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Enhance the Attractiveness of Studies in Science and
                    Technology

 WP 6: Formal Barriers to Engineering
             Education
                     Kevin Kelly
               Trinity College Dublin
                WP 6 Co-ordinator
WP 6: Formal Barriers
         to Engineering Education
Aims:
• To examine the formal barriers to engineering
  education at third-level

• To facilitate maximally open access to
  engineering education without compromising
  standards or unfairly exposing ill-equipped
  students

                       2
WP6 Key Deliverables

Three phases of work:

1) Survey of education systems in partner countries

2) Comparison Framework

3) Report on formal barriers to engineering higher
   education

                         3
WP6 Deliverables
     1: Survey of Education Systems

• Extensive questionnaire developed and
  distributed to all partners

• Documented national education systems from
  primary level to university entry, regarding
  provision of science, engineering & technology
  (SET) subjects

• Survey data gathered was used to inform other
  WP 6 deliverables

                         4
WP6 Deliverables
        2: Comparison Framework

• ‘At a glance’ information to compare partner
  countries under key headings, relevant to all work
  packages

• Provides necessary context to enable conclusions
  to be drawn between national structures with
  significant variations

• Combination of graphs, tables and textual
  information used

                         5
WP6 Deliverables
       3: Report on Formal Barriers

The report documents:

• main factors restricting access to engineering
  higher education

• research illustrating the impact of these barriers
  on access to engineering

• data analysis of the relationship between entry
  barriers and subsequent student progression

                          6
Defining the Barriers
What do we mean by barriers?
• Any factors which stand in the way of entry to engineering
  programmes
• Can be set by universities, professional bodies, or may
  result from structural and/or socio-cultural conditions


                 Or to put it another way:

How are potential students prevented from studying
                   engineering?

                             7
Report on Formal Barriers
Main categories identified:

• Entry requirements for engineering courses

• Structures within the school system
   – E.g. streams which force students to choose at an early age
     between academic or vocational pathways

• Socio-economic factors
   – Engineering programmes in several countries appear to be
     less diverse in socio-economic terms than other university
     programmes


                               8
Barrier Category 1


High School System



        9
Structure of Education Systems
           Full-time compulsory education        Part-time compulsory education

 Belgiu
   m
                                                                     Pre-school
Finland

                                                                    Primary education
Ireland
                                                                    Secondary
                                                                    education
   Italy
                                                                    Upper secondary
                                                                    education
Portuga
   l

Sweden

           0            5            10           15           20
                            Student Age (years)


                                            10
Structural Factors
• Separation between academic and vocational
  branches of high school in most countries

• Choice typically made at ~ age 15

• This impacts on options for higher education 
  vocational students may not be eligible for
  academic study at university

• Subject specialisation creates further restrictions
   – students who don’t specialise in science/technology
     may be ineligible for engineering programmes

                            11
Comparison Framework
   High-school system: proportion of students by type
100%



80%



60%
                                                                      Other
                                                                      Vocational
40%                                                                   Academic


20%



 0%
       Belgium   Finland   Ireland        Italy   Portugal   Sweden


                                     12
General vs. Specialised
            High-School Education
• Many countries operate ‘track-based’
  programmes for upper-secondary school
   – ‘Tracks’ provide specialised education within a focus
     area, e.g. science/technology, humanities, languages
   – Students specialise based on interest and/or ability

• Other countries use a more general system where
  a broad range of subjects is offered and students
  may choose to study a variety of subject areas


                             13
General vs. Specialised High-School
             Education

 General              Track-based
                         Belgium
   Ireland
                          Italy
                         Portugal
   Finland
                         Sweden

                 14
Gender and subject specialisation
• Persistent gender differences in uptake of
  engineering-relevant subjects, especially Physics

• In Ireland some technology-related subjects are
  not taught in all-girls schools

• Research suggests causal relationship between
  lower % of girls specialising in Physics, Chemistry
  and Mathematics in high school and low numbers
  of female students entering engineering
  programmes at university

                          15
Pre-university education



 How much exposure do students
have to STEM subjects during their
         school careers?



