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Know Thy ‘Next Generation’ User:
An Empirical Perspective on Trends in Internet Use

                          William H. Dutton

                      Oxford Internet Institute (OII)
                          University of Oxford
                             www.ox.ac.uk

Presentation for the European Commission’s Internet of Services
Technical Collaboration Meeting for FP7 Projects, 28 September 2011.
User-Oriented Design


• Know Thyself

• Know Thy User

• Know Thy ‘Next Generation’ User
Oxford Internet Surveys


• 2003, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2011
• Cross-sectional Surveys versus Panels
• Multi-Stage Probability Sample
• England, Scotland & Wales
• Respondents: 14 years and older
• Face-to-face Interviews, High Response Rates
• Sponsorship for 2011 from the Nominet
  Trust, British Library, Ofcom, O2, and ITV.com
• Component of World Internet Project (WIP)
Next Generation Users by Paying for Online Services
      Next generation users                 First generation users

   100

     80

     60

     40      35


                      17               15
     20
                                                6            8              7
                                                                     5              3
      0
            Have paid for             Have paid for       Have paid for    Have paid for
          downloaded music          downloaded videos     music listened   newspapers/
                                                            to online       magazines
                                                                            read online
Current users. OxIS 2011: N=1,498
Appropriatness to Pay for Online Services by Users
and Non-Users
      Next generation users             First generation users          Non- and Ex-Users

      100


       80

       60

       40
                     30
                                21                           23
       20                                                                 15
                                            11
                                                                                        8

        0
                           Appropriate to                           Appropriate to
                          download music                            download/copy
                           without paying                         book without paying
OxIS 2011: N=2,057
Attitudes toward Privacy by Users and Non-Users
      Next generation users        First generation users   Non- and Ex-Users

      100
               90    91       91

       80
                                                      63
       60
                                              45
                                       42                                  41
       40                                                    34
                                                                   31

       20

        0
                People should          Use of computers           Use of
                protect credit            and Internet       CCTV/webcam/
                 card details          threatens privacy     security cameras
                   online                                       threatens
                                                             personal privacy
OxIS 2011: N=2,057
Next Generation Users by Willingness to
Share Private Data Online
      Next generation users              First generation users

      100

       80

       60

       40
             29
                  23      21
       20                      17   15     14                15
                                                  12   11
                                                                  8   7   6     3   4
         0
              E-mail        Full    Date of       Postal Photograph Phone     Credit card
             address       name      birth       address            number     number
Current users. OxIS 2011: N=1,498
Attitudes toward Freedom of Expression
by Users and Non-Users
                                                            Next Generation Users by Willingness to
                                   Next generationShare Private Data Online
                                                  users           First generation users                                                             Non- and Ex-Users
                                                                  Next generation users               First generation users

                                   100
 % of users who feel comfortable




                                                                  100
                                     providing these data




                                                                   80

                                   80                              60
                                                                  71
                                                                   40                                               64
                                                                         29
                                                                              23
                                   60                              20
                                                                                      21
                                                                                           17    15     14                15
                                                                                                                                                         55
                                                                                                               12   11
                                                                                                                               8   7   6     3   4
                                                                     0
                                                                          E-mail        Full    Date of        Postal Photograph Phone     Credit card
                                   40                                    address       name      birth        address            number     number
                                                            Current users. OxIS 2011: N=1,498



                                   20

                                     0
                                                                                                  People should be
                                                                                                   able to express
                                                                                                opinions anonymously
                                                                                                        online
OxIS 2011: N=2,057
Attitudes toward Freedom of Expression
by Users and Non-Users
      Next generation users   First generation users   Non- and Ex-Users

      100


       80

       60

       40              32                33
                                                           30

       20


        0
                                 Censorship has no
                                  place in a free
                                     society
OxIS 2011: N=2,057
The Global Internet Values Project*

• Collaboration of OII, INSEAD, and comScore for
  the World Economic Forum (WEF)
• Online Global Survey, English
• Completed by 5,400 Adult Internet Users
• Conducted from Oct-Nov 2010
• 13 countries: Australia/New
  Zealand, Brazil, Canada, China, France, German
  y, Italy, India, Mexico, South Africa, Spain, the
  United States, and the United Kingdom
*Dutta, S., Dutton, W. H. and Law, G. (2011), The New Internet World: A Global
Perspective on Freedom of Expression, Privacy, Trust and Security Online. New York:
The World Economic Forum, April. Available at SSRN:
http://ssrn.com/abstract=1810005
Regions as Percentage of the Worldwide Population of Users
‘Access to the Internet Should be a Fundamental Right for all People’
Support for Freedom of Expression by Level of Internet Adoption
Pattern of Findings Supporting Conception of a ‘New Internet
World’: Many Limitations
Points of Summary


• Rise of ‘Next Generation Users’ – users to
      design for

• Enduring and New Digital Divides: the Internet
     is Socially Distributed

• Europe could be the
  ‘Old Internet World’
  due to users, not the
  designers
Know Thy ‘Next Generation’ User:
An Empirical Perspective on Trends in Internet Use

                          William H. Dutton

                      Oxford Internet Institute (OII)
                          University of Oxford
                             www.ox.ac.uk

Presentation for the European Commission’s Internet of Services
Technical Collaboration Meeting for FP7 Projects, 28 September 2011.

