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Model & Responsibility
A necessity in resource-based
Industrialization
1
Manufacturing
Growth
Model for Integration
Responsibilities
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
In India
2
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
World Business… in blocks
Brazil, Russia, India, China
Growth, Investments, Returns, Wealth
Creation
3
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
BRIChina: Reserves,Infrastructure, Manufacturing...
4
Fastest growing sectors
(next 5 years)
1.  Electricity, gas & water (13,8%)
2.  Paints, varnishes &c. (13,6%)
3.  Telecommunication equipment
(12,6%)
4.  Pharmaceuticals (11,6%)
5.  Man-made fibres (11,5%)
6.  Special purpose machinery (11,4%)
7.  Electric components (11,4%)
China Sector Shares % of GDP
Services 31%
Agriculture 9%
Extraction 4%
Utilities 4%
Construction 6%
Manf of non durable consumer
goods 9%
Manf of durable consumer goods
3%
Manf of investment goods 16%
Manf of intermediate goods 18%
Sectoral GDP Split
Source: Oxford Economics 06/2009. 1) Sector Split: % of GDP 2008
Services 31%
(General Service including: Insurance,
Banking, Consulting etc.)
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
BRIndiaC:
Domestic Consumption & Infrastructure growth
5
India Sector Shares % of GDP
Services 59%
Agriculture 16%
Extraction 2%
Utilities 2%
Construction 7%
Manf of non durable consumer
goods 3%
Manf of durable consumer goods
0%
Manf of investment goods 2%
Manf of intermediate goods 9%
Fastest growing sectors
(next 5 years)
1.  Motor Vehicles (10,9%)
2.  Other manufacturing (10,0%)
3.  General purpose machinery
(9,9%)
4.  Machine tools (9,2%)
5.  Pharmaceuticals (9,2%)
6.  Coke,petroleum & nuclear fuel
(8,7%)
7.  Iron & steel (8,5%)
Source: Oxford Economics 06/2009. 1) Sector Split: % of GDP 2008
Sectoral GDP Split1)
%
Services 59 %
(General Service including:
Insurance, Banking, Consulting
etc.)
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
India’s Challenges to achieve 18%
GROWTH in manufacturing sector
Sustaining Growth Create Growth
1.  Automotive
2.  Other manufacturing
3.  General purpose machinery and
Machine tools
4.  Pharmaceuticals
5.  Coke, petroleum & nuclear fuel
6.  Iron & steel
1.  Electricity, gas & water
2.  Hightech, Electronics
Mineral Resources, Fossil
Fuels, Wind & Solar Power
will play a crucial role in
driving this growth
18% annual growth will need a
wider growth base
6
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
Integrated Industry Structure
with certain limitations
Iron/ Coal
Mines
Iron & Steel &
Mineral
Intermediates
Steel & Mineral
Products Machinery
Ancillaries
Other
Intermediate
Goods
Automobile
White & Brown
Goods
Consumables
•  Utility & Commodity
companies have been able
to create fully integrated
businesses around the
world
•  Food Industry in India
has also been able to
create a successful model
for integrated businesses
•  Conventional
manufacturing companies
need competencies in
technology, markets and
business model that may
not allow them to create
fully integrated models
7
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
Efficient Markets
8
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
9
Integrating the industry thru
efficient markets
Power & Gas Convergence: Price Discovery, Availability, Risk Mitigation
Production
Company
Transport
Company
Distribution
Company
Retailer
Trader
Energy
Exchange
Consumer
Service
Provider
Generation
Company
Transmission
Company
Distribution
Company
Gas
Power
ISO / RTO
Storage
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
Posed by Resource based Industrialization
10
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
Environment & Traditional Livelihood
•  Government Role
▫  Proactive
▫  Building Consensus
•  People Aspect
▫  Displacement
▫  Education
▫  Future generations
•  Environmental Impact
▫  Growth at what cost
▫  For whom
▫  Mining is a necessity for
growth; how do we minimize
the negatives
11
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
A Socially Conscious & Innovative model
for integration
12
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
13
Today, ~400M people are employed, primarily
in unorganized sectors
Note: *limited to employees who receive provident fund and social security benefits;
^consists of those in the working age group (15-59) actively seeking employment;
Source: Registrar General of India; NSSO; Indiastat; Labour Bureau of India
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
Total pop.