                 16
Time spent on Maths




         17
Time spent on Physics




          18
Time spent on Chemistry




           19
Barrier Category 2

 University Entry
  Requirements


        20
Is entry to university restricted?
        (numerus clausus)

  Yes                    No
  Ireland
                        Belgium
  Finland
 Portugal
                          Italy
 Sweden

                21
University Admissions



Does the university control
   student selection?




             22
Yes            No
               Belgium
                Italy
Finland        Ireland
               Portugal
               Sweden



          23
Overview
Key points:
• No subject requirements set for entry in Italy and
  Belgium
  – (but all students study a core component of
    mathematics and science in high school)

• Mathematics required in all other countries, plus
  Physics and Chemistry in most

• Limited students eligible for entry as a result
   – max 12% eligible in Sweden and Ireland

                           24
General University Admission Criteria
• Exact criteria vary in each country

• All ATTRACT countries use one, or a
  combination, of the following:
  – High school certificate exams
  – Grades from on-going performance at high
    school
  – University entrance exams



                       25
Engineering-specific requirements
• Grades in relevant subjects often required
              Belgium   Finland    Ireland      Italy   Portugal    Sweden


   Maths        No       Yes         Yes        No        Yes         Yes

   Physics      No       Yes                    No        Yes         Yes
                                     10% of
  Chemistry     No       Yes      programmes    No        Yes         Yes
                                  require one
                                    of these                       Required in
   Biology      No       No         subjects    No        No          certain
                                                                   programmes




                                     26
High-school students meeting
        subject-entry requirements
100%


80%


60%


40%


20%


 0%
       Belgium   Finland   Ireland   Italy   Portugal   Sweden


                               27
Do entry requirements serve the intended
                purpose?

 • Correlation between prior achievement in
   subjects required for entry and subsequent
   performance in university engineering
   programmes (Evidence from IST and TCD)

   – in IST students who entered with grades lower than
     those now required had significant difficulty in
     successfully completing the programme



                            28
Alternatives to Standard
            Entry Requirements
• Alternative entry routes exist in most partner
  countries

• Function: To facilitate access to university for
  non-traditional students & those not meeting
  standard entry requirements

• Proportion of students entering via these means
  varies from 0% (Italy) to 29% (Sweden)


                          29
Barrier Category 3


Socio-economic Factors



          30
Socio-economic Diversity in
          Engineering
• Engineering courses in many countries are less accessible
  to students from lower socio-economic backgrounds
  than other fields (Eurostudent IV)

• This is reflected in several ATTRACT countries
   – in Ireland, Sweden and Italy engineering programmes tend to be
     less socio-economically diverse than other programmes

• In Ireland, PISA mathematics scores were significantly
  higher among students designated as ‘high socio-
  economic status’ than among others


                                31
PISA – maths, science & GDP
                                       Finland


                  Ireland



         USA




                                             Sweden   Belgium
               Italy

                            Portugal




                       32
PISA – top students in maths & science

“the number of students reaching level 5 or 6
      in mathematics and science will be
 particularly important for countries wishing
 to create a pool of workers able to advance
  the frontiers of scientific and technological
 knowledge in the future and compete in the
                global economy”

      – OECD PISA 2009 Results Vol. 1

                      33
% of Students at Level 5(6)
             in Maths and Science
Country               Maths          Science
Shanghai              24(26)         20(4)

Finland               16(6)          15(4)
Belgium               14(5)          8(2)

OECD average          9(3)           7(2)

Sweden                8(3)           7(1)
Portugal              7(3)           3(1)
Italy                 7(2)           5(1)
Ireland               5(1)           8(1)


                        34
Data Analysis

Student entry data &
    progression


         35
Motivation for Analysis of Student Data

Is there a relationship between the existing
entry requirements (barriers) and the factors
that increase a student’s chance of successful
progression, or are other variables more
significant?




