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Dr. Tariqullah Khan
Professor of Islamic Finance
Views expressed are personal and do not necessarily reflect those of the organizations with which the speaker is
associated. Email: tkhan@qfis.edu.qa
Sukuk markets and the way
forward for the MENA region
Questions that come to mind!
1. What are Sukuk?
2. What are the Sukuk demand drivers?
3. What are the size & trends of global Sukuk markets?
4. What are the trends of Sukuk in the MENA region?
5. Historically, what are the popular structures & who are lead issuers?
6. What are most popular Sukuk structures?
7. Who are the most important Sukuk issuers?
8. What is the trend of Sukuk issues by countries?
9. What is the concentration of Sukuk issues by Sectors?
10. Who are the top 5 Sukuk lead managers?
11. What are the future preferences about structures?
12. What are the future preferences about maturities?
13. What are the future preferences about trading platforms?
14. Looking forward what challenges need to be addressed in the MENA region?
What are Sukuk?
๏ฑSpecial types of bonds
๏‚ง Credit risk of issuer
๏‚ง Ownership share of underlying assets
๏‚ง Exposure to market risk based on underlying
contracts
๏‚ง Simultaneous compliance with Islamic and
prevailing laws
What are the Sukuk demand drivers?
๏ฑSimultaneous conformity with the Islamic and
prevailing legal regimes
๏ฑFinancial inclusion, deepening of financial
markets
๏ฑRisk and return and unique asset class
๏ฑInfrastructure project finance
๏ฑSynergy with other segments of Islamic financial
services
๏ฑProgress in relevant financial infrastructures
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Q2
What are the size & trends of
global Sukuk markets?
Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
YearlyissuanceinbillionUSdollars
What are the trends of Sukuk in the
MENA region?
Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
Historically, what are the popular
structures & who are lead issuers?
Popular Structures
๏ฑ Prior to 2002 โ€“ Murabahah
with Sale of debts (?)
๏ฑ 2002-2005 Ijarah-lease back
with promise to buy at
initial price
๏ฑ 2005-2007 Musharakah
with guarantee of principal
and profit (?)
๏ฑ 2007-2012 Ijarah lease-
back, Wakalah
Lead issuers
๏ฑ Prior to 2002 Private sector
as issuers
๏ฑ 2002-2005 Governments as
issuers
๏ฑ 2005-2007 Private sector as
issuers
๏ฑ 2007-2012 Governments as
issuers
What are most popular Sukuk
structures?
Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
Q2 2012 Actual
Who are the most important Sukuk
issuers?
Q1 2011
Q2 2012
Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
What is the trend of Sukuk issues by
countries?
Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
What is the concentration of Sukuk
issues by Sectors?
Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
What is the most popular current Sukuk
structure?
Q2 2012
Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
Who are the top 5 Sukuk lead
managers?
Q2 2012
Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
What are the future preferences about
structures?
Source: Zawya Collaborative Sukuk Report
What are the future preferences about
maturities?
Source: Zawya Collaborative Sukuk Report
What are the future preferences about
trading platforms?
Source: Zawya Collaborative Sukuk Report
Looking forward what challenges need
to be addressed in the MENA region?
๏ฑ Structure risk
๏‚ง Which structure is more Shariah compliant and well understood
by the stakeholders?
๏ฑ Infrastructure rigidities
๏‚ง What are the rights of investors?
๏‚ง Are the seniority issues settled?
๏‚ง What is the appropriate tax treatment?
๏‚ง What is the best rating mechanism?
๏‚ง Is the legal and accounting treatment uniform?
๏‚ง Are Sukuk available to the private investors?
๏ฑ Risk in common with other fixed income securities and
availability of Shariah compliant risk management tools and
platforms
Thank You!
tkhan@qfis.edu.qa

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Sukuk Prospects in MENA Region

  • 1. Dr. Tariqullah Khan Professor of Islamic Finance Views expressed are personal and do not necessarily reflect those of the organizations with which the speaker is associated. Email: tkhan@qfis.edu.qa Sukuk markets and the way forward for the MENA region
  • 2. Questions that come to mind! 1. What are Sukuk? 2. What are the Sukuk demand drivers? 3. What are the size & trends of global Sukuk markets? 4. What are the trends of Sukuk in the MENA region? 5. Historically, what are the popular structures & who are lead issuers? 6. What are most popular Sukuk structures? 7. Who are the most important Sukuk issuers? 8. What is the trend of Sukuk issues by countries? 9. What is the concentration of Sukuk issues by Sectors? 10. Who are the top 5 Sukuk lead managers? 11. What are the future preferences about structures? 12. What are the future preferences about maturities? 13. What are the future preferences about trading platforms? 14. Looking forward what challenges need to be addressed in the MENA region?
  • 3. What are Sukuk? ๏ฑSpecial types of bonds ๏‚ง Credit risk of issuer ๏‚ง Ownership share of underlying assets ๏‚ง Exposure to market risk based on underlying contracts ๏‚ง Simultaneous compliance with Islamic and prevailing laws
  • 4. What are the Sukuk demand drivers? ๏ฑSimultaneous conformity with the Islamic and prevailing legal regimes ๏ฑFinancial inclusion, deepening of financial markets ๏ฑRisk and return and unique asset class ๏ฑInfrastructure project finance ๏ฑSynergy with other segments of Islamic financial services ๏ฑProgress in relevant financial infrastructures
  • 5. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Q2 What are the size & trends of global Sukuk markets? Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports YearlyissuanceinbillionUSdollars
  • 6. What are the trends of Sukuk in the MENA region? Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
  • 7. Historically, what are the popular structures & who are lead issuers? Popular Structures ๏ฑ Prior to 2002 โ€“ Murabahah with Sale of debts (?) ๏ฑ 2002-2005 Ijarah-lease back with promise to buy at initial price ๏ฑ 2005-2007 Musharakah with guarantee of principal and profit (?) ๏ฑ 2007-2012 Ijarah lease- back, Wakalah Lead issuers ๏ฑ Prior to 2002 Private sector as issuers ๏ฑ 2002-2005 Governments as issuers ๏ฑ 2005-2007 Private sector as issuers ๏ฑ 2007-2012 Governments as issuers
  • 8. What are most popular Sukuk structures? Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports Q2 2012 Actual
  • 9. Who are the most important Sukuk issuers? Q1 2011 Q2 2012 Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
  • 10. What is the trend of Sukuk issues by countries? Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
  • 11. What is the concentration of Sukuk issues by Sectors? Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
  • 12. What is the most popular current Sukuk structure? Q2 2012 Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
  • 13. Who are the top 5 Sukuk lead managers? Q2 2012 Source: Zawya Sukuk Reports
  • 14. What are the future preferences about structures? Source: Zawya Collaborative Sukuk Report
  • 15. What are the future preferences about maturities? Source: Zawya Collaborative Sukuk Report
  • 16. What are the future preferences about trading platforms? Source: Zawya Collaborative Sukuk Report
  • 17. Looking forward what challenges need to be addressed in the MENA region? ๏ฑ Structure risk ๏‚ง Which structure is more Shariah compliant and well understood by the stakeholders? ๏ฑ Infrastructure rigidities ๏‚ง What are the rights of investors? ๏‚ง Are the seniority issues settled? ๏‚ง What is the appropriate tax treatment? ๏‚ง What is the best rating mechanism? ๏‚ง Is the legal and accounting treatment uniform? ๏‚ง Are Sukuk available to the private investors? ๏ฑ Risk in common with other fixed income securities and availability of Shariah compliant risk management tools and platforms