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“Exploring Our Inner Universe
Using Supercomputers and Gene Sequencers”

Physics Department Colloquium
UC San Diego
October 24, 2013
Dr. Larry Smarr
Director, California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technology
Harry E. Gruber Professor,
Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering
Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD
http://lsmarr.calit2.net

1
Abstract
Having spent 25 years exploring computational and observational astrophysics,
I have recently started using this physics perspective to explore our inner
universe. Note that while our Milky Way galaxy contains 100 billion stars, each
of our human bodies contains 1000 times as many microbes. Until recently, we
knew more about our galaxy’s stellar distribution than we did about the
ecological distribution of our human microbiome. However, that is rapidly
changing because of the million-fold reduction in cost of genome sequencing
over the last 15 years. I will give an overview of the vast diversity of this
microbial universe and then show how our research team has used deep
genome sequencing, combined with large amounts of SDSC supercomputer
time, to map out the time changing landscape of my own gut microbiome. In a
healthy state, the microbiome is in homeostasis with the body’s immune
system, but as I will demonstrate, people with certain human genetic predispositions can develop autoimmune diseases, in which components of the
immune system and the distribution of microbial species undergo wild
oscillations. This new found ability to “read out” the state of our superorganism
body and its time rate of change is leading to an integrated system biology,
detailed computational models, and hopefully new classes of therapies.
My Early Research was on Computational Astrophysics –
I Learned To Think About Nonlinear Dynamic Systems
Eppley and Smarr 1977

Hawley and Smarr 1985

Norman, Winkler, Smarr, Smith 1982
I Spent Years in Illinois Experimentally Studying
the Stability and Instabilities of Multi-Phyla Ecosystems

120 Gallon Home Salt Water
Coral Reef Aquarium
I Arrived in La Jolla in 2000of My Body andin the Midwest
By Measuring the State After 20 Years “Tuning” It
Using Nutrition and Exercise, Ithe Obesity Trend
and Decided to Move Against Became Healthier
Age
41

Age
51

Age
61

1999
2000
1999

1989

I Reversed My Body’s Decline By
Quantifying and Altering Nutrition and Exercise
http://lsmarr.calit2.net/repository/LS_reading_recommendations_FiRe_2011.pdf

2010
From Measuring Macro-Variables
to Measuring Your Internal Variables

www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/39636
From One to a Billion Data Points Defining Me:
The Exponential Rise in Body Data in Just One Decade!
Billion:Microbial Genome
My Full DNA,
MRI/CT Images

Improving Body
SNPs
Million: My DNA SNPs,
Zeo, FitBit
Blood
Variables
One:
My
Weight Weight

Discovering Disease

Hundred: My Blood Variables

Each is a Personal Time Series
And Compared Across Population
Visualizing Time Series of
150 LS Blood and Stool Variables, Each Over 5-10 Years
Calit2 64 megapixel VROOM
I Discovered I Had Episodic Chronic Inflammation by
Tracking Complex Reactive Protein In My Blood Samples
27x Upper Limit

Antibiotics

Normal Range
<1 mg/L

Antibiotics
Normal

CRP is a Generic Measure of Inflammation in the Blood
By Adding Stool Samples, I Discovered I Had High
Levels of the Protein Lactoferrin
Typical
Lactoferrin
Value for
Active
IBD

Normal Range
<7.3 µg/mL

124x Upper Limit

Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD)
Is an Autoimmune Disease

Antibiotics

Antibiotics

Lactoferrin is a Protein Shed from Neutrophils An Antibacterial that Sequesters Iron
Confirming the IBD Hypothesis:
Finding the “Smoking Gun” with MRI Imaging
Liver

Transverse Colon

Small Intestine

I Obtained the MRI Slices
From UCSD Medical Services
and Converted to Interactive 3D
Working With
Calit2 Staff & DeskVOX Software
Descending Colon

MRI Jan 2012
Cross Section

Diseased Sigmoid Colon

Major Kink
Sigmoid Colon
Threading Iliac Arteries
Converting MRI Slices Into 3D Interactive Virtual Reality
AND 3-D Printing

Research: Calit2 FutureHealth Team
Why Did I Have an Autoimmune Disease like IBD?