                      36
Details of Analysis
• Data presented on 3 partner universities: PoliTo
  (Italy), Trinity College (Ireland) and IST (Portugal)

• Study of TCD and IST examines student
  background and prior educational attainment in
  relation to university progression

• Data for PoliTo looks specifically at aptitude test
  scores at entry to university and credits gained
  during first year


                           37
Data Analysis: PoliTo

• Incoming students sit aptitude tests in
  mathematics, logic and comprehension

• Results are for information purposes only, not
  admission selection

• Strong correlation between results in these tests
  and credits gained during first year of study




                         38
Data Analysis: IST

• Can the information that HEIs have on new
  students be used to predict academic
  performance?

• Study examined 1235 students admitted in
  2004/5




                        41
Dimensional Axis of Analysis

        Academic
       background

                    Socioeconomic
Motivations            status and
expectations         family capital

        Contextual
         Factors


               42
Axis 1:
Socio-economic status & family capital
• Parental education level not significant

• Household income: below national average
  corresponds to 8% increase in academic
  performance (typically scholarship students)

• Gender: Female students 10% more likely to
  successfully complete studies than male



                          43
Axis 2:
           Academic Background
• Significant relationship between grades from high
  school and academic achievement at university
  (40% performance increase for every 10 points)

• Having studied Physics at high school correlated
  with greater academic achievement at university
  (72% increase in probability of success)



                         44
Axis 3:
 Student Motivation and Expectations
• Students who don’t gain places in their first
  choice of programme experience negative impact
  on academic achievement (- 16%)

• Students not expecting to achieve a good average
  in all subjects attain lower results (- 9%)

• Having chosen the selected programme early
  corresponds to a 22% increase in pass rates


                        45
Axis 4:
               Contextual Factors
• Residential status: 17% lower academic
  performance for students living away from family
  home/usual residence

• Travel time to campus found to be significant
   – 10% decrease in performance for those travelling over
     1 hour in each direction




                            46
Data Analysis: Trinity College

• Similar question as in IST study:
   – How does available student data at time of
     entry correspond to performance during first
     year?
   – Can we identify those students less likely to
     progress to second year?

• Study examined 1835 students over ten-year
  period (2000 – 2009)

                         47
Factors Analysed
• Inputs
   – Whether a student took a particular subject (binary)
   – Mark achieved in each subject (0-100)
   – Degree (one of two available) programme chosen (binary)
   – Gender (binary)
   – Year (have things changed over 10 year period) (1-10)
   – CAO mark (cumulative grade in best 6 subjects) (0-600)
   – Living at home (binary)

• Output
   – Progressed to 2nd year (Binary)



                                48
Sample/Notional Student
Exam Results:        CAO Points
  Mathematics – B1         85
  Physics – C2             65
  Irish (L) – A2           50
  English – A2             90
  French – C1              70
  Chemistry – B3           75
  Economics – B1           85
                     470 CAO Points total – used to
                     allocate limited places

                      49
Summary of Results

• Past achievement in Mathematics confers single
  biggest advantage to students
• Physics and Chemistry are also significant if
  student has scored above a certain threshold
• Gender not significant among engineering cohort
  (contrasts with university-wide cohort among
  which females are significantly more likely than
  males to progress)


                        50
Logistic Analysis of Performance


 Input       Weighted         Logistic
                                         Probability
Variables     Sum             Function


 [0 / 1]    [- ∞, + ∞]                   [0 - 1]
[0 - 100]




                         51
Influence of subject grade on probability
             of progression
                                   Exam Mark versus Effect Size
     0.2



     0.1



       0
            0   5   10   15   20   25   30   35   40   45    50   55   60   65   70   75   80     85   90    95 100


     -0.1
                                                                                                Accounting

     -0.2



     -0.3



     -0.4




                                                        52
Subject Uptake
100.00%
          Gender Uptake of Various Subjects
90.00%


80.00%


70.00%


60.00%
                                              Female
50.00%

                                              Male
40.00%


30.00%


20.00%


10.00%


 0.00%




                        55
Relative Subject Attainment
10.00%

                Relative Subject Difficulty


 5.00%




 0.00%




 -5.00%




-10.00%

                                              Male


                                              Female

-15.00%

                           56
Sample/Notional Student
Exam Results:
  Mathematics – B1
  Physics – C2
  Irish (L) – A2
  English – A2
  French – C1
  Chemistry – B3
  Economics – B1




