KIIS, profile picture
Uploaded byKIIS
PPTX, PDF1,265 views

Ukrainian society (May 2015)

The document details a comprehensive survey by the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) analyzing various aspects of Ukrainian society as of May 2015, including economic well-being, tolerance, attitudes towards Russia, and perceived impacts of reforms. It highlights that many Ukrainians feel they have not benefited from reforms, expressing a desire for the government to combat corruption and aid recovery from economic crises. Additionally, the survey presents data on trust levels in political institutions and acknowledges a mixed sentiment towards national and ethnic identities amid ongoing conflicts and changes in Ukraine.

Embed presentation

Download to read offline
The current situation in the Ukrainian society May 2015 Natalya Kharchenko, Executive Director of KIIS nkh@kiis.com.ua Volodymyr Paniotto, General Director of KIIS paniotto@kmis.kiev.ua
Plan  KIIS info  Level of well-being  Tolerance  Trust  Linguistic-ethnic groups  The attitude of Ukrainians to Russia and Russians to Ukraine  Independence of Ukraine  Attitude to the EU, NATO, the Customs Union  Euromaidan  Propaganda  Situation in the Donbas  Migration  Volunteering 2
KIIS info Kiev International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) - is one of the leading private research organizations in Ukraine (more than 20 years of experience). KIIS is working closely with the National University of "Kyiv- Mohyla Academy“. KIIS has extensive experience in projects of qualitative and quantitative research. We implement about 100 projects of varying difficulty every year. THE COMPANY ORGANIZATION: KIIS has a small permanent scientific and administrative staff, and temporary research groups that are created when needed. The staff includes 37 permanent and 600 part-time workers (CATI interviewers, moderators of focus groups, regional supervisors, interviewers). MOTTO: REPUTATION IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PROFIT 3
Regional composition 4 The presentation mainly used the following regional division. Exclusion is marked specially . West - Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Khmelnytsky and Chernivtsi oblasts; Central - Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Kirovohrad, Kyiv, Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv, Cherkasi oblasts and the city Kyiv; South - Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson oblasts; East - Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, Kharkiv oblasts, Donbas - Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts (only the territory controlled by the authorities of Ukraine).
Level of well-being
SELF-ASSESSMENT OF THE FINANCIAL STATUS Approach that KIIS has used for many years is self-assessment of the financial status of respondents. The question is phrased as follows: The respondents are to define their financial status themselves according to the following scale:  We do not even have enough money to eat  We have enough money to eat, but it is hard to buy clothing and shoes  We have enough money for food and clothing and we can set something aside, but it is not enough to buy expensive items (such as a refrigerator or television)  We can permit ourselves to buy some expensive items (such as a television or refrigerator), but not everything we want  We can permit ourselves everything we want 6
Subjective well-being 1994-2015 7 KIIS national monitoring survey, F2F, n=2000, 1994-2015 years. 51.7 47.2 11.4 17.8 16.8 8.7 18.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 We do not even have enough money for food, %
After the global crisis, in 2008, the poverty rate increased and then fell to 9%. Now the poverty rate is increasing again. We measure the percentage of people who consider that they don’t have enough money for food, since 1994. For 10 years, from 1998 to 2008, the poverty rate fell from 52% to 12%, and this is one of the few, but important achievements of Ukraine. 8
SHORT-TERM ECONOMIC PROGNOSES  What do you think, over next year how will the economy of Ukraine change? ЧАСТИНАІ.«ЕКОНОМІЧНІ»ОЧІКУВАННЯ НАСЕЛЕННЯІРІВЕНЬЗАДОВОЛЕНОСТІЖИТТЯМ 75 72 74 63 52 64 11 13 10 17 24 17 1 6 7 12 13 10 13 10 8 8 11 10 Donbass East South Center West Ukraine will be much or somewhat worse will be the same will be much or somewhat better Hard to say KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
LONG-TERM ECONOMIC PROGNOSES  What do you think, over next 5 years how will the economy of Ukraine change? ЧАСТИНАІ.«ЕКОНОМІЧНІ»ОЧІКУВАННЯ НАСЕЛЕННЯІРІВЕНЬЗАДОВОЛЕНОСТІЖИТТЯМ 29 27 39 19 18 23 11 16 14 9 10 11 15 30 29 51 52 42 46 27 18 21 20 23 Donbass East South Center West Ukraine will be much or somewhat worse will be the same will be much or somewhat better Hard to say KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
REFORMS IN UKRAINE  According to the research of KIIS in the spring of 2015, almost none of the Ukrainians has experienced the positive results of reforms, but the majority felt their negative consequences.  Every fourth Ukrainian agrees to suffer from reforms if it will lead to prosperity of the country.  However, almost half of the citizens do not want to suffer from reforms for Ukraine's success. They believe that reforms will not change anything. In addition, their lives are already difficult enough and they are not ready to bear additional losses.  The highest priority task for Ukraine, according to the views of the citizens, - fight against corruption and withdrawal from economic crisis. 11
Tolerance
The Bogardus Scale I AGREE TO ACCEPT REPRESENTATIVES OF THE NATIONAL GROUPS AS... Americans 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Belarusians 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jews 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 And so on, total - 13 groups 13 family members ................... 1 close friends ........................ 2 neighbors ............................. 3 colleagues ........................... 4 residents of Ukraine ............ 5 Ukraine guests..................... 6 would not allow in Ukraine . 7
The xenophobia index 1994-2014 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 14 KIIS Monitoring survey, F2F, n=2000, 1994-2015 years
 The level of xenophobia is measured by Bogardus social distance scale, index xenophobia – is the average of social distances from Ukraine population to 13 ethnic groups. For a long time it grew up and now it is stabilized.  From 1994 to 2001 the level of xenophobia was growing due to spread of poverty, it was consistent with the “scapegoat« theory. Then the level of xenophobia decreased but the media effect of 11 September 2001 tragedy increased distrust of foreigners, and wars in Afghanistan and Iraq contributed to the development of xenophobia. Another factor is the elections which emphasized ethnic differences. 15
The xenophobia index 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 All Ukraine September 2013 October 2014 KIIS Monitoring survey, F2F, n=2000, 2013-2014 years
The xenophobia index 17  Despite of the Maidan, war, high levels of migration and the deterioration of living conditions, the average index of xenophobia is not increased but even decreased a little (from 4.15 to 4.01).  As for certain ethnic groups, it can be noticed that the attitude to Russian worsened and the attitude to Crimean Tatars somehow improved.
Interethnic relations in the conflict zone 18 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Comparison of East under control of Ukraine and Occupied Donbas (10.2014) East under control of Ukraine (Kharkiv oblast + partially Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts) Occupied Donbas KIIS opinion poll, 18+, F2F, October 2014, East- N= 320, and Occupied Donbas - N = 142
Trust
Political trust and income Belgium Bulgaria Switzerland Cyprus Czech Republic Germany Sweden Estonia Spain Finland France United Kingdom Greece Croatia Hungary Ireland Israel Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Russia Denmark Slovenia Slovakia Ukraine 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Trustinpolitician(0:10) Per capita GDP (PPP) 20
 Trust is one of the key concepts of democracy and market theories. Trust contributes consolidation of the public and the creation of communities in public sector, and it accelerates cooperation and interpersonal exchange in the economic sphere.  The higher level of trust in society, the higher indicators of economic growth and investment in its economy and vice versa.  Low trust reduces the ability of people to enter into a relationship, the ability to negotiate and to conclude agreements, prevents the spread of innovation and technology.  According to European comparative studies, GDP per capita and the level of political trust correlated: the higher the GDP, the higher the trust, and Vice versa, the high level of trust gives the opportunity to achieve high GDP (deviations - such as Greece - there are not very often). Unfortunately, Ukraine is among countries which take one of the last places on the trust and the last place on the GDP. 21
Dynamic of trust to the President of Ukraine -100.0 -80.0 -60.0 -40.0 -20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 May, 2000 Sept, 2004 March, 2005 March, 2007 Oct, 2009 March 2010 Feb, 2012 Sept, 2014 Feb, 2015 22 KIIS monitoring surveys, F2F, n=2000, 2000-2015 years
Personalized dynamics of trust to the President -90.0 -40.0 10.0 60.0 May, 2000 Sept, 2004 Kuchma the balance of trust-distrust -50.0 0.0 50.0 March, 2005 March, 2007 Oct 2009 Yushchenko the balance of trust-distrust -60.0 -40.0 -20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 Sept, 2014 Feb, 2015 Poroshenko the balance of trust-distrust -100.0 -50.0 0.0 50.0 March 2010 Feb, 2012 Nov, 2013 March 2014 Yanukovych the balance of trust-distrust 23 KIIS monitoring surveys, F2F, n=2000, 2000-2015 years
24 Trust to the social institutions Trust, % Distrust, % Balance Trust- distrust Church 62 17 45 Mass-media 41 28 12 Non-government organizations 27 29 -2 Army 34 37 -2 Opposition 24 53 -29 President 22 66 -44 Militia 16 63 -47 Government 16 69 -53 Parlament 12 73 -61 2012 Trust, % Distrust, % Balance trust-distrust Army 76 16 60 President 68 24 44 Church 55 18 37 Ukrainian mass- media 37 35 2 Government 39 51 -12 Militia 29 63 -34 Parliament 20 74 -54 Russian mass- media 7 77 -70 2014 24 KIIS Omnibus , F2F, n=2000, 2012-2014 years
Linguistic-ethnic groups
Census 2001: Ukrainians 78%, Russians 17%, other 5% KIIS uses more detailed scale I consider myself ... 1) only Ukrainian 2) Ukrainian and Russian but more Ukrainian 3) equally Ukrainian and Russian 4) Russian and Ukrainian but more Russian 5) only Russian 26
Bi-ethnic group, October 2014 Language preferences Ukrainian language Russian language Total 1)Only Ukrainian 66,0 34,0 100,0 2) Ukrainian and Russian 10,2 89,8 100,0 3) Only Russian 2,0 98,0 100,0 27 KIIS Omnibus, F2F, n=2025, October 2014
The attitude of Ukrainians to Russia and Russians to Ukraine
Do you agree with the statement that there is a war between Russia and Ukraine? Yes -34% Yes - 26% Yes-% 70 No - 57% No - 59% No - 19% DS - 9% DS -15% DS - 10% April 2014 August 2014 September 2014 Опитування “ГД “КМІС в Україні і Левада-Центру у Росії, 2014р.
30 KIIS poll in Ukraine and Levada-Center in Russia, 2008-2015 years Dynamics of the positive attitude of Ukrainians towards Russia and of Russians towards Ukraine 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 In Ukraine to Russia In Russia to Ukraine % of persons of Ukraine with positive attitude to Russia and % of persons of Russia with positive attitude to Ukraine
