7. 7
The average life
expectancy of a Fortune
500 company has
declined from around
75 years
half a century ago to less than
15 years
today
and projected to be 5 years if disruption continues.
9. Rogers Market segments
Innovators Early Adopters Early Majority Late Majority Laggards
Trial users
Vast
Majority
Big Bang
Market segments
10. 1. Getting Product Market Fit— Can you build something
useful that can pull in some money in some way?
2. Getting the Math to Work — Can you acquire customers for
X and get at least 3X in return?
3. Getting the Math to Scale— Can you pour lots more money
into the top of your machine and keep that at least 3x ratio?
4. Getting Saturated— You are running out of potential
customers in your market or being disrupted.
HubSpot’s Playbook for Going From Startup to Scale-up
20. Wizard of Oz
“Pay no attention to the man
behind the curtain."
The question you have to answer isn’t “can you build this?”
It’s “do people want this?”04
24. Product B Does
NOT Have P/M Fit
Product A
Product A Has
Product/Market Fit
% Active
Time
Product B
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
How to know when you’ve found product/market fit
25. How to know when you’ve found product/market fit
26. Just as important as
knowing why
customers started
using your product
is knowing why they
stopped.
29. Start with the customer, and work your way back.
“My CLTV is $1,200 and I
want a COCA:CLTV of 1:3”
CoCA: $400
CoLA: $40
CoVA: $2
5% Visit-to-lead
10% Lead-to-customer
30. Starbucks has an AOV of ~$6*
Using the AOV:COTA model, to get a 3:1 ratio
a Starbucks marketer would spend ~$2 to
acquire that $6 transaction.
$14,099Average LTV
How Much Would You Spend?
*
*Source: KissMetrics
31. A Business Model
A More Profitable
Business Model
COCA
CLTV
$1 in, $2 out.
$2 in, $12 out.
A Faster Growing
Business Model
$2 in, $4 out. Scalable model.
COCA
CLTV
Cost Of Customer
Acquisition
Customer Life Time Value
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
CLTV
COCA
COCA
COCA
COCA
33. 01
02
03
0405
06
07
Am I truly delighting my
customers such that they are
helping lower my cost to
acquire new ones with word
of mouth and increasing their
own monetary value to me?
Am I a startup or a scale-up?
Persona perfection?
Are we focused?
Do I have enough resources
on my core delightion?
Is my pricing model aligned with
the success of my customers?
Are my sales reps’
incentives aligned with the
customers’ incentives?
37. What made Jeff Bezos the
best CEO in the world
wasn’t that he runs a
profitable business.
12%
59%
47%
78%
It was that he delivered the
best shareholder returns.
38. Profit isn't the only goal of business.
You want to scale-up.
70% 80% 90% 100%
44. Your extendable core is the job you do for
customers that a competitor couldn’t replicate
without adopting the same cost-structure.
You can survive disruption.
45. You want to do more than survive disruption.
You want to create it.
46. “We don’t want to wake up one
morning to find ourselves left at the
dock while the ship has sailed.” So we
compete with ourselves. LeadIn is a
good idea. Someone was going to
build it. We made sure that someone
was us.”
Christopher O’Donnell, VP of Product at HubSpot
49. Reed Hastings knew DVDs, be it by
mail or in stores, was not the only
future to plan for — the internet
was. By innovating a way to use the
web and integrate with other
products, Netflix’s streaming video
effectively staved off disruption.
Once-giant Blockbuster found
themselves scrambling to react,
and are now in the pantheon of
distant memory.
Netflix
Figure 2.
DVDs
50. Sonos’ future market share is
evaporating because of artificial
intelligence and voice recognition
technology. The company that
did innovate for this type of
disruption? Amazon.
Sonos
Figure 3.
Wireless
Speakers
51. “When you’ve done
something well enough, you
deserve a trophy. But
businesses that fail to
continually compete against
themselves, turn those very
same trophies into anchors.”
– Christopher O’Donnell, HubSpot VP of Product
“My name is Sam Mallikarjunan. I write for HubSpot’s executive strategy publication, ReadThink.com, and teach advanced marketing at Harvard DCE.
You can find me on Twitter @Mallikarjunan or on my website mallikarjunan.com. I decided many years ago that I wasn’t going to change my last name, so instead I beat everyone in the face with it until they remember it.
Previously, I worked in HubSpot “Labs”, where our job was to explore new ideas and new technologies to either protect HubSpot from external disruption or create new opportunities to disrupt other companies. Basically, if someone is going to figure out a way to eat our lunch, we want to figure it out before some MIT nerd does.”
Mass extinction slide
“No one is safe from this. We tend to think of descriptors like “Fortune 1,000 company” as fundamental to who the company is. They’re a Fortune 1,000 company, led by a Fortune 1,000 CEO. But 70% of Fortune 1,000 companies are new to the index within the last ten years. That means that 700 companies that had that fundamental label applied to them don’t deserve it anymore.”
Why is this step 0? Because I couldn’t make it fit into the acronym FIRST and I really like that.
If you’re selling drill bits (use Vernon Dursley picture), what you have to focus on is the fact that very few people are buying from you because they’re a collector of drill bits. They don’t want a quarter inch drill bit, they want a quarter inch hole.
If you can’t explain your idea to an animator and get it down into a 30-90 second video, you need to think about it some more.
It’s the better part of a century old so if I’m spoiling the ending for you I don’t feel even a little bad. If I was an investor I’d absolutely have funded the Wiz. He got a bunch of people to turn over their entire city to him without writing a single line of code.With what I’ve seen over the last 5 or 10 years I’ve stopped thinking that anything is technologically impossible.
Almost 10X the average advance for a book author in the U.S.
By now, you know that you have a product/market fit and that you have average customer retentions and can project lifetime values. Start from there, and figure out how hard you can press the gas pedal on growth.
***Make bigger***
Am I a startup or a scale-up? If I hit the gas on customer acquisition will my customer economics fall apart?
Are we crisp on our persona definition? Are we chasing too many personas too early?
Do we have all of our resources aligned around delighting that persona? (Focus, focus, focus!)
Which part of my offering is truly sticky and delighting my persona? Do I have enough resources on it?
Is my pricing model aligned with the success of my customers?
Are my sales reps’ incentives aligned with the customers’ incentives as well as ours or is it just ours?
Am I truly delighting my customers such that they are helping lower my cost to acquire new ones with word of mouth and increasing their own monetary value to me?
Managing the ratio of these variables is what gives businesses leverage to grow. Marketing controls all of the initial variables.
“But I’m not going to use HubSpot as an example today, That would be way too easy. Instead, I’m going to tell you the stories of three companies you’ve all heard of, and tell you the stories you may not know of how they went from almost dead back to the top of their game.”
“Now, I have unwavering confidence that my company, HubSpot, for example, can slog it out with anyone. You want to go toe-to-toe with our sales and marketing team? You’re welcome to try. You want to try and deliver better customer value than our customer success and engineering teams? Good luck with that (chuckle).”
“And this week, you’re going to get to see in action how we at HubSpot deal with stuff like this. You’re going to hear about a really cool piece of technology called LeadIn. Why did we do that? It’s entirely possible that some people who might have paid us for the most basic version of HubSpot will instead use this even more basic -- and much more free -- tool instead. But, as our VP of Product, Chris O’Donnell says, “We don’t want to wake up one morning to find ourselves left at the dock while the ship has sailed.” So we compete with ourselves. LeadIn is a good idea. Someone was going to build it. We made sure that someone was us.”