                     57
How Effective Is This?
 1
                               Progress
0.9
0.8                            Not Progress

0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
 0



                64
How Effective Is This?
 1
                               Progress
0.9
0.8                            Not Progress

0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
 0



                65
1
                   How Effective Is This?
                               Progress
0.9

0.8                            Not Progress

0.7

0.6                                                         False Positive Rate
0.5

0.4
                                                            = 2/(2+9)
0.3                                                         = 0.18
0.2

0.1

 0




                                                   True Positive   False Positive
      True Positive Rate = 7/(7+2)                      7                2
      =0.78
                                                   False Negative True Negative
                                                        2                9


                                              66
Receiver Operating Characteristic - Progression
                      1

                     0.9

                     0.8

                     0.7
True Positive Rate




                     0.6

                     0.5                                                                All Factors
                                                                                        Random
                     0.4                                                                CAO
                                                                                        CAO + Maths
                     0.3

                     0.2

                     0.1

                      0
                           0    0.1   0.2   0.3   0.4       0.5       0.6   0.7   0.8       0.9       1
                                                    False Positive Rate



                                                        67
Can We Target These Students For Help?
                             Receiver Operating Characteristic - Progression
                     1
            0.9
            0.8
                                                                                                   True Positive   False Positive
            0.7                                                                                         7                2
True Positive Rate




            0.6
            0.5                                                                      All
                                                                                     Factors
            0.4
                                                                                     Random
            0.3                                                                                    False Negative True Negative
            0.2
            0.1                                                                                         2                9
                     0
                         0   0.1    0.2    0.3    0.4     0.5      0.6   0.7   0.8   0.9       1
                                                  False Positive Rate



              Progress (as before)
              Fail to Progress (as before)

              Progress as before                                                                   Exposed to whatever
              Maybe progress?                                                                      help/initiatives we put in
                                                                                                   place


                                                                                           68
Economic Aspects




       69
Developing Recommendations
• No ‘one size fits all’ in terms of recommendations as
  existing systems and challenges faced are different in each
  country
• Therefore each partner developed tailored
  recommendations for their own country
• Nonetheless, certain recommendations were common to
  most or all partners
• Aim of proposed changes is expand the numbers of
  motivated, qualified and suitable students applying for and
  taking up places in engineering programmes in our
  countries.

                              70
Recommendations

Three categories:
a. Changes to admission requirements
b. Structural Changes to Education System
c. Socio-economic and cultural issues

Relative difficulty of implementation
• Easy, moderate or difficult
   – Varies from country to country, see report for details


                             71
Recommendations (a)
  Changes to admission requirements

Set required level of attainment in:
• Mathematics
• Physics and/or Chemistry




                       72
Recommendations (b)
Structural changes to education system
• Higher level of preparation in STEM
• Later ‘tracking’ of students
• Higher core STEM content for all students

If entry requirements in STEM subjects are
increased, it will be essential to equip students to
meet these standards



                           73
Recommendations (c)
   Socio-economic and cultural issues

• Need to show relevance of STEM to real life
• Encourage more girls to pursue engineering
• Increase participation from marginal socio-
  economic groups




                        74

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Formal Barriers to Engineering Education

