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1. DAILY MCX NEWSLETTER
FEB. 2014
04 - FEB.-2014
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2. BULLION:
In the absence of a true black swan, prices for gold and silver remain firmly range-bound.
However, one potential positive is the latest stable performance on recent equity volatility and a
few recent financial data releases.
Nevertheless, the price action dictated by the big commercial banks painted a huge upward
resistance at $1270 for gold and $20.60 for silver. Until these levels are breeched, the speculative
and momentum chasing community will be largely absent.
Because of the bearish options structure, precious metals investors should not be surprised if and
when we get another washout before prices move higher. At the end of the day, it is important to
remember that the success of intervention comes directly from its credibility. And this requires
that participants or investors be convinced that the lender of last resort is always ahead of the
game.
BASE METAL:
Aluminium use was so far restricted to use in low-volume luxury and sports car models but with
the F-150, Ford is taking it to bringing it to mainstream, Automotive News commented. F-150 has
450 kg of aluminium, nearly three times the current average aluminium vehicle content.
Barclays in a report pointed out that aluminium could face the biggest market deficit in 2014 and
aluminium substitution in automobiles is also gaining momentum. Automotive industry accounts
for 40% of the end demand for aluminium.
ENERGY:
Gross withdrawals of natural gas in the Lower-48 rose 1.13 Bcf/d, to 75.95 Bcf/d, in November 2013,
according to the latest EIA Monthly Natural Gas Gross Production Report. This sets a new record for
lower-48 output. The reported production growth fell slightly short of pipeline flow estimates,
which had pointed to a 1.5 Bcf/d increase, according to a Barclays report.
The bulk of the growth came from Other States, where production had an equivalent 1.13 Bcf/d rise
from October levels. Other States include the Marcellus shale in Pennsylvania, where producers
connected numerous recently completed wells to several newly constructed pipelines that started
operation in November.
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3. BULLION
GOLD (5 MAR.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 29150, 29300
: - 28800, 28600
: - BUY ON DIPS
SILVER (5 MAR.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 44150, 44500
: - 43600, 43200
: - BUY ON DIPS
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4. ENERGY
CRUDEOIL (19 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 6125, 6180
: - 6055, 6000
: - SELL ON HIGH
NATURAL GAS (25 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 315.00, 322.30
: - 304.60, 300.00
: - BUY ON DIPS
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5. BASE METAL
COPPER (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 446.00, 448.00
: - 442.80, 440.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
LEAD (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 131.50, 132.50
: - 130.00, 129.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
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6. ZINC (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 123.80, 124.80
: - 122.00, 121.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
ALUMINUM (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - CONSOLIDATE
: - 104.70, 105.80
: - 103.00, 102.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
NICKEL (28 FEB.)
OUTLOOK:
TREND
RESISTANCE
SUPPORT
STRATEGY
: - BEARISH
: - 878.00, 885.00
: - 865.00, 850.00
: - SELL ON HIGH
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7. GOLD
SILVER
COPPER
CRUDEOIL
PALLANDIUM
PLATINUM
USDINR
EURUSD
USDJPY
USDCHF
GBPUSD
USDCAD
1257.18
19.356
3.181
96.56
700.50
1381.00
63.0650
01.3510
101.196
00.9026
01.6303
01.1088
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