Weekly Analysis Report 29 June - 03 July, 2020TPGlobalFX
The document provides a weekly summary and forecast of global economic indicators and currency markets from June 29th to July 3rd. Some key points:
- The global economy is expected to contract significantly in 2020 with rising public debt levels as governments increase emergency spending.
- Most currency markets are forecasted to remain in downtrends according to technical analysis, except for USDCAD which is in an uptrend. Price targets and buy/sell levels are given for major currency pairs.
- Gold prices are predicted to continue their upward trend and may reach new highs by the end of the year.
- Key economic data releases and central bank speeches are highlighted that could impact currencies, especially the US dollar.
- The document analyzes the global economic and market outlook for the week of June 15-19, 2020.
- It discusses recent economic data releases in major economies like the US, Eurozone, UK, and others. It also covers upcoming key economic reports and central bank meetings.
- The technical analysis section provides trading forecasts and entry/exit levels for major currency pairs, gold, and crude oil based on chart indicators and patterns. Positional trades are recommended due to the higher timeframes analyzed.
The US dollar may be bottoming based on several factors:
1) Valuation measures like the Big Mac Index and OECD measures imply the dollar is undervalued by 30-35%
2) Increases in US oil and gas production from shale could reduce US imports and improve the trade balance by a third
3) A turnaround in US economic confidence and growth could support a rise in the dollar through upward revisions to interest rate expectations
3 Jan 2009: a bottom in breakevens, commodities, and global yields?Laeeth Isharc
The response of the authorities has been without precedent - the US has a new president, and perhaps confidence in the new administration may stave off the worst consequences of the epidemic contagion of fear - for now, at least. It is certain that for the time being we shall avoid the 29-33 collapse that was associated with every sovereign issuer in Europe except Britain, and much of Latin America and Asia defaulting as well as large numbers of banks in the US (in the days before deposit insurance).
The stock market has surged despite a struggling real economy, due to optimism around vaccines, big tech companies' dominance, and monetary policy support. However, this disconnect may not always support gold prices. While high inflation expectations and money supply growth could lead to longer-term stagflation, supporting gold, a stock market decline caused by tighter monetary policy may hurt gold as well. The impact on gold depends on the underlying reasons for any shifts in stock valuations or monetary conditions.
Weekly Analysis Report 29 June - 03 July, 2020TPGlobalFX
The document provides a weekly summary and forecast of global economic indicators and currency markets from June 29th to July 3rd. Some key points:
- The global economy is expected to contract significantly in 2020 with rising public debt levels as governments increase emergency spending.
- Most currency markets are forecasted to remain in downtrends according to technical analysis, except for USDCAD which is in an uptrend. Price targets and buy/sell levels are given for major currency pairs.
- Gold prices are predicted to continue their upward trend and may reach new highs by the end of the year.
- Key economic data releases and central bank speeches are highlighted that could impact currencies, especially the US dollar.
- The document analyzes the global economic and market outlook for the week of June 15-19, 2020.
- It discusses recent economic data releases in major economies like the US, Eurozone, UK, and others. It also covers upcoming key economic reports and central bank meetings.
- The technical analysis section provides trading forecasts and entry/exit levels for major currency pairs, gold, and crude oil based on chart indicators and patterns. Positional trades are recommended due to the higher timeframes analyzed.
The US dollar may be bottoming based on several factors:
1) Valuation measures like the Big Mac Index and OECD measures imply the dollar is undervalued by 30-35%
2) Increases in US oil and gas production from shale could reduce US imports and improve the trade balance by a third
3) A turnaround in US economic confidence and growth could support a rise in the dollar through upward revisions to interest rate expectations
3 Jan 2009: a bottom in breakevens, commodities, and global yields?Laeeth Isharc
The response of the authorities has been without precedent - the US has a new president, and perhaps confidence in the new administration may stave off the worst consequences of the epidemic contagion of fear - for now, at least. It is certain that for the time being we shall avoid the 29-33 collapse that was associated with every sovereign issuer in Europe except Britain, and much of Latin America and Asia defaulting as well as large numbers of banks in the US (in the days before deposit insurance).
The stock market has surged despite a struggling real economy, due to optimism around vaccines, big tech companies' dominance, and monetary policy support. However, this disconnect may not always support gold prices. While high inflation expectations and money supply growth could lead to longer-term stagflation, supporting gold, a stock market decline caused by tighter monetary policy may hurt gold as well. The impact on gold depends on the underlying reasons for any shifts in stock valuations or monetary conditions.