  • 1. Enhance the Attractiveness of Studies in Science and Technology WP 6: Formal Barriers to Engineering Education Kevin Kelly Trinity College Dublin WP 6 Co-ordinator
  • 2. WP 6: Formal Barriers to Engineering Education Aims: • To examine the formal barriers to engineering education at third-level • To facilitate maximally open access to engineering education without compromising standards or unfairly exposing ill-equipped students 2
  • 3. WP6 Key Deliverables Three phases of work: 1) Survey of education systems in partner countries 2) Comparison Framework 3) Report on formal barriers to engineering higher education 3
  • 4. WP6 Deliverables 1: Survey of Education Systems • Extensive questionnaire developed and distributed to all partners • Documented national education systems from primary level to university entry, regarding provision of science, engineering & technology (SET) subjects • Survey data gathered was used to inform other WP 6 deliverables 4
  • 5. WP6 Deliverables 2: Comparison Framework • ‘At a glance’ information to compare partner countries under key headings, relevant to all work packages • Provides necessary context to enable conclusions to be drawn between national structures with significant variations • Combination of graphs, tables and textual information used 5
  • 6. WP6 Deliverables 3: Report on Formal Barriers The report documents: • main factors restricting access to engineering higher education • research illustrating the impact of these barriers on access to engineering • data analysis of the relationship between entry barriers and subsequent student progression 6
  • 7. Defining the Barriers What do we mean by barriers? • Any factors which stand in the way of entry to engineering programmes • Can be set by universities, professional bodies, or may result from structural and/or socio-cultural conditions Or to put it another way: How are potential students prevented from studying engineering? 7
  • 8. Report on Formal Barriers Main categories identified: • Entry requirements for engineering courses • Structures within the school system – E.g. streams which force students to choose at an early age between academic or vocational pathways • Socio-economic factors – Engineering programmes in several countries appear to be less diverse in socio-economic terms than other university programmes 8
  • 9. Barrier Category 1 High School System 9
  • 10. Structure of Education Systems Full-time compulsory education Part-time compulsory education Belgiu m Pre-school Finland Primary education Ireland Secondary education Italy Upper secondary education Portuga l Sweden 0 5 10 15 20 Student Age (years) 10
  • 11. Structural Factors • Separation between academic and vocational branches of high school in most countries • Choice typically made at ~ age 15 • This impacts on options for higher education  vocational students may not be eligible for academic study at university • Subject specialisation creates further restrictions – students who don’t specialise in science/technology may be ineligible for engineering programmes 11
  • 12. Comparison Framework High-school system: proportion of students by type 100% 80% 60% Other Vocational 40% Academic 20% 0% Belgium Finland Ireland Italy Portugal Sweden 12
  • 13. General vs. Specialised High-School Education • Many countries operate ‘track-based’ programmes for upper-secondary school – ‘Tracks’ provide specialised education within a focus area, e.g. science/technology, humanities, languages – Students specialise based on interest and/or ability • Other countries use a more general system where a broad range of subjects is offered and students may choose to study a variety of subject areas 13
  • 14. General vs. Specialised High-School Education General Track-based Belgium Ireland Italy Portugal Finland Sweden 14
  • 15. Gender and subject specialisation • Persistent gender differences in uptake of engineering-relevant subjects, especially Physics • In Ireland some technology-related subjects are not taught in all-girls schools • Research suggests causal relationship between lower % of girls specialising in Physics, Chemistry and Mathematics in high school and low numbers of female students entering engineering programmes at university 15
  • 16. Pre-university education How much exposure do students have to STEM subjects during their school careers? 16
  • 17. Time spent on Maths 17
  • 18. Time spent on Physics 18
  • 19. Time spent on Chemistry 19
  • 20. Barrier Category 2 University Entry Requirements 20
  • 21. Is entry to university restricted? (numerus clausus) Yes No Ireland Belgium Finland Portugal Italy Sweden 21
  • 22. University Admissions Does the university control student selection? 22
  • 23. Yes No Belgium Italy Finland Ireland Portugal Sweden 23
  • 24. Overview Key points: • No subject requirements set for entry in Italy and Belgium – (but all students study a core component of mathematics and science in high school) • Mathematics required in all other countries, plus Physics and Chemistry in most • Limited students eligible for entry as a result – max 12% eligible in Sweden and Ireland 24
