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CHIMAT ANNUAL CONFERENCE
Informed Decisions and Intelligent Investment: The Future
of Child and Maternal Health services

ENGLISH CHILD HEALTH IS DIRE

Jonathan Bradshaw
The Royal York Hotel
18 March 2010
Summary




If we look at trend data – the main child health
indicators are improving
But we should be very worried about






Those that are not improving
The inequalities in outcomes – especially spatially
Our comparative position is dire

What needs to be done
Evidence base


York books monitoring child well-being




York comparative work on child well-being






UNICEF Report Card 7 (2007)
Child Wellbeing in the EU29 (2009)
OECD (2009)

York spatial analysis of child well-being




ESRC and Save the Children – latest 2005

CLG project

CHIMAT
Child health is improving











Infant mortality (and its components)
Low birth weight
Child deaths
Child accidents and injuries
Self reported health of children
Sexual competence of young people
Teenage conceptions
Smoking
But for some the improvements are
miniscule
Not improving











Parental assessments of child health
Infectious diseases
Early sex and sexually transmitted diseases
Diabetes and Asthma
Obesity
Drinking
Drugs
Mental health
Subjective well-being?
Inequalities
Almost all child health indicators strongly
associated with poverty/class/inequality
 Inequalities not falling – despite targets
 Here are some data

infant mortality rate by deprivation
quintile* 2002-04

2.2

England

1.4

1.5
3.3

2

3

4.8

2

3.9

1.2

4

3.2

1.9

6

2.5

Rate per 1,000 livebirths

8

0
Least
deprived
Neonatal

4

IMD 2004 quintile

Most
deprived

Post-neonatal

Source: NCHOD Compendium
*LAD deaths and livebirths aggregated into quintiles of equal livebirth numbers
% of births (with known birthweight) weighing
<1.5kg and <2.5kg by deprivation quintile* 2004
12%
10%
8%

7.1%
1.7%

1.9%

6.3%
1.5%

5.5%

Least
deprived

0%

1.3%

2%

1.1%

4%

5.1%

6%

8.3%

England

2

3

4

Most
deprived

Under 1500 grams

IMD 2004 quintile

1500 to 2500 grams

Source: ONS 2004 birth extract
*Super Output Area births aggregated into quintiles of equal birth numbers
All causes directly standardised mortality
rate by deprivation quintile* 2002-04 (ages 0-19 years)
70

50

England

47.5

20

43.3

62.0

30

52.9

40

37.5

DSR per 100,000

60

10
0
Least
deprived

2

3

4

Most
deprived

IMD 2004 quintile

Source: ONS annual death extracts/population mid-year estimates
*LAD deaths/populations aggregated into quintiles of equal 0-19 years population
Our comparative position is dire




In EU
In OECD
In









health at birth,
immunisation,
self reported health
health behaviours (drinking, drugs, smoking)
adolescent fertility

The exception is accidental deaths - ?tradeoff with freedom
Child well-being: EU29 Summary
Rank

