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FIT TO BE LOCATED:
Wasaga Beach & Orillia

Vito Francone

Merriah Michel

Jenny Van Dijk
PRESENTATION OUTLINE


 Client Objectives

 Snapshot – Wasaga Beach & Orillia

 Findings & Results – Wasaga Beach, Orillia

 Recommendations
CLIENT OBJECTIVES




To determine the feasibilityof a new premium
adult health
         and fitness club in the town of
  Wasaga Beach or the city of Orillia
SNAPSHOT: WASAGA BEACH
                     Population
                     15,029

                     Distance from
                     Toronto
                     135

                     Employment Rate
                     49%

                     Land Area
                     58.43sq km
                     (predominately sand)
SNAPSHOT: WASAGA BEACH
 Existing fitness club market
SNAPSHOT: ORILLIA
                    Population
                    30,259


                    Distance from
                    Toronto
                    134

                    Employment Rate
                    61%

                    Land Area
                    28.61 sq km
SNAPSHOT: ORILLIA
 Existing fitness club market
FINDINGS & RESULTS
FINDINGS & RESULTS
    WASAGA BEACH




Census Subdivision




 Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
          WASAGA BEACH (Town)
        Age                   Total   Male    Female
0 to 4 years                   595     325      270    Age and
5 to 9 years                   690     375      320
10 to 14 years                 845     485      360    Gender
15 to 19 years
20 to 24 years
                               840
                               615
                                       425
                                       315
                                                415
                                                300
                                                       Characteristics
25 to 29 years                 510     245      265
30 to 34 years                 620     300      320
35 to 39 years                 830     395      435
40 to 44 years                1,100    560      540    49% of those adults
45 to 49 years                1,105    555      545    aged 45 to 64 have
50 to 54 years                 960     450      510    been identified as
55 to 59 years                1,235    565      670    “active or moderately
60 to 64 years                1,330    630      705
65 to 69 years                1,360    665      700
                                                       active”
                                                       (North Simcoe Muskoka Health
70 to 74 years                1,170    615      555    Integration Network, 2005)
75 to 79 years                 685     365      325
80 to 84 years                 340     160      180
85 years and over              190     70       120
Total Population             15,030   7,505    7,525
Median Age                    48.8    47.8     49.9


       Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
   WASAGA BEACH
                 85 +

          80 - 84
              75 - 79

              70 - 74
               65 - 69

               60 - 64

               55 - 59

               50 - 54                                              Male
               45 - 49                                              Female
               40 - 44
               35 - 39
               30 - 34

               25 - 29

               20 - 24
                15 - 19

               10 - 14

                    5-9

                    0-4

                          -6   -4   -2       0         2    4   6
                                    % of Total Population
Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
4,000
              WASAGA BEACH
3,500

                                                                                              Education
3,000



2,500



2,000



1,500



1,000



 500



   0
                  No                High school       Apprenticeship or     College, CEGEP or University certificate   University
        certificate, diploma        certificate or   trades certificate or other non-university or diploma below certificate, diploma
              or degree              equivalent           diploma             certificate or    the bachelor level     or degree
                                                                                 diploma

          Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
      WASAGA BEACH
                                                       Management occupations
Occupations
                                                       Business, finance and administration occupations


                             5%   9%                   Natural and applied sciences and related
                       2%
                                                       occupations

                                                       Health occupations
      19%                                    15%

                                                       Occupations in social
                                                       science, education, government service and
                                                       religion
                                                  3%   Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport


                                                 5%
                                                       Sales and service occupations

                                            7%
                                                       Trades, transport and equipment operators and
                 32%                   3%              related occupations

                                                       Occupations unique to primary industry


                                                       Occupations unique to processing, manufacturing
                                                       and utilities
   Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
                             WASAGA BEACH
                                   3000

                                   2500
                                                    Household
                                                    Variations
Total families (1,0000)




                                   2000

                                   1500

                                   1000

                                    500

                                       0



                                                    2005 Census Total
                                                    Private Households
                                                         6,235




                          Statistics Canada, 2005
FINDINGS & RESULTS
           WASAGA BEACH

80000
                                                                       Household
70000
                                                                       Income Levels
60000


50000

                                                                          2005 Census
40000
                                                                         Median Income
30000                                                                       54,181
20000


