Workforce Revolution: Transforming Challenges into Opportunities

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Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Executive Director Steven Tobin was the opening keynote speaker at the 31st Annual Futures Conference hosted by First Work, discussing AI and automation.

Data & Analytics

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Workforce Revolution:
Transforming Challenges into
Opportunities
22 October 2019

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Outline
1. The labour market situation of youth in
Ontario
2. Barriers to success
3. What can we do?

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Ontario is relatively young
24% 22%
Share of the population 15-29/15+

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Unemployment rate is marginally higher
9.5% 8.5%Youth
All 5.6% 6.0%

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Especially for young men…
10.3% 8.7%

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
…and immigrants
11.1% 9.1%
Immigrant youth Non-Immigrant youth

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Non-standard employment is also slightly higher
50% 47%Youth
All 37% 37%

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Leading to lower wages and fewer hours
Standard Non-standard
Wages $23/hour $17/hour
Hours 39 hours/week 24 hours/week

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Are expectations mis-aligned?
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Ontario Canada
*Overqualified is defined as employer persons with an educational level greater than required by their current
occupation (as defined by the NOC skill level).
Share of over-qualified workers

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
There are multiple career pathways
Column1
Average earnings per hour
2018
Employment growth
2008-2018 (%)
Select Red Seal Apprentices
Rig Technician 38.9$ 38.2
Boilermaker 38.0$ 21.5
Steamfitter/Pipefitter 35.1$ 7.8
Ironworker 33.5$ 16.2
Agricultural Equipment Technician 33.0$ 32.8
Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Mechanic 32.3$ 18.7
All occupations in Canada 26.9$ 9.7

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Skills requirements: Top of mind for students
1. Skills definitions? Limited and confusing
 Multiple taxonomies (“soft skills”, “essential skills”,
“technical skills”, “transferable skills”, “hard skills”,
“STEM skills”, etc.)
2. Measurement challenges

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Multiple, often reinforcing barriers
1. 32% of female NEETs are caring for child/family member
 Women (all) are absent from work 4 times more than men for
family/personal reasons
2. Youth are often ineligible for income support
3. Lack of work experience
4. Other factors: discrimination, lack of job opportunities,
transportation, etc.

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: Better information on skills
1. Improve our understandings of how
jobs are changing through the lens of
skills
NOC

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: Helping those who help
2. Putting information into the hands of
those who help youth

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: Moving beyond socio-demographics
3. Target the disadvantage not just the
disadvantaged

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: Active and passive support
4. Mutually-supportive measures

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: Broaden our thinking about jobs
5. Measures are needed to improve
aspects of non-standard employment

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: Tell me something I didn’t know
6. Government, employers, trainers,
educators need to work together to
ensure relevance

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: People aren’t replaceable
7. Lessons of the past remain relevant,
e.g. early retirement does not create
opportunities for youth

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
What can we do: Program design
 Systematic gathering of data, including control
groups
 Impact evaluations: Beyond monitoring –
towards “what works” and in which context
 Time matters

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Conclusion
1. Youth face persistent labour market challenges
2. Better information in key areas can help – but not
sufficient
3. Improvements in support measures are needed
4. We can do better to build lessons for the future

LABOUR MARKET INFORMATION COUNCIL
CONSEIL DE L’INFORMATION SUR LE MARCHÉ DU TRAVAIL
Contact
www.lmic-cimt.ca
steven.tobin@lmic-cimt.ca
@StevenTobinLMIC

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Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Dans une présentation fondée sur l’analyse et les résultats de travaux réalisés par Kashyap Arora, Anne-Lore Fraikin et Sukriti Trehan, Kashyap a décrit diverses méthodes permettant de mesurer les tendances de la demande de main-d’œuvre à partir des offres d’emploi en ligne et les résultats préliminaires de l’analyse de données recueillies par Vicinity Jobs. Au cours de la séance de questions, le public a discuté des différences entre les tendances des offres d’emploi en ligne et les postes vacants recensés par l’Enquête sur les postes vacants et les salaires (EPVS).

Recent trends in the real wage distribution in Canada: Evidence from the Labo...

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Assessing labour demand trends through online job postings: preliminary resul...

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Labour market tightness: Here to stay?

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Michael Willcox presented on tight labour markets and how to plan for them at the Canadian Economics Association's 2023 conference. During the Q&A, audience members were particularly interested in exploring the extent of business investment in labour-saving technologies, examining policy options to address labour shortages, and understanding the crucial role that productivity plays in the mismatch between skills and job requirements.

Global Labour Organization (GLO) Global Conference: Measuring labour and skil...

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

University of Guelph: Wages, Outlooks and Skills tools

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Immigrant youth: Labour outcomes and impact of the COVID-19 pandemic

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Les promesses et limites du moissonnage du web sur les offres d’emploi

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Le resserrement du marché de l’emploi et l’avenir du travail

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

Labour market tightness and the future of work

Labour Market Information Council | Conseil de l’information sur le marché du travail

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