Country

Child well-being
in the EU 29

Health

Subjective

Relationships

Material

Risk

Education

Housing

1

Netherlands

117.3

2

1

1

7

4

4

9

2

Sweden

114.8

1

7

3

10

1

9

3

3

Norway

114.8

6

8

6

2

2

10

1

4

Iceland

112.7

4

9

4

1

3

14

8

5

Finland

111.0

12

6

9

4

7

7

4

6

Denmark

109.6

3

5

10

9

15

12

5

7

Slovenia

107.1

15

16

2

5

13

11

19

8

Germany

106.1

17

12

8

12

5

6

16

9

Ireland

105.3

14

10

14

20

12

5

2

10

Luxembourg

104.8

5

17

19

3

11

16

7

11

Austria

104.2

26

2

7

8

19

19

6

12

Cyprus

103.7

10

13

Spain

103.6

13

4

17

18

6

20

13

14

Belgium

103.0

18

13

18

15

21

1

12

15

France

100.9

20

14

28

11

10

13

10

16

Czech Republic

98.9

9

22

27

6

20

3

22

17

Slovakia

98.7

7

11

22

16

23

17

15

18

Estonia

96.9

11

20

12

14

25

2

25

19

Italy

96.1

19

18

20

17

8

23

20

20

Poland

94.6

8

26

16

26

17

8

23

21

Portugal

94.5

21

23

13

21

9

25

18

22

Hungary

94.3

23

25

11

23

16

15

21

23

Greece

94.0

29

3

23

19

22

21

14

24

United Kingdom

92.9

24

21

15

24

18

22

17

25

Romania

87.0

27

19

5

24

27

26

Bulgaria

84.9

25

15

24

26

26

27

Latvia

84.1

16

24

26

22

27

18

26

28

Lithuania

82.3

22

27

25

25

28

24

24

29

Malta

81.9

28

28

21

13

11

14
OECD Doing Better for Children (2009)
Overall rank
Average rank
1 Sweden
4.5
2 Iceland
6.2
3 Norway
6.7
4 Korea
6.8
5 Denmark
8.0
6 Netherlands
8.3
7 Finland
10.3
8 Australia
11.0
9 Switzerland
11.2
10 Luxembourg
12.0
11 Japan
12.8
12 Canada
13.0
13 Ireland
13.5
14 Germany
14.2
15 Spain
15.3
16= France
16.0
16= Hungary
16.0
18 Austria
16.2
19 Belgium
16.7
20 United Kingdom 16.8
21 Czech Republic 17.7
22 Poland
17.8
23 United States
18.8
24 Portugal
19.3
25 Italy
19.7
26 New Zealand
20.2
27 Slovak Republic 20.7
28 Greece
21.0
29 Turkey
26.2
30 Mexico
28.4

Material Housing and Educational
well-being environment well-being
6
8
1
13
2
9
4
15
7
3
22
14
17
16
24
10
20
5
11
12
18
28
23
25
19
21
27
26
30
29

3
4
1
n.a.
6
17
7
2
n.a.
8
16
n.a.
5
18
13
10
21
9
11
15
24
22
12
20
23
14
25
19
n.a.
26

9
14
16
2
7
4
1
6
10
17
11
3
5
15
21
23
12
18
20
22
19
8
25
26
28
13
24
27
30
29

Health
and
safety
3
2
16
10
4
8
6
15
21
7
13
22
25
9
12
19
11
27
26
20
5
14
24
18
17
29
1
23
30
28

Risky
Quality of
behaviours school life
1
8
4
2
21
9
26
17
5
14
2
10
19
18
16
12
25
27
13
28
23
20
15
6
11
24
22
7
29
30

5
1
2
n.a.
8
3
18
n.a.
13
23
n.a.
16
10
9
6
22
7
11
19
4
17
15
14
21
20
n.a.
25
24
12
n.a.
Bulgaria

Romania

United Kingdom

Estonia

Slovakia

Hungary

Lithuania

Ireland

Iceland

Latvia

Portugal

Poland

Malta

Austria

Czech Republic

Luxembourg

Germany

Finland

Spain

Greece

Norway

Cyprus

Belgium

France

Slovenia

Italy

Denmark

Netherlands

Sweden

Percentage of all births which are teenage births

Adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19), 2006

45.0

40.0

35.0

30.0

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0

5.0

0.0
ov
ak
G ia
re
ec
e
Sp
ai
n
It a
Fi ly
nl
a
Bu nd
lg
ar
i
Au a
st
r
Ire ia
la
Sw n d
ed
C
ze Slo en
ch ve
R nia
ep
ub
l
Fr ic
an
Es ce
to
Po nia
rt
G uga
er
m l
D any
en
m
a
Po rk
N
et lan
he
d
Lu rla
xe nd
m s
bo
u
Ic rg
el
R and
om
an
N ia
or
w
Be ay
lg
Li ium
th
ua
U
ni
ni
a
te
La
d
Ki t via
ng
d
H om
un
ga
ry
M
al
ta

Sl

Children who rate their health as fair or poor

HBSC 2005/06: Children who rate their health as fair or poor

25.0

20.0

15.0

10.0

5.0

0.0
What can be done?









Public health interventions do work
 SIDS
 Traffic
More of it more radical
 20 miles per hour
 Alcohol pricing, food advertising
 Breast feeding
But key to progress is child poverty and inequality
 Child poverty strategy
 Marmot
Investing in child health saves money!
Evidence base critical.

