The document summarizes a presentation on assessing the global gas research and development (R&D) outlook using patent analytics. It analyzes gas-related patents from six major intellectual property offices between 2004-2014. The results show polarizing R&D landscapes across different segments of the gas chain, with exploration and production seeing disruptive growth while other segments saw more incremental advances or declining interest. Overall R&D needs to move beyond short-term drivers in exploration/production to long-term economic and social value, and increase collaboration between segments and industries to consolidate resources and shorten R&D lifecycles.
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ITRI and Greenfields Research have worked together since 2010, collaborating first on the development of the ITRI Tin Production Costs Model and more recently in surveying and analysing tin exploration and development activity worldwide.
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But how do we spot the signal from the noise? What constitutes a significant change? This depends on how we measure change which in turn depends on the measure of time we use. In scientific literature, we have limited choice – publication date (but even that is changing with wide availability of electronic pre-prints). In patent literature, publication date provides a measure of when an invention is publicly disclosed, but priority date is perhaps a truer measure of when the invention was made. And is it better to look at individual dates, or use moving windows of time?
This presentation will consider these questions using a case study approach to determine the impacts and effectiveness of the different approaches.
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ITRI is the main source of global tin industry statistical and market information, based on its networks of member companies and regular large-scale industry surveys.
In recent years it has expanded its representative office in China, giving first-hand access to the world’s largest market and producing country.
Its long history in applications technology provides unique insights into market opportunities and
substitution threats.
ITRI and Greenfields Research have worked together since 2010, collaborating first on the development of the ITRI Tin Production Costs Model and more recently in surveying and analysing tin exploration and development activity worldwide.
The completely updated mine costs model is an important building block for both these new reports, providing a guide to the long-term equilibrium price for tin (as well as the short-term floor price in times of cyclical oversupply) and allowing us to position mine projects along the future industry supply curve.
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WGC Presentation
1. 1 – 5 June 2015, Paris, France
26th World Gas Conference
Assess Global Gas R&D Outlook with Patent Analytics
Kristin Wu
Intellectual Property Academy of Singapore
2. Patent Analytics (Landscape).
• Transform bulk raw patent data into useful information for
business intelligence;
• The information generated can be used to advance
business competitiveness.
Examples of information that can be obtained by patent
landscaping:
• Identify white spaces of potential business opportunities;
• Discover players, big or small, in specific fields and find
potential collaborators;
• Get an overview of the trends of all technological sectors
and identify emerging technological areas.
2
3. Background.
3
Number of Gas-related Patents Published by the Major Five IP Offices from 2004 to 2014
Golden age for
global gas R&D
Shale gas
revolution
Decline in
gas-related
patents
4. Aim.
4
Comprehensive Quantitative Assessment
• Comprehensive quantitative assessment of the global gas R&D landscape in the past decade
(2004-2014) using patent analytics.
Characterize Stages of Development
• Characterize the stages of development of the key technologies along the entire gas chain –
exploration and production, storage, transmission, distribution, utilization – so as to access the
R&D potential of each segment in the near future.
Needs and Challenges of Global Gas R&D
• This potential is then compared against the current industry demands and expenditure in each
segment, in order to unveil the needs and challenges of global gas R&D in the next decade.
6. Data.
Database
Date of
publication
Data
coverage
No. of Gas-related
Patents
European Patent Office (EPO)
01/09/2004 –
01/09/2004
Full text 517
International Bureau of the World Intellectual Property Office (WIPO)
01/09/2004 –
01/09/2004
Full text 1,559
United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO)
01/09/2004 –
01/09/2004
Full text 1,115
Japan Patent Office (JPO)
01/09/2004 –
01/09/2004
Abstract 443
Korean Intellectual Property Office (KIPO)
01/09/2004 –
01/09/2004
Abstract 594
State Intellectual Property Office of the People’s Republic of China (SIPO)
01/09/2004 –
01/09/2004
Abstract 1,217
6
The data used in this study was extracted from the patent databases of the major
five IP offices as well as that of the International Bureau of the World Intellectual
Property Office (WIPO)
7. Classification of Technologies.
Segment Examples of Technologies Included
Exploration Seismic imaging, geological survey
Production Drilling, hydraulic stimulation, well productivity, subsea systems
Storage Underground gas storage
Transmission Pipelines, networks, compression, turbo machineries, inspection, emission reduction
Distribution Power to gas, gas chromatography, gas grids
Utilization Cogeneration, carbon footprint, natural gas vehicles, compressed natural gas, biomethane
7
For the purposes of this study, natural gas-related patents were classified according
to their relevance to each segment of the gas chain. The list is non-exhaustive.
8. Results (similarity across all the IP offices studied).
Disruptive growth
8
Exploration (USPTO) Production (USPTO)
Cycle 1 (2001-2006)
Cycle 2 (2007-2013)
Cycle 1 (2001-2006)
Cycle 2 (2007-2012)
9. Results (similarity across all the IP offices studied).
Stable phrase of technology renovation – ‘incremental advances’
9
Storage (USPTO) Transmission (USPTO)
10. Results (similarity across all the IP offices studied).
Introduction of alternative technology
10
Utilization (USPTO)Distribution (USPTO)
decline of R&D intensity
11. R&D Needs & Challenges.
Segment R&D Needs R&D Challenges
Exploration
Idea-to-profit acceleration
Open innovation
Ongoing demands for new
breakthroughs
Production
R&D gaps in water
technologies, fracturing media,
geo-characterization,
environmental assessment,
and down-hole materials and
sensors
High costs to fully commit
to and complete ever larger
R&D projects
11
Disruptive growth
12. R&D Needs & Challenges.
Segment R&D Needs R&D Challenges
Storage
Move from ‘incremental
advances’ to new innovative or
game-changing technologies
Lack of funding and priority
Transmission
Joint innovation with
closely related industries
Convergence of value
chains
12
Incremental advances
13. R&D Needs & Challenges.
Segment R&D Needs R&D Challenges
Distribution
Collaborative funding Imbalance in industry
participation
Utilization
Diversify the focus from
‘effective use” to “innovative
use”
Competing R&D interest in
substituting industries
13
Declined interest
14. Conclusions.
• Polarizing R&D landscape across the gas chain;
• Short-term drivers for R&D in gas exploration and production are ever
present; long-term drivers, including the overall economic and social value
of the industry, should also get the attention they deserve;
• R&D for gas exploration and production could easily crowd out the
resources for other segments of the gas chain. R&D in other segments −
especially in gas transmission, distribution and utilization − should therefore
work even closer with associated industries in order to share resources,
consolidate platforms, as well as to shorten their R&D lifecycles.
14
15. Contact.
Kristin Wu (Ms)
Programme Manager, IP Academy (Singapore)
DID: +65 6705 2351 Fax: +65 6221 8601
Email: Kristin_Wu@ipacademy.com.sg
Website: www.ipacademy.com.sg
Address: 51 Bras Basah Road, Manulife Center, #01-01, Singapore 189554
15
THANK YOU.
Editor's Notes
Find out the types and number of patents that were filed in your areas of interest