Despite decades of research,
the etiology of Crohn's disease
remains unknown.
Its pathogenesis may involve
a complex interplay between
host genetics,
immune dysfunction,
and microbial or environmental factors.
--The Role of Microbes in Crohn's Disease

So I Set Out to Quantify All Three!
Paul B. Eckburg & David A. Relman
Clin Infect Dis. 44:256-262 (2007) 
I Wondered if Crohn’s is an Autoimmune Disease,
Did I Have a Personal Genomic Polymorphism?
From www.23andme.com

ATG16L1

Polymorphism in
Interleukin-23 Receptor Gene
— 80% Higher Risk
of Pro-inflammatory
Immune Response

IRGM

NOD2

SNPs Associated with CD

Now Comparing
163 Known IBD SNPs
with 23andme SNP Chip
Variance Explained by Each of the 163 SNPs
Associated with IBD

• The width of the bar is proportional to the variance explained by that locus 
• Bars are connected together if they are identified as being associated with both phenotypes
• Loci are labelled if they explain more than 1% of the total variance explained by all loci

“Host–microbe interactions have shaped the genetic architecture
of inflammatory bowel disease,” Jostins, et al. Nature 491, 119-124 (2012)
Crohn’s May be a Related Set of Diseases
Driven by Different SNPs
NOD2 (1)
rs2066844

Female
CD Onset
At 20-Years Old

Il-23R
rs1004819

Me-Male
CD Onset
At 60-Years Old
I Had My Full Human Genome Sequenced in 2012 1 Million/Year by 2015
Next Step: Compare Full Genome With IBD SNPs
My Anonymized Human Genome
is Available for Download

PGP Used Complete Genomics, Inc.
to Sequence my Human DNA

www.personalgenomes.org
Fine Time Resolution Sampling Reveals Unexpected
Oscillations of Innate and Adaptive Immune System
Innate Immune System

Normal

Therapy: 1 Month Antibiotics
+2 Month Prednisone

Adaptive Immune System
Normal

Time Points of
Metagenomic
Sequencing
of LS Stool Samples
I Carried Out Observations in Optical, Radio, and X-Ray
on the Andromeda Galaxy in the 1980s
One Hundred Billion Stars
Now I am Observing the 100 Trillion Non-Human Cells
in My Body
Your Body Has 10 Times
As Many Microbe Cells As Human Cells

99% of Your
DNA Genes
Are in Microbe Cells
Not Human Cells

Inclusion of the Microbiome
Will Radically Change Medicine
When We Think About Biological Diversity
We Typically Think of the Wide Range of Animals

But All These Animals Are in One SubPhylum Vertebrata
of the Chordata Phylum

All images from Wikimedia Commons.
Photos are public domain or by Trisha Shears & Richard Bartz
Think of These Phyla of Animals When
You Consider the Biodiversity of Microbes Inside You

Phylum
Chordata

Phylum
Cnidaria

Phylum
Echinodermata

Phylum
Annelida

Phylum
Mollusca

Phylum
Arthropoda

All images from WikiMedia Commons.
Photos are public domain or by Dan Hershman, Michael Linnenbach, Manuae, B_cool
The Evolutionary Distance Between Your Gut Microbes
Is Much Greater Than Between All Animals

Last Slide

Red Circles Are Dominate
Human Gut Microbes
Evolutionary Distance Derived from
Comparative Sequencing of 16S or 18S Ribosomal RNA
Source: Carl Woese, et al
Intense Scientific Research is Underway
on Understanding the Human Microbiome

June 8, 2012

June 14, 2012

From Culturing Bacteria to Sequencing Them
J. Craig Venter Institute Performed Metagenomic
Sequencing on Seven of My Stool Samples
• Sequencing on Illumina
HiSeq 2000 at JCVI
– Generates 100bp Reads
– Run Takes ~14 Days

• My 7 Samples Produced
– 190.2 Gbp of Data

• DNA Extraction Uses
– Standard MOBio Powersoil
DNA Extraction

• JCVI Lab Manager,
Genomic Medicine

Illumina HiSeq 2000 at JCVI

– Manolito Torralba

• IRB PI Karen Nelson
– President JCVI

• Funded by
– UCSD Health Sciences &
Harry E. Gruber Chair

Manolito Torralba, JCVI

Karen Nelson, JCVI
Additional Phenotypes Added from NIH HMP
For Comparative Analysis
Download Raw Reads
~100M Per Person
“Healthy” Individuals
35 Subjects
1 Point in Time

