The O’Reilly Radar

                                       Tim O’Reilly

                                       June 23, 2010
                           Velocity, Santa Clara, CA




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
You know me as a book publisher




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
What We Really Do At O'Reilly




                      Change the world by spreading the
                          knowledge of innovators




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
O’Reilly Radar Methodology
    “The future is here. It’s just not evenly distributed
     yet.” - William Gibson
    We “watch the alpha geeks” and think about the
     futures they are living in
    We then look for trend data that tells us that a
     particular future is becoming mainstream




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Sources of my fascination with SysAdmin & Ops
    My first book: Masscomp System Administrator’s
     Guide, 1983
    Programming Perl, first edition, 1991
    System administration O’Reilly’s “core”




    Started pushing our editorial teams early on to
     look at big sites and operations



Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
I’m here today to talk about where this is going
       Cloud computing
       Data driven applications
       Mobile
       Real time
       Beyond the web




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Cloud Computing

       “You keep using that word. I do not think it
       means what you think it means.”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Data is the “Intel Inside”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
An application that
               depends on cooperating
               cloud data services:

               - Location
               - Search
               - Speech recognition
               - Live Traffic
               - Imagery

Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The Yelp Monocle
    Find cafes nearby.




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The Internet Operating System is
                    A Data Operating System




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The Internet Operating System is a Data Operating System
    It helps applications find out about
         –   People
         –   Places
         –   Things
         –   Prices
         –   Documents
         –   Images
         –   Sounds
         –   Relationships
         –   ...

    and helps people interact with them through services
         –   Search
         –   Payment
         –   Matching and Recognition
         –   ...

Wednesday, June 23, 2010
In Real Time




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 Hackers play
    Entrepreneurs build products for consumer early
     adopters
    Enterprises follow

    We saw this with the PC, with the World Wide Web,
     with open source software, with social networking




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AMEE - the world’s energy meter




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
We’re moving to a world in which every device
       generates useful data, in which every action
       creates “information shadows” on the net.




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The cloud future includes...
    Devices acting as sensors for intelligent data
     collection
    Devices whose UI is on the web rather than the
     device
    Feeding data into multiple online services that will
     turn into a full-on sensor web
    Setting the stage for robotics, augmented reality,
     and the next generation of personal electronics
    Producing more data than we’ve ever had to deal
     with before
    Moving from hackers to innovators to mainstream
     business impact




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
People are the “Intel Inside”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“Harnessing Collective Intelligence”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
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Wednesday, June 23, 2010
The Open Source
                            Paradigm Shift

                                 May 6, 2003

                                 Tim O'Reilly
                           O'Reilly & Associates, Inc.
                               www.oreilly.com



Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Software as Service
                            Von Kempelen's Mechanical Turk




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“You are all inside the Amazon application”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Source: http://micro-ram.com/images/100_0453.JPG

Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Source: http://blog.frankovic.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/systemadmin.jpg




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“The Web is changing the
                           way we live and touches
                           every person alive. As more
                           and more people depend on
                           the Web, they depend on us.
                           Web Operations is work that
                           matters.”

                                       --Jesse Robbins




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“Changing the world
                  by sharing the knowledge of innovators.”




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
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Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“Operations is where big decisions are made &
           policies executed that affect people & societies.
                 There is almost nothing to guide us.”

                                             --Jesse Robbins




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“Figuring out this stuff is hard. We'll make
                   mistakes. That's okay. ”

                                                 --Jesse Robbins




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“[The wall] was beautiful, but not because of any
                  masterful intellectual planning or any scientific
                  supervision of the job, or any added
                  expenditures to “stylize” it. It was beautiful
                  because the people who worked on it had a way
                  of looking at things that made them do it right
                  unselfconsciously. They didnʼt separate
                  themselves from the work in such a way as to do
                  it wrong. [...] In each case thereʼs a beautiful way
                  of doing it and an ugly way of doing it, and in
                  arriving at the high-quality, beautiful way of doing
                  it, both an ability to see what “looks good” and
                  an ability to understand the underlying methods
                  to arrive at that “good” are needed.”

                                                      --Robert Pirsig,
                           Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance
Wednesday, June 23, 2010
“Do the right thing. You will gratify some people,
       and astonish the rest.”

                                              --Mark Twain




Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Switching tracks (a bit)...




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For more information
   The Open Source Paradigm Shift (2003)
    http://bit.ly/cKLSUP
   What is Web 2.0? (2005)
    http://oreil.ly/a0zT65
   Web Squared: Web 2.0 Five Years On (2009)
    http://bit.ly/kEKgs
   Government as a Platform (2010)
    http://opengovernment.labs.oreilly.com/
   Ongoing commentary
    http://radar.oreilly.com
    http://twitter.com/timoreilly
    http://buzz.google.com/timoreilly


Wednesday, June 23, 2010

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