Dynamics of positive attitudes to V. Putin and Ukraine 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 Jan 2000 Jul 2000 Jan 2001 Jul 2001 Jan 2002 Jul 2002 Jan 2003 Jul 2003 Jan 2004 Jul 2004 Jan 2005 Jul 2005 Jan 2006 Jul 2006 Jan 2007 Jul 2007 Jan 2008 Jul 2008 Jan 2009 Jul 2009 Jan 2010 Jul 2010 Jan 2011 Jul 2011 Jan 2012 Jul 2012 Jan 2013 Jul 2013 Jan 2014 Jul 2014 Jan 2015 Approve of Vladimir Putin Good attitude towards Ukraine Euromaidan Annexation of Crimea Donbas conflict Active phase of 2nd Chechen war Shot down Tu-154 over the Black Sea Tuzla conflict Orange revolution Russian- Georgian war Worsening of Russian- Georgian relations Levada-Center polls in Russia, 2000-2015 years
Regional differentiation in the attitude of Ukrainians towards Russia, the Russians and the Russian government 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 West Central South East Whole Ukraine 25 32 59 83 48 66 63 81 91 74 2 3 16 69 21 To Russia To Russians to the Russian leadership % of adults in Ukraine with positive or very positive attitude to … KIIS Omnibus,18+, F2F, n=2035, September 2014. Regional composition: West - Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Khmelnytsky and Chernivtsi oblasts; Central - Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Kirovohrad, Kyiv, Poltava, Sumy, Chercasi, Chernihiv oblasts and the city Kyiv; South - Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson oblasts; East - Donetsk, Kharkiv oblasts. We have no possibility to conduct survey in Lugansk region at this time.
“When you think of the Ukrainian way of life, do you associate it more closely with Western values or with Russian values?“ (n=2,039) Values Most Closely Associated with Ukrainian Way of Life Differences by Region East – 51 R 9 W 11 B North – 25 R 25 W 6 B Center – 37 R 26 W 6 B South – 44 R 12 W 14 B West – 7 R 53 W 18 B IFES in Ukraine, Funded by USAID, Fieldwork -KIIS, April 8-15 2014, , F2F, National poll, n=2039
16% 13% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 12% 14% 14% 27% 28% DK/NR Other Peaceful Independent, patriotic Respect for traditions Stability Social protection, services Economic devp. Respectful of people Rule of law Democracy Rights and freedoms “What values does Ukraine share with the West?” (n=499) Values Ukraine shares with Russia/West IFES in Ukraine, Funded by USAID, Fieldwork -KIIS, April 8-15 2014, , F2F, National poll, n=2039
Independence of Ukraine
Indicator What would you like to see the relations between Ukraine and Russia? 1. Relations of Ukraine with Russia should be like with other states - with closed borders, visas and customs 2. Ukraine and Russia should be independent, however, friendly countries - with open borders, without visas and customs 3. Ukraine and Russia should unite in one state 1+2 – support of independence
How would you like to see the relations between Ukraine and Russia?(%) 45 46 2 7 They should be the same as with other countries - with closed borders, visa and customs Ukraine and Russia should be independent but friendly - with no visa, no customs and with open borders Ukraine and Russia should be united in one country Difficult to answer KIIS Omnibus, F2F, n=2022, May 2015
38 How would you like to see the relations between Ukraine and Russia?(%) KIIS Omnibus, May 2013, F2F, all Ukraine, n=2030 KIIS Omnibus, May 2015, F2F, all Ukraine (except Crimea and part of Luhansk region), n=2022 11 69 14 45 46 2 They should be like with other states - with closed borders, visas and customs Ukraine and Russia should be independent, however, friendly countries - with open borders, without visas and customs Ukraine and Russia should unite in one state May 2013 May 2015
Ukraine and Russia should unite in one state?(%) by Regions KIIS Omnibus, May 2013, F2F, all Ukraine, n=2030 KIIS Omnibus, May 2015, F2F, all Ukraine (except Crimea and part of Luhansk region), n=2022 3 8 20 28 24 1 1 2 6 West Center South East Crimea May 2013 May 2015
Dynamic of Ukraine’s independence support 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 01/91 01/92 01/93 01/94 01/95 01/96 01/97 01/98 01/99 01/00 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/15 (independence supporters per cent among the all adults Russia’s advance toward Touzla Russia’s intrusion into Georgia Chechen wars of Russia Annexion of the Crimea KIIS Monitoring survey, F2F, n=2000, 1991-2015 years
The level of support of independence of Ukraine has considerably increased, but it partly related to 1) The lack of voters in Crimea 2) With the problems in research in areas that are not controlled by Ukraine
Attitude to the EU, NATO, the Customs Union
28 19 22 5 3 11 28 32 32 56 74 51 24 33 31 25 15 25 20 16 15 14 9 13 Donbass East South Center West Whole Ukraine Nonalignment neither to the European Union not to the Custom Union FOREIGN POLICY COURSE OF UKRAINE  What integration direction Ukraine should go? Accession to the European Union Accession to the Customs Union Hard to say/ No answers ЧАСТИНАII.ЗОВНІШНЬОПОЛІТИЧНІОРІЄНТАЦІЇ KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
Accession to NATO membership  Please imagine that referendum on whether Ukraine must join NATO is taking place now. You can vote for joining the union, oppose or abstain - not to participate in voting. What is your choice? 51 50 55 28 15 33 26 26 25 47 63 43 12 13 14 9 5 10 11 12 6 15 17 14 Donbass East South Center West Whole Ukraine Against accession Hard to say/No answersI will not voteFor accession ЧАСТИНАII.ЗОВНІШНЬОПОЛІТИЧНІОРІЄНТАЦІЇ KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
Euromaidan
 The Euromaidan is a starting point for the modern history of Ukraine. Research on the Maidan , which was held by KIIS and Fund "DIF“, shows invalidity of somemyths that are still used in the information war. In particular, it shows that the vast majority of participants (80-90%) took part in protest independently and wasn’t organized by parties or public organizations. 46
December 8, 2013
Three polls on the Maidan Polls: 1) December, 7-8, weekend, Maidan-meeting 2) December, 20, Maidan-camp 3) February, 3, weekdays, Maidan-Sich (analog of Zaporizhzhya Sich)
Three pools on the Maidan If you arrived, was it is organized or you arrived yourself? Maidan- meeting Maidan- camp Maidan- Sich It is organized by one of the parties 1,8 11,9 3.0 It is organized by one of the public organizations (movements) 6,3 11,9 13.3 I arrived himself 91,9 76,1 83.5 Where are you from? Maidan-meeting December, 7-8, 2014 Мaidan-camp December, 20, 2014 Мaidan-Sich February, 3, 2014 From Kiev 49,8 19,3 12.4 From the province 50,2 80,7 87.6
Propaganda
The way the propaganda works Why did Malaysian plane crash on July 2014 in eastern Ukraine? TrusttoTVnews Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2015/02/26/russian-and-ukrainian-tv- viewers-live-on-different-planets/
Information war against Ukraine  Information component of a hybrid war against Ukraine is no less powerful mean of influence than traditional weapon. It gave the opportunity to annex the Crimea, provoked the armed conflict in the Donbas and provided support the actions of Russia and pro-Russian forces in some regions of the country.  The logical chain of Russian propaganda:  The protests on the Maidan in the winter of 2013-2014 were organized by the Americans and the radical nationalists;  As a result, the nationalists seized the power and now threaten the Russian-speaking population of Ukraine which lives mainly in the South and the East;  Crimea was in danger but voluntarily joined to Russia and was saved from the repression of the nationalists;  Donbas rebelled and is now fighting for independence;  The conflict in Ukraine is a civil war of criminal power of the nationalists against average citizens.
The most supported propaganda statements in Russia  Data of surveys of Russian Levada-Center , September 2014- May 2015 years: Do you agree or disagree that as a result of Kiev Maidan in February the state upheaval happened? Data for Russia Agree 83 Disagree 10 What is your attitude toward United States of America? Favorable 12 Unfavorable 81 Do you support joining of Crimea to Russia? Yes 84 No 7
9 26 80 60 All Ukraine Donbas Trust Do not trust Trust to Russian mass-media Support of pro-Russian point of view Joining of Crimea to Russia 11 27 81 57 All Ukraine Donbas Support Do not support Attitude to USA 59 29 22 42 All Ukraine Donbas Favorable Unfavorable Attitude to Maidan 61 41 23 33 All Ukraine Donbas People's protest Nationalist, anti-russian forces' struggle ATO is a punitive action against civilians 19 38 62 35 All Ukraine Donbas Agree Disagree Data: KIIS Omnibus, February 2015, F2F, all Ukraine (except Crimea and part of Luhansk region) , n=2013
Effectiveness of Russian propaganda in different regions of Ukraine  Index of effectiveness of Russian propaganda (IERP) is based on 5 variables: negative perception of Maidan-2014, negative attitude to USA, support of Crimea annexation, disapproval of anti-terrorist operation of Ukrainian army, trust to Russian mass-media. If IERP equals 100, it means that every person support all 5 statements; 0 means that nobody support any.  Eastern and Southern Ukraine are the most receptive regions.  These regions are predominantly Russian-speaking and traditionally vote for pro- Russian politicians and parties.  Presently the population of these regions is a main target of both propaganda and intimidation by acts of terrorism.
Effectiveness of Russian propaganda in different regions of Ukraine  For calculation of Index of effectiveness of Russian propaganda (IERP) the data of recent KIIS Omnibus survey (all population 18+ except Crimea) were used. Data: KIIS Omnibus, February 13-24, 2015 , F2F, all Ukraine (except Crimea and part of Luhansk region), n=2013
Situation in the Donbas
Humanitarian Aid Needs Monitoring  The project estimated the humanitarian aid needs of community residents in the cities of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The research was initiated and conducted on demand of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center and “Dopomozhemo TV“.  Surveys were conducted by Kiev International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) applying the Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing method (CATI). Respondents at the age 18 years and over were interviewed.  Sample size: about 2100 respondents from 26-29 most needing communities in Donbas (Sometimes it was not possible to hold the survey in some settlements due to telephone communications failure).  According to the September 2014 survey results communities were classified, joining under one class if having similar aid needs structure (hierarchical cluster analysis method applied). Such an analysis made it possible to distinguish a group of communities, the residents of which are in the most aid need, and focus the further needs research on those particularly.  In the inquiries, held from October, 2014 to March, 2015, the current resident needs in foodstuff, medical supplies and non-grocery goods were investigated, as well as the work of medical and educational facilities, communications status. 59
Geography of survey 60
Situation Changes in the Community 61 35% 32% 15% 16% 32% 3% 3% 3% 1% 6% 8% 9% 21% 18% 11% 3% 4% 16% 7% 3% September October November December March How has the situation in you community changed over the past week? Slightly better Significantly better Slightly worse Significantly worse 14% 38% In comparison with November-December 2014, the perception of the situation has significantly improved. KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014-2015 years.
Basic Needs 34 50 45 38 58 45 household goodsmedical suppliesfood products % of population lacking… March December The deficit of medical supplies and household goods decreased, but the situation with food products remains difficult. KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014-2015 years.