Value investors in Europe have outperformed in the last two years compared to the US, which is unusual. This is because the improving European economy contrasted with a disappointing US economy. As a result, investors favored growth stocks in the US and value stocks in Europe, leading to divergence in valuation spreads between the two regions. Looking forward, the document argues that leading indicators now point to better conditions for value stocks, including increased inflation expectations and a positive economic surprise index. Valuation spreads remain high in the US, signaling potential for value stocks to rebound there as well as in Europe.
This document discusses potential scenarios in the ongoing "currency wars" and their effects on currencies and markets. It analyzes factors like the Fed's interest rate decisions, Brexit, and a potential Chinese yuan devaluation crisis.
The good scenario has the Fed continuing its dovish policy, boosting equities. The bad scenario involves Brexit negatively impacting European currencies and regional stocks. The ugly scenario is a Chinese yuan devaluation triggering a new Asian currency crisis with global spillovers, causing stocks and commodities to plunge while the USD surges.
This document discusses China's economic troubles in 2015 and provides three scenarios for how events may unfold:
1) A "good" soft landing scenario where China's GDP remains above 7% despite a market hiccup.
2) A "bad" scenario where a Shanghai stock market crash occurs but has limited global impact.
3) An "ugly" scenario where China's "triple bubble" of debt, investments, and real estate pops, leading to China's first recession since 1980 and dragging down global growth.
The document discusses the potential exit of Greece from the Eurozone (#Grexit). It provides an overview of the political situation in Greece and Europe, as well as the potential economic impacts on Europe from a Greek exit. Scenarios for what a "dysfunctional Europe" could look like going forward are also presented, ranging from the European Central Bank's quantitative easing being successful, to peripheral European countries struggling, to a full-blown recession in Europe. Key takeaways are that the ECB's bond purchasing helps control borrowing costs for peripheral countries, European equity markets are impacted by Greece but not the US market, and a European recession could postpone anticipated US interest rate hikes.
Fasanara Capital Investment Outlook | February 1st 2015
1. Seismic Activity On The Rise
2. No Volatility No Gain
3. The Role Of Optionality
4. Crystal Ball
5. Deflation Is A Multi-Year Process
6. Three Big Trades for 2015
Central bank policy is proving increasingly ineffective, and now Europe and Japan have turned to negative rates. What's the impact on the US if the Fed must resort to similar measures?
- Tensions with Russia over Ukraine are seen as transitory but could cause market volatility in the near-term. Deflation in Europe is viewed as a more structural issue that will affect markets for the long-term.
- The ECB is expected to take a three step approach - enhancing terms for T-LTROs, finalizing stress tests, and delivering their own version of quantitative easing.
- Three top investment opportunities are seen in European deflation trades benefiting from ECB action, peripheral European equity with upside from an inflated bubble, and Japanese equity benefiting from further stimulus.
Tier one data key with dollar strength setting up again Hantec Markets
A clutch of tier one data will enable traders to take a view on the path of US rate cuts for the remainder of the year. The US dollar remains a key outperformer of the major currencies and we consider the impact across forex, equities and commodities. We also look into key Brexit developments.
This document provides market updates and scenarios related to the decline in crude oil prices. It discusses three phases of the oil crash, compares the current decline to past crashes, and analyzes the impact on the energy sector, US and global economies. Key risks discussed are an energy sector bankruptcy wave, a tech sector reality check leading to further declines, and the potential for a Chinese recession causing broader impact. The document concludes that Russia faces the most default risk from cheap oil, while a Chinese recession would have greater downside impact on the US than cheap oil alone.
Webinar with Saxo Bank Chief Economist and CIO, Steen JakobsenNaomi Foster
This document summarizes a webinar presented by Steen Jakobsen, Chief Economist and CIO of Saxo Bank. The webinar covered macroeconomic topics including deflation risks in Australia, low growth in Europe, and predictions for interest rates and currencies in 2015-2016. It also provided investment recommendations to be long US fixed income, short the Australian dollar and BRICS currencies, and neutral on equities with a 25% allocation. Key predictions included recession in Germany and a near-recession in the US, as well as a peak in the US dollar in 2014 and its subsequent secular weakening.
