A Hybrid Framework for a Hybrid World A Wider Security Agenda and Next Generation Partnerships to Achieve Higher Purpose Goals Johan Bergenäs Deputy Director Managing Across Boundaries Stimson Center email@example.com +1 202-478-3443
What can Bond teach us about the world? Old movies Spectre Strength is dangerous Superpowers, great powers and risk of war Nuclear armageddon One centrally well-organized illicit network with plenty of resources
What can Bond teach us about the world? Silver Newer movies Weakness is dangerous Weak and failing states Opaque transnational threats becoming a cancer on our globalized world Many smaller powerful non- state actors are powerful in an interconnected world
150 years of globalizationLessons learned from the second era of globalization (1945-1980) How did we do? - Total FDI increased from $60 billion to $500 billion worldwide between 1960 and 1980 - Global merchandise exports rose 8% per year from 1950-1973 - Global trade outperfom first era of globalization - The end of Europe’s civil war - The absence of superpower war - No nuclear weapon use
What else contributed to relative stability? Nuclear deterrence Alliances
150 years of globalization: lessons learned from G1 and G2 G1: Economic integration and technological innovation without appropriate political and security structures is bad G2: Economic integration and technological innovation with appropriate political and security structures is great Is this how we approach Globalization 3?
How NOT to respond to modern threats In siloes Does not fall neatly into defense, security and development portfolios Mayors of the world’s With narrow set of stakeholders largest cities, multinational corporations, communities at troubled border areas, civil society groups, private citizens all have stake Nexus where wise public With focus on public policy only policy and profit meet is a force multiplier
The world is hybrid: we need a hybrid power framework
If we do nothing?No hostile take-over of major city Spoil the fruits of globalization
Think innovatively…the bad guys are! 21st century business model v. 20th century political and security structures We are virtually seated at our Bretton Woods and Dumbarton - Who needs to be a part at the decision-making table? - How do we get them there?
Thank You!“Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committedcitizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has.” ~ Margaret Mead