Real-life Situation Estimation 5 48 43 4 7 63 30 1 Not so bad, you can live on Life is hard, but bearable Not possible to bear our misery Hard to say Which of the statements is most relevant to current situation? December March % settlement ‘s adults In March 2015 the number of people, estimating the situation as bearable (“life is hard, but bearable”) has increased by 15% comparably with December,2014. KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014-2015 years.
Stressful Situations across the Year Stressful situations % of references Experience bombing 80 Feeling helpless 57 Turn out to be without means of living 47 Experiencing severe illness of relatives 24 Experiencing severe illness, surgery 22 Loss of one's work, becoming forcedly unemployed 21 Loss of one's self-belief 20 Loss of belief in mankind, encounter with meanness 16 Experiencing death of relatives 12 Serious conflicts with others 5 Exposure to threats, intimidation 3 Being a victim of abuse or robbery 2 Being a victim of theft or fraud practices 2 Living in close to suicide state 1 Experiencing other stressful situations 47 There was no stressful situations 56 KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014.
Migration
Assessment of the Level of Migration: Methodology  Usual surveys do not allow us to estimate the number of those who left - because if the whole family left, it does not fall into the sample. In addition, the size of our sample is small, and the evaluation of migration would be possible only for the region as a whole.  The idea is to look for those who left through social networks: we carry out a normal random sample and ask a respondent to select five the closest families and tell who left, and who remained. This allows us to:  To obtain information about the families all the members of which left;  To increase the effective sample size (in particular, in 3rd wave we interviewed 700 respondents and received information about 5,200 residents of the towns included in the sample).
Fragment of the Questionnaire And now several unusual questions. Please, make a list of five your closest friends, who constantly live in [NAME THE TOWN] or have lived there in January this year. These should be people from different families. We will not ask who they are or their relation to you. WAIT UNTIL THE LISTS ARE READY. We have only 3 questions on each of them:  Does this person continue to live in the town now or has left?  If he(she) left, did he(she) went by him(her)self or with someone from his(her) family?  How many people were in the family and how many of them have left? Family Number of the family members Number of those who left 1 2 3 4 5
Migration Rates 32% 23% 27% 30% October November December March KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014-2015 years.
Migration  According to the Ministry of Social Policy (May 21, 2015) in Ukraine there were almost there were almost 1,3 million internally displaced persons. Most of them were registered in the areas around the conflict zone, in Kiev and Kiev region.  According to the operative data of the Ministry of Emergencies of Ukraine (May 31, 2015) nearly 874 thousand people moved.  Data of different institutions can differ due to those people that live on the occupied territories but registered as internally displaced persons in the Ukrainian localities in order to receive social payments. 69
70 Оригінал: http://unhcr.org.ua/attachments/article/1244/map47.jpg
Characteristics of the internally displaced persons  Disproportionate number of women, children and people of retirement age compared to the average data in Ukraine;  Only about 9% of registered internally displaced persons (IDPs) indicated that they need work (~58% of the estimated economically active able-bodied IDPs);  One of the main reasons why immigrants rejected from finding work - the belief that their situation is temporary and they will go to home in the near future. Other reasons – caring for sick person, unwillingness to break the previous employment relationship, postponement looking for a job;  Among internally displaced persons who applied to the State employment service, higher proportion of well-educated persons and professionals than among registered unemployed in Ukraine in general. 71
Migration plans 72 82 15 0 1 1 December No Yes, I would like to, but I can't Yes, I'm going to leave until summer Yes, I'm going to leave, but don't know when Hard to say 89 6 1 1 3 March No Yes, I would like to, but I can't Yes, I'm going to leave until summer Yes, I'm going to leave, but don't know when Hard to say In another region of Ukraine 42% In Russia 30% In other place within Donbas 5% In Crimea 1% Europe, USA, Canada 5% Hard to say 17% Please tell me where you or your family members are going to move? KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014- March, 2015.
When will the conflict in Donbas be over? 73 18% 22% 9% 3% 3% 2% 44% Нескольких месяцев Следующего года Через 2-3 года Через 4-5 лет Затянется боле чем на 5 лет Никогда Не знаю What do You think, when the conflict in Donbas will be over? It will happen in... Couple of months Next year 2-3 years 4-5 years Will last more, then 5 years Never I don’t know 40% of respondents think, that the conflict will be over within a year KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014.
Should we try to find the compromise with Russia and the leaders DNR and LNR for peace in Donbas? 28 23 24 16 9 55 24 14 5 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Peace at any cost, it is necessary to accept any compromises For peace it is necessary to accept serious compromises - but not all Some compromise is acceptable, but not any serious concessions No concessions at all, even if you have a war Difficalt to say Ukraine Donbas 51% 79% 74 National poll KIIS -DI, n=2035, September 2014
Public opinion on Minsk agreement  Large majorities in all regions approve Minsk agreement. In Donbas, both rebel- held areas and Ukrainian-controlled territories support Minsk solution of the conflict. 83 74 8 12 Rebel-held Donbas Nation Approve Disapprove Data are taken from all-nation (except Crimea) KIIS recent survey conducted in February-March 2015. 75
THE STATUS OF DONBAS (Ukraine)  In your opinion what status Donetsk and Lugansk regions should have? 9.3 0.6 0.6 3.1 10.7 37.9 37.7 Hard to say / No answer Regions as parts of Russia Autonomous Republics as parts of Russia Independent states Autonomous Republics as parts of Ukraine Regions as parts of Ukraine but with enhanced rights Regions as parts of Ukraine with the same rights ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ All-nation (except Crimea) KIIS survey conducted in February-March 2015, n=2013.
West Center South East Donbas (the territories controlled by Ukraine) Regions as parts of Ukraine with the same rights which they have now 56.1 38.4 27.6 25.0 14.6 Regions as parts of Ukraine but with enhanced rights in economic, social and humanitarian spheres 25.6 45.4 47.3 40.9 22.0 Autonomous Republics as parts of Ukraine 6.0 6.0 15.9 16.8 27.6 Independent states 2.0 1.7 1.3 7.5 4.9 Autonomous Republics as parts of Russia 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.2 1.6 Regions as parts of Russia 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.6 Hard to say / No answer 9.8 7.3 5.9 8.7 27.6 THE STATUS OF THE DONBAS (regions of Ukraine) In your opinion what status Donetsk and Lugansk regions should have? ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ All-nation (except Crimea) KIIS survey conducted in February-March 2015, n=2013.
THE STATUS OF DONBAS (“DNR” and “LNR”) ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ KIIS and “Telekritika” syrvey, totally 220 respondents were interviewed on the territory of “DNR” and “LNR”, February, 2015. In “DNR” and “LNR” half of the respondents consider optimal for Donbas one of three scenarios in which Donbas remains in the country. 26% would choose the independence of their region and16% would joined to Russia. 12% 20% 18% 26% 16% 8% Donbas is a part of Ukraine with the same rights as before Decentralization for Donbas Autonomy of Donbas The independence of Donbas Donbas is a part of the Russian Federation Hard to say What do you think what the solution from the situation in Donbas would be optimal? "DNR" and "LNR"
13 22 32 44 48 38 28 52 54 46 38 45 20 11 8 3 2 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 34 13 6 6 11 11 Donbas East South Center West Whole Ukraine Unitary, regions have the same powers Unitary, decentralization Federalization Division into several states Hard to say/ No answers TERRITORIAL STRUCTURE OF UKRAINE  State system of Ukraine should be...? KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
SEPARATIVE MOODS  It will be better for my locality, if it will be separated from Ukraine 40 80 80 97 88 86 22 4 11 1 4 5 38 16 9 1 8 9 Donbas East South Center West Whole Ukraine Rather or totally disagree Rather or totally agree Hard to say / No answer ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
THE SUPPORT OF SEPARATISM: Direct question vs. «Secret ballot» procedure  For my locality it would be better if it separates from Ukraine, % of those who agrees ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015 5 4 1.4 10.9 4 22 5.6 3.1 1.7 7.5 8.6 26 All Ukraine West Center South East Donbas F2F interview "Secret ballot"
Volunteering
Attitudes to civic participation and volunteering  Ukrainians’ interest in different types of civic participation is growing with time.  The most widespread practice during 2014-2015 – material aid to the Army, internally displaced persons, participants of Euromaidan. Only a small percentage of Ukrainians took part in volunteering for civic movements and NGOs. Interest in volunteering and readiness to it is much lower than to providing of material help to the victims of armed conflict in Donbas (soldiers, civilians).  A quarter to a third of Ukrainians express their interest to such types of civic society activities as participation in public hearings and meetings, reports about corruption and infrastructural problems to authorized agencies, discussions of draft laws.  Each third person thinks that the problems must be solved by state, not by ordinary people. Each fifth belongs to vulnerable categories; the same number has no time and motivation to participate in civic initiatives; the same number does not know about possibilities to participate.
Participation in volunteering and charity activities to help the army and IDPs In October, 2014 44% of Ukrainians said they helped the army and displaced persons during the year. The same number did not do it and do not plan to do. Other 7% were going to help until the end of 2014. KIIS Omnibus, n=2025, October, 2014 5% 44% 7% 4% 0% 2% 2% 2% 5% 7% 8% 11% 27% Hard to say I didn't participate in any of above mentioned activities and I don't plan to do it in a short time I didn't participate in any of above mentioned activities, but I plan to do it by the end of the year Other I personally traveled in the area of ATO to provide volunteer assistance I bought military and protective equipment, etc. for the Ukrainian army I helped to provide housing for displaced persons I made repost of requests for help in social networks I bought foods and medicine for displaced persons I transferred the money to persons displaced from area of ATO I bought foods and medicine for wounded military I transferred the money to support wounded military I support Ukrainian army by transfering of the money (including SMS sending to number 565, transfer to cards, etc)
Thanks for your attention! 85

