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Wicked problems and their leverage points

Aleksi Neuvonen
Demos Helsinki
www.demos.fi
aleksi.neuvonen@demos.fi
Twitter: @leksis
‣

Wicked problems and leverage points

‣

Gatekeepers as a leverage point, case Peloton
Wicked problems definition by Jeff Conklin
‣

The problem is not understood until after the formulation of a
solution.

‣

Wicked problems have no stopping rule.

‣

Solutions to wicked problems are not right or wrong.

‣

Every wicked problem is essentially novel and unique.

‣

Every solution to a wicked problem is a 'one shot operation'

‣

Wicked problems have no given alternative solutions.

‣
World3 model from The Limits to
Growth
More wealth
Enough food

More temptations
More coke

Better food
More hamburgers
More computer games
Vending machines at shools
More cars, less walking
Free upbringing
Less regulation
Stronger industry lobby
Leverage points – Places to
Intervene in a system by Donella Meadows
‣

Numbers–Constrains and parameters such as subsidies, taxes, standards

‣

Buffers–The size of stabilizing stocks relative to their flows

‣

Stock-and–flow structures–Physical Systems and their nodes of intersection

‣

Delays–The length of time relative to rates of system changes

‣

Balancing feedback Loops–The strength of the feedbacks relative to the impacts they
are trying to correct
Reinforcing feeback Loops – The strength of the of driving loops

‣
‣

Information Loops–The structure of who does and does not have access to
information

‣

Self-Organization–The power to add, change, or evolve system structure

‣

Goals–The purpose of the function of the system

‣

Paradigms–The mind-set out of which the system–its goals, structure, rules, delays,
parameters–arises

‣

Transcending Paradigms
Wicked problems
today

Leverage points operationalized

Sustainable future
Political reform, regulation, new market incentives

Wicked problems
today

Leverage points operationalized

Sustainable future
Political reform, regulation, new market incentives

Wicked problems
today

Sustainable future

Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level
Leverage points operationalized
Political reform, regulation, new market incentives

Wicked problems
today

Sustainable future
Acceptance by users

Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level
Leverage points operationalized
Case 1:

Peloton
gatekeepers example of a
systemic
intervention
task:
design a campaign To reduce
citizens' energy consumption
Result: Housing,
transport and food
related decisions make
difference
How to infulence behavior?
Where are the leverage points?
How to infulence behavior?
Where are the leverage points?
gatekeepers are key to behavior
change
‣

1) Gatekeepers define the choice environments as they transform
people s needs and desires into choices and decisions. They
enable or deny access to low-energy behavior. Peers and
professionals close to the consumer do this in terms of energyrelated practices.

‣

2) Previous research has considered legislators and green
businesses as gatekeepers for energy consumption. This view
tends to underestimate the complexity of the selling/purchasing
process with its subtle factors leading to a decision. Therefore
only a small part of energy gatekeepers have understood that
they have this role.
Peloton nudges Finns towards
energy efficient new economy
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
what were the leverage points
Peloton process reached for?
‣

Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings,
shop concepts)

‣

Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how
megatrends and policies evolve)

‣

Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new
competitive assets)

‣

Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of
delivery” (service concept)

‣

Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D
funds)

‣

Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals)

‣

Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared
value)
Wicked problems
today

Leverage points operationalized

Sustainable future
Political reform, regulation, new market incentives

Wicked problems
today

Leverage points operationalized

Sustainable future
Political reform, regulation, new market incentives

Wicked problems
today

Sustainable future

Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level
Leverage points operationalized
Political reform, regulation, new market incentives

Wicked problems
today

Sustainable future
Acceptance by users

Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level
Leverage points operationalized
Wicked problems
today

Leverage points operationalized

Sustainable future
Infrastructure for enabling sustainable lifestyles

Wicked problems
today

Leverage points operationalized

Sustainable future
Infrastructure for enabling sustainable lifestyles

Wicked problems
today

Sustainable future

Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level
Leverage points operationalized
Infrastructure for enabling sustainable lifestyles

Wicked problems
today

Sustainable future
User approval, proof of
concept for investments

Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level
Leverage points operationalized

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Wicked problems and leverage points