US Fed rate hike in September 2015: Who will be the top 4 winners and losers?Aranca
The much hyped US Fed rate hike likely to be in September 2015 will mark the end of an era of free money. While it brings the good news that the most powerful economy of the world is back on track and can sustain a rate hike, there may be certain repercussions for the global markets. Here’s our take on who may win, and who may lose.
This summary provides an overview of key events that affected global equity markets over the past two weeks:
- Global equity markets posted decent returns in January after struggling in 2014, while the US market fell, possibly indicating mean reversion.
- Central banks continued expanding their balance sheets through quantitative easing (QE) programs, with the ECB announcing a larger than expected €60B per month bond purchasing program until at least September 2016.
- The ECB's negative interest rates and bond purchasing are intended to drive investors into riskier assets, though political issues like Greece's election could disrupt markets.
ECB and a new UK Prime Minister key this weekHantec Markets
As the FOMC moves into the blackout period, the dovish extent of policy makers is a key question that traders are grappling with. The ECB is first up this week and is likely to be a key driver for markets this week. Brexit is also key with a new Prime Minister for the UK to be announced. We look at the impact on forex, equities and commodities.
The magnificienty 7 and equity markets review 8Markets Beyond
The April-July 15% equity markets correction did breach the year low but quickly rebounded. Despite muted economic news, no double deep is expected to take shape.
Continue investing in high yielding securities / net cash companies with strong franchise and selected stocks in fast growth economies.
US inflation in focus with bond markets increasingly keyHantec Markets
There has been a significant shift in the outlook on bond markets and this is impacting across asset classes. How this plays out in the coming days could be key for the medium term outlook. Focus is on US inflation data this week. We consider the outlook on forex, equities and commodities markets.
The document provides a daily summary of economic indicators and currency forecasts:
- Japan's average cash earnings remained steady at 0.7% year-over-year while the Eurogroup was meeting. The UK's current account and final GDP both released figures slightly improved from previous estimates.
- Several other economic news were noted including a rise in euro volatility, a dip in Belgian CPI, an increase in Japanese retail sales, and China cutting interest rates after a stock market slump.
- Technical analyses were provided for various currency pairs, noting the GBPINR opened higher and could become active above 101.0000.
The document analyzes 7 indicators of the equity markets and finds that 6 are positive and 1 is neutral. These indicators suggest the recovery in equity markets is continuing. However, the conclusion is ambivalent as signs in Europe are deteriorating while the US sees improving economic news, and there remain strong headwinds such as high unemployment and growing public debt. No central bank tightening is expected soon due to ongoing deflationary pressures.
Value investors in Europe have outperformed in the last two years compared to the US, which is unusual. This is because the improving European economy contrasted with a disappointing US economy. As a result, investors favored growth stocks in the US and value stocks in Europe, leading to divergence in valuation spreads between the two regions. Looking forward, the document argues that leading indicators now point to better conditions for value stocks, including increased inflation expectations and a positive economic surprise index. Valuation spreads remain high in the US, signaling potential for value stocks to rebound there as well as in Europe.
This document discusses potential scenarios in the ongoing "currency wars" and their effects on currencies and markets. It analyzes factors like the Fed's interest rate decisions, Brexit, and a potential Chinese yuan devaluation crisis.
The good scenario has the Fed continuing its dovish policy, boosting equities. The bad scenario involves Brexit negatively impacting European currencies and regional stocks. The ugly scenario is a Chinese yuan devaluation triggering a new Asian currency crisis with global spillovers, causing stocks and commodities to plunge while the USD surges.
This document discusses China's economic troubles in 2015 and provides three scenarios for how events may unfold:
1) A "good" soft landing scenario where China's GDP remains above 7% despite a market hiccup.
2) A "bad" scenario where a Shanghai stock market crash occurs but has limited global impact.
3) An "ugly" scenario where China's "triple bubble" of debt, investments, and real estate pops, leading to China's first recession since 1980 and dragging down global growth.
The document discusses the potential exit of Greece from the Eurozone (#Grexit). It provides an overview of the political situation in Greece and Europe, as well as the potential economic impacts on Europe from a Greek exit. Scenarios for what a "dysfunctional Europe" could look like going forward are also presented, ranging from the European Central Bank's quantitative easing being successful, to peripheral European countries struggling, to a full-blown recession in Europe. Key takeaways are that the ECB's bond purchasing helps control borrowing costs for peripheral countries, European equity markets are impacted by Greece but not the US market, and a European recession could postpone anticipated US interest rate hikes.