More Related Content

PDF
Survey of Ukrainian Public Opinion: May, 2013
byIgor Tyshchenko
 
PDF
IRI Ukraine Survey: September 2013
byRatinggroup
 
PDF
Ukraine Poll
bytsnua
 
PDF
Third Annual Ukrainian Municipal Survey
byRatinggroup
 
PDF
Recruiting Foreign Terrorist Fighters and Dealing with Returnees: European Ex...
byRussian Council
 
PPTX
071214 i vox_express political survey_v1
byiVOX Ukraine
 
PDF
Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine September 29
bymResearcher
 
PPT
Russia 101
bysrussia
 
Survey of Ukrainian Public Opinion: May, 2013
byIgor Tyshchenko
 
IRI Ukraine Survey: September 2013
byRatinggroup
 
Ukraine Poll
bytsnua
 
Third Annual Ukrainian Municipal Survey
byRatinggroup
 
Recruiting Foreign Terrorist Fighters and Dealing with Returnees: European Ex...
byRussian Council
 
071214 i vox_express political survey_v1
byiVOX Ukraine
 
Public Opinion Survey of Residents of Ukraine September 29
bymResearcher
 
Russia 101
bysrussia
 

Viewers also liked

PDF
Booklet «Ukraine with Discrimination: is there a way out?»
byMaidan Monitoring Information Center
 
PDF
PUBLIC AWARENESS OF HIV EPIDEMY IN UKRAINE 2015
byЦентр громадського здоров'я МОЗ України
 
PPTX
Cross-cultural Tolerance and Intolerance in Mongolia:An Exploration Based on ...
byKunio Minato
 
PPTX
Соціально-політична ситуація в Україні: Вересень 2015 року
byKIIS
 
PDF
New ethnicities – New problems. Immigrants in Ukrainian Social Space
byyevtukh
 
PDF
Поширення дискримінацій в Україні
byRating Pro
 
Booklet «Ukraine with Discrimination: is there a way out?»
byMaidan Monitoring Information Center
 
PUBLIC AWARENESS OF HIV EPIDEMY IN UKRAINE 2015
byЦентр громадського здоров'я МОЗ України
 
Cross-cultural Tolerance and Intolerance in Mongolia:An Exploration Based on ...
byKunio Minato
 
Соціально-політична ситуація в Україні: Вересень 2015 року
byKIIS
 
New ethnicities – New problems. Immigrants in Ukrainian Social Space
byyevtukh
 
Поширення дискримінацій в Україні
byRating Pro
 

Similar to Ukrainian society (May 2015)

PPTX
FUTURE AND THE ASSESSMENT OF HIGH-PROFILE EVENTS
byUIFuture
 
PDF
Constructing A Political Nation Changes In The Attitudes Of Ukrainians During...
bylezilbinns
 
PDF
Public opinion survey of residents of Ukraine, September 29 - October 14, 2018
byDonbassFullAccess
 
PDF
Hopes fears and_dreams[1]
byDmytro Lysiuk
 
PDF
Effectiveness of state policy in the field of information security on the thr...
byDonbassFullAccess
 
PDF
Overview of Ukrainian Crisis Presentation Troian
byirinatroian
 
PDF
National information policy in the face of russian aggression: regional aspect
byDonbassFullAccess
 
PDF
National information policy in the face of russian aggression regional aspect
byDonetsk Institute of Information
 
PPTX
Ukraine Project
byBethany Rose
 
PPTX
Ukraine Project
byBethany Rose
 
PPTX
Ukraine Project
byBethany Rose
 
PPT
2016 -- Ukrainian Presentation -- Final
byEthan S. Burger
 
DOC
"One Belt, One Road" Policy & the International Trade
bySupermicro
 
PDF
IRI Ukraine Pre-Election Poll
byRatinggroup
 
PPTX
Politics report-wave-2-part-2-eng-1
byUIFuture
 
PPT
Ukraine The story of the “Wild East”
byRoman Aleyev
 
PDF
New Ukraine poll reveals increased concern over military conflict in Donbas, ...
byDonbassFullAccess
 