  • 25. General University Admission Criteria • Exact criteria vary in each country • All ATTRACT countries use one, or a combination, of the following: – High school certificate exams – Grades from on-going performance at high school – University entrance exams 25
  • 26. Engineering-specific requirements • Grades in relevant subjects often required Belgium Finland Ireland Italy Portugal Sweden Maths No Yes Yes No Yes Yes Physics No Yes No Yes Yes 10% of Chemistry No Yes programmes No Yes Yes require one of these Required in Biology No No subjects No No certain programmes 26
  • 27. High-school students meeting subject-entry requirements 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Belgium Finland Ireland Italy Portugal Sweden 27
  • 28. Do entry requirements serve the intended purpose? • Correlation between prior achievement in subjects required for entry and subsequent performance in university engineering programmes (Evidence from IST and TCD) – in IST students who entered with grades lower than those now required had significant difficulty in successfully completing the programme 28
  • 29. Alternatives to Standard Entry Requirements • Alternative entry routes exist in most partner countries • Function: To facilitate access to university for non-traditional students & those not meeting standard entry requirements • Proportion of students entering via these means varies from 0% (Italy) to 29% (Sweden) 29
  • 31. Socio-economic Diversity in Engineering • Engineering courses in many countries are less accessible to students from lower socio-economic backgrounds than other fields (Eurostudent IV) • This is reflected in several ATTRACT countries – in Ireland, Sweden and Italy engineering programmes tend to be less socio-economically diverse than other programmes • In Ireland, PISA mathematics scores were significantly higher among students designated as ‘high socio- economic status’ than among others 31
  • 32. PISA – maths, science & GDP Finland Ireland USA Sweden Belgium Italy Portugal 32
  • 33. PISA – top students in maths & science “the number of students reaching level 5 or 6 in mathematics and science will be particularly important for countries wishing to create a pool of workers able to advance the frontiers of scientific and technological knowledge in the future and compete in the global economy” – OECD PISA 2009 Results Vol. 1 33
  • 34. % of Students at Level 5(6) in Maths and Science Country Maths Science Shanghai 24(26) 20(4) Finland 16(6) 15(4) Belgium 14(5) 8(2) OECD average 9(3) 7(2) Sweden 8(3) 7(1) Portugal 7(3) 3(1) Italy 7(2) 5(1) Ireland 5(1) 8(1) 34
  • 35. Data Analysis Student entry data & progression 35
  • 36. Motivation for Analysis of Student Data Is there a relationship between the existing entry requirements (barriers) and the factors that increase a student’s chance of successful progression, or are other variables more significant? 36
  • 37. Details of Analysis • Data presented on 3 partner universities: PoliTo (Italy), Trinity College (Ireland) and IST (Portugal) • Study of TCD and IST examines student background and prior educational attainment in relation to university progression • Data for PoliTo looks specifically at aptitude test scores at entry to university and credits gained during first year 37
  • 38. Data Analysis: PoliTo • Incoming students sit aptitude tests in mathematics, logic and comprehension • Results are for information purposes only, not admission selection • Strong correlation between results in these tests and credits gained during first year of study 38
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41. Data Analysis: IST • Can the information that HEIs have on new students be used to predict academic performance? • Study examined 1235 students admitted in 2004/5 41
  • 42. Dimensional Axis of Analysis Academic background Socioeconomic Motivations status and expectations family capital Contextual Factors 42
  • 43. Axis 1: Socio-economic status & family capital • Parental education level not significant • Household income: below national average corresponds to 8% increase in academic performance (typically scholarship students) • Gender: Female students 10% more likely to successfully complete studies than male 43
  • 44. Axis 2: Academic Background • Significant relationship between grades from high school and academic achievement at university (40% performance increase for every 10 points) • Having studied Physics at high school correlated with greater academic achievement at university (72% increase in probability of success) 44
  • 45. Axis 3: Student Motivation and Expectations • Students who don’t gain places in their first choice of programme experience negative impact on academic achievement (- 16%) • Students not expecting to achieve a good average in all subjects attain lower results (- 9%) • Having chosen the selected programme early corresponds to a 22% increase in pass rates 45