Fasanara Capital Investment Outlook | February 1st 2015
1. Seismic Activity On The Rise
2. No Volatility No Gain
3. The Role Of Optionality
4. Crystal Ball
5. Deflation Is A Multi-Year Process
6. Three Big Trades for 2015
Central bank policy is proving increasingly ineffective, and now Europe and Japan have turned to negative rates. What's the impact on the US if the Fed must resort to similar measures?
- Tensions with Russia over Ukraine are seen as transitory but could cause market volatility in the near-term. Deflation in Europe is viewed as a more structural issue that will affect markets for the long-term.
- The ECB is expected to take a three step approach - enhancing terms for T-LTROs, finalizing stress tests, and delivering their own version of quantitative easing.
- Three top investment opportunities are seen in European deflation trades benefiting from ECB action, peripheral European equity with upside from an inflated bubble, and Japanese equity benefiting from further stimulus.
Tier one data key with dollar strength setting up again Hantec Markets
A clutch of tier one data will enable traders to take a view on the path of US rate cuts for the remainder of the year. The US dollar remains a key outperformer of the major currencies and we consider the impact across forex, equities and commodities. We also look into key Brexit developments.
This document provides market updates and scenarios related to the decline in crude oil prices. It discusses three phases of the oil crash, compares the current decline to past crashes, and analyzes the impact on the energy sector, US and global economies. Key risks discussed are an energy sector bankruptcy wave, a tech sector reality check leading to further declines, and the potential for a Chinese recession causing broader impact. The document concludes that Russia faces the most default risk from cheap oil, while a Chinese recession would have greater downside impact on the US than cheap oil alone.
Webinar with Saxo Bank Chief Economist and CIO, Steen JakobsenNaomi Foster
This document summarizes a webinar presented by Steen Jakobsen, Chief Economist and CIO of Saxo Bank. The webinar covered macroeconomic topics including deflation risks in Australia, low growth in Europe, and predictions for interest rates and currencies in 2015-2016. It also provided investment recommendations to be long US fixed income, short the Australian dollar and BRICS currencies, and neutral on equities with a 25% allocation. Key predictions included recession in Germany and a near-recession in the US, as well as a peak in the US dollar in 2014 and its subsequent secular weakening.
US Fed rate hike in September 2015: Who will be the top 4 winners and losers?Aranca
The much hyped US Fed rate hike likely to be in September 2015 will mark the end of an era of free money. While it brings the good news that the most powerful economy of the world is back on track and can sustain a rate hike, there may be certain repercussions for the global markets. Here’s our take on who may win, and who may lose.
This summary provides an overview of key events that affected global equity markets over the past two weeks:
- Global equity markets posted decent returns in January after struggling in 2014, while the US market fell, possibly indicating mean reversion.
- Central banks continued expanding their balance sheets through quantitative easing (QE) programs, with the ECB announcing a larger than expected €60B per month bond purchasing program until at least September 2016.
- The ECB's negative interest rates and bond purchasing are intended to drive investors into riskier assets, though political issues like Greece's election could disrupt markets.
ECB and a new UK Prime Minister key this weekHantec Markets
As the FOMC moves into the blackout period, the dovish extent of policy makers is a key question that traders are grappling with. The ECB is first up this week and is likely to be a key driver for markets this week. Brexit is also key with a new Prime Minister for the UK to be announced. We look at the impact on forex, equities and commodities.
The magnificienty 7 and equity markets review 8Markets Beyond
The April-July 15% equity markets correction did breach the year low but quickly rebounded. Despite muted economic news, no double deep is expected to take shape.
Continue investing in high yielding securities / net cash companies with strong franchise and selected stocks in fast growth economies.
US inflation in focus with bond markets increasingly keyHantec Markets
There has been a significant shift in the outlook on bond markets and this is impacting across asset classes. How this plays out in the coming days could be key for the medium term outlook. Focus is on US inflation data this week. We consider the outlook on forex, equities and commodities markets.
The document provides a daily summary of economic indicators and currency forecasts:
- Japan's average cash earnings remained steady at 0.7% year-over-year while the Eurogroup was meeting. The UK's current account and final GDP both released figures slightly improved from previous estimates.
