1, HLA-DRB1, IL6, IL7R, IL12B, IL13) were genes present in both GWAS and GENOTATOR lists. Results of this analysis and the most significant networks, together with the related drugs, are described in Fig. 3 (and Table S5). Contribution of GWAS to Scientific Research PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 2 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198
  • 3. Figure 1. Study flow diagram. It summarizes of the methodology we designed and followed to compare the pre- and post-GWAS understanding of the disease by means of single gene analyses, pathway comparisons, and drug target evaluations. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0071198.g001 Figure 2. Comparison of GENOTATOR and GWAS gene lists. (A) results at the single-gene level; (B) results in terms of biological function derived from IPA analysis. Boxes describe specific biological functions; (C) signaling pathway comparison, resulting from IPA analysis; (D) comparison performed in terms of metabolic pathways, derived from IPA analysis. Box indicates ‘‘GENOTATOR-only’’ signaling pathways. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0071198.g002 Contribution of GWAS to Scientific Research PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 3 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198
  • 4. Discussion In principle, GWAS results are one of the best resources we can draw on for the development of new therapies in multifactorial diseases. Unfortunately their interpretation is neither simple nor granted [1]. Furthermore, the small effect size of the disease- associated variants discovered so far does not lend them to be considered as attractive therapeutic targets. However, the true pathogenetic role of these variants may erroneously appear limited, in the absence of comprehensive analyses of how this disease-relevant genetic variation correlates with functional/ phenotypic knowledge. To provide conceptual support to the new information we confronted GWAS results with pre-GWAS, functional/phenotypic knowledge. This comparison confirms, objectively, that GWAS are indeed broadening and refining our understanding of the genetic architecture of MS. The majority of the genes identified in GWAS are new with respect to those in the GENOTATOR list of pre-GWAS studies. Looking at the pathway-oriented analysis, in some instances (which were more frequent among ‘‘biological function’’, less frequent among ‘‘signaling’’ and absent among ‘‘metabolic’’ pathways), the new knowledge strengthens hypothe- ses that had guided the selection of candidates for single-gene association analyses prior to the advent of GWAS; in others there are elements of novelty. Specifically, there are 2 biological pathways (amino acid metabolism and protein trafficking) that emerge only from GWAS data (according to IPA’s classification for bio- and canonical-pathways assessing the trajectory of a given knowledge dataset). Finally, the lack of overlap between GENOTATOR and GWAS knowledge at the ‘‘metabolic’’ IPA level may suggest a substantial denial of previous conjectures about the involvement of metabolic functions. Although this knowledge trajectory assessment contains, obviously, a publication bias (indeed, IPA’s knowledge repository is updated periodically with data coming from PubMed, KEGG, Gene Expression Omnibus, and all major scientific data repositories), our analysis can be repeated, for instance, every year, to update the trajectory where the GWAS research is overall headed. The 31 genes that GWAS results have in common with pre- GWAS knowledge are of particular interest. In fact, in the pre- GWAS era, they had been selected based on non-genetic, phenotypic grounds. Therefore, functional information on the underlying biological processes is, to some extent, already available and, at least in some of these cases, they may represent bona-fide functional (endo)phenotypes [21,22] whose pathogenetic relevance has been supported already. For these reasons genes such as CD40, CD5, CD80, CD86, CIITA, CXCR5, FCRL3, GALC, ICAM3, IL12A, IL12B, IL12RB1, IL6, IL7R, MAPK1, NFKB1, TNFRSF1A, may be considered foreground therapeutic targets (see Table S6 for functional information). Among these, some are targeted by registered drugs and can therefore be placed even higher in an ideal ranking of interest. Nonetheless, pathogenetic relevance does not necessarily imply therapeutic efficacy. Additional parameters need to be taken into account in choosing the most appropriate therapeutic targets. In MS, the disappointing results of phase II clinical trials with Ustekinumab (CNTO 