PDF
Public opinion survey of residents of Ukraine, May 26-June 10, 2018
byDonbassFullAccess
 
PDF
Comprehensive research: HOW THE WAR CHANGED ME AND THE COUNTRY. SUMMARY OF T...
byRatinggroup
 
PDF
Corruption in Ukraine: Comparative Analysis of National Surveys: 2007, 2009, ...
byDonbassFullAccess
 
FUTURE AND THE ASSESSMENT OF HIGH-PROFILE EVENTS
byUIFuture
 
Constructing A Political Nation Changes In The Attitudes Of Ukrainians During...
bylezilbinns
 
Public opinion survey of residents of Ukraine, September 29 - October 14, 2018
byDonbassFullAccess
 
Hopes fears and_dreams[1]
byDmytro Lysiuk
 
Effectiveness of state policy in the field of information security on the thr...
byDonbassFullAccess
 
Overview of Ukrainian Crisis Presentation Troian
byirinatroian
 
National information policy in the face of russian aggression: regional aspect
byDonbassFullAccess
 
National information policy in the face of russian aggression regional aspect
byDonetsk Institute of Information
 
Ukraine Project
byBethany Rose
 
Ukraine Project
byBethany Rose
 
Ukraine Project
byBethany Rose
 
2016 -- Ukrainian Presentation -- Final
byEthan S. Burger
 
"One Belt, One Road" Policy & the International Trade
bySupermicro
 
IRI Ukraine Pre-Election Poll
byRatinggroup
 
Politics report-wave-2-part-2-eng-1
byUIFuture
 
Ukraine The story of the “Wild East”
byRoman Aleyev
 
New Ukraine poll reveals increased concern over military conflict in Donbas, ...
byDonbassFullAccess
 
Public opinion survey of residents of Ukraine, May 26-June 10, 2018
byDonbassFullAccess
 
Comprehensive research: HOW THE WAR CHANGED ME AND THE COUNTRY. SUMMARY OF T...
byRatinggroup
 
Corruption in Ukraine: Comparative Analysis of National Surveys: 2007, 2009, ...
byDonbassFullAccess
 

Ukrainian society (May 2015)