- Several other economic news were noted including a rise in euro volatility, a dip in Belgian CPI, an increase in Japanese retail sales, and China cutting interest rates after a stock market slump.
- Technical analyses were provided for various currency pairs, noting the GBPINR opened higher and could become active above 101.0000.
The document analyzes 7 indicators of the equity markets and finds that 6 are positive and 1 is neutral. These indicators suggest the recovery in equity markets is continuing. However, the conclusion is ambivalent as signs in Europe are deteriorating while the US sees improving economic news, and there remain strong headwinds such as high unemployment and growing public debt. No central bank tightening is expected soon due to ongoing deflationary pressures.
- The document provides a weekly market summary and forecast for the period of June 8-12, 2020.
- It summarizes recent economic data from the US, Eurozone, UK, Germany and highlights a strong rebound in US job growth in May.
- The upcoming week is highlighted by the US FOMC meeting and interest rate decision. Technical analysis forecasts are given for major currency pairs and gold, identifying support and resistance levels.
- Charts from the previous week are reviewed showing currency trades and profits made based on the previous weekly forecast.
- The document provides an economic and market summary for the week of May 18-22, 2020. It discusses developments in major economies like the US, China, Japan, Germany, and others. It also analyzes currency pairs, gold, and crude oil based on technical indicators and provides buy/sell levels for the upcoming week. Charts are presented on the AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDJPY, XAUUSD currency pairs to supplement the technical analysis. Readers are advised to consider fundamental events and manage risk by keeping stop losses and take profits close.
- US and European stock futures fell, along with Asian markets, due to concerns about global growth and the outcome of Greece's debt restructuring negotiations.
- European stocks dropped as a report showed the eurozone economy contracted 0.3% in Q4. Banks and resource stocks declined.
- Private investors holding about 20% of Greek bonds eligible for restructuring have agreed to participate in the debt swap, which aims to cut Greece's debt by over 50% and help secure its bailout.
- Asian stocks fell sharply led by mining companies, following global markets lower on growth worries. The Hang Seng dropped 2.2% while Japan's Nikkei shed 0.6%.
Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 03 june 2013Epic Daily Report
The Euro fell below 1.30 against the US Dollar following comments from ECB's Visco that the central bank is ready to intervene again on rates and consider all measures to maintain current credit conditions. Eurozone inflation for May came in at 1.4%, below the ECB's 2.0% target, and the unemployment rate was at a record high of 12.2%. The document provides analysis of hourly charts for EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, EURGBP and the USD Index, and includes trading tips and a economic calendar of upcoming data releases.
- U.S. stock index futures pointed higher ahead of the Fed decision, while European and Asian markets closed mixed.
- Many retail experts have predicted the demise of Sears Canada for over a decade as its sales decline, and it issued a warning about its ability to continue as a going concern.
- Panera Bread expects digital sales including online, mobile and kiosk orders to pass $1 billion annually this year and double to $2 billion by 2019 as digital ordering pays off for the company.
Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 29 may 2013Epic Daily Report
The document provides a daily forex report with the following key points:
- The US dollar clings to support but downside risks remain as traders look to upcoming US consumer confidence data for cues on the outlook for Fed policy.
- The Japanese yen declined against major counterparts overnight without a clear catalyst, suggesting the movement was a correction after three days of consecutive gains.
- Technical analyses are provided for various currency pairs, including signals that the EURUSD and USDJPY trends remain bullish in the near term.
The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides summaries of key news headlines impacting global markets and technical analysis on various currency pairs. On the Asian markets bulletin, the US dollar strengthened after hawkish comments from Fed Chair Powell at Jackson Hole indicating further aggressive rate hikes. Asian stock markets declined while gold hovered around $1,722. The technical analysis sections provide overview of trends, moving averages, and trade ideas for currency pairs such as AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD based on daily and hourly charts. Key economic indicators and events are also summarized.
The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides technical analysis on various currency pairs including AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. Key technical indicators like moving averages, RSI levels, and Fibonacci retracement levels are examined on H1 charts to identify potential buy and sell trade ideas and support and resistance levels. Economic data from countries like New Zealand, UK, Japan, Australia are also mentioned. Upcoming key economic indicators from Germany and the US are listed. Major FX pairs are noted to be trading higher due to the rising US Dollar index.
