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© 2019 SPLUNK INC.© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Predictive, Proactive,
and Collaborative ML with
IT Service Intelligence
Creating Actionable and Predictive Alerts
Through Analytics
Dr. Siyka Andreeva | ITOA Specialist
René Siekermann | ITOA Specialist
26th of March 2019
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
During the course of this presentation, we may make forward-looking statements regarding future events or
the expected performance of the company. We caution you that such statements reflect our current
expectations and estimates based on factors currently known to us and that actual events or results could
differ materially. For important factors that may cause actual results to differ from those contained in our
forward-looking statements, please review our filings with the SEC.
The forward-looking statements made in this presentation are being made as of the time and date of its live
presentation. If reviewed after its live presentation, this presentation may not contain current or accurate
information. We do not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements we may make. In
addition, any information about our roadmap outlines our general product direction and is subject to change
at any time without notice. It is for informational purposes only and shall not be incorporated into any contract
or other commitment. Splunk undertakes no obligation either to develop the features or functionality
described or to include any such feature or functionality in a future release.
Splunk, Splunk>, Listen to Your Data, The Engine for Machine Data, Splunk Cloud, Splunk Light and SPL are trademarks and registered trademarks of Splunk Inc. in
the United States and other countries. All other brand names, product names, or trademarks belong to their respective owners. © 2019 Splunk Inc. All rights reserved.
Forward-Looking Statements
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
1. Why You Need to Stop Being Reactive
2. Data and Machine Learning: How to Get
to a Predictive IT
3. Collaborate and Remediate with
VictorOps
4. Demo
Agenda
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Why You Need to Stop
Being Reactive
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
The Cost of an Incident
Customer
Satisfaction
Brand
Reputation
Line of
Revenue
*According to “Damage Control: The Impact of Critical IT
Incidents”
$ 141,628
the mean business
cost of an IT incident
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Predict and Prevent Operational Issues with AI
$ Impact
Proactive
(add logs and metrics)
Effective
$ Impact
Existing
Events
Cost of
Impact
Reactively Alerted
MTTR
Automated Resolution
MTTR
MTTR
Splunk ML Alert
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Predict and Prevent Operational Issues with AI
$ Impact
Predictive
Proactive
(add logs and metrics)
Effective
$ Impact
Existing
Events
NEGATIVE
MTTR!!
Predict 30 Minutes
in Advance
Time
Return to
Business
Cost of
Impact
Reactively Alerted
MTTR
Automated Resolution
MTTR
MTTR
Splunk ML Alert
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Data and Machine
Learning: How to Get
to a Predictive IT
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Where Does Data Come From?
Machine Data
Synthetic APM
Application Code
Code
Deployment
Network
Change Records
Server Changes
Byte Code
Instrumentation
ML Adaptive
Thresholding
Server
Storage
Service Intelligence
Metrics
Events
IP Creation
Events
ApplicationLayerInfrastructureLayer
Human Data
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Use Splunk ITSI Provide flexible dependency
service mapping for
interactions at scale
Leverage a platform to
build out KPIs that
ensure repeatability for
consistency and allows
aggregation and per
entity KPI values
Ease the burden of
cleaning data
What Do I Do With It Now
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
What Do I Do With it Now?
Get a bunch of data
consistently moving
through time in ITSI’s
Service Health Scores
and KPIs
1
Use a bit of time shifting
SPL to move the
Service Health Score so
you can predict the
future
2 Build a model and
operationalize with ITSI3
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Domain
Expertise
(IT, Security…)
Data Science
Expertise
Splunk
Expertise
Skill Areas for Machine Learning at Splunk
MLTK
Splunk ML Toolkit
facilitates and simplifies
via examples & guidance
Premium solutions
provide out of the box
ML capabilities.
ITSI,
UBA
• Statistics/math background
• Algorith selection
• Model building
• Identify use cases
• Drive decisions
• Understanding of business impact
• Searching
• Reporting
• Alerting
• Workflow
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Getting Answers From Your Data!