  • 1.
    The current situationin the Ukrainian society May 2015 Natalya Kharchenko, Executive Director of KIIS nkh@kiis.com.ua Volodymyr Paniotto, General Director of KIIS paniotto@kmis.kiev.ua
  • 2.
    Plan  KIIS info Level of well-being  Tolerance  Trust  Linguistic-ethnic groups  The attitude of Ukrainians to Russia and Russians to Ukraine  Independence of Ukraine  Attitude to the EU, NATO, the Customs Union  Euromaidan  Propaganda  Situation in the Donbas  Migration  Volunteering 2
  • 3.
    KIIS info Kiev InternationalInstitute of Sociology (KIIS) - is one of the leading private research organizations in Ukraine (more than 20 years of experience). KIIS is working closely with the National University of "Kyiv- Mohyla Academy“. KIIS has extensive experience in projects of qualitative and quantitative research. We implement about 100 projects of varying difficulty every year. THE COMPANY ORGANIZATION: KIIS has a small permanent scientific and administrative staff, and temporary research groups that are created when needed. The staff includes 37 permanent and 600 part-time workers (CATI interviewers, moderators of focus groups, regional supervisors, interviewers). MOTTO: REPUTATION IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN PROFIT 3
  • 4.
    Regional composition 4 The presentationmainly used the following regional division. Exclusion is marked specially . West - Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Khmelnytsky and Chernivtsi oblasts; Central - Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Kirovohrad, Kyiv, Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv, Cherkasi oblasts and the city Kyiv; South - Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson oblasts; East - Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, Kharkiv oblasts, Donbas - Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts (only the territory controlled by the authorities of Ukraine).
  • 5.
  • 6.
    SELF-ASSESSMENT OF THEFINANCIAL STATUS Approach that KIIS has used for many years is self-assessment of the financial status of respondents. The question is phrased as follows: The respondents are to define their financial status themselves according to the following scale:  We do not even have enough money to eat  We have enough money to eat, but it is hard to buy clothing and shoes  We have enough money for food and clothing and we can set something aside, but it is not enough to buy expensive items (such as a refrigerator or television)  We can permit ourselves to buy some expensive items (such as a television or refrigerator), but not everything we want  We can permit ourselves everything we want 6
  • 7.
    Subjective well-being 1994-2015 7 KIISnational monitoring survey, F2F, n=2000, 1994-2015 years. 51.7 47.2 11.4 17.8 16.8 8.7 18.7 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 We do not even have enough money for food, %
  • 8.
    After the globalcrisis, in 2008, the poverty rate increased and then fell to 9%. Now the poverty rate is increasing again. We measure the percentage of people who consider that they don’t have enough money for food, since 1994. For 10 years, from 1998 to 2008, the poverty rate fell from 52% to 12%, and this is one of the few, but important achievements of Ukraine. 8
  • 9.
    SHORT-TERM ECONOMIC PROGNOSES What do you think, over next year how will the economy of Ukraine change? ЧАСТИНАІ.«ЕКОНОМІЧНІ»ОЧІКУВАННЯ НАСЕЛЕННЯІРІВЕНЬЗАДОВОЛЕНОСТІЖИТТЯМ 75 72 74 63 52 64 11 13 10 17 24 17 1 6 7 12 13 10 13 10 8 8 11 10 Donbass East South Center West Ukraine will be much or somewhat worse will be the same will be much or somewhat better Hard to say KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
  • 10.
    LONG-TERM ECONOMIC PROGNOSES What do you think, over next 5 years how will the economy of Ukraine change? ЧАСТИНАІ.«ЕКОНОМІЧНІ»ОЧІКУВАННЯ НАСЕЛЕННЯІРІВЕНЬЗАДОВОЛЕНОСТІЖИТТЯМ 29 27 39 19 18 23 11 16 14 9 10 11 15 30 29 51 52 42 46 27 18 21 20 23 Donbass East South Center West Ukraine will be much or somewhat worse will be the same will be much or somewhat better Hard to say KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
  • 11.
    REFORMS IN UKRAINE According to the research of KIIS in the spring of 2015, almost none of the Ukrainians has experienced the positive results of reforms, but the majority felt their negative consequences.  Every fourth Ukrainian agrees to suffer from reforms if it will lead to prosperity of the country.  However, almost half of the citizens do not want to suffer from reforms for Ukraine's success. They believe that reforms will not change anything. In addition, their lives are already difficult enough and they are not ready to bear additional losses.  The highest priority task for Ukraine, according to the views of the citizens, - fight against corruption and withdrawal from economic crisis. 11
  • 12.
  • 13.
    The Bogardus Scale IAGREE TO ACCEPT REPRESENTATIVES OF THE NATIONAL GROUPS AS... Americans 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Belarusians 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jews 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 And so on, total - 13 groups 13 family members ................... 1 close friends ........................ 2 neighbors ............................. 3 colleagues ........................... 4 residents of Ukraine ............ 5 Ukraine guests..................... 6 would not allow in Ukraine . 7
  • 14.
    The xenophobia index1994-2014 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 14 KIIS Monitoring survey, F2F, n=2000, 1994-2015 years
  • 15.
     The levelof xenophobia is measured by Bogardus social distance scale, index xenophobia – is the average of social distances from Ukraine population to 13 ethnic groups. For a long time it grew up and now it is stabilized.  From 1994 to 2001 the level of xenophobia was growing due to spread of poverty, it was consistent with the “scapegoat« theory. Then the level of xenophobia decreased but the media effect of 11 September 2001 tragedy increased distrust of foreigners, and wars in Afghanistan and Iraq contributed to the development of xenophobia. Another factor is the elections which emphasized ethnic differences. 15
  • 16.
    The xenophobia index 16 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 AllUkraine September 2013 October 2014 KIIS Monitoring survey, F2F, n=2000, 2013-2014 years
  • 17.
    The xenophobia index 17 Despite of the Maidan, war, high levels of migration and the deterioration of living conditions, the average index of xenophobia is not increased but even decreased a little (from 4.15 to 4.01).  As for certain ethnic groups, it can be noticed that the attitude to Russian worsened and the attitude to Crimean Tatars somehow improved.
  • 18.
    Interethnic relations inthe conflict zone 18 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Comparison of East under control of Ukraine and Occupied Donbas (10.2014) East under control of Ukraine (Kharkiv oblast + partially Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts) Occupied Donbas KIIS opinion poll, 18+, F2F, October 2014, East- N= 320, and Occupied Donbas - N = 142
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Political trust andincome Belgium Bulgaria Switzerland Cyprus Czech Republic Germany Sweden Estonia Spain Finland France United Kingdom Greece Croatia Hungary Ireland Israel Netherlands Norway Poland Portugal Russia Denmark Slovenia Slovakia Ukraine 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Trustinpolitician(0:10) Per capita GDP (PPP) 20
  • 21.
     Trust isone of the key concepts of democracy and market theories. Trust contributes consolidation of the public and the creation of communities in public sector, and it accelerates cooperation and interpersonal exchange in the economic sphere.  The higher level of trust in society, the higher indicators of economic growth and investment in its economy and vice versa.  Low trust reduces the ability of people to enter into a relationship, the ability to negotiate and to conclude agreements, prevents the spread of innovation and technology.  According to European comparative studies, GDP per capita and the level of political trust correlated: the higher the GDP, the higher the trust, and Vice versa, the high level of trust gives the opportunity to achieve high GDP (deviations - such as Greece - there are not very often). Unfortunately, Ukraine is among countries which take one of the last places on the trust and the last place on the GDP. 21
  • 22.
    Dynamic of trustto the President of Ukraine -100.0 -80.0 -60.0 -40.0 -20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 May, 2000 Sept, 2004 March, 2005 March, 2007 Oct, 2009 March 2010 Feb, 2012 Sept, 2014 Feb, 2015 22 KIIS monitoring surveys, F2F, n=2000, 2000-2015 years
  • 23.
    Personalized dynamics oftrust to the President -90.0 -40.0 10.0 60.0 May, 2000 Sept, 2004 Kuchma the balance of trust-distrust -50.0 0.0 50.0 March, 2005 March, 2007 Oct 2009 Yushchenko the balance of trust-distrust -60.0 -40.0 -20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 Sept, 2014 Feb, 2015 Poroshenko the balance of trust-distrust -100.0 -50.0 0.0 50.0 March 2010 Feb, 2012 Nov, 2013 March 2014 Yanukovych the balance of trust-distrust 23 KIIS monitoring surveys, F2F, n=2000, 2000-2015 years
  • 24.
    24 Trust to thesocial institutions Trust, % Distrust, % Balance Trust- distrust Church 62 17 45 Mass-media 41 28 12 Non-government organizations 27 29 -2 Army 34 37 -2 Opposition 24 53 -29 President 22 66 -44 Militia 16 63 -47 Government 16 69 -53 Parlament 12 73 -61 2012 Trust, % Distrust, % Balance trust-distrust Army 76 16 60 President 68 24 44 Church 55 18 37 Ukrainian mass- media 37 35 2 Government 39 51 -12 Militia 29 63 -34 Parliament 20 74 -54 Russian mass- media 7 77 -70 2014 24 KIIS Omnibus , F2F, n=2000, 2012-2014 years
  • 25.
  • 26.
    Census 2001: Ukrainians 78%,Russians 17%, other 5% KIIS uses more detailed scale I consider myself ... 1) only Ukrainian 2) Ukrainian and Russian but more Ukrainian 3) equally Ukrainian and Russian 4) Russian and Ukrainian but more Russian 5) only Russian 26
  • 27.
    Bi-ethnic group, October2014 Language preferences Ukrainian language Russian language Total 1)Only Ukrainian 66,0 34,0 100,0 2) Ukrainian and Russian 10,2 89,8 100,0 3) Only Russian 2,0 98,0 100,0 27 KIIS Omnibus, F2F, n=2025, October 2014
  • 28.
    The attitude ofUkrainians to Russia and Russians to Ukraine
  • 29.
    Do you agreewith the statement that there is a war between Russia and Ukraine? Yes -34% Yes - 26% Yes-% 70 No - 57% No - 59% No - 19% DS - 9% DS -15% DS - 10% April 2014 August 2014 September 2014 Опитування “ГД “КМІС в Україні і Левада-Центру у Росії, 2014р.
  • 30.
    30 KIIS poll inUkraine and Levada-Center in Russia, 2008-2015 years Dynamics of the positive attitude of Ukrainians towards Russia and of Russians towards Ukraine 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 In Ukraine to Russia In Russia to Ukraine % of persons of Ukraine with positive attitude to Russia and % of persons of Russia with positive attitude to Ukraine
  • 31.
    Dynamics of positiveattitudes to V. Putin and Ukraine 15 25 35 45 55 65 75 85 95 Jan 2000 Jul 2000 Jan 2001 Jul 2001 Jan 2002 Jul 2002 Jan 2003 Jul 2003 Jan 2004 Jul 2004 Jan 2005 Jul 2005 Jan 2006 Jul 2006 Jan 2007 Jul 2007 Jan 2008 Jul 2008 Jan 2009 Jul 2009 Jan 2010 Jul 2010 Jan 2011 Jul 2011 Jan 2012 Jul 2012 Jan 2013 Jul 2013 Jan 2014 Jul 2014 Jan 2015 Approve of Vladimir Putin Good attitude towards Ukraine Euromaidan Annexation of Crimea Donbas conflict Active phase of 2nd Chechen war Shot down Tu-154 over the Black Sea Tuzla conflict Orange revolution Russian- Georgian war Worsening of Russian- Georgian relations Levada-Center polls in Russia, 2000-2015 years