- US and European stock futures fell, along with Asian markets, as concerns over global growth and the outcome of Greece's debt swap weighed on investor sentiment.
- European stocks dropped with banks and resources stocks declining the most. Eurozone GDP contracted 0.3% in Q4 according to a report.
- Private investors holding about 20% of Greek bonds eligible for the debt swap have agreed to participate so far. The swap aims to reduce Greece's debt by over 50% and help secure its second bailout.
- Financial markets have absorbed some of the monetary policy tightening to date due to starting from an accommodative point and factors like a weaker sterling.
- When inflation expectations become more backward-looking, inflation becomes more persistent and output losses more extreme. Monetary policy also becomes less effective at bringing inflation back to target.
- For monetary policy to be effective at stabilizing the economy and achieving its 2% inflation target, it may need to remain tight for an extended period. Not remaining sufficiently tight risks high inflation and lower economic activity as tighter policy would have to be maintained for longer in the future.
Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 20 may 2013Epic Daily Report
The document is a daily forex report that includes:
- Analysis of currency movements and trading tips for EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD.
- Charts and technical analysis of various currency pairs.
- A calendar of important economic data and events being released over the next few days.
Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 16 may 2013Epic Daily Report
The document provides a daily forex report with the following key points:
- The British Pound rallied after the Bank of England raised its growth forecast for the UK and supported the inflation-targeting framework.
- Technical analysis is provided for the EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD currency pairs, with buy and sell signals.
- An economic calendar lists numerous upcoming economic data releases and forecasts for various countries.
The document provides a daily market insight and analysis of various currency pairs and gold. It includes the economic calendar for the day, then analyzes the trends and provides trading strategies for AUD/USD, NZD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD, USD/CHF and gold. For each asset, it provides indicators, charts, outlook and buy or sell entries with targets and stop losses. The overall assessment is for a neutral outlook and trading opportunities across many major currency pairs and gold.
- US stock futures pointed higher ahead of the open as technology stocks attempt to rebound from recent declines.
- Most Asian markets closed cautiously higher after the Bank of Japan kept policy unchanged, while European markets were up as well as investors focused on wider political events.
- Among company headlines, Verizon expects a $500 million charge related to its Yahoo acquisition, while GE's large pension shortfall will be a challenge for its new CEO. Facebook is also starting to finance original video content for its platform.
Global financial markets are facing tightening conditions and high debt levels that could test financial sector resilience. Major developments include rising commodity prices contributing to higher inflation, tightening monetary policies leading to higher bond yields, and substantial corrections in equity prices. These conditions are spreading credit risk across markets, with deteriorating conditions in corporate bond, real estate, and bank markets. Going forward, refinancing risks may increase for highly indebted sovereigns and corporations. Tightening financial conditions could also increase risks for leveraged capital markets and household debtors, posing challenges for financial system resilience.
We believe that volatility is expected to prevail as the world comes to terms with the evolving COVID-19 situation & its economic fallout. Investors must embrace volatility & be cognizant of their asset allocation while invest.
Similar to Weekly Analysis Report 22 - 26 June, 2020 (20)
The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that provides key economic indicators, headlines, and technical analysis summaries for various currency pairs. It includes the following:
- Recap of Asian markets and key economic data releases from New Zealand, Japan, and Peru.
- Summaries of geopolitical and economic news headlines from sources like Reuters.
- Upcoming major economic indicator releases from Germany, Spain, the Eurozone, and the US.
- Technical analysis charts and trade ideas for currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD based on Fibonacci levels, pivots, and moving averages.
The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX on September 1st, 2022. It includes key headlines from Asia regarding weak manufacturing data from Australia and China. It also notes the Japanese yen hitting its lowest level since 1998 against the US dollar. The report analyzes technical indicators and provides trade ideas for major FX pairs including AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. It concludes with a calendar of upcoming key economic indicators from around the world.
The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX. It includes key economic data and indicators from Asia and other regions. It also provides technical analysis and trading ideas for various currency pairs such as AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. Upcoming major economic indicators are also listed.
This daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides technical analysis and commentary on various currency pairs including AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. Key details from the document include:
- Technical analysis indicators like trends, moving averages, and RSI levels are mentioned for each currency pair on the H1 timeframe.
- Pivot point resistance and support levels are identified.