~1,100
Population
(age 15-59)
687
Employable^
450
Employed
402
Non
agricultural
Casual
Regular
Self employed
201
Organised
32
Working population breakup (M), FY 2007
62%
66%
89%
50%
16%
Of the ~400M,
•  ~200M people employed in
agriculture
•  ~90M people self employed in
non-agricultural sectors
•  ~70M people employed in regular
sector
•  ~40M people employed in casual
sector
*
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
Resource based Industrialization
“Creating Organized sector jobs
that benefit large sections of our
population will be the best way
to achieve resource based
industrialization”
14
Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010

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Inclusive industrialization

  • 1. Model & Responsibility A necessity in resource-based Industrialization 1 Manufacturing Growth Model for Integration Responsibilities Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 2. In India 2 Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 3. World Business… in blocks Brazil, Russia, India, China Growth, Investments, Returns, Wealth Creation 3 Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 4. BRIChina: Reserves,Infrastructure, Manufacturing... 4 Fastest growing sectors (next 5 years) 1.  Electricity, gas & water (13,8%) 2.  Paints, varnishes &c. (13,6%) 3.  Telecommunication equipment (12,6%) 4.  Pharmaceuticals (11,6%) 5.  Man-made fibres (11,5%) 6.  Special purpose machinery (11,4%) 7.  Electric components (11,4%) China Sector Shares % of GDP Services 31% Agriculture 9% Extraction 4% Utilities 4% Construction 6% Manf of non durable consumer goods 9% Manf of durable consumer goods 3% Manf of investment goods 16% Manf of intermediate goods 18% Sectoral GDP Split Source: Oxford Economics 06/2009. 1) Sector Split: % of GDP 2008 Services 31% (General Service including: Insurance, Banking, Consulting etc.) Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 5. BRIndiaC: Domestic Consumption & Infrastructure growth 5 India Sector Shares % of GDP Services 59% Agriculture 16% Extraction 2% Utilities 2% Construction 7% Manf of non durable consumer goods 3% Manf of durable consumer goods 0% Manf of investment goods 2% Manf of intermediate goods 9% Fastest growing sectors (next 5 years) 1.  Motor Vehicles (10,9%) 2.  Other manufacturing (10,0%) 3.  General purpose machinery (9,9%) 4.  Machine tools (9,2%) 5.  Pharmaceuticals (9,2%) 6.  Coke,petroleum & nuclear fuel (8,7%) 7.  Iron & steel (8,5%) Source: Oxford Economics 06/2009. 1) Sector Split: % of GDP 2008 Sectoral GDP Split1) % Services 59 % (General Service including: Insurance, Banking, Consulting etc.) Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 6. India’s Challenges to achieve 18% GROWTH in manufacturing sector Sustaining Growth Create Growth 1.  Automotive 2.  Other manufacturing 3.  General purpose machinery and Machine tools 4.  Pharmaceuticals 5.  Coke, petroleum & nuclear fuel 6.  Iron & steel 1.  Electricity, gas & water 2.  Hightech, Electronics Mineral Resources, Fossil Fuels, Wind & Solar Power will play a crucial role in driving this growth 18% annual growth will need a wider growth base 6 Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 7. Integrated Industry Structure with certain limitations Iron/ Coal Mines Iron & Steel & Mineral Intermediates Steel & Mineral Products Machinery Ancillaries Other Intermediate Goods Automobile White & Brown Goods Consumables •  Utility & Commodity companies have been able to create fully integrated businesses around the world •  Food Industry in India has also been able to create a successful model for integrated businesses •  Conventional manufacturing companies need competencies in technology, markets and business model that may not allow them to create fully integrated models 7 Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 9. 9 Integrating the industry thru efficient markets Power & Gas Convergence: Price Discovery, Availability, Risk Mitigation Production Company Transport Company Distribution Company Retailer Trader Energy Exchange Consumer Service Provider Generation Company Transmission Company Distribution Company Gas Power ISO / RTO Storage Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 10. Posed by Resource based Industrialization 10 Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 11. Environment & Traditional Livelihood •  Government Role ▫  Proactive ▫  Building Consensus •  People Aspect ▫  Displacement ▫  Education ▫  Future generations •  Environmental Impact ▫  Growth at what cost ▫  For whom ▫  Mining is a necessity for growth; how do we minimize the negatives 11 Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 12. A Socially Conscious & Innovative model for integration 12 Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 13. 13 Today, ~400M people are employed, primarily in unorganized sectors Note: *limited to employees who receive provident fund and social security benefits; ^consists of those in the working age group (15-59) actively seeking employment; Source: Registrar General of India; NSSO; Indiastat; Labour Bureau of India 0 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 Total pop. ~1,100 Population (age 15-59) 687 Employable^ 450 Employed 402 Non agricultural Casual Regular Self employed 201 Organised 32 Working population breakup (M), FY 2007 62% 66% 89% 50% 16% Of the ~400M, •  ~200M people employed in agriculture •  ~90M people self employed in non-agricultural sectors •  ~70M people employed in regular sector •  ~40M people employed in casual sector * Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010
  • 14. Resource based Industrialization “Creating Organized sector jobs that benefit large sections of our population will be the best way to achieve resource based industrialization” 14 Suhas Baxi; 27th Nov 2010