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CHILD HEALTH IN THE UK: DIRE COMPARED TO PEERS

  • 1. CHIMAT ANNUAL CONFERENCE Informed Decisions and Intelligent Investment: The Future of Child and Maternal Health services ENGLISH CHILD HEALTH IS DIRE Jonathan Bradshaw The Royal York Hotel 18 March 2010
  • 2. Summary   If we look at trend data – the main child health indicators are improving But we should be very worried about     Those that are not improving The inequalities in outcomes – especially spatially Our comparative position is dire What needs to be done
  • 3. Evidence base  York books monitoring child well-being   York comparative work on child well-being     UNICEF Report Card 7 (2007) Child Wellbeing in the EU29 (2009) OECD (2009) York spatial analysis of child well-being   ESRC and Save the Children – latest 2005 CLG project CHIMAT
  • 4. Child health is improving          Infant mortality (and its components) Low birth weight Child deaths Child accidents and injuries Self reported health of children Sexual competence of young people Teenage conceptions Smoking But for some the improvements are miniscule
  • 5. Not improving          Parental assessments of child health Infectious diseases Early sex and sexually transmitted diseases Diabetes and Asthma Obesity Drinking Drugs Mental health Subjective well-being?
  • 6. Inequalities Almost all child health indicators strongly associated with poverty/class/inequality  Inequalities not falling – despite targets  Here are some data 
  • 7. infant mortality rate by deprivation quintile* 2002-04 2.2 England 1.4 1.5 3.3 2 3 4.8 2 3.9 1.2 4 3.2 1.9 6 2.5 Rate per 1,000 livebirths 8 0 Least deprived Neonatal 4 IMD 2004 quintile Most deprived Post-neonatal Source: NCHOD Compendium *LAD deaths and livebirths aggregated into quintiles of equal livebirth numbers
  • 8. % of births (with known birthweight) weighing <1.5kg and <2.5kg by deprivation quintile* 2004 12% 10% 8% 7.1% 1.7% 1.9% 6.3% 1.5% 5.5% Least deprived 0% 1.3% 2% 1.1% 4% 5.1% 6% 8.3% England 2 3 4 Most deprived Under 1500 grams IMD 2004 quintile 1500 to 2500 grams Source: ONS 2004 birth extract *Super Output Area births aggregated into quintiles of equal birth numbers
  • 9. All causes directly standardised mortality rate by deprivation quintile* 2002-04 (ages 0-19 years) 70 50 England 47.5 20 43.3 62.0 30 52.9 40 37.5 DSR per 100,000 60 10 0 Least deprived 2 3 4 Most deprived IMD 2004 quintile Source: ONS annual death extracts/population mid-year estimates *LAD deaths/populations aggregated into quintiles of equal 0-19 years population
  • 10. Our comparative position is dire    In EU In OECD In       health at birth, immunisation, self reported health health behaviours (drinking, drugs, smoking) adolescent fertility The exception is accidental deaths - ?tradeoff with freedom