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Willian Dutton plenary io s2011 with audio

  • 1. Know Thy ‘Next Generation’ User: An Empirical Perspective on Trends in Internet Use William H. Dutton Oxford Internet Institute (OII) University of Oxford www.ox.ac.uk Presentation for the European Commission’s Internet of Services Technical Collaboration Meeting for FP7 Projects, 28 September 2011.
  • 2. User-Oriented Design • Know Thyself • Know Thy User • Know Thy ‘Next Generation’ User
  • 3. Oxford Internet Surveys • 2003, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2011 • Cross-sectional Surveys versus Panels • Multi-Stage Probability Sample • England, Scotland & Wales • Respondents: 14 years and older • Face-to-face Interviews, High Response Rates • Sponsorship for 2011 from the Nominet Trust, British Library, Ofcom, O2, and ITV.com • Component of World Internet Project (WIP)
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Next Generation Users by Paying for Online Services Next generation users First generation users 100 80 60 40 35 17 15 20 6 8 7 5 3 0 Have paid for Have paid for Have paid for Have paid for downloaded music downloaded videos music listened newspapers/ to online magazines read online Current users. OxIS 2011: N=1,498
  • 15. Appropriatness to Pay for Online Services by Users and Non-Users Next generation users First generation users Non- and Ex-Users 100 80 60 40 30 21 23 20 15 11 8 0 Appropriate to Appropriate to download music download/copy without paying book without paying OxIS 2011: N=2,057
  • 16. Attitudes toward Privacy by Users and Non-Users Next generation users First generation users Non- and Ex-Users 100 90 91 91 80 63 60 45 42 41 40 34 31 20 0 People should Use of computers Use of protect credit and Internet CCTV/webcam/ card details threatens privacy security cameras online threatens personal privacy OxIS 2011: N=2,057
  • 17. Next Generation Users by Willingness to Share Private Data Online Next generation users First generation users 100 80 60 40 29 23 21 20 17 15 14 15 12 11 8 7 6 3 4 0 E-mail Full Date of Postal Photograph Phone Credit card address name birth address number number Current users. OxIS 2011: N=1,498
  • 18. Attitudes toward Freedom of Expression by Users and Non-Users Next Generation Users by Willingness to Next generationShare Private Data Online users First generation users Non- and Ex-Users Next generation users First generation users 100 % of users who feel comfortable 100 providing these data 80 80 60 71 40 64 29 23 60 20 21 17 15 14 15 55 12 11 8 7 6 3 4 0 E-mail Full Date of Postal Photograph Phone Credit card 40 address name birth address number number Current users. OxIS 2011: N=1,498 20 0 People should be able to express opinions anonymously online OxIS 2011: N=2,057
  • 19. Attitudes toward Freedom of Expression by Users and Non-Users Next generation users First generation users Non- and Ex-Users 100 80 60 40 32 33 30 20 0 Censorship has no place in a free society OxIS 2011: N=2,057
  • 20. The Global Internet Values Project* • Collaboration of OII, INSEAD, and comScore for the World Economic Forum (WEF) • Online Global Survey, English • Completed by 5,400 Adult Internet Users • Conducted from Oct-Nov 2010 • 13 countries: Australia/New Zealand, Brazil, Canada, China, France, German y, Italy, India, Mexico, South Africa, Spain, the United States, and the United Kingdom *Dutta, S., Dutton, W. H. and Law, G. (2011), The New Internet World: A Global Perspective on Freedom of Expression, Privacy, Trust and Security Online. New York: The World Economic Forum, April. Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1810005
  • 21. Regions as Percentage of the Worldwide Population of Users
  • 22. ‘Access to the Internet Should be a Fundamental Right for all People’
  • 23. Support for Freedom of Expression by Level of Internet Adoption
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. Pattern of Findings Supporting Conception of a ‘New Internet World’: Many Limitations
  • 27. Points of Summary • Rise of ‘Next Generation Users’ – users to design for • Enduring and New Digital Divides: the Internet is Socially Distributed • Europe could be the ‘Old Internet World’ due to users, not the designers
  • 28. Know Thy ‘Next Generation’ User: An Empirical Perspective on Trends in Internet Use William H. Dutton Oxford Internet Institute (OII) University of Oxford www.ox.ac.uk Presentation for the European Commission’s Internet of Services Technical Collaboration Meeting for FP7 Projects, 28 September 2011.