  • 46. Axis 4: Contextual Factors • Residential status: 17% lower academic performance for students living away from family home/usual residence • Travel time to campus found to be significant – 10% decrease in performance for those travelling over 1 hour in each direction 46
  • 47. Data Analysis: Trinity College • Similar question as in IST study: – How does available student data at time of entry correspond to performance during first year? – Can we identify those students less likely to progress to second year? • Study examined 1835 students over ten-year period (2000 – 2009) 47
  • 48. Factors Analysed • Inputs – Whether a student took a particular subject (binary) – Mark achieved in each subject (0-100) – Degree (one of two available) programme chosen (binary) – Gender (binary) – Year (have things changed over 10 year period) (1-10) – CAO mark (cumulative grade in best 6 subjects) (0-600) – Living at home (binary) • Output – Progressed to 2nd year (Binary) 48
  • 49. Sample/Notional Student Exam Results: CAO Points Mathematics – B1 85 Physics – C2 65 Irish (L) – A2 50 English – A2 90 French – C1 70 Chemistry – B3 75 Economics – B1 85 470 CAO Points total – used to allocate limited places 49
  • 50. Summary of Results • Past achievement in Mathematics confers single biggest advantage to students • Physics and Chemistry are also significant if student has scored above a certain threshold • Gender not significant among engineering cohort (contrasts with university-wide cohort among which females are significantly more likely than males to progress) 50
  • 51. Logistic Analysis of Performance Input Weighted Logistic Probability Variables Sum Function [0 / 1] [- ∞, + ∞] [0 - 1] [0 - 100] 51
  • 52. Influence of subject grade on probability of progression Exam Mark versus Effect Size 0.2 0.1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 -0.1 Accounting -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 52
  • 53.
  • 54.
  • 55. Subject Uptake 100.00% Gender Uptake of Various Subjects 90.00% 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% Female 50.00% Male 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% 55
  • 56. Relative Subject Attainment 10.00% Relative Subject Difficulty 5.00% 0.00% -5.00% -10.00% Male Female -15.00% 56
  • 57. Sample/Notional Student Exam Results: Mathematics – B1 Physics – C2 Irish (L) – A2 English – A2 French – C1 Chemistry – B3 Economics – B1 57
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64. How Effective Is This? 1 Progress 0.9 0.8 Not Progress 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 64
  • 65. How Effective Is This? 1 Progress 0.9 0.8 Not Progress 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 65
  • 66. 1 How Effective Is This? Progress 0.9 0.8 Not Progress 0.7 0.6 False Positive Rate 0.5 0.4 = 2/(2+9) 0.3 = 0.18 0.2 0.1 0 True Positive False Positive True Positive Rate = 7/(7+2) 7 2 =0.78 False Negative True Negative 2 9 66
  • 67. Receiver Operating Characteristic - Progression 1 0.9 0.8 0.7 True Positive Rate 0.6 0.5 All Factors Random 0.4 CAO CAO + Maths 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 False Positive Rate 67
  • 68. Can We Target These Students For Help? Receiver Operating Characteristic - Progression 1 0.9 0.8 True Positive False Positive 0.7 7 2 True Positive Rate 0.6 0.5 All Factors 0.4 Random 0.3 False Negative True Negative 0.2 0.1 2 9 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 False Positive Rate Progress (as before) Fail to Progress (as before) Progress as before Exposed to whatever Maybe progress? help/initiatives we put in place 68
  • 70. Developing Recommendations • No ‘one size fits all’ in terms of recommendations as existing systems and challenges faced are different in each country • Therefore each partner developed tailored recommendations for their own country • Nonetheless, certain recommendations were common to most or all partners • Aim of proposed changes is expand the numbers of motivated, qualified and suitable students applying for and taking up places in engineering programmes in our countries. 70
  • 71. Recommendations Three categories: a. Changes to admission requirements b. Structural Changes to Education System c. Socio-economic and cultural issues Relative difficulty of implementation • Easy, moderate or difficult – Varies from country to country, see report for details 71
  • 72. Recommendations (a) Changes to admission requirements Set required level of attainment in: • Mathematics • Physics and/or Chemistry 72
  • 73. Recommendations (b) Structural changes to education system • Higher level of preparation in STEM • Later ‘tracking’ of students • Higher core STEM content for all students If entry requirements in STEM subjects are increased, it will be essential to equip students to meet these standards 73
  • 74. Recommendations (c) Socio-economic and cultural issues • Need to show relevance of STEM to real life • Encourage more girls to pursue engineering • Increase participation from marginal socio- economic groups 74

Editor's Notes

  1. Justification for need to do this – refer to other sources (Eurydice, OECD, etc)