- Trading ideas with entry, take profit, and stop loss levels are suggested for some currency pairs.
- Economic indicators and events from various countries are listed.
- Major currency pair trends and intraday highs/lows are noted.
The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides an overview of recent economic indicators and developments in global markets. Key points include: Japanese yen weakened against the dollar despite higher Tokyo CPI data; most Asian stock markets rose on hopes of progress in China-US audit deal; oil prices rose on signs of improving fuel demand but gains were capped awaiting a speech from the Fed chair. Technical analyses are also provided for major currency pairs such as AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, and USD/JPY.
The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides the following:
- An overview of Asian markets with the US dollar trading slightly lower ahead of US GDP and Jackson Hole data.
- Key headlines on economic data releases and company news from around the world.
- Technical analysis on major currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD.
- Most Asian stock markets were in the green while the US dollar index inched lower.
- Investors are awaiting speeches at the Jackson Hole symposium this week for cues on the Federal Reserve's rate hike outlook.
The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX on 24 August 2022. It includes key headlines from news sources on global economic and financial market developments. Technical analysis is given for several currency pairs, including buy and sell levels. Upcoming US economic data releases on durable goods orders and pending home sales are also noted, along with no major economic events scheduled for the day. Gold prices are analyzed and seen stabilizing below $1750 ahead of US data releases.
The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX. It includes key headlines on economic indicators, stock market performance, commodity prices, and currency movements. Technical analysis is also provided for major currency pairs such as AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. The report finds most major currency pairs are currently in a bearish trend against the strengthening US dollar. Upcoming economic data from Europe and the US, including flash PMIs, are also summarized and may impact currency movements.
The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX on the FX markets and key economic indicators. It includes technical analysis and commentary on various currency pairs including AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. The analysis indicates bearish trends for most major currency pairs in the near term based on charts and technical indicators. It also summarizes recent economic news and headlines from around the world that may impact currency movements.
The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides technical analysis and commentary on various currency pairs and gold. It summarizes the previous day's economic data releases from countries like New Zealand, the UK, and Japan. It also shares key headlines from news sources like Reuters. Charts and indicators are used to identify trends and potential trade opportunities for the AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD currency pairs over a 1-hour time frame. Upcoming economic indicators and major events are also listed.
The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides an overview of recent economic data and events from Asia and around the world. Key points include mixed Australian employment data, most Asian stock markets trading lower, and inflation concerns continuing in Western markets. Technical analyses are given for various currency pairs, including bearish short-term outlooks for AUD/USD, EUR/USD, and GBP/USD, while USD/CAD and USD/JPY are seen as bullish. Upcoming economic indicators are also listed.
The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that includes:
- Commentary on the strengthening of the New Zealand dollar after the RBNZ interest rate hike and Asian stock markets trading in the green.
- Key economic indicator data from countries like Japan, Australia, and New Zealand.
- Analysis of major currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD against the daily technical indicators.
The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides an overview of recent economic indicators and events from Asia and around the world. It analyzes key currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD (gold). Technical indicators suggest down trends for most major pairs in the near term. The report provides trade ideas and levels to watch for potential buy and sell opportunities over the next 24 hours. Upcoming economic data releases from countries like the UK, Eurozone, Canada, and US are also highlighted.
The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that includes:
- Key Asian market performances and economic data releases from countries like New Zealand, UK, Japan, and China.
- Commentary on major currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD. Technical analyses identify short term trends and support and resistance levels.
- Upcoming key economic indicators from Germany, Switzerland, Canada, and the US.
- Brief summaries of recent geopolitical news headlines from countries like Israel, Russia, South Korea, China, the US, and North Korea.
The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that includes:
- Key economic indicators and events from various countries around the world
- Commentary on movements in major currency pairs like AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD
- Technical analysis on the above currency pairs providing trading ideas based on support and resistance levels and trends
- A reminder that trading currencies and commodities involves risk and investors should only trade with money they can afford to lose
The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX, including:
- An overview of currency movements and stock markets in Asia
- Key economic indicators and events from various countries
- Technical analysis and trade ideas for several currency pairs, including buy/sell levels and trends
- A disclaimer about the risks of trading forex and CFDs
The daily analysis report from TP Global FX provides a summary of Asian markets and the latest economic indicators and news. Key points include Japan and China's PPI and CPI coming in lower than expected, Asian stock markets declining, and the dollar steadying as investors await the upcoming US inflation report. Technical analysis is also given on various currency pairs, including support and resistance levels as well as buy and sell recommendations. The report concludes with a disclaimer about the risks of forex trading.