10000


    0
        Couples with        Couples without   One-Person     Other
         Children              Children       Household    Household
                                                             Types



        Statistics Canada, 2005
FINDINGS & RESULTS
FINDINGS & RESULTS
   ORILLIA




                          Census Subdivision

Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
           ORILLIA (City)
         Age                       Total    Male    Female
0 to 4 years
5 to 9 years
                                   1,530
                                   1,560
                                            775
                                            815
                                                      750
                                                      740
                                                             Age and
10 to 14 years
15 to 19 years
                                   1,905
                                   2,085
                                            975
                                           1,080
                                                      935
                                                     1,000
                                                             Gender
20 to 24 years                     1,925    920      1,000   Characteristics
25 to 29 years                     1,585    755       830
30 to 34 years                     1,615    815       800
35 to 39 years                     1,770    825       945
40 to 44 years                     2,335   1,135     1,195   49% of those adults
45 to 49 years                     2,410   1,160     1,255   aged 35 to 44 have
50 to 54 years                     2,185   1,005     1,180
55 to 59 years                     2,000   1,020      980
                                                             been identified as
60 to 64 years                     1,560    735       825    “active or moderately
65 to 69 years                     1,305    595       710    active”
70 to 74 years                     1,250    555       690    (North Simcoe Muskoka Health
                                                             Integration Network, 2005)
75 to 79 years                     1,230    500       725
80 to 84 years                     1,010    340       675
85 years and over                  1,000    280       715
Total Population                  30,255   14,295   15,965
Median Age                         42.7      41      44.2



        Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
        ORILLIA
                     85 +

                   80 - 84

                   75 - 79

                   70 - 74


Population         65 - 69



Pyramid
                   60 - 64

                   55 - 59

                   50 - 54

                   45 - 49

                   40 - 44                                                               Male
                   35 - 39                                                               Female
                   30 - 34

                   25 - 29

                   20 - 24

                   15 - 19

                   10 - 14
                     5-9

                     0-4


                             -5   -4   -3   -2   -1       0        1     2   3   4   5
                                                 % of Total Population

     Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
                ORILLIA
8,000



7,000
                                                                                                     Education
6,000



5,000



4,000



3,000



2,000



1,000



   0
                   No                  High school       Apprenticeship or     College, CEGEP or University certificate         University
        certificate, diploma or        certificate or   trades certificate or other non-university or diploma below the certificate, diploma or
                degree                  equivalent           diploma          certificate or diploma   bachelor level            degree

             Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
      ORILLIA
Occupations
                                                       Management occupations


                                                       Business, finance and administration
                             5%   8%                   occupations
                      2%
                                                       Natural and applied sciences and related
          13%                                          occupations
                                            16%        Health occupations


                                                       Occupations in social
                                                       science, education, government service
                                                  2%   and religion
                                                       Occupations in art, culture, recreation and
                                                       sport
                                                  6%
                                                       Sales and service occupations


                                                       Trades, transport and equipment operators
                                            8%
                                                       and related occupations
            37%
                                       3%              Occupations unique to primary industry


                                                       Occupations unique to
                                                       processing, manufacturing and utilities

   Statistics Canada, 2006
FINDINGS & RESULTS
                             ORILLIA

                          6000
                                                    Household
                          5000                      Variations
Total families (1,0000)




                          4000

                          3000

                          2000

                          1000

                              0
                                                    2005 Census Total
                                                    Private Households
                                                        16,310




                          Statistics Canada, 2005
FINDINGS & RESULTS
                        ORILLIA
             80000                                                           Household
             70000
                                                                             Income Levels
             60000


             50000
                                                                                2005 Census
Income ($)




             40000                                                             Median Income

             30000
                                                                                  48,608

             20000


             10000


                 0
                        Couples          Couples    One-Person      Other
                     with Children      without     Household    Household
                                        Children                   Types


                     Statistics Canada, 2005   Return*
FINDINGS & RESULTS
      INTERNATIONAL HEALTH, RAQUET & SPORTSCLUB ASSOCIATION




                               Adults aged 35-54 now account for 14   million
                                members, or 34%of the health club population




122%
Since 1990


                                                           46%
                                               54%                      Male
                                                                        Female
   U.S. Club Membership by
   Gender