  • 1. Wicked problems and their leverage points Aleksi Neuvonen Demos Helsinki www.demos.fi aleksi.neuvonen@demos.fi Twitter: @leksis
  • 2. ‣ Wicked problems and leverage points ‣ Gatekeepers as a leverage point, case Peloton
  • 3. Wicked problems definition by Jeff Conklin ‣ The problem is not understood until after the formulation of a solution. ‣ Wicked problems have no stopping rule. ‣ Solutions to wicked problems are not right or wrong. ‣ Every wicked problem is essentially novel and unique. ‣ Every solution to a wicked problem is a 'one shot operation' ‣ Wicked problems have no given alternative solutions. ‣
  • 4. World3 model from The Limits to Growth
  • 5.
  • 6. More wealth Enough food More temptations More coke Better food More hamburgers More computer games Vending machines at shools More cars, less walking Free upbringing Less regulation Stronger industry lobby
  • 7. Leverage points – Places to Intervene in a system by Donella Meadows ‣ Numbers–Constrains and parameters such as subsidies, taxes, standards ‣ Buffers–The size of stabilizing stocks relative to their flows ‣ Stock-and–flow structures–Physical Systems and their nodes of intersection ‣ Delays–The length of time relative to rates of system changes ‣ Balancing feedback Loops–The strength of the feedbacks relative to the impacts they are trying to correct Reinforcing feeback Loops – The strength of the of driving loops ‣ ‣ Information Loops–The structure of who does and does not have access to information ‣ Self-Organization–The power to add, change, or evolve system structure ‣ Goals–The purpose of the function of the system ‣ Paradigms–The mind-set out of which the system–its goals, structure, rules, delays, parameters–arises ‣ Transcending Paradigms
  • 8. Wicked problems today Leverage points operationalized Sustainable future
  • 9. Political reform, regulation, new market incentives Wicked problems today Leverage points operationalized Sustainable future
  • 10. Political reform, regulation, new market incentives Wicked problems today Sustainable future Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level Leverage points operationalized
  • 11. Political reform, regulation, new market incentives Wicked problems today Sustainable future Acceptance by users Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level Leverage points operationalized
  • 12. Case 1: Peloton gatekeepers example of a systemic intervention
  • 13. task: design a campaign To reduce citizens' energy consumption
  • 14. Result: Housing, transport and food related decisions make difference
  • 15. How to infulence behavior? Where are the leverage points?
  • 16. How to infulence behavior? Where are the leverage points?
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. gatekeepers are key to behavior change ‣ 1) Gatekeepers define the choice environments as they transform people s needs and desires into choices and decisions. They enable or deny access to low-energy behavior. Peers and professionals close to the consumer do this in terms of energyrelated practices. ‣ 2) Previous research has considered legislators and green businesses as gatekeepers for energy consumption. This view tends to underestimate the complexity of the selling/purchasing process with its subtle factors leading to a decision. Therefore only a small part of energy gatekeepers have understood that they have this role.
  • 23. Peloton nudges Finns towards energy efficient new economy
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 27. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 28. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 29. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 30. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 31. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 32. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 33. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 34. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 35. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 36. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 37. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 38. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 39. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 40. what were the leverage points Peloton process reached for? ‣ Create new enabling infrastructure, alter old (services, buildings, shop concepts) ‣ Link wicked problems with everyday practices (show how megatrends and policies evolve) ‣ Create and proof economic benefits (new business, new competitive assets) ‣ Improve feed-back channels, make it ”at the point of delivery” (service concept) ‣ Revise policies to support emerging practices (regulation, R&D funds) ‣ Form new stakeholder groups (start-ups, professionals) ‣ Create new sources of motivation (employee engagement, shared value)
  • 41.
  • 42. Wicked problems today Leverage points operationalized Sustainable future
  • 43. Political reform, regulation, new market incentives Wicked problems today Leverage points operationalized Sustainable future
  • 44. Political reform, regulation, new market incentives Wicked problems today Sustainable future Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level Leverage points operationalized
  • 45. Political reform, regulation, new market incentives Wicked problems today Sustainable future Acceptance by users Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level Leverage points operationalized
  • 46. Wicked problems today Leverage points operationalized Sustainable future
  • 47. Infrastructure for enabling sustainable lifestyles Wicked problems today Leverage points operationalized Sustainable future
  • 48. Infrastructure for enabling sustainable lifestyles Wicked problems today Sustainable future Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level Leverage points operationalized
  • 49. Infrastructure for enabling sustainable lifestyles Wicked problems today Sustainable future User approval, proof of concept for investments Lifestyle changes, experiments, niche level Leverage points operationalized