1275, StelaraH), a human monoclonal antibody targeting the interleukin (IL)-12/23 p40 subunit [23], may suggest that pleiotropic and redundant mediators of the immune response such as cytokines, while being pathogenetically relevant through processes that may last several years, are impractical targets for single therapies that ought to be effective in a relatively short time interval. Besides IL-12, and apart from CTLA4 (one published open-label phase 1 clinical trial of infusions of CTLA4Ig with positive immunologic effects [24] and one ongoing phase 2 study), there are no other completed or ongoing proof-of-concept trials on any of the 9 pathogenetically relevant molecules that may be targeted by registered drugs. The discussion of the issues that, if properly addressed, may help remove some roadblocks and facilitate repurposing trials goes beyond the scope of this study [25]. Figure 3. Results from the analysis of all the molecules directly or indirectly linked to GENOTATOR/GWAS lists of genes. Histogram chart (center) shows the absolute number of molecules contemporarily targeted by registered drugs or pharmacologically active compounds and also part of complex molecular networks involving GENOTATOR-only, GWAS-only, or common genes; (left and right): most significant molecular networks and related drugs. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0071198.g003 Contribution of GWAS to Scientific Research PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 4 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198
  • 5. Conclusions Recent, citation metrics comparisons of pre-GWAS and GWAS publications have shown that GWAS are strong hypothesis generators [26]. Here, our comparison of pre-GWAS and GWAS results proposes a rational approach to the interpretation and exploitation of invaluable information such as that coming from GWAS, in MS and in other multifactorial diseases. It promises to become increasingly helpful as new genetic data and new data warehouses are available, particularly since it may contribute to prioritize the selection of therapeutic targets. Supporting Information Figure S1 IPA line charts for each molecular and cellular function separately. X-axis indicates the group (GENOTATOR or GWAS), y-axis indicates the -log10(P value). (TIFF) Table S1 GENOTATOR-only and GWAS-only gene datasets. (XLS) Table S2 Biological-function comparative analysis for GENO- TATOR and GWAS gene datasets. (XLS) Table S3 Signaling pathway comparative analysis for GENO- TATOR and GWAS gene datasets. (XLS) Table S4 Metabolic pathway comparative analysis for GENO- TATOR and GWAS gene datasets. (XLS) Table S5 Druggability extensive analysis for GENOTATOR-, GWAS-gene datasets and all the molecules that interact with the former two. (XLS) Table S6 Functional information on foreground therapeutic targets. (DOCX) Author Contributions Conceived and designed the experiments: MS RU VAGR FG G. Palmieri. Analyzed the data: RU VAGR. Contributed reagents/materials/analysis tools: RU. Wrote the paper: MS VAGR RU. Gathered and filtered the initial raw data: VAGR LG EA MB DM G. Pierelli NDS FC CL. Conceived the work: MS RU VAGR FG G. Palmieri. References 1. Visscher PM, Brown MA, McCarthy MI, Yang J (2012) Five years of GWAS discovery. Am J Hum Genet 90: 7–24. 2. Umeton R, Nicosia G, Dewey CF (2012) OREMPdb: a semantic dictionary of computational pathway models. BMC bioinformatics 13: Suppl 4–S6. 3. Ayyadurai VAS, Dewey CF (2011) CytoSolve: A Scalable Computational Method for Dynamic Integration of Multiple Molecular Pathway Models. Cell Mol Bioeng 4: 28–45. 4. Wall DP, Pivovarov R, Tong M, JungJ-Y, Fusaro VA, et al. (2010) Genotator: a disease-agnostic tool for genetic annotation of disease. BMC Med Genomics 3: 50. 5. Hafler DA, Compston A, Sawcer S, Lander ES, Daly MJ, et al. (2007) Risk alleles for multiple sclerosis identified by a genomewide study. N Engl J Med 357: 851–862. 6. Comabella M, Craig DW, Camin˜a-Tato M, Morcillo C, Lopez C, et al. (2008) Identification of a novel risk locus for multiple sclerosis at 13q31.3 by a pooled genome-wide scan of 500,000 single nucleotide polymorphisms. PLoS One 3: e3490. 7. Aulchenko YS, Hoppenbrouwers I, Ramagopalan SV, Broer L, Jafari N, et al. (2008) Genetic variation in the KIF1B locus influences susceptibility to multiple sclerosis. Nat Genet 40: 1402–1403. 8. Baranzini SE, Wang J, Gibson R, Galwey N, Naegelin Y, et al. 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Contribution of GWAS to Scientific Research PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org 5 August 2013 | Volume 8 | Issue 8 | e71198