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Beslutsfattare och experters
uppfattningar om den gröna ekonomin
En enkätstudie i samarbete
med CGEE & IDDRI

Eva Alfredsson
Tillväxtanalys
Growth Analysis
Swedish Agency for Growth Policy Analysis
”Green Economy Perception”
Aim of the query (structured survey):
•To contribute to a better understanding of the concerns
related to the theme Green economy.

Performed by:
•CGEE, The Center for Strategic Studies and Management,
Brazil
•Growth Analysis, Sweden
•IDDRI, Institute for Sustainable Development and
International Relations, France
Swedish “survey population”
The survey was sent to people working with issues
connection to the area of green economy:
•Policymakers within ministries and government
agencies (50 %)
•Academia (30 %)
•Non governmental organizations (10 %)
•Other experts (10 %)

In total around 150 individuals - 66 responded
(44 %)
Statistical validity – The results are
not to be considered representative of
all Swedish policymakers and experts
• The population of respondents have not been randomly
  selected (using statistical guidelines) and the non-
  responses have not been analyzed to determine any bias
• The selection of policymakers is limited to central
  government and national level agencies. Few regional or
  local policymakers are represented. The number of
  respondents from NGOs and academia is limited
 The responses can not be argued to be statistically
  representative of all Swedish policymakers academia,
  NGOs or other experts
The results are however the
perceptions of a known group of
Swedish policymakers and experts
The results are the views held by the 66
respondents out of this known group of Swedish
policymakers and experts working within the area of
green economy.
The perceptions of these people are important
and is likely to be representative of a broader
group
GREEN ECONOMY
PERCEPTIONS – SELECTED
HIGHLIGHTS
Green economy - core features
According to the respondents:
The green economy is a low carbon,
resource efficient economy that manages
biodiversity and ecosystem services
well.

According to the majority the green economy is NOT to be
restricted to environmental performance but including
additional factors such as social welfare, equity etc.
Is the current economy sustainable
or unsustainable?
• All (97 %) of the Swedish respondents, as well
  as, all other respondents, perceive the current
  economy to be unsustainable. The majority
  (60%) also believe that the development is
  moving in the wrong direction.
                           Question 08
               Right Direction    Right Direction   Wrong Direction
               and Sustainable   but Unsustainable and Unsustainable
    BRAZIL          2,63%             43,34%            54,03%
   SWEDEN           3,23%             37,10%            59,68%
   FRANCE           4,05%             26,35%            69,59%
INDUSTRIALIZED      0,00%             25,81%            74,19%
Is a green economy compatible with
continued economic growth?
Transformative changes or small
adjustments?
The majority (72 %) of the Swedish respondent believe that
major transformative changes are necessary in terms of
economy and lifestyle.
Transition for environmental, social
and economic reasons

Swedish respondents do not fear a transition to a green economy but
rather the consequences of NOT transitioning to a
green economy – and not only for the sake of the
environment by for the sake of the economy.
What are the main barriers to the
introduction of a green economy
Instruments for achieving a green
economy
The preferred economic instrument by the Swedish
respondents is: Taxes and market-based
instruments to price externalities and enhance
incentives for green innovation.

The preferred regulatory instruments are: Public
procurement, standards and regulations, city and
transport planning and the creation of a scheme of
payment for ecosystem services
Instruments for achieving a green
economy - Knowledge
Governance - Is it necessary to
reform the institutions?
What major changes in the
international order would be required?
Which indicators should be use to
measure green economic
performance?
Can there be a green island in a
brown ocean?
A great majority of Swedish (77 %) as well as the
other respondents believe that it is NOT possible
for a country to become completely green on
its own.
-20 % of the Swedish respondents do however
believe it to be possible.

We need strong constructive cooperation!
Tack!


Eva.Alfredsson@tillvaxtanalys.se

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"Green Economy Perception" - survey ahead of Rio+20

  • 1. Beslutsfattare och experters uppfattningar om den gröna ekonomin En enkätstudie i samarbete med CGEE & IDDRI Eva Alfredsson Tillväxtanalys
  • 2. Growth Analysis Swedish Agency for Growth Policy Analysis
  • 3. ”Green Economy Perception” Aim of the query (structured survey): •To contribute to a better understanding of the concerns related to the theme Green economy. Performed by: •CGEE, The Center for Strategic Studies and Management, Brazil •Growth Analysis, Sweden •IDDRI, Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations, France
  • 4. Swedish “survey population” The survey was sent to people working with issues connection to the area of green economy: •Policymakers within ministries and government agencies (50 %) •Academia (30 %) •Non governmental organizations (10 %) •Other experts (10 %) In total around 150 individuals - 66 responded (44 %)
  • 5. Statistical validity – The results are not to be considered representative of all Swedish policymakers and experts • The population of respondents have not been randomly selected (using statistical guidelines) and the non- responses have not been analyzed to determine any bias • The selection of policymakers is limited to central government and national level agencies. Few regional or local policymakers are represented. The number of respondents from NGOs and academia is limited  The responses can not be argued to be statistically representative of all Swedish policymakers academia, NGOs or other experts
  • 6. The results are however the perceptions of a known group of Swedish policymakers and experts The results are the views held by the 66 respondents out of this known group of Swedish policymakers and experts working within the area of green economy. The perceptions of these people are important and is likely to be representative of a broader group
  • 7. GREEN ECONOMY PERCEPTIONS – SELECTED HIGHLIGHTS
  • 8. Green economy - core features According to the respondents: The green economy is a low carbon, resource efficient economy that manages biodiversity and ecosystem services well. According to the majority the green economy is NOT to be restricted to environmental performance but including additional factors such as social welfare, equity etc.
  • 9. Is the current economy sustainable or unsustainable? • All (97 %) of the Swedish respondents, as well as, all other respondents, perceive the current economy to be unsustainable. The majority (60%) also believe that the development is moving in the wrong direction. Question 08 Right Direction Right Direction Wrong Direction and Sustainable but Unsustainable and Unsustainable BRAZIL 2,63% 43,34% 54,03% SWEDEN 3,23% 37,10% 59,68% FRANCE 4,05% 26,35% 69,59% INDUSTRIALIZED 0,00% 25,81% 74,19%
  • 10. Is a green economy compatible with continued economic growth?
  • 11. Transformative changes or small adjustments? The majority (72 %) of the Swedish respondent believe that major transformative changes are necessary in terms of economy and lifestyle.
  • 12. Transition for environmental, social and economic reasons Swedish respondents do not fear a transition to a green economy but rather the consequences of NOT transitioning to a green economy – and not only for the sake of the environment by for the sake of the economy.
  • 13. What are the main barriers to the introduction of a green economy
  • 14. Instruments for achieving a green economy The preferred economic instrument by the Swedish respondents is: Taxes and market-based instruments to price externalities and enhance incentives for green innovation. The preferred regulatory instruments are: Public procurement, standards and regulations, city and transport planning and the creation of a scheme of payment for ecosystem services
  • 15. Instruments for achieving a green economy - Knowledge
  • 16. Governance - Is it necessary to reform the institutions?
  • 17. What major changes in the international order would be required?
  • 18. Which indicators should be use to measure green economic performance?
  • 19. Can there be a green island in a brown ocean? A great majority of Swedish (77 %) as well as the other respondents believe that it is NOT possible for a country to become completely green on its own. -20 % of the Swedish respondents do however believe it to be possible. We need strong constructive cooperation!

