1. A Hybrid Framework for a Hybrid World
A Wider Security Agenda and Next Generation
Partnerships to Achieve Higher Purpose Goals
Johan Bergenäs
Deputy Director
Managing Across Boundaries
Stimson Center
jbergenas@stimson.org
+1 202-478-3443

2. Want to learn about the world!?

3. …discipline…and many choices…

4. …cost lots of money…

5. …”think twice before you say nothing…”

6. There is a better way!

7. What can Bond teach us about the world?
Old movies Spectre
Strength is dangerous
 Superpowers, great powers
and risk of war
 Nuclear armageddon
 One centrally well-organized
illicit network with plenty of
resources

8. What can Bond teach us about the world?
Silver Newer movies
Weakness is dangerous
 Weak and failing states
 Opaque transnational threats
becoming a cancer on our
globalized world
 Many smaller powerful non-
state actors are powerful in an
interconnected world

9. Managing Across Boundaries

10. 150 years of globalization:
lessons learned… and NOT yet learned

11. What defines danger today?
Strength? Weakness?

12. Managing global challenges:
a hybrid framework for a hybrid world

13. 150 years of globalization:
Lessons learned from the first era of globalization (1870-1914)

14. A world on fire (1914-1945)
World War I and II Great Depression

15. How does the world respond?
Bretton Woods Dumbarton

16. Fresh political and security structures

17. 150 years of globalization
Lessons learned from the second era of globalization (1945-1980)
 How did we do?
- Total FDI increased from $60 billion to $500
billion worldwide between 1960 and 1980
- Global merchandise exports rose 8% per year
from 1950-1973
- Global trade outperfom first era of globalization
- The end of Europe’s civil war
- The absence of superpower war
- No nuclear weapon use

18. What else contributed to relative stability?
Nuclear deterrence Alliances

19. 150 years of globalization:
lessons learned from G1 and G2
 G1: Economic integration and technological
innovation without appropriate political and
security structures is bad
 G2: Economic integration and technological
innovation with appropriate political and security
structures is great
Is this how we approach Globalization 3?

20. Globalization 3 (1980  ?)

21. The undercurrents of globalization

22. Defense/Security/Development Nexus:
Drug Trafficking

23. Weakness, not strength, defines danger

24. How NOT to respond to modern threats
 In siloes  Does not fall neatly into
defense, security and
development portfolios
 Mayors of the world’s
 With narrow set of stakeholders largest cities, multinational
corporations, communities
at troubled border areas,
civil society groups, private
citizens all have stake
 Nexus where wise public
 With focus on public policy only policy and profit meet is a
force multiplier

25. The world is hybrid: we need a hybrid power framework

26. What does this mean in reality?

27. What type of expanded partnerships?

28. Is it Possible? It is already happening!

29. If we do nothing?
No hostile take-over of major city Spoil the fruits of globalization

30. Think innovatively…the bad guys are!
 21st century business
model v. 20th century
political and security
structures
 We are virtually seated at
our Bretton Woods and
Dumbarton
- Who needs to be a part at
the decision-making table?
- How do we get them there?

31. Thank You!
“Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed
citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing
that ever has.”
~ Margaret Mead