Youth Involvement in an Innovative Coconut Value Chain by Mwalimu Menza
How Major Technological Advances will Enable a More Sustainable Future
1. How major technological advances
will enable a more sustainable
future
Chandrakant D. Patel
HP Senior Fellow and Chief Engineer, HP Laboratories
@HPLivingProg, @HPLabs
1
3. Sustainability Trends
People, Profit, Planet
– Global population projected to be 9 billion by 2050
• Infrastructure needed to support growing base of citizens
• Extending conventional infrastructure unsustainable
• Extending current production-consumption methods unsustainable
– Hidden Cost of Growth and Externalities:
• Social cost of production and consumption, and externalities in light of
current methods, will increase cost of basic necessities
– State of art lacks a holistic approach
• Need for economically efficient provisioning of resources based on
integrated management of supply and demand
4. Technology Trends
Rise of Cyber-Physical Systems
Machine Age
19th Century
Information (cyber) Age
20th Century
Cyber Physical Age
21st Century
6. Cyber: Motif (pattern) mining of data, Anomaly Detection, Visual Analytics
Focus on: Operational energy, emission, consumption of water and reliability
Annual Savings: 359 MWh (~10%); 179,580 G direct water; 287, 328 Kg CO2
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Physical:
Reference: Patnaik et. al, KDD 09’
Thermodynamic
Fundamentals
Data to Value
Descriptive Analytics applied to save water in chiller/cooling tower ensemble
7. A Framework for Cyber Physical Solutions
integrated supply-demand management
8. Integrated Management of Supply and Demand
2nd law of thermodynamics based holistic framework for a cyber physical world
Chandrakant Patel, HP Laboratories
chandrakant.patel@hp.com
Available Energy
Available Energy consumed
by Information Technology
Available Energy saved by
application of Information
Technology
Reference: Chandrakant Patel, Sustainable Ecosystems: Enabled by Integrated Supply-Demand Management, ICDCN 2011
9. cradle-to-cradle
CAD, CAE, LCA
CAM-3d Printing
Least Joules
Lifetime Joules of Available Energy (Exergy)
Consumed is the Currency
cradle to cradle perspective of physical systems facilitated by cyber systems
10. • Rise of Cyber Physical
Systems
• Fundamentals
• Technologies
• Multi-disciplinary knowledge
and collaboration to bridge the
islands of excellence
Summary
Our resource consumption challenges will stem from various drivers. The world population is expected to reach 9 billion by 2050 [1]. How do we deal with the increasing strain that the economic growth is placing on our dwindling natural resources?
Can we expect to meet the needs of society by solely relying on replicating and extending the existing physical infrastructure to cope with economic and population growth? Indeed, anecdotal evidence of the strain that society is placing on the supply side—the resources used for goods and services—is apparent.
What is the hidden cost of growth. Externalities will impact social cost. The resulting inflationary impact could threaten the quality of life of billions.
Thus, depletion of limited natural resources and increases in the cost of basic goods necessitates new business models and infrastructures that are designed, built and operated using the least possible amount of appropriate materials and energy. The supply side must be considered together with the societal demand for resources.