Larry Smarr

IBD Patients

2 Ulcerative Colitis Patients,
6 Points in Time

7 Points in Time

5 Ileal Crohn’s Patients,
3 Points in Time

Total of 5 Billion Reads
Source: Jerry Sheehan, Calit2
Weizhong Li, Sitao Wu, CRBS, UCSD
We Created a Reference Database
Of Known Gut Genomes
• NCBI April 2013
–
–
–
–

2471 Complete + 5543 Draft Bacteria & Archaea Genomes
2399 Complete Virus Genomes
26 Complete Fungi Genomes
309 HMP Eukaryote Reference Genomes

• Total 10,741 genomes, ~30 GB of sequences

Now to Align Our 5 Billion Reads
Against the Reference Database

Source: Weizhong Li, Sitao Wu, CRBS, UCSD
Computational NextGen Sequencing Pipeline:
From “Big Equations” to “Big Data” Computing

PI: (Weizhong Li, CRBS, UCSD):
NIH R01HG005978 (2010-2013, $1.1M)
We Used SDSC’s Gordon Data-Intensive Supercomputer
to Analyze a Wide Range of Gut Microbiomes
• ~180,000 Core-Hrs on Gordon
– KEGG function annotation: 90,000 hrs
– Mapping: 36,000 hrs
– Used 16 Cores/Node
and up to 50 nodes
– Duplicates removal: 18,000 hrs
Enabled by
a Grant of Time
– Assembly: 18,000 hrs
on Gordon from SDSC
– Other: 18,000 hrs
Director Mike Norman

• Gordon RAM Required

– 64GB RAM for Reference DB
– 192GB RAM for Assembly

• Gordon Disk Required
– Ultra-Fast Disk Holds Ref DB for All Nodes
– 8TB for All Subjects Weizhong Li, CRBS, UCSD
Phyla Gut Microbial Abundance Without Viruses:
LS, Crohn’s, UC, and Healthy Subjects
Source: Weizhong Li, Sitao Wu, CRBS, UCSD

LS

Crohn’s

Ulcerative
Colitis

Healthy

Toward Noninvasive
Microbial Ecology Diagnostics
Using Scalable Visualization Allows Comparison of
the Relative Abundance of 200 Microbe Species

Comparing 3 LS Time Snapshots (Left)
with Healthy, Crohn’s, UC (Right Top to Bottom)
Calit2 VROOM-FuturePatient Expedition
Comparison of 35 Healthy
to 15 CD and 6 UC Gut Microbiomes at the Phyla Level
Expansion of
Actinobacteria

Collapse of
Bacteroidetes

Explosion of
Proteobacteria
Time Series Reveals Autoimmune Dynamics
of Gut Microbiome by Phyla
Therapy

Six Metagenomic Time Samples Over 16 Months
Lessons from Ecological Dynamics I:
Gut Microbiome Has Multiple Ecological Equilibria
“One important property to emerge from theoretical studies of ecosystems as
dynamical systems is the potential for multi-stability, [which] has long been
recognized as a key concept for understanding behaviors of ecological
communities, including bacterial communities.”
From The emerging medical ecology of the human gut microbiome,
John Pepper & Simon Rosenfeld, NCI Trends in Ecology and Evolution (2012)

“The Application of Ecological Theory Toward an Understanding of the Human
Microbiome,” Elizabeth Costello, Keaton Stagaman, Les Dethlefsen, Brendan
Bohannan, David Relman Science 336, 1255-62 (2012)
Lessons From Ecological Dynamics II:
Invasive Species Dominate After Major Species Destroyed

 ”In many areas following these burns 
invasive species are able to establish themselves, 
crowding out native species.”
Source: Ponderosa Pine Fire Ecology
http://cpluhna.nau.edu/Biota/ponderosafire.htm
Lessons From Ecological Dynamics III:
From Equilibrium to Chaos
In addition to chaos,
other forms of complex dynamics,
such as regular oscillations & quasiperiodic oscillations,
are preeminent features of many biological systems.
-From “Biological Chaos and Complex Dynamics”
David A. Vasseur
Oxford Bibliographies Online
Almost All Abundant Species (≥1%) in Healthy Subjects
Are Severely Depleted in LS Gut Microbiome
Top 20 Most Abundant Microbial Species
In LS vs. Average Healthy Subject
152x
765x
148x

Number Above
LS Blue Bar is Multiple
of LS Abundance
Compared to Average
Healthy Abundance
Per Species

849x
483x
220x
201x169x
522x

Source: Sequencing JCVI; Analysis Weizhong Li, UCSD
LS December 28, 2011 Stool Sample
Rare Firmicutes Bloom in Colon Disappearing
After Antibiotic/Immunosuppressant Therapy
Firmicutes Families

Parvimonas
spp.