The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX with the following key points:
- The US dollar moves within tight boundaries against major currencies and Asian stock markets are higher while gold remains supported below $1,790.
- Several economic indicators from the UK, Japan, Australia, and US are reported on.
- Technical analysis is provided for major currency pairs AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD, noting current trends and resistance/support levels.
- The economic calendar for the day is empty and no key events are scheduled.
The document is a daily analysis report from TP Global FX that provides technical analysis and trade ideas for several currency pairs and gold:
- The Japanese yen remained stable despite strong economic data, while Asian stock markets were mixed.
- Technical analysis indicates down trends for EUR/USD, GBP/USD and gold on the hourly chart, but up trends for AUD/USD, USD/CAD and USD/JPY.
- Buy and sell signals are given for each asset based on hourly price levels and moving averages.
The document provides a daily analysis report from TP Global FX including:
- Key Asian market indicators and economic data from Australia, Japan, UK, and Europe
- Updates on geopolitical and health issues like monkeypox and the Ukraine conflict
- Overview of major currency pairs and technical analysis for AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, and XAU/USD
- A look ahead at key economic indicator releases from Germany, UK, France, Italy, Canada, US, and more
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3. ECONOMY-GLOBAL
Wreckage of Global Economy Now
Looks Even Worse to IMF: Eco Week
“Great Lockdown” caused by the
coronavirus would force a global
contraction of 3% this year.
Source:Bloomberg
4. ECONOMY-USA
In the U.S., investors will be watching several
reports, including May new-home sales,
durable goods orders and personal
spending, to help them fine-tune their
second-quarter GDP estimates.
Source:Bloomberg
7. ECONOMY-USA
Retail Sales – UP…
The 17.7% advance from the prior month,
to $485 billion in receipts, was the biggest gain
in data going back to 1992, following
unprecedented declines in the prior two months.
Source:Bloomberg
8. ECONOMY-EURO
Banks Snap Up $1.5Trillion of ECB’s Cheap Loans
An offer for its ultra-cheap, three-year loans was taken up by 742 banks for a total of 1.31 trillion euros
($1.5 trillion) onThursday.That’s in line with predictions of 1.2 trillion to 1.5 trillion euros.
Demand Supply Matches….
Source:Bloomberg
9. ECONOMY-UK
Bank of England Prepares Its Next Act in Saving of U.K. Economy
Source:Bloomberg
10. ECONOMY-GOLD
Gold FuturesTrend ….BeWatchful for 2
Factors
US Dollar
For one, the US dollar could take a big hit as the
government continues to add to an unprecedented
budget deficit, the Fed piles on more trillions to its
balance sheet, and the U.S. relationship with
China turns increasingly adversarial.
Second Wave of Covid 19
Source:Bloomberg
11. NEWS – NEXT WEEK
June 22 – June 26
Upcoming week will be less informative from the fundamental point of views.
June 22 – Bank of Canada Governor Macklem’s speech
June 23 – Euro Zone - Germany Manufacturing PMI and Services PMI
U.S. – Manufacturing PMI
June 24 - New Zealand Interest Rate Decision
June 25 – U.S. Durable Goods, Core Durable Goods and Final GDP, Unemployment Claims Weekly, bank stress test
results
June 26 – U.S. Personal Income, Personal Spending, Revised UoM Consumer Sentiments
14. WHAT CHART SAYS,THIS WEEK?
We are presenting an analysis for Major Currency Crosses, Gold & Crude for the next coming week starting on
June 22, 2020
This is a broader picture how things may move as per Charts.
Traders are advised to have a close look on fundamental events during the week.
Due to High volatility, keep your SL &TP to manage RISK:REWARD Ratio
Trade Less…Trade On Perfect Levels….
15. WHAT DID CHART SAY, LAST WEEK?
CURRENCY TRADE ENTRY PRICE HIGH/LOW CLOSE MAX. PROFIT
GOLD
AUDUSD
EURUSD
GBPUSD Sell 1.24186 1.23434 1.23487 75.2
USDCAD
USDJPY
TOTAL PROFIT IN PIPs 75.2