Anomaly Detection
• Deviation from past behavior
• Deviation from peers
• Unusual changes in features
• ITSI MAD Anomaly
Detection
Predictive Analytics
• Predict Service Health Score
• Predicting churn
• Predicting events
• Trend forecasting
• Detecting influencing entities
• Imminent outage prediction
• ITSI Predictive Analytics
Clustering
• Identify peer groups
• Event correlation
• Reduce alert noise
• Behavioral analytics
• ITSI Event Analytics
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Machine Learning in ITSI
MACHINE LEARNING
Internal
Machine
Learning
Adaptive Thresholds
Anomaly Detection
Cohesion Detection
Predictive Analytics,
ITSI 4.0
Internal
Machine
Learning
Clustered Notable
Events
Automated Actions
Assisted Deep Dive
Investigation
Application
logs
Network logs
Metrics*
Server logs
Any Time
Series in
Splunk
INTELLIGENCEKPIs
MLTK Customization
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
What’s New in ITSI in 4.0
Predictive Analytics
Predict imminent service degradation
30-45 minutes in advance
Detect which KPI might be responsible
for service degradation, and how
values are likely to change in the next
30-45 minutes through automatic
probable root cause analysis
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
ITSI + MLTK
► Leveraged the ITSI
and Sophisticated
Machine Learning Blog
► Everything else
customize
MLTK
► Engage with the
Splunk ML Advisory
Program
► Multiple business rules
ITSI 4.0
► ITSI 4.0 now includes
this as a turn key
feature!
► Saves a TON of time
getting to an outcome!
Machine Learning at Splunk
Time + Effort for One Use Case!
+
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Version each
model you create
Ensure your Service
Health Score is aligned
with known incidents
Ensure
thresholds are set
properly in ITSI
Validate regular
expressions are
capturing correct
values
Make your KPIs
as granular as
possible
Customer ML Tips and Tricks
Predictive Analytics
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
AIOps With Splunk IT Service Intelligence
REDUCE NOISE | REDUCE INCIDENT VOLUME | DECREASE MTTR | INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY
Automatically
alert and notify
the right teams
of the incidents
to take actions
Teams are
notified of the
potential issues
BEFORE they
turn red
Automate
runbooks for
known issues
Alerts correlated across the stack and
prioritized and presented by Service Impact
Machine Learning
Multiple Data
Sources
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Collaboration and
Remediation with
VictorOps
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
When these products find
broken stuff, they send the
information to VictorOps
VictorOps processes the
stream of event data
VictorOps engages the correct
people to collaboratively solve
the problem
Connect Your Experts with the Right Information
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
TROUBLESHOOTING
MEANINGFUL
ALERTS
Event Analytics
• Reduce Event Noise
• Reduce High Priority
Tickets
• Increase Mean Time
Between Failures
From Monitoring to Collaborative Incident Response
ITSI and VictorOps offer complementary value
Service Insights
• Reduce Mean Time
to Resolution (MTTR)
• Single and Correlated
View of IT and Business KPIs
• Predict and Prevent
Imminent Outages
• On-Call scheduling made simple
• Centralized visibility to alerts
• Customizable Rules and Logic
to automate alerting
• Post-Incident Reviews
and Reporting
• Actionable Mobile Application
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Demonstration
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Put AI at the Heart of Your Operations
Splunk ITSI for AIOps
Processed events 8 minutes
faster, on average
15% improvement in SLA
performance
Reduced the number
of IT incidents fivefold,
decreased MTTR
by 65%
Predicted their Service
Health Score’s impact
20-30 minutes into
the future
Effective Proactive Predictive
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Predict
ITSI and Sophisticated
Machine Learning
Forecast
Statistical Anomalies and
Forecasts (Parts 1,2,3)
Collaborate
Resources
How-To Blogs at Your Disposal
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
What to Remember
and Where to Go if
You Fell Asleep
Key
Takeaways
1. Splunk ITSI provides out of the box KPI Prediction
capabilities
2. Use Machine Learning through MLTK to build
custom prediction models for a repeatable ability to
Predict Service Health
3. Splunk ITSI allows for Rapid Service, KPI, Entity
creation and alerting
4. VictorOps makes on-call suck less through
collaboration and improves the Mean Time to
Remediate Availability Impacting Situations
5. Read the blogs!
© 2019 SPLUNK INC.
