The document summarizes key lessons from Nigeria's import ban on frozen poultry meat in 3 points: 1. Imports have slowed but not stopped, with an estimated 112,000 metric tons smuggled in annually. 2. Local production in Nigeria has increased since the ban but still only meets around two-thirds of demand. 3. Demand for poultry meat in Nigeria has stagnated or declined slightly, with around a third of local consumption coming from illegal imports.

1. What are the key lessons from Nigeria’s
import ban on frozen poultry meat?
Kwaw Andam
Research Fellow, IFPRI-GSSP
September 26, 2017
LABADI BEACH HOTEL, ACCRA, GHANA

2. 1. Have imports stopped (slowed)?
Smuggled into Nigeria
112,000 mt annually
(2010-2015)
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: Based on UN Comtrade (2017) data for imports, and FAO (2005)
for consumption trends for Benin. Extrapolations for Benin consumption
follow Ghana consumption trends.
Fresh, chilled, frozen
poultry meat (1,000 mt)
Imported
into Benin
Consumed
in Benin
Source: Based on UN Comtrade (2017) data
0
5
10
15
20
25
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Nigeria - official Brazil EU USA
Imports into
Nigeria (official)
Fresh, chilled, frozen
poultry meat (1,000 mt)
Exports
from EU

3. 2. Has local
production increased?
3
3. What’s happened to
demand?
Source: FAOSTAT (2017)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Benin Cameroon Ghana Nigeria
Chicken meat
(1,000 mt)
Production in Nigeria
Source: Based on data from (OECD/FAO, 2016)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Poultry meat consumption
(kg per capita)
Nigeria
SSA
Ghana

4. Summary
• Ban adopted with high political support, sustained over time, and
with supporting policies for breeds, vaccines
• Alimba, J. 2017. Ghana-Nigeria poultry sector comparative study: Political economy and policy analysis. Report
submitted to IFPRI-GSSP.
• Analysis of interviews with 148 actors shows continued broad
support but concerns about effectiveness
• Omotesho, O. A. 2017. Ghana-Nigeria poultry sector comparative study: Value chain analysis. Report submitted to
IFPRI-GSSP.
• Synthesis of reports and analysis of secondary data suggests about a
third of local consumption comes from illegal imports, and that
Nigeria has seen stagnant (declining?) demand for poultry meat
• Andam, K. S. 2017. Nigeria’s ban on poultry meat imports: Review and lessons for West African countries.
Unpublished Manuscript.