Editor's Notes

  1. Ministry of Enterprise, Energy and Communications Commission: Knowledge for sustainable growth throughout the country This means that we help the Government by analysing both the current situation and the consequences of the policy pursued today. Our offices abroad contribute with knowledge about the factors in the world around that may affect growth and productivity in Sweden. Growth Analysis has about 60 employees. Our head office is in Östersund and activities are also carried on at our offices in Stockholm, Brasilia, Peking, Tokyo, New Delhi, Brussels and Washington DC. We also conduct third country monitoring in South Korea.
  2. Uppdrag från Brasilianska regeringen till CGEE som valde att genomföra studien tillsammans med TA. Senare anslöt även IDDRI Syfte : Få kunskap om B&E:s uppfattning om: begreppet grön ekonomi betydelsen av en omställning till en grön ekonomi farhågor hinder och förutsättningar för en omställning till en grön ekonomi, vilka styrmedel tror man mest på institutionella utmaningarna och möjligheterna skillnader och likheter mellan länder
  3. Beslutsfattare: Politiker och tjänstemän på RK, myndigheter Forskare NGOs Andra (kändisar inom området: opinionsbildare, fd politiker/forskare)
  4. Omfattande enkät! Hinner bara redovisa några av de svar vi fick in. Den huvudsakliga slutsatsen vi som arbetat med enkäten dragit är: Vi vill arbeta vidare med och analysera en del av frågorna mer detaljerat. Vi vill analysera metoden - om man som ett kunskapsunderlag till politiken I högre utsträckning än I dag skulle kunna använda sig av den här typen av enkätstudier. - ger möjlighet att få kunskap om en bredare grupp experters synpunkter och uppfatt I god tid inför utformningen av politik. Enkäten ger intryck av att den största flaskhalsen för en transition till en grön ekonomi är den nationella politiken och den befintliga maktstrukturen. Experter och beslutsfattare (på tjänstemannanivå) är mer oroade av en utveckling där vi inte genomför en transition till en grön ekonomi än kraftfull politik för en omställning. Likaså att vi inte , såväl som företagen och den internationella
  5. Respondenterna definierar en grön ekonomi såsom: En koldioxidsnål, resurseffektiv ekonomi som värderar och hushåller väl med biodiversitet och ekosystemtjänster. Begreppet grön ekonomi är inte begränsat till miljö och ekonomi utan inkluderar även sociala aspekter Stämmer väl med UNEPS definition av an grön ekonomi
  6. The majority believe that a green economy will perform better (32 %) or have similar (32 %) GDP growth rates.
  7. Majoriteten av de svenska B&E tror att stora transformativa förändringar är nödvändiga Det finns en grupp svenska B&E (28 %) som skiljer sig mot övriga respondenter i det att de tror att det räcker med små förändringar. Bland respondenterna i Brasilien och Frankrike är denna grupp betydligt mindre, ca 10 %
  8. Det man är orolig för med en övergång till en grön ekonomi är: Inga alls Hur utvecklingsländerna skulle påverkas Handelsrestriktioner Det man är orolig för om man inte går mot en grön ekonomi Accelererande klimatförändringar Irreversibla förluster av biodiversitet och ekosystemtjänster Ekonomisk stagnation
  9. D - Taking into account environmental and social concerns in issues dealt with by the World Trade Organization A - Progress in the implementation of the UN conventions risen at Rio-92 (biodiversity, climate change and desertification) G - Establishing targets and a compliance system for meeting sustainable development goals C - Increasing role of other global governance mechanisms and institutions F - Establishment of a special pricing system for global commons E - Impose taxes on international financial transactions to raise funds for green economy initiatives B - Strengthening of UN environmental institutions
  10. In order to not be stuck in moment 22 We need to move forward by taking turns in being forerunners!
  11. Mer på temat Grön ekonomi: Global utmaning anordnar 22 okt 15-17: Finanssektorn och den gröna ekonomi 7 & 8 November: Charles Hall och pratar om energins betydelse för den gröna ekonomin ur lite nya infallsvinklar Båda dessa seminarier rekommenderas!