  • 32.
    Regional differentiation inthe attitude of Ukrainians towards Russia, the Russians and the Russian government 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 West Central South East Whole Ukraine 25 32 59 83 48 66 63 81 91 74 2 3 16 69 21 To Russia To Russians to the Russian leadership % of adults in Ukraine with positive or very positive attitude to … KIIS Omnibus,18+, F2F, n=2035, September 2014. Regional composition: West - Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Khmelnytsky and Chernivtsi oblasts; Central - Vinnytsia, Zhytomyr, Kirovohrad, Kyiv, Poltava, Sumy, Chercasi, Chernihiv oblasts and the city Kyiv; South - Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Kherson oblasts; East - Donetsk, Kharkiv oblasts. We have no possibility to conduct survey in Lugansk region at this time.
  • 33.
    “When you thinkof the Ukrainian way of life, do you associate it more closely with Western values or with Russian values?“ (n=2,039) Values Most Closely Associated with Ukrainian Way of Life Differences by Region East – 51 R 9 W 11 B North – 25 R 25 W 6 B Center – 37 R 26 W 6 B South – 44 R 12 W 14 B West – 7 R 53 W 18 B IFES in Ukraine, Funded by USAID, Fieldwork -KIIS, April 8-15 2014, , F2F, National poll, n=2039
  • 34.
    16% 13% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 12% 14% 14% 27% 28% DK/NR Other Peaceful Independent, patriotic Respect fortraditions Stability Social protection, services Economic devp. Respectful of people Rule of law Democracy Rights and freedoms “What values does Ukraine share with the West?” (n=499) Values Ukraine shares with Russia/West IFES in Ukraine, Funded by USAID, Fieldwork -KIIS, April 8-15 2014, , F2F, National poll, n=2039
  • 35.
  • 36.
    Indicator What would youlike to see the relations between Ukraine and Russia? 1. Relations of Ukraine with Russia should be like with other states - with closed borders, visas and customs 2. Ukraine and Russia should be independent, however, friendly countries - with open borders, without visas and customs 3. Ukraine and Russia should unite in one state 1+2 – support of independence
  • 37.
    How would youlike to see the relations between Ukraine and Russia?(%) 45 46 2 7 They should be the same as with other countries - with closed borders, visa and customs Ukraine and Russia should be independent but friendly - with no visa, no customs and with open borders Ukraine and Russia should be united in one country Difficult to answer KIIS Omnibus, F2F, n=2022, May 2015
  • 38.
    38 How would youlike to see the relations between Ukraine and Russia?(%) KIIS Omnibus, May 2013, F2F, all Ukraine, n=2030 KIIS Omnibus, May 2015, F2F, all Ukraine (except Crimea and part of Luhansk region), n=2022 11 69 14 45 46 2 They should be like with other states - with closed borders, visas and customs Ukraine and Russia should be independent, however, friendly countries - with open borders, without visas and customs Ukraine and Russia should unite in one state May 2013 May 2015
  • 39.
    Ukraine and Russiashould unite in one state?(%) by Regions KIIS Omnibus, May 2013, F2F, all Ukraine, n=2030 KIIS Omnibus, May 2015, F2F, all Ukraine (except Crimea and part of Luhansk region), n=2022 3 8 20 28 24 1 1 2 6 West Center South East Crimea May 2013 May 2015
  • 40.
    Dynamic of Ukraine’sindependence support 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 01/91 01/92 01/93 01/94 01/95 01/96 01/97 01/98 01/99 01/00 01/01 01/02 01/03 01/04 01/05 01/06 01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 01/12 01/13 01/14 01/15 (independence supporters per cent among the all adults Russia’s advance toward Touzla Russia’s intrusion into Georgia Chechen wars of Russia Annexion of the Crimea KIIS Monitoring survey, F2F, n=2000, 1991-2015 years
  • 41.
    The level ofsupport of independence of Ukraine has considerably increased, but it partly related to 1) The lack of voters in Crimea 2) With the problems in research in areas that are not controlled by Ukraine
  • 42.
    Attitude to theEU, NATO, the Customs Union
  • 43.
    28 19 22 5 3 11 28 32 32 56 74 51 24 33 31 25 15 25 20 16 15 14 9 13 Donbass East South Center West Whole Ukraine Nonalignment neitherto the European Union not to the Custom Union FOREIGN POLICY COURSE OF UKRAINE  What integration direction Ukraine should go? Accession to the European Union Accession to the Customs Union Hard to say/ No answers ЧАСТИНАII.ЗОВНІШНЬОПОЛІТИЧНІОРІЄНТАЦІЇ KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
  • 44.
    Accession to NATOmembership  Please imagine that referendum on whether Ukraine must join NATO is taking place now. You can vote for joining the union, oppose or abstain - not to participate in voting. What is your choice? 51 50 55 28 15 33 26 26 25 47 63 43 12 13 14 9 5 10 11 12 6 15 17 14 Donbass East South Center West Whole Ukraine Against accession Hard to say/No answersI will not voteFor accession ЧАСТИНАII.ЗОВНІШНЬОПОЛІТИЧНІОРІЄНТАЦІЇ KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
  • 45.
  • 46.
     The Euromaidanis a starting point for the modern history of Ukraine. Research on the Maidan , which was held by KIIS and Fund "DIF“, shows invalidity of somemyths that are still used in the information war. In particular, it shows that the vast majority of participants (80-90%) took part in protest independently and wasn’t organized by parties or public organizations. 46
  • 47.
  • 48.
    Three polls onthe Maidan Polls: 1) December, 7-8, weekend, Maidan-meeting 2) December, 20, Maidan-camp 3) February, 3, weekdays, Maidan-Sich (analog of Zaporizhzhya Sich)
  • 50.
    Three pools onthe Maidan If you arrived, was it is organized or you arrived yourself? Maidan- meeting Maidan- camp Maidan- Sich It is organized by one of the parties 1,8 11,9 3.0 It is organized by one of the public organizations (movements) 6,3 11,9 13.3 I arrived himself 91,9 76,1 83.5 Where are you from? Maidan-meeting December, 7-8, 2014 Мaidan-camp December, 20, 2014 Мaidan-Sich February, 3, 2014 From Kiev 49,8 19,3 12.4 From the province 50,2 80,7 87.6
  • 51.
  • 52.
    The way thepropaganda works Why did Malaysian plane crash on July 2014 in eastern Ukraine? TrusttoTVnews Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/monkey-cage/wp/2015/02/26/russian-and-ukrainian-tv- viewers-live-on-different-planets/
  • 53.
    Information war againstUkraine  Information component of a hybrid war against Ukraine is no less powerful mean of influence than traditional weapon. It gave the opportunity to annex the Crimea, provoked the armed conflict in the Donbas and provided support the actions of Russia and pro-Russian forces in some regions of the country.  The logical chain of Russian propaganda:  The protests on the Maidan in the winter of 2013-2014 were organized by the Americans and the radical nationalists;  As a result, the nationalists seized the power and now threaten the Russian-speaking population of Ukraine which lives mainly in the South and the East;  Crimea was in danger but voluntarily joined to Russia and was saved from the repression of the nationalists;  Donbas rebelled and is now fighting for independence;  The conflict in Ukraine is a civil war of criminal power of the nationalists against average citizens.
  • 54.
    The most supportedpropaganda statements in Russia  Data of surveys of Russian Levada-Center , September 2014- May 2015 years: Do you agree or disagree that as a result of Kiev Maidan in February the state upheaval happened? Data for Russia Agree 83 Disagree 10 What is your attitude toward United States of America? Favorable 12 Unfavorable 81 Do you support joining of Crimea to Russia? Yes 84 No 7
  • 55.
    9 26 80 60 All Ukraine Donbas TrustDo not trust Trust to Russian mass-media Support of pro-Russian point of view Joining of Crimea to Russia 11 27 81 57 All Ukraine Donbas Support Do not support Attitude to USA 59 29 22 42 All Ukraine Donbas Favorable Unfavorable Attitude to Maidan 61 41 23 33 All Ukraine Donbas People's protest Nationalist, anti-russian forces' struggle ATO is a punitive action against civilians 19 38 62 35 All Ukraine Donbas Agree Disagree Data: KIIS Omnibus, February 2015, F2F, all Ukraine (except Crimea and part of Luhansk region) , n=2013
  • 56.
    Effectiveness of Russianpropaganda in different regions of Ukraine  Index of effectiveness of Russian propaganda (IERP) is based on 5 variables: negative perception of Maidan-2014, negative attitude to USA, support of Crimea annexation, disapproval of anti-terrorist operation of Ukrainian army, trust to Russian mass-media. If IERP equals 100, it means that every person support all 5 statements; 0 means that nobody support any.  Eastern and Southern Ukraine are the most receptive regions.  These regions are predominantly Russian-speaking and traditionally vote for pro- Russian politicians and parties.  Presently the population of these regions is a main target of both propaganda and intimidation by acts of terrorism.
  • 57.
    Effectiveness of Russianpropaganda in different regions of Ukraine  For calculation of Index of effectiveness of Russian propaganda (IERP) the data of recent KIIS Omnibus survey (all population 18+ except Crimea) were used. Data: KIIS Omnibus, February 13-24, 2015 , F2F, all Ukraine (except Crimea and part of Luhansk region), n=2013
  • 58.
  • 59.
    Humanitarian Aid NeedsMonitoring  The project estimated the humanitarian aid needs of community residents in the cities of Donetsk and Luhansk regions. The research was initiated and conducted on demand of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center and “Dopomozhemo TV“.  Surveys were conducted by Kiev International Institute of Sociology (KIIS) applying the Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing method (CATI). Respondents at the age 18 years and over were interviewed.  Sample size: about 2100 respondents from 26-29 most needing communities in Donbas (Sometimes it was not possible to hold the survey in some settlements due to telephone communications failure).  According to the September 2014 survey results communities were classified, joining under one class if having similar aid needs structure (hierarchical cluster analysis method applied). Such an analysis made it possible to distinguish a group of communities, the residents of which are in the most aid need, and focus the further needs research on those particularly.  In the inquiries, held from October, 2014 to March, 2015, the current resident needs in foodstuff, medical supplies and non-grocery goods were investigated, as well as the work of medical and educational facilities, communications status. 59
  • 60.
  • 61.
    Situation Changes inthe Community 61 35% 32% 15% 16% 32% 3% 3% 3% 1% 6% 8% 9% 21% 18% 11% 3% 4% 16% 7% 3% September October November December March How has the situation in you community changed over the past week? Slightly better Significantly better Slightly worse Significantly worse 14% 38% In comparison with November-December 2014, the perception of the situation has significantly improved. KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014-2015 years.
  • 62.
    Basic Needs 34 50 45 38 58 45 household goodsmedicalsuppliesfood products % of population lacking… March December The deficit of medical supplies and household goods decreased, but the situation with food products remains difficult. KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014-2015 years.
  • 63.