Questions?
Please feel free

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Vorausschauendes, proaktives und collaboratives Machine Learning mit Splunk ITSI

  • 1. © 2019 SPLUNK INC.© 2019 SPLUNK INC. Predictive, Proactive, and Collaborative ML with IT Service Intelligence Creating Actionable and Predictive Alerts Through Analytics Dr. Siyka Andreeva | ITOA Specialist René Siekermann | ITOA Specialist 26th of March 2019
  • 2. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. During the course of this presentation, we may make forward-looking statements regarding future events or the expected performance of the company. We caution you that such statements reflect our current expectations and estimates based on factors currently known to us and that actual events or results could differ materially. For important factors that may cause actual results to differ from those contained in our forward-looking statements, please review our filings with the SEC. The forward-looking statements made in this presentation are being made as of the time and date of its live presentation. If reviewed after its live presentation, this presentation may not contain current or accurate information. We do not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements we may make. In addition, any information about our roadmap outlines our general product direction and is subject to change at any time without notice. It is for informational purposes only and shall not be incorporated into any contract or other commitment. Splunk undertakes no obligation either to develop the features or functionality described or to include any such feature or functionality in a future release. Splunk, Splunk>, Listen to Your Data, The Engine for Machine Data, Splunk Cloud, Splunk Light and SPL are trademarks and registered trademarks of Splunk Inc. in the United States and other countries. All other brand names, product names, or trademarks belong to their respective owners. © 2019 Splunk Inc. All rights reserved. Forward-Looking Statements
  • 3. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. 1. Why You Need to Stop Being Reactive 2. Data and Machine Learning: How to Get to a Predictive IT 3. Collaborate and Remediate with VictorOps 4. Demo Agenda
  • 4. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Why You Need to Stop Being Reactive
  • 5. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. The Cost of an Incident Customer Satisfaction Brand Reputation Line of Revenue *According to “Damage Control: The Impact of Critical IT Incidents” $ 141,628 the mean business cost of an IT incident
  • 6. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Predict and Prevent Operational Issues with AI $ Impact Proactive (add logs and metrics) Effective $ Impact Existing Events Cost of Impact Reactively Alerted MTTR Automated Resolution MTTR MTTR Splunk ML Alert
  • 7. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Predict and Prevent Operational Issues with AI $ Impact Predictive Proactive (add logs and metrics) Effective $ Impact Existing Events NEGATIVE MTTR!! Predict 30 Minutes in Advance Time Return to Business Cost of Impact Reactively Alerted MTTR Automated Resolution MTTR MTTR Splunk ML Alert
  • 8. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Data and Machine Learning: How to Get to a Predictive IT
  • 9. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Where Does Data Come From? Machine Data Synthetic APM Application Code Code Deployment Network Change Records Server Changes Byte Code Instrumentation ML Adaptive Thresholding Server Storage Service Intelligence Metrics Events IP Creation Events ApplicationLayerInfrastructureLayer Human Data
  • 10. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Use Splunk ITSI Provide flexible dependency service mapping for interactions at scale Leverage a platform to build out KPIs that ensure repeatability for consistency and allows aggregation and per entity KPI values Ease the burden of cleaning data What Do I Do With It Now
  • 11. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. What Do I Do With it Now? Get a bunch of data consistently moving through time in ITSI’s Service Health Scores and KPIs 1 Use a bit of time shifting SPL to move the Service Health Score so you can predict the future 2 Build a model and operationalize with ITSI3
  • 12. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Domain Expertise (IT, Security…) Data Science Expertise Splunk Expertise Skill Areas for Machine Learning at Splunk MLTK Splunk ML Toolkit facilitates and simplifies via examples & guidance Premium solutions provide out of the box ML capabilities. ITSI, UBA • Statistics/math background • Algorith selection • Model building • Identify use cases • Drive decisions • Understanding of business impact • Searching • Reporting • Alerting • Workflow