LS Time 1

Healthy
Average

LS Time 2
From War to Gardening:
New Therapeutical Tools for Managing the Microbiome

“I would like to lose the language of warfare,”
said Julie Segre, a senior investigator at
the National Human Genome Research Institute.
”It does a disservice to all the bacteria
that have co-evolved with us
and are maintaining the health of our bodies.”
“A Whole-Cell Computational Model
Predicts Phenotype from Genotype”

A model of
Mycoplasma genitalium,
•525 genes
•Using 1,900 experimental
observations
•From 900 studies,
•They created the
software model,
•Which requires 128
computers to run
Systems Biology Immunology Modeling:
An Emerging Discipline

Immunol Res 53:251–265 (2012)

Annu Rev Immunol. 29: 527–585 (2011)
Early Attempts at Modeling the Systems Biology of
the Gut Microbiome and the Human Immune System
Next Step: Time Series of Metagenomic Gut Microbiomes
and Immune Variables in an N=100 Clinic Trial

Goal: Understand
The Coupled Human Immune-Microbiome
Dynamics
In the Presence of Human Genetic Predispositions
Thanks to Our Great Team!
UCSD Metagenomics Team
Weizhong Li
Sitao Wu

JCVI Team
Karen Nelson
Shibu Yooseph
Manolito Torralba

Calit2@UCSD
Future Patient Team
Jerry Sheehan
Tom DeFanti
Kevin Patrick
Jurgen Schulze
Andrew Prudhomme
Philip Weber
Fred Raab
Joe Keefe
Ernesto Ramirez

SDSC Team
Michael Norman
Mahidhar Tatineni
Robert Sinkovits

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Exploring Our Inner Universe Using Supercomputers and Gene Sequencers

  • 1. “Exploring Our Inner Universe Using Supercomputers and Gene Sequencers” Physics Department Colloquium UC San Diego October 24, 2013 Dr. Larry Smarr Director, California Institute for Telecommunications and Information Technology Harry E. Gruber Professor, Dept. of Computer Science and Engineering Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD http://lsmarr.calit2.net 1
  • 2. Abstract Having spent 25 years exploring computational and observational astrophysics, I have recently started using this physics perspective to explore our inner universe. Note that while our Milky Way galaxy contains 100 billion stars, each of our human bodies contains 1000 times as many microbes. Until recently, we knew more about our galaxy’s stellar distribution than we did about the ecological distribution of our human microbiome. However, that is rapidly changing because of the million-fold reduction in cost of genome sequencing over the last 15 years. I will give an overview of the vast diversity of this microbial universe and then show how our research team has used deep genome sequencing, combined with large amounts of SDSC supercomputer time, to map out the time changing landscape of my own gut microbiome. In a healthy state, the microbiome is in homeostasis with the body’s immune system, but as I will demonstrate, people with certain human genetic predispositions can develop autoimmune diseases, in which components of the immune system and the distribution of microbial species undergo wild oscillations. This new found ability to “read out” the state of our superorganism body and its time rate of change is leading to an integrated system biology, detailed computational models, and hopefully new classes of therapies.
  • 3. My Early Research was on Computational Astrophysics – I Learned To Think About Nonlinear Dynamic Systems Eppley and Smarr 1977 Hawley and Smarr 1985 Norman, Winkler, Smarr, Smith 1982
  • 4. I Spent Years in Illinois Experimentally Studying the Stability and Instabilities of Multi-Phyla Ecosystems 120 Gallon Home Salt Water Coral Reef Aquarium
  • 5. I Arrived in La Jolla in 2000of My Body andin the Midwest By Measuring the State After 20 Years “Tuning” It Using Nutrition and Exercise, Ithe Obesity Trend and Decided to Move Against Became Healthier Age 41 Age 51 Age 61 1999 2000 1999 1989 I Reversed My Body’s Decline By Quantifying and Altering Nutrition and Exercise http://lsmarr.calit2.net/repository/LS_reading_recommendations_FiRe_2011.pdf 2010
  • 6. From Measuring Macro-Variables to Measuring Your Internal Variables www.technologyreview.com/biomedicine/39636
  • 7. From One to a Billion Data Points Defining Me: The Exponential Rise in Body Data in Just One Decade! Billion:Microbial Genome My Full DNA, MRI/CT Images Improving Body SNPs Million: My DNA SNPs, Zeo, FitBit Blood Variables One: My Weight Weight Discovering Disease Hundred: My Blood Variables Each is a Personal Time Series And Compared Across Population
  • 8. Visualizing Time Series of 150 LS Blood and Stool Variables, Each Over 5-10 Years Calit2 64 megapixel VROOM
  • 9. I Discovered I Had Episodic Chronic Inflammation by Tracking Complex Reactive Protein In My Blood Samples 27x Upper Limit Antibiotics Normal Range <1 mg/L Antibiotics Normal CRP is a Generic Measure of Inflammation in the Blood
  • 10. By Adding Stool Samples, I Discovered I Had High Levels of the Protein Lactoferrin Typical Lactoferrin Value for Active IBD Normal Range <7.3 µg/mL 124x Upper Limit Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) Is an Autoimmune Disease Antibiotics Antibiotics Lactoferrin is a Protein Shed from Neutrophils An Antibacterial that Sequesters Iron
  • 11. Confirming the IBD Hypothesis: Finding the “Smoking Gun” with MRI Imaging Liver Transverse Colon Small Intestine I Obtained the MRI Slices From UCSD Medical Services and Converted to Interactive 3D Working With Calit2 Staff & DeskVOX Software Descending Colon MRI Jan 2012 Cross Section Diseased Sigmoid Colon Major Kink Sigmoid Colon Threading Iliac Arteries
  • 12. Converting MRI Slices Into 3D Interactive Virtual Reality AND 3-D Printing Research: Calit2 FutureHealth Team
  • 13. Why Did I Have an Autoimmune Disease like IBD? Despite decades of research, the etiology of Crohn's disease remains unknown. Its pathogenesis may involve a complex interplay between host genetics, immune dysfunction, and microbial or environmental factors. --The Role of Microbes in Crohn's Disease So I Set Out to Quantify All Three! Paul B. Eckburg & David A. Relman Clin Infect Dis. 44:256-262 (2007) 
  • 14. I Wondered if Crohn’s is an Autoimmune Disease, Did I Have a Personal Genomic Polymorphism? From www.23andme.com ATG16L1 Polymorphism in Interleukin-23 Receptor Gene — 80% Higher Risk of Pro-inflammatory Immune Response IRGM NOD2 SNPs Associated with CD Now Comparing 163 Known IBD SNPs with 23andme SNP Chip
  • 15. Variance Explained by Each of the 163 SNPs Associated with IBD • The width of the bar is proportional to the variance explained by that locus  • Bars are connected together if they are identified as being associated with both phenotypes • Loci are labelled if they explain more than 1% of the total variance explained by all loci “Host–microbe interactions have shaped the genetic architecture of inflammatory bowel disease,” Jostins, et al. Nature 491, 119-124 (2012)
  • 16. Crohn’s May be a Related Set of Diseases Driven by Different SNPs NOD2 (1) rs2066844 Female CD Onset At 20-Years Old Il-23R rs1004819 Me-Male CD Onset At 60-Years Old
  • 17. I Had My Full Human Genome Sequenced in 2012 1 Million/Year by 2015 Next Step: Compare Full Genome With IBD SNPs My Anonymized Human Genome is Available for Download PGP Used Complete Genomics, Inc. to Sequence my Human DNA www.personalgenomes.org
  • 18. Fine Time Resolution Sampling Reveals Unexpected Oscillations of Innate and Adaptive Immune System Innate Immune System Normal Therapy: 1 Month Antibiotics +2 Month Prednisone Adaptive Immune System Normal Time Points of Metagenomic Sequencing of LS Stool Samples
  • 19. I Carried Out Observations in Optical, Radio, and X-Ray on the Andromeda Galaxy in the 1980s One Hundred Billion Stars
  • 20. Now I am Observing the 100 Trillion Non-Human Cells in My Body Your Body Has 10 Times As Many Microbe Cells As Human Cells 99% of Your DNA Genes Are in Microbe Cells Not Human Cells Inclusion of the Microbiome Will Radically Change Medicine
  • 21. When We Think About Biological Diversity We Typically Think of the Wide Range of Animals But All These Animals Are in One SubPhylum Vertebrata of the Chordata Phylum All images from Wikimedia Commons. Photos are public domain or by Trisha Shears & Richard Bartz
  • 22. Think of These Phyla of Animals When You Consider the Biodiversity of Microbes Inside You Phylum Chordata Phylum Cnidaria Phylum Echinodermata Phylum Annelida Phylum Mollusca Phylum Arthropoda All images from WikiMedia Commons. Photos are public domain or by Dan Hershman, Michael Linnenbach, Manuae, B_cool
  • 23. The Evolutionary Distance Between Your Gut Microbes Is Much Greater Than Between All Animals Last Slide Red Circles Are Dominate Human Gut Microbes Evolutionary Distance Derived from Comparative Sequencing of 16S or 18S Ribosomal RNA Source: Carl Woese, et al
  • 24. Intense Scientific Research is Underway on Understanding the Human Microbiome June 8, 2012 June 14, 2012 From Culturing Bacteria to Sequencing Them
  • 25. J. Craig Venter Institute Performed Metagenomic Sequencing on Seven of My Stool Samples • Sequencing on Illumina HiSeq 2000 at JCVI – Generates 100bp Reads – Run Takes ~14 Days • My 7 Samples Produced – 190.2 Gbp of Data • DNA Extraction Uses – Standard MOBio Powersoil DNA Extraction • JCVI Lab Manager, Genomic Medicine Illumina HiSeq 2000 at JCVI – Manolito Torralba • IRB PI Karen Nelson – President JCVI • Funded by – UCSD Health Sciences & Harry E. Gruber Chair Manolito Torralba, JCVI Karen Nelson, JCVI
  • 26. Additional Phenotypes Added from NIH HMP For Comparative Analysis Download Raw Reads ~100M Per Person “Healthy” Individuals 35 Subjects 1 Point in Time Larry Smarr IBD Patients 2 Ulcerative Colitis Patients, 6 Points in Time 7 Points in Time 5 Ileal Crohn’s Patients, 3 Points in Time Total of 5 Billion Reads Source: Jerry Sheehan, Calit2 Weizhong Li, Sitao Wu, CRBS, UCSD
  • 27. We Created a Reference Database Of Known Gut Genomes • NCBI April 2013 – – – – 2471 Complete + 5543 Draft Bacteria & Archaea Genomes 2399 Complete Virus Genomes 26 Complete Fungi Genomes 309 HMP Eukaryote Reference Genomes • Total 10,741 genomes, ~30 GB of sequences Now to Align Our 5 Billion Reads Against the Reference Database Source: Weizhong Li, Sitao Wu, CRBS, UCSD
  • 28. Computational NextGen Sequencing Pipeline: From “Big Equations” to “Big Data” Computing PI: (Weizhong Li, CRBS, UCSD): NIH R01HG005978 (2010-2013, $1.1M)
  • 29. We Used SDSC’s Gordon Data-Intensive Supercomputer to Analyze a Wide Range of Gut Microbiomes • ~180,000 Core-Hrs on Gordon – KEGG function annotation: 90,000 hrs – Mapping: 36,000 hrs – Used 16 Cores/Node and up to 50 nodes – Duplicates removal: 18,000 hrs Enabled by a Grant of Time – Assembly: 18,000 hrs on Gordon from SDSC – Other: 18,000 hrs Director Mike Norman • Gordon RAM Required – 64GB RAM for Reference DB – 192GB RAM for Assembly • Gordon Disk Required – Ultra-Fast Disk Holds Ref DB for All Nodes – 8TB for All Subjects Weizhong Li, CRBS, UCSD
  • 30. Phyla Gut Microbial Abundance Without Viruses: LS, Crohn’s, UC, and Healthy Subjects Source: Weizhong Li, Sitao Wu, CRBS, UCSD LS Crohn’s Ulcerative Colitis Healthy Toward Noninvasive Microbial Ecology Diagnostics
  • 31. Using Scalable Visualization Allows Comparison of the Relative Abundance of 200 Microbe Species Comparing 3 LS Time Snapshots (Left) with Healthy, Crohn’s, UC (Right Top to Bottom) Calit2 VROOM-FuturePatient Expedition
  • 32. Comparison of 35 Healthy to 15 CD and 6 UC Gut Microbiomes at the Phyla Level Expansion of Actinobacteria Collapse of Bacteroidetes Explosion of Proteobacteria
  • 33. Time Series Reveals Autoimmune Dynamics of Gut Microbiome by Phyla Therapy Six Metagenomic Time Samples Over 16 Months
  • 34. Lessons from Ecological Dynamics I: Gut Microbiome Has Multiple Ecological Equilibria “One important property to emerge from theoretical studies of ecosystems as dynamical systems is the potential for multi-stability, [which] has long been recognized as a key concept for understanding behaviors of ecological communities, including bacterial communities.” From The emerging medical ecology of the human gut microbiome, John Pepper & Simon Rosenfeld, NCI Trends in Ecology and Evolution (2012) “The Application of Ecological Theory Toward an Understanding of the Human Microbiome,” Elizabeth Costello, Keaton Stagaman, Les Dethlefsen, Brendan Bohannan, David Relman Science 336, 1255-62 (2012)
  • 35. Lessons From Ecological Dynamics II: Invasive Species Dominate After Major Species Destroyed  ”In many areas following these burns  invasive species are able to establish themselves,  crowding out native species.” Source: Ponderosa Pine Fire Ecology http://cpluhna.nau.edu/Biota/ponderosafire.htm
  • 36. Lessons From Ecological Dynamics III: From Equilibrium to Chaos In addition to chaos, other forms of complex dynamics, such as regular oscillations & quasiperiodic oscillations, are preeminent features of many biological systems. -From “Biological Chaos and Complex Dynamics” David A. Vasseur Oxford Bibliographies Online
  • 37. Almost All Abundant Species (≥1%) in Healthy Subjects Are Severely Depleted in LS Gut Microbiome
  • 38. Top 20 Most Abundant Microbial Species In LS vs. Average Healthy Subject 152x 765x 148x Number Above LS Blue Bar is Multiple of LS Abundance Compared to Average Healthy Abundance Per Species 849x 483x 220x 201x169x 522x Source: Sequencing JCVI; Analysis Weizhong Li, UCSD LS December 28, 2011 Stool Sample
  • 39. Rare Firmicutes Bloom in Colon Disappearing After Antibiotic/Immunosuppressant Therapy Firmicutes Families Parvimonas spp. LS Time 1 Healthy Average LS Time 2
  • 40. From War to Gardening: New Therapeutical Tools for Managing the Microbiome “I would like to lose the language of warfare,” said Julie Segre, a senior investigator at the National Human Genome Research Institute. ”It does a disservice to all the bacteria that have co-evolved with us and are maintaining the health of our bodies.”
  • 41. “A Whole-Cell Computational Model Predicts Phenotype from Genotype” A model of Mycoplasma genitalium, •525 genes •Using 1,900 experimental observations •From 900 studies, •They created the software model, •Which requires 128 computers to run
  • 42. Systems Biology Immunology Modeling: An Emerging Discipline Immunol Res 53:251–265 (2012) Annu Rev Immunol. 29: 527–585 (2011)
  • 43. Early Attempts at Modeling the Systems Biology of the Gut Microbiome and the Human Immune System
  • 44. Next Step: Time Series of Metagenomic Gut Microbiomes and Immune Variables in an N=100 Clinic Trial Goal: Understand The Coupled Human Immune-Microbiome Dynamics In the Presence of Human Genetic Predispositions
  • 45. Thanks to Our Great Team! UCSD Metagenomics Team Weizhong Li Sitao Wu JCVI Team Karen Nelson Shibu Yooseph Manolito Torralba Calit2@UCSD Future Patient Team Jerry Sheehan Tom DeFanti Kevin Patrick Jurgen Schulze Andrew Prudhomme Philip Weber Fred Raab Joe Keefe Ernesto Ramirez SDSC Team Michael Norman Mahidhar Tatineni Robert Sinkovits