   IHRSA, 2005; IHRSA, 2007
FINDINGS & RESULTS
       INTERNATIONAL HEALTH, RAQUET & SPORTSCLUB ASSOCIATION


                                                       Top 3 Health Club
                                                      Membership Types
U.S. Club Membership by
                                                      Commercial: Multi-Purpose
Annual Household Income
                                                                25%
                                     <$25,000          Commercial: Fitness Only
                                                                21%
                  9%
                                     $25,000-49,999

                       22%                               YMCA/YWCA/JCC
         51%                         $50,000-74,999             17%
                   18%
                                     $75,000+




    IHRSA, 2007    Orillia Income*
RECOMMENDATIONS

                                     Orillia
                                     We do recommend investing
                                     in a premium health and
Wasaga Beach                         fitness club for this region

We donot recommend investing in
a premium adult health and fitness
club for this region                 Rationale
                                     •   Market Potential
Rationale                            •   Age Structure
                                     •   Higher Income Earners
• Market Saturation                  •   Long Term Sustainability
• Small and Fluctuating Population
• Long Term Speculation
QUESTIONS, COMMENTS, FEEDBACK?

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Population Research Presentation for Population Demography

  • 1. FIT TO BE LOCATED: Wasaga Beach & Orillia Vito Francone Merriah Michel Jenny Van Dijk
  • 2. PRESENTATION OUTLINE  Client Objectives  Snapshot – Wasaga Beach & Orillia  Findings & Results – Wasaga Beach, Orillia  Recommendations
  • 3. CLIENT OBJECTIVES To determine the feasibilityof a new premium adult health and fitness club in the town of Wasaga Beach or the city of Orillia
  • 4. SNAPSHOT: WASAGA BEACH Population 15,029 Distance from Toronto 135 Employment Rate 49% Land Area 58.43sq km (predominately sand)
  • 5. SNAPSHOT: WASAGA BEACH  Existing fitness club market
  • 6. SNAPSHOT: ORILLIA Population 30,259 Distance from Toronto 134 Employment Rate 61% Land Area 28.61 sq km
  • 7. SNAPSHOT: ORILLIA  Existing fitness club market
  • 9. FINDINGS & RESULTS WASAGA BEACH Census Subdivision Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 10. FINDINGS & RESULTS WASAGA BEACH (Town) Age Total Male Female 0 to 4 years 595 325 270 Age and 5 to 9 years 690 375 320 10 to 14 years 845 485 360 Gender 15 to 19 years 20 to 24 years 840 615 425 315 415 300 Characteristics 25 to 29 years 510 245 265 30 to 34 years 620 300 320 35 to 39 years 830 395 435 40 to 44 years 1,100 560 540 49% of those adults 45 to 49 years 1,105 555 545 aged 45 to 64 have 50 to 54 years 960 450 510 been identified as 55 to 59 years 1,235 565 670 “active or moderately 60 to 64 years 1,330 630 705 65 to 69 years 1,360 665 700 active” (North Simcoe Muskoka Health 70 to 74 years 1,170 615 555 Integration Network, 2005) 75 to 79 years 685 365 325 80 to 84 years 340 160 180 85 years and over 190 70 120 Total Population 15,030 7,505 7,525 Median Age 48.8 47.8 49.9 Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 11. FINDINGS & RESULTS WASAGA BEACH 85 + 80 - 84 75 - 79 70 - 74 65 - 69 60 - 64 55 - 59 50 - 54 Male 45 - 49 Female 40 - 44 35 - 39 30 - 34 25 - 29 20 - 24 15 - 19 10 - 14 5-9 0-4 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 % of Total Population Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 12. FINDINGS & RESULTS 4,000 WASAGA BEACH 3,500 Education 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 No High school Apprenticeship or College, CEGEP or University certificate University certificate, diploma certificate or trades certificate or other non-university or diploma below certificate, diploma or degree equivalent diploma certificate or the bachelor level or degree diploma Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 13. FINDINGS & RESULTS WASAGA BEACH Management occupations Occupations Business, finance and administration occupations 5% 9% Natural and applied sciences and related 2% occupations Health occupations 19% 15% Occupations in social science, education, government service and religion 3% Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 5% Sales and service occupations 7% Trades, transport and equipment operators and 32% 3% related occupations Occupations unique to primary industry Occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 14. FINDINGS & RESULTS WASAGA BEACH 3000 2500 Household Variations Total families (1,0000) 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2005 Census Total Private Households 6,235 Statistics Canada, 2005