  • 13. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Getting Answers From Your Data! Anomaly Detection • Deviation from past behavior • Deviation from peers • Unusual changes in features • ITSI MAD Anomaly Detection Predictive Analytics • Predict Service Health Score • Predicting churn • Predicting events • Trend forecasting • Detecting influencing entities • Imminent outage prediction • ITSI Predictive Analytics Clustering • Identify peer groups • Event correlation • Reduce alert noise • Behavioral analytics • ITSI Event Analytics
  • 14. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Machine Learning in ITSI MACHINE LEARNING Internal Machine Learning Adaptive Thresholds Anomaly Detection Cohesion Detection Predictive Analytics, ITSI 4.0 Internal Machine Learning Clustered Notable Events Automated Actions Assisted Deep Dive Investigation Application logs Network logs Metrics* Server logs Any Time Series in Splunk INTELLIGENCEKPIs MLTK Customization
  • 15. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. What’s New in ITSI in 4.0 Predictive Analytics Predict imminent service degradation 30-45 minutes in advance Detect which KPI might be responsible for service degradation, and how values are likely to change in the next 30-45 minutes through automatic probable root cause analysis
  • 16. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. ITSI + MLTK ► Leveraged the ITSI and Sophisticated Machine Learning Blog ► Everything else customize MLTK ► Engage with the Splunk ML Advisory Program ► Multiple business rules ITSI 4.0 ► ITSI 4.0 now includes this as a turn key feature! ► Saves a TON of time getting to an outcome! Machine Learning at Splunk Time + Effort for One Use Case! +
  • 17. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Version each model you create Ensure your Service Health Score is aligned with known incidents Ensure thresholds are set properly in ITSI Validate regular expressions are capturing correct values Make your KPIs as granular as possible Customer ML Tips and Tricks Predictive Analytics
  • 18. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. AIOps With Splunk IT Service Intelligence REDUCE NOISE | REDUCE INCIDENT VOLUME | DECREASE MTTR | INCREASE PRODUCTIVITY Automatically alert and notify the right teams of the incidents to take actions Teams are notified of the potential issues BEFORE they turn red Automate runbooks for known issues Alerts correlated across the stack and prioritized and presented by Service Impact Machine Learning Multiple Data Sources
  • 19. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Collaboration and Remediation with VictorOps
  • 20. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. When these products find broken stuff, they send the information to VictorOps VictorOps processes the stream of event data VictorOps engages the correct people to collaboratively solve the problem Connect Your Experts with the Right Information
  • 21. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. TROUBLESHOOTING MEANINGFUL ALERTS Event Analytics • Reduce Event Noise • Reduce High Priority Tickets • Increase Mean Time Between Failures From Monitoring to Collaborative Incident Response ITSI and VictorOps offer complementary value Service Insights • Reduce Mean Time to Resolution (MTTR) • Single and Correlated View of IT and Business KPIs • Predict and Prevent Imminent Outages • On-Call scheduling made simple • Centralized visibility to alerts • Customizable Rules and Logic to automate alerting • Post-Incident Reviews and Reporting • Actionable Mobile Application
  • 22. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Demonstration
  • 23. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Put AI at the Heart of Your Operations Splunk ITSI for AIOps Processed events 8 minutes faster, on average 15% improvement in SLA performance Reduced the number of IT incidents fivefold, decreased MTTR by 65% Predicted their Service Health Score’s impact 20-30 minutes into the future Effective Proactive Predictive
  • 24. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Predict ITSI and Sophisticated Machine Learning Forecast Statistical Anomalies and Forecasts (Parts 1,2,3) Collaborate Resources How-To Blogs at Your Disposal
  • 25. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. What to Remember and Where to Go if You Fell Asleep Key Takeaways 1. Splunk ITSI provides out of the box KPI Prediction capabilities 2. Use Machine Learning through MLTK to build custom prediction models for a repeatable ability to Predict Service Health 3. Splunk ITSI allows for Rapid Service, KPI, Entity creation and alerting 4. VictorOps makes on-call suck less through collaboration and improves the Mean Time to Remediate Availability Impacting Situations 5. Read the blogs!
  • 26. © 2019 SPLUNK INC. Questions? Please feel free