    Real-life Situation Estimation 5 48 43 4 7 63 30 1 Notso bad, you can live on Life is hard, but bearable Not possible to bear our misery Hard to say Which of the statements is most relevant to current situation? December March % settlement ‘s adults In March 2015 the number of people, estimating the situation as bearable (“life is hard, but bearable”) has increased by 15% comparably with December,2014. KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014-2015 years.
  • 64.
    Stressful Situations acrossthe Year Stressful situations % of references Experience bombing 80 Feeling helpless 57 Turn out to be without means of living 47 Experiencing severe illness of relatives 24 Experiencing severe illness, surgery 22 Loss of one's work, becoming forcedly unemployed 21 Loss of one's self-belief 20 Loss of belief in mankind, encounter with meanness 16 Experiencing death of relatives 12 Serious conflicts with others 5 Exposure to threats, intimidation 3 Being a victim of abuse or robbery 2 Being a victim of theft or fraud practices 2 Living in close to suicide state 1 Experiencing other stressful situations 47 There was no stressful situations 56 KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014.
  • 65.
  • 66.
    Assessment of theLevel of Migration: Methodology  Usual surveys do not allow us to estimate the number of those who left - because if the whole family left, it does not fall into the sample. In addition, the size of our sample is small, and the evaluation of migration would be possible only for the region as a whole.  The idea is to look for those who left through social networks: we carry out a normal random sample and ask a respondent to select five the closest families and tell who left, and who remained. This allows us to:  To obtain information about the families all the members of which left;  To increase the effective sample size (in particular, in 3rd wave we interviewed 700 respondents and received information about 5,200 residents of the towns included in the sample).
  • 67.
    Fragment of theQuestionnaire And now several unusual questions. Please, make a list of five your closest friends, who constantly live in [NAME THE TOWN] or have lived there in January this year. These should be people from different families. We will not ask who they are or their relation to you. WAIT UNTIL THE LISTS ARE READY. We have only 3 questions on each of them:  Does this person continue to live in the town now or has left?  If he(she) left, did he(she) went by him(her)self or with someone from his(her) family?  How many people were in the family and how many of them have left? Family Number of the family members Number of those who left 1 2 3 4 5
  • 68.
    Migration Rates 32% 23% 27% 30% October NovemberDecember March KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014-2015 years.
  • 69.
    Migration  According tothe Ministry of Social Policy (May 21, 2015) in Ukraine there were almost there were almost 1,3 million internally displaced persons. Most of them were registered in the areas around the conflict zone, in Kiev and Kiev region.  According to the operative data of the Ministry of Emergencies of Ukraine (May 31, 2015) nearly 874 thousand people moved.  Data of different institutions can differ due to those people that live on the occupied territories but registered as internally displaced persons in the Ukrainian localities in order to receive social payments. 69
  • 70.
  • 71.
    Characteristics of theinternally displaced persons  Disproportionate number of women, children and people of retirement age compared to the average data in Ukraine;  Only about 9% of registered internally displaced persons (IDPs) indicated that they need work (~58% of the estimated economically active able-bodied IDPs);  One of the main reasons why immigrants rejected from finding work - the belief that their situation is temporary and they will go to home in the near future. Other reasons – caring for sick person, unwillingness to break the previous employment relationship, postponement looking for a job;  Among internally displaced persons who applied to the State employment service, higher proportion of well-educated persons and professionals than among registered unemployed in Ukraine in general. 71
  • 72.
    Migration plans 72 82 15 0 1 1 December No Yes, Iwould like to, but I can't Yes, I'm going to leave until summer Yes, I'm going to leave, but don't know when Hard to say 89 6 1 1 3 March No Yes, I would like to, but I can't Yes, I'm going to leave until summer Yes, I'm going to leave, but don't know when Hard to say In another region of Ukraine 42% In Russia 30% In other place within Donbas 5% In Crimea 1% Europe, USA, Canada 5% Hard to say 17% Please tell me where you or your family members are going to move? KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014- March, 2015.
  • 73.
    When will theconflict in Donbas be over? 73 18% 22% 9% 3% 3% 2% 44% Нескольких месяцев Следующего года Через 2-3 года Через 4-5 лет Затянется боле чем на 5 лет Никогда Не знаю What do You think, when the conflict in Donbas will be over? It will happen in... Couple of months Next year 2-3 years 4-5 years Will last more, then 5 years Never I don’t know 40% of respondents think, that the conflict will be over within a year KIIS phone survey of most needing communities in Donbas on request of the Rinat Akhmetov Humanitarian Center , n=2100, December, 2014.
  • 74.
    Should we tryto find the compromise with Russia and the leaders DNR and LNR for peace in Donbas? 28 23 24 16 9 55 24 14 5 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Peace at any cost, it is necessary to accept any compromises For peace it is necessary to accept serious compromises - but not all Some compromise is acceptable, but not any serious concessions No concessions at all, even if you have a war Difficalt to say Ukraine Donbas 51% 79% 74 National poll KIIS -DI, n=2035, September 2014
  • 75.
    Public opinion onMinsk agreement  Large majorities in all regions approve Minsk agreement. In Donbas, both rebel- held areas and Ukrainian-controlled territories support Minsk solution of the conflict. 83 74 8 12 Rebel-held Donbas Nation Approve Disapprove Data are taken from all-nation (except Crimea) KIIS recent survey conducted in February-March 2015. 75
  • 76.
    THE STATUS OFDONBAS (Ukraine)  In your opinion what status Donetsk and Lugansk regions should have? 9.3 0.6 0.6 3.1 10.7 37.9 37.7 Hard to say / No answer Regions as parts of Russia Autonomous Republics as parts of Russia Independent states Autonomous Republics as parts of Ukraine Regions as parts of Ukraine but with enhanced rights Regions as parts of Ukraine with the same rights ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ All-nation (except Crimea) KIIS survey conducted in February-March 2015, n=2013.
  • 77.
    West Center SouthEast Donbas (the territories controlled by Ukraine) Regions as parts of Ukraine with the same rights which they have now 56.1 38.4 27.6 25.0 14.6 Regions as parts of Ukraine but with enhanced rights in economic, social and humanitarian spheres 25.6 45.4 47.3 40.9 22.0 Autonomous Republics as parts of Ukraine 6.0 6.0 15.9 16.8 27.6 Independent states 2.0 1.7 1.3 7.5 4.9 Autonomous Republics as parts of Russia 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.2 1.6 Regions as parts of Russia 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.6 Hard to say / No answer 9.8 7.3 5.9 8.7 27.6 THE STATUS OF THE DONBAS (regions of Ukraine) In your opinion what status Donetsk and Lugansk regions should have? ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ All-nation (except Crimea) KIIS survey conducted in February-March 2015, n=2013.
  • 78.
    THE STATUS OFDONBAS (“DNR” and “LNR”) ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ KIIS and “Telekritika” syrvey, totally 220 respondents were interviewed on the territory of “DNR” and “LNR”, February, 2015. In “DNR” and “LNR” half of the respondents consider optimal for Donbas one of three scenarios in which Donbas remains in the country. 26% would choose the independence of their region and16% would joined to Russia. 12% 20% 18% 26% 16% 8% Donbas is a part of Ukraine with the same rights as before Decentralization for Donbas Autonomy of Donbas The independence of Donbas Donbas is a part of the Russian Federation Hard to say What do you think what the solution from the situation in Donbas would be optimal? "DNR" and "LNR"
  • 79.
    13 22 32 44 48 38 28 52 54 46 38 45 20 11 8 3 2 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 34 13 6 6 11 11 Donbas East South Center West Whole Ukraine Unitary, regionshave the same powers Unitary, decentralization Federalization Division into several states Hard to say/ No answers TERRITORIAL STRUCTURE OF UKRAINE  State system of Ukraine should be...? KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
  • 80.
    SEPARATIVE MOODS  Itwill be better for my locality, if it will be separated from Ukraine 40 80 80 97 88 86 22 4 11 1 4 5 38 16 9 1 8 9 Donbas East South Center West Whole Ukraine Rather or totally disagree Rather or totally agree Hard to say / No answer ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015
  • 81.
    THE SUPPORT OFSEPARATISM: Direct question vs. «Secret ballot» procedure  For my locality it would be better if it separates from Ukraine, % of those who agrees ЧАСТИНАVI.ТЕРИТОРІАЛЬНИЙУСТРІЙУКРАЇНИІ СЕПАРАТИСТСЬКІНАСТРОЇ KIIS national poll, 18+, F2F, n=2040, March, 2015 5 4 1.4 10.9 4 22 5.6 3.1 1.7 7.5 8.6 26 All Ukraine West Center South East Donbas F2F interview "Secret ballot"
  • 82.
  • 83.
    Attitudes to civicparticipation and volunteering  Ukrainians’ interest in different types of civic participation is growing with time.  The most widespread practice during 2014-2015 – material aid to the Army, internally displaced persons, participants of Euromaidan. Only a small percentage of Ukrainians took part in volunteering for civic movements and NGOs. Interest in volunteering and readiness to it is much lower than to providing of material help to the victims of armed conflict in Donbas (soldiers, civilians).  A quarter to a third of Ukrainians express their interest to such types of civic society activities as participation in public hearings and meetings, reports about corruption and infrastructural problems to authorized agencies, discussions of draft laws.  Each third person thinks that the problems must be solved by state, not by ordinary people. Each fifth belongs to vulnerable categories; the same number has no time and motivation to participate in civic initiatives; the same number does not know about possibilities to participate.
  • 84.
    Participation in volunteeringand charity activities to help the army and IDPs In October, 2014 44% of Ukrainians said they helped the army and displaced persons during the year. The same number did not do it and do not plan to do. Other 7% were going to help until the end of 2014. KIIS Omnibus, n=2025, October, 2014 5% 44% 7% 4% 0% 2% 2% 2% 5% 7% 8% 11% 27% Hard to say I didn't participate in any of above mentioned activities and I don't plan to do it in a short time I didn't participate in any of above mentioned activities, but I plan to do it by the end of the year Other I personally traveled in the area of ATO to provide volunteer assistance I bought military and protective equipment, etc. for the Ukrainian army I helped to provide housing for displaced persons I made repost of requests for help in social networks I bought foods and medicine for displaced persons I transferred the money to persons displaced from area of ATO I bought foods and medicine for wounded military I transferred the money to support wounded military I support Ukrainian army by transfering of the money (including SMS sending to number 565, transfer to cards, etc)
  • 85.
    Thanks for yourattention! 85