  • 11. Child well-being: EU29 Summary Rank Country Child well-being in the EU 29 Health Subjective Relationships Material Risk Education Housing 1 Netherlands 117.3 2 1 1 7 4 4 9 2 Sweden 114.8 1 7 3 10 1 9 3 3 Norway 114.8 6 8 6 2 2 10 1 4 Iceland 112.7 4 9 4 1 3 14 8 5 Finland 111.0 12 6 9 4 7 7 4 6 Denmark 109.6 3 5 10 9 15 12 5 7 Slovenia 107.1 15 16 2 5 13 11 19 8 Germany 106.1 17 12 8 12 5 6 16 9 Ireland 105.3 14 10 14 20 12 5 2 10 Luxembourg 104.8 5 17 19 3 11 16 7 11 Austria 104.2 26 2 7 8 19 19 6 12 Cyprus 103.7 10 13 Spain 103.6 13 4 17 18 6 20 13 14 Belgium 103.0 18 13 18 15 21 1 12 15 France 100.9 20 14 28 11 10 13 10 16 Czech Republic 98.9 9 22 27 6 20 3 22 17 Slovakia 98.7 7 11 22 16 23 17 15 18 Estonia 96.9 11 20 12 14 25 2 25 19 Italy 96.1 19 18 20 17 8 23 20 20 Poland 94.6 8 26 16 26 17 8 23 21 Portugal 94.5 21 23 13 21 9 25 18 22 Hungary 94.3 23 25 11 23 16 15 21 23 Greece 94.0 29 3 23 19 22 21 14 24 United Kingdom 92.9 24 21 15 24 18 22 17 25 Romania 87.0 27 19 5 24 27 26 Bulgaria 84.9 25 15 24 26 26 27 Latvia 84.1 16 24 26 22 27 18 26 28 Lithuania 82.3 22 27 25 25 28 24 24 29 Malta 81.9 28 28 21 13 11 14
  • 12. OECD Doing Better for Children (2009) Overall rank Average rank 1 Sweden 4.5 2 Iceland 6.2 3 Norway 6.7 4 Korea 6.8 5 Denmark 8.0 6 Netherlands 8.3 7 Finland 10.3 8 Australia 11.0 9 Switzerland 11.2 10 Luxembourg 12.0 11 Japan 12.8 12 Canada 13.0 13 Ireland 13.5 14 Germany 14.2 15 Spain 15.3 16= France 16.0 16= Hungary 16.0 18 Austria 16.2 19 Belgium 16.7 20 United Kingdom 16.8 21 Czech Republic 17.7 22 Poland 17.8 23 United States 18.8 24 Portugal 19.3 25 Italy 19.7 26 New Zealand 20.2 27 Slovak Republic 20.7 28 Greece 21.0 29 Turkey 26.2 30 Mexico 28.4 Material Housing and Educational well-being environment well-being 6 8 1 13 2 9 4 15 7 3 22 14 17 16 24 10 20 5 11 12 18 28 23 25 19 21 27 26 30 29 3 4 1 n.a. 6 17 7 2 n.a. 8 16 n.a. 5 18 13 10 21 9 11 15 24 22 12 20 23 14 25 19 n.a. 26 9 14 16 2 7 4 1 6 10 17 11 3 5 15 21 23 12 18 20 22 19 8 25 26 28 13 24 27 30 29 Health and safety 3 2 16 10 4 8 6 15 21 7 13 22 25 9 12 19 11 27 26 20 5 14 24 18 17 29 1 23 30 28 Risky Quality of behaviours school life 1 8 4 2 21 9 26 17 5 14 2 10 19 18 16 12 25 27 13 28 23 20 15 6 11 24 22 7 29 30 5 1 2 n.a. 8 3 18 n.a. 13 23 n.a. 16 10 9 6 22 7 11 19 4 17 15 14 21 20 n.a. 25 24 12 n.a.
  • 14. ov ak G ia re ec e Sp ai n It a Fi ly nl a Bu nd lg ar i Au a st r Ire ia la Sw n d ed C ze Slo en ch ve R nia ep ub l Fr ic an Es ce to Po nia rt G uga er m l D any en m a Po rk N et lan he d Lu rla xe nd m s bo u Ic rg el R and om an N ia or w Be ay lg Li ium th ua U ni ni a te La d Ki t via ng d H om un ga ry M al ta Sl Children who rate their health as fair or poor HBSC 2005/06: Children who rate their health as fair or poor 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0
  • 15. What can be done?      Public health interventions do work  SIDS  Traffic More of it more radical  20 miles per hour  Alcohol pricing, food advertising  Breast feeding But key to progress is child poverty and inequality  Child poverty strategy  Marmot Investing in child health saves money! Evidence base critical.