  • 15. FINDINGS & RESULTS WASAGA BEACH 80000 Household 70000 Income Levels 60000 50000 2005 Census 40000 Median Income 30000 54,181 20000 10000 0 Couples with Couples without One-Person Other Children Children Household Household Types Statistics Canada, 2005
  • 17. FINDINGS & RESULTS ORILLIA Census Subdivision Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 18. FINDINGS & RESULTS ORILLIA (City) Age Total Male Female 0 to 4 years 5 to 9 years 1,530 1,560 775 815 750 740 Age and 10 to 14 years 15 to 19 years 1,905 2,085 975 1,080 935 1,000 Gender 20 to 24 years 1,925 920 1,000 Characteristics 25 to 29 years 1,585 755 830 30 to 34 years 1,615 815 800 35 to 39 years 1,770 825 945 40 to 44 years 2,335 1,135 1,195 49% of those adults 45 to 49 years 2,410 1,160 1,255 aged 35 to 44 have 50 to 54 years 2,185 1,005 1,180 55 to 59 years 2,000 1,020 980 been identified as 60 to 64 years 1,560 735 825 “active or moderately 65 to 69 years 1,305 595 710 active” 70 to 74 years 1,250 555 690 (North Simcoe Muskoka Health Integration Network, 2005) 75 to 79 years 1,230 500 725 80 to 84 years 1,010 340 675 85 years and over 1,000 280 715 Total Population 30,255 14,295 15,965 Median Age 42.7 41 44.2 Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 19. FINDINGS & RESULTS ORILLIA 85 + 80 - 84 75 - 79 70 - 74 Population 65 - 69 Pyramid 60 - 64 55 - 59 50 - 54 45 - 49 40 - 44 Male 35 - 39 Female 30 - 34 25 - 29 20 - 24 15 - 19 10 - 14 5-9 0-4 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 % of Total Population Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 20. FINDINGS & RESULTS ORILLIA 8,000 7,000 Education 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 No High school Apprenticeship or College, CEGEP or University certificate University certificate, diploma or certificate or trades certificate or other non-university or diploma below the certificate, diploma or degree equivalent diploma certificate or diploma bachelor level degree Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 21. FINDINGS & RESULTS ORILLIA Occupations Management occupations Business, finance and administration 5% 8% occupations 2% Natural and applied sciences and related 13% occupations 16% Health occupations Occupations in social science, education, government service 2% and religion Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 6% Sales and service occupations Trades, transport and equipment operators 8% and related occupations 37% 3% Occupations unique to primary industry Occupations unique to processing, manufacturing and utilities Statistics Canada, 2006
  • 22. FINDINGS & RESULTS ORILLIA 6000 Household 5000 Variations Total families (1,0000) 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2005 Census Total Private Households 16,310 Statistics Canada, 2005
  • 23. FINDINGS & RESULTS ORILLIA 80000 Household 70000 Income Levels 60000 50000 2005 Census Income ($) 40000 Median Income 30000 48,608 20000 10000 0 Couples Couples One-Person Other with Children without Household Household Children Types Statistics Canada, 2005 Return*
  • 24. FINDINGS & RESULTS INTERNATIONAL HEALTH, RAQUET & SPORTSCLUB ASSOCIATION  Adults aged 35-54 now account for 14 million members, or 34%of the health club population 122% Since 1990 46% 54% Male Female U.S. Club Membership by Gender IHRSA, 2005; IHRSA, 2007
  • 25. FINDINGS & RESULTS INTERNATIONAL HEALTH, RAQUET & SPORTSCLUB ASSOCIATION Top 3 Health Club Membership Types U.S. Club Membership by Commercial: Multi-Purpose Annual Household Income 25% <$25,000 Commercial: Fitness Only 21% 9% $25,000-49,999 22% YMCA/YWCA/JCC 51% $50,000-74,999 17% 18% $75,000+ IHRSA, 2007 Orillia Income*
  • 26. RECOMMENDATIONS Orillia We do recommend investing in a premium health and Wasaga Beach fitness club for this region We donot recommend investing in a premium adult health and fitness club for this region Rationale • Market Potential Rationale • Age Structure • Higher Income Earners • Market Saturation • Long Term Sustainability • Small